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SCOPE & NATURE OF YOUNG SUDDEN CARDIAC DEATH IN NEWFOUNDLAND & LABRADOR By Gina Hamilton A thesis submitted to the school of Graduate Studies in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Medicine Clinical Epidemiology Unit Faculty of Medicine Memorial University of Newfoundland May 2016 St. John’s Newfoundland

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Page 1: SCOPE & NATURE OF YOUNG SUDDEN CARDIAC DEATH ...SCOPE & NATURE OF YOUNG SUDDEN CARDIAC DEATH IN NEWFOUNDLAND & LABRADOR By Gina Hamilton A thesis submitted to the school of Graduate

SCOPE&NATUREOFYOUNGSUDDENCARDIACDEATHINNEWFOUNDLAND&LABRADOR

ByGinaHamilton

AthesissubmittedtotheschoolofGraduateStudiesinpartialfulfillmentofthe

requirementsforthedegreeofMasterofScienceinMedicine

ClinicalEpidemiologyUnit

FacultyofMedicine

MemorialUniversityofNewfoundland

May2016

St.John’sNewfoundland

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Abstract

Introduction:Suddencardiacdeath(SCD)inyoungpeople(ages2-40)isatragedy

forfamiliesandcommunitiesalike.Ithasmultiplecauses,oneofwhichisan

underlyinggeneticarrhythmogeniccardiomyopathy.AstudyfromOntario(ON)

usinga2008cohortassessedtheincidenceofSCDinpersonsaged2-40yearstobe

2.64/100,000person-years.WehypothesizedthatNewfoundland&Labrador(NL)

mayhaveahigherincidenceofearlySCDinages2-40duetopossibleunderlying

geneticcausesgiventhehistoricalgeneticisolationofthepopulationandthe

foundermutationsalreadyidentified(ex.PKP2,RYR2,TMEM43).

Methods:WeascertainedcasesofsuddendeathfromthecomprehensiveMedical

Examiners’provincialdatabasefortheyears2008and1997;2008asadirect

comparisontoON,and1997asitrepresentedatimewhentheimplantable

cardioverter-defibrillatorwasnotavailableinNL.Eachcaseofsuddendeathwas

individuallyanalyzedtodeterminelikelihoodofSCD.

Results:Therewere119casesin2008and157casesin1997.TheincidenceofSCD

forages2-40in2008was7.32/100,000persons.Thiswassignificantlyhigherthan

theincidenceinOntario.TheincidenceofSCDwasnotsignificantlyhigherin1997

than2008.Coronaryarterydiseasewasamajorcauseofdeathinallcohorts,similar

toOntario(non-significantdifference).

Conclusion:Ingeneral,therewasatrendofmorearrhythmogenicdeathsinthe

youngandmorestructuralcardiacdeathsasageincreased.Thisreflectsthecauseof

SCDintheyoungisoftengeneticinnature,whileolderdeathsareoftendueto

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iii

coronaryarterydisease,adiseaseheavilyinfluencedbyenvironment.Toconclude,

SCDinNLoccursatahigherincidencethanON,furtherresearchisneededonthe

topic.

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Acknowledgments

Iwouldliketothankmysupervisor,Dr.KathyHodgkinson,forgivingmethe

opportunitytodothisthesisandforherongoingsupportandguidanceforall

aspectsofmyMasters.Iwouldalsoliketothankmysupervisorycommittee,Dr.

SimonAvisandDr.Terry-LynnYoung,whoseguidanceandsupportwascentralto

thecompletionofthisthesis.IwouldalsoliketothankFionaCurtis,forwillingto

assistmewheneverneededandwhoseexpertisewasinvaluable.AdditionallyI

wouldliketothankDr.SeanConnorsandtheentiresuddencardiacdeathresearch

groupforalloftheirassistancethroughoutthesepastfewyears.Furthermore,I

gratefullyacknowledgetheAtlanticCanadaOpportunitiesAgencyandSt.Jude

Medicalforprovidingfundingformyresearch.

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v

TableofContents

Abstract

Acknowledgments

ii

iv

TableofContents v

ListofTables vii

ListofFigures viii

ListofAbbreviations ix

Chapter1-Introduction 1

1.1LiteratureSearch 51.2DescribingSuddenCardiacDeath 61.3GeneticEtiology 111.3.1StructuralDiseases 151.3.2ArrhythmogenicDiseases 161.4Non-GeneticEtiology 171.5CharacterizedPopulationsDealingwithYoungSCD 191.6Newfoundland&Labrador(NL):AFounderPopulation 221.7MedicalExaminerProtocolandReports1.8StudyRationaleandHypothesis

2324

1.9StudyObjectives 25

Chapter2-Methods

26

2.1CohortsofInterest 272.2DataCollection 272.3LikelinessofSCD 332.4StatisticalAnalysis 35

Chapter3-Results 37

3.1Incidences 383.2CauseofDeath 433.3Location,ActivityLevel,&Symptoms 46

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vi

Chapter4-Discussion 50

4.1Incidence 514.2CausesofDeath 554.3CircumstancesofDeath 57

4.4Limitations 594.5Strengths 614.6FutureResearchandConclusion 62

References

AppendicesAppendixA:Currentknowngenemutationsdiscoveredwitha

potentialforSCDAppendixB:SampleMedicalExaminer’sreportAppendixC:ChartauditformAppendixD:PrimaryDatausedforanalysisAppendixE:Comparisonofincidencesacrosstheliterature

6370

71

79808283

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ListofTables

Table1.1: Examplesofageneticbasisforstructuralandarrhythmogenic

cardiacdiseases.

12

Table2.1: LabelingoftheCohorts 28

Table2.2: Mannersofdeathusedbyforensicpathologists. 31

Table2.3: LikelinessofSCDcategories. 34

Table3.1: ComparisonsofincidenceandgenderforNL2008age’s2-40

(A)andON2008age’s2-40.

41

Table3.2: ComparisonsofincidenceandgenderforNL2008age’s2-50

(B)andNL1997age’s2-50(C).

42

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ListofFigures

Figure1.1: TheDeterminantsofSCD. 8

Figure1.2: Categoriesofheartdiseaseswheregeneshavebeenfoundtobe

involved,dividedintostructuralandchannelopathies.

14

Figure2.1: Processofcategorizingdeathsandassigningtocategoryof

SCD.

29

Figure3.1: ReviewofallpotentialSCDcasesinNLin2008age’s2-40,in

comparisontoON.

39

Figure3.2: ReviewofallpotentialSCDcasesinNLinage’s2-50cohort,in

comparisontoNL1997age’s2-50cohort.

40

Figure3.3: CausesofSCDbyageinNL2008cohort(B). 44

Figure3.4: CausesofSCDbyageinNL1997cohort(C). 45

Figure3.5: CausesofSCDinthe2008NL2-40cohort(A). 47

Figure3.6: CausesofSCDinthe2008and1997NLcohort(B&C). 48

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ListofAbbreviations

ADLs :Activitiesofdailyliving

ARVC/D :Arrhythmogenicrightventricularcardiomyopathy/dysplasia

BrS :Brugadasyndrome

CAD :Coronaryarterydisease

CPVT :Catecholaminergicpolymorphicventriculartachycardia

DCM :Dilatedcardiomyopathy

DNA :Deoxyribonucleicacid

HCM :Hypertrophiccardiomyopathy

ICD :Implantablecardioverter-defibrillator

LQTS :LongQTsyndrome

NL :NewfoundlandandLabrador

OCME :OfficeoftheChiefMedicalExaminer

ON :Ontario

RV :Rightventricle

SADS :Suddenarrhythmicdeathsyndrome

SCD :Suddencardiacdeath

SES :Socioeconomicstatus

SQTS :ShortQTsyndrome

SUD :Suddenunexpecteddeath

TMEM43 :Transmembraneprotein43

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1.Introduction

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Suddendeathisadevastatingeventforfamiliesandcommunitiesalike.

Worldwide,theestimatedburdenofsuddencardiacdeath(SCD)is4-5millioncases

peryear(Chughetal.,2008).Suddenunexpecteddeath(SUD)isdefinedasthe

suddendeathofanindividualwhoappearshealthyanddiessuddenlywithinafew

minutestoseveralhoursduetopre-existingdiseaseorfunctionaldisorder.SUDis

furtherdefinedbytheanatomicalcauseofdeathafterinvestigationi.e.whichsystem

isresponsibleforthedeath:isitthecardiovascularsystem,therespiratorysystem,

thecentralnervoussystemetc.Thecardiovascularsystemisimplicatedwhenan

autopsyfindsevidenceofcardiacinjury,thusSUDbecomesSCD.Thecardiovascular

systemisalsoimplicatedwhenabsolutelynoanatomicalcauseisfoundonautopsy,

asthenacardiacarrhythmiawasassumedtohaveoccurred.Inthelatter,diagnosing

SCDismuchmoredifficultasallothercausesofdeathmustbeexcluded–whichis

tosayallmeansofinvestigationmustbeexhaustedOverall,SCDisadifficult

diagnosistomake,asitiseasytomissgiventheremaynotbeanyphysicalfindings

onautopsyofarrhythmias.

SCDistypicallyobservedintheolderpopulation;however,aportionofcasesdo

occurintheyoung,withoutanypriorsymptoms(Kauferstein,Kiehne,Neumann,

Pitschner,&Bratzke,2009).IntheolderpopulationthecauseofSCDisoftenrelated

tocoronaryarterydisease(CAD).CADisheartdiseasecausedbyabuildupofplaque

inthecoronaryarteriesthatmayeventuallyleadtoblockages.Whendealingwith

theyoung,manyotheretiologiesarepresent,includingstructural,metabolic,and

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geneticmutationsthatincreasearrhythmogenicpredisposition(Noseworthy&

Newton-Cheh,2008).

Newfoundland&Labrador(NL)isafounderpopulation,withahighincidenceof

somegeneticdiseases(Rahmanetal.,2003).Thisistheresultofthefoundereffect:

alossofgeneticvariationthatoccurswhenanewpopulationisestablishedbya

verysmallnumberofindividualsfromalargerpopulation.Ithasbeenestimated

that90%ofthecurrentNLpopulationhasarisenfrom20,000to30,000original

EuropeansettlersofpredominantlyEnglishandIrishdecent(Parfrey,Davidson,&

Green,2002).Matingsegregation,combinedwithlowimmigration,andgeographical

isolationofcommunitiesresultedinthegeneticisolationofthepopulation(Younget

al.,1999).Whenalimitednumberofindividualsbringadiseasemutationintoa

smallpopulation,thepopulationgrowsthroughnaturalexpansionand(inthe

absenceofsignificantin-migration)ahighproportionofpeoplewillcarrythe

chromosomeonwhichadiseasemutationisfound(Rahmanetal.,2003).Opposite

toafounder,orinbred,populationisanoutbredpopulation.Thisinvolvesnormal

geneticvariation,asmatingmoreoftenoccurswiththosewhohavenofamilial

relations.Ontario(ON)isanexampleofthistypeofpopulationasitgeographically

central,non-isolated,withnormalimmigrationrates.

AfoundereffecthasbeenobservedinNLformanygeneticdisordersOnesuch

diseaseisarrhythmogenicrightventricularcardiomyopathy/dysplasia(ARVC/D),a

knowncauseofSCD,resultingfromonegeneticsubtypeofwhichiscausedbya

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mutationinthetransmembraneprotein43(TMEM43)gene.Thismutation(c.1073

C>T.pS358L),discoveredbyourlaboratory(Merneretal.,2008),changestheamino

acidserinetotheaminoacidleucineatposition358.Thismutationisfully

penetrant;itwillshowclinicalsignsofthediseaseoverthelifespanineveryonewho

carriesthegenemutation.TheexactincidenceofthemutationinNLisunknown,but

likely>1/1000persons(K.Hodgkinson,personalcommunication,September25th,

2014).Wealsoknowthatthereareotherfoundermutations(RYR2(p.R176L)and

PCP2(p.Q378X))causingothertypesofcardiomyopathiesandchannelopathiesthat

areresponsibleforyoungSCDinseverallargecohortsinNL(Hodgkinsonetal.,

2013;Lausonetal.,2014).Giventheknownmutations,wehypothesizethatNLhasa

higherincidenceofearlySCDthanelsewhereinCanada.

Incidenceandprevalencearebothmeasuresoftheextentofdiseaseina

population.Incidenceistherateofnewcasesofthediseaseamongthepopulation.

Prevalenceincludesbothnewcasesandthosewhohavecontractedthediseasein

thepastandarestillsurviving.WithrespecttoSCD,wearemoreinterestedin

measuringtheincidence,asprevalenceisnotapplicablebecauseSCDisnota

curabledisease,noonecansurviveit.

Accurateincidencedatahasnotbeeneasytocollect,asthereisnogeneral

populationSCDgeneticscreeningavailableinNL.Geneticscreeninginvolvestesting

anindividual’sdeoxyribonucleicacid(DNA)formultipleknowngenemutations.In

comparison,clinicalscreeninginvolvesusingdiagnostictests(suchas

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electrocardiogram,orechocardiogram)tolookforphenotypicchanges.Clinical

screeningisnotveryeffectiveforSCD,aswehavenotfoundanyprecisemarkers

yet.Geneticscreening,however,canbequitehelpfulinpreventingSCDdepending

onthegenemutationwearedealingwith.

Manyethicalissuesarisewhendebatingwhetherthereshouldbegenetic

screeningavailable,forexampleaspartofnewbornscreening.Factorstoconsider

includecostimplicationsforthehealthcaresystem,potentialclinical,financial,and

emotionalconsequenceswithfalse-positivescreeningresultsforthepatients,andas

well,thecurrentlackofevidence-basedguidelinestodealwithmanagementof

asymptomaticpatientswhoscreenpositive(Kaltmanetal.,2011).Assuch,health

careprofessionalsarenotpreparedtofullydealwithgeneralpopulationgenetic

screening.Unfortunately,youngSCDisoneofthosecaseswhereclinicalscreening

comparedtogeneticscreeningisnoteffective,asSCDcanpresentwithnoprior

symptomsactingasawarning.Thismakesitimportanttoidentifywhichindividuals

areatgreatestriskofpreventableearlySCDinordertoofferprophylactic

medicationsordevices,suchastheimplantablecardioverter-defibrillator(ICD)

(Kaufersteinetal.,2009).

1.1LiteratureSearch

Acomprehensiveliteraturesearchofnumerousrelevantmedicaldatabases

(PubmedandmeSH,EMBASE,CINAHL,GoogleScholar,andScopus)wasperformed

tofullyunderstandthescopeofyoungSCD.Thiswasaccomplishedusingvarious

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combinationsofthekeywords:“suddencardiacdeath”“suddenunexpecteddeath”

“young”,“genetics”,“epidemiology”,“arrhythmogenicrightventricular

cardiomyopathy”,“arrhythmogenic”,“arrhythmia”,”cardiomyopathy”,

“channelopathy”,and“non-genetic”.Referencelistsofrelevantpaperswerealso

surveyedtoidentifyadditionalliteratureontopicsofinterest.

1.2 DescribingSuddenCardiacDeath

OnceSCDisdiagnosed,therearemorequestionstoanswer.SCDisdefinedas

theunexpectednaturaldeathfromacardiaccausewithinashorttimeperiod,

generally≤1hourfromtheonsetofsymptoms,inapersonwithoutanyprior

potentiallyfatalcondition(Zipes&Wellens,1998).Physiologically,SCDoftenoccurs

whenanelectricallystableheartistransformedintoanunstableone,causingafatal

arrhythmia.Theexactcauseofthistransformationisrichlydiverse,asSCDisthe

finalcommonendpointofmultiplediseaseprocesses;itresultsfromacomplex

interplayofstructural,metabolic,andgeneticdeterminants(Noseworthy&Newton-

Cheh,2008).

SCDisaheterogeneouscondition;CADaccountsforabout80%ofSCDs,andthe

remaining20%isattributedtocardiomyopathiesandgeneticdiseases(Chughetal.,

2008).Tocomplicatethematter,othermedicalconditions,suchasdiabetes(Jouven,

2005),aswellasmoredynamicassociations,suchaslowsocioeconomicstatus

(SES),arealsoassociatedwithSCD(Chughetal.,2008)(Figure1.1).Theagerange

forSCDiswideasitoccursinindividualsofallages,fromages2andbeyond.Asage

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varies,etiologyofthediseasemayvaryaswell;CADismoreprevalentintheolder

population,andgeneticconditionscanexerttheireffectsatanyage–youngandold.

Allinall,itisclearthatoverallincidenceofSCDincreaseswithage(Deo&Albert,

2012).

Withregardtogender,SCDhasamuchhigherincidenceinmenthanwomen

(Deo&Albert,2012;Zipes&Wellens,1998).AnalysisoftheFraminghamHeart

Studycohortshowedthatatage40thelifetimeriskofSCDformenis1in8,while

womenarethreetimeslesslikely(1in24)(Lloyd-Jones,Berry,Ning,Cai,&

Goldberger,2009).WhilethisreflectssexdifferencesintheincidenceofCAD,a

higherincidenceinmenhasbeenobservedinothergeneticcausesofSCDaswell.

AustralianresearchersstudiedSCDinacohortwithagelessthan35yearsandfound

that63%ofsubjectsweremalewhenCADwasexcluded(Doolan,Langlois,&

Semsarian,2004).Inhypertrophiccardiomyopathy(HCM)bothsexesareaffected

bythecondition,thoughitismorelikelytobedetectedearlierinmen(Christiaans

etal.,2011;Jacoby,Depasquale,&McKenna,2013).Inastudythatevaluatedthe

largestpopulationofpatientswithBrugadasyndrome(BrS)thusfar,theyreported

thatmenhada5.5-foldhigherriskofsuddendeaththandidwomen(Brugada,

Brugada,&Brugada,2003).

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Figure1.1:TheDeterminantsofSCD.

Whilecardiacconditions,environment,andcomorbidities,contributetheirown

influence(redarrows),thesefactorsalsoareaffectedbyoneanother(blue

dashedarrows).AdaptedfromChughetal.,2008.

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OtherstudiescorroboratethatmenwithBrSpresentwithagreaterriskclinical

profilethanwomenandhaveaworseprognosis(Benitoetal.,2008).InARVC/D,

multiplestudieshaveidentifiedittobeamale-predominantdisease(Coxetal.,

2011;Merneretal.,2008),howevertherearealsoreportsofequalnumbers

betweenthesexes(Dalal,2005).

GiventhewidevarietyofcausesofSCD,thereisnospecificsymptomsetfor

thecondition.Havingsaidthat,symptomsthataretypicalofanyheartdiseasehave

beenassociatedwithSCD,suchassyncope,dyspnea,andheartpalpitations.

Tragically,itisnotunusualfortheveryfirstsymptomofconditionscausingSCDto

bedeathitself.ItisforthisreasonthatSCDtakessuchaheavytollonfamiliesand

communities.

Fortunately,notallindividualsatriskofSCDareasymptomatic.Bytracing

familyhealthhistoryandgenetictestingapreventativetherapycanbeputinplace.

TreatmentsforconditionsthatincreasetheriskofSCDaresimilar.Thetherapeutic

coursewilldependonsymptoms-previouscardiacarrestorarrhythmia.Standard

therapeuticoptionsincludeanti-arrhythmicdrugs,anICD,cardiacpacing,or

catheterablation.Forheartfailure,theICDisprimarystandardofcare(alongwith

anti-heartfailuremedications)whenthepatienthashigh-riskindicators,suchasleft

ventriculardysfunctionorreducedleftventricularejectionfraction,orheartfailure

symptoms(Marine&Russo,2014a,2014b).EvidencehasshownthattheICDisthe

betteroptionfortreatmentofheartfailurewhencomparedwithanti-arrhythmic

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drugs.Anti-arrhythmicsarenotoftenprescribedontheirown,butmoreoftenas

adjunctivetherapywiththeICD.CatheterablationisalsoanoptionforwhentheICD

isnotindicated.Cardiomyopathies(HCM,ARVC/Danddilatedcardiomyopathy

(DCM))havesimilartreatments,withtheICDbeingthegoldstandardforhigh-risk

patients(Elliott&McKenna,2014;McKenna,2014).Thedifferencehereisthat

prophylactictreatmentcanbestartedinasymptomaticpatientswhenidentifiedas

highriskduetofamilyhistory(McKenna,2014).TheICDefficacywasexaminedin

11familieswiththeTMEM43mutationinNLandthefive-yearmortalityrateafter

ICDinmaleswaszerocomparedwith28%incontrolsubjects(p<

0.009)(Hodgkinsonetal.,2005).Forchannelopathies,BrS,longQTsyndrome

(LQTS)andcatecholaminergicpolymorphicventriculartachycardia(CPVT)),theICD

isthesuperiortreatmentthoughmaynotbethefirstline.Commonly,Beta-blockers

arethemainstayoftherapyunlesstherearefrequentassociatedsymptoms(Buxton,

2014;Wylie&Garlitski,2014;Zimetbaum,Seslar,Berul,&Josephson,2014).

ManyyoungSCD’sstilloccurdespitetheeffectivenessoftheICDanddrug

therapy,asidentifyingcandidatesclinicallyfortherapycanbedifficult.

Furthermore,geneticscreeningprogramsforSCD-causingconditionsarenotyet

effectivelyused(Kaltmanetal.,2011).Researchhasnotbroughtustothelevelof

proficientpreventativemedicinejustyet,andthus,SCDisanunyieldingburden.

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1.3 GeneticEtiology

WhileCADaccountsforthemajorityofSCDs,therestcanlikelybeattributedto

geneticcauses,whichincludesnonischemicmyopathicprocesses,suchas

cardiomyopathies,andprimarydefectsofcardiacelectrophysiology,suchasLQTS

(Noseworthy&Newton-Cheh,2008).Manyoftheseconditionsshowmendelian

inheritance,alsocalledmonogenic,patterns.Mendelianinheritanceisadescription

ofthewaytraitsarepasseddownfromonegenerationtoanother–andsometimes

skipsgenerations-asaresultofamutationinonesinglegene(Miko,2008).There

aremultiplepossiblepatternsofinheritancethatcanbelocatedonanautosomeor

onasexchromosome,andthediseasephenotypeisdescribedasbeingdominantor

recessive(Chial,2008).Incardiacgenetics,manydiseasesdisplayanautosomal

dominantorautosomalrecessivepattern(Table1.1).Autosomaldominantdiseases

occurinindividualswhohaveasinglemutantcopyofthedisease-associatedgene,

andcanbeinheritedfromanaffectedmotherorfather.Thus,thismutationwillbe

passeddowntoallfuturegenerations.Autosomalrecessivediseasesoccurin

individualswithtwomutantallelesofthedisease-associatedgene.Theseindividuals

mustinheritonemutantallelefromeachoftheirparents.Autosomalrecessive

single-genediseasesoftenshowapatternwhichthedisease‘skips’oneormore

generations(Chial,2008).

ObservationsofSCDincidenceinfamiliesshowaclearroleforgenetics.For

example,inanIsraelicase-controlstudyofSCDpatients,afamilyhistoryofSCDwas

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CardiacDisease Gene Locus Protein ModeofInheritance

FrequencyinPatients

HypertrophicCardiomyopathy

TNNT2 1q32 cardiactroponinT Autosomaldominant

3-5%

MYBPC3 11p11.2 cardiacmyosin-bindingproteinC

Autosomaldominant

25-25%

MYH7 14q11.2-q12

β-myosinheavychain Autosomaldominant

25-25%

ArrhythmogenicRightVentricularCardiomyopathy/

Dysplasia

TMEM43 3p25 transmembraneprotein43

Autosomaldominant

rare*

DSP 6p24 desmoplakin Autosomaldominant

10-20%

DSG2 18q12.1-q12.2

desmoglein2 ?Autosomaldominant

10-15%

DilatedCardiomyopathy

DMD Xp21.2 dystrophin X-linked ?DES 2q35 desmin Autosomal

dominant?

TNNI1 1q12 cardiactroponinI Autosomaldominant

?

LongQTSyndrome KCNQ1 11p15.5 Kv7.1 Autosomaldominant,orrecessive

30-35%

SCN5A 3p21-p24 NaV1.5 Autosomaldominant

5-10%

ANKB 4q25-q27 ankyrinB Autosomaldominant

rare*

CatecholaminergicPolymorphicVentricularTachycardia

CASQ2 1p13.3 calsequestrin2 Autosomalrecessive

rare*

RYR2 1q42.1-q43

ryanodinereceptor2 Autosomaldominant

50-60%

BrugadaSyndrome SCN5A 3p21-p24 NaV1.5 Autosomaldominant

20-30%

GPD1L 3p22.3 glycerol-3-phosphatedehydrogenase1-like

Autosomaldominant

rare*

CACNA1C 2p13.3 l-typecalciumchannel Autosomaldominant

?

Table1.1:Examplesofageneticbasisforstructuralandarrhythmogeniccardiac

diseases.

AdaptedfromTester&Ackerman(2009)andJeffries&Towbin(2010).

*:Thesefrequenciesmaybeunderestimatingtruenumbers.ThistableofgenemutationscancauseSCD,andtherebyremovesubjectsfromthepatientcount.“Frequencyinpatients”referstoalivepatients,possibleascertainmentbiashere.SeeAppendixAforfulllistofknowncardiacmutations.

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associatedwitha46%increasedriskofSCDcomparedwithmatchedcontrols

(relativerisk=1.5)(Friedlanderetal.,1998).IntheParisProspectiveStudyI,a

parentalhistoryofSCDincreasedtheriskoffatalarrhythmiaintheoffspringby

80%;insubjectswithbothparentsaffected,riskofindividualswithanestablished

SCDsyndrome,afamilyhistorycanpotentiateriskofSCD.Forexample,inHCM,a

familyhistoryofSCDisassociatedwitha5-foldincreaseforriskofSCD(Elliottetal.,

2000).Thisislikelyduetotheunderlyingpathogenicityofthemutation,each

mutationwithdifferentclinicalpicture-whichcanevenoccurwithmutationsinthe

samegene(allelicheterogeneity)hencetheimportanceofstudiesexamining

mutationvariations.

Thecurrentknowngeneticconditionsarebrokenintotwogroups,structural

andarrhythmogenic.Structuraldiseases,whicharemoreeasilydetectedvia

autopsy,includeHCM,DCM,andARVC/D-although,thesecanpresentearlyinits

coursewithnoobviousstructuralanomalies.Thearrhythmogenicdiseases,often

referredtoaschannelopathies,tendtobemissedatautopsybecausetheycauseno

structuralchangestotheheart.ThiscategoryincludesBrS,CPVT,LQTS,andshort

QTsyndrome(SQTS)(Figure1.2).

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Figure1.2:Categoriesofheartdiseaseswheregeneshavebeenfoundtobeinvolved,dividedintocardiomyopathies,CAD,andchannelopathies.

*Rare–notdiscussedindissertation

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1.3.1 StructuralDiseases

Structuralabnormalitiesoftheheartareasignificantresultofgeneticheart

disorders(Ingles&Semsarian,2007).Thestructuralabnormalitiesthatresultare

notidenticalacrossdiseases,buttypicallycompromisethestructureoftherightor

leftventricle,possiblythroughfatdeposition,hypertrophy,ordilatation.These

abnormalitiescangoundetectedthroughoutanindividual’slife,andmayonlybe

diagnosedafterSCDandameticulousautopsy.DefiningtheexactburdenofSCDdue

tothesecardiomyopathiesisachallengingtask.Overall,thecontributiontoSCD

causedbycardiomyopathiesdifferswithdisease;ARVC/Disrankedthehighest,

followedbyHCM,andthenDCM(Sen-Chowdhry&McKenna,2012).

DCMisthemostcommoncardiomyopathyworldwide,characterizedby

dilatationandimpairedcontractionoftheleftorbothventricles(Jefferies&Towbin,

2010).ThenaturalhistoryofDCMisforpatientstopresentwithheartfailureoran

arrhythmia;heartfailureoranarrhythmiceventcanleadtoSCD(Sen-Chowdhry&

McKenna,2012).

HCMisacommonlyinheritedcardiomyopathy,definedbythepresenceofleft

ventricularhypertrophyintheabsenceofabnormalloadingconditions,suchas

hypertension(Jacobyetal.,2013).Themyocardialhypertrophycancausenumerous

outcomesthatmayleadtoSCD,forexample,obstructionoftheleftventricular

outflowtract,atrialfibrillation,andventriculararrhythmias(Elliott&McKenna,

2004).

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Arrhythmogenicrightventricularcardiomyopathy/dysplasia(ARVC/D)isa

heritablecardiomyopathywherebypatientsdemonstrateafibrofattyreplacementof

themyocardiumoftherightventricle(RV)(Thiene,Nava,Corrado,Rossi,&Pennelli,

1988).Thelossofhealthymyocardiumincreasesriskofarrhythmia,whichmay

causeSCD.Allofthesecardiomyopathiesinvolveageneticcomponent,meaningthey

areoftencausedbyageneticmutation.AsseeninTable1.1(andAppendixA),there

aremultiplegeneticmutationspercondition,allaffectingadifferentproteinthat

altersthefunctionoftheheart.Forexample,ARVCcanbecausedbyamutationin

TMEM43,desmoplakin,desmoglein2etc.,allofwhichhavedifferentfrequenciesin

differentpopulations.

1.3.2ArrhythmogenicDiseases

Arrhythmogenicheartconditionsarenotanatomicallyapparentintheheart,as

theyoperateonanon-structurallevel.Giventhephysicalsubtlenessofthese

conditions,assessingthetrueburdenisquitedifficult.Toillustrate,a2001Italian

studyexaminingyoungSCDvictims(≤35yearsofage)foundthat16subjects(6%)

diedwithanapparentlynormalheart,andthecauseofSCDunexplained(Corrado,

Basso,&Thiene,2001).ItisthesecasesofSUD,orstudiesthatcannotexplainSCD,

thatlikelyetiologymaybeatypeofchannelopathy.

BrSisanarrhythmicsyndromecharacterizedbyincreasedriskforsuddendeath

resultingfromepisodesofpolymorphicventriculartachyarrhythmia’s(Chen&

Priori,2008).CPVTisanotherheritablearrhythmiathattypicallymanifestswith

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exertionalsyncopeorsuddendeath(Priori,2002).LQTSisatypeofchannelopathy

thatinvolvesdelayedrepolarizationofthemyocardium,resultinginanincreased

riskofanarrhythmiaandthusSCD(D.Tester&Ackerman,2009).SQTS,amore

recentlyrecognizedclinicalsyndrome,istheoppositeofLQTSinthatitinvolvesa

shortQTintervalwhichincreasesriskofSCD(D.Tester&Ackerman,2009).Again,

alloftheseconditionssignificantlyinvolveageneticcomponent(Table1.1&

AppendixA).

1.4 Non-GeneticEtiology

Aspreviouslymentioned,SCDistheresultofacomplexinterplayofmultiple

factors–notallaregenetic.Firstly,therearemedicalconditionsthatcancauseor

contributetoSCD.DiabetesmellitusisasignificantriskfactorforSCD,provenin

multiplestudies,includingtheParisProspectiveStudyI,whichfoundthrough

multivariateanalysisthatdiabetesindependentlyconferredasignificantriskfor

SCD(relativerisk=2.64,95%confidenceinterval=1.26–5.53)(Jouven,Desnos,

Guerot,&Ducimetiere,1999).Othercomorbiditiesincludedintheequationare

smokingandobesity,oftenduetoalackofphysicalactivityand/ordiet.These

environmentalfactorshavealreadybeenproventohaveanegativeimpacton

cardiachealthbyincreasingriskofCAD,andthusSCD.Arecentcase-controlstudy

onfiremen≤45yearsoldfoundthatofthe87SCDvictims,63%wereobeseand

67%hadCAD(Yangetal.,2013).Cardiomegalywasalsofoundin66%ofvictims

andthiswasassociatedwithfive-foldincreasedriskofSCD(Yangetal.,2013).As

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well,hypertensionwasassociatedwitha12-foldincreasedriskofSCD,andsmoking

andcardiovasculardiseaseshowedtobeindependentriskfactorsforSCD(Yanget

al.,2013).Finally,anotherenvironmentalfactorthattiesallofthistogetherislow

SES.IntheongoingOregonSuddenUnexpectedDeathStudy,a2-yearprospective

evaluationofthepotentialrelationshipbetweenSESandoccurrenceofSCDwas

performed(Reinieretal.,2006).ThisinvestigationincludedallcasesofSCDina

largeurbanandsuburbanUScounty(populationof670,000).IncidenceofSCD

basedonaddressofresidencewas30%to80%higheramongresidentsof

neighborhoodsinthelowestSESquartilecomparedtoneighborhoodsinthehighest

SESquartile.However,thestudydidnotcorrectforanyadditionalpossible

confoundingfactors(suchassmoking,obesity,diabetesetc.),andthereforeitis

difficulttocommentonthevalidityoftheSES-SCDrelationship.Whileitremains

unexploredtothefullestextent,itiscleartherewillalwaysbemultiple

environmentalfactorsatwork.

Thereareothernon-geneticcausesthatcouldactasamoredirecttriggerofSCD,

suchasalcoholconsumption,physicalactivity,oraviralinfection.Alcoholhaslong

beenknowntobetheculpritofcardiacarrhythmiasamongstheavydrinkers,for

examplebycausinganatrialfibrillationtheheartcannotgetoutofonitsown

(Koskinen,Kupari,Leinonen,&Luomanmaki,1987).Therelationshipbetween

alcoholandarrhythmiasiscomplicatedandcontroversial,dependentonmany

factors,suchasgender,age,amountofalcoholconsumed,andwhetherornotan

individualisalcoholdependent(Wannamethee,Shaper,Macfarlane,&Walker,

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1995).Forcertain,arrhythmiasduetoalcoholdooccur,mostcommonlyviaatrial

fibrillation,butothermechanismsarepossible,suchasventriculartachycardia

(George&Figueredo,2010).Physicalactivityhasbeenundersuspicionbymanyas

atriggerforSCD,asSCDisacommoncauseofdeathinathletes;however,recent

studieshaveshownthatthemajorityofSCDvictimsdiedwhilesedentary(Chughet

al.,2008;Reddyetal.,2009).ThesestudieshavelookedatSCDinthegeneral

population,andhavenotaccountedforwhichvictimswereathletes,thereforethese

datadoesnotspeaktotherelationshipofSCDandathletes,butmoresotothe

averageindividual.Finally,averyseriousandprovencauseofSCDisabacterial

infection,suchasinfectiveendocarditis(Thunyetal.,2013).

AllofthesefactorscouldpossiblycauseSCD,orcouldalsointeractwith

underlyinggeneticmutationstocauseadiseasephenotype.Whilenon-genetic

factors,suchasobesity,smoking,hypertensionetc.,indisputablyplayaroleinSCD,

themajorityofthemwilltakeeffectinanolderagedpopulation,thatistosaythat

foryoungSCDthesefactorshavelessimpact,butasmiddleagenearstheylikely

playabiggerrole.

1.5CharacterizedPopulationsDealingwithYoungSCD

ThereareanumberofstudiesthathaveexaminedthecausesofyoungSCDin

specificpopulations.Currentliteraturesuggeststhereissignificantmortality

associatedwithgeneticcardiacdisorders.Astudycompletedin2004byDoolanet

al.analyzedsuddendeathsinAustraliansubjects(≤35yearsofage)thatoccurred

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from1994-2002(Doolanetal.,2004).Intotal,therewere193deathsclassifiedas

SCD.ThesedeathswerecausedbyCAD(24%),HCM(15%),congenitalheartdisease

(7%),agroupclassifiedas‘other’whichincludedaorticdissectionandvalvular

heartdisease(11%),andagroupwithnostructuralanomaliesthuspresumed

arrhythmic(31%).Inthisveryyoungcohort,thereislikelyageneticcomponentat

play,asathirdofthedeathshavenostructuralissuesatall.

A2001ItalianstudybyCorrodoetal.examined273subjectswhohadsuffered

SCD(≤35yearsofage)withapparentlynormalhearts(Corradoetal.,2001).The

heartsofthesubjectswereanalyzedusingadetailedprotocolthatincludedboth

histologicalandmacroscopicanalysis.Theyfound72%ofthevictimshadan

underlyingcardiacabnormality,suchasacardiomyopathyorCAD.Theremaining

28%hadamacroscopicallynormalheart;however,uponfurtherhistologic

examination79%ofthesecasesrevealedconcealedpathologicsubstratessuchas

ARVC/Dandfocalmyocarditis.Atotalof16%showedneithermacroscopicnor

histologicabnormalitiesleavingthemechanismofSCDunexplained.Thereisno

mentionofblindinginthisstudyforthepathologists,whichisasignificantpotential

forbias.Therewasacontrol groupof20heartsfromage-andsex-matchedsubjects

whodiedsuddenlyofdrugabuseorextra-cardiaccauses.Noneofthecontrolhearts

exhibitedsignificantcoronary,myocardial,valve,orconductionsystem

abnormalities.Thisparticularstudyagainhighlightsthattherearepossiblygenetic

abnormalitiespresent,orenvironmentalexposuresthathaveleftnotrace.

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Tragically,therearealwayscaseswherenoevidenceofSCDispresent,asidefrom

thedeath,whichtypicallyleadstoamisdiagnosisofcauseofdeath.

Astudypublishedin2011byEckartetal.reportedontheincidenceandnature

ofsuddendeathinalargebutselectgroupofUnitedStatesmilitaryrecruits(Eckart

etal.,2011).Theyidentified902predominantlymalesubjects(meanage38+/-11

years)forwhomthecauseofdeathwasofpotentialcardiacetiology.Suddendeath

wasattributedtoacardiacconditionin79%andwasunexplainedin21%.From

reviewingtheliteratureitisclearthatthereisacommontrendofhighratesof

youngSCDmortality.

InCanada,onlytwostudieshavebeencompletedlookingatSCDincidenceinthe

young.OnestudybyLimetal.(2010)inBritishColumbiafoundanincidenceofSUD,

inages0-35,of3.07per100,000peryear,and1.75per100,000peryearofSCD,

demonstratingthereisindeedalargeburdenassociatedwithyoungsuddendeath.

Morerecently,Pilmeretal.(2013)completedastudyfortheyear2008inON,

examiningthescopeandnatureofSCDinages2-40.Theyfoundthatincidenceof

SCDincreasedwithage,andthosebelowage30aremorelikelytosufferfroma

primaryarrhythmiasyndrome(oddsratio=2.97,p<.001).TheseCanadianstudies

showthatyoungSCDisarelevantissuehere,thoughmoreresearchisneededto

fullycharacterizetheissue,asCanadaisageneticallydiversepopulation.

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1.6 NewfoundlandandLabrador(NL):AFounderPopulation

In2008,Merneretal.identifiedageneticmutationinpatientsandextended

relativesfrom15unrelatedfamilieswithNewfoundlandancestry-inTMEM43gene

thatcausesautosomaldominantARVC/D.Thismutation(p.S358L)changesthe

aminoacidserinetotheaminoacidleucineatposition358.Ourteamshowedthat

theclinicalconsequenceofharboringtheTMEM43mutationisearlySCD(50%of

untreatedmalesdeceasedby40years,80%by50years)(Merneretal.,2008).

TreatmentforARVC/DusingtheICDisaveryeffectivetreatmentmethodifthe

mutationorheartconditionisknown(Hodgkinsonetal.,2005).

AlthoughitiscurrentlyknownthatthismutationispresentintheNL

population,thedeterminationofitsphysicaleffectcomesfromtheascertainmentof

familiesmanifestingearlySCD.Wedonotcurrentlyknowtheexactincidenceofthe

p.S358Lmutationinthepopulation,andongoingstudiesaimtodeterminethe

answer.Wedoknow,however,thatamultitudeofgeneticmutationsarecausing

cardiacproblemsintheNLpopulationsascurrentlytheCardiacGeneticsClinic

underEasternHealthinSt.John’s,NLhasbeenreferred649familieswithvarious

cardiacconditions.Thecondition/reasonforreferralwiththehighestnumberof

familiesisSCD(K.Hodgkinson,personalcommunication,September25th,2014).

Fromanenvironmentalriskfactorpointofview,NLisonthehighendofthe

spectrumwhenitcomestoriskofheartdisease(Asgharietal.,2015;Filate,

Johansen,Kennedy,&Tu,2003).Whenitcomestoobesity,arecentstudyshowed

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NLtobethe‘heaviest’provinceinCanada,andprojectedthistobethetrendforthe

future(Twells,Gregory,Reddigan,&Midodzi,2014).Whileobesityitselfisnotlife

threatening,thesequelaeitcancausearehighlyrelatedtoheartdisease–

hypertension,diabetestypeII,CAD,andstroke(Luoetal.,2007).NLisalsointhe

toprangefortheprovincesinhighestpercentageofsmokers,hypertension,lackof

physicalactivity,anddiabetes(StatisticsCanada,2014a).Allofthesefactors

contributetothemultifactorialetiologyofheartconditions.Onafinalnote,while

environmentundoubtedlyplaysaroleforthesehealthfactors,thereislikelya

geneticcomponentinvolvedintheseconditionsaswell.Environmentisnotsolelyto

blameassomefactors,suchashypertensionandobesity,haveageneticcomponent

aswell(Bell,Walley,&Froguel,2005).

1.7 MedicalExaminerProtocolandReports

Thedutiesofmedicalexaminersarerelevanttothisprojectasthedatais

collectedfromamedicalexaminer’sdatabase.InCanada,medicalexaminersare

mandatedtoinvestigatealldeathsthataresudden,unexpected,orfromnon-natural

causes.Theseinvestigations,completedregion-by-region,answerthefollowing5

questions:whowasdeceased;how,whenandwherethedeathoccurred;andby

whatmeansthedeathoccurred.Aftercompletionoftheinvestigation,alldeathsare

centralizedtotheOfficeofChiefMedicalExaminer(OCME)fortheprovince.

Themedicalexaminer’sreportincludespersonalinformationandresultsfrom

themedicalinvestigation–dateofdeath,mannerofdeath,reportedcauseofdeath,

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environmentofdeath,aswellasanarrativesectionthatincludesotherrelevant

informationsuchasmedicalhistory,andinterviewsfromfriends,family,or

eyewitnesses.Onoccasion,whencircumstancesrequireit,policereportsor

insurancecompanyreportsarealsointhereport.SeeAppendixBforasample

MedicalExaminer’sreport.

1.8StudyRationaleandHypothesis

ThescopeandnatureofSCDinNLpopulationisunknown.OnestudyfromON

usinga2008cohortassessedtheincidenceofSCDinpersonsaged2-40yearsoldto

be2.64per100,000(Pilmeretal.,2013).Wehavechosenthisstudyforcomparison

becauseweareabletoreplicatetheirrigorousmethodologyfortheexactsameyear

(2008).Aswell,ON,incontrasttothefounderpopulationinNL,isalargeCanadian

outbredpopulation,thuswewillbeabletodirectlycomparetheincidenceofyoung

SCDofafounderpopulation(NL)toanoutbredpopulation(ON).

WehypothesizethatNLmayhaveahigherincidenceofearlySCDinthisage

categoryduetotheknownmutationscausingheartdiseasesandunknown

underlyinggeneticcauses,giventhehistoricalgeneticisolationofthepopulation.

WehopetobetterunderstandthescopeandnatureofSCDinNLtohelpinform

healthpolicy,therapy,andprevention.

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1.9 StudyObjectives

Theobjectivesofthisstudyareto:

1. AscertainthenumberofSCDsinyoungpersons(ages2-40)fromaprovincial

registryofmedicalexaminer-referredsuddendeathsin2008.

2. MakeadirectcomparisonwithON,acomparablymoreoutbredpopulation.

Theinitialanalysiswillfocusonages2-40thenwewilladdages41-50tothe

cohort,asweknowthatmanydeathsduetoTMEM43occurinthatdecade,as

wellasduetoCAD.

3. Gatherdataforages2-50fromtheyear1997–ayearbeforetheICDwasan

availabletreatmentinNL–toobserveanySCDratedifferenceswith2008(a

yearwheretreatmentwasreadilyavailableinNL).

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2.Methods

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2.1CohortsofInterest

Icollectedqualitativedataontheyears2008and1997.Theyear2008is

significantbecausewecancompareourdatatoanONstudythatcollecteddata

fromtheyear2008(Pilmeretal.,2013).Forcomparisonwithour2008data,we

collectedqualitativedatafrom1997becauseitisayearwhentheICD,an

effectiveheartdiseasetreatment,wasnotavailableforinsertioninNL.Thisisin

comparisonto2008,whentheICDwasreadilyavailableinNL.

Theagegroupswewereinterestedinare2-40and2-50years.The2-40

agegroupistherangetheONstudyused,thereforewewantedtohaveanexact

comparisongroup.Wealsodecidedtocollectfromages41-50becauseweknow

thatmanySCDsoccurinthisagerange,andwewanttocapturethefullspectrum

ofyoungSCD.

Forsimplificationpurposes,IwillrefertotheNL2008ages2-40as

cohortA,NL2008ages2-50ascohortB,andNL1997ages2-50ascohortC

(Table2.1).

2.2DataCollection

Thisepidemiologicstudyincorporatedaretrospectivecohortdesign,withan

emphasisonreplicatingtheONstudy’smethodsascloselyaspossibletoallowusto

directlycomparewiththeirresults.Qualitativedatawascollectedon276cases.

CasesofpotentialrelevancewereidentifiedfromthedatabaseoftheOCMEofNL

(Figure2.1).Allfilescontainedamedicalexaminer’sreport,andanautopsy

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Table2.1:Labelingofthecohorts

Cohortgroup LabeledCohort

NL2008,age2-40 A

NL2008,age2-50 B

NL1997,age2-50 C

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Figure:2.1:ProcessofcategorizingdeathsandassigningtocategoryofSCD.

SeeTables2.1&2fordefinitionsofmannersofdeathandcategoriesoflikelinessof

SCD,respectively.RedboxesindicatethecasesweassignedasSCDandthus

analyzed.

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reportifconducted.Additionalinformation,suchaspolicereportsorreportsfor

insurancecompanieswereavailabledependingonthecircumstancesofthedeath.

SeeAppendicesBandCforasampleMedicalexaminer’sreportandthefullchart

auditform.

SUDwasdefinedasaneventresultingindeathorterminallifesupportwithin

1hourofcollapse,oranunwitnessed,butunexpecteddeathintheabsenceofa

knownorsuspectedconditionthatmaypredisposetoterminalillness(Eckartetal.,

2011).Deathswerefurtherdefinedascardiacinoriginiftherewasautopsy-

confirmedheartdiseasewithcircumstancesconsistentwithapotentialcardiac

causeofdeath.SCDwasalsodeclaredwhentheautopsyshowednoidentifiable

causeofdeath,anditwasthereforepresumedacardiacarrhythmiatookplace.SUD

belowtheageof2yearswasconsideredaseparateentityandwasnotincluded.A

portionofcasesdidnothaveanautopsycompleted,andSUDwasthenclassifiedat

thediscretionoftheChiefMedicalExaminer.

Casesofpotentialrelevancewerereviewedbymyselfaftersatisfying3

inclusioncriteria:(1)dateofdeathin2008(sameyearasON)or1997,(2)ageat

deathbetween2-40or41-50,and(3)mannerofdeath(auniversalpathologist

classificationmethod)listedas“natural-cardiac”,“natural-other”,“accidental”or

“undetermined”(Table2.2).Thisyielded70casesfor2008ages2-40and49cases

for2008ages41-50toreview.For1997,thisyielded90casesages2-40and67

casesages41-50toreview.Consideringthesmallyieldofnumberofsubjects,every

casewasreviewedindetail.Casesthatwerenotsudden,notunexpected,ornotof

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Table2.2:Mannersofdeathusedbyforensicpathologists.

Manner Definition

Natural-Cardiac Deathduetonaturaldiseaseprocessesin

cardiacnature

Natural-Other Deathduetonaturaldiseaseprocessesof

unknownsystem

Accidental Deathduetoinjurywherethereisno

evidenceofintenttoharm

Undetermined Inadequateinformationregarding

circumstancesofdeathtodetermine

manner

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possiblecardiacetiologywereexcludedafterreview.Forexample,caseswere

excludedwhencauseofdeathwasclearlynon-cardiac,suchassepsisorpneumonia,

andaswellcasesinvolvingpassengersandpedestriansofmotorvehicleaccidents,

andhousefires.

Datawascollectedonall276cases,whichwereconsideredpossibleSCDs.

Thesedataincludeddemographicinformation,suchasdateofbirth,sex,anddeath

informationincludingdate,location,cause,andmannerofdeath.Autopsyfindings,

especiallyrelatedtocardiacconditions,werenoted,aswasanyknownhistoryof

cardiacorotherdisease.Cardiacpathologydiscoveredonautopsywaslisted

separatelyfromanyknownpreexistingcardiacconditions.Sincethefilesdidnot

containcopiesoftheindividual’smedicalcharts,previousmedicalconditionswere

notedatthediscretionoftheinvestigatingmedicalexaminerandabstractedbya

singleinvestigator.

Additionaldatacollectedincludedpremonitorysymptoms,natureofphysical

activityandintensityatthetimeofdeath,medicationorsubstanceuse,cardiacrisk

factors,andnarrativedetailsaboutthecircumstancesofdeathfromtheavailable

evidence.Premonitorysymptoms,symptomswithin24hourspriortodeathand

alsopriortothe24hours,includedpotentialcardiacsymptoms,suchaschestpain,

shortnessofbreath,andsyncope.Physicalactivitylevelatthetimeofdeathwas

determinedfromthemedicalexaminer’snarrativeandwasclassifiedasduring

sleep,atrest,duringlighttomoderateactivitiesofdailyliving(ADLs),during

moderatetovigorousexerciseorunknown.Subjectswereclassifiedasdyingatrest

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iftheeventwasdescribedassuchbyaneyewitnessorifthedecedentwasfoundina

positionsuggestingrest.LighttomoderateADLsincludedactivitiessuchas

houseworkandothernonphysicallystrenuousactivitiessuchasdriving.Moderate

tovigorousexerciseincludedanysportingorfitnessactivitiessuchasswimming

andrunning,aswellasanystrenuousphysicalworkorchoressuchasshoveling

snow.Furtherinvestigationssuchasrequestsforadditionalmedicalrecordsor

personalinterviewswerenotobtainedbecauseoftheretrospectivenatureofthe

study.

2.3LikelinessofSCD

AfterIcollectedalldata,eachcasewasreviewedbymyselfandanexpert

panel:anexperiencedexpertingeneticcardiacarrhythmias(K.H.),anexperienced

cardiacgeneticcounselor(F.C.),andanexperiencedexpertincardiacpathologyand

theprovincialdeathinvestigationsystem(S.A.,ChiefMedicalExaminer,Provinceof

NL).TheexpertpanelandI,usingthesamesystemasON,categorizedeachsubject

intolikelinessofSCD.All276subjectswereassignedtoacategoryoflikelihoodof

SCDbyreviewingalldatacollected,incorporatinginformationfromacrossthefile,

includingmedicalcauseofdeath,underlyingpathology,descriptionofthe

environmentandcircumstances,andcontributingfactorsandcomorbidities(Table

2.3).Thefirstcategory,‘suddendeath’,comprisedthosewhodiedofsuddendeath

withnoadditionalfactorscontributingtodeath(ex.alcohol,toxicology,hazardous

conditions)(labeled‘definite’-Table2.3).Thisgroupalsoincludedthosewhohad

onlyonecontributingfactor,otherthancardiacdisease

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Table2.3:LikelinessofSCDcategories.

Categories Criteria

SuddenDeath

Definite SCDwithnoadditionalfactors

Probable SCDwith1potentialcontributingfactor

Examples:24yearoldmalediedduringnapafterexercising,28

yearoldmalefoundinbedwithhighalcohollevel(notfatallevel)

Possible Accidentswith1contributingfactor

Example:27yearoldmalediedinmotorvehicleaccidentinicy

weather

Unlikely Greaterthan1contributingfactor

Example:49yearoldmale,canoeoverturned,nolifejacket,

alcoholinvolved

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orprimaryarrhythmiathatwasnotofsufficientgravitytohavecauseddeath

(labeled‘probable’-Table2.3).Forexample,anindividualwithpositivetoxicology

(non-lethal)withnootheranatomicalcauseotherthanapossiblyenlargedheart

wasapresumedarrhythmia.Thenextcategory,‘possiblesuddendeath’,wasfor

‘accidental’caseswherebytherewasonlyonecontributingfactor,asidefromthe

accident.Inessence,thiscategoryhopedtocaptureaccidentsthatmayhavebeen

causedbyanarrhythmia.Tonote,accidentswithzerocontributingfactorswere

placedinthe‘probable’group.Anexampleofthiswouldbeacaraccidentwithno

logicalcontributingfactors(highspeed,badweather,alcohol,etc.).

Finally,thelastcategorywas‘unlikely’,whichcomprisedanydeathsthathadmore

thanonecontributingfactor.Atthispoint,wemovedaportionofthe‘unlikely’sto

anexclusiongroupiftheywerenotsudden,notunexpected,ornotofpossible

cardiacetiology.ThiswasinanefforttokeepmethodologysimilartotheONstudy.

The‘suddendeath’categorywasfurtherbrokendownintowhethertheSCD

wascausedduetoanunderlyingstructuralheartissueornoanatomicalcause.The

structuralcaseswerefurthercategorizedintoischemicandnon-ischemic.Also

notedwaswhetherthestructuralcaseswererecognizedorunrecognizedbythe

subjectpriortodeath(Figure2.1).

2.4StatisticalAnalysis

IperformedallstatisticalanalysisusingSPSSversion20.Descriptive

statisticswerecompleted,andtheChi-squaretestwasusedwiththeadditionof

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Fisher’sexacttestifthesamplesizewassmall.Ap-valueof<.05wasconsidered

significant.

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3.Results

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3.1Incidences

Inthe20082-40cohort(A),17deathswereadjudicatedasSCDfroman

estimatedpopulationof232,210people(StatisticsCanada,2014b).Thenumberof

casesincomparisonwiththeONcohortisn=17forNLvs.n=174forON,shownin

Figure3.1(Pilmeretal.,2013).Basedontheestimatedpopulation,theincidencein

NLofcohortAis7.32/100,000persons.Whenthecohortwasexpandedin2008to

thoseaged50yearsold(B),44deathsoutofapopulationof316,244wereadjudged

tobeSCD(Figure3.2),givinganincidenceof13.9/100,000persons.In1997,66

deathsoutofapopulationof406,173inage’s2-50cohort(C)werefoundtobeSCD

(Figure3.2),givinganincidenceof16.23/100,000persons.Theincidencesforeach

cohort,andtheONcohort,basedonageandthegenderbreakdownisshownin

Table3.1and3.2.SeeAppendixDforprimarydata.

ComparingtheNLcohortAtotheONdata,NLhasasignificantlyhigher

incidenceofSCDthanON(p<.0001)(Table3.1).Whencomparingagegroups

betweenthecohorts,NLbecomessignificantlyhigherforagegroups19-29and30-

40(p=.028&p=.008,respectively)(Table3.1).Thereisalsoacleartrendherethat

SCDincreaseswithage.ThereisagenderdifferenceintheNLdata,asthecohortis

65%male.Whilethismaypresentsomeissuesforthestudy,ONhasthesame

genderbiasandthechi-squarecomparingNLtoONgivesanon-significant

difference(Table3.1).Comparingthe2008NL(B)datato1997NL(C),thereisa

generaltrendofmoreSCDsin1997butitisanon-significantdifference(Table3.2).

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NL2008Age2-40(A)

Figure3.1:ReviewofallpotentialSCDcasesinNLin2008age’s2-40(A)in

comparisontoON(2008,age’s2-40)(Pilmeretal.,2013).

*:Caseswithnoautopsycouldnotbesegregatedanyfurther(n=1)

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NL2008and1997Age2-50(B&C)

Figure3.2:ReviewofallpotentialSCDcasesinNL2008inages2-50cohort(B),in

comparisontoNL1997age’s2-50cohort(C).

*:Caseswithnoautopsycouldnotbesegregatedanyfurther(n=10for2008,n=14

for1997)

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Table3.1:ComparisonsofincidenceandgenderforNL2008age’s2-40(A)andON

2008ages2-40(Pilmeretal.,2013).

*=Significantdifference,p<.05

†=Fishersexacttestused,expectedcellcount<5

SeeAppendixDforprimarydata

NL20082-40(A) ON20082-40 Chi-squarevalue,significance(p-value)

IncidencesOverall 7.32/100,000 2.64/100,000 Χ2=17.625,

p<.0001*Ages2-18 2.15/100,000 0.7/100,000 Χ2=2.418,p=.158†Ages19-29 7.52/100,000 2.4/100,000 Χ2=6.488p=.028*†Ages30-40 13.74/100,000 5.3/100,000 Χ2=8.929p=.008*†GenderMale(%) 65% 76% Χ2=1.024,p=.379†

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Table3.2:ComparisonsofincidenceandgenderforNL2008age’s2-50(B)andNL

1997age’s2-50(C).

†=Fishersexacttestused,expectedcellcount<5

SeeAppendixDforprimarydata

NL20082-50(B) NL19972-50(C) Chi-squarevalue,significance(p-value)

IncidencesOverall 13.9/100,000 16.23/100,000 Χ2=.626,p=.429Ages2-18 2.15/100,000 2.32/100,000 Χ2=.007,p=1.00†Ages19-29 7.52/100,000 7.70/100,000 Χ2=.002,p=.969Ages30-40 13.74/100,000 18.1/100,000 Χ2=.486,p=.486

Ages41-50 32.1/100,000 43.7/100,000 Χ2=1.496,p=.221GenderMale(%) 80% 76% Χ2=.216,p=.642

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Gender-wise,weseethesametrendhere,amale-biaspresent,butagainthereisa

non-significantdifferencebetweenthetwocohorts(Table3.2).

3.2CauseofDeath

Afterexcludingthecaseswithoutautopsyforanalysis,incohortAthereare9

caseswithstructuralheartproblems,and7withoutanyidentifiablecause.Inthe

olderagecohorts,BandC,therearemore‘structural’deathsthan‘noanatomical

cause’deaths(B=23‘structural’,11‘noanatomicalcause’,C=43‘structural’,9‘no

anatomicalcause’(Figures3.3&3.4).Thissharpincreasein‘structural’deathsis

likelyobservedduetotheaddedagegroup(41-50’s),asbothcohortspossesslarge

structuralnumbersinthesegroups(2008=14,1997=24).Whencomparingthe

ratioof‘structural’to‘noanatomicalcause’betweencohortAandON,thereisanon-

significantdifference(p=.172).Aswell,comparingcohortBwithcohortCgivesa

non-significantresult(p=.106).Overall,itiscleartherearemorestructuralheart

issuesintheolderpopulation,andmoreunexplainabledeathsappeartobein

youngerage.

Uponfurtherinvestigationofthesubjectswithstructuralcardiacissues,

therewereasmallnumberofsubjectsthatrecognizedaheartissuebeforedeath.In

cohortA11.1%hadarecognizedissue.IncohortB,4.3%hadarecognizedissue.In

cohortC,30.2%hadarecognizedissue.

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Figure3.3:CausesofSCDbyageinNL2008cohort(B).

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Figure3.4:CausesofSCDbyageinNL1997cohort(C).

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CADwasamajorcauseofdeathinall3cohorts.Insubjectsinthe‘structural’

diseasecategory,incohortA,4/9(44%)subjectshadCAD.IncohortB,16/23

subjects(70%)hadCAD,andincohortC,34/43(79%)subjectshadCAD.Lookingat

theentirecohort,causeofdeathaside:cohortAhad6/16(38%)subjectswith

evidenceofCAD,cohortBhad19/34(56%)ofsubjectswithevidenceofCAD,and

cohortChad36/52(69%)ofsubjectswithevidenceofCAD.TheONcohortfor2008

2-40’shad49%(comparison:p=.782)ofthosewithstructuralheartdiseasewith

CAD,and36%ofallSCDs(comparison:p=.918)withCAD.Theredoesnotappearto

beanydifferencebetweenNLandONwithrespecttoCAD.

WhileCADplayedabigroleinallthreecohorts,thesecondmostcommon

causeofdeathwas‘noanatomicalcause’.The3rdmostcommoncategorywas

labeled‘other’,whichisamiscellaneouscategory(Figures3.5&3.6).

3.3Location,ActivityLevel,&Symptoms

IncohortA,65%ofsubjectsdiedintheirhome.ForcohortB,59%diedin

theirhomes,andforcohortC56%diedathome.Thesmallnumberofcasesineach

cohortthatdidnotdieathomesuccumbedatwork,school,orpublicplaces.TheON

cohortfoundthat72%oftheirsubjectsdiedathome(Pilmeretal.,2013).

Examiningactivitylevelattimeofdeathshowsthatthevastmajorityofcases

in2008diedwhileatrestorinsleep(cohortA=71%,cohortB=75%).CohortChad

only36%ofsubjectsdiewhileatrestorsleep,however,therewere

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Figure3.5:CausesofSCDinthe2008NL2-40cohort(A).

‘Other’categoryincludesvalvulardisease,structuralanomaly,myocarditis,

suspiciouscaraccident,andadrugoverdose.

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Figure3.6:CausesofSCDinthe2008and1997NL2-50cohort(B&C).

‘Other’categoryincludesvalvulardisease,structuralanomalies,myocarditis,

suspiciousaccidents,adrugoverdose,ageneticcondition,anAVnodetumor,anda

mitralvalveprolapse.

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16caseswith‘unknown’locationsofdeathinthiscohortduetolackofautopsy

reportdetail.Thesecondlargestcategoryforactivitylevelwaslight-moderate

activity.IncohortA,24%diedduringlight-moderateexercise.IncohortB,14%of

subjectsdiedduringlight-moderateexercise,andincohortC,30%ofsubjectsdied

duringlight-moderateexercise.Thelastcategoryremaining,andalsothesmallest

category,ismoderate-vigorousactivity.CohortA,B,andCallhadsmallnumbers

(5%,11%,and9%,respectively).TheONcohortfoundasimilartrend:11%oftheir

casesdiedduringmoderate-vigorousactivity(Pilmeretal.,2013).Aswell,ONfound

that33%oftheir2-18agegroupdiedduringmoderate-vigorousactivity;however,

inourcohortsallmoderate-vigorousdeathswereabovetheageof30.Some

examplesofmoderate-vigorousactivitiesintheNLcohortsare:playingracquetball,

manuallabor,swimming,andmilitiatrainingexercise.

Ingeneral,therewereveryfewcasesinallcohortsthatexperienced

symptomsbeforedeath.IncohortA,3of17subjectshadchestpains.Twoofthese3

subjectswenttoaphysicianforinvestigation,howeverbothweredismissed

(strainedmuscleinchestandbronchopneumonia).IncohortB,8outof44hadchest

pain,whileoneotherpersonhadshortnessofbreathandoneotherhadpresyncope.

Threeofthe8individualssoughtmedicalattention,butallweredismissed.Incohort

C,7hadchestpains,2hadshortnessofbreath,and8had‘other’symptoms(ex.

stomachsick,dizzy,heartburn).Nineofthese17subjectssoughtinvestigation,and6

weredismissed.Threewereawaitingfurthercardiacinvestigation.

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4.Discussion

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ThequestionthiscurrentstudyposesiswhetherthescopeandnatureofSCDin

NLisofsignificance,andwhetheritisagreaterhealthissueinNLthanON.We

hypothesizedthatNLmayhaveahigherincidenceofearlySCDinthisagecategory

duetotheknownmutationscausingheartdiseasesandunknownunderlyinggenetic

causes,giventhehistoricalgeneticisolationofthepopulation.Weascertainedcases

ofsuddendeath(SD)fortheyear2008and1997(priortotheavailabilityofICDsin

NL)andeachcasewasanalyzedtodeterminelikelihoodofSCD.The2008cohort(A)

wascomparedtoasimilarONcohort.Wefoundthatthereisastatistically

significantincreasedincidenceofSCDinages2-40incomparisonwithONin2008.

WealsofoundthattheincidenceofSCDincreaseswithage,andmalesaremore

oftenthevictimswhencomparedtotheoppositegender.Withregardstocauseof

death,youngerindividualsoftenshownoanatomicalcauseonautopsyandolder

individualstendtoshowmorestructuralcardiacissues.Anystructuralconditions

presentweremostoftenpreviouslyundiagnosed.Themajorityofdeathstookplace

whileatrestathome,andsymptomsleadinguptodeathwereuncommon.

4.1Incidence

InallcohortswefoundahighincidenceofSCD.Similarnumbersarenoted

between2008and1997,forallagegroups.Thestudywascreatedwithsimilar

methodologytoPilmeretal.(2013)formakingdirectcomparisonswithanother

Canadianprovince.Theyfoundthatforages2-40intheyear2008theincidencewas

2.64per100,000persons.Asalreadynoted,ourincidencesurpassesthisbyalmost

3times.

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Findingothercomparablestudiesisadifficulttaskasmethodologyvaries

greatlythroughouttheliterature.Thisvariationofteninvolvesthenatureofthe

study(retrospectiveorprospective),differentagegroups,criteriaforinclusionor

exclusionoftheSDgroup,andinclusionorexclusionofnon-autopsiedcases.There

isoneothersignificantstudyinCanada(BritishColumbia)thatassessedincidence

ofSCDinthoseaged0-35from2005-2007(Limetal.,2010).Limetal.(2010)

examinedalldeathsthatwereplacedinthe‘natural’and‘undetermined’categories,

and‘accidental’deathswerenotincluded.Usingsimilarinclusionandexclusion

criteriatoours,theyfoundtheincidenceofSCDwas1.75per100,000personsper

year(AppendixE).NLtrulyhasahigherincidence.

Otherstudieswithfairlycomparablemethodologywerecompletedin

Ireland,England,andDenmark(SeecomparisontableinAppendixE).InIreland,a

groupofresearcherslookedatSCDinages15-35from2005-2007(Margeyetal.,

2011).ThesamedefinitionofsuddendeathwasusedasourNLstudy.Unlikethe

currentstudy,allcaseswithanypresenceofdrugsthatareknowntocauseSCD(ex.

cocaine,highalcohol)wereexcluded.Theincidencefoundwas2.85/100,000

personsperyear.InEnglandandWales,researchersexamineddeathsfromages1-

34throughyears2002-2005(Papadakisetal.,2009).Theirclassificationsystemdid

includesome‘accidental’deaths,suchasdrowningincidents,astheyrecognized

thesemightrepresentmisclassifiedcardiacdeaths.Overall,theyfoundanincidence

of1.8/100,000personsperyear.

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ThereweretwostudiescompletedinDenmarkspanningnineyears(2000-

2009)thatusedthesamemethodology(Risgaard,Winkel,Jabbari,Behr,etal.,2014;

Winkeletal.,2011).Thesemethodscloselyresembleours,andtheiragegroup

reachedage49whichwecancomparetowithourage2-50cohort.Another

similarityisthattheyincludednon-autopsiedcases.Wedodifferintheuseofextra

informationoutsidetheautopsyfile:thesestudiesusedtheDanishNationalPatient

Registryforsupplementaryhealthinformationonpatients.Fortheagegroup1-35,

the2011and2014studiesfoundsimilarresults:2.8per100,000personyearsand

2.3per100,000persons,respectively.Interestingly,NLdiffersintheolderage

groups:Risgaardetal.(2014)foundthatforages1-49theincidencewas8.6per

100,000personsandforages36-49theincidencewas21.7/100,000.NLhasan

overallhigherincidenceinour2-50agegroups,however,8.6/100,000isthenext

highestvaluefoundintheliterature.Theincidenceforages36-49ismuchhigher

thanourcomparablevalues(13.7/100,000and18.1/100,000for2008and1997,

cohortsB&C,respectively).Apossibleexplanationforthishikeinincidencemight

beduetotheirgreaterpercentageofnon-autopsiedcases(51%)comparedtoour

23%(2008)and21%(1997)ofnon-autopsiedcases.Aswell,itwasalreadynoted

thesestudieshadaccesstoamuchgreateramountofhealthdataonthesubjects.

Aconsistenttrend,shownineveryoneofthesestudiesreviewed,isSCD

increasesinnumberswithincreasingage,andthatitiscertainlymorecommonin

males(Limetal.,2010;Margeyetal.,2011;Papadakisetal.,2009;Pilmeretal.,

2013;Risgaard,Winkel,Jabbari,Behr,etal.,2014).TheactualincidencesofSCDare

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notsuchaconsistenttrend;wehaveahigherspectrumofnumbers.Themostlikely

explanationforthespikeinnumbersisthatNLisafounderpopulation.Wedirectly

comparedwithacomparablymoreoutbredpopulation(ON)andfoundNLtohavea

significantlyhigherSCDincidence.IthasbeenestablishedthattherearelethalSCD

genespresentinNL(Merneretal.,2008),andthismayaccountforthehigher

incidence.CertainlyweknowthatTMEM43playsaroleinSCDinNL;however,we

alsoknowthattherearemultiplemutationspresentinNLasourclinichas649

familiesreferredtotal,andthecategory/conditionwiththelargestnumberof

familiesisSCD(K.Hodgkinson,personalcommunication,September25th,2014).

ToconfirmoursuspicionsofgeneticetiologyofyoungSCDinNLwehopeto

performDNAtestingofthevictimsinourpresentcohortwithapanelofgenetic

mutations,TMEM43included.Whengenetictestingiscompletedattimeofautopsy,

itisreferredtoasamolecularautopsy.Itisacrucialstepforidentifyingcauseof

youngSCD,especiallywhentherearenostructuralfindingsonautopsy.Thishas

beendonebeforeinvariousstudiesandhasshowndiagnosticyieldofthemolecular

autopsytobeupto35%(D.J.Tester&Ackerman,2007;D.J.Tester,Spoon,Valdivia,

Makielski,&Ackerman,2004).Otherstudiesreportdifferentnumbers(Deanetal.,

2015;D.J.Tester,Medeiros-Domingo,Will,Haglund,&Ackerman,2012),withina0-

35%range,thatmaybeareflectionofavarietyofclinicalandmethodologicalissues

relatingtoselectionbiasofpopulationstudied,geneticmutationsincludedonthe

paneletc.(Semsarian,Ingles,&Wilde,2015).

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Thepertinentquestionis:whatelsecouldcausethisincrease?Lifestyle

factorscometomind,andmorespecificallyobesity.ObesityislinkedwithSCD

(Tavoraetal.,2012),andNLisoneofthe‘heaviest’provincesinCanada(Canada,

2011;Twellsetal.,2014).Thecomorbiditiesassociatedwithobesityareprovenrisk

factorsforheartdisease(Luoetal.,2007;VanGaal,Mertens,&DeBlock,2006;

Zalesin,Franklin,Miller,Peterson,&McCullough,2011).Conversely,itispossiblefor

obesepersonstobelivingwithoutanycomorbidityatall,whichbegsthequestion:is

obesityaloneacausativefactorforSCD?Tofurtherunderstandhowobesityis

contributingtoSCD,weneedtoseethehealthrecordsoftheSCDsubjects.Insaying

so,lifestylefactorswillbelookedatmorein-depthinupcomingstudies.

4.2CausesofDeath

Fromautopsyreview,informationoncauseofdeathcanbededucted.We

foundincohortAthat9/16(56%)hadstructuralabnormalitiesnotedonautopsy,

while44%couldnotbegivenacauseofdeath,asnoanatomicabnormalitieswere

present.Thisratiobetween‘structural’and‘noanatomicalcause’wassimilarto

whatPilmeretal.(2013)found(non-significantdifference).Aspreviously

discussed,wehavefoundthatNLhasahigherincidenceofSCDthanON.Theresults

showthatNLhasproportionallymoredeathsinarrhythmicdeathsandstructural

deaths;neithercategoryaloneaccountsforthedifferencebetweenNLandON.With

thenotionthatarrhythmiasareoftenduetoageneticcauseandthatthemajorityof

structuraldeathscomefromCAD,thiscouldpossiblymeanthatNLhasmoregenetic

relatedcardiacdeaths.

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Similarproportionsofnumberscanbenotedinotherstudiesaswell.Ina

comparableretrospectivestudyinAustralia,autopsieswerereviewedbetween

1994-2002inthoseaged35andless(Doolanetal.,2004).Thisreviewshowedthat

31%ofSCDshadnoestablishedcauseofdeath.IntheIrishreviewconductedby

Margeyetal.(2011)on14-35yearolds,theyfoundthat26.7%ofSCDvictimshad

SADS(suddenarrhythmicdeathsyndrome)–asynonymfornoanatomicalcause

foundonautopsy.Inbothofthesestudies,thecategoryof‘noanatomicalcause’was

consideredthehighestintheircohorts.

Contrarytothis,theEnglishstudyonthoseages1-34yearsfoundischemic

heartdiseasetobethehighestcategory(33.5%)withSADSinthirdat14%

(Papadakisetal.,2009).IntheVenetoregionofItalyastudywascompleted

wherebytheyanalyzed273SCDsinthetimeframeof1979-1998(Corradoetal.,

2001).Thecaseswereanalyzedinasimilarmanneraspreviouslymentioned

studies,howevertherewasfurthermicroscopicandhistologicanalysisthanin

comparablestudies.Theyinitiallyfoundthat28%oftheircasesappearedtohaveno

anatomicalcauseofdeath-anumbersimilartootherreports.However,withfurther

analysis,79%ofthosecaseswerefoundtohaveactualphysiologicalissues

discoveredwithamorethoroughautopsy,leavingonly6%ofthe273victimsto

havediedwithnoanatomicalcauseofdeath.Thisisaninterestingandunique

finding,andspeakstotheideathatwemayneedmorerigorousandthorough

autopsiesonpossibleSCDs.

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CADwaswidespreadinourstudy,beingthetopcauseofdeathinthe2008

and1997age’s2-50cohorts(B&C),and3rdin20082-40cohort(A).ONshoweda

similaramountofCADintheircohort(non-significantdifference).IntheDanish

studybyRisgaardetal.,they,similartous,examinedanoldercohort,1-49yearsold

(2014).TheirmostcommoncauseofdeathwasCAD(158/439;36%).Another

studywithanolderagesamplewascompletedintheUnitedStatesbyEckartetal.

(2011).Theyfoundthatforsubjects≥35yearstheleadingcauseofdeathwasCAD,

withanincidenceof13.69per100,000person-yearsforthose≥35years.Bothof

thesestudiesreportthesametrendthatourstudyalsocorroborates:inthose≤35

yearsold,SUDissignificantlymorecommonthanCAD(p<.001),andinthose≥35

yearsold,CADissignificantlymorecommonthanSUD(p<.001)(Eckartetal.,2011;

Risgaard,Winkel,Jabbari,Behr,etal.,2014).

Itisclearfromourstudyandpreviousliteraturethatthereisaportionof

deathsthatappeartobeduetoanarrhythmia,asnocauseofdeathisfoundon

autopsy.Thesedeathstendedtooccurintheyoungerages.Genetictestingattimeof

autopsywouldhelpclarifythecauseofthesedeathsbypossiblydiagnosinga

channelopathy.Asforstructuraldiseases,CADisthemostprevalentandmost

commonlyreportedintheliterature,andtendstoeffecttheolderpopulations.

4.3CircumstancesofDeath

ThecurrentstudyshowsthatthemajorityofvictimsofSCDdiedduringrest

orduringsleep,withthesmallestproportiondyingduringmoderatetovigorous

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activity.IntheSCDfieldofresearch,athleticactivityhaslongbeenundersuspicion

forcausingSCD(Maron,Roberts,McAllister,Rosing,&Epstein,1980).Thereisan

abundanceofevidencetosupportthistheory(Harmon,Drezner,Wilson,&Sharma,

2014);however,itappearsthatSCDismoreprevalentinthegeneralpopulation,and

hereathleticactivityisnotthecausativeagent(Risgaard,Winkel,Jabbari,Glinge,et

al.,2014).TheONstudyfoundasimilarresult,with11%ofSCDsoccurringduring

moderate-vigorousactivity(Pilmeretal.,2013).Thisisfurthercorroboratedbythe

Irishgroupthatfound7.7%(9/116)ofsubjects.SCDsoccurredduringathletic

activitywhilethemajoritydiedduringrestorsleep(Margeyetal.,2011).Finally,the

sameresultwasseeninDenmarkwhereonly11%(43/409)ofsubjectsdiedduring

vigorousactivitywhile84%(347/409)ofsubjectsdiedduringrestorsleep(Winkel

etal.,2010).

Ascertainingwhetherthevictimwassymptomaticornotbeforedeathcanbe

achallengingtask,asitisnotalwaysproperlydocumentedandwedidnothave

accesstomedicalrecords.Wefoundthatonlyasmallpercentageofvictimsinall

cohortsdisplayedanypremonitorysymptoms.Theliteraturetendstoagreewith

thisfinding.Eckartetal.(2011)documentedsymptomsin278(53%)ofthosewho

died,suchaschestpain,dyspnea,andsyncope.Whilethisisindeedahighernumber

thanwefound,theyagreedthatitisdifficulttoobtainanyprodromeasitmostoften

occursimmediatelyantecedenttodeath.Contrarytothesefindings,arecentstudy

examinedCADvictims(age1-35years)bycomparingtheirsymptomswithsexand

agematchedcontrolsthatdiedinaccidents(Jabbarietal.,2013).Theyfoundthat

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62%ofyoungpersonswithSCDexperiencedanginabeforedeath.Thereisawide

spectrumofcausativediseasesandsyndromesthatcauseSCD,thereforeitislogical

thattheremaybeawidespectrumofsymptomsaswell.

4.4Limitations

Notably,afewlimitationsarepresentregardingdiscrepanciesbetweenour

studyandtheONstudy.Mostimportantly,weendeavoredtodesignourstudybased

directlyontheONpublishedmanuscript(Pilmeretal.,2013),whichwaslackingin

explicitmethodologyinsomeareas.Forexample,themannerinwhichtheymade

exclusionswasunclear,andledtoususingaslightlydifferentprocess.Thatbeing

said,thedatausedforprimaryanalysis(the‘suddendeath’group)wascollected

exactlyasONindicated,thereforeoverallthisisaminorlimitation.It’salso

challengingtodirectlycompareourselvestoONwhenwehaveknowinglyuseda

completelydifferentpanelofindividualstoassessthelikelinessofSCD.However,for

NLtoreachanon-significantdifferencecomparedtoON,wewouldhavehadto

incorrectlyassess6deaths,asnon-significance(p>.05)isreachedat11sudden

deaths(wehad17).Proportionally,thisisalargenumbertohaveerredandisthus

unlikely.

Morelimitationsstemfromtheretrospectivenatureofthisstudy.Data

collectionwaslimitedtowhatwasinthefiles–whichattimeswasmissing

information-astheprimarypurposeofthesefilesistosatisfypathology

requirements,notSCDrequirements.TostaytruetothedesignandtheONstudy,

wedidnotattempttolookforadditionalinformationelsewhere.Forexample,not

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everyfileincludedtoxicologyinfo,whichmaycontributetoSCD.However,thevast

majorityhadtoxicologyinthefilewhenthecircumstancesofdeathsuggestedit.

Anotherimportantlimitationthatbecameapparentwithfilereviewwasthe

differentstandardofautopsyreportingbetweenpathologists.WhiletheChief

MedicalExaminerreviewsallautopsies,therearecertainlydifferencesbetweenfiles

dependingonthepathologistwhoperformedtheautopsy.Firstly,notallsubjects

hadautopsies,whichistypicallyatthediscretionofthepathologist,andsometimes

thefamilies.Thisoftenoccurredinmotorvehicleaccidents,wherecauseofdeath

waspresumedtobetheaccident.Inouranalysis,however,themain‘suddendeath’

group(2-40)hadonly1subjectwithoutautopsy,thusitlikelydidnotimpactour

finalresult.Alsodependentonthepathologististhelistofmajorfindingsforan

autopsy,notedonthefirstpage.WefoundthatsomelistswouldbemissingaSCD

majorfinding,offorexampleanenlargedheart,whileothersmighthaveincludedit-

itwasnotconsistent.Thiscouldeasilyinfluenceareaderofanautopsytomissthe

findingofanenlargedheart,asthe‘majorfindings’aresummarizedonthefirst

page.Anexampleofthiswasacaseofa27yearoldmaleinvolvedinaskidoo

accident,withcauseofdeathpresumedasphyxia/drowning,andincidentallyhada

650gheartandfatintherightventricle.Thecardiomegalyherewasnotresearched

anyfurtherandwaslistedwithnofurtherinvestigations.Forourstudy,wepaid

attentiontotheentiretyoftheautopsyandthistypeofincidentalfindingwasnot

likelytobehavebeenmissed.

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Finally,somethingthatismissingfrommostautopsiesisthemolecular

pathology.Thiswouldindicatewhetherthesubjecthadanysignificantgenetic

mutationsthatcouldhavecausedtheirdeath.Veryfewofthereviewedfiles

includedthis,asitisnotyetpartofthestandardautopsy.Wearehopingtoreview

DNAfromfixedblocksinafuturestudy.

Onafinalnote,thesamplesizeinthisstudyissmall,however,itisaslargeas

itcanbegivenourpopulationnumbers.Withthis,itispossiblewearemissing

somesignificantrelationshipsinthedatabecauseournumbersaretoosmallto

showsignificance.Wearecurrentlyworkingtocollectmoredatafromdifferent

yearstohopefullybetterthisissue.

4.5Strengths

Asignificantstrengthofthisstudyisthatweareessentiallyasingle-center

studythatcapturesallcasesinNL.Wedoindeedhaveacentralizeddatabase,but

morethanthatisthatallcasesinNLaresentdirectlytotheChiefMedicalExaminer

(S.A.)tobereviewed,whichlimitsanybiasinascertainmentbecauseweuseda

singleassessor.Additionally,itincreasesthelikelihoodthatwecapturedallSCD

casesinNLin2008and1997.Anotherimportantadvantageofthestudyisthatit

wasdesignedascloselyaspossibletoreplicateanon-founderpopulation(ON)

study,allowingustomakeadirectcomparisonbetweenfounderandnon-founder

populations.

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4.6FutureResearchandConclusion

Thisstudyistheveryfirstpieceofthepuzzle;itprovidesthebasic

informationweneedtostartunderstandingtheburdenSCDcausesinNL.Weknow

alreadytherearegeneticmutationsintheNLpopulation,andnowwehavea

potentialmeasureofthiseffect.Toconfirmthatthedeathswemeasuredarean

outcomeofgenetics,anextstepwouldbetoinvestigatemolecularstudies;allSCD

subjectsin2008havefixedtissueblocks,wewillbetestingtheseformutations.It

wouldalsobeimportanttoexaminelifestyleandenvironmentalfactorsinfuture

studiesthatmightberesponsiblefortheeffectwehaveseen.Finally,wewillassess

moreyearstoconfirmthenumberswehavedescribed,tomakesuretheincidence

ratesareconsistentovertime.Itisreassuring,however,thatwefoundaverysimilar

incidencefortheyear1997,whichwouldindicatethenumbersfrom2008arenot

outliers.

Toconclude,NLhasasignificantlyhigherincidenceofSCDinthe20082-40

yearoldcohortthanthecomparableONcohort.Thesedeathscompriseboth

structuralandarrhythmogenicdiseases,withthetrendofmorearrhythmogenic

issuesintheyoungandmorestructuraldiseasewithage.TheincidenceofSCD

increaseswithage,andismoreprevalentinmales.TheburdenthattheNL

populationenduresisstillnotfullyunderstood,however,thisstudyhasbroughtto

lightthatSCDisasignificantsourceofyoungdeathintheprovince,andwillinform

healthpolicyinawaythatwillhopefullyworktopreventmanyfuturesudden

deaths.

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Appendices

AppendixA–CurrentKnownGeneMutationsDiscoveredwithaPotentialforSCD

("ClinVar,"2014;"Gene,"2014;"MalaCardsHumanDiseaseDatabase,"2014)

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CardiacDisease Gene Locus OfficialfullnameHypertrophic

CardiomyopathyACTC1 15q14

actin,alpha,cardiacmuscle1

CALR3 19p13.11

calreticulin3

CAV3 3p25 caveolin3 CMH21 7p12.1-q21

cardiomyopathy,familial

hypertrophic,21

COA5 2q11.1 cytochromecoxidaseassemblyfactor4

CSRP3 11p15.1

cysteineandglycine-richprotein3

JPH2 20q13.12

junctophilin2

MT-ATP6 -- mitochondriallyencodedATPsynthase6

MT-TG -- mitochondriallyencoded

tRNAglycine

MT-TH -- mitochondriallyencodedtRNAhistidine

MT-TI -- mitochondriallyencodedtRNAisoleucine

MYBPC2 19q13.33

myosinbindingproteinC

MYBPC3 11p11.2 cardiacmyosin-bindingproteinC,fasttype

MYH6 14q12

myosin,heavychain6,cardiacmuscle,alpha

MYH7 14q11.2-q12

β-myosinheavychain

MYL2 12q24.11 myosin,lightchain2,regulatory,cardiac,slow

MYLK2 20q13.31

myosinlightchainkinase2

HypertrophicCardiomyopathy

Cont’d

MYL3 p21.3-p21.2

myosinlightchain3,alkali;ventricular,skeletal,slow

MYO6 6q13 myosinVI MYOZ2 4q26-q27

myozenin2

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NDUFV2 18p11.22 NADHdehydrogenaseflavoprotein2,24kDa

NEXN 1p21.1 nexilin(Factinbindingprotein)

PLN 6q22.1 phospholamban PRKAG2 7q36.1 proteinkinase,AMP-

activated,gamma2non-catalyticsubunit

SLC25A4 4q35 solutecarrierfamily25

(mitochondrialcarrier;adeninenucleotide

translocator),member4

TCAP 17q12

titin-cap

TNNC1 3p21.1 troponinCtype1(slow) TNNI3 19q13.4 troponinItype3(cardiac) TNNT2 1q32 cardiactroponinTtype2 TPM1 15q22.1

tropomyosin1(alpha)

TTN 2q31 titin VCL 10q22.2

vinculin

ArrhythmogenicRightVentricularCardiomyopathy/

Dysplasia

CTNNA3 10q22.2 catenin(cadherin-associatedprotein),alpha3

DSC2 18q12.1

desmocollin2

DSG2 18q12.1-q12.2

desmoglein2

DSP 6p24 desmoplakin JUP 17q21 junctionplakoglobin PKP2 12p11 plakophilin2 RYR2 1q43 ryanodinereceptor2

(cardiac)ArrhythmogenicRightVentricularCardiomyopathy/DysplasiaCont’d

TGFB3 14q24 transforminggrowthfactor,beta3

TMEM43 3p25.1 transmembraneprotein43

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DilatedCardiomyopathy

ABCC9 12p12.1 ATP-bindingcassette,sub-familyC(CFTR/MRP

,member9 ACTC1 15q14

actin,alpha,cardiacmuscle1

ACTN2 1q42-q43 actinin,alpha2 BAG3 10q25.2-

q26.2BCL2-associatedathanogene

3 CMD1B 9q13-q22 cardiomyopathy,dilated1B

(autosomaldominant)

CMD1H 2q14-q22 cardiomyopathy,dilated1H(autosomaldominant)

CMD1K 6q12-q16

cardiomyopathy,dilated1K(autosomaldominant)

CMD1Q 7q22.3-q31.1

cardiomyopathy,dilated1Q(autosomaldominant)

CRYAB 11q22.3-q23.1

crystallin,alphaB

CSRP3 11p15.1

cysteineandglycine-richprotein3

DES 2q35 desmin DMD Xp21.2 dystrophin DNAJC19 3q26.33 DnaJ(Hsp40)homolog,

subfamilyC,member19 DOLK 9q34.11

dolicholkinase

DSG2 18q12.1-q12.2

desmoglein2

DSP 6p24 desmoplakin EYA4 6q23 EYAtranscriptional

coactivatorandphosphatase4

FHL2 2q12.2 fourandahalfLIMdomains2

FKTN 9q31-q33 fukutinDilated

CardiomyopathyCont’d

FOXD4 9p24.3 forkheadboxD4

GATAD1 7q21-q22

GATAzincfingerdomaincontaining1

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GJA5 1q21.1 gapjunctionprotein,alpha5,40kDa

KCNH2 7q36.1 potassiumvoltage-gatedchannel,subfamilyH(eag-

related),member2

LAMA3 18q11.2

laminin,alpha3

LAMA4 6q21 laminin,alpha4 LDB3 10q22.3-

q23.2LIMdomainbinding3

LMNA 1q22 laminA/C MT-TH -- mitochondriallyencoded

tRNAhistidine MT-TY -- mitochondriallyencoded

tRNAtyrosine

MURC 9q31.1 muscle-relatedcoiled-coilprotein

MYBPC3 11p11.2 myosinbindingproteinC,cardiac

MYH6 14q12

myosin,heavychain6,cardiacmuscle,alpha

MYH7 14q12 myosinheavychain7,cardiacmuscle,beta

MYPN 10q21.3 myopalladin NEXN 1p21.1 nexilin(Factinbinding

protein) PDCD1 2q37.3 programmedcelldeath1 PLN 6q22.1 phospholamban PRDM16 1p36.23-

p33PRdomaincontaining16

PSEN1 14q24.3 presenilin1 PSEN2 1q42.13 presenilin2 RAF1 3p25 Raf-1proto-oncogene,

serine/threoninekinase

DilatedCardiomyopathy

Cont’d

RBM20 10q25.2 RNAbindingmotifprotein20

RYR2 1q43 ryanodinereceptor2(cardiac)

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SCN5A 3p21 sodiumchannel,voltage-gated,typeV,alphasubunit

SDHA 5p15 succinatedehydrogenase

complex,subunitA,flavoprotein

SGCD 5q33-q34 sarcoglycan,delta(35kDadystrophin-associated

glycoprotein)

TAZ Xq28 tafazzin TCAP 17q12

titin-cap

TMPO 12q22 thymopoietin TNNC1 3p21.1 troponinCtype1(slow) TNNI1 1q12 troponinItype1(skeletal,

slow)

TNNI3 19q13.4 troponinItype3(cardiac) TNNT2 troponinTtype2(cardiac) TPM1 15q22.1 tropomyosin1(alpha) TTN 2q31 titin TXNRD2 22q11.21 thioredoxinreductase2 VCL 10q22.2 vinculin ZASP 7 ZO-2associatedspeckle

proteinLongQTSyndrome

AKAP9 7q21-q22 Akinase(PRKA)anchorprotein9

ALG10 12p11.1 ALG10,alpha-1,2-glucosyltransferase

ANK2 4q25-q27 ankyrin2,neuronal ANKB 4q25-q27 ankyrinB CACNA1C 2p13.3 l-typecalciumchannel CALM2 2p21 calmodulin2(phosphorylase

kinase,delta)

CAV3 3p25 caveolin3 KCNE1 21q22.12

potassiumvoltage-gatedchannel,Isk-relatedfamily,

member1

LongQTSyndromeCont’d

KCNE2 21q22.12

potassiumvoltage-gatedchannel,Isk-relatedfamily,

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member2 KCNH2 7q36.1 potassiumvoltage-gated

channel,subfamilyH(eag-related),member2

KCNJ2 17q24.3 Kinwardly-rectifying

channel,subfamilyJ,member2

KCNJ5 11q24 potassiuminwardly-rectifyingchannel,subfamily

J,member5

KCNQ1 11p15.5 potassiumvoltage-gatedchannel,KQT-likesubfamily,member1

NOS1AP 1q23.3 nitricoxidesynthase1(neuronal)adaptorprotein

SCN4B 11q23.3 sodiumchannel,voltage-gated,typeIV,betasubuni

SCN5A 3p21-p24 sodiumchannel,voltage-

gated,typeV,alphasubunit

SNTA1 20q11.2 syntrophin,alpha1Catecholaminergic

PolymorphicVentricularTachycardia

ANK2 4q25-q27 ankyrin2,neuronal

ASPH 8q12.1 aspartatebeta-hydroxylase CALM1 14q32.11 calmodulin1(phosphorylase

kinase,delta)

CALR 19p13.3-p13.2

calreticulin

CAMP 3p21.3 cathelicidinantimicrobialpeptide

CatecholaminergicPolymorphicVentricularTachycardia

Cont’d

CASQ2 1p13.3 calsequestrin2

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FKBP1B 2p23.3 FK506bindingprotein1B,12.6kDa

KCNJ2 17q24.3 Kinwardly-rectifyingchannel,subfamilyJ,member2

RYR1 19q13.1 ryanodinereceptor1(skeletal)

RYR2 1q43 ryanodinereceptor2(cardiac)

TRDN 6q22.21 triadinBrugadasyndrome

CACNA1C 2p13.3 calciumchannel,voltage-dependent,Ltype,alpha1C

subunit

CACNB2 10p12 calciumchannel,voltage-dependent,beta2subunit

GPD1L 3p22.3 glycerol-3-phosphate

dehydrogenase1-like HCN4 15q24.1 hyperpolarizationactivated

cyclicnucleotide-gatedpotassiumchannel4

KCNE3 11q13.4 potassiumvoltage-gated

channel,Isk-relatedfamily,member3

SCN1B 19q13.1 sodiumchannel,voltage-

gated,typeI,betasubunit

SCN3B 11q23.3 sodiumchannel,voltage-gated,typeIII,betasubunit

SCN5A 3p21-p24 sodiumchannel,voltage-

gated,typeV,alphasubunitShortQTSyndrome

CACNA2D1 7q21-q22 calciumchannel,voltage-dependent,alpha2/delta

subunit1

ShortQTSyndromeCont’d

KCNH2 7q36.1 potassiumvoltage-gatedchannel,subfamilyH(eag-related),member2

KCNJ2 17q24.3 Kinwardly-rectifying

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channel,subfamilyJ,member2

KCNQ1 11p15.5 potassiumvoltage-gatedchannel,KQT-likesubfamily,

member1

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AppendixB–SampleMedicalExaminer’sreport

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AppendixC-ChartAuditForm

DataCollection

Autopsy#

StudyNumber

PostalCodeYearofBirth

Dateofdeath

Sex

Height(cm)

Weight(kg)

BMI

MannerofDeath

MedicalCauseofDeath

Underlyingpathology(pick1ormore)

Previouslyknowncardiacdisease

Ifyes,indicateunderlyingpathology(pick1ormore)

Ifyes,indicateadditionalinformationofinterest(testingperformed,previoushealthrecords)

Cardiacriskfactors

Otherpotentiallycontributorymedicalconditions

Medicationsbeforedeath

Non-prescriptionorrecreationaldrugs(notincludingvitamins)

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Circumstances/locationofdeath

Activitylevelatonsetoffatalevent

Specifyifknown

Symptomsinpreceding24hours

Ifsymptoms,circumstances(samedefinitionsasabove)

Symptomspriortopreceding24hours

Ifsymptoms,circumstances(samedefinitionsasabove)

Weresymptomsprecedingdeathinvestigated?

List/summarizemedicalinvestigations/testresults:

Reportedfamilyhistoryofsuddendeathorarrhythmia

Ifyes,circumstancesofdeath

Ifpositivefamilyhistoryofsuddendeath,closestaffectedindividual

GeneticTesting?

Additionalcommentsfromthenarrative

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AppendixD-Primarydatausedforanalysis.

NLandONpopulationdata:StatsCanada(StatisticsCanada,2014b)andPilmerel,

2013,respectively.

NL20082-40(A)&2-50(B)

NL19972-50(C) Ontario20082-40

Deaths(n=)

Populationsize

Deaths(n=)

Populationsize

Deaths(n=)

Populationsize

Overall 17(A)44(B)

232,210(A)316,244(B)

66 406,713 174 6,602,680

Ages2-18 2 92,982 3 129,125 19 2,652,751Ages19-29 5 66,452 7 90,909 47 1,945,419Ages30-40 10 72,776 18 99,593 105 1,980,743Ages41-50 27 84,034 38 87,043 Male(n/totaldeaths)

11/17(A)35/44(B)

50/66 132/174

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AppendixE–Comparisonofincidencesacrosstheliterature

Author Population Year AgeGroup

Incidence(person-years)

KeyDifferences

Currentstudy

NL,Canada 2008 2-40years

7.32/100,000 N/A

Currentstudy

NL,Canada 2008 2-50years

13.9/100,000 N/A

Currentstudy

NL,Canada 1997 2-50years

16.23/100,000 N/A

Pilmeretal.,2013

ON,Canada 2008 2-40years

2.64/100,000 None

Limetal.,2010

BritishColumbia,Canada

2005-2007

0-35years

1.75/100,000 Noaccidentalsincluded

Margeyetal.,2011

Ireland 2005-2007

15-35years

2.85/100,000 Caseswithdruginvolvementexcluded

Papadakisetal.,2009

EnglandandWales

2002-2005

1-34years

1.8/100,000 Noaccesstoautopsyfiles,onlyusedofficeofnationalstatisticsdatabase

Winkeletal.,2011

Denmark 2000-2006

1-35years

2.8/100,000 Usedinfooutsideofautopsyfile

Risgaardetal.,2014

Denmark 2007-2009

1-49years

8.6/100,000 Usedinfooutsideofautopsyfileandusedhighnumberofnon-autopsycases

36-49years

21.7/100,000