sharing our earth: the water-energy-food...
TRANSCRIPT
Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus
Joyeeta Gupta
Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research
Nexus Governance Challenges
Glocal evolutionary governance
The rise of legal pluralism
The enormous future demands ahead
Contested glocal nature
The Sharing Our Earth challenge
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Legal pluralism
Quality/Inte
nsity
Weak relations Strong relations
Contrary Type 1: Indifference/Co-
existence
Type 2: Competition
Affirmative Type 3: Accommodation Type 4: Mutual support
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Legal Pluralism: Competition poses a challenge for nexus governance
UNECE and UN Watercourses Convention have different
principles: quality or quantity
Groundwater rules and UN watercourses Convention have
different principles: sovereignty or equity
Global climate governance and national energy
governance compete
Bio-fuel non-regime, had serious impacts on water, land,
and society
Free trade rules not implemented – agricultural subsidies
in EU?/US
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Glocal Evolutionary Challenge: Nexus governance has to face:
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2014 7 billion people
Income: • Top 20% have 83%
• Bottom 20% - 1.4% • 71% living on USD 1
per day live in Asia Using 1.5 Earth
2030 8.3 billion (mostly &
younger in S) Unemployment/inequality
60% in cities
50% water stressed Energy use increases Temp rise by 0.5-1.5
degree Biodiversity decline
Hazards increase
Sharing Our Earth
Glocal Evolutionary Challenge: Nexus governance has to face:
Nexus governance has to deal with scalar analysis
Sharing Our Earth 7
Global
Nexus governance has to deal with scalar analysis
Sharing Our Earth 8
Global
Household
Drivers
Impacts
System
Solutions
Nexus governance has to deal with scalar analysis
Sharing Our Earth 9
Global
Household
Problem: Neo-liberal market discourse
Solution: Local policy?
Problem: Local food supply
Solution: Global demand for biofuel?
Nexus governance has to deal with scalar politics
Sharing Our Earth 10
Scaling
up
Scaling
down
Inte
rests
,
Effe
ctiven
ess,
U
nders
tandin
g
Global paradigms
Global drivers, impacts,
thresholds, goals
Assign RRR,
Share ecospace
Mobilize global bodies
Postpone domestic action
Minimize free riding
Create level-playing field
Gain influence over extra-territorial resources
Local rights
based regimes
Local drivers,
impacts, thresholds,
goals
Avoid global
responsibilities
Mobilize local
institutions
To avoid liability for
externalised effects
To promote national security/sovereignty
To divide and rule, include and exclude
CAN NEXUS HELP IN SHARING OUR EARTH?
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1. Shrinking abiotic resources - a
Sharing Our Earth 12
Som
e m
eta
ls, str
ate
gic
min
era
ls,
ra
re e
art
hs,
ch
em
icals
Time
1. Shrinking abiotic resources - b
Sharing Our Earth 13
Fo
ssil
fuels
Time
Carbon Tracker 2011
2. Fixed resources, rising demand
Sharing Our Earth 14 Sharing Our Earth
Land,
fre
sh w
ate
r
Time
3. Unlimited ecosystem services over time, if sustainably managed
Sharing Our Earth 15
And ecosystems have an intrinsic value
Supporting (cycle
nutrients)
Ecosystem services
Provisioning (water, food,
Fuel,
fodder,
fibre,)
Regulating (climate,
flood,
water,
disease)
Cultural (aesthetic,
Spiritual,
recreational)
4. But, we are crossing planetary boundaries, using 1.5 Earths annually
Sharing Our Earth 16
Source: Azote Images/Stockholm Resilience Centre 2009
Shrinking ecospace
Resource shrinks (metals)
Sink shrinks (greenhouse gas emissions into
atmosphere)
Resource constant, demand increases
Sharing Our Earth 17
Why share?
Common atmosphere, hydrosphere, lithosphere,
and biosphere; common ozone layer; climate
(common concern/heritage, global public good)
Damage to others must be compensated (no harm
principle)
Resources needed for food (right to live)
Past ecospace use determines who gets ecospace
in the future
Strategic minerals – is first come, first served
appropriate; mineral extraction impacts on
people/environments Sharing Our Earth 18
Sharing
Access (to minimum needs/ human rights)
Allocation (of rights, responsibilities, and risks)
Sharing Our Earth 19
Shrinking ecospace governance options
Sharing Our Earth 20
Neo-liberal
Markets Pricing
Privatize
Confidential contracts/ arbitration
Hegemonic
Bi-plurilateral
Agreements
Sovereignty Securiti-zation
Polycentric
Multiple actors/
approaches
Self-mgt Experimen-
tation
Sustainable
Universal Intergovernm
ental
Role for all actors and
approaches
Conclusion
Nexus must deal with historical patterns and future expectations. This may be possible in an
incremental manner.
Nexus must deal with glocal drivers and impacts. This is more difficult without getting
coherence at global level.
Coherence at global level will have to confront the ‘Sharing our Ecospace’ problem! Not easy!
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Shrinking ecospace governance options
Sharing Our Earth 22
Neo-liberal
Markets Pricing
Privatize
Confidential contracts/ arbitration
Hegemonic
Bi-plurilateral
Agreements
Sovereignty Securiti-zation
Polycentric
Multiple actors/
approaches
Self-mgt Experimen-
tation
Sustainable
Universal Intergovernm
ental
Role for all actors; nexus?
SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT
GOALS
Develop systemic instruments
• Regulatory:
Strategic environmental &
inclusive development
assessment
• Economic
PES/PPP
• Suasive/research
Glocal value chain
analysis/dematrialization,
LCA; participatory action
research
• Management
Smart
city/watershed/resilience
• Systemic innovation
Ecosyste
m
sta
ndard
s H
um
an
rights
Equity and right to grow
Rule of law & constitutionalism