security in the black sea and the sea of azov: new …...azov sea •excessive control of civilian...

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SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW THREATS AND CHALLENGES

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Page 1: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA ANDTHE SEA OF AZOV:

NEW THREATS AND CHALLENGES

Page 2: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

CRIMEA – ESSENTIAL ELEMENT OF RUSSIAN REGIONAL DESTABILISATION

Page 3: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

RUSSIAN MILITARY BUILD-UP IN TEMPORARILY OCCUPIED CRIMEA

BEFORE RUSSIAN OCCUPATION OF CRIMEA (JAN 2014) AUTUMN 2018

12500 31500

- 40

92 583

24 162

22 122

37 62

- 16

26 71

2 7

Page 4: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

Аirfield «Baherove»

Property № 76, «Feodosia-13»

Property № 100

Property № 825

Property № 221

RESTORATION OF NUCLEAR INFRASTRUCTURE

Page 5: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

Russian means of delivery of nuclear weapons in Crimea

EXISTING MEANS WHICH CAN BE USED TO DELIVER NUCLEAR WARHEADS

ADVANCED ASSETS CAPABLE TO DELIVER NUCLEAR WARHEADS

«MOSKVA»

guided missile cruiser

Missile system «Vulkan» Max.range:

700 km

«SMETLIVY» guided missile escort shipMissile – torpedo launch system «Rastrub-B»

Max.range: 90 km

SU-24 bomberEngagement range: 560 kmavionic bombs with nuclear

munitions

Range of engagement: 2400 kmMax range of cruise missile with nuclear munitions: 600 km

Range of engagement: 1100 kmCruise missiles and avionic bombs with nuclear munitions

TU-22M3-strategic long-range bomber SU-34 fighter-bomber

Page 6: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

PREPARATION FOR NAVAL BLOCKADE OF UKRAINE

AZOV SEA•Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic•Increased military ship numbers

KERCH BRIDGE construction

SIMFEROPOL

SEVASTOPOL

CRIMEAN PENINSULA

Deployment of forces and means for seaborne assault

BLACK SEA•Military Exercises •Maritime traffic suspension

TARHANKUT CAPE KERCH

Page 7: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

3 UKRAINIAN MILITARY SHIPS CAPTURED IN HIGH SEAS (OUTSIDE NATIONAL JURISDICTION)

Page 8: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

YANI KAPU

RUSSIAN GUARD SHIP

BERDIANSK

Page 9: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

Russia’s gross violation of International Law•UN CHARTER

Article 2

•HELSINK I 1975 FINAL ACTHelsinki Decalogue

•UNCLOSArticles 2, 21, 32, 38, 44, 56, 58, 88, 92

•NPT Treaty, Budapest MemorandumNon-use of force or threat of force

• 1949 Third Geneva Convention Prisoners of war

Page 10: SECURITY IN THE BLACK SEA AND THE SEA OF AZOV: NEW …...AZOV SEA •Excessive control of civilian maritime traffic •Increased military ship numbers KERCH BRIDGE construction SIMFEROPOL

UN General Assembly draft resolution

“The problem of militarization of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and the city of Sevastopol

(Ukraine), as well as parts of the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov”