second quarter 2012 earnings results conference call presentation · 2013-08-29 · second quarter...
TRANSCRIPT
Second Quarter 2012Second Quarter 2012Earnings ResultsEarnings Results
Conference Call PresentationConference Call Presentation
Financial data prepared under IFRS
This presentation is based on audited financial statements and may include statements that could constitute forward-lookingstatements, including, but not limited to, the Company’s expectations for its future performance, revenues, income, earnings pershare, capital expenditures, dividends, liquidity and capital structure; the impact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentinegovernment; and the impact of rate changes and competition on the Company’s future financial performance. Forward-lookingstatements may be identified by words such as “believes”, “expects”, “anticipates”, “projects”, “intends”, “should”, “seeks”,“estimates”, “future” or other similar expressions. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could significantlyaffect the Company’s expected results. The risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, uncertainties concerning theimpact of the emergency laws enacted by the Argentine government which have resulted in the repeal of Argentina’s convertibilitylaw, the devaluation of the peso, restrictions on the ability to exchange pesos into foreign currencies, the adoption of a restrictivecurrency transfer policy, the “pesification” of tariffs charged for public services, the elimination of indexes to adjust rates charged forpublic services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the concessions granted to public service
DisclaimerDisclaimer
1
public services and the executive branch announcement to renegotiate the terms of the concessions granted to public serviceproviders, including Telecom. Due to extensive and rapid changes in laws and economic and business conditions in Argentina, it isdifficult to predict the impact of these changes on the Company’s financial condition. Other factors may include, but are not limitedto, the evolution of the economy in Argentina, growing inflationary pressure and reduction in consumer spending and the outcome ofcertain legal proceedings. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only asthe date of this document. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the results of any revisions to forward-lookingstatements which may be made to reflect events and circumstances after the date of this presentation, including, without limitation,changes in the Company’s business or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Information included in this presentation isunaudited and may not coincide with that included in the financial statements of the Company, due to rounding, reclassificationmatters, and other reasons. Readers are encouraged to consult the Company’s Annual Report and Form 20-F as well as periodicfilings made on Form 6-K, which are filed with or furnished to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and theArgentine Comisión Nacional de Valores.
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
2
• Financials
• Q&A Session
9,2% 8,9%
5,2%
1,4%
Market Overview: Facing a more challenging scenarioMarket Overview: Facing a more challenging scenario
Billions USD, at current prices – Last 12 months∆ YoY - constant prices
Trade Balance (Billions USD) Last 12 monthsFiscal Balance as % of GDP Last 12 months*
Real GDP* Trade & Fiscal BalanceConsumption
368442 452 453
211249 255 257
11,6 10,0 11,4 11,5
1,7%
0,3% 0,1% 0,1%
∆ YoY - constant prices
9,0%10,7%
7,0%
2,5%
Billions USD, at current prices – Last 12 months
3
Source: MECON, INDEC and Company Estimates•Official GDP YoY variation, constant prices. •Fiscal Balance represents primarily fiscal surplus
• Efforts to achieve a higher commercial surplusseems to be taking effect, although with somedeterioration in fiscal revenues.
• The increasing gap between fiscal revenuesand spending has been covered by incrementalfinancial assistance from the Central Bank andthe National Pension Fund, allowing to maintainthe fiscal balance neutral.
• Higher commodities prices will help to sustainexternal balance and the economy growth.
• European crisis increased investors riskaversion and the lower global growth were themain international factors in this quarter.
• The domestic economy is showingdeceleration since sectors like constructionand industrial production suffered significantdeclines in their levels of activity.
• Investment levels seems to suffer from importrestrictions and a lower level of growth.
• A more cautious consumer is slowingprivate consumption trends. Concernsabout the economy and access to the FXmarket have deteriorated consumerconfidence.
• Inflation remains stable at high levels and ingeneral, wages negotiation seems toconclude at lower levels from last year.
• Telecommunications is a defensive sector,although it is not excluded from theeconomy cycles.
2010 2011 1Q12 2Q12e 2010 2011 1Q12 2Q12e
10,0 11,4 11,5
2010 2011 1Q12
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
4
• Financials
• Q&A Session
Business Business HighlightsHighlights
Successful start in MNP being #1 in customer choice
Leaders in Postpaid net adds & revenue share
Mobile Internet revenues +82% YoY in 2Q12, driven mainly bysmartphones
Focus in bundling services and flat pricing
Launch of cloud services for corporate ICTFIXED
MOBILE
5
Launch of cloud services for corporate ICT
Data services +29% YoY in 2Q12
FINANCIALS
FIXED
Strong balance sheet, net cash position, key for a challengingenvironment
TA dividend payment of ARS 807 MM
34,6 36,3 34,9 36,9
Mobile: Headstart in MNPMobile: Headstart in MNP
Service Revenue Share evolution*Subscriber Share EvolutionMillion of lines
Others
54,550,9
+5%
+7%52,3
55,6
+6%
+6%
29,8%
34,5%TEO
#3
# 2 Player
16,3 18,2 17,4 18,7
2010 2011 1H11 1H12e
6
Note: Argentinean operation only – does not include trunking subscribersSource: Market estimates of the main providers in the industry for total subscribers and services revenues, based on publicly available information.
• Leader in net ports
• 3 out of 4 port-ins are high value customers
• #1 Postpaid net adds – 14% YoY growth
• ARPU up +10% YoY to ARS 54,3 in 2Q12
NationalMarket share
TEO
+1,3 Msubs.
+50 pts
+11%
33,2% 33,7%32,1% 33,4%
+8%
2009 2010 2011 1H12
#3 Player
2.9974.482
2.0112.653
5.095
5.727
2.7253.000
Mobile: Strong Resilience in Mobile Internet usageMobile: Strong Resilience in Mobile Internet usage
Million ARS – Argentine Market
Internet
Data (SMS)
Service Revenue Breakdown
5.050
+98%
+50%
+12%
+32%
6.222
+10%
Retail & Wholesale Voice
8.483
10.983+29%
+23%
97 96 98 99
313 292 316 296
48,3
54,6
49,2
54,3
TOU (SMS/Month)
MOU (Mins/Month)
ARPU (ARS/Month)
+13%
-7%
-1%
Mobile KPI
+10%
-6%
+1%
391 774 314 5692.011
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
7
VAS as % of Service Revenues
Internet Services
as % of Service Revenues – Before capitalization of SAC & SRC
• Revenue performance driven by usage and customer increase, since last prices adjustment was effective in 4Q11
• Sustained growth in Mobile Internet revenues; +82% YoY in 2Q12
• In MNP context, change in agent commissions with focus in quality for acquisitions and customer retention
• Handset upgrades increases to yield base, stimulate usage and facilitate upselling
SAC & SRC
+98%
Handset subsidies
Advertising
Agent Commission
52%
+81%
46%48%40%
7,7% 9,0%
4,7%4,5%
3,2%3,4%
15,6% 16,9%
1H11 1H12
97 96 98 99
1H11 1H12 2Q11 2Q12
1.8782.149
1.9832.242
Paraguay Mobile Market: 3G services driving expansionParaguay Mobile Market: 3G services driving expansionMobile lines
Thousand of lines (includes 3G modems)
+14%
+13%
466
714
322403
158
264
114 149OPBDA
REVENUES
+53%
+67%
Financials
+25%
+31%
IFRS Million of ARS
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
8
• Increasing EBITDA margins thanks to VASexpansion
• Revenues in local currency rose +22% vs 1H12
114
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
Margin 34% 37% 35% 37%
• 3G subscribers increased 57% YoY
• Internet service revenues more than doubled YoY
• Elimination of unlimited SMS & Voice promotionsreduced MOU and TOU
6.029241 34
642 255 221 81 7.503
+1.474(+24%)
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Mobile Revenues: 3G services keep adding value & revenuesMobile Revenues: 3G services keep adding value & revenuesEvolution of revenues 1H11 – 1H12
1H11 Revenues
Retail Voice
Wholesale* Voice
Data Internet Equipment Nucleo* (Paraguay)
1H12 Revenues
9
+13% +4% +32% +25%+34%
Note: Wholesale voice shows Interconnection revenues (CPP, TRLD, Roaming and others )Núcleo revenues expressed in Argentine pesos, includes equipment.
35%11% 8%29% 12%% of total MobileRevenues
5%
+81%YoY Variation
2.5312.891 2.686
3.022
4.6164.441
Others1
BroadbandBroadband: Launch of integrated cloud computing services: Launch of integrated cloud computing services
• Bundling and new services contributes to control churn
• Launch of cloud data services
• Data services +29% YoY in 2Q12
• ARPU up +12% YoY & reduced churn
Thousand of broadband accesses
Evolution of Accesses
4.143
+12%
+11%
3.911
+14%
+14%
1.380 1.550 1.457 1.594
2010 2011 1H11 1H12e
NationalMarket share1
1,2% 1,2% 1,1% 1,3% 1,1%
86,088,2 91,1
95,6 96,5
2Q11 2Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
Monthly Churn
ARPU (ARS)
10
1 Source: Market estimates of the main providers in the industry.2 It must be noted that the calculation method of ARPUs of 2011 was adjusted in order to exclude from thesubscriber base the dongles of customers that already had fixed broadband access.
35%
TEO
+12%
35%
ARPU (2) & Churn Evolution
+9%
35%35%
+12%
4.622 4.611 4.621 4.583
8.752 8.740 8.731
Fixed voice: 2Q12 resumes positive net adds in LISFixed voice: 2Q12 resumes positive net adds in LIS
• More than 10 thousand net adds in 2Q12
• Retail voice revenues increased 6% YoY due to packs of services
• Increasing ARPU thanks to supplementary services and flat pricing offers
Thousand of lines in service
Evolution of Lines in Service
-0,8%-0,2%
8.729 +0,1%+0,3%
Others1
45,7 46,6 46,9 46,9 47,4
2Q11 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12
4.107 4.141 4.119 4.148
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
11
1Source: Company reports of the main providers in the industry.ARBU: Includes only concepts billed to clients
ARS +4%
+0,7%
(excluding broadband and data)
+0,8%
ARBU evolution
Market share1 47% 47% 48%47%
TEO
2.555 71 -367 198 -11 2.877
+322(+13%)
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
FixedFixed Services: Data Revenues accelerated in 2Q12Services: Data Revenues accelerated in 2Q12
38%
Regulated
Evolution of revenues 1H11 – 1H12
Regulated
Revenues 1H11
Retail Voice Wholesale Voice
Data Internet Equipment Revenues 1H12
12
YoY Variation
-22%+6%
Note: Does not include intercompany revenues.Graph not in scale
-1%
12% 32%42% 13%% of total FixedLine Revenues
62%
42%
58%
Regulated
Non Regulated
1%
+25%
Non Regulated
+27%
21%
19%
37%
17%
6%
Others
ITMobile access
1.852
2.318
751916
Evolution of Evolution of CAPEXCAPEX
Million of ARS
PP&E Capex BreakdownCapex Evolution
+25%
+32%
2.424
3.192
+25%PP&E
+22%
1.0761.345
37%
Fixed access
Core & Infraestructure1
572 874325 429
751
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
13
Note: 1Core & infrastructure refers to network related capex, including quality and innovation capex.
% Revenues 17% 13% 13%
• Initiated FTTC program improves fixed BB bandwidth and allows new services
• Fiber backhauling aimed to improve quality and capacity; +20% YoY increase in fiber-connected sites
• Increase in “Commercial Assets” due SAC & SRC related to MNP implementation
• NGN & FTTC deployments in new residential developments
• Certain restrictions in customs clearance process may affect Capex rollout in 2H12
17%
+53%Intangible AssetsSAC/SRC
+32%
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
14
• Financials
• Q&A Session
TEO Group: Consolidated Results TEO Group: Consolidated Results
+23%
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Revenues OPBDA*IFRS, Million of ARS,
8.584
10.380
+26%18.498
14.627
4.874
6.015+21%
1.431 1.647
1.474 1.492
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
2Q
1Q
15
OPBDA Margin
33% 33% 34% 30%
8.584
Regulated Revenues 14% 12%
+18%
+8%
2.905 3.139
4.874
13% 10%
+24%
+1%
+15%4.134 5.126
4.4505.254
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
2Q
1Q
*Operating Profit Before Depreciation & Amortization.Note: Figures restated due to reclassification of gains on disposals of PP&E
TEO Group: Consolidated TEO Group: Consolidated CostsCosts
Consolidated Costs 1 as % of Revenues Operating Costs 1 1H12
Labor Costs
Taxes
Others2
21%
13%
25%
19,9%20,9%
8,4%7,8%
Marketing & Sales
ITX Costs
69,9%66,4%
16
1. Excluding Depreciation & Amortizations.2. Others includes: Fees for services, fees for Call Center outsourcing,
maintenance, materials and supplies, bad debt expenses..
• MNP implementation required stronger commercial efforts that resulted in higher SAC/SRC
• The energy subsidies elimination represents 60 bps in OPBDA margin reduction
• Labor and labor related costs continue to affect margins.• Inflationary effect impacted costs in general affecting
margins in a competitive environment.
ITX costsMarketing & Sales
11%30%
16,0% 17,7%
13,3% 14,4%
8,8%9,1%
1H11 1H12
Others2
Sales
Taxes
Labor costs
1.275
TEO Group: Consolidated ResultsTEO Group: Consolidated Results
IFRS, Million of ARS, Percentage
Operating Profit Net Income attributable to Telecom
1.929 1.882
3.857
3.162
+22%
+30%
-2%
2.513
1.935
634 698
627 577
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
1.2751.261
958 1.033
971 849
2010 2011 1H11 1H12
17
O. Profit Margin 22% 21% 13% 14%22% 18% 15% 12%
-8%
-13%
1.929 1.882
+10%+8%
+1%
2Q
1Q
2Q
1Q
2.973
1.505
258 80 819
IFRS, Million of ARS - Last 12 months
TEO Group: FCF and Net Financial PositionTEO Group: FCF and Net Financial Position
6.249 3.461
185
OPBDA Capex ∆ WK & others
Operating Free Cash Flow
1.236
2.223
18
Note:(1) Includes Telecom USA(2) Includes Springville(3) OFCF: Operating Free Cash Flow before Taxes.
Net Financial Position
2Q11(Cash)
Net Financial Position
2Q12(Cash)
Net Interest
FX Variations
Operating Free Cash
Flow3
Taxes Dividend Payment
Free Cash Flow = 1.468
Telecom Argentina 1.286 (1)
Telecom Personal 1.058 (2)
Nucleo (Paraguay) (121)
Net Financial Position
• Market Overview
• Business Highlights
AgendaAgenda
19
• Financials
• Q&A Session