september 29, 2017€¦ · 29/09/2017  · according to business website businessinsider.com. these...

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1 September 29, 2017 Deborah Weinswig, Managing Director, FGRT [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2017 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. Chart of the Week Stat of the Week Deborah Weinswig Managing Director FGRT [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CN: 86.186.1420.3016 September 29, 2017 1) This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses the changes Amazon has made at Whole Foods Market since the acquisition closed on August 28, as well as the changes it is planning to make and the response from other grocers. 2) Business advisory firm AlixPartners released its forecast for US retail sales for the upcoming holiday season. The firm anticipates that retailers will see a year-over-year sales increase of 3.5%–4.4% during the November–January period. 3) Grocery discounter Aldi reported a 13.5% increase in UK and Ireland sales, to £8.7 billion (US$11.9 billion), for the year ended December 31, 2016. The company noted that it saw unspecified positive comparable sales growth in the year. 4) Baidu is putting some serious cash behind its self-driving car push with its announcement of a $1.5 billion fund focused on backing autonomous-driving technology companies. The Chinese giant has prioritized autonomous vehicles in a major way in recent years. Number of Social Media Users Worldwide (Bil.) Source: eMarketer Source: Ministry of Transport of China 560 Mil. The Ministry of Transport of China expects citizens to take 560 million road trips over the upcoming Golden Week, the seven-day holiday that celebrates China’s National Day. Traffic is forecast to be 10% higher than over the same period last year. The Golden Week and Mid-Autumn Festival are major promotional occasions for retailers in China, as many Chinese consumers buy gifts to bring home to their families for the holidays. 0.97 1.22 1.40 1.59 1.91 2.14 2.28 2.46 2.62 2.77 2.90 3.02 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5

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Page 1: September 29, 2017€¦ · 29/09/2017  · according to business website BusinessInsider.com. These include butter, turkey breast, cookies, ice cream sandwiches, shampoo and laundry

1

September29,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

ChartoftheWeekStatoftheWeek

Deborah Weinswig Managing Director

FGRT

[email protected]

US: 917.655.6790

HK: 852.6119.1779

CN: 86.186.1420.3016

September 29, 2017

1) Thisweek’snote“FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig”discussesthechangesAmazonhasmadeatWholeFoodsMarketsincetheacquisitionclosedonAugust28,aswellasthechangesitisplanningtomakeandtheresponsefromothergrocers.

2) BusinessadvisoryfirmAlixPartnersreleaseditsforecastforUSretailsalesfortheupcomingholidayseason.Thefirmanticipatesthatretailerswillseeayear-over-yearsalesincreaseof3.5%–4.4%duringtheNovember–Januaryperiod.

3) GrocerydiscounterAldireporteda13.5%increaseinUKandIrelandsales,to£8.7billion(US$11.9billion),fortheyearendedDecember31,2016.Thecompanynotedthatitsawunspecifiedpositivecomparablesalesgrowthintheyear.

4) Baiduisputtingsomeseriouscashbehinditsself-drivingcarpushwithitsannouncementofa$1.5billionfundfocusedonbackingautonomous-drivingtechnologycompanies.TheChinesegianthasprioritizedautonomousvehiclesinamajorwayinrecentyears.

NumberofSocialMediaUsersWorldwide(Bil.)

Source:eMarketer

Source:MinistryofTransportofChina

560Mil.• TheMinistryofTransportofChinaexpectscitizensto

take560millionroadtripsovertheupcomingGoldenWeek,theseven-dayholidaythatcelebratesChina’sNationalDay.Trafficisforecasttobe10%higherthanoverthesameperiodlastyear.

• TheGoldenWeekandMid-AutumnFestivalaremajorpromotionaloccasionsforretailersinChina,asmanyChineseconsumersbuygiftstobringhometotheirfamiliesfortheholidays.

0.971.22

1.401.59

1.912.14

2.282.46

2.622.77

2.903.02

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

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September29,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

FromtheDeskofDeborahWeinswig

AmazonIsMakingBigChangesatWholeFoodsMarketandCreatingWavesinGroceryOnAugust28—thedayAmazonclosedits$13.7billionacquisitionofWholeFoodsMarket—subtlechangeswerealreadyevidentinWholeFoodsstores,whererecentlyinstalleddisplaypyramidsofferedAmazon’sEchoandDotintelligentconnecteddevices.Ontheclosingdate,WholeFoodscutpricesupto40%onmanystaples,suchasbananas,eggsandgroundbeef.

Amazonalsopromisedtomakefurtherchanges,includingmakingitsAmazonPrimesubscriptionplantheWholeFoodscustomerrewardsprogram;offeringWholeFoodsproductsthroughAmazon.com,AmazonFresh,PrimePantryandPrimeNow;andputtingAmazonLockersintoWholeFoodslocations.PrimemembersarelikelytoreceiveadditionaldiscountsatWholeFoodsstoresinthefuture,effectivelydrivingthemfromonlinetoofflineshopping.

AlthoughitisreasonabletoexpectthatAmazonwillneedsometimetoaccomplishallofitsplans,thecompanyhasalreadyhitthegroundrunning.Ittookadvantageoftheinterimbetweentheacquisitionannouncementandthedealclosetoquicklyexecuteonanumberoftheseinitiatives—promptingacompetitiveresponsefromothergrocers.

WholeFoodsproductsonAmazon.Morethan1,000WholeFoodsproductsareavailableonAmazon.com,accordingtobusinesswebsiteBusinessInsider.com.Theseincludebutter,turkeybreast,cookies,icecreamsandwiches,shampooandlaundrydetergent.Asimpleofsearchof“WholeFoodsMarket”onAmazon’shomepageturnsupbeautyproducts,nutritionalsupplementsandcerealbarsunderWholeFoods’365EverydayValueprivatelabel.

AmazonLockersinWholeFoodsstores.SomeWholeFoodslocationsnowincludeAmazonLockers,whichholdpackagessecurelyuntilcustomersarrivetopickthemupandenterapasscodetoretrievethem.Amazoncustomerscanalsousethelockerstoreturnitems.(Separately,Kohl’srecentlyannouncedthatitwouldsellAmazon’sEchoandothersmart-homeproducts,aswellasacceptAmazonreturns,in82ofitsstores.)

Centralizationandchangestoregionalofferings.WholeFoodsischangingthewayitmarketsproductstoitscustomers,accordingtoTheWallStreetJournal.Thecompanywillnolongerpermitbrandrepresentativestovisititsstorestoensurethatproductsarestockedanddisplayedcorrectly.Inaddition,theproductassortmentisbecomingcentralized,whicheliminatesthepracticeoflocalbrandsmarketingtheirproductstoindividualstoresandregions.Rather,productassortmentdecisionswilllargelybemadebymanagersatWholeFoods’Austin,TX,headquarters.ThesemoveswilllikelyenableWholeFoodstoofferbetterpricestocustomersthroughgreaterbargainingpowerwithitssuppliersandtobetterintegratewithAmazon’se-commerceplatform.However,customerswilllosethelocalflavoranduniquenesstheirnearestWholeFoodsofferedbefore.

Despitedrivinggreaterefficiencyinstores,WholeFoodsplanstohiremoreworkersandcontinuetoopenmorestores.Theintegrationofthetwocompanies’point-of-saleandmerchandisingsystemswilltakesometime—butAmazonhasdemonstratedthatitismovingattopspeedinenactingthesechanges.

CompetinggrocershavebeenforcedtorespondtoAmazon’schangesatWholeFoods.Interestingly,Krogerismovingintheoppositedirectionintermsoflocalizationbyincreasingitslevelofpartnershipwithlocalbrands.Thecompanyalreadysourcesfromthousandsoflocalsuppliersanditrecentlylaunchedawebsitewiththeslogans“KrogerLovesLocal”and“WeAreLocal”thataimstoencouragemorelocalbrandstosignuptosellinitsstores,accordingtoCNBC.Toincreaseconsumerinterestinshoppingandeatinglocal,Krogerwillcontinuetoofferfoodsamplingandfoodeducationinitsstores.

Thoughithasonlybeenamonthsincetheacquisitionwasfinalized,AmazonhasalreadyimplementedanumberofsignificantchangesatWholeFoodsstoresthatarecreatingripplesthroughoutthegroceryindustry.IndustryobserversandcompetinggrocersareanxiouslywaitingtoseetheadditionalimprovementsandchallengesthatAmazonhasupitssleeve.

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September29,2017

DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

USRETAILEARNINGS

Company

Revenues(USDMil.)

YoY%Change GrossMargin(%)

Change(bps)

NetIncome(USDMil.)

YoY%Change StoreFleetEOP

Period TY LY

TY LY

TY LY

TY LY

AscenaRetailGroup 4Q17 1,658 1,812 (8.5) 57.4 57.5 (8) (16) 14 NM 4,807 4,906

FinishLine 2Q18 469 485 (3.3) 27.8 31.7 (390) 3 22 (87.1) 947 976

Nike 2Q18 9,070 9,061 0.1 43.7 45.5 (180) 950 1,249 (23.9) 1,142 1,045

Source:Companyreports

USRETAIL&TECHHEADLINESNikeDeclinesAfterAthleticGiantGivesBleakUSOutlook(September26)Bloomberg.com• NikesharesdeclinedearlyWednesdayafterthecompanysquelchedanyhopeofaquick

turnaroundatitsailingdomesticoperations.Theworld’sbiggestsportswearmakerexpectsNorthAmericansalestodeclineagainthisquarter,followinga3%dipintheregionlastquarter.Nike’sConversebusinessalsowilldropinthecurrentperiod.

• TheslumphasforcedNiketorelymoreheavilyonoverseasgrowth,especiallyinChina.Internationalsales—alongwithanaggressivecost-cuttingplan—helpedthecompanypostfirst-quarterprofitsthattoppedestimatesonTuesday.CEOMarkParkervowedtoigniteglobalgrowththrough“innovativeproductsandthemostpersonal,digitallyconnectedexperiencesinourindustry.”

ManselltoRetireasKohl’sCEO;FormerStarbucksExecutiveGasstoSucceedHim(September26)JSOnline.com• MichelleGass,whojoinedKohl’sfouryearsagoafterasuccessfulrunatStarbucks,will

succeedKevinMansellasCEOatKohl’s.ThechangepromisesnewperspectivesattheMenomoneeFalls–basedretailer,which,likeotherdepartmentstorechains,hasstruggledtofindapathtogrowthasonlinecompetitioneatsintosalesandconsumerpreferencesevolve.

• Amidthechanges,Kohl’sremainscommittedtobrick-and-mortar,butitisreconfiguringitsfleetofsome1,150storestoeffectivelydownsizeitsretailfootprint.AndthefirmrecentlyraisedindustryeyebrowsbyunveilinganalliancewitharchrivalAmazon.

BankruptToys“R”UsSecuresFinancing,BeginsHolidayHiring(September26)JSOnline.com• Toys“R”Ussaidinareleasethatithadclosedon$3.1billioninbankruptcyfinancingfroma

groupoflendersledbyJPMorgan.Theretailersaidthefundswouldbeusedtomodernizeitsstoresaswellasupdateitse-commerceplatformandinfrastructure.Toys“R”UsannouncedonSeptember21thatitwouldbeginhiringseasonalworkersinstoresandinfulfillmentoperationsinsixofitstopmarkets—NewYorkCity,LosAngeles,Philadelphia,Chicago,BostonandGroveport,OH.

• Theretailerexpectsseasonaljobsinthosemarketstotop12,000,accordingtotherelease.ThehiringannouncementcamejustoveraweekafterthetoyretailerfiledforChapter11bankruptcyfollowingyearsofstrugglingwithamultibillion-dollardebtload.

WEINSWIG’SWATCHING

Thisweek,theFGRTteamattendedtheColliersRetailRoundtablelunchinHongKongandthePepcomHolidaySpectacular!EastinNewYork.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

TargetRaisesMinimumHourlyWageto$11,Pledges$15byEndof2020(September25)Reuters.com• Targetsaiditwouldincreaseitsminimumhourlywagethisyearbyadollar,to$11,vowing

toraisethisbytheendof2020to$15anhour—theso-calledlivingwagethatlaboradvocatesacrosstheUSarecampaigningfor.TheMinneapolis-basedretailer,whichplanstostarthikingminimumpayacrossitsstoresto$11anhourinOctober,providedassurancesthatthemovewouldnothurtitspreviouslyannouncedfull-yearandquarterlyearningsforecasts.

• Amidincreasingcompetitionforworkersinastrengtheninglabormarket,the“FightforFifteen”movement—aunion-ledpushfora$15minimumwage—hasbeengainingtractionincitiesacrossthecountry.

RetailSalestoRise3.5%–4.4%ThisHolidaySeason,AccordingtoAlixPartners’Forecast(September20)AlixPartnerspressrelease• BusinessadvisoryfirmAlixPartnersreleaseditsforecastforUSretailsalesfortheupcoming

holidayseason.Thefirmanticipatesthatretailerswillseeayear-over-yearsalesincreaseof3.5%–4.4%overtheNovember–Januaryperiod.

• JoelBines,co-headoftheAlixPartners’retailpracticeandamanagingdirectoratthefirm,said,“Theso-calledRetailApocalypsemaynotbenighafterall.Basedonouruniqueandhistoricallyhighlyaccuratemethodology,weseeafairlyhealthyholidayseasonforretail.”

EUROPERETAILEARNINGS

Boohoo.comacquiredamajoritystakeinPrettyLittleThingonJanuary3,2017,andinNastyGalonFebruary28,2017.Source:Companyreports/FGRT

EUROPERETAILHEADLINESAldiReports13.5%JumpinUKandIrelandSales(September25)Companypressrelease• GrocerydiscounterAldireporteda13.5%increaseinUKandIrelandsales,to£8.7billion

(US$11.9billion),fortheyearendedDecember31,2016.Grossprofitdeclinedby7%inaprice-competitiveenvironment.Operatingprofitdeclinedby17%asAldicontinuedtoopenstores.

• PrivatelyownedAldinotedthatitsawunspecifiedpositivecomparablesalesgrowthintheyear.Thecompanycurrentlyoperates726UKstoresandplanstoopen70newUKstoresin2018.

Marks&SpencerLaunchesGroceryE-CommerceTrials(September22)Retail-Week.com• TheUK’sMarks&Spencerhaslaunchedtwogrocerye-commercetrials.Inonetrial,

shopperswithinrangeofthecompany’sCamden(London)branchcanopttohave“dinnerfortonight”optionsdeliveredtothemwithinonehourorhavearegulargroceryorderdeliveredintwohours.Inthesecondtrial,Marks&Spencerisofferingaclick-and-collectserviceatitsWoodleystorenearReading.

• Thetrialsareavailableonlytomembersofthecompany’sSparksloyaltyprogram.Marks&Spencerhaslongresistedsellinggroceriesonline,inpartduetothetypicallysmallerbasketsizesofgroceryorders.

TescoClosesinonSuperValuinIreland(September25)ESMMagazine.com• InIreland,second-placegrocerTescohasnarrowedthegapwithmarketleaderSuperValu,

accordingtonewdatafrommarketmeasurementserviceKantarWorldpanel.Inthe12

Company

Revenues(USDMil.)

ChangeinUSD(%)

ChangeinReportingCurrency

(%) GrossMargin(%)Change(bps)

NetIncome(USDMil.)

YoY%Change StoreFleetEOP

Period TY LY

TY LY

TY LY

TY LY

Boohoo.com 1HEAug31 336 177 89.4 106.5 53.3 55.3 (200) 19.9 15.8 26.1 N/A N/A

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

weeksendedSeptember10,Tescoexperienceditsstrongestgrowthinmorethanfiveyears,withsalesup4.3%.SuperValugrewsalesby0.9%inthesameperiod.

• DiscountersLidlandAldigrewsalesby2.4%and3.3%,respectively,duringthe12-weekperiod.

UberSetforTalksoverLondonBan(September25)BBC.com• UberlookssettomeetLondon’stransportregulatorafterTransportforLondondeniedthe

companyanewlicensetooperateinthecity.Uber’scurrentlicenseexpiresSeptember30.• UberChiefExecutiveDaraKhosrowshahiissuedanapologyacknowledgingthatthecompany

hadmade“mistakes.”MayorofLondonSadiqKhansaidhewelcomedtheapologyandaskedTransportforLondonto“makethemselvesavailable”tomeetwithUber.

DeliverooSecuresNewFunding(September25)TheTimes.co.uk• UKfood-deliveryserviceDeliveroohassecured$385millionofnewfunding,valuingthefirm

atmorethan$2billionandmakingitoneofBritain’smostvaluableprivatecompanies.• InvestmentmanagersT.RowePriceandFidelityledthelatestfundinground.

ASIATECHHEADLINESDidiInvests$200MillioninChineseAuto-TradingPlatformRenRenChe(September25)TechCrunch.com• China’sDidiChuxinghasbackedRenRenChe,aChina-based,onlinepeer-to-peercar

marketplace,viaa$200millionstrategicinvestment.ItisnotclearwhatRenRenChe’svaluationispost-investment,butinitslastfundinground,ayearago,thecompanywasvaluedat$500million.Assumingithasnotraisedfundsatadown-round,itwouldnowbeworthatleast$700million.

• Didiisvaluedatmorethan$50billionanditson-demandcarempirestretchesbeyondChina,whereitisintheprocessofbuyingUber’slocalbusiness.ThefirmhaslinksinEurope,SouthAmerica,India,SoutheastAsia,theUSandtheMiddleEastthankstoinvestmentsinthelikesofTaxify,99,Ola,Grab,LyftandCareem.

SoutheastAsiaGamesFirmSea,FormerlyGarena,Filesfor$1BillionUSIPO(September23)TechCrunch.com• SoutheastAsia–basedgamesande-commercefirmSea,formerlyknownasGarena,has

officiallyfiledforitsmuch-anticipatedUSIPO.Thecompany,whichisvaluedatmorethan$3.75billion,willlistontheNewYorkStockExchangeas“SE”andislookingtoraise$1billion.

• SeaisbestknownforitsGarenagamingbusiness,whichfocusesonPCgamesbutalsoincludesmobilegames.Inrecentyears,ithasbranchedoutintoe-commercewithitsShopeeserviceandintopaymentswithitsAirPaybusiness.TheGarenagamesportalhad40.1millionmonthlyusersasofJune2017,with12.9milliondailyusersspendinganaverageof2.3hoursperdayontheservice.GarenaisSea’sonlyrevenuegenerator,asthecompanyisstillsubsidizingShopeeandasAirPayisavailableinjustthreemarkets.

BaiduAnnounces$1.5BillionFundtoBackSelf-DrivingCarStartups(September21)TechCrunch.com• Baiduisputtingsomeseriouscashbehinditsself-drivingcarpushwithitsannouncementof

a$1.5billionfundfocusedonbackingautonomous-drivingtechnologycompanies.TheChinesegiant,bestknownforitsInternetsearchserviceandartificialintelligencetechnology,hasprioritizedautonomousvehiclesinamajorwayinrecentyears,sothenewscomesaslittlesurprise.

• BaidumadeitsApolloself-drivingcarplatformfreelyavailabletotheautoindustryearlierthisyear.Itquicklypickeduppartnersanditcurrentlyclaimstohaveabout70,includingHyundai,Bosch,Continental,Nvidia,MicrosoftCloud,Velodyne,TomTom,UCARandGrab.

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

TwitterIsTestingaTwitterLiteAndroidApp,FirstinthePhilippines(September23)TechCrunch.com• TwitterhasnearlyfourtimesasmanymonthlyactiveusersoutsidetheUSasitdoesinits

homemarket—260millionversus68million—anditlaunchedanewappinanefforttoboostthosenumbersfurther.ThesocialnetworkistestinganAndroidappforTwitterLite,anativeappversionofamobilewebsiteTwitterlaunchedearlierthisyearthatuseslessmobiledatatoworkinthePhilippines.

• Thelighterdataloadmeansthattheappisespeciallyusefulforemergingmarkets,wheredatanetworksareoftenslowerandmoreexpensiveforconsumerstouse.“ThePhilippinesmarkethasslowmobilenetworksandexpensivedataplans,whilemobiledeviceswithlimitedstoragearestillverypopularthere.TwitterLitehelpstoovercomethesebarrierstousageforTwitterinthePhilippines,”saidaTwitterspokesperson.

LATAMRETAIL&TECHHEADLINESFacebookPoachesSASLatAmHead(September25)ZDNet.com• FacebookhaspoachedatopexecutiveatanalyticsfirmSAStoheaditsBraziloperations.

ConradoLeisterwillbetakingoverasBrazilGeneralManageratFacebookfollowingthedepartureofMarcosAngelinieightmonthsearlier.

• Leister’sarrivalmeansthatFacebook’sLatinAmericahead,DiegoDzodan,willbeabletoreturntohisoriginalrole.DzodanhadbeencombiningaccountabilityforBrazilwiththeregionalremitsinceAngelini’sdeparture.

TabletSalesContinuetoDeclineinBrazil(September22)ZDNet.com• TabletsalesinBrazilcontinuedtodropinthesecondquarterof2017,accordingtoanalysis

firmIDC.The790,000devicessoldduringtheperiodrepresentedan8%dropfromthe860,000unitsshippedinthesecondquarterof2016.

• AccordingtoIDC,tabletsalestotaledR$400million(US$127million)duringthesecondquarter,11%lessthaninthesameperiodlastyear,butup9%comparedwiththefirstquarterof2017.

KasperskyLabSecuresContractwithBrazilianArmedForces(September20)ZDNet.com• KasperskyLabhaswonabidtosupplycybersecuritytoolstotheBrazilianArmedForces.

Aftera“complexpubliccompetition”throughlocalchannelpartnerEsyWorld,theRussiancompanysaiditunderwenta“rigorousevaluationprocess”toestablishwhetheritssoftwareofferingsweresuitedtothepurpose.

• Thethree-yearcontractisworthR$8.4million(US$2.6million)intotal,ofwhichR$4.5million(US$1.4million)willbeallocatedtoArmyprojects,R$2.3million(US$735,000)toAirForceprojectsandR$1.6million(US$512,000)toNavyprojects.

CarrefourBrasilNamesPriouxtoReplaceDesmartisasCEO(September22)Kitco.com• CarrefourBrasilhasnamedNoëlPriouxasCEOasitexpandsoperationsafterpricingthe

country’slargestIPOinyears.• PriouxwillreplaceCharlesDesmartis,whodecidedtoleavethegroup,astatementsaid.The

companyalsoelectedPrioux,a33-yearCarrefourveteran,asamemberofthecompany’sboardinBrazil,effectiveOctober2.

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MACROUPDATEKeypointsfromglobalmacroindicatorsreleasedSeptember20–27,2017:

1) US:ExistinghomesalesintheUStotaled5.35millioninAugust,down1.7%monthovermonth.Newhomesalesdroppedby3.4%monthovermonthinAugust,to560,000.Housingpricesincreasedby5.8%yearoveryearinJuly.

2) Europe:IntheUK,retailsalesexcludingautofuelincreasedby1.0%monthovermonthandby2.8%yearoveryearinAugust.Intheeurozone,theMarkitManufacturingPurchasingManagers’Index(PMI)increasedto58.2inSeptember,whiletheServicesPMItickedupto55.6.

3) Asia-Pacific:InJapan,supermarketsalesweredown0.5%yearoveryearinAugust.Nationwidedepartmentstoresaleswereup2.0%yearoveryearinAugust,whileTokyodepartmentstoresaleswereup3.6%yearoveryear.

4) LatinAmerica:InMexico,retailsalesincreasedby0.3%monthovermonthandby0.4%yearoveryearinJuly.TheunemploymentrateinMexicoedgedupto3.3%inAugust.

*FGRT’sevaluationoftheactualfigure’simpactontheeconomyrelativetohistoricalbenchmarksandthecurrentmacroeconomicenvironment:+indicatesapositivesignalforthecountry’seconomy,–indicatesanegativesignaland=indicatesanegligibleormixedimpact.Source:NationalAssociationofRealtors/USCensusBureau/S&PDowJones/UKOfficeforNationalStatistics/Markit/JapanChainStoresAssociation/JapanDepartmentStoreAssociation/JapanFranchiseAssociation/InstitutoNacionaldeEstadísticayGeografía/FGRT

Country/Region Indicator Period Actual Survey Prior Impacton

Economy*

US ExistingHomeSales(Mil.) Aug 5.35 5.45 5.44 –

US ExistingHomeSales(MoM) Aug (1.7)% 0.2% (1.3)% –

US NewHomeSales(Thous.) Aug 560 585 580 –

US NewHomeSales(MoM) Aug (3.4)% 2.5% (5.5)% –

US S&PCoreLogicCase-Shiller20-CityCompositeIndex(SA,MoM) Jul 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% +

US S&PCoreLogicCase-Shiller20-CityCompositeIndex(NSA,YoY) Jul 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% +

UK RetailSalesexAutoFuel(MoM) Aug 1.0% 0.1% 0.7% +

UK RetailSalesexAutoFuel(YoY) Aug 2.8% 1.4% 1.7% +

UK RetailSalesIncl.AutoFuel(MoM) Aug 1.0% 0.2% 0.6% +

UK RetailSalesIncl.AutoFuel(YoY) Aug 2.4% 1.1% 1.4% +

EZ MarkitEurozoneManufacturingPMI(Prelim.)

Sep 58.2 57.2 57.4 +

EZ MarkitEurozoneServicesPMI(Prelim.) Sep 55.6 54.8 54.7 +

EZ MarkitEurozoneCompositePMI(Prelim.) Sep 56.7 55.6 55.7 +

JP SupermarketSales(YoY) Aug (0.5)% – 0.0% –

JP NationwideDept.Sales(YoY) Aug 2.0% – (1.4)% +

JP TokyoDept.StoreSales(YoY) Aug 3.6% – (0.9)% +

JP ConvenienceStoreSales(YoY) Aug (0.9)% – 0.0% –

MX RetailSales(MoM) Jul 0.3% 0.0% (1.1)% =

MX RetailSales(YoY) Jul 0.4% 1.0% 0.4% =

MX UnemploymentRate(SA) Aug 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% –

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EARNINGSCALENDAR

Sales(Mil.) EPS

Company

EarningsReleasePeriod Date

ConsensusTY LYActual

ConsensusTY LYActual Currency

Tesco(TSCO.L) 1H18 Oct4 27,997 27,338 0.04 0.01 GBP

CostcoWholesale(COST) 4Q17 Oct5 41,532 36,560 2.01 1.77 USD

SuperValu(SVU) 2Q18 Oct11(E) 3,792 3,865 0.37 1.03 USD

FastRetailing(9983.JP) FY17 Oct12 1,861 1,787 1,104 648 JPY

ASOS(ASC.L) FY17 Oct17 1,936 1,445 0.76 0.63 GBP

eBay(EBAY) 3Q17 Oct18(E) 2,367 2,217 0.48 0.36 USD

Zalando(ZAL.DE) 3Q17 Oct18 1,040 835 0.03 0.02 EUR

Skechers(SKX) 3Q17 Oct19(E) 1,069 942 0.44 0.42 USD

Kimberly-Clark(KMB) 3Q17 Oct23 4,658 4,594 1.55 1.52 USD

VFCorp.(VFC) 3Q17 Oct23 3,384 3,488 1.12 1.15 USD

Apple(AAPL) 4Q17 Oct24(E) 50,709 46,852 1.88 1.66 USD

Alibaba(BABA) 2Q18 Oct24(E) 52,064 34,292 6.92 3.10 CNY

ExpressScripts(ESRX) 3Q17 Oct24 25,679 25,410 1.90 1.27 USD

Procter&Gamble(PG) 1Q18 Oct24(E) 16,662 16,518 1.07 1.01 USD

UnderArmour(UA) 3Q17 Oct24(E) 1,482 1,472 0.19 0.29 USD

Carter’s(CRI) 3Q17 Oct25(E) 949 901 1.65 1.61 USD

Facebook(FB) 3Q17 Oct25(E) 9,821 7,011 1.39 0.82 USD

WalgreensBootsAlliance(WBA) 4Q17 Oct25 29,988 28,636 1.21 1.18 USD

Amazon(AMZN) 3Q17 Oct26(E) 41,212 32,714 1.89 0.52 USD

Baidu(BIDU) 3Q17 Oct26(E) 23,479 18,253 13.23 8.71 CNY

Debenhams(DEB.L) FY17 Oct26 2,947 2,342 0.06 0.07 GBP

Alphabet(GOOGL) 3Q17 Oct26 21,891 22,451 10.09 7.17 USD

SimonPropertyGroup(SPG) 3Q17 Oct26(E) 1,393 1,357 2.87 2.70 USD

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EVENTCALENDAR

Event Location Date(s)

FGRTPresenting/Attending

2017RetailCyberIntelligenceSummit Chicago,IL Oct3–4

GMDCRetailTomorrow NewYork,NY Oct4–5

FashionTechForum2017:WestCoastDebut LosAngeles,CA Oct6

ShoptalkEurope Copenhagen,Denmark Oct9–11 √

Walmart2017InvestmentCommunityMeeting Bentonville,AR Oct10

RetailCongressAsiaPacific HongKong Oct10–11

KrogerInvestorConference NewYork,NY Oct11

2017TechstarsDemoDay Minneapolis,MN Oct11

REConLatinAmerica&Caribbean SanJuan,PR Oct15–17

SourcingJournalSummit2017 NewYork,NY Oct17

ICSCNewYorkNextGenerationBreakfastProgram NewYork,NY Oct17

SourcingJournalSummit2017 NewYork,NY Oct17

ExclusiveExecutiveConference Orlando,FL Oct17–19 √

NACSShow2017 Chicago,IL Oct17–20

ICSCResearchConnectionsConference Toronto,Canada Oct22–24

BackEndofInnovation Orlando,FL Oct22–25

RetailWestSummit SanFrancisco,CA Oct24

WWDApparel&RetailCEOSummit NewYork,NY Oct24–25 √

X5RetailGroupCapitalMarketsDay Moscow,Russia Oct26

AAFAExecutiveThinkTank HongKong Oct26 √

FIT’sFashionistas&Financiers NewYork,NY Nov1

IDTechExShow:WearableUSAandPrintedElectronicsUSA SantaClara,CA Nov15–16

LBrandsAnnualInvestorMeeting Columbus,OH Nov22

Asia-GlobalDialogue2017 HongKong Nov22

HomeDepotInvestor/AnalystDay Boston,MA Dec6–7

FortuneGlobalForum Guangzhou,China Dec6–8 √

ICSCNewYorkDealMaking NewYork,NY Dec6–8

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DeborahWeinswig,ManagingDirector,[email protected]:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2017TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFGRTNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comKirilPopovSeniorAnalyst

JohnHarmon,CFASeniorAnalyst

JohnMercerSeniorAnalyst

StevenWinnickResearchAssociate

CharliePoonResearchAssistant

HongKong:2ndFloor,HongKongSpinnersIndustrialBuildingPhase1&2800CheungShaWanRoad,KowloonHongKongTel:85223004406London:242-246MaryleboneRoadLondon,NW16JQUnitedKingdomTel:44(0)2076168988NewYork:1359Broadway,18thFloorNewYork,NY10018Tel:6468397017

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