shakey’spizza asia ventures, inc.... · leads the philippine chained full-service restaurant...
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SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.(PSE: PIZZA)
COMPANY PRESENTATIONAUGUST 2018
Company Overview
2
SNAPSHOT
• Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. is the Philippines’ #1 full-service pizza chain with over60% market share in that category. It is also the single-largest brand of full-service casualdining chain restaurants in the Philippines.*
• A strong and well-established brand thanks to a differentiated menu, iconic and well-lovedproducts, a distinct store environment, and highly guest-centric service
• Apart from the Philippines, also owns the Shakey’s trademark in perpetuity for the MiddleEast, Asia (excluding Japan and Malaysia), China, Australia, and New Zealand. It does not payany royalties and is instead able to collect from local and international franchisees.
• The Company listed on the Philippine Stock Exchange in 2016 under the trading symbolPIZZA. It currently has a market capitalization of c.USD0.4 billion.
• Store Network: 200+ stores across the Philippines – a mix of company-owned andfranchised. Different store formats including those located in malls and those that are freestanding.
• Key Management: Vicente Gregorio - President & CEO, Manuel del Barrio – VP & CFO,Jorge Concepcion, Shakey’s Philippines GM, Alois Brielbeck, In-House Commissary GM
*Source: Euromonitor, 2017
Revenues (In USD Mill)
93 98 113 131 148
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018*
8 913 14 16
2014 2015 2016** 2017 2018*
**Based on recurring net income*Consensus of active brokers
Net Income (In USD Mill)
Century Pacific Group53%
GIC Private Equity18%
Public29%
Dine-In61%
Delivery & Others39%
Company-Owned
59%
Franchised41% Metro
Manila46%Luzon
(ex-MM)41%
Visayas9%
Mindanao4%
FULL-YEAR FINANCIALS
2017 SYSTEM-WIDE SALES & STORE NETWORK BREAKDOWN OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE
The Overall ScenarioWell-positioned to take advantage of the growing foodservice industry
3
9.03 9.52 10.05 10.77 11.52 12.1
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
4 F’s in the consumereconomy to benefit fromstrong economic growth
20% of a typical middle-income householdbudget goes to food consumed
outside home. This totals more than PHP500 billion annually, showing a strong propensity to spend.
Source: NSO, Nielsen, Euromonitor, BSP
FurnishingsFashion
FoodFun
Restaurantsand hotels
are growing household
consumption sectors
The consumer foodservice industry has been growing in recent years
In USD Billions
Full-service pizza chain restaurants show faster growth
than the whole full-service restaurant sector
16% vs 5%CAGR from 2012-2017
Shakey’s has 42 years of strongbrand legacy and counting
4
First storein the
Philippines
1987The Prieto family became the
master franchisor in the PhilippinesAcquired Shakey’s
trademarkfor the
Philippinesin perpetuity
Acquired Shakey’strademark for Middle
East, Asia (ex Japan, Malaysia) including
China, Australia, and New Zealand in perpetuity
First Shakey’s Pizza Parlor opened in Sacramento, California
1999
208 stores by end 2017
2003Positioned asan Americanfast casualdining restaurantfor families
Century Pacific Group (CPGI)
and Arran (GIC) acquired control
INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS
*Source: Euromonitor, 2017
Summary of Investment Highlights
• Multiple sales channels and store formats; simple operations• Low upfront cost and strong cash generation lead to shorter store-level
payback periods compared to the industry
• Extensive track records in food and restaurant operations• Entry of Century Pacific Group as strong and committed shareholders
provides synergies with other food businesses
• Well-loved brand with more than 40 years of history in the Philippines• Iconic products served in a distinct store environment• No royalty payments, plus additional revenues from franchisings
• Superior profitability and margins versus peers• Gearing levels improved post-prepayment of debt care of IPO proceeds• Cash generative with a negative cash conversion cycle
Market Leadership1
2 Brand Strength& Ownership
3 Scalable Business Model
4 Experienced Management
5 Industry-Leading Financials
• Dominates the full-service pizza chain market with 65%* market share• 26%* market share in the full-service (pizza and non-pizza) category - #1 in
that space as well
6
7
#1 Full-Service Restaurant in the PhilippinesThe full-service pizza chain market is dominated by Shakey’s.
Max's16.4%
Pizza Hut11.8%
Kenny Rogers6.9%
Pancake House5.1%
TGI Friday's2.8%
Others30.7% 26.3%
Full-Service ChainLatest Euromonitor report states that Shakey’sleads the Philippine chained full-service restaurant industry with 26.3% market share as of 2017.
Pizza Hut29.0%
Papa John's2.0%
Others4.4%
64.6%
Full-Service Pizza Chain2017 data shows that Shakey’sdominates the full-service pizza chain market by sales since 2011 until present.
Source: Euromonitor
8
Strong and Well-Established BrandShakey’s offers a differentiated menu with iconic and well-loved products.
Differentiated menu with iconic products and offerings for all
PizzaWorld-famous thin crust and hand-tossed pizzas with many different choices
Chicken and MojosSignature dish - fried chicken paired with Shakey’s famous mojos*
*Thinly-sliced potatoes coated with Shakey’s breading and fried to a golden brown perfection
PastaHearty pasta with a wide range of sauces and toppings paired with garlic bread
StartersRanging from fries, mojos, squid rings, chips, and chicken
SoupHome-style soups loaded with flavor and goodness
SaladExtensive choice of salad for health-conscious customers
DessertsWide range of after-meal desserts
Bundled offerings catering to families and groups bring up average checks
9
Strong and Well-Established BrandShakey’s offers a beautiful and distinct store environment to every customerand has full control and ownership of its brand.
Though originally from the U.S., PIZZA has owned the Shakey’s brand for the Philippines
since 1999.
With its over 40 year history in the Philippines, Shakey’s is one of the most recognizable brands in the local food service industry.
Source: Asia’s Top 1000 Brands Survey by Campaign Asia, in partnership with Nielsen
Brand ownership means:
• No royalty payments, leading to shorter payback period and sustainably higher margins versus peers
• Revenue from licensing fees and royalties from franchisees
• Freedom to execute and react faster to market changes• Opportunity for expansion into international markets
2018 PhilippineTop 100 Restaurant Brands:
1 2 3
10
Proven and Scalable Business ModelMultiple sales channels and store formats provide convenience and accessibility toShakey’s customers and allow for market and expansion flexibility.
Dine-In• Most popular sales channel due to
unique family and friends experience• Aim to “WOW” the guest
Delivery• Delivery available nationwide• Single delivery hotline number
(#77-777) can be used
Carryout• Convenient and fast method of sales
Functions• Free standing stores have function
rooms for events such as parties and company gatherings
Online Sales• Active online and mobile presence
with own website and mobile app• http://www.shakeyspizza.ph
SuperCard• A very popular paid loyalty card• PHP499 annual fee
Mall Stores120 – 250 sqm
52%
Free Standing Stores300 – 400 sqm
43%
Others120 – 180 sqm
5%
11
Proven and Scalable Business ModelShakey’s is a well-established brand, while operating on an asset-light model.
Brand Positioning
Short Payback Period
Asset-Light Approach
Vertical Integration
• Benefitting from key consumer trends – eating out more and upgrading from fast food to casual dining
• Firmly positioned in the fast casual segment (A, B, and upper C market) that delivers high margins, good volumes, and scale
• Own commissary for proprietary raw materials protects key supply chain and maintains
consistency and control over quality
• Economies of scale and purchasing synergy
• Long-term leases for store locations at attractive rentals• Presence of standalone stores (i.e. those
outside malls) lead to low rent-to-sales ratio
• Business model and strong discipline leads to typical payback period of 3-4 years
• Low upfront cost and strong cash generation per store
12
Experienced Management TeamVISION: to be the PREFERRED and DOMINANT full-service pizza chain restaurant
Vicente GregorioPresident & Chief Executive Officer• Over 30 years of successful experience in the food business• Started career in the first ever Shakey’s branch in the Philippines• Key driver of Shakey’s brand strategy, organization culture, core values, and mission since 2003• Proven management and leadership track record in foodservice retail set-up, expansion, and turnaround management
Manuel Del BarrioVice President & Chief Financial Officer • Previously Assistant Vice President for
Finance of Century Pacific Food, Inc. (CNPF) and The Pacific Meat Company, Inc.
• Worked in accounting positions at several leading companies
Jorge ConcepcionShakey’s Philippines General Manager• Over 30 years of experience in consumer-
related business• Significant experience in the U.S.
foodservice industry for about 10 years in numerous managerial positions
Alois BrielbeckIn-House Commissary General Manager• Over 30 years of experience in the foodservice
business• Moved to Asia in 1986, taking up positions in
pastry kitchens in Hong Kong and Tokyo• Moved to the Philippines in 2000 as Chief
Operating Officer for Culinary Systems Specialists Incorporated
• Appointed as Commissary General Manager in 2005
Joseph RemsaInternational Development Consultant• Previously President and CEO of Shakey’s U.S.A.• Leads the development and operations of the
Shakey’s brands in Asia, Middle East, Australia, and New Zealand
• Over 25 years of experience in leading operations and franchising in top-chained restaurants
1H 2018 FINANCIAL HIGLIGHTS
Financial Results Highlights
2Q
1H
+16%
+13%
+7%
+7%
+9%
+5%
-50bps
-30bps
14
1H 2018 Summarized P&L
• System-wide sales growth improves to 16% as SSSG RECOVERS TO +9% in 2Q18
• New store opening targets WELL ON TRACK with 9 new stores in 1H18
• EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENTS and PRUDENT TAX MANAGEMENT cushion drop in net margins
In PHP Mill 1H 2017 1H 2018 Change YoYSystem-wide Sales 4,062 4,597 13%
Total Revenue 3,377 3,690 9%
Cost of Sales (2,362) (2,631) 11%
Gross Profit 1,016 1,059 4%
Operating Expenses (421) (470) 12%
EBITDA 676 725 7%
EBIT 587 602 3%
Income before Tax 502 511 2%
Net Income 371 396 7%
Earnings per Share 0.24 0.26 7%
MarginsGross Profit 30.1% 28.7% -1.4 pps
EBITDA 20.0% 19.6% -0.4 pps
EBIT 17.4% 16.3% -1.1 pps
Net Income 11.0% 10.7% -0.3 pps
• PERSISTENT COST PRESSURE in 2Q18, but margins still above industry average
• Inflationary pressures and peso depreciation PARTIALLY OFFSET BY PRICE ADJUSTMENTS
15
4% 5% 2%
9%
FY16 FY17 1Q18 2Q18
Same-Store Sales Recovers in 2Q18SSSG
• RECOVERY driven by brand initiatives to increase traffic:1. Product innovations2. Marketing and promotions
(in-store and delivery)3. Balanced and reasonable
price adjustments• PRICE INCREASE in latter part
of 1Q18
8% 5% 3 - 5%
1H17 1H18 FY18 Target
16
+4 +5 +11
Target for Balance of
Year
Store Network Expansion Remains On Track
4,062 4,597
2,054 2,388
1H17 1H18 2Q17 2Q18
In PHP Mill
Historical Store Network Count in the Philippines System-wide Sales
• Store network expansion aligned with strategy to BRING THE SHAKEY'S EXPERIENCE BEYOND TYPICAL LOCATIONS
• Successful store opening and accelerated SSSG brings 1H18 SYSTEM-WIDE SALES GROWTH TO +13%
+9+20
+13%
+16%184 208 212 217 228
As of Dec 2016
As of Dec 2017
As of Mar 2018
As of Jun 2018
As of Dec 2018F
17
BY GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTION
46%NCR
41%Luzon ex-NCR
9%Visayas
4%Mindanao
*Map colors show % population of the country by region. The darker the color, the higher the % population. Source: Philippine Statistics Authority 2015
BY OWNERSHIP
42%Franchised
58%Company-Owned
• Strong brand equity and scalability provide HIGH GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES outside NCR where there is underpenetration and environment is less competitive
• PARTNERING WITH STRONG LOCALS to run far-flung provincial operations – a proven effective strategy based on historical experience
217Stores as of
End June 2018
Breakdown of Total Store Network as of End 1H18
18
Expanding Nationwide Store Network
18
• International franchisee Aljeel Capital committed to open NINE MORE STORES IN THE UAE in the next five years
• Leveraging on the SIZABLE POPULATION of Filipinos in the Middle East and their familiarity with the Shakey's brand
19
Second International Store Located in the Middle East
Shakey’s Opens First Store inDubai, UAE
19
30.3% 28.6%
2Q17 2Q18
30.1% 28.7%
1H17 1H18
-160 bps
-140 bps
Margin Softening Due to Continued Cost Pressures
• SLIGHT DECLINE IN GROSS MARGIN due to:1. Continued rise in input costs –
particularly CHEESE - since 2H last year
2. Peso depreciation3. Inflationary headwinds on
other costs including packaging, transportation, and store overhead
• Gross margin TRENDING FLAT SEQUENTIALLY, supported by price increase
• Profitability level still within comfort range and ABOVE PEER AVERAGE
29.5% 28.8% 28.6%
FY17 1Q18 2Q18
Gross Profit Margin
-70 bps -20 bps
20
Maintained Net Margins Despite Inflationary Headwinds
EBITDA Net Income
20.1%
19.5% 19.8%
FY17 1Q18 2Q18
-60 bps +30 bps
-40 bps
10.9% 10.4% 11.1%
FY17 1Q18 2Q18
-50 bps +70 bps
-30 bps
• Total OpEx growth driven by CRITICAL CAPABILITY-BUILDING INITIATIVES:1. Depreciation
from stores2. New HQ and
commissary expenses
3. IT systems and infrastructure
• Nonetheless, RECENT COST SAVINGS in A&P and overhead
20.0% 19.6%
1H17 1H18
20.4% 19.8%
2Q17 2Q18
-60 bps
11.0% 10.7%
1H17 1H18
11.6% 11.1%
2Q17 2Q18
-50 bps
21
Balance SheetIn PHP Mill 2017 1H 2018
Cash 245 239
Receivables 586 565
Other Current Assets 424 594
Total Current Assets 1,255 1,398
Property, Plant, and Equipment 1,538 1,631
Goodwill and Trademarks 6,066 6,066
Other Non-Current Assets 250 248
Total Non-Current Assets 7,854 7,945
TOTAL ASSETS 9,109 9,343
In PHP Mill 2017 1H 2018
Trade Payable and Others 1,065 925
Short-Term Debt 48 48
Total Current Liabilities 1,113 973
Long-Term Debt 3,885 3,860
Other Non-Current Liabilities 137 138
Total Non-Current Liabilities 4,022 3,999
TOTAL LIABILITIES 5,135 4,972
TOTAL EQUITY 3,974 4,370
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 9,109 9,343
• Increase in working capital mainly due to HIGHER INVENTORY to lock in cheese requirements at favorable prices
• Elevated PPE to support ORGANIZATIONAL GROWTH andOPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES
• Decline in trade payables versus end 2017 due to SEASONALITY and PROCESS STREAMLINING
• Long-term loan of PHP3.9 billion all PESO-DENOMINATED WITH FIXED INTEREST RATES
22
Ratios
Net Debt-to-Equity (x)
Net Gearing (x)
Net Debt-to-EBITDA (x)
Return on Equity
1.23 1.08
2017 1H 2018
0.93 0.84
2017 1H 2018
3.48 3.25
2017 1H 2018
21% 20%
2017 1H 2018
23
Uses trailing 12-month EBITDA
(Interest-Bearing Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
Uses trailing 12-month earnings and average equity
(Total Liabilities - Cash) / Total Equity
• COMFORTABLE GEARING RATIOS despite elevated debt
• Company’s only interest-bearing debt is the PESO-DENOMINATED ACQUISITION LOAN USED IN THE CHANGE OF MAJORITY SHAREHOLDERS in 2016
• MAINTAINED ABOVE-INDUSTRY ROE at 20%
Cash FlowIn PHP Mill 1H 2017 1H 2018
Income before Income Tax 502 511
Depreciation and Amortization 89 123
Interest Expense 85 91
Changes in Working Capital (111) (272)
Others (147) (109)
Net Operating Cash Flow 419 344
Capital Expenditures (413) (216)
Redemption of AFS Investments and Others 1,084 (16)
Net Investing Cash Flow 671 (232)
Proceeds from (Payment of) Loan (1,025) (25)
Others (247) (95)
Net Financing Cash Flow (1,272) (120)
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes 0 2
Beginning Cash 329 245
Change in Cash (182) (6)
Ending Cash 146 239
Free Cash Flow 5 128
24
• Higher depreciation due to STORE NETWORK and HEAD OFFICE AND COMMISSARY EXPANSION
• Increase in working capital driven by HIGHER RAW MATERIAL INVENTORY and STREAMLINING OF TRADE PAYABLES
• CapEx primarily for NEW STORE OPENINGS and IT INVESTMENTS
• MAINTAINED POSITIVE FREE CASH FLOW supports payment of interest and dividends
Cash Conversion Cycle
362 501
27 35
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY17 1H18 days₱
Mns
1,005
867 74
61
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY17 1Q18 days₱
Mns
586 565
31 28
-
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
FY17 1H18 days₱
Mns(57)
199
(16) 2
(60)(40)(20)-20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
(60)(40)(20)
-20 40 60 80
100 120 140 160 180 200
FY17 1H18
days₱
Mns
Working Capital Receivables Inventory Payables
25
• Increase in cash conversion cycle relative to end 2017 to +2 DAYS
• Elevated inventory level following the ADVANCED PURCHASE OF CHEESE
• Shortened payable days versus year end due to SEASONALITY IN PAYMENTS, year-on-year payable days were FLAT
26
Challenging Yet Achievable Targets for FY 2018
• Low double-digit growth• Positive sales momentum
coming from 2Q18• Boost expected from holidays• Cautious about seasonal
slowdown and bad weather in 3Q18
• Low double-digit growth• Margin enhancement
initiatives• Persistent cost and
inflationary pressures remain
STOCK & INVESTOR RELATIONS HIGHLIGHTS
Stock Highlights
28
MARKET CAPITALIZATION
$0.3BDecember 2016
$0.4BnAugust 10, 2018
PERFORMANCE SINCE IPO
₱11.26IPO Price
+17%Return since IPO
as of August 10, 2018
PIZZAPhilippine Consumer Average
PER (x) 24.0 25.0
EV / EBITDA (x) 11.4 11.9
ROE (%) 19.6 15.5
Operating Margin (%)* 16.5 9.5
Net Income Margin (%)* 10.8 7.2
Source: BPI Securities 2018 Estimates as of 8/10/2018; *Bloomberg, trailing 12 months
STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE (BLOOMBERG TICKER: PIZZA PM)
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
18.00
Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18
PHP/SHARE PHP13.20 as of August 10, 2018
Investor Relations Highlights
29
DIVIDEND HISTORY
*Listing Date: December 15, 2016**As of 8/10/2018
Current Price PHP13.20
Initial Listing Price PHP11.26
Range since Listing Date* PHP10.90 - 17.48
No. of Outstanding Shares 1,531,321,053
Shareholding Structure CPGI: 52.9%Arran (GIC): 18.5%
Free Float 28.6% (includes Prieto family’s 5.9%)
3-Month Average Turnover PHP6.1 MillionUSD0.1 Million
Market Capitalization PHP20.2 BillionUSD0.4 Billion
Performance since Listing Date* +17%
YTD Relative to Index +7%
*Of previous year’s recurring net income
0.10 0.10
23% 20%
0%
15%
30%
0.00
0.15
0.30
2017 2018
Regular Cash
Payout Ratio*
Declaration Date
RecordDate
Payment Date
2017 May 8 June 6 June 30
2018 August 16 September 14 October 10
Philippines’ Best Small Cap Company
Finance Asia 2018
SHAREHOLDERS Source: Bloomberg August 2018
Foreign Ownership Limit: 100%Free Float Level: 29%
GIC Private Equity18%
Prieto Family6%
Norges Bank2%
Matthews International Capital 1%
Others20% Century Pacific Group
Inc (CPGI) 53%• wholly owned by
the Philippines’ Po family
• majority shareholder of CNPF PM and ALCO PM
Investor Relations Highlights
30
SELL-SIDE COVERAGE
Institution Analyst Latest Call
BDO Nomura Angelo Torres NEUTRAL
BPI Jefferies Javier Consunji BUY
CLSA Joyce Ramos BUY
COL Financial Andy Dela Cruz HOLD
Deutsche Bank Carissa Mangubat BUY
Macquarie Karisa Magpayo OUTPERFORM
AB Capital Sec Edgar Lay HOLD
Regina Capital Patricia Pascual BUY
Unicapital Sec Jonathan Latuja BUY
2017 Glossy Annual Report
PIZZA’s 2017 Glossy Annual Report can be found on the Company’s corporatewebsite (www.shakeyspizza.ph):
31
Investors > Investor Presentations
2018 Calendar of Activities
Investor Conferences Earnings Release
AUG NomuraPhilippine Corporate Day(Hong Kong)
24
dbAccessPhilippines Corporate Day (London)
3SEP
MacquarieASEAN Conference (Singapore)
29
OCT
*Schedule updated as of 10 August 2018
dbAccessPhilippines Conference (Manila)
3
3Q18Earnings Release
12NOV
Annual Stockholders’ Meeting
16AUG
32
SHAKEY’S PIZZA ASIA VENTURES, INC.
This document is highly confidential and being given solely for your information and for your use and may not be, or anyportion thereof, shared, copied, reproduced or redistributed to any other person in any manner.
The statements contained in this document speak only as of the date which they are made, and the Company expresslydisclaims any obligation or undertaking to supplement, amend or disseminate any updates or revisions to any statementscontained herein to reflect any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. Bypreparing this presentation, none of the Company, its management, and their respective advisers undertakes anyobligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information or to update this presentation or to correctany inaccuracies in any such information which may become apparent.
This presentation contains statements, including forward-looking statements, based on the currently held beliefs andassumptions of the management of the Company, which are expressed in good faith and, in their opinion, reasonable.Forward-looking statements in particular involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which maycause the actual results, financial condition, performance, or achievements of the Company or industry results, to differmaterially from the results, financial condition, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-lookingstatements. Given these risks, uncertainties and other factors, recipients of this document are cautioned not to placeundue reliance on these forward-looking statements.
Any reference herein to "the Company" shall mean, collectively, Shakey’s Pizza Asia Ventures, Inc. and its subsidiaries.
Paranaque City, Philippines
+632 839 0156
www.shakeyspizza.ph
http://edge.pse.com.ph/companyInformation/form.do?cmpy_id=664