second quarter 2014 results - issuer directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/na014545/...the...

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July 24, 2014 Second Quarter 2014 Results

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Page 1: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

July 24, 2014

Second Quarter 2014 Results

Page 2: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Forward Looking Information

Both these slides and the accompanying oral presentation contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and forward-looking information within the meaning of the Securities Act (Ontario). Forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”, “budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variation of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “should”, “would”, “might” or “will” be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Teck to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates, forecasts, and statements as to management’s expectations with respect to, among other things, our future earnings and cash flow, production and cost guidance and our expectation that they will be met, expectations regarding our cost reduction efforts, expected progress and timing of growth projects, expected sales and realized pricing for coal, the production benefits of the Highland Valley Mill Optimization, the timing of restarting our Pend Oreille mine, expected benefits from processing Pend Oreille production at Trail, demand and market outlook for commodities and future commodity prices. These forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties and actual results may vary materially. These statements are based on a number of assumptions, including, but not limited to, assumptions regarding general business and economic conditions, interest rates, the supply and demand for, inventories of, and the level and volatility of prices of zinc, copper, coal and gold and other primary metals and minerals produced by Teck as well as oil, natural gas and petroleum products, the timing of receipt of regulatory and governmental approvals for Teck’s development projects and other operations, decisions by our partners to proceed with certain of those projects, the availability of financing for Teck’s development projects on reasonable terms, Teck’s costs of production and production and productivity levels, as well as those of its competitors, power prices, market competition, the accuracy of Teck’s reserve estimates (including, with respect to size, grade and recoverability) and the geological, operational and price assumptions on which these are based, tax benefits, the resolution of environmental and other proceedings, assumptions regarding the impact of our cost reduction program on our operations, our ongoing relations with our employees and partners and joint venturers, performance by customers and counterparties of their contractual obligations, and the future operational and financial performance of the company generally. The foregoing list of assumptions is not exhaustive. Events or circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially. Factors that may cause actual results to vary include, but are not limited to: adverse developments in business and economic conditions in the principal markets for Teck’s products, in credit markets, or in the supply, demand, and prices for metals and other commodities to be produced, changes in interest and currency exchange rates, failure of customers or counterparties to perform their contractual obligations, inaccurate geological or metallurgical assumptions (including with respect to the size, grade and recoverability of mineral reserves and resources), changes in taxation regimes, legal disputes or unanticipated outcomes of legal proceedings, unanticipated operational difficulties (including failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate in accordance with specifications or expectations, cost escalation, unavailability of materials and equipment, government action or delays in the receipt of permits or government approvals, industrial disturbances or other job action, and unanticipated events related to health, safety and environmental matters), political risk, social unrest, lack of available financing for Teck or its partners or co-venturers, and changes in general economic conditions or conditions in the financial markets. Certain of these risks are described in more detail in the annual information form of the company available at www.sedar.com and in public filings with the SEC. The company does not assume the obligation to revise or update these forward-looking statements after the date of this document or to revise them to reflect the occurrence of future unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. 2

Page 3: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Overview

• Executing well in difficult market conditions - Oversupply continues to impact coal prices

• Solid financial position and strengthened liquidity • Increased focus on reducing costs and capex • Updated 2014 guidance

- Lower coal and copper costs - Higher zinc concentrate production

• Semi-annual dividend of $0.45

3

Page 4: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Q2 2014 Highlights

• Solid operational performance - Increased throughput at 10 of our 13 operations - Higher production volumes in coal and copper

• Significant progress in cost reduction

• Benefiting from improving zinc market fundamentals

Production Q2 2014

To Q2 2013

Coal (Mt) 6.4 ▲ 0.4

Copper (kt) 87 ▲ 2

Zinc in concentrate (kt) 157 ▼ 4

Zinc – refined (kt) 72 ▼ 2

4

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Zinc Realized Price (US$/lb)

0.96 0.85

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Zinc Gross Profit1 (C$M)

140

87

1. Before depreciation and amortization.

Page 5: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Profitability Impacted By Lower Coal Prices

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Profitattributable toshareholders

FX gains Derivativelosses

Adjusted profit

$ M

illion

s

+$4 ($12)

$72

$80

Adjusted Profit

EPS: $0.14 Adjusted EPS: $0.13

($M) Q2 2014 To

Q2 2013

Gross profit1 633 ▼ 238

EBITDA 558 ▼ 112

Profit attributable to shareholders 80 ▼ 63

Adjusted profit 72 ▼ 125

5 1. Before depreciation and amortization.

Page 6: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

50 53

39 37

2

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Q2 2013 Q2 2014 Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Steelmaking Coal

Realized Price (C$/tonne)

122

159

Revenue (C$M)

833 1,002

Gross Profit1 (C$M)

444

200

Production (Mt)

6.4 6.0

Sales (Mt)

6.8 6.3

Cash Unit Costs (C$/tonne)

92 89

Site

Transport

Inventory

6 1. Before depreciation and amortization.

Full-year steelmaking coal cost guidance lowered to site costs of $52-57/tonne and transportation costs of $37-41/tonne

Page 7: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Steelmaking Coal Market Curtailments Slowly being Implemented

7

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 2015+

Mt

- 2 4 6 8 10 12

New Zealand

Canada

Australia

USA

Mt

Steelmaking Coal Production Cuts By Region

Steelmaking Coal Production Cuts Timeline

<2.5 Mt of 2014 announced cutbacks implemented to date

Source: Teck estimates based on public announcements

Page 8: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Q2 2013 Q2 2014 Q2 2013 Q2 2014 Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Q2 2013 Q2 2014 Q2 2013 Q2 2014 Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Copper

Realized Price (US$/lb) Revenue (C$M)

Gross Profit2 (C$M) Production (kt)

Sales (kt)

Total Cash Unit Costs1 (US$/lb)

87 85

87 87

1.60 1.64

3.07 3.37

293 338

650 693

8 1. After by-product margins. 2. Before depreciation and amortization.

flat

Full-year copper cost guidance1 lowered to $1.65-1.75/pound

Page 9: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Highland Valley Mill Optimization

Throughput exceeds design capacity in Q2

• Design: 130 ktpd • Q2 Average: 140 ktpd

Supports mining through

at least 2027 • Increase in mill throughput of ~10% • Improvement in recovery • Copper production ~15 ktpa higher

9

Page 10: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

21 23

Q2 2013 Q2 2014Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Refined Conc1

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Q2 2013 Q2 2014Q2 2013 Q2 2014

70 72

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Zinc

Zinc Realized Price (US$/lb)

0.96 0.85

Revenue (C$M)

Gross Profit2 (C$M) Zinc Production (kt) Lead Production (kt)

526 455

140

87

139 141

10 1. Red Dog only and excludes co-product zinc production from our copper business unit. 2. Before depreciation and amortization.

Full-year zinc in concentrate production guidance increased to 600-615 kt

Refined Conc

25 27

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

75 93

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Refined Conc1

70 72

Q2 2013 Q2 2014

Zinc Sales (kt)

2 kt

Page 11: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Base Metals Markets Improving

11

Zinc LME inventory down ~550 kt last 18 months

Copper LME inventory down ~500 kt last 12 months

Lead LME inventory down ~125 kt last 18 months

0

500

1,000

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct NovDec

Thou

sand

s

2014 2013

LME ZINC Stocks

-100

100

300

500

700

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Thou

sand

s

2014 2013

LME COPPER Stocks

0

100

200

300

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul AugSep Oct NovDec

Thou

sand

s

2014 2013

LME LEAD Stocks

75¢

85¢

95¢

105¢

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2014 2013

2013 86.6¢ US/lb 2014 94.0¢ US/lb

LME ZINC Prices

275¢

325¢

375¢

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2014 2013

2013 332.1¢ US/lb 2014 314.6¢ US/lb

LME COPPER Prices

75¢

85¢

95¢

105¢

115¢

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2014 2013

2013 97.1¢ US/lb 2014 95.6¢ US/lb

LME LEAD Prices

Page 12: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Energy

12

Fort Hills Update • On schedule & spending consistent with the project budget

• Engineering and procurement almost 50% complete

• Many EPC contracts in place or being completed within budget

• Mobilized in all project areas

• Site construction 2000 people and continuing to ramp up

Page 13: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

Cash - start ofquarter

Cash flow fromoperations

Working capitalchanges

PP&E, incl. FortHills

Capitalizedstripping

Debt principal &interest

Sharerepurchase

FX, distributionsto non-controllinginterests & other

Cash - quarterend

$ M

illion

s

$2,386 ($57) ($95) $2,131

($199)

($335) ($84) +$520

($5)

Cash Changes in Q2 2014

Liquidity of $5.3B, including revolving credit facility, which was extended through 2019 and increased to US$3B

Cash Flow & Liquidity

13

Page 14: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

• Positive pricing adjustment of $31M in Q2 2014

• Driven by quarterly change in commodity prices

- Copper: up $0.14 - Zinc: up $0.10

Simplified Pricing Adjustment Model

Outstanding at March 31, 2014

Outstanding at June 30, 2014

Pounds (M) US$/lb Pounds (M) US$/lb

Copper 158 3.01 225 3.15 Zinc 133 0.90 75 1.00

Pricing Adjustments

14

Q1 2011

Q2 2011 Q4 2011

Q1 2012

Q2 2012

Q3 2012

Q4 2012 Q1 2013

Q2 2013

Q3 2013

Q4 2013

Q1 2014

Q2 2014

-100

-50

0

50

100

-$0.75 -$0.25 $0.25 $0.75

Pre-

tax

Settl

emen

t Adj

ustm

ent (

$ m

illion

s)

Change in Copper & Zinc Price ($/lbs)

Page 15: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

• Cost reduction program exceeded our initial goals, with $360M of annualized reductions achieved to year end 2013

• Additional $150M in annualized reductions realized year-to-date, and a further $50M is targeted for 2014

• Also, on track for $150M in sustaining and development capital reductions this year

Operating Costs & Capital Expenditures

15

Page 16: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Guidance Steelmaking Coal

Coal production 26-27 Mt Coal site costs C$52-57 /t Coal transportation costs C$37-41 /t Coal costs – combined* US$82-91 /t

Copper Copper production 320–340 kt Copper cash unit costs (net of by-product margins) US$1.65-1.75 /lb

Zinc Zinc in concentrate production 600-615 kt Refined zinc production 280–290 kt

2014 Outlook – UPDATED (July 24, 2014)

Production & Site Cost Guidance

16 * At current exchange rates

Page 17: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Near-Term Priorities

Focusing intensely on cost reductions

Managing our capital spending profile

Executing restart of Pend Oreille mine

17

Page 18: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

Investor Relations Contacts

18

www.teck.com/investor [email protected] Telephone: +604-699-4257 or Toll-free (Canada & US) 1-877-759-6226

Best Investor Relations In Sector: Materials

Page 19: Second Quarter 2014 Results - Issuer Directedg1.precisionir.com/companyspotlight/NA014545/...The forward-looking statements in these slides and the oral presentation include estimates,

July 24, 2014

Second Quarter 2014 Results