see project to manage water supply under ‘pressure’ of cc file• proposal for measures...

- Climate Change and Impacts on Water SupplyCC-WaterS

Title

07.10.2010 1

Overview on CC-WaterS project

SEE project to manage water supply

under ‘pressure’ of CC

19th WGC Plenary meeting

Bruges

Belgium

06-07/10/2010

Laszlo PERGER

HU PP representative

Internal project leader


Title

07.10.2010 2

Overview - Outline

1. Justification

2. Facts

3. Work packages

4. State of play

5. Conclusions


Title

07.10.2010 3

Overview – 1.Justification

Why? (the background)• IPCC reports (1990, 2001, 2007) on CC

– Temperature increasing

– Precipitation changing

– Hydrologic cycles shifting

• Crucial areas in CC (deeply affected on water supplies and sevices)

– South-east Europe

– Mediterranean regio

• Possible/expected effects to inland fresh waters in SEE

– Longer dryer and warmer periods

– Cool and wet periods decreasing

– Weather extremities (hot days, flash floods)

• Consequences (primary and secondary)

– Changes in fresh water

• resources

• availability

• demand

• supplies and services

– Changes in land use

– People migration


Title

07.10.2010 4


What? (main objectives)

• Adequate models to quantify/ forecast CC

• Determination current and future (drinking)water needs via WR and availability

• Distinction between CC and land use impacts on water resources availability

• Development legal and technical measures to mitigate CC effects

• Proposal for measures considering economic and social aspects

• Handbook for water suppliers regarding optimisation of exploitation and land use restrictions in SEE

• Experience sharing, outputs distribution, awareness raising

• General rule: no new model development


Title

07.10.2010 5


Where? (the ‘playing room’)

• 9 countries from SEE (AT,SI,HU,IT,RO,BG,GR,CR,SR)

• 16 pilot/test areas (most vulnerable ones) of

• Test sites characteristics:– Alpine forested

– Hilly karstic

– Eolic sediment plain

– Fluvial sediment plain

– Intact/low man-made affected areas

– Significant/high man-made affected areas

– Close to high populated towns


Title

07.10.2010 6


Who? (the ‘players’)

• 17 PP such as– Municipalities

– Ministry

– Environmental, Water and Forestry Agencies

– Universities

– Research institutions and academy

– Meteorological Survey

– Water supplier firms

• 14 PP such as– ERDF funding to MS PP

• 1 PP such as– Up to10% (service contract by LP)

• 2 PP such as– IPA (Instrument for the Pre-accession

Assistance) funding to non-MS PP


Title

07.10.2010 7


How? (the handbook)

• Strict project leading and managing

• Very detailed, well organized and sound appointments/meetings– Project Plenary Sessions

– Project Steering Committees

– Core Working Group Meetings (ad hoc)

– Scientific Advisory Board Meetings

– Thematic Working Group Meetings

• Agreed methodology application

• Transnational database setting

• Press events, monography on results

• Training courses for MSc and PhD candidates

• Schedule (on next slide)


Title

07.10.2010 8

Overview – 2.Facts

Schedule


Title

07.10.2010 9


Title

07.10.2010 10

Overview – 3.Work packages

Communication & dissemination (WP2)

• Objectives– Web portal, project logo, song

– Press events, movie

– Transnational conference, papers, posters

– Scientific monography on results

– 3 Training Courses (TC’s) for MSc and PhD candidate students

• Results– Web, logo, song

– Press events organized by LP

– 1st TC (is happening just now in HU this week)


Title

07.10.2010 11


Climate change (WP3)

• Objectives – Setting-up transnational HyMe database

– Selection of RCM models (help from ENSEMBLE and PRUDENCE)

– Selection criteria of models• Adequacy to historic climat condition and

• Fitting to test areas (suitable downscaling)

– Estimation of uncertainties

• Results – Agreement on

• IPPC climate scenario A1B (moderate between A2 B1)

• 3 RCM models among 13 (Aladin, PROMES, RegCM)

• More detailed further analysis on test areas

• Bias correction necessity on T(emp.) and P(recip.) data

• Downscaling methods– Statistical (for all PP)

– Physical (for HU PP)

– Information delivering to PP for the best model handling


Title

07.10.2010 12


Water resources availability (WP4)

• Objectives – Establishment of transnational database

– Set up of common methodology for estimating available water resources

– Impact assessment of CC and land use changing on the water resources availability

• Results– Hydrological & WM database

– Agreement on models application• Hydrodinamic models (e.g. FEFLOW, MODFLOW)

• Water balance models (e.g. HELP+)

• Several site-specific (published and applied) models

– General rule: the most appropriate model using to test areas


Title

07.10.2010 13


Land use & water safety (WP5)

• Objectives – Impact of existing land using on

water quantity and quality• Driver-Impact matrix development

• Water quality change testing

– Estimation of CC – Land use change interaction

– Evaluation of impact of future land use changes on water resources

• Results (under implementation)


Title

07.10.2010 14


Socio-economic evaluation (WP6)

• Objectives– Future water availability for public water

supply

– Estimation of economic consequences of future water availability and safety for public water supply

– Estimation of emerging imbalances between different demands

– Environmental aspects of water prices



Title

07.10.2010 15


Water supply management measures (WP7)

• Objectives– Proposal of strategy change in spatial

planning

– Promotion of new legistlative rules and guidelines

– Adaptation of Water Supply Management System to CC (WSMS Guidance)

– Feedback and proposal for amending



Title

07.10.2010 16


Title

07.10.2010 17

Overview – 4.State of play

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Title

07.10.2010 18

Overview – 5.Conclusion

• Highly current

• Comprehensive

• Integrated

• Complicated

but

• Integrating

• Network making

• Solution providing

and

Imperative to get higher

knowledge


Title

07.10.2010 19

Overview on CC-WaterS project

Last comments (for more…)

• Programme website:

http://www.southeast-europe.net

• Project website:

http://www.ccwaters.eu

THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION

(to be continued)

http://www.southeast-europe.net/



http://www.ccwaters.eu/

see project to manage water supply under ‘pressure’ of cc file• proposal for measures...

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