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Page 1: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

t

SEMINAR ROOM @freightincity

#FITC2018

Seminar partner:

Page 2: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Session 3 Planning Ahead

@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018

Page 3: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Alex WilliamsDirector of City Planning

Transport for London

@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018

Page 4: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Vision for future freight in the Capital

Freight in the City 6 November 2018

Page 5: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

5

Vehicles

Page 6: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

6

Safety

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VRU Fatality risk involving an LGV

VRU Fatality risk involving an HGV

Page 7: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

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Air Quality

Page 8: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

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Looking ahead

London’s population is projected increase from 8.7 million to 10.8 million by 2041

London’s economy will also grow and the number of jobs is projected to increase by 800,000 over the next 20 years

Demand for freight will therefore increase, with a 15% increase projected in freight traffic.

Page 9: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

9

The Mayor’s Transport Strategy

Vision Zero – zero KSIs on the transport network by 2041

Zero emission by 2050

10% fewer lorries and vans entering central London am peak 2026

3 million fewer private car trips by 2041

80% sustainable mode share by 2041

Page 10: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Ultra Low Emission Zone

LoCITY We can support you to meet regulatory compliance through our LoCITY programmes

Zero emission zones We are developing guidance with boroughs to ensure consistency for introduction of Zero Emission Zones

Key Dates:T-Charge – Introduced 23 Oct 2017Central London Ultra Low Emission Zone (ULEZ) – 8 April 2019 Low Emission Zone tightening – 26 October 2020North/south circular extension for ULEZ - 25 October 2021Central London and town centre zero emission zones - 2025

Page 11: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

FORS

Direct Vision StandardAssociated HGV (>12t)Safety Permit Scheme for entering London

Construction Logistics Programme

WRRRProcuring the safest, cleanest operators within the GLA supply chain

CLOCSCommon safety standard for construction logistics

London Freight Enforcement Partnership

Page 12: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

NetworkIdentifying priority routes for strategic freight movement to protect capacity for freight

Investigating further options for providing higher level of service for freight movement on these routes

Using more space efficient and cleaner vehicles for last mile delivery

Timing

Consolidation

ProcurementShared procurement to reduce number of deliveries

Providing toolkits to help uptake of shared procurement within BIDs

Consolidated waste procurement

Promoting and expanding the network of 12 Construction Consolidation Centres

Consolidating supply chain through tenancy agreements

Relieving congestion on the network at the busiest times of day, helping larger retailer to retime, using a “match-making” process

Page 15: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Conclusions

15

Freight is essential to support a growing city

Our focus is to seek a reduction in freight vehicles in central London in the am peak and to improve the safety and emissions from the fleet across London

We need to work together to remain dynamic and innovative to address our joint environmental, road danger and congestion challenges in a changing and growing city

Page 16: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Kevin MofidDirector of Research

Savills

@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018

Page 17: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Mark GilksTransport Sales Manager

Calor

@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018

Page 18: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Competition for industrial spaceThe impact on urban logistics real estate6th November 2018

Page 19: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Agenda

1 Introductions 2 Trends 3 Impacts 4 So What?

February 2016

Kevin MofidHead of Industrial & Logistics [email protected]

+44 203 618 3612

Page 20: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

We should not be running out of land

Page 21: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Yet the debate rages!

Page 22: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

What is urban logistics?

22

Page 23: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq
Page 24: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

+100,000

How many homes does London need?

39,50066,000 90-100k

42,000

2016/17Completions, DCLG

Current Plan target

Draft Target (from 2019)

Savills assessment of housing need

Page 25: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

And not just in London• 300,000 new homes are needed in England each year

to improve affordability

• New homes need to be provided in areas where affordability is most stretched.

• The standard methodology for calculating housing need begins to address the issue by taking into account housing affordability.

Page 26: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Industrial vacancy rates falling and rents rising

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Page 27: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

United Kingdom “Mid box” overview

27

• The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq ft.

• All size ranges have seen supply decrease and vacancy rates now stand at 8% for units between 20,000 and 50,000 sq ft, 7% for units between 50,000 sq ft and 100,000 sq ft and 6% for units between 100,000 sq ft and 200,000 sq ft.

• Take-up for the last five years has averaged 17.9 m sq ft per year with 66% of this being for units under 100,000 sq ft.

• The average recorded rent for all grades and sizes of space has increased by 35% since 2012 and now stands at £5.75

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© Analytiqa Associates 2018

Demand for warehouse space…

• 54% of respondents (2017: 56%) expect to require additional

warehouse space within the next two years

• Only 5% (2017: 8%) forecast that warehouse footprints will shrink

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Supply and demand has pushed on rents*……….. SE rental growth 2013 – 2018

2013 2018 % inc

Guildford £8 £12.00 50%Bracknell £8.85 £11.00 24%Reading £8.50 £11.50 35%Slough £12 £14.50 21%

H. Wycombe £8.50 £10.50 24%Aylesbury £5.50 £7.50 36%

Hemel Hempstead £7.00 £10.00 42%Watford £8.50 £13.00 53%

Harlow £6.50 £8.00 23%

Basildon £7.00 £8.25 18%

Maidstone £6.50 £8.00 23%

Crawley £8.50 £13.75 62%

Enfield £8.50 £12.75 59%

Tottenham £9.50 £14.00 47%

Bow £8.50 £15.50 82%

Barking £8.25 £10.50 27%

Dagenham £8.00 £9.75 22%

Thurrock £7.80 £9.75 25%

Dartford £7.50 £10.25 37%

Belvedere £7.50 £10.25 37%

Croydon £8.00 £15.50 94%

Heathrow £12.00 £15.75 31%

Park Royal £12.50 £16.75 34%

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23%42%

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31%

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And not just in the South East

2013 2018 % incNorthampton £4.95 £6.75 36%Banbury £5.50 £6.95 26%Stoke £4.75 £6.00 26%Rugby £5.25 £6.50 24%Solihull £5.95 £6.75 13%Nottingham £5.25 £6.25 19%Lichfield £5.00 £5.95 19%Birmingham £5.75 £6.75 17%Coventry £5.75 £6.75 17%Worcester £4.95 £5.75 16%

36%

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Page 31: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

GLA Intensification

The new concept

Page 32: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

50%affordable

GLA Policies E4 - 7

Masterplan Plan

No net loss of floorspace(and operational yards)

Residential on SIL (Strategic Ind Locations) and LSIS (Locally significant industrial locations)

Intensification, co-location and mixed-use development

Page 33: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Mixing Uses at Different Scales

Neighbourhood scaleBlock scaleBuilding scale

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Ground Floor of Mixed Use

Travis Perkins, St Pancras Way

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Ground Floor of Mixed Use

Albert Wharf + Cemex Aggregates

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Multi Storey Small/Medium Units: Germany

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Mixed use – block scale

Mount Pleasant – Royal Mail Segro Park Hayes - Segro

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Multi Storey Large Units

Heathrow X2 Hong Kong

Page 39: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Source: Gazeley

Page 40: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Source: Formal Investments

Page 41: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq
Page 42: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Tanja Dalle-MuenchmeyerProgramme Manager Electric Freight

Cross River Partnership

@freightincity #fitcevent@freightincity #fitc2018

Page 43: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

Smart Electric Urban Logistics Freight in the City 201806 November 2018Tanja Dalle-Muenchmeyer, Cross River Partnership

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44

Cross River Partnership

Page 45: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

45| Delivering London’s Future Together |

● 4.5-year EU-funded project

● 8 cities, 32 partners

● Deployed over 80 electric vans and trucks up to 18t

Background: FREVUE

Page 46: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

46| Delivering London’s Future Together |

FREVUE: Local Grid Infrastructure Capacity

● Potential local constraints

● FREVUE partner UPS encountered grid infrastructure constraints when charging all EFVs at the same time

● Infrastructure upgraded to charge up to 63 vehicles

● Such infrastructure upgrade has proven:

– Costly, lengthy and disruptive

– Non-incremental

– Requiring investment in 3rd party assets

Barrier to the large-scale deployment of EFVs

Page 47: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

47| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban Logistics

● An additional 20 EFVs at UPS central London depot

– Bringing the number above the maximum that can theoretically be charged

● Design and implement a sophisticated network capacity assessment tool developed

● Design and implement an innovative smart charging system with an energy storage system

Page 48: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

48| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Network Capacity Assessment Tool

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49| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Timed Connection Tool

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50| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Grid System

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51| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban Logistics

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52| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban Logistics

Page 53: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

53| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban Logistics

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54| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban Logistics

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55| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban LogisticsSmart Grid Core Components

Page 56: Seminar partner: SEMINAR ROOM #FITC2018€¦ · United Kingdom “Mid box” overview 27 • The supply of warehouse space has fallen by 36% since 2012 and now stands at 39.4m sq

56| Delivering London’s Future Together |

Smart Electric Urban Logistics

Key learnings – Smart Charging

● Optimises the use of existing assets

● Reduces capital expenditure

● Can reduce operational expenditure, e.g. energy costs, earn revenues

● Smart-charging technology developing rapidly

● Business continuity is key

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57

Thank you

Tanja Dalle-MuenchmeyerProgramme Manager Electric Freight, [email protected]