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Chapter 6 The Normal Distribution Section 6-3 The Standard Normal Distribution

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Chapter 6 The Normal Distribution. Section 6-3. The Standard Normal Distribution. 0. 0.75. Section 6-3 Exercise #7. Find the area under the normal distribution curve. 0. 0.79. 1.28. Section 6-3 Exercise #15. 0. 2.83. Section 6-3 Exercise #31. Section 6-3 Exercise #45. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Section 6-3

Chapter 6The Normal Distribution

Section 6-3The Standard Normal Distribution

Page 2: Section 6-3

0.750

Find the area under the normal distribution curve.

Between z = 0 and z = 0.75

area = 0.2734

Section 6-3 Exercise #7

Page 3: Section 6-3

0 0.79 1.28

0.3997 – 0.2852 = 0.1145

Find the area under the normal distribution curve.between z = 0.79 and z = 1.28. The area is found by looking up the values 0.79 and 1.28 in table E and subtracting the areas as shown in Block 3 of the Procedure Table.

Section 6-3 Exercise #15

Page 4: Section 6-3

0 2.83

Find probabilities, using the standard normal distributionP(z > 2.83).The area is found by looking up z = 2.83 in Table E then subtracting the area from 0.5 as shown in Block 2 of the Procedure Table.

0.5 – 0.4977 = 0.0023

Section 6-3 Exercise #31

Page 5: Section 6-3

Find the z value that corresponds to the given area.

0.8962 – 0.5 = 0.3962

0z

0.8962

Section 6-3 Exercise #45

Page 6: Section 6-3

Find the z value that corresponds to the given area.

Using Table E, find the area 0.3962 and read the correct z value [corresponding to this area] to get 1.26. Finally, because the z value lies to the left of 0, z = – 1.26.

0z

0.8962

Page 7: Section 6-3

Section 6-4

Applications of the Normal Distribution

Chapter 6The Normal Distribution

Page 8: Section 6-3

a. Greater than 700,000.

b. Between 500,000 and 600,000.

The average daily jail population in the United States is 618,319. If the distribution is normal and the standard deviation is 50,200, find the probability that on a randomly selected day, the jail population is…

Section 6-4 Exercise #3

Page 9: Section 6-3

a. Greater than 700,000

P (z > 1.63) = 0.5 – 0.4484

= 0.0516 or 5.16%

z = 700,000– 618,319

50,200 = 1.63

0 1.63

z = X –

Page 10: Section 6-3

b. Between 500,000 and 600,000.

z = 500,000–618,319

50,200 = – 2.36

area = 0.4909

z =

600,000– 618,31950,200 = – 0.36

area = 0.1406

z = X –

Page 11: Section 6-3

area = 0.4909 area = 0.1406

P( – 2.36 < z < – 0.36)

= 0.3503 or 35.03%

= 0.4909 – 0.1406

– 2 .36 – 0.36

b. Between 500,000 and 600,000.

Page 12: Section 6-3

The average credit card debt for college seniors is $3262. If the debt is normally distributed with a standard deviation of $1100, find these probabilities.

a. That the senior owes at least $1000b. That the senior owes more than $4000c. That the senior owes between $3000 and $4000

Section 6-4 Exercise #11

Page 13: Section 6-3

z = X –

a. That the senior owes at least $1000

z =

1000 – 32621100

= – 2.06

area = 0.4803

= 0.9803 or 98.03% P(z – 2.06) = 0.5 + 0.4803

0.9803 or 98.03%

– 2.06 0

Page 14: Section 6-3

z = X –

b. That the senior owes more than $4000

z =

4000 – 32621100 = 0.67

= 0.2514 or 25.14% P (z > 0.67) = 0.5 – 0.2486

area = 0.2486

0.2514 or 25.14%

0.67 0

Page 15: Section 6-3

z = X –

c. That the senior owes between $3000 and $4000.

z =

3000 – 32621100 = – 0.24

area = 0.0948

= 0.3434 or 34.34% P( – 0.24 < z < 0.67) = 0.0948 + 0.2486

0.3434 or 34.34%

0.67– 0.24 0

Page 16: Section 6-3

An advertising company plans to market a product to low-income families. A study states that for a p

$2ar

4,ticu

596lar

area, the average income per family is and the standard devia $6256tion is . If the company plans to target the bottom of the families based on income, find the cut off income. Assume the variable is normally distribu

18%

ted.

Section 6-4 Exercise #27

Page 17: Section 6-3

The bottom 18% means that 32% of the area is between z and 0. The corresponding z score will be . – 0.92

$18,840.48 $24,596

0.320.18

X = – 0.92(6256) + 24,596

= $18,840.48

Page 18: Section 6-3

Section 6-5

The Central Limit Theorem

Chapter 6The Normal Distribution

Page 19: Section 6-3

The average price of a pound of sliced bacon is $2.02. Assume the standard deviation is $0.08. If a random sample of 40 one-pound packages is selected, find the probability the the mean of the sample will be less than $2.00.

z = X –n

= – 1.58

= 2.00– 2.02

0.08

40

P(z < –1.58) = 0.5 – 0.4429

area = 0.4429

= 0.0571or 5.71%

Section 6-5 Exercise #13

Page 20: Section 6-3

$2.00 $2.02

The average price of a pound of sliced bacon is $2.02. Assume the standard deviation is $0.08. If a random sample of 40 one-pound packages is selected, find the probability the the mean of the sample will be less than $2.00.

0.0571 or 5.71%

Page 21: Section 6-3

The average time it takes a group of adults to complete a certain achievement test is 46.2 minutes. The standard deviation is 8 minutes. Assume the variable is normally distributed.

Section 6-5 Exercise #21

Average time = 46.2 minutes, Standard deviation = 8 minutes, variable is normally distributed.

a. Find the probability that a randomly selected adult will complete the test in less than 43 minutes.b. Find the probability that, if 50 randomly selected adults take the test, the mean time it takes the group to complete the test will be less than 43 minutes.

Page 22: Section 6-3

c. Does it seem reasonable that an adult would finish the test in less than 43 minutes? Explain.d. Does it seem reasonable that the mean of 50 adults could be less than 43 minutes? Explain.

Average time = 46.2 minutes, Standard deviation = 8 minutes, variable is normally distributed.

Page 23: Section 6-3

a. Find the probability that a randomly selected adult will complete the test in less than 43 minutes.

z = X –

= 43 – 46.28

= – 0.4

area = 0.1554

P(z < – 0.4) = 0.5 – 0.1554 = 0.3446or 34.46%

43 46.2

0.3446or 34.46%

Page 24: Section 6-3

b. Find the probability that, if 50 randomly selected adults take the test, the mean time it takes the group to complete the test will be less than 43 minutes.

z = 43 – 46.2850

= – 2.83

area = 0.4977

P(z < – 2.83) = 0.5 – 0.4977 = 0.0023or 0.23%

43 46.2

0.0023or 0.23%

Page 25: Section 6-3

c. Does it seem reasonable that an adult would finish the test in less than 43 minutes? Explain.

Yes, since it is within one standard deviation of the mean.

d. Does it seem reasonable that the mean of 50 adults could be less than 43 minutes? Explain.

It is very unlikely, since the probability would be less than 1%.

Page 26: Section 6-3

The average cholesterol of a certain brand of eggs is 215 milligrams, and the standard deviation is 15 milligrams. Assume the variable is normally distributed.

a. If a single egg is selected, find the probability that the cholesterol content will be greater than 220 milligrams.

b. If a sample of 25 eggs is selected, find the probability that the mean of the sample will be larger than 220 milligrams.

Section 6-5 Exercise #23

Page 27: Section 6-3

z = X –

a. If a single egg is selected, find the probability that the cholesterol content will be greater than milligr220 ams.

=

220–21515

area = 0.1293

= 0.33

P(z > 0.33) = 0.5 – 0.1293 = 0.3707or 37.07%

220215

0.3707or 37.07%

Page 28: Section 6-3

z = X –

n

= 220– 215

15

25

= 1.67

area = 0.4525

b. If a sample of eggs is selected, find the probability that

the mean of the sample will be larger than milligr

25

220 ams.

215 220

P(z > 1.67) = 0.5 – 0.4525

= 0.0475 or 4.75%

Page 29: Section 6-3

Section 6-6

The Normal Approximation toThe Binomial Distribution

Chapter 6The Normal Distribution

Page 30: Section 6-3

Two out of five adult smokers acquired the habit by age 14. If 400 smokers are randomly selected, find the probability that 170 or more acquired the habit by age 14.

p =

25 = 400(0.4) = 0.4 = 160

= (400)(0.4)(0.6) = 9.8

z =

169.5 – 1609.8

area = 0.3340

= 0.97

Section 6-6 Exercise #5

Page 31: Section 6-3

169.5160

P(X > 169.5) = 0.5 – 0.3340 = 0.1660

Page 32: Section 6-3

The percentage of Americans 25 years or older who have at least some college education is 50.9%. In a random sample of 300 Americans 25 years and older, what is the probability that more than 175 have at least some college education?

= 300(0.509)

= (300)(0.509)(0.491)

= 152.7

= 8.66

z =

175.5 – 152.78.66

area = 0.4957 = 2.63

P (X > 175.5) = 0.5 – 0.4957 = 0.0043

Section 6-6 Exercise #7

Page 33: Section 6-3

175.5152.7

P(X > 175.5) = 0.5 – 0.4957 = 0.0043

Page 34: Section 6-3

Women comprise 83.3% of all elementary school teachers. In a random sample of 300 elementary school teachers, what is the probability that more than 50 are men?

= 300(0.167)

= (300)(0.167)(0.833)

= 50.1

= 6.46

z =

50.5 – 50.16.46 area = 0.0239 = 0.06

P (X > 50.5) = 0.5 – 0.0239 = 0.4761

Section 6-6 Exercise #11

Page 35: Section 6-3

50.550.1

P(X > 50.5) = 0.5 – 0.0239 = 0.4761