second quarter 2019 earnings call slides · second quarter 2019 earnings call slides. 23 july 2019...
TRANSCRIPT
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23 July 2019
Second Quarter 2019 Earnings Call Slides
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23 July 2019 1Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains some predictive statements about future events, including statements related to conditions in the steel and metallic scrap markets, Steel Dynamics’ production capacities, shipments, revenues, costs of purchased materials, future profitability and earnings, and the operation of new or existing facilities. These statements, which we generally precede or accompany by such typical conditional words as “anticipate,” “intend,” “believe,” “estimate,” “plan,” “seek,” “project” or “expect,” or by the words “may,” “will,” or “should,” are intended to be made as “forward-looking,” subject to many risks and uncertainties, within the safe harbor protections of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements speak only as of this date and are based upon information andassumptions, which we consider reasonable as of this date, concerning our businesses and the environments in which they operate. Such predictive statements are not guarantees of future performance, and we undertake no duty to update or revise any such statements. Some factors that could cause such forward-looking statements to turn out differently than anticipated include: (1) the effects of uncertain economic conditions; (2) cyclical and changing industrial demand; (3) changes in conditions in any of the steel or scrap-consuming sectors of the economy which affect demand for our products, including the strength of the non-residential and residential construction, automotive, manufacturing, appliance, pipe and tube, and other steel-consuming industries; (4) fluctuations in the cost of key raw materials and supplies (including steel scrap, iron units, zinc, graphite electrodes, and energy costs) and our ability to pass on any cost increases; (5) the impact of domestic and foreign import price competition; (6) unanticipated difficulties in integrating or starting up new or acquired businesses or assets; (7) risks and uncertainties involving product and/or technology development; and (8) occurrences of unexpected plant outages or equipment failures.
More specifically, we refer you to Steel Dynamics’ more detailed explanation of these and other factors and risks that may cause such predictive statements to turn out differently than expected or anticipated, as set forth in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K under the headings Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors, in our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or in other reports which we from time to time file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These are available publicly on the SEC website, www.sec.gov, and on the Steel Dynamics website, www.steeldynamics.com.
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23 July 2019 2Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Total Recordable Injury Rate1
Safety is Our Number One Value
During 2018, each of our platforms performed meaningfully better than industry benchmarks
1 OSHA recordable incidents x 200,000 / hours worked and OSHA days away from work cases x 200,000 / hours worked2 June 30, 2019 Trailing Twelve Months³ Source: U.S. DOL Bureau of Labor Statistics most recent information available (2017 for Steel and Steel Fabrication and 2016 for Metals Recycling)
Steel Steel Fabrication
Metals Recycling
Total 2018 Recordable Injury Rate1 By Platform
2.3
1.8
1.5
1.8 1.7
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM²
Lost Time Injury Rate1
1.41.8
2.22.5
4.54.2
Steel Dynamics Industry³
0.66
0.34
0.26 0.25 0.23
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM²
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23 July 2019 3Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
($130)
$382
$813
$1,258
$1,067
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM¹
$706
$1,172$1,405
$2,074$1,831
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM¹
$398
$861$1,067
$1,738
$1,490
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM¹
Net Income (dollars in millions)
Revenue (dollars in billions) Adjusted Operating Income2 (dollars in millions)
Adjusted EBITDA2 (dollars in millions)
¹ June 30, 2019 Trailing Twelve Months. ² Please see the reconciliation of these amounts to GAAP amounts in the appendix to this presentation.
Record High
Record High
Record High
Record High
Financial Strength in Diverse Market Environments
$7.6 $7.8
$9.5
$11.8 $11.7
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM¹
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23 July 2019 4Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
$590$626
$458$382 $365
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
$362 $398
$270
$204 $194
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
$3.1$3.2
$2.9$2.8 $2.8
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
$502$545
$368
$292 $285
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Net Income (dollars in millions)
Revenue (dollars in billions) Adjusted Operating Income1 (dollars in millions)
Adjusted EBITDA1 (dollars in millions)
¹ Please see the reconciliation of these amounts to GAAP amounts in the appendix to this presentation.
Q2 2019 Consolidated Results
Record High
Record High
Record High
Record High
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23 July 2019 5Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
248
320283
353
445
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Operating Income (dollars in millions)
Q2 2019 Steel Operations Results
Steel Operations Total Shipments (millions of tons)
1.8 1.9 1.8 1.92.0
0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
2.7 2.8 2.6 2.7 2.8
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19Flat Roll Long Products
$537$577
$402
$312 $295
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Record High
Record High
Q2 2019 shipments include the continued ramp-up of Heartland volume and the addition of United Steel Supply upon its acquisition Q1 2019.
Processing Locations¹ Total Shipments (included above)(thousands of tons)
¹ Processing locations include Heartland, Techs, United Steel Supply and Vulcan.
Our processing locations represented 16% of total steel shipments in Q2 2019, and the associated steel procurement cost represented 18% of our steel operations’ cost of goods sold.
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23 July 2019 6Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
$26
$18 $17$20
$11
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
1.3 1.31.2 1.2 1.2
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Operating Income (dollars in millions)
Q2 2019 Metals Recycling Results
Total Ferrous Shipments (millions of gross tons)
Total Nonferrous Shipments (millions of pounds)
64% of ferrous scrap Q2 2019 volume was sold to Steel Dynamics’ steel mills
304
277 278292
266
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
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23 July 2019 7Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
$14 $13$15
$21
$31
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
158172
162
145157
Q2'18 Q3'18 Q4'18 Q1'19 Q2'19
Operating Income (dollars in millions)
Q2 2019 Steel Fabrication Results
Total Shipments (thousands of tons)
Record High
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23 July 2019 8Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
47% 43%
10% 16%
9% 8%
8% 7%
7% 7%6% 6%6% 6%6% 5%1% 2%
2017 Q2'19 YTD
Electrodes
Utilities
Repairs &Maintenance
Freight
Other DirectMaterials
Payroll & Benefits
Alloys - Steel Mills& Zinc
Process Steel
Scrap
Platform Operational Cost Structure
Steel Operations
Steel Fabrication Operations
Metals Recycling Operations
85% Variable – Steady Conversion Costs
88% 88%
5% 5%3% 3%
2017 Q2'19 YTD
< 1% Utilities
2% Other
2% Repairs &Maintenance
Payroll & Benefits
Freight
Unprocessed ScrapProcurement
70% 70%
13% 14%
8% 7%3% 4%3% 3%
2017 Q2'19 YTD
1% or < 1% Utilities
2% Repairs &Maintenance
Other
Other DirectMaterials
Freight
Payroll & Benefits
Steel
We have been growing our value-add, steel processing volume during the last several years, increasing the amount of steel input costs. While our steel production conversion rates have remained steady.
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23 July 2019 9Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
$510 $681 $397 $479 $751 $591
$974 $1,240
$1,835 $1,558
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q2'19 TTM²
5-year average: $1.1 billion
Our Differentiated Business Model is a Proven Cash Generator
5-year average: $564 million
1 “Free cash flow” is defined as Adjusted EBITDA – Capital Investments and “Free cash flow conversion” as Free Cash flow / Adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA is reconciled to GAAP amounts in the appendix ² June 30, 2019 Trailing Twelve Months
Free Cash Flow1 (dollars in millions)
Doubled Average Annual Free Cash Flows
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23 July 2019 10Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Our Planned Southwest U.S. Flat Roll Steel Mill is a Compelling Growth Opportunity
Track Record
Strategically Compelling
Smart Growth
Our team has an unparalleled track record for delivering organic investments “on time” and “on budget”, creating significant value
Expertise delivering next generation, state-of-the-art steel production facilities
Planned enhanced processing capabilities that are beyond existing EAF-based production capabilities
Targeting underserved markets reliant on imports with long-lead times and inferior product quality capabilities
The steel mill will be located in Sinton, Texas, which is strategically located in close proximity to raw material supply and growing customer base
Growth from import share gains and higher-growth, steel-consuming markets Southern U.S. manufacturing hubs growing faster than the rest of the country Mexican flat roll steel consumption grew ~40% from 2013 – 20181, with shipments of 16M tons in 2018 Mexican market imported 7.5M tons of flat roll steel in 20182
1 Source: CRU2 Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
Investment Electric-arc-furnace flat roll steel mill, including a galvanizing line (550k tons) and paint line (250k tons)
Estimated 3.0 million tons of annual production capability
Differentiated production capabilities, with meaningful customer benefits for certain products — Widths (38” to 84”) and gauges from 0.047” to 1.00”
Once completed, represents over a 25% increase in our current annual estimated EAF-based steel production capacity
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23 July 2019 11Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Planned Sinton, Texas Flat Roll Steel Mill Drives Next Generation of Growth
Location Benefits
Domestic and Mexican underserved markets
Growing manufacturing demand
Customer “co-location” opportunities
Geographic diversification in the energy, automotive, construction and appliance sectors
Meaningful logistics benefits -Customer time and freight savings
Proximity to raw materials
Existing and planned scrap management relationships
State-of-the-Art Facility
Planned enhanced processing capabilities beyond existing EAF capabilities
Latest generation of advanced high strength steel grades, including automotive and energy grades
Diversified, higher-quality value-added product mix
Estimated 27 million tons1 in Targeted Regional Markets Texas and Surrounding States = 7 million tons West Coast = 4 million tons Mexico = 16 million tons
1 Source: 2017 CANACERO information published through AISI, market study including imports by regional ports, producer shipments and confidential customer information
Houston
Other flat roll steel producers
Steel Dynamics flat roll steel mills
Sinton
Monterrey
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23 July 2019 12Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Planned Sinton, Texas Flat Roll Steel Mill - Market Opportunity
Planned Product Mix Target End Markets
Initial Planned Shipments by Region
72%
7%
12%
9%
Hot Roll
Cold Roll
Coated
Painted
30%
15%
15%
10%
30% Energy Tubulars
Automotive
Construction
Appliance
Other
70%
30%
United StatesMexico
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23 July 2019 13Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
We are a Leading North American Steel Producer with a Differentiated and Proven Business Model
Consistent best-in-class performance
Differentiated business model delivering strong profitability and cash flow
Smart growth — Gaining share and growing with customers
Strong balance sheet provides strategic flexibility for prudent growth
Sustainable shareholder value creation and distribution growth
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APPENDIX
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23 July 2019 15Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Steel Dynamics – Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliations
Dollars in millions 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018Q2’19TTM¹
Net Income (Loss) $130 $266 $142 $164 $92 $(145) $360 $806 $1,256 $1,069
Income Taxes (Benefit) 83 158 62 99 73 (97) 204 129 364 303Interest Expense 170 177 159 128 137 154 146 134 127 126Interest Income (4) (5) (5) (5) (2) (1) (5) (10) (23) (26)Depreciation 171 177 180 192 229 263 261 265 283 290Amortization 46 40 36 32 28 25 29 29 28 28Non-Controlling Interests 12 13 21 26 65 15 22 7 3 (2)
EBITDA $608 $826 $595 $636 $622 $214 $1,017 $1,360 $2,038 $1,788
Unrealized hedging (gain) loss 2 (4) (3) 5 (5) 3 1 5 (6) (1)Inventory valuation 6 9 6 7 10 28 1 3 2 2Asset impairment charges 13 - 11 2 213 432 123 3 - -Equity-based compensation 14 17 12 16 23 29 30 34 40 42
Adjusted EBITDA $643 $848 $621 $666 $863 $706 $1,172 $1,405 $2,074 $1,831
Dollars in millions 2015 2016 2017 2018Q2’19TTM¹
Operating Income $(73) $728 $1,067 $1,722 $1,474
Asset Impairment Charge 429 133 - - -Minnesota Idle and Non-Cash Inventory Charge 33 - - - -Iron Dynamics Outage 9 - - - -Non-Cash Purchase Accounting - - - 16 16
Adjusted Operating Income $398 $861 $1,067 $1,738 $1,490
¹ June 30, 2019 Trailing Twelve Months
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23 July 2019 16Differentiated and Proven Business Culture
Steel Dynamics – Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Operating Income Reconciliations
¹ June 30, 2019 Trailing Twelve Months
Dollars in millions Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019Net Income 362,572$ 397,906$ 269,852$ 204,827$ 196,746$ Income Taxes 112,838 109,209 71,433 62,236 60,214 Interest Expense 31,512 31,560 31,652 31,122 32,321 Interest Income (5,584) (5,666) (6,914) (7,105) (6,723) Depreciation 70,871 73,431 71,765 71,846 72,585 Amortization 6,829 6,591 7,434 7,013 7,013 Noncontrolling Interests (124) 469 151 (499) (2,444) EBITDA 578,914$ 613,500$ 445,373$ 369,440$ 359,712$ Unrealized Hedging (Gains) / Losses 2,836 3,030 (2,510) 1,742 (3,719) Inventory Valuation 265 1,017 666 241 351 Equity-Based Compensation 8,375 7,978 14,457 10,619 9,080 Asset Impairment - - - - - Adjusted EBITDA 590,390$ 625,525$ 457,986$ 382,042$ 365,424$
Dollars in millions Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019Consolidated Operating Income 502$ 532$ 365$ 292$ 285$
Non-cash Asset Impairment Charges - - - - - Non-cash Purchase Accounting - 13 3 - -
Adjusted Operating Income 502$ 545$ 368$ 292$ 285$
Value-Added Product Mix
Graph NameERROR:#VALUE!
ContactBrad Smuts
SourceAnnual Financials (10-K)
Source: 10-K Item 1 support
Standard20%HR Sheet
11%Structural
5%MBQupdated - 2/21/19
1%Other
Value add3%Rail
4%Shapes
7%SBQ (Eng'd Bar)
10%HR and P&O Sheet
5%CR Sheet
34%Coated Sheet
Standard37%
Value-add63%
0.20.110.050.010.030.047.0000000000000007E-20.10.050.34
Steel Op End Market
Steel Operations End Markets
Last Updated: 2/19/19
201320142015201620172018
Construction-Metal Building9%9%8%9%11%10%
Construction-Heavy8%8%6%7%7%7%
Construction-Lt. Commerical / Resi21%18%18%16%16%18%
Applicance / HVA5%4%4%4%6%5%
Automotive15%13%14%15%14%12%
Other Transportation, including Rail8%9%10%8%8%8%
Agriculture, Heavy Equipment, & Mining10%9%6%4%5%6%
Energy3%4%2%2%8%5%
Non-energy Pipe & Tube6%9%8%7%10%
Other Manufacturing21%20%23%27%18%19%
Agriculture5%4%3%2%3%3%
Mining1%1%1%2%
Heavy Equipment4%4%2%2%2%1%
Check100%100%100%100%100%100%
Construction-Metal Building
0.1Construction-Heavy
7.0000000000000007E-2Construction-Lt. Commerical / Resi
0.18Applicance / HVA
0.05Automotive
0.12Other Transportation, including Rail
0.08
Agriculture, Heavy Equipment, & Mining
6.0000000000000005E-2Non-energy Pipe & Tube
0.1Energy
0.05Other Manufacturing
0.19
Growth
DatesCapExDividendsShare Repurchases
12/31/94$ (43.7)$ - 0$ - 0
12/31/95$ (224.4)$ - 0$ - 0
12/31/96$ (83.7)$ - 0$ - 0
12/31/97$ (175.2)$ - 0$ (1.2)
12/31/98$ (194.1)$ - 0$ (18.4)
12/31/99$ (126.7)$ - 0$ - 0
12/31/00$ (110.4)$ - 0$ (26.9)
12/31/01$ (90.7)$ - 0$ - 0
12/31/02$ (142.6)$ - 0$ (0.0)
12/31/03$ (137.1)$ - 0$ - 0
12/31/04$ (102.0)$ (7.5)$ (55.2)CashEquityTotal
12/31/05$ (63.4)$ (18.3)$ (186.8)Qualitech$ 45,000$ 45,000
12/31/06$ (128.6)$ (37.5)$ (247.4)Jeffersonville$ 19,000$ 19,000
12/31/07$ (395.2)$ (55.6)$ (533.7)Roanoke$ 160,400$ 127,700$ 288,100
12/31/08$ (412.5)$ (71.3)$ (501.8)Elizabethton$ 38,200$ 38,200
12/31/09$ (330.1)$ (68.7)$ - 0Techs$ 373,400$ 373,400
12/31/10$ (133.4)$ (65.0)$ - 0OmniSource$ 659,700$ 455,000$ 1,114,700
12/31/11$ (167.0)$ (81.9)$ - 0Sturgis$ 43,400$ 43,400
12/31/12$ (223.5)$ (87.6)$ - 0Recycle South$ 379,400$ 139,800$ 519,200
12/31/13$ (186.8)$ (94.8)$ - 0
12/31/14$ (111.8)$ (105.4)$ - 0Columbus$ 1,625,000$ 1,625,000
12/31/15$ (114.5)$ (127.6)$ - 0CSi$ 45,000$ 45,000
12/31/16$ (198.2)$ (135.8)$ (25.0)Vulcan$ 114,000$ 114,000
12/31/17$ (164.9)$ (145.6)$ (252.2)Heartland$ 400,000$ 400,000
12/31/18$ (239.4)$ (168.9)$ (523.6)$ 4,625,000
$ (4,300.0)$ (3,643.6)internal
bloombergbloomberg
EBITDA Margin (standalone)
Graph NameERROR:#VALUE!
ContactDominicNote: 2012-2015 was restated for Nucor and updated here to reflect restatement
SourceSEC Annual Financials (10-K)/Qtrly 10QsNote: AKS restated LIFO to Avg Cost Method on 4/30/18 we updated 2015-2017 here to reflect restatement
Last Updated6/25/19
EBITDA Margin (%)
Industry Group
SDINucorUSSAKCMCAverageMinMax
200318.0%7.0%5.0%1.0%4.0%4.7%1.0%7.0%
200428.0%20.0%16.0%10.0%7.0%15.0%7.0%20.0%
200522.0%19.0%12.0%5.0%8.0%12.6%5.0%19.0%
200624.0%20.0%14.0%3.0%9.0%13.6%3.0%20.0%
200719.0%16.0%10.0%13.0%7.0%11.9%7.0%16.0%
200813.0%14.0%16.0%4.0%5.0%12.1%4.0%16.0%
20099.0%2.1%-9.3%4.0%2.0%-1.6%-9.3%4.0%
20109.7%5.9%2.7%1.3%0.4%3.3%0.4%5.9%
201110.3%9.6%4.5%-0.0%1.3%5.4%-0.0%9.6%
20128.2%7.9%4.7%1.0%5.6%5.3%1.0%7.9%
20138.6%7.6%-7.4%5.0%5.1%1.6%-7.4%7.6%
201410.1%9.5%5.9%4.3%5.2%6.9%4.3%9.5%
20158.7%6.1%-5.7%-3.9%7.8%1.3%-5.7%7.8%
YTD Q2'16
NucorUS SteelAK SteelCMC
Revenue (000s)SDIPeer 1Peer 3Peer 4Peer 2Industry Group
20036,265,8009,458,0004,041,7002,875,90022,641,400
200411,377,00014,108,0005,217,3005,467,36536,169,665
200512,701,00014,039,0005,647,4006,709,32639,096,726
20063,238,78714,751,00015,715,0006,069,0007,896,74644,431,746
20074,384,84416,593,00016,873,0007,003,0008,458,46048,927,460
20088,080,52123,663,32423,754,0007,644,30010,684,20465,745,828
20093,958,80611,190,29611,048,0004,076,8005,867,42432,182,520
20106,300,88715,844,62717,374,0005,968,3006,686,32445,873,251
20117,997,50020,023,56419,884,0006,468,0008,122,77054,498,334
20127,290,23419,429,27319,328,0005,933,7007,630,84652,321,819
20137,372,92419,052,04617,424,0005,570,4006,783,24048,829,686
20148,755,95221,105,14117,507,0006,505,7007,037,05852,154,899
20157,594,41116,439,27611,574,0006,692,9005,463,47440,169,650
20167,777,10916,208,12210,261,0005,882,5004,530,73036,882,352
20179,538,79720,252,39312,250,0006,080,5004,733,13143,316,024
201811,821,83925,067,27914,178,0006,818,2004,682,54650,746,025
EBITDASDINucorUSSAKCMCIndustry Group
2003438,606472,90040,417115,0361,066,959
20042,275,4002,257,280521,730382,7165,437,126
20052,413,1901,684,680282,370536,7464,916,986
2006777,3092,950,2002,200,100182,070710,7076,043,077
2007833,1202,654,8801,687,300910,390592,0925,844,662
20081,050,4683,312,8653,800,640305,772534,2107,953,488
2009337,076230,762(1,030,000)161,800116,712(520,726)AKS Restatment
2010607,982930,579461,00075,80029,5371,496,916Disscussed with Brad - Don't add back the NCI, use Depreciation in total, as that is consistent with SDI calc and others don't provide NCI depreciation detail; use the amortization from this schedule in the PR.
2011825,6701,925,510892,000(1,600)104,5352,920,445
2012594,6181,383,193909,00058,000428,7862,778,979
2013635,9661,471,341(1,285,000)269,100343,232798,673
2014622,4671,941,7401,040,000265,800364,3383,611,878
2015213,8251,003,108(656,000)(262,500)423,776508,384
20161,017,4372,050,812342,000350,000221,7822,964,594
20171,359,9402,588,7151,109,000488,500259,3654,445,580
20182,038,0593,964,2461,645,000582,700331,4326,523,378
Asset and Goodwill Impairments10-K (5 yr hist)10-K10-K10-K
2006- 0- 05,000- 0- 0-262.5
2007- 0- 0- 0- 03,400
2008- 0105,200- 0- 01,004
2009- 02,800- 0- 08,468
201012,805- 0- 045,9003,766
20112,90013,943- 0- 024,466
20128,25030,000- 0- 0607
2013308- 01,806,000- 04,576
2014213,000- 0195,000- 03,305
2015428,500244,83318,000297,9009,839
2016119,76414,00056,255
2017- 0- 0- 075,6009,256
2018- 0110,000- 0- 012,892
EBITDA excluding impairments
2006777,3092,950,2002,205,100182,070710,7076,048,077Steel Dynamics
2007833,1202,654,8801,687,300910,390595,4925,848,062Peer Group Avg
20081,050,4683,418,0653,800,640305,772535,2148,059,692Peer Group Low
2009337,076233,562(1,030,000)161,800125,180(509,458)
2010620,787930,579461,000121,70033,3031,546,582
2011828,5701,939,453892,000(1,600)129,0012,958,854
2012602,8681,413,193909,00058,000429,3932,809,586
2013636,2741,471,341521,000269,100347,8082,609,249
2014835,4671,941,7401,235,000265,800367,6433,810,183
2015642,3251,247,941(638,000)35,400433,6151,078,956
20161,137,2012,050,812356,000350,000278,0373,034,849
20171,359,9402,588,7151,109,000564,100268,6214,530,436
20182,038,0594,074,2461,645,000582,700344,3246,646,270
%Old
200624.0%20.0%14.0%3.0%9.0%13.6%3.0%1
200719.0%16.0%10.0%13.0%7.0%12.0%7.0%1
200813.0%14.4%16.0%4.0%5.0%12.3%4.0%3
20098.5%2.1%-9.3%4.0%2.1%-1.6%-9.3%1
20109.9%5.9%2.7%2.0%0.5%3.4%0.5%1
201110.4%9.7%4.5%-0.0%1.6%5.4%-0.0%1
20128%7%5%1%6%5.4%1.0%1
20139%8%3%5%5%5.3%3.0%1
201410%9%7%4%5%7.3%4.1%1
20158%8%-6%1%8%2.7%-5.5%1
201615%13%3%6%6%8.2%3.5%1
201714%13%9%9%6%10.5%5.7%1
201817%16%12%9%7%13.1%7.4%1
Difference1010
0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%Ranked #1 each of the last 10 years
0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
-0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%
0.2%0.0%0.0%0.8%0.1%0.1%0.1%
0.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.1%0.0%
0.1%-0.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
-0.0%0.1%10.4%-0.2%0.1%3.7%10.4%
-0.5%-0.3%1.1%-0.2%0.0%0.4%-0.2%
-0.2%1.5%0.2%4.5%0.2%1.4%0.2%
150000
Steel Dynamics2013201420152016201720188.6298733039971653E-29.5417037462060095E-28.4578646059582499E-20.14622413032914930.142569340766975110.17239779699249838Peer Group Avg2013201420152016201720185.3435710071942713E-27.3055131407693832E-22.6859980109361171E-28.2284584236927194E-20.104590301270495190.13097124356045622Peer Group Low2013201420152016201720182.9901285583103766E-24.0856479702414808E-2-5.5123552790737863E-23.4694474222785307E-25.6753341498471097E-27.353350079209045E-2
Steel Dynamics201420152016201720189.5417037462060095E-28.4578646059582499E-20.14622413032914930.142569340766975110.17239779699249838Peer 1201420152016201720189.2003175908656573E-27.5912163041730055E-20.126529896554332440.127822672609602230.16253243920092006Peer 3201420152016201720187.0543211286913807E-2-5.5123552790737863E-23.4694474222785307E-29.0530612244897959E-20.11602482719706587Peer 4201420152016201720184.0856479702414808E-25.2891870489623419E-35.9498512537186569E-29.2771975988816716E-28.5462438766829948E-2Peer 2201420152016201720185.2243849631479516E-27.9366168851540242E-26.1366932039649241E-25.6753341498471097E-27.353350079209045E-2
Steel Dynamics
20122013201420152016201720188.2695287970180387E-28.6298733039971653E-29.5417037462060095E-28.4578646059582499E-20.14622413032914930.142569340766975110.17239779699249838Peer 120122013201420152016201720187.2735248508783629E-27.7227453681352642E-29.2003175908656573E-27.5912163041730055E-20.126529896554332440.127822672609602230.16253243920092006Peer 320122013201420152016201720184.7030215231788082E-22.9901285583103766E-27.0543211286913807E-2-5.5123552790737863E-23.4694474222785307E-29.0530612244897959E-20.11602482719706587Peer 420122013201420152016201720189.7746768458128984E-34.8308918569582075E-24.0856479702414808E-25.2891870489623419E-35.9498512537186569E-29.2771975988816716E-28.5462438766829948E-2Peer 220122013201420152016201720185.6270693970236069E-25.1274603876613541E-25.2243849631479516E-27.9366168851540242E-26.1366932039649241E-25.6753341498471097E-27.353350079209045E-2
Steel EBITDA per ton
Steel Operating Income/ ton shipped and Steel EBITDA/ton shipped
Steel DynamicsPeer 1Peer 3Peer 4Peer 2Operating Income / TonOperating Income / Ton
SDINucorUS SteelAK SteelCMC
Operating Income / Ton
2004162100704251
200512298451599
20061521194211129
20071351012796117
2008158160835120
200949-25-146-1879
20108847-17-2416
20111229029-3572
20129157251284
201388567385
2014977351391
20155132-22-10111
201610579-03771
201711984384662
2018$ 186141846494
EBITDA / ton
201210576565199
2013102734242101
2014114908439107
201575521524129
201612797347690
2017142100749180
2018$ 209156119108113
DifferenceEBITDA / TonEBITDA / Ton
20121419313815
20131417354017
20141617333616
20152420373418
20162218354018
20172216364518
20182316354419
Tons
200419,464,00015,635,0006,252,6002,380,000
200520,669,00013,296,0006,418,0002,345,000
200622,346,00014,180,0006,169,0002,394,000
200722,347,00014,534,0006,479,0002,318,000
200820,932,00016,845,0005,866,0002,366,000
200914,036,0009,861,0003,936,0001,802,000
201018,573,00015,301,0005,661,0002,230,000
201120,125,00015,509,0005,699,0002,587,000
201220,242,00015,974,0005,431,0002,707,000
201320,650,00014,644,0005,275,8002,571,000
201421,967,00013,908,0006,132,6002,820,000
201519,860,00010,595,0006,974,0002,604,000
201621,941,00010,094,0005,936,4002,625,000
201724,718,0009,887,0005,596,2002,767,000
201824,889,00010,510,0005,683,0003,183,000
Took Operating Income and added back D&A
Operating IncomeAK There is a difference as they don't have segments, and we would maybe want to redo.
20041,946,400,0001,094,450,000262,609,200121,380,000
20052,025,562,000598,320,00096,270,000232,155,000
20062,659,174,000595,560,00067,859,000308,826,000
20072,257,047,000392,418,000621,984,000271,206,000
20083,349,120,0001,390,000,00029,330,000283,920,000
2009(350,338,560)(1,438,029,630)(70,100,160)143,078,800
2010872,559,540(261,035,060)(133,882,650)35,546,200
20111,810,847,500451,932,260(201,288,680)185,487,900
20121,161,485,960399,988,96065,823,720228,524,940CMC - Operating Income as of Nov, but D&A as of Aug YE (Not available quarterly)
20131,156,813,000104,997,48014,800,000217,635,150
20141,594,364,860709,000,00017,600,000257,271,000Note D&A are not available quarterly, so we would not be able to update this with TTM
2015629,793,000(237,000,000)(67,400,000)287,954,000
20161,724,168,000(3,000,000)217,600,000187,636,000
20172,084,203,000380,000,000260,200,000172,620,000
20183,500,085,000883,000,000364,400,000299,000,000
Depreciation and Amortization
2012374,932,000491,000,000209,000,00040,700,000
2013346,169,000512,000,000209,200,00042,900,000
2014381,837,000457,000,000222,300,00045,400,000
2015400,141,000392,000,000237,200,00046,800,000
2016400,106,000349,000,000235,000,00047,900,000
2017386,916,000352,000,000250,100,00049,400,000
2018387,546,000367,000,000252,200,00061,500,000
EBITDA
20121,536,417,960890,988,960274,823,720269,224,940
20131,502,982,000616,997,480224,000,000260,535,150
20141,976,201,8601,166,000,000239,900,000302,671,000
20151,029,934,000155,000,000169,800,000334,754,000
20162,124,274,000346,000,000452,600,000235,536,000
20172,471,119,000732,000,000510,300,000222,020,000
20183,887,631,0001,250,000,000616,600,000360,500,000
SDI201220132014201520162017201890.7525836398668787.72865975935829497.26175354784319950.767702936096718105.00122726765592119.15712910471709185.56Nucor201220132014201520162017201857.3856.0272.5831.71163141993957978.58201540494964484.319241038919003140.62778737594923US Steel201220132014201520162017201825.047.1750.977854472246186-22.369042000943843-0.297206261145234838.43430767674724584.015223596574685AK Steel201220132014201520162017201812.122.80526176124947882.8699083586080945-9.664468024089474736.65521191294386946.49583646045530864.121062818933666CMC201220132014201520162017201884.4284.6591.230851063829789110.5814132104454671.48038095238095562.38525478857968793.93653785736727
SDI2012201320142015201620172018105.06101.87724138324133113.6965843919093174.836691003474314126.87333107088428141.58691126665573208.62839466083636Nucor201220132014201520162017201875.90247801600632772.78363196125907689.96230072381298751.8597180261832896.81755617337404499.972449227283761156.19876250552454US Steel201220132014201520162017201855.77744835357455642.1331248292816283.83664078228358114.629542236904234.2777887854170874.036613735207851118.93434823977165AK Steel201220132014201520162017201850.60278401767629942.45801584593805739.11880768352737924.34757671350731276.24149316083821891.186876809263424108.49903220130213CMC201220132014201520162017201899.455094200221652101.33611435239206107.33014184397163128.5537634408602289.72799999999999480.238525478857966113.25793276782909
Steel Dynamics
2012201320142015201620172018105.06101.87724138324133113.6965843919093174.836691003474314126.87333107088428141.58691126665573208.62839466083636Peer 1201220132014201520162017201875.90247801600632772.78363196125907689.96230072381298751.8597180261832896.81755617337404499.972449227283761156.19876250552454Peer 3201220132014201520162017201855.77744835357455642.1331248292816283.83664078228358114.629542236904234.2777887854170874.036613735207851118.93434823977165Peer 4201220132014201520162017201850.60278401767629942.45801584593805739.11880768352737924.34757671350731276.24149316083821891.186876809263424108.49903220130213Peer 2201220132014201520162017201899.455094200221652101.33611435239206107.33014184397163128.5537634408602289.72799999999999480.238525478857966113.25793276782909
Steel Dynamics
201220132014201520162017201890.7525836398668787.72865975935829497.26175354784319950.767702936096718105.00122726765592119.15712910471709185.56Peer 1201220132014201520162017201857.3856.0272.5831.71163141993957978.58201540494964484.319241038919003140.62778737594923Peer 3201220132014201520162017201825.047.1750.977854472246186-22.369042000943843-0.297206261145234838.43430767674724584.015223596574685Peer 4201220132014201520162017201812.122.80526176124947882.8699083586080945-9.664468024089474736.65521191294386946.49583646045530864.121062818933666Peer 2201220132014201520162017201884.4284.6591.230851063829789110.5814132104454671.48038095238095562.38525478857968793.93653785736727
Business Model
Business Model Slide
DataCategoryNet tonsSource%
ShipmentsMetals recycling6,304,08510-K31%
shipmentsSteel fabrication642,00010-K3%
Steel Shipping CapacityThe Techs1,000,00010-K5%
Steel Shipping CapacityHeartland1,000,00010-K5%
Avg annual shipmentsUnited Steel Supply200,0001%
Steel Shipping Capacity6 EAF Steel Mills11,000,00010-K55%
20,146,085100%
Metals RecyclingNet tons
Ferrous5,123,553gross tons5,738,379
Non-Ferrous1,131,412,000pounds565,706
Metals recyclingSteel fabricationThe TechsHeartlandUnited Steel Supply6 EAF Steel Mills0.312918626489925693.1867233188373624E-24.9637434872856115E-24.9637434872856115E-29.9274869745712233E-30.54601178360141722
FCF
Free Cash Flow
5 year average$564$1,078
91%LessAdd
$ in millions201020112012201320142015201620172018Q2'19 TTM¹2018Q2 YTD 2018Q2 YTD 2019Q2'19 TTM¹
Adjusted EBITDA$643$848$621$666$863$706$1,172$1,405$2,074$1,831$2,074$ 990$ 747$1,831
CapEx133167224187112115198165239273239106140273
Free Cash Flow$510$681$397$479$751$591$974$1,240$1,835$1,558$1,835$884$607$1,558
Free Cash Flow Conversion79%80%64%72%87%84%83%88%88%85%88%89%81%85%
MKT Cap
Start Date4/16/11
End DateSource: Bloomberg
STLD US Equity
ERROR:#NAME?
DatesCUR_MKT_CAP
ERROR:#NAME?3805.0542
4/19/114022.984
4/20/114027.342620122860.5846732
4/21/114042.5977201810415.2885302789
4/25/114025.1633264%
4/26/114103.618
4/27/114055.6735
4/28/113961.9637
4/29/113964.143
5/2/113918.3777
5/3/113872.6124
5/4/113783.2612
5/5/113735.3167
5/6/113686.8299
5/9/113723.9603
5/10/113752.3541
5/11/113732.6968
5/12/113811.3259
5/13/113789.4845
5/16/113717.4079
5/17/113739.2493
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5/19/113734.881
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5/23/113624.5819
5/24/113625.6739
5/25/113658.4361
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5/31/113734.881
6/1/113608.2008
6/2/113643.1471
6/3/113597.2801
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6/7/113544.8607
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6/9/113553.5973
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6/13/113444.3902
6/14/113523.0193
6/15/113483.7048
6/16/113352.6563
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6/20/113330.8149
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1/3/123068.2725
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2/10/123381.0045
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3/12/123101.5385
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3/15/123224.1982
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3/20/123342.4772
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3/26/123230.7692
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4/2/123254.8631
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4/12/123103.7288
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5/1/122810.2216
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5/3/122762.0339
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5/9/122613.6805
5/10/122611.4896
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5/14/122604.9171
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2/27/1811215.7507
2/28/1810918.3008
3/1/1811355.0328
3/2/1811409.3293
3/5/1811168.5365
3/6/1811088.2722
3/7/1811173.2579
3/8/1810859.283
3/9/1810939.5472
3/12/1811090.6329
3/13/1811152.0115
3/14/1811111.8793
3/15/1810960.7937
3/16/1811083.5508
3/19/1810786.1008
3/20/1810724.7223
3/21/1810953.7115
3/22/1810132.1832
3/23/189992.901
3/26/1810278.5474
3/27/1810158.151
3/28/1810084.8411
3/29/1810443.8331
4/2/1810117.9062
4/3/1810406.0445
4/4/1810495.7925
4/5/1810755.5893
4/6/1810269.0607
4/9/1810316.2965
4/10/1810663.4795
4/11/1810382.4266
4/12/1810649.3088
4/13/1810528.8575
4/16/1810628.0527
4/17/1810944.5325
4/18/1811171.2643
4/19/1811135.8374
4/20/1811024.8333
4/23/1810800.4633
4/24/1810802.8251
4/25/1810946.8943
4/26/1811121.6667
4/27/1810762.6747
4/30/1810583.1787
5/1/1810420.2152
5/2/1810557.199
5/3/1810561.9226
5/4/1810906.7439
5/7/1810958.7032
5/8/1810982.3211
5/9/1811070.0063
5/10/1811272.9092
5/11/1811379.0794
5/14/1811456.9375
5/15/1811666.9184
5/16/1812018.4595
5/17/1812122.2703
5/18/1811999.5848
5/21/1811905.2114
5/22/1811895.774
5/23/1811742.4172
5/24/1811747.1358
5/25/1811664.5591
5/29/1811480.5308
5/30/1811770.7292
5/31/1811662.1997
6/1/1811789.6039
6/4/1811749.4952
6/5/1811827.3533
6/6/1811975.9915
6/7/1811860.384
6/8/1811971.2728
6/11/1811836.7906
6/12/1811744.7765
6/13/1811603.2163
6/14/1811563.1076
6/15/1811032.2569
6/18/1811202.1291
6/19/1810966.1955
6/20/1811077.0843
6/21/1810973.2735
6/22/1811301.2213
6/25/1810975.6328
6/26/1811065.2876
6/27/1810791.6046
6/28/1810826.9946
6/29/1810841.1507
7/2/1810890.6967
7/3/1810668.9191
7/5/1811015.7416
7/6/1810944.9615
7/9/1811044.0536
7/10/1811185.6138
7/11/1811027.5382
7/12/1811041.6943
7/13/1811152.5831
7/16/1811053.4909
7/17/1811041.6943
7/18/1811303.5806
7/19/1811008.6635
7/20/1811079.4436
7/23/1811275.2686
7/24/1811589.0603
7/25/1811702.3084
7/26/1811426.2661
7/27/1811322.4553
7/30/1811221.0038
7/31/1811110.115
8/1/1810810.4793
8/2/1810527.3589
8/3/1810437.7041
8/6/1810468.3755
8/7/1810642.9664
8/8/1810595.7797
8/9/1810401.0043
8/10/1810239.0022
8/13/1810255.4372
8/14/1810236.6543
8/15/189987.7816
8/16/1810187.3494
8/17/1810267.1765
8/20/1810534.8321
8/21/1810588.8328
8/22/1810633.4421
8/23/1810347.0036
8/24/1810506.6578
8/27/1810776.6613
8/28/1810750.8349
8/29/1810870.5756
8/30/1810713.2692
8/31/1810736.7478
9/4/1810694.4864
9/5/1810987.9684
9/6/1811119.4484
9/7/1810966.8377
9/10/1810844.7492
9/11/1810844.7492
9/12/1811051.3605
9/13/1811046.6648
9/14/1810992.6641
9/17/1811084.2305
9/18/1811013.7948
9/19/1811081.8827
9/20/1810882.3149
9/21/1810706.2256
9/24/1810671.0078
9/25/1810800.1399
9/26/1810701.5299
9/27/1810689.7906
9/28/1810609.9635
10/1/1810727.3563
10/2/1810802.4878
10/3/1810842.4013
10/4/1810741.4435
10/5/1810661.6164
10/8/1810598.2242
10/9/1810525.4407
10/10/1810180.3058
10/11/189938.4766
10/12/189952.5637
10/15/189548.7324
10/16/189452.4703
10/17/189520.5581
10/18/189701.3431
10/19/189633.2552
10/22/189743.6045
10/23/189551.0802
10/24/189060.3782
10/25/189288.1203
10/26/189008.7254
10/29/189060.3782
10/30/189156.6403
10/31/189297.5117
11/1/189501.7753
11/2/189593.3417
11/5/189588.6459
11/6/189680.2123
11/7/189570.0323
11/8/189427.7099
11/9/189246.3637
11/12/189161.4293
11/13/189246.3637
11/14/189007.6293
11/15/189182.089
11/16/189110.9278
11/19/189124.701
11/20/188713.8025
11/21/188833.1697
11/23/188594.4353
11/26/188493.4324
11/27/187733.6145
11/28/188045.8055
11/29/188029.7369
11/30/188080.2384
12/3/188190.4234
12/4/187970.0533
12/6/187607.3608
12/7/187416.8324
12/10/187302.0563
12/11/187175.8026
12/12/187345.6712
12/13/187432.9011
12/14/187391.5817
12/17/187205.6444
12/18/187318.125
12/19/187109.2324
12/20/186907.2265
12/21/186914.113
12/24/186668.4922
12/26/186914.113
12/27/186877.3847
12/28/186856.725
12/31/186895.7489
1/2/196989.8653
1/3/196877.3847
1/4/197240.0772
1/7/197315.8294
1/8/197559.1548
1/9/197598.1787
1/10/197667.0443
1/11/197687.704
1/14/197579.8145
1/15/197522.4264
1/16/197655.5667
1/17/197717.5458
1/18/197873.6414
1/22/198013.6682
1/23/197993.0085
1/24/197967.7578
1/25/198135.3309
1/28/198160.5816
1/29/198238.6294
1/30/198461.2951
1/31/198399.3159
2/1/198527.8652
2/4/198610.504
2/5/198458.9995
2/6/198484.2503
2/7/198263.8801
2/8/198208.7876
2/11/198309.7906
2/12/198493.4324
2/13/198468.1816
2/14/198438.3398
2/15/198514.0921
2/19/198553.1159
2/20/198961.7189
2/21/198858.4204
2/22/198966.3099
2/25/198918.104
2/26/198796.4413
2/27/198504.7941
2/28/198363.6078
3/1/198486.8657
3/4/198509.2762
3/5/198451.0088
3/6/198211.2162
3/7/198074.512
3/8/197767.4878
3/11/197993.8341
3/12/198146.2257
3/13/198179.8415
3/14/197870.5762
3/15/197870.5762
3/18/197832.4783
3/19/197946.772
3/20/197884.0226
3/21/198022.9678
3/22/197612.8552
3/25/197626.3015
3/26/197666.6405
3/27/197722.3397
3/28/197729.0277
3/29/197862.7864
4/1/197951.9589
4/2/197889.5382
4/3/197898.4554
4/4/197853.8692
4/5/197983.1693
4/8/197989.8573
4/9/197731.257
4/10/197729.0277
4/11/197535.0774
4/12/197550.6826
4/15/197503.8671
4/16/197593.0396
4/17/197615.3327
4/18/197570.7464
4/22/197196.2219
4/23/197316.6048
4/24/197240.8081
4/25/197042.3993
4/26/197040.17
4/29/197129.3425
4/30/197062.4631
5/1/197020.1062
5/2/197073.6097
5/3/197379.0255
5/6/197265.3306
5/7/197176.1581
5/8/197272.0185
5/9/197227.4323
5/10/197202.9651
5/13/196871.8198
5/14/196951.828
5/15/196907.379
5/16/196964.0513
ROIC
STLD Equity
Source: Bloomberg
DateNET_INCOMETOTAL_EQUITYSHORT_AND_LONG_TERM_DEBT
12/31/11$ 2,316$ 2,380$ 2,364$ 2,305$ 4,669
3/30/12$ 46$ 2,333$ 2,372$ 164
6/29/12$ 44$ 2,354$ 2,3683.503%
9/28/12$ 13$ 2,339$ 2,204
12/31/12$ 61$ 2,477$ 2,202
3/28/13$ 48$ 2,506$ 2,301
6/28/13$ 29$ 2,515$ 2,098
9/30/13$ 57$ 2,448$ 2,109
12/31/13$ 55$ 2,612$ 2,108
3/31/14$ 39$ 2,634$ 2,099
6/30/14$ 72$ 2,959$ 1,804
9/30/14$ 91$ 3,038$ 3,062
12/31/14$ (45)$ 2,922$ 3,024
3/31/15$ 31$ 2,923$ 2,654
6/30/15$ 32$ 2,925$ 2,655
9/30/15$ 61$ 2,956$ 2,647
12/31/15$ (253)$ 2,671$ 2,595
3/31/16$ 63$ 2,708$ 2,598
6/30/16$ 142$ 2,825$ 2,591
9/30/16$ 157$ 2,952$ 2,587
12/30/16$ 20$ 2,889$ 2,357
3/31/17$ 201$ 2,995$ 2,357
6/30/17$ 154$ 3,039$ 2,374
9/29/17$ 153$ 3,061$ 2,534
12/29/17$ 305$ 3,306$ 2,382$ 3,661$ 2,372$ 6,032
3/29/18$ 228$ 3,423$ 2,363$ 1,258
6/29/18$ 362$ 3,700$ 2,37020.860%
9/28/18$ 398$ 3,986$ 2,367
12/31/18$ 270$ 3,887$ 2,377
3/29/19$ 204$ 3,989$ 2,435
3.5%
20.9%
495.5%
Slide 9 projects
1000
DateAcquisition / projectConsiderationPurchase pricePurchase price (100%)TonnageCapital investmentPurchase price / tonCapex / tonSalesEBITDAPayback period
Mar-19United Steel Supply75.0%134179----27
Q1 2019Reinforcing Bar expansion8282240-342
Nov-18Flat Roll Steel Mill--3,0001,800600
Sep-18Kentucky Electric Steel Assets-5250-20-
Jun-18CSN Heartland100.0%4344341,000-434-
Q2 2018Roanoke Bar expansion--160
Tricia Meyers: Tricia Meyers:This allows them to produce up to 200,000 tons, but I believe they were able to make about 40K tons before38-238
Jul-17Rail Division expansion--24082-342
Aug-16Vulcan Threaded Products100.0%113113125-904-
Sep-15Decking Asset100.0%4545----
Sep-14Severstal Columbus100.0%1,6251,6253,200-508-2,200254
Mid -2014SBQ mill--32596-295
Mid -2014
Tricia Meyers: Tricia Meyers:first produced at end of 2013 and ramped up 2nd half of 2014 after customer approvalsRail-division expansion--35023-
Sep-10Joist-making assets100.0%1717----
Jun-07The Techs100.0%3603601,000-360-
Jul-07Columbia City, Indiana--2,00075-38
Sep-03Pittsboro, Indiana--60075-125
Total$2,567$1,637
2012 - 2018 Average$466$369
$ 2,172$ 2,039
4,3254,075
$ 502$ 500
Mexico
Mexico growth
20132017ChangeGrowth2018ChangeGrowth
CRU - Apparent Consumption of steel sheet products8.7812.723.9445%12.693.9144%
CRU - Apparent Consumption of steel coil plate2.002.380.382.280.28
metric tons10.7815.104.3240%14.974.1939%~40%
net tons11.8816.644.76164.62
20132017ChangeGrowth2018ChangeGrowth
Steel Research LLC - Paul sheet and coil plate net tons11.3015.904.6041%
Steel Research LLC calculated by:1. Mexico is based on CANACERO data. CANACERO does not provide this information to the general public, but it is published in the AISI Annual Statistical Report. The difference between my numbers and CRU is that I include “coiled plate” as a hot rolled product because it is essentially heavy gauge hot roll (> 0.1875”) that comes off tandem hot strip mills and to a lesser extent Steckel mills (there is only one Steckel mill in Mexico). I use the same methodology in the U.S. and so do most other people. FYI, “coiled plate” shipment numbers in Mexico for the last couple of years were about 1.8 million tons and is roughly the difference between my flat rolled number for Mexico and the CRU number for Mexico in 2017. I cannot speak to the differences in other years because I do not know what CRU is doing. 2. The West Coast is estimated from western producer shipments, imports to western ports, and some product shipped from eastern mills to the west. 3. The 4 state regional estimate was the hardest to do. It was based on detailed customer analysis – location, size, and product mix. The customer analysis should be cited as confidential information to investors. Imports by regional ports of entry were also analyzed.
Capital Allocation New
Cash Flow from Ops
TTM 5 Year Chart
in billions
GrowthCapital ReturnedCash Flow from OpsGrowthCapital Returned
Fixed Asset Investment0.80.7Cash Dividends
Acquisitions2.40.9Share Repurchased
3.21.64.84.9
Capital AllocationRounded Footing Check
Last updated 2/19/19
199319941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182014 Q12019 Q1Last 20 Quarters
Cash flow from Ops$ (1,131)$ (2,679)$ (18,970)$ (51,634)$ 85,654$ (51,060)$ 114,811$ 102,792$ 67,373$ 115,022$ 127,606$ 247,919$ 310,756$ 404,952$ 418,203$ 770,301$ 445,556$ 169,307$ 486,355$ 445,694$ 312,175$ 628,224$ 1,053,625$ 852,760
Tricia Meyers: Tricia Meyers:updated number 2/19/2019 due to change in treatment of restricted cash$ 739,420
Tricia Meyers: updated number 2/19/2019 due to change in treatment of restricted cash$ 1,415,469$ (27,247)$ 181,553$ 4.90$ 4.9
CapEx$ 6,189$ 43,709$ 224,449$ 83,720$ 175,193$ 194,131$ 126,673$ 110,379$ 90,714$ 142,600$ 92,269$ 83,046$ 63,386$ 128,618$ 395,198$ 412,497$ 330,052$ 133,394$ 167,007$ 223,525$ 186,843$ 111,785$ 114,501$ 198,160$ 164,935$ 239,930$ 24,841$ 54,436$ (0.86)$ (0.8)rounded down to make total correctly
Acquisitions$ - 0$ - 0$ 1,669,449$ 45,000$ 123,351$ 6,192$ 433,998$ - 0$ 93,412$ (2.37)$ (2.4)
Other Investing$ - 0
Share Issuance$ 13,396$ 3,662$ 37,508$ 304,307
Dominic Freiburger: Dominic Freiburger:includes 2014 convert settled for shares$ 10,781$ 9,564$ - 0$ - 0$ 2,905$ - 0$ 0.32$ 0.3
Dividends$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ 7,452$ 18,276$ 37,545$ 55,642$ 71,288$ 68,672$ 64,969$ 81,882$ 87,633$ 94,812$ 105,379$ 127,569$ 135,767$ 145,565$ 168,913$ 24,515$ 42,239$ (0.70)$ (0.7)
Shares Repurchased$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ 1,236$ 18,414$ - 0$ 26,876$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ 55,179$ 186,764$ 247,411$ 533,654$ 501,777$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ - 0$ 25,034$ 252,242$ 523,569$ - 0$ 84,308$ (0.89)$ (0.9)
$ 0.4$ 0.4
Total Debt$ 800$ 11,949$ 223,054$ 207,343$ 219,541$ 483,946$ 505,963$ 532,520$ 599,924$ 555,450$ 607,574$ 448,379$ 440,575$ 438,878$ 2,029,845$ 2,650,384$ 2,222,754$ 2,386,821$ 2,380,100$ 2,173,832$ 2,081,110$ 2,981,849$ 2,594,656$ 2,356,826$ 2,534,144$ 2,098,750
Tricia Meyers: Tricia Meyers:Net deferred financing fees
Dominic Freiburger: Dominic Freiburger:includes 2014 convert settled for shares
Tricia Meyers: Tricia Meyers:Proceeds from maturity of ST Commercial Paper$ 2,435,385$ 336,635
Cash & ST$ 117$ 28,108$ 6,884$ 57,460$ 8,6