sci entific and val idation report for the “automatic satellite … · 2019. 2. 11. · versio...
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DOCUMEN
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lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
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Table
1. INT
1.1 S1.2 D1.3 R
1.3.1 1.3.2
2. VA
2.1 B2.2 I2.3 R
2.3.1 2.3.2
2.4 C2.5 L2.6 R
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3.1 V3.2 C3.3 C
3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3
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of conten
TRODUCT
SCOPE AND P
DEFINITIONS
REFERENCES
ApplicablReference
ALIDATION
BACKGROUN
INITIAL ASSE
RESULTS .....29 June 229 June 2
CONCLUSION
LAST-MINUT
REFERENCED
ALIDATION
VALIDATION
COMPARING
CASE STUDY
Synoptic sComparisEvaluatio
CONCLUSION
REFERENCED
Sci
nts
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PURPOSE OF T
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lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
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List of
Table 1
Table 2
Table 3TF
Table 4intesev
Table 5(gr(blu
List of
Figure 120clobe spathe
Figure 2of gWVthosignfilttheHR
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......... 11
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n of their nd SEV: ......... 33
rajectory nal shear ......... 35
ary 2014, lee wave
waves can the lower epicted in ......... 12
ccurrence sis of the areas are ouds; the
mperature earing in sponding ......... 15
nel: The vity-wave signalled s in thick ......... 16
......... 17
......... 18
rica. The found a
h Africa ......... 19
gles. .. 19
minimum ......... 20
Figure 9
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10: As Figgles (upper p
11: A southes are those
12: Upper pnel: Simultaline of the ablish the cothis HRVIS
13: Upper ninsula on 2the northern8 µm infrar
14: Case ofobability-of-SII-NG probble as in Figd; the areas me shown in w
15: Same as
16: The WVperimposed dicated by th
17: The Wperimposed dicated by th
18: The WV50 and 99%
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19: The blue
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V7.3 image ention. Lowthe grating d...................
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6/51
ses mark ge, with
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umber of nel). .. 21
osed cyan ......... 22
n). Lower 1.5-units order to
es shown ......... 23
e Iberian ignatures teosat-10 ......... 24
ASII-NG anel: The e. Colour nalled in
ck clouds ......... 26
......... 26
ng ocean, rence, as ......... 27
Europe, rence, as ......... 28
ed by the the ASII-......... 28
. ........ 31
ot Report ......... 32
position d zone of ......... 34
ed with a y, green: ......... 34
Figure
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Figure hPa
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Figure 2300 .....
Figure for IAS
Figure 3300 .....
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23: Scatterparch 2018, rrelation coe
24: Compaft). Date: 26d are depictpicted in gre
25: Compaft). Date: 27d are depictpicted in gre
26: Compatput (bottoma tropopauspopause hei
m (top right)
27: GFS ana and surfac
28: DWD seen. .............
29: IR10.8 0 hPa in yel...................
30: Left: Abeing locat
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31: IR10.8 0 hPa in yel...................
32: Detail obability for cations are m
33: 16 Aprbulence. Th
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34: Detail obability for cations are m
35: Detail obability for cations are m
36: IR 10.8arks the area ange Cb tags
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ril 2018, 12e position o
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radient versuine depicts ...................
ause folds (obabilities fhigh gradien...................
ause folds (robabilities fhigh gradien...................
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April 2018, d are marked...................
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right) with for being locnts of the tr...................
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es for 22 line; the ......... 37
F output opopause height are
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F output opopause height are
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marked in ......... 41
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h a high heir exact ......... 46
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Figure
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37: Detail obability for cations are m
38: Detail obability for cations are m
39: Detail obability for cations are m
40: NWCSATC. ..............
41: 16 Aprbulence. Thbulence. .....
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area of the moderate to...................
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h a high heir exact ......... 47
h a high heir exact ......... 48
h a high heir exact ......... 49
at 16:00 ......... 49
reported o severe ......... 50
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1.3 R
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The refereferencinformatform [R
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Project Plan
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11/51
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nges, case ofage, showinggravity wave
to the lowerepicted in th
shall compritterns generonsidered heough the sists, it has toeorological pploited for vdimensional
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/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
12/51
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hm looks foEssentially,
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paper lists sus. In suchviewpoint,
ought in ordthe decision
algorithm in he developealert reader m17) and the RD.3], whichnt; may it suered the vali7”) is illustrisualization.
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rantee that adiscernible irification ag, 2000). The
rt the aviatiising much m
whole image
levant signaof the validalgorithm cowe note that ) knows
ve convectios of the mid
f to phenomthose parts
S
module hadKruizinga (ome tuning
and validatioon was preseally analysedrope). The r7), so it is su
or alternatin, this meansation, the alghm is so skiareas wheresnow/no-snoh situationsbut with the
der to supprewas to base
its publisheer’s premisemay note a scorrespondih occurred duffice to noteidation exerrated by the
Inspection o
lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
an occurrencin the Metegainst PIREPe idea behindion forecastmore than juby providin
al seen in Mdation is to orresponds w
the meteoro
on (relevant ddle atmosph
mena that cof the spectr
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ng bright ans that if thegorithm will illful in detee such patteow alterations, the resue goal of theess them. Ase the first rel
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ce of turbuleeosat imagePs, the interd the ASII-Nter in makiust the ASIIng a reliable
eteosat imaggive insight
with a subjecological liter
to aviation)here (where
an be seenrum out-of-s
g point in ph backgrounrithm was nually linkedinitial validaaves (these is exercise apresent just a
nd dark strie meteorolonot miss it.
ecting the strerns are notns in cloudulting signae ASII-NG ps this seemslease in NW
s incorporatllowing range in the men with the saperiod. Detaly that the tr
bed in the fof Figure 2, pure leads to t
e:NWC/CDOP3e: 1.0 NWC-CDOP3-G:
ence is necesry (for a mested readerNG gravity wing his/her -NG) by rele objective
gery are part how well ctive diagnorature (e.g. F
; no commerc
with reasoscope here.
apers by Krnd far from necessary to d, much valation exercisanalyses we
are availablea summary o
py zones anogist detects
ripe arrangerelated to
free Alpine al is undersproduct in m
to be easierWC/GEO on t
ed in the opndom inspeaning of a vame numberails should bransition hadollowing secpicked randothe conclusio
3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
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ssarily linkemore comprr may like towave produdecision (f
lieving him/identificatio
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osis of these Fritts and Al
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onable likel
Kruizinga andany meteomake it sui
lidation wasse was perfoere chiefly be in a peer-rof highlights
nd is very s this patter
ements, we egravity wav regions andstandable f
mind, some mr in WV7.3 the WV7.3 c
perational Nection of thvariable ( ′) r in the mo
be obtained d already bection. The stomly from Zons:
/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
13/51
ed with a rehensive o consult ct (ASII-from the /her from on of the
/ ripples me of the
patterns. lexander,
flies),
ihood in
d Petkov rological itable for s already ormed on based on reviewed s here:
sensitive rn in the
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NWCSAF he NRT between re recent from the
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• A
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ASII-NG G(which somvery thorouvisible heresought phenLooking at thas to hope many at presame analyspatterns arisin the southe
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as nearing sarudent at a c
lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
ul tool to recoverlooked bok some gre100% prob
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characteristid eye if not inipulation tofound to be
gnals over Swhich in HRVow from ourstrong signe and the m
results werhe validatio
3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
GEO-ZAMG-SCI-
tic ripples ininspecting tho make them correct hin
outhern FraVIS analyser experience
nal from themarine strato
re obtained on area and t
/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
14/51
n WV 7.3 he image m clearly nts to the
nce. One es are too e that the e regular ocumulus
over and to go for
Figure of graviimage (tby a temactualsatisfy
2.3 RE
This chathis verconsidersubsequcomputasummergeometrseasons have bematerial
2: Case of 2ity waves, as(the colour tamperature thlly is due to ing the mathExcerpt of t
ESULTS
apter discusry day was rable sampl
uently the Mations morer and winterric pattern t
might reveeen discovelized.
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27 October 2s analysed byable runs frohreshold usesuch a randhematical crthe used WV
sses results othe widesp
le of eventsMeteosat-10 eover span r situations.to depend oeal meteorolred in the
ientific and Val“Automatic
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2017, 1230 y the respecom dark blueed to avoid r
dom hit that briteria for on
V7.3 image. L
obtained forpread occurs was ensur
imagery fothe whole
There is aon such factlogical situatypical Eur
lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
UTC. Upperctive ASII-Ne = 0% to rerandom signbarely escapne image anLower panel
r the case strrence of lered. Howeveor the whole
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rmost panelNG module, v
ed=100%;thnals in thick ped the tempd disappearl: The corre
tudy of 29 Jee waves oer, as annoue disk was investigationmuch reaso
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e:NWC/CDOP3e: 1.0 NWC-CDOP3-G:
: The probav2017, on thehe black areclouds; the
perature filtering in the nesponding HR
June 2017. Tver Europeunced in thordered andn covered on to expecg to other re
alarms thatsoon be see
3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
GEO-ZAMG-SCI-
ability-of-occe basis of th
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HRVIS image
The trigger e on that dhe precursord processeddaytime, n
ct the detectegions and t would peren that this
/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
15/51
currence he WV7.3 e masked r Greece dentally e panel: e.
to select ay, so a
r section, d. As the ighttime, tion of a different
rhaps not s in fact
Figure 3WV7.3 ias in Fi
by t
2.3.1 2
Figure 3imageryshould b(in case see this detection
3: Case of 2image. Loweigure 2: 0%the temperat
29 June 201
3 and Figury and the Abe sufficient the detectioalso somew
n” issues, if
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29 June 2017er panel: Th
% areas in dature thresho
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re 4 presentASII-NG grat to look at ton algorithm
where in thef there are an
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7, 1400 UTChe ASII-NG park blue; 100old to avoid r
UTC
t the overvieavity wave the regions wm fails to dee regions of ny).
lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
C, Northern probability-0% probabilrandom sign
ew over the analysis reswhere the gretect waves
f widespread
for the e ion”
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hemisphereof-gravity-wlity signallednals in thick
situation atsulting fromravity wave
under certad GW occur
e:NWC/CDOP3e: 1.0 NWC-CDOP3-G:
. Upper panwave producd in red; her
k clouds are
1400 UTC,m it. For val
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3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
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nel: The MEct; same colore the areasshown in wh
, namely thelidation purields large rtances, we ece encounter
/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
16/51
TEOSAT our table s masked hite.
e WV7.3 rposes, it esponses expect to ring “no-
The figuscale Wtool is. Iachieve the situa1) the CBalkans
2.3.1.1 A first eSouth Aregularit
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ures also givWV image in
In contrast, a clearer vi
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Figure 4: Sam
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isibility in tntered in opregion and
gion north of
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esult was quure 5). A ftures that th
ientific and Val“Automatic
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me as Figur
ession how aphical reprepresented i
the figures; perational pr
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re 3, but for
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the southern
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n hemispher
ravity wave w welcome ant some colomewhat die following Mediterraneing a cluster
the Atlantic clearly seences. This so
3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
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re.
e patterns inan objectivelour enhancistorted imasections zo
ean Europe r of strong si
c region soutn that exhibource of fals
/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
17/51
n a large-e analysis ement to
age about oom in to (Spain – ignals.
thwest of bits such se alarms
was alrthresholFigure 4not filtethresholthe imag
Moving the detewith thesituationthe num16 anglethe analthe distisignals tyield fomore demagnituspectacumost ofHence, ithe probactually alarms o
1 Howevestratocumthe winteto filter.
eady highlild on WV7.34. It turns ouer the Stratold to the warge where act
to the northction algori
e signals in tn along line
mber of inveses (separatedlysis really minction vis-àthere went u
or being eligetail, a cert
ude was set ular, with a f South Afrif we go for
bability outpwant to det
originally led
F
er, sensibilizemulus also in er season tend
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ighted in Ja3 that leads ut that the cocumulus inrmer side wtual gravity
heast, an arethm gave a the clouds ss in 8 differstigated angd by π/16), much more à-vis the clup as well. gible when tain magnitto 0.4 K inhigh numb
rica, and almr the densityput, Eq. 1), ttect. Compard to a too str
Figure 5: A z
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ientific and Val“Automatic
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ann (2017),to the maskonstant thren this case.
would have bwaves are p
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, and the rked regions eshold (norm. Note that been an inadpresent.
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remedy wasaround Ant
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by π/8). Onedetection raed observedjustify the not really is the mini
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nfirmed) wahe areas whwhat the AS favourably re 8 suggest
hold.
WV7.3 image
r detected a chemisphere w
e relevant laye
e:NWC/CDOP3e: 1.0 NWC-CDOP3-G:
s to introduarctica in th
ng quite wellreflex to c
ction as it so
uth Africa (Fts (in particu
m, the algorie might presate over Soud but not to doubled comimproved smum responilter. As the
should beg this threshave detectionhere we hadSII-GW prod
leaning towts that the w
e of Figure 4
couple of casewinter. Apparers, which mak
3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
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uce the temhe ASII-NG l over Europchange the oon discards
Figure 6), fular when cithm investisume that in
uth Africa. Ga degree tha
mputation tisince the nunse a pattere ATBD expe reached, hold to 0.1
ons popping d unwantedduct does towards the pa
wish to suppr
4.
es of disturbinrently, the maakes them mor
/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
18/51
mperature panel of
pe1) does constant
s parts of
for which compared gates the
ncreasing Going for at makes ime (also umber of rn should plains in and this is fairly up over
d signals. o achieve attern we ress false
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of Figure 4,etection algo
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thm run for
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, southernmorithm, v201f South Afric
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3/GEO/ZAMG/Date:21 Janua
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2.6 RE
Brown, verificatAerospa
Fritts, Datmosph
Jann, A.Remote
KruizingJ. Mira &99). Ber
KruizingProc., 8
Lane, Tmesosca
Melfi Sconvecti
Petkov, detection83-96.
SharmanSpringer
Young, and morAmer. 0477(20ES54-ES(accesse
EFERENCE
B.G., and Gtion statisticace Meteoro
D.C., and Mhere. Rev. G
. (2017): DeSens., 50, 5
ga, P., and N& F. Sandovrlin: Springe
ga, P., and N, 1395-1407
T.P., and F. ales. J. Atmo
.H., and S.Pive boundar
N., and P. n of periodi
n, R., and Tr Internation
G.S., D.A.Rre. A review
Meteo002)083<099S69, availabed February
Sci
ED SCIENT
G.S. Young cs can’t be clogy, Orland
M.J. Alexaneophys., 41,
etection of g09-516. http
N. Petkov (1val (Eds.), P
er.
N. Petkov (17. doi: 10.11
Zhang (20os. Sci., 68, 2
P. Palm (20ry layer featu
Kruizinga (c and aperio
T. Lane (Ednal Switzerla
R. Kristovicw of quasi-twr. Soc97:RSWAMble on-line a2018)]
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TIFIC PUBL
(2000): Vercomputed usdo, FL, 11-1
nder (2003), 1003, doi:1
ravity wavep://dx.doi.org
995): A comProc. IWANN
1999): Nonl09/83.79196
11): Couplin2582-2598.
012): Estimaures: Cloud
1997): Comodic oriented
ds.) (2016):and. doi: 10.
ch, M.R. Hjwo-dimensioc., 83
MA>2.3.CO;at https://jou
lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
LICATIONS
rification ofsing PIREPS15 Septembe
: Gravity w10.1029/200
es in Meteosg/10.1080/2
mputational NN’95, Lectu
linear operat65.
ng between
ating the oristreets. J. A
mputational md visual stim
Aviation tu.1007/978-3
elmfelt, andonal structur3, 9972 [Extende
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S
f icing and tS. 9th Confer 2000, 393
wave dynam01RG000106
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model of peure Notes in
tor for orien
n gravity wa
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models of vmuli: bar and
urbulence: P3-319-23630
d R.C. Fosteres in the atm7–1001, ed version oc.org/doi/p
e:NWC/CDOP3e: 1.0 NWC-CDOP3-G:
turbulence fference on A3-398.
mics and eff6.
by grating c017.1367629
eriodic-patteComputer S
nted texture.
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nd spacing o69, 352-364.
visual neurond grating cell
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DUCT,
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se folds; ce related , in most e closely ill hence
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32/51
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s were issue
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altitudes
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34/51
osition of high
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on was noticve activity, td period.
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/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
35/51
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/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
36/51
ear in jet lds. Even d towards urbulence
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/SCI/VR/ASIary 2019 -VR-ASII-NG_
37/51
s for 22 rrelation
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n and Youngd by wind sat turbulencstence of hence of jet oduct has beended to be uand near jey Knox et al
ents showedhe latter depis than the IAbulence repoe located wThis case strelated to je
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eported ulence.
n view of ging the g, 2000), shear and ce caused orizontal streams.
een tuned used as a
et streaks l. (2006).
d a good icts more ASI level orts with
within the tudy also et streaks
3.5 RE
Brown, verificatAerospa
Ellrod, GVerifica
Knox, JBased o2006, Septemb
RobichaAmericahttps://w
SharmanUpper-L
Vieira, Weatherhttps://wSeptemb
WimmePaper P8Soc., At
EFERENCE
B.G., and Gtion statisticace Meteoro
G.P., and Dation and Op
.A., Ellrod, n Adjustmenhttps://ams.
ber 2018)
aud, A. (20a on www.researc
n, R., TebalLevel Turbul
A. (2005): r
www.weatheber 2018)
ers, A., and W8.1 presentetlanta, Ga. h
Sci
ED SCIENT
G.S. Young cs can’t be clogy, Orland
.J. Knapp (1perational Us
G.P., and Pnt Dynamic.confex.com
06). A caseMar
chgate.net/pu
ldi, C., Wienlence Foreca
Mountain W
er.gov/media
W. Feltz (20ed at 12th Cottps://ams.co
ientific and Val“Automatic
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TIFIC PUBL
(2000): Vercomputed usdo, FL, 11-1
1992): An Ose. Weather
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ner, G., and asting, Weat
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006), Observonference ononfex.com/a
lidation Report c Satellite Image– Next Generatif the NWC/GE
LICATIONS
rification ofsing PIREPS15 Septembe
Objective Clr and Foreca
ms (2006): Imference on Aal2006/webp
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vity Over th
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f icing and tS. 9th Confer 2000, 393
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turbulence fference on A3-398.
bulence For7, 150-165.
lear Air Turnge and Aeroper101397.h
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