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Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus Joyeeta Gupta Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research

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Page 1: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus

Joyeeta Gupta

Amsterdam Institute for Social Science Research

Page 2: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Nexus Governance Challenges

Glocal evolutionary governance

The rise of legal pluralism

The enormous future demands ahead

Contested glocal nature

The Sharing Our Earth challenge

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Page 3: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Legal pluralism

Quality/Inte

nsity

Weak relations Strong relations

Contrary Type 1: Indifference/Co-

existence

Type 2: Competition

Affirmative Type 3: Accommodation Type 4: Mutual support

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Page 4: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Legal Pluralism: Competition poses a challenge for nexus governance

UNECE and UN Watercourses Convention have different

principles: quality or quantity

Groundwater rules and UN watercourses Convention have

different principles: sovereignty or equity

Global climate governance and national energy

governance compete

Bio-fuel non-regime, had serious impacts on water, land,

and society

Free trade rules not implemented – agricultural subsidies

in EU?/US

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Page 5: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Glocal Evolutionary Challenge: Nexus governance has to face:

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2014 7 billion people

Income: • Top 20% have 83%

• Bottom 20% - 1.4% • 71% living on USD 1

per day live in Asia Using 1.5 Earth

2030 8.3 billion (mostly &

younger in S) Unemployment/inequality

60% in cities

50% water stressed Energy use increases Temp rise by 0.5-1.5

degree Biodiversity decline

Hazards increase

Sharing Our Earth

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Glocal Evolutionary Challenge: Nexus governance has to face:

Page 7: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Nexus governance has to deal with scalar analysis

Sharing Our Earth 7

Global

Page 8: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Nexus governance has to deal with scalar analysis

Sharing Our Earth 8

Global

Household

Drivers

Impacts

System

Solutions

Page 9: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Nexus governance has to deal with scalar analysis

Sharing Our Earth 9

Global

Household

Problem: Neo-liberal market discourse

Solution: Local policy?

Problem: Local food supply

Solution: Global demand for biofuel?

Page 10: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

Nexus governance has to deal with scalar politics

Sharing Our Earth 10

Scaling

up

Scaling

down

Inte

rests

,

Effe

ctiven

ess,

U

nders

tandin

g

Global paradigms

Global drivers, impacts,

thresholds, goals

Assign RRR,

Share ecospace

Mobilize global bodies

Postpone domestic action

Minimize free riding

Create level-playing field

Gain influence over extra-territorial resources

Local rights

based regimes

Local drivers,

impacts, thresholds,

goals

Avoid global

responsibilities

Mobilize local

institutions

To avoid liability for

externalised effects

To promote national security/sovereignty

To divide and rule, include and exclude

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CAN NEXUS HELP IN SHARING OUR EARTH?

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1. Shrinking abiotic resources - a

Sharing Our Earth 12

Som

e m

eta

ls, str

ate

gic

min

era

ls,

ra

re e

art

hs,

ch

em

icals

Time

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1. Shrinking abiotic resources - b

Sharing Our Earth 13

Fo

ssil

fuels

Time

Carbon Tracker 2011

Page 14: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

2. Fixed resources, rising demand

Sharing Our Earth 14 Sharing Our Earth

Land,

fre

sh w

ate

r

Time

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3. Unlimited ecosystem services over time, if sustainably managed

Sharing Our Earth 15

And ecosystems have an intrinsic value

Supporting (cycle

nutrients)

Ecosystem services

Provisioning (water, food,

Fuel,

fodder,

fibre,)

Regulating (climate,

flood,

water,

disease)

Cultural (aesthetic,

Spiritual,

recreational)

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4. But, we are crossing planetary boundaries, using 1.5 Earths annually

Sharing Our Earth 16

Source: Azote Images/Stockholm Resilience Centre 2009

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Shrinking ecospace

Resource shrinks (metals)

Sink shrinks (greenhouse gas emissions into

atmosphere)

Resource constant, demand increases

Sharing Our Earth 17

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Why share?

Common atmosphere, hydrosphere, lithosphere,

and biosphere; common ozone layer; climate

(common concern/heritage, global public good)

Damage to others must be compensated (no harm

principle)

Resources needed for food (right to live)

Past ecospace use determines who gets ecospace

in the future

Strategic minerals – is first come, first served

appropriate; mineral extraction impacts on

people/environments Sharing Our Earth 18

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Sharing

Access (to minimum needs/ human rights)

Allocation (of rights, responsibilities, and risks)

Sharing Our Earth 19

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Shrinking ecospace governance options

Sharing Our Earth 20

Neo-liberal

Markets Pricing

Privatize

Confidential contracts/ arbitration

Hegemonic

Bi-plurilateral

Agreements

Sovereignty Securiti-zation

Polycentric

Multiple actors/

approaches

Self-mgt Experimen-

tation

Sustainable

Universal Intergovernm

ental

Role for all actors and

approaches

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Conclusion

Nexus must deal with historical patterns and future expectations. This may be possible in an

incremental manner.

Nexus must deal with glocal drivers and impacts. This is more difficult without getting

coherence at global level.

Coherence at global level will have to confront the ‘Sharing our Ecospace’ problem! Not easy!

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Shrinking ecospace governance options

Sharing Our Earth 22

Neo-liberal

Markets Pricing

Privatize

Confidential contracts/ arbitration

Hegemonic

Bi-plurilateral

Agreements

Sovereignty Securiti-zation

Polycentric

Multiple actors/

approaches

Self-mgt Experimen-

tation

Sustainable

Universal Intergovernm

ental

Role for all actors; nexus?

Page 23: Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexuswef-conference.gwsp.org/uploads/media/A03_Gupta.pdf · Sharing Our Earth: The Water-Energy-Food Nexus ... Shrinking abiotic resources

SUSTAINABLE

DEVELOPMENT

GOALS

Develop systemic instruments

• Regulatory:

Strategic environmental &

inclusive development

assessment

• Economic

PES/PPP

• Suasive/research

Glocal value chain

analysis/dematrialization,

LCA; participatory action

research

• Management

Smart

city/watershed/resilience

• Systemic innovation

Ecosyste

m

sta

ndard

s H

um

an

rights

Equity and right to grow

Rule of law & constitutionalism