set of recommendations do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

26

Upload: dea

Post on 24-Jan-2016

18 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….? Do we understand why predictions are not reproducing the interrannual variability ? Are predictions more reliable as far as long term trend is concerned ? - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 2: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Set of Recommendations

Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Do we understand why predictions are not reproducing the interrannual variability ?

Are predictions more reliable as far as long term trend is concerned ?

Can we pretend we are now able to predict what will happen in summer 2008 ?

Page 3: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

UCAR 2007, Steve Deyo

Page 4: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

0

2

4

6

8

10

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29

Série1

106 km2

1979 2007

Arctic sea-ice summer minimum extent

1990 2000

Page 5: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 6: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

TARASept 2006

NP 34 2005

Vagabond

Page 7: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

TARA

FRAM

Page 8: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Four-day sea-ice drifts from April 30 until May 3, 2002 deduced from Quickscat

(R. Ezraty and J-F. Piollé, user manual ref C2-MUT-W-06-IF, April 2003)

Page 9: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 10: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Time series of arctic perennial sea-ice from ERS and Quickscat scatterometer.

Backscatter maps and intercomparison with passive microwave data

Quickscat

ERS

SSM/I

Year

2002

Four days Sea-ice drift (April 30-May 3, 2002)

Page 11: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 12: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Sea ice thickness variations

(Rothrock et al. ,1999)

Ice thickness changes

Page 13: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 14: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Tfreez - 1.7C

Page 15: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 16: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Ron KWOK GRL. Vol 34, 2007

Page 17: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 18: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 19: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

96-9705-06

06-0704-05

Page 20: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

9 Sv

3 Sv

RAC

JMC

NAC

La Hague

Sellafield

NCC

I129

BARENTSSEA

MAIA

EGCNIC

Page 21: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 22: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 23: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 24: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?
Page 25: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?

Profils verticaux de température et de salinité observés d’avril à juin 2002 (April-June) entre 89°N et 87°N

Page 26: Set of Recommendations Do we understand what happened in 2007, 2005, 1997 etc….?