seminar partner: seminar room #fitc2018€¦ · united kingdom “mid box” overview 27 • the...
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t
SEMINAR ROOM @freightincity
#FITC2018
Seminar partner:
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Session 3 Planning Ahead
@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018
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Alex WilliamsDirector of City Planning
Transport for London
@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018
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Vision for future freight in the Capital
Freight in the City 6 November 2018
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5
Vehicles
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6
Safety
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VRU Fatality risk involving an LGV
VRU Fatality risk involving an HGV
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Air Quality
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8
Looking ahead
London’s population is projected increase from 8.7 million to 10.8 million by 2041
London’s economy will also grow and the number of jobs is projected to increase by 800,000 over the next 20 years
Demand for freight will therefore increase, with a 15% increase projected in freight traffic.
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9
The Mayor’s Transport Strategy
Vision Zero – zero KSIs on the transport network by 2041
Zero emission by 2050
10% fewer lorries and vans entering central London am peak 2026
3 million fewer private car trips by 2041
80% sustainable mode share by 2041
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Ultra Low Emission Zone
LoCITY We can support you to meet regulatory compliance through our LoCITY programmes
Zero emission zones We are developing guidance with boroughs to ensure consistency for introduction of Zero Emission Zones
Key Dates:T-Charge – Introduced 23 Oct 2017Central London Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) – 8 April 2019 Low Emission Zone tightening – 26 October 2020North/south circular extension for ULEZ - 25 October 2021Central London and town centre zero emission zones - 2025
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FORS
Direct Vision StandardAssociated HGV (>12t)Safety Permit Scheme for entering London
Construction Logistics Programme
WRRRProcuring the safest, cleanest operators within the GLA supply chain
CLOCSCommon safety standard for construction logistics
London Freight Enforcement Partnership
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NetworkIdentifying priority routes for strategic freight movement to protect capacity for freight
Investigating further options for providing higher level of service for freight movement on these routes
Using more space efficient and cleaner vehicles for last mile delivery
Timing
Consolidation
ProcurementShared procurement to reduce number of deliveries
Providing toolkits to help uptake of shared procurement within BIDs
Consolidated waste procurement
Promoting and expanding the network of 12 Construction Consolidation Centres
Consolidating supply chain through tenancy agreements
Relieving congestion on the network at the busiest times of day, helping larger retailer to retime, using a “match-making” process
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Alternative modes
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Conclusions
15
Freight is essential to support a growing city
Our focus is to seek a reduction in freight vehicles in central London in the am peak and to improve the safety and emissions from the fleet across London
We need to work together to remain dynamic and innovative to address our joint environmental, road danger and congestion challenges in a changing and growing city
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Kevin MofidDirector of Research
Savills
@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018
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Mark GilksTransport Sales Manager
Calor
@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018
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Competition for industrial spaceThe impact on urban logistics real estate6th November 2018
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Agenda
1 Introductions 2 Trends 3 Impacts 4 So What?
February 2016
Kevin MofidHead of Industrial & Logistics [email protected]
+44 203 618 3612
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We should not be running out of land
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Yet the debate rages!
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What is urban logistics?
22
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+100,000
How many homes does London need?
39,50066,000 90-100k
42,000
2016/17Completions, DCLG
Current Plan target
Draft Target (from 2019)
Savills assessment of housing need
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And not just in London• 300,000 new homes are needed in England each year
to improve affordability
• New homes need to be provided in areas where affordability is most stretched.
• The standard methodology for calculating housing need begins to address the issue by taking into account housing affordability.
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Industrial vacancy rates falling and rents rising
[RB, 1 slide]• xx
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United Kingdom “Mid box” overview
27
• The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq ft.
• All size ranges have seen supply decrease and vacancy rates now stand at 8% for units between 20,000 and 50,000 sq ft, 7% for units between 50,000 sq ft and 100,000 sq ft and 6% for units between 100,000 sq ft and 200,000 sq ft.
• Take-up for the last five years has averaged 17.9 m sq ft per year with 66% of this being for units under 100,000 sq ft.
• The average recorded rent for all grades and sizes of space has increased by 35% since 2012 and now stands at £5.75
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© Analytiqa Associates 2018
Demand for warehouse space…
• 54% of respondents (2017: 56%) expect to require additional
warehouse space within the next two years
• Only 5% (2017: 8%) forecast that warehouse footprints will shrink
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Supply and demand has pushed on rents*……….. SE rental growth 2013 – 2018
2013 2018 % inc
Guildford £8 £12.00 50%Bracknell £8.85 £11.00 24%Reading £8.50 £11.50 35%Slough £12 £14.50 21%
H. Wycombe £8.50 £10.50 24%Aylesbury £5.50 £7.50 36%
Hemel Hempstead £7.00 £10.00 42%Watford £8.50 £13.00 53%
Harlow £6.50 £8.00 23%
Basildon £7.00 £8.25 18%
Maidstone £6.50 £8.00 23%
Crawley £8.50 £13.75 62%
Enfield £8.50 £12.75 59%
Tottenham £9.50 £14.00 47%
Bow £8.50 £15.50 82%
Barking £8.25 £10.50 27%
Dagenham £8.00 £9.75 22%
Thurrock £7.80 £9.75 25%
Dartford £7.50 £10.25 37%
Belvedere £7.50 £10.25 37%
Croydon £8.00 £15.50 94%
Heathrow £12.00 £15.75 31%
Park Royal £12.50 £16.75 34%
45%
41%
24% 26%
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36%
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23%42%
50%
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31% 25%
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*assumes 100,000 sq ft availability
31%
34%
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And not just in the South East
2013 2018 % incNorthampton £4.95 £6.75 36%Banbury £5.50 £6.95 26%Stoke £4.75 £6.00 26%Rugby £5.25 £6.50 24%Solihull £5.95 £6.75 13%Nottingham £5.25 £6.25 19%Lichfield £5.00 £5.95 19%Birmingham £5.75 £6.75 17%Coventry £5.75 £6.75 17%Worcester £4.95 £5.75 16%
36%
26%
26%
24%
19%
19%
17%
17%
16%
13%
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GLA Intensification
The new concept
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50%affordable
GLA Policies E4 - 7
Masterplan Plan
No net loss of floorspace(and operational yards)
Residential on SIL (Strategic Ind Locations) and LSIS (Locally significant industrial locations)
Intensification, co-location and mixed-use development
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Mixing Uses at Different Scales
Neighbourhood scaleBlock scaleBuilding scale
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Ground Floor of Mixed Use
Travis Perkins, St Pancras Way
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Ground Floor of Mixed Use
Albert Wharf + Cemex Aggregates
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Multi Storey Small/Medium Units: Germany
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Mixed use – block scale
Mount Pleasant – Royal Mail Segro Park Hayes - Segro
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Multi Storey Large Units
Heathrow X2 Hong Kong
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Source: Gazeley
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Source: Formal Investments
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Tanja Dalle-MuenchmeyerProgramme Manager Electric Freight
Cross River Partnership
@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018
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Smart Electric Urban Logistics Freight in the City 201806 November 2018Tanja Dalle-Muenchmeyer, Cross River Partnership
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44
Cross River Partnership
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45| Delivering London’s Future Together |
● 4.5-year EU-funded project
● 8 cities, 32 partners
● Deployed over 80 electric vans and trucks up to 18t
Background: FREVUE
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46| Delivering London’s Future Together |
FREVUE: Local Grid Infrastructure Capacity
● Potential local constraints
● FREVUE partner UPS encountered grid infrastructure constraints when charging all EFVs at the same time
● Infrastructure upgraded to charge up to 63 vehicles
● Such infrastructure upgrade has proven:
– Costly, lengthy and disruptive
– Non-incremental
– Requiring investment in 3rd party assets
Barrier to the large-scale deployment of EFVs
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47| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban Logistics
● An additional 20 EFVs at UPS central London depot
– Bringing the number above the maximum that can theoretically be charged
● Design and implement a sophisticated network capacity assessment tool developed
● Design and implement an innovative smart charging system with an energy storage system
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48| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Network Capacity Assessment Tool
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49| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Timed Connection Tool
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50| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Grid System
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51| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban Logistics
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Night-Time Demand on 16-17 January 2016
Base Demand (kVA)
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52| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban Logistics
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53| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban Logistics
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Night-Time Demand on 16-17 January 2016
Base Demand (kVA) 42 Vehicles (kVA) 63 Vehicles (kVA)
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54| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban Logistics
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Night-Time Demand on 16-17 January 2016
Base Demand (kVA) 42 Vehicles (kVA)
63 Vehicles (kVA) Smart-enabled capacity(kVA)
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55| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban LogisticsSmart Grid Core Components
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56| Delivering London’s Future Together |
Smart Electric Urban Logistics
Key learnings – Smart Charging
● Optimises the use of existing assets
● Reduces capital expenditure
● Can reduce operational expenditure, e.g. energy costs, earn revenues
● Smart-charging technology developing rapidly
● Business continuity is key