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© OECD/IEA 2013 Scope of WEO-2014 Special Report The Outlook for Energy Investment Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist Paris, 21 March 2014

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© OECD/IEA 2013

Scope of WEO-2014 Special Report – The Outlook for Energy Investment

Dr. Fatih Birol IEA Chief Economist

Paris, 21 March 2014

© OECD/IEA 2013

Overview of WEO-2014 & related analysis

Annual World Energy Outlook

Release 12 November (London)

Full update of energy projections under three scenarios

By country, fuel & sector, through 2040, with a stopover in 2020 and 2030

Objective and comprehensive analysis of topical issues:

Nuclear in-depth analysis

Fossil-fuel subsidy reform in key producer countries

Special report in the WEO series

The Outlook for Energy Investment – 3 June (London)

Africa Energy Outlook (focus on Sub Saharan Africa) – 13 October (London)

© OECD/IEA 2013

Organisation, scope & timeline for the Investment Special Report

Organisation & scope

Led by the Directorate of Global Energy Economics, with contributions from other IEA offices

Input from key stakeholders from the investment & finance community

Scenario-based analysis & selected case studies

Covers investment in the entire energy supply chain & in energy efficiency

Timeline

28 February – dedicated informal workshop (Paris)

Today’s inputs from EBC members

On-going: analysis & preparation of the first draft

peer reviewers comment, 9 April

Launch to the international press, 3 June in London

© OECD/IEA 2013

Report Structure & key issues / questions

Chapter 1: Overview

How much investment is flowing to the global energy sector today, by type and region?

What are the world’s energy investment needs to 2035 & how might these be financed?

How can capital be re-allocated in cost-effective way to achieve a faster transition to a decarbonised energy economy?

Chapter 2: Oil, gas, coal

Investment needs by scenario: do we need to be worried about the adequacy of investment in fossil fuel supply?

Focus on upstream investment in the Middle East & on costs and uncertainties for LNG

Does meeting climate targets mean leaving upstream fossil fuel assets stranded?

© OECD/IEA 2013

Report Structure & key issues / questions

Chapter 3: Power sector

How much capital is going into the power sector today, by technology? What market or other signals are investors responding to?

How much investment is required to 2035 & who will tomorrow’s investors be?

Where are the risks of a shortfall in investment? Focus on challenges in Europe and India

Chapter 4: Energy efficiency

What is the size of the energy efficiency ‘market’ and which sectors are attracting efficiency investment?

What are current financing sources for efficiency improvements & how might these evolve?