school and classroom effects on student learning gain: the …€¦ · effectiveness, and (d)...
TRANSCRIPT
THE WORLD BANK
Discussion Paper
EDUCATION AND TRAINING SERIES
Report No. EDT98
School and Classroom Effects onStudent Learning Gain:The Case of Thailand
Marlaine E. Lockheed
June 1987
Education and Training Department Operations Policy Staff
The views presented here are those of the author(s), and they should not be interpreted as reflecting those of the World Bank.
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Discussion Paper
Education and Training Series
Report No. EDT 98
SCHOOL AND CLASSROOM EFFECTS ON STUDENT LEARNING GAIN:
THE CASE OF THAILAND
Marlaine E. Lockheed
Research DivisionEducation and Training Department
June 1987
The World Bank does not accept responsibility for the views expressedherein, which are those of the author(s) and should not be attributed tothe World Bank or to its affiliated organizations. The findings,interpretations, and conclusions are the results of research or analysissupported by the Bank; they do not necessarily represent official policy ofthe Bank.
Copyright © The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank
ABSTRACT
This paper employs a fixed-effects regression analysis to examine
school effects on individual student learning gain during grade
eight in 99 lower-secondary schools in Thailand. Schools
accounted for 34% of the variance in individual student pretest
score, but accounted for only 6% of the variance in student
achievement gain (posttest controlling for pretest). A set of school,
classroom and teacher variables accounted for 4% of the 6%. School
factors accounted for approximately 7% of the variance in both rural
and urban schools, suggesting that schools are equally important in
both settings. In both urban and rural schools, larger schools and an
enriched curriculum were positively associated with learning gain, and
higher student-teacher ratios at the school level were negatively
associated with learning gain. Other factors, however, operated
differently in the two types of schools. An important policy
implication is that strategies for improving rural schools should not
be derived from research conducted primarily in urban schools in
developing countries.
INTRODUCTION
Despite substantial and rather consistent evidence from North
America that investments in school-related characteristics yield few
benefits in terms of student achievement (Hanushek, 1986), analyses of
student achievement in developing countries have come to the opposite
conclusion. School effects are seen as substantial in comparison with
home and background factors (Heyneman, 1980). Students from schools
with more resources--both material and human--outperform students from
schools with fewer resources.
The research literature from developing countries on this topic,
however, suffers from four serious shortcomings. First, it is based
almost entirely on cross-sectional data, which is incapable of
distinguishing factors related to initial level of performance from
those responsible for improvement in performance. Second, while
research in developed countries has begun to focus more on school
organizational characteristics and classroom practices related to
learning gains, research in developing countries remains focused on
material inputs. Third, advances in methodology, which have begun to
influence school effects research in developed countries, have not
begun to affect the analysis of data from developing countries.
Fourth, research in developing countries typically treats the entire
country as a case study, ignoring significant within-country
differences in resources. This paper contributes to the present
literature on school effects by (a) analyzing longitudinal data on
achievement in a developing country, (b) examining the effects of
organizational structure and classroom practices on student
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achievement gyin, (c) using a fixed-effects model of school
effectiveness, and (d) examining differences between schools in urban
and rural settings.
The paper is organized as follows. This section briefly reviews
the literature on school effects and student achievement in developing
countries. The second section describes the data, measures and
analytic method used in this paper. The third section presents
results, first for the sample as a whole and then separately for rural
and urban populations. The final section summarizes the conclusions.
Review of research
Research on school effects in developing countries has been
reviewed several times over the past decade (Avalos & Haddad, 1978;
Fuller, 1986; Heyneman & Loxley, 1983; Husen, Saha & Noonan, 1978;
Schiefelbein & Simmons, 1981; and Simmons & Alexander, 1978). While
some reviews have emphasized the effects of home and background
factors, most have noted that, controlling for student background,
school effects (particularly material inputs) are much greater in
developing countries than in industrialized countries.
One reason that material inputs are believed to have greater
effects on student achievement in developing countries is that there
is likely to be a greater discrepancy between home and school in
developing countries than in industrialized ones. That is, students
in low-income countries are likely to encounter few reading or writing
materials outside school, and hence schools are likely to be the
primary source of acquired literacy skills. Evidence on this point
comes from Nepal (Jamison & Lockheed, 1987) and from Brazil
(Psacharopoulos & Arriagada, 1987). Within developing countries,
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the same logic holds that school effects will be greater in rural
settings in comparison with urban settings.
School factors consistently found related to student achievement
in developing countries include the presence and use of instructional
materials, time spent on learning, and teacher education. Factors
consistently unrelated to student achievement include teacher salary
and experience, and smaller class sizes (see Table 1).
Most studies of school and classroom effects on achievement in
developing countries have not examined the mediating processes whereby
school, teacher and classroom characteristics affect student learning.
Research in industrialized countries, however, points to the positive
effects of school and classroom organizational characteristics and of
selected teaching practices. Classroom variables found strongly
related to student achievement are: teacher evaluation and feedback
regarding student performance (Brookover, Beady, Flood, Schweitzer &
Wisenbaker, 1979; Walberg, 1984; Bridge, Judd & Moock, 1979); teacher
expectations (Lockheed, 1974; Walberg, 1984); clarity of teacher
explanations (Rosenshine & Furst, 1971); student peer group (Rutter,
1983); and teacher involvement in decision-making (Rutter, 1983).
Purkey and Smith's widely cited comprehensive review of the
effective school literature identifies nine school organization-
structure variables and four process variables that are consistently
found in schools that are effective in promoting academic achievement
(Purkey and Smith, 1983). The organization-structure variables are:
school-site management, instructional leadership, staff stability,
curriculum articulation and organization, schoolwide staff
development, parental involvement and support, schoolwide recognition
of academic success, maximizing learning time, and district support.
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The process variables, which define the "general concept of school
culture and climate" (Purkey & Smith, 1983, P. 444), are collaborative
planning and collegial relationships, sense of community, clear goals
and high expectations commonly shared, and order and discipline.
Despite these apparently stable findings, school effectiveness
research recently has been the center of a lively debate regarding
its methodology and implications for policy. Of the two issues, most
attention has been paid to methodological concerns, specifically those
related to overreliance on standard tests of academic achievement as
outcome indicators (Madaus, Kellaghan, Rakow & King, 1979), lack of
theoretical models in most school effectiveness work (Cuttance, 1985),
and the use of inappropriate statistical models for analyzing
multi-level data (Aitkin & Longford, 1986; Goldstein, 1984; Raudenbush
& Bryk, 1986; Sirotnik & Burstein, 1985). However, the second problem
is also of importance, since it concerns the appropriate use of
conclusions drawn from school effectiveness studies. As Purkey and
Smith note, although it is possible to identify variables that seem
responsible for increased student achievement, "it would be difficult
to plant them in schools from without or to command them into
existence by administrative fiat" (Purkey & Smith, 1983, p. 445).
Irrespective of the obvious difficulty in creating effective schools
and the need for further research, "school practitioners and reformers
have already embraced the precepts of the effective schools model
despite the absence of solid evidence" (Ralph & Fennesey, 1983). The
need for solid evidence is particularly great in developing country
settings.
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school effect for this data set. Interactions between schools
and student pretest were also estimated. Then, student posttest was
regressed on pretest and sets of school, classroom, teacher and
teacher practice variables. Finally, separate estimates were made for
rural and urban schools.
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RESULTS
Total school effect
Variance explained. The first step in establishing the potential
size of the school effect on student achievement gain is to compare
the variance explained by pretest alone with that explained by pretest
plus specific "dummy" variables for each school. Summary results of
these regressions are presented in Table 3. In this case, student
pretest explained 48% of the variance in posttest. Adding 98 school
indicator variables to the regressionlincreased the variance explained
to 54%, but interacting the school variables with the pretest scores2
added nothing to the explained variance and virtually all interactions
were statistically insignificant.
Of course, differences between schools could account for much of
the difference in individual student pretest score. In fact, 34% of
the variance in student pretest was explained by the 98 school dummy
variables alone. However, the ambition of this paper is not to
determine the size of the total school effect on student achievement,
but rather to identify those school characteristics that account for
the portion of variation in individual student achievement at the end
of grade eight that is not accounted for by achievement at the
beginning of the year. Thus, while school characteristics may play an
important role in determining achievement at the outset of a given
school year, and while these characteristics may have a cumulative
1. These results are included in Appendix A.2. Since space demands for reporting the school plus school by pretestinteractions are considerable, these results are not reported here,but are available from the author on request.
effect, the initial analysis indicates that the school effect on
student achievement gain during eighth grade is limited to 6%.
Size of effect. To estimate the actual size of the school effect,
an average of the absolute size of coefficients for the 98 school
indicator variables was computed (see Heyneman & Jamison, 1980, for a
rationale for this procedure). The effect is pronounced. On average,
being in a good or bad school can, with pretest score statistically
controlled, affect post-test score by 2.3 points. This is equivalent
to one-half of a standard deviation on the post-test, which is
substantial.
The next question is to determine what -- if any -- school,
classroom and teacher characteristic or practices account for this
effect.
Explaining the school effects
In this section, a number of variables identified as possibly
accounting for the observed school effects are explored. Columns 1-4
of Table 4 present the results for school characteristics, classroom
characteristics, teacher background and teaching practice variables on
student achievement gain. For the subset of students for whom
complete data were available, pretest score again accounts for 48% of
post-test score (column 1).
School level characteristics. Column 2 of Table 4 indicates that
greater learning occurs in larger schools and in schools that operate
more days per year. Less learning occurs in schools that have
mathematics classes grouped by ability, that have a high
school-level pupil-teacher ratio, and --surprisingly -- that have a
higher proportion of teachers qualified to teach mathematics.
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Teacher background characteristics. Column 3 of Table 4 presents
the results for this analysis. Holding constant school level
characteristics, greater learning occurs in the classrooms of older
teachers; however, students of male teachers, teachers
with more postsecondary mathematics education, and teachers with
greater experience learn less.
Classroom characteristics. Column 4 of Table 4 presents the
results for classroom characteristics. Holding constant school and
teacher background characteristics, students learn more in larger
classes, classes that use a more enriched curriculum and ones that use
textbooks.
Teaching practices. Column 5 of Table 4 presents the results for
teaching practices. Holding constant school, teacher background, and
classroom practices, the teaching practice most associated with
student learning gain is frequent individual feedback. Students learn
less in classes in which teachers are required to spend more time
maintaining order, and less in which teachers use published workbooks
frequently.
Total explained variance. As noted at the outset, the total
variance in student learning gain to be explained was 6%; the
inclusion of 18 school, classroom and teacher variables explained 4%,
or two-thirds of the explainable variance.
Size of specific school and classroom effects. As noted above,
the total school effect was, on average, 2.3 points on the posttest,
controlling for pretest. From the coefficients reported in Table 4,
it is possible to calculate the proportion of the total school effect
contributed by each statistically significant school and classroom
variable. In order of size, these are: textbooks (65%), enriched
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curriculum and commercial workbooks (43%), larger schools and male
teachers (35%), ability grouping (30%), feedback to students (17%),
maintaining class order (15%), pupil-teacher ratio in school (13%),
teacher education (3%) and class size (2%). Several of these school
and classroom characteristics have a negative effect on student
achievement: commercial workbooks, male teachers, ability grouping,
maintaining order, pupil-teacher ratio, and teacher education.
Material inputs versus organizational characteristics. The
statistically significant variables identified in the previous section
represent both material and non-material inputs that have direct cost
implications, and organizational characteristics and teacher practices
that have few if any cost implications.
Two inputs that have direct implications for increasing costs are
greater use of textbooks and lengthening the school year. Since each
is related to increased student learning, the greater costs may be
justified.
Cost savings are implied by two actions. First, by not purchasing
material or non-material inputs that are unrelated or negatively
related to student achievement gain: more qualified, formally
educated, experienced and male teachers; and commercial workbooks.
Second, by utilizing larger schools (Jimenez, 1984) and larger classes
(Levin, Glass & Meister, 1984) that entail lower costs. Since they
are also related to increased learning, a double benefit would ensue.
Several organizational characteristics are importantly related to
student learning gain. On the one hand, an enriched curriculum and
frequent teacher feedback regarding student performance both increase
student learning. On the other hand, ability groupings and time spent
on maintaining order both reduce student learning. Since
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organizational characteristics and teacher practices have few cost
implications, they hold promise for school improvement under
conditions of austerity.
Rural and urban differences
Rural urban differences in Thailand are substantial; in 1980,
rural per-capita income was less than one-quarter of that in urban
Bangkok. The effects of schools on student achievement, therefore,
might be expected to be larger for students in rural schools than for
those in urban schools. To examine this question, the schools in this
sample were divided according to their rural/urban status, and the
previous analyses rerun. This section highlights differences
between rural and urban schools and differences in school effects for
urban and rural students.
Differences between urban and rural schools. An inspection of the
mean values for urban and rural school (Table 5) reveals a number of
differences. Students in urban schools are more likely to be in large
schools with more educated teachers. Their teachers are more likely
to be female, older and more experienced. Although more urban
students are in enriched classes, their teachers spend more time doing
routine administration, keeping order and assigning seat or boardwork.
The results of the analyses for urban and rural schools are
presented in Tables 6 and 7, respectively. The following discussion
is presented in four stages. First, school level effects on
achievement gain are reported (Tables 6 and 7, column 1). Then,
holding constant school-level characteristics, the effects of teacher
background characteristics are examined (Tables 6 and 7, column 2).
Next, holding constant school-level and teacher background
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characteristics, the effects of classroom characteristics are examined
(Tables 6 and 7, column 3). Finally, holding constant school-level,
,teacher background and classroom characteristics, the effects of
teaching practices are examined (Tables 6 and 7 column 4).
Posttest on pretest. A greater percent of variance in posttest is
explained by pretest for urban students (49%) than for rural students
(44%), which suggests that schools may be contributing more to
student achievement for rural students than for urban ones. (Tables
6 and 7, column 1).
School characteristics. The effect of two school characteristics
are consistent for both rural and urban students; students in larger
schools learn more than students in smaller schools, and students in
schools with higher student-teacher ratios learn less than students in
schools with lower student-teacher ratios. That larger schools are
more effective than smaller ones may be due to economies of scale,
while the fact that schools with lower student-teacher ratios are more
effective than those with higher student-teacher ratios may be a
function of less overcrowding and greater teacher-student contact
time. One other statistically significant variable--time--operates
differently for urban and rural schools. In urban schools, the longer
the school year, the more children learn, but in rural schools, a
longer school year is related to less learning. Finally, there are
two school characteristics that operate in one, but not both,
settings. In urban schools, children in schools with more qualified
mathematics teachers learn less, but school-level teacher
qualifications are unrelated to learning gain in rural schools.
Similarly, children in rural schools that utilize ability groupings
learn less than those in rural schools that do not use ability
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groupings, but ability grouping at the school level is unrelated to
learning in urban settings.
Teacher characteristics. Only one teacher characteristic is
related to student learning in urban schools; this is teacher sex.
Students of male teachers learn less than students of female teachers.
In rural settings, no teacher characteristics are related to student
learning.
Classroom characteristics. In both urban and rural settings,
students following an enriched curriculum learn more than students in
less enriched classes. In urban schools only, students in classes
that use textbooks frequently learn more than students in classes that
do not use textbooks frequently; and in rural schools only, students
learn more in larger classes. It is possible that teachers in urban
schools have access to better textbooks and better training in their
use, while in rural settings available textbooks may be of poorer
quality or teachers untrained in their use. Also, larger rural
schools may be better quality schools according to other, unmeasured
criteria.
Teacher practices. In urban settings, students learn less in
classes in which the teacher spends more time maintaining class order
and more in classes in which students spend more time at seat or
blackboard work. In rural setting, students learn less in classes in
which seatwork and workbook use is more frequent, and learn more in
classes in which students receive frequent individual feedback.
Total explained variance. In all, for both rural and urban
students, school variables explain about 7% of the variance in
achievement; there is no difference in the amount explained for urban
versus rural students.
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DISCUSSION
This paper has used a fixed-effects regression model to estimate
school effects on eighth grade mathematics achievement gain in
Thailand. Schools explained 34% of the variance in pretest
achievement score, and added 6% to the variance in posttest scores,
once pretest scores were taken into account. Two-thirds of the
overall school effects on achievement gain could be accounted for by
certain school and classroom characteristics.
However, differences in these effects for students in rural versus
urban schools were pronounced. Only three of the 18 variables
analyzed had consistent effects in both urban and rural schools. In
both settings, students in larger schools and those studying a more
enriched curriculum learned more over the course of the year, and
students in schools with a higher student-teacher ratio learned less.
Otherwise, in some cases, school and classroom characteristics
that were positively associated with student learning in urban schools
were negatively associated with student learning in rural schools, and
vice versa. In other cases, variables that had statistically
significant relationships with student achievement in one setting had
no effect in the other setting. Table 8 summarizes these differences.
One implication of these findings is that decisions regarding
effective school characteristics based on information from urban
schools may not generalize to rural schools. The direction of the
differences observed, however, do not necessarily conform to prior
expectations. First, I anticipated that material inputs, such as
textbooks, would have greater effects in rural areas; this was not
the case. Second, I expected that school characteristics would
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explain more of the achievement gains in rural schools than in urban
schools; this also was not the case.
On the other hand, there were strong effects for non-material
inputs and teacher practices. Organizational characteristics, such as
ability grouping, were negatively related to achievement for rural
students. A more enriched curriculum was positively related to
achievement for both urban and rural students. These organizational
characteristics hold promise for further research and policy and may
provide direction for improving education in developing countries
without extensive increases in resources.
Table 1: Effectiveness of Selected School Inputs on Student Learning
Number of Positive Statistically Significant EffectsInput Studies
Number Percent
Instructional Materials 40 -- 29 73
Learning Time 27 19 70
Teacher Inservice Training 12 8 66
Teacher Years of Education 60 36 60
Teacher Experience 23 10 43
Teacher Salary 13 4 31
Smaller Class Size 21 5 23
Source: Avalos & Haddad, 1979; Fuller, 1985.
Table 2: Variable names, descriptions and simmary statistics
Variable name Description Mean S.D.
XROT Pretest mathematics achievement score 8.66 3.86
YROT Posttest mathematics achievement score 11.84 4.52
SENROLT Number of students in school 1186.93 438.56
SSTREAM Ability groupings for instruction 1.47 0.24
SDAYSYR Days in school year 195.12 4.78
SPUTEAR Pupil-teacher ratio in school 14.64 2.00
SQUALMT % of teachers in school qualified to teach math .52 0.17
TEDMATH Semesters of post-secondary mathematics 4.17 2.38
TSEX Teacher sex (1=female, Z=male) 1.35 0.23
TAGE Teacher age in years 28.60 4.16
TEXPTCH Years of teaching experience 6.75 3.14
TNSTUDS Number of students in target class 42.83 4.44
TMTHSUB Math curriculum (1-remedial, 2-normal, 3=enriched) 1.90 0.34
TXTBK Frequent use of textbook 1.58 0.24
CEFEED Frequent individual feedback 3.16 0.39
TWORKBK Use of published workbooks 1.90 0.39
TVISMAT Use of commercial visual materials 1.36 0.23
TADMINL Weekly minutes spent in routine administration 27.08 19.99
TORDERL Weekly minutes spent in maintaining class order 20.18 9.92
TSEATL Weekly minutes students spent at seat or blackboard 54.99 20.54
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Table 3: Pretest, school indicator and schoolindicator by pretest interaction effects on posttest Grade 8
mathematics achievement in Thailand, 1981-82.
Dependent IndependentVariables Variables R N
Pretest 98 school indicators ("dummy" vbls.) .34 4013
Posttest Pretest .48 3801
Posttest Pretest and 98 school indicators .54 3801
Posttest Pretest, 98 school indicators and98 school-pretest interactions .54 3801
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Table 4: School and classroom determinants of Grade 8 mathematicsachievement gain in Thailand, 1981-82
Alternative specifications
Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
XROT .82 .78*** .78*** .77*** .75***(59.04) (48.52) (44.45) (42.39) (38.98)
SENROLT (in 100's) .07*** .05*** .04* .08***(4.65) (2.60) (2.02) (3.66)
SSTREAM -.84*** -1.18*** -.63* -.69*(-3.43) (-4.02) (.2.03) (-2.09)
SDAYSYR .04*** -.01 -.002 -.02(4.33) (-.57) (-0.14) (-1.21)
SPUTEAR -.13*** -.14*** -.12** -.23***(-3.67) (-3.32) (-2.90) (-4.84)
SQUALMT -.54*** -.59*** -.71*** .71(-4.91) (5.34) (-6.29) (1.50)
TEDMATH -.06* -.06* -.08*(-2.00) (-2.23) (-2.43)
TSEX -1.05*** -.93** -.81*(-3.67) (-3.26) (-2.56)
TAGE .05* .04 -.005(1.97) (1.54) (-0.17)
TEXPTCH -.06 -.06 .01(-1.81) (-1.58) (0.29)
TNSTUDS .05** .04**(3.24) (2.64)
TMTHSUB .82*** 1.00***(3.83) (4.44)
TXTBK 1.10*** 1.55***(3.86) (4.68)
CEFEED .40*(2.10)*
TWORKBK -1.01***(-4.80)
TVISMAT .49(1.53)
TADMINL -.003(-0.65)
TORDERL - .04**
(3.25)TSEATL .005
(0.94)
C 4.71 .55 11.00 3.54 8.55Adj. R2 (.48) (.47) (.50) (.51) (.52)N 3801 3134 2446 2395 2262
Note: Numbers are unstandardixed OLS coefficients, with t-statisticsin parentheses.
*p < .05, **p < .01, ***p <.001
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Table 5: Means and standard:deviations of variables for urban andrural schools in Thailand, 1981-82
Urban Rural
Variable Mean S.D. Mean S.D.
YROT 13.13 4.54 10.74 4.42
XROT 9.85 3.92 7.66 3.74
SENROLT 1648.13 440.72 794.83 325.65
SSTREAM 1.44 .24 1.49 .25
SDAYSYR 194.06 5.03 196.02 4.47
SPUTEAR 15.11 2.27 14.25 1.68
SQUALMT .54 .15 .51 .19
TEDMATH 5.25 2.76 3.25 1.84
TSEX 1.29 .22 1.41 .25
TAGE 30.06 3.84 27.37 4.35
TEXPTCH 8.32 3.33 5.42 2.77
TNSTUDS 43.71 2.74 42.07 5.57
TMTHSUB 2.07 .32 1.76 .35
TXTBK 1.51 .24 1.64 .24
CEFEED 3.22 .37 3.12 .42
TWORKBK 1.98 .39 1.83 .39
TVISMAT 1.36 .23 1.37 .24
TADMINL 38.50 25.84 17.42 9.71
TORDERL 22.94 8.43 17.85 11.01
TSEATL 58.29 20.65 52.20 20.35
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Table 6: School and classroom determinants of Grade 8 mathematicsachievement gain in urban schools in Thailand, 1981-82
Alternative specifications
Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
XROT .82*** .77*** .77** .74*** .69***(21.41) (36.33) (31.33) (29.44) (24.65)
SENROLT (in 100's) .05* .09** .11** .06(2.16) (3.23) (2.59) (.98)
SSTREAM -.26 .15 1.08 1.84(-.78) (.29) (1.66) (1.87)
SDAYSYR .06*** .06* .09*** .05(6.00) (2.54) (3.39) (1.27)
SPUTEAR -.12** -.26*** -.15* -.43***(-2.70) (-4.25) (-2.29) (-4.85)
SQUALMT -.58*** -. 68*** -.90*** 3.20*(-5.08) (-6.02) (-7.45) (2.45)
TEDMATH -.02 -.01 .09(-.60) (.24) (1.36)
TSEX -2.78*** -2.04*** -2.78**(-6.16) (-4.23) (-3.09)
TAGE .03 .03 -.01(.90) (.54) (-.14)
TEXPTCH -.08 -.03 -.10(-1.68) (-.52) (-1.48)
TNSTUDS -.05 .23*(-.65) (2.15)
TMTHSUB 1.46*** 2.09***(4.05) (3.91)
TXTBK 2.04*** 2.92***(4.49) (5.03)
CEFEED -.91(-1.42)
TWORKBK -.10(-.25)
TVISMAT -.11(-.16)
TADMINL -.001(-0.18)
TORDERL -. 07**(-2.88)
TSEATL .04***(4.44)
C 5.01 -3.71 -.48 -13.26 -13.74Adj. R2 .49 .48 .53 .55 .56N 2087 1719 1232 1232 1099
Note: Numbers are unstandardized OLS coefficients, with t-statisticsin parentheses.
*p < .05, **p < .01, ***p < .001
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Walberg, H. (1984) Improving the productivity of America's schools.Educational Leadership, 41 (8), 19-30.
- 30 -
Appendix A: Protest and school indicator effects on posttestGrade 8 mathematics achievement in Thailand, 1981-82
Alternative SpecificationsVariables
Coeff. t-stats. Coeff. t- tats.
XROT .82 (59.04) .65 (39.77)S02 1.50 (1.22)S03 4.32 (3.55)S04 - -5.73 (-4.70)S05 -0.33 (-0.27)S06 0.34 (0.26)S07 -1.17 (-0.90)S08 7.07 (5.11)S09 -1.46 (-1.07)S10- -2.71 (-1.97)Sl -3.64 (2.66)S12 -1.70 (-1.24)S13 3.15 (2.30)S14 -1.49 (-1.09)S15 -0.72 (-0.52)S16 -2.80 (-2.05)S17 -3.00 (2.20)518 1.19 (0.87)519 1.56 (1.14)S20 2.57 (1.87)S21 -1.22 (-0.87)322 2.30 (1.66)S23 -2.40 (-1.74)S24 1.18 (0.83)S25 5.12 (3.62)326 -0.32 (-0.23)S27 2.50 (1.76)S28 3.77 (2.68)S29 -0.97 (-0.69)S30 -1.26 (-0.87)S31 0.18 (0.14)S32 -4.76 (-3.66)S33 -2.45 (-1.87)S34 -2.19 (-1.67)S35 -1.18 (-0.91)S36 4.71 (3.62)S37 -0.65 (-0.50)S38 4.60 (3.51)S39 0.17 (0.13)S40 3.39 (2.48)S41 -4.71 (-3.43)S42 -1.10 (-0.81)S43 -3.78 (-2.77)S44 -2.97 (-2.16)S45 0.48 (0.35)S46 1.65 (1.19)S47 -1.17 (-0.85)S48 -2.63 (-1.91)S49 3.46 (2.51)S50 -0.74 (-0.52)
- 31 -
Appendix A (continued)
S51 3.34 (2.42)S52 6.42 (4.61)S53 0.71 (0.51)S54 0.69 (0.50)S55 0.10 (0.07)S56 2.50 (1.82)S57 -2.45 (-1.76)S58 -3.79 (-2.76)S59 -3.84 (-2.80)S60 -3.20 (-2.33)S61 2.93 (2.13)S62 -0.82 (-0.59)S63 4.52 (3.28)S64 -0.20 (-0.14)S65 -2.20 (-1.60)S66 -0.16 (-0.11)S67 2.25 (1.64)S68 -2.22 (-1.62)s69 0.71 (0.52)570 0.10 (0.07)S71 -2.12 (-1.50)572 -0.79 (-0.61)S73 -1.91 (-1.49)S74 1.59 (1.23)S75 -2.19 (-1.69)S76 -3.36 (-2.61)S77 -2.86 (-2.23)S78 -2.28 (-1.77)S79 -0.92 (-0.66)S80 1.68 (1.20)581 -0.84 (-0.61)582 2.79 (2.02)S83 -3.19 (-2.31)S84 2.59 (1.87)S85 3.25 (2.31)S86 -2.76) (-2.22)S87 2.85 (2.30)S88 6.58 (5.24)S89 -2.29 (-1.86)S90 1.98 (1-59)S91 1.43 (1.16)S92 1.76 (1.43)S93 3.28 (2.66)S94 2.86 (2.32)S95 4.85 (3.92)S96 -3.44 (-2.79)S97 -1.45 (-1.18)S98 0.65 (0.52)S99 -1.98 (-1.61)
C 4.71 6.13R2 .48 .54N 3801 3801