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  • Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • OCTOBER 1985 / VOLUME 65 NUMBER 10SUBVEY OF CUBBENT

    CONTENTS

    Business Situation 1

    National Income and Product Accounts Tables 8

    An Advance Overview of the Comprehensive Revision of theNational Income and Product Accounts 19

    Motor Vehicles, Model Year 1985 29

    State Quarterly Personal Income, 1978:1-1985:11 30Metropolitan Area Projections of Income, Employment,

    and Population to the Year 2000 32

    CURRENT BUSINESS STATISTICSGeneral SI

    Industry S19Footnotes 833

    Subject Index (Inside Back Cover)

    U.S. Department of Commerce

    Malcolm Baldrige / SecretarySidney L. Jones / Under Secretary

    for Economic Affairs

    Bureau of Economic Analysis

    Allan H. Young / DirectorCarol S. Carson / Deputy Director

    SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Editor-in-Chief: Carol S. CarsonManuscript Editor: Dannelet A. GrosvenorManaging Editor: Leland L. Scott

    Staff Contributors to This Issue: Leo M. Bernstein,Robert L. Brown, Carol S. Carson, Gerald F. Donahoe,Douglas R. Fox, Gurmukh S. Gill, John A. Gorman,Linnea Hazeri, Shelby W. Herman, Daniel J. Larkins,Larry R, Moran, Robert P. Parker, Tracy R. Tapscott,Isabelle B. Whiston, Regional Economic AnalysisDivision

    SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. Published monthly by the Bureauof Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce, Editori-al correspondence should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief,Survey of Current Business, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230.

    Annual subscription: second-class mail$30.00 domestic; $37.50foreign. Single copy: $4.75 domestic; $5.95 foreign.

    First-class mail rates and foreign air mail rates available uponrequest.

    Mail subscription orders and address changes to the Superintend-ent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington,DC 20402. Make checks payable to Superintendent of Documents.

    Second-class postage paid at Washington, DC and at additionalmailing offices. (USPS 337-790).

    The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printingthis periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through April 1,1985.

    U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE DISTRICT OFFICESAH, Anchorage 99513701 CSt. 271-5041AL, Birmingham 352O5908 S. 20th St. 254-1331AR, Little Roek 72201320 W. Capitol Ave. 378-5794AZ, Phoenix 85073201 N. Central Ave. 26! 4285CA, Los Angeles 9004911777 San Vicente Blvd. 824-7591CA, San Francisco 94102ISO Golden Gate Ave, 556*5860CO, Denver 8020272i . 19th St. 837-3246 Baltimore 21202415 t.S. Customhouse 962-3560MI, Detroit 48226231 W. Lafayette 226-3650

    VIY Minneapolis 554O!110 S. 4th St. 725-2133MO, Kansas City 64106601 E. 12th St. 374-3142MO, St. Louis 63105120 S. Central Ave. 425-3302MS, Jackson 39213300 Woodrow Wilson Blvd. 960-4388NC, Greensboro 27402203 Fed, Blclg., W. Market St. 378-5345MS, Omaha 68102300 S. 19th St. 221-3664INJ, Trenton 086O8240 W. State St. 989-2100MM, Albuquerque 87102505 Martjuette Ave., IV.W. 766-2386NV, Reno 895O3777 W. 2nd St. 784-5203NY, Buffalo 14202111 W. Huron St, 846-4191

    Nil, New York 0127826 Federal Plaza 264-0634

    OH, Cineinatti 45202550 Main St. 684-2944

    OH, Cleveland 44114666 Euclid Ave. 522-4750

    OK, Oklahoma City 731054024 Lincoln Blvd. 231-5302

    OR. Portland 972041220S.W. 3rd Ave. 221-3001

    PA, Philadelphia 19106600 Arch St, 597-2866

    PA, Pittsburgh 152221000 Liberty Ave, 644-2850

    PR, San Juan 00918Rm: 659, Federal BIdg. 753-45:

    SC, Columbia 292011835 Assembly St. 765-5345

    TN, Memphis 38102147 Jefferson A*e. 521-3213

    TX, Dalla* 7524211000 Commerce Si. 767-0542

    TX. Houston 77O02515 Rusk St. 226-4231

    IT, Salt Lake City 84101350 S. Main St. 524-5! 16

    VA, Richmond 23240400 N. 8th St. 771-2246

    W A. Seattle 981091700 Westlake Ave., Rm: 706 442-5616

    Wl. Milwaukee 53202517 E. Wisconsin Ave. 291-3473

    WV, Charleston 25301500 Quarrier St. 343-6181WY, Cheyenne 820012120 Capitol Ave. 772-2151

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  • the BUSINESS SITUATION

    CHART 1Real Product:Change From Preceding Quarter

    Billion 1972$

    40

    30

    20

    10

    0

    -10

    -20

    -30

    20

    10

    0

    -10-20

    30

    20

    10

    0

    -10

    20

    10

    0

    -10

    2010

    0

    -10

    -2020

    10

    0

    -10

    WGE IN BUSINESS 'VENTORIES I

    A, MM i

    aROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT

    M Vehicles

    PERSONAL CONSUMmD^ SXPENOTURES

    I.lilll.iFIXED JNViOTQfr

    Residential

    Ne EXPORTS 1

    Federal1982 1983 1984 1985

    Based on Seasonally Adjusted Annual RatesU.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 85-10-1

    A HE pace of U.S. production pickedup again in the third quarter. RealGNP increased at an annual rate of3 Vfc percent, following an increase of 2percent in the second quarter (table1). Inflation, as measured by the GNPfixed-weighted price index, slowed. Atan annual rate of 3 percent, downfrom 4 percent in the preceding quar-ter, inflation was at its lowest rate inmore than 10 years.1

    1. Quarterly estimates in the national income andproduct accounts are expressed at seasonally adjustedannual rates, and quarterly changes in them are dif-ferences between these rates. Quarter-to-quarter per-cent changes are annualized. Real, or constant-dollar,estimates are expressed in 1972 dollars.

    The preliminary (plus 15-day) GNP estimates for thethird quarter, prepared in mid-October, are based onthe following major source data: For personal con-sumption expenditures (PCE), retail sales through Sep-tember, and unit auto and truck sales through Sep-tember; for nonresidential fixed investment, the sameinformation for autos and trucks as for PCE, July andAugust construction put in place, July and August

    Several noteworthy aspects of thethird quarter can be viewed in termsof developments in the farm, rest-of-the-world, and personal sectors.

    Faced with depressed prices reflect-ing bumper harvests and low foreigndemand, farmers placed largemanufacturers' shipments of machinery and equip-ment, and investment plans for the quarter; for resi-dential investment, July and August construction putin place, and July and August housing starts; forchange in business inventories, July and August bookvalues for manufacturing and trade, and unit auto in-ventories through September; for net exports of goodsand services, July and August statistical month mer-chandise exports, July revised statistical month mer-chandise imports, and fragmentary information on in-vestment income for the quarter; for government pur-chases of goods and services, Federal unified budgetoutlays for July and August, State and local construc-tion put in place for July and August, and State andlocal employment through September; and for GJVPprices, the Consumer Price Index for July and August,the Producer Price Index for July and August, andunit-value indexes for exports and imports for Julyand August. Some of the source data are subject to re-

    Looking Ahead . . . NIPA Revisions. An advance overview of the comprehensive revision

    of the NIPA's scheduled for release in December appears in this issue.See page 19 for information about the availability of the revised estimatesand related materials.

    Input-Output Estimates. Two sets of estimatesnew structures andequipment by using industry, and employment and employee compensa-tionconsistent with the 1977 input-output table will appear in the No-vember SURVEY.

    Business Statistics. The 1984 edition of this biennial volume will beavailable soon from the Government Printing Office. It contains histori-cal data and methodological notes for all series in the "S" (or blue) pagesof the SURVEY and for selected BEA series. Upcoming issues of theSURVEY will contain order information.

    U.S. Direct Investment Abroad. A volume presenting the results of theBenchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad1982 will be pub-lished in December. It will contain data on the financial structure andoperations of U.S. parent companies and their foreign affiliates, on bal-ance of payments transactions between parents and affiliates, and on par-ents' direct investment position in affiliates. An article summarizing thefinancial and operating data is scheduled for the December SURVEY. Apackage of tables presenting the results of the first annual survey, cover-ing 1983, will be available upon request in November. These resultsupdate the financial and operating data collected in the benchmarksurvey. An article analyzing these data is scheduled for the JanuarySURVEY. Both sets of data provide new detail for services industries.

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  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985

    Table 1.Real GNP: Change From PrecedingQuarter

    [Percent change at annual rates]

    GNP

    Final sales . .

    Personal consumptionexpendituresDurables

    Motor vehicles andparts

    Furniture andhousehold equipment ..

    Other durablesNondurables

    FoodEnergy 1Clothing and shoesOther nondurables

    Services. . . . . .Energy 2Other services

    Gross private domesticfixed investmentNonresidential

    StructuresProducers' durable

    equipmentAutos and trucksOther

    ResidentialNet exports of goods and

    services . ..Exports

    MerchandiseAgriculturalNonagricultural

    OtherImports . .. .

    MerchandisePetroleumNonpetroleum

    OtherGovernment purchases of

    goods and servicesFederal

    National defenseNondefense

    Commodity CreditCorporation

    OtherState and local

    Change in business

    1984IV

    4.37.9

    3.614.1

    5.721.6173 .5

    -1.9 57

    4.23

    3.3-3.7

    37

    5.38.5

    172

    54-3.8

    78-5.5

    -.714864.353

    -17.8-28.3

    347-6.6

    -35.8-8.9

    5.915217.599

    14.2-.2

    I

    0.3- 3

    5.29.29.78.8903.74.3144.3235.0

    10.547

    -.1-1.6

    9.556

    20.11125.3

    -9.026

    -33.969

    -17.332.357.6

    -56.266.2

    -17.0

    .3

    .7 23.1

    -4.00

    1985II

    1.946

    4.86.85.1

    10.7104.76.4

    -597.8

    g4.2

    -14.75.3

    12.714.592

    166-7.62386.4

    -15.1-16.8-45.7-89

    -12.6-.8986.1

    -3.2-.6

    3.7 .47.2

    -17.7

    1.66.7

    ra

    3.359

    4.820.553.8-.325.6

    1.874

    -3.42

    2.75.53.1

    -1.4-4.7-7.7

    -3.523.293

    10.9

    .5-1.4

    -24.73.83.2

    .717

    42.23.9

    -2.1

    16.133.420.174.4

    1.55.0

    Table 2.Real Gross Product, Hours, andCompensation in the Nonfarm BusinessEconomy Less Housing: Change From Pre-ceding Quarter

    [Percent change at annual rates; based on seasonally adjustedestimates]

    Table 3.Fixed-Weighted Price Indexes:Change From Preceding Quarter

    [Percent change at annual rates; based on index numbers(1972=100), seasonally adjusted]

    1. Gasoline and oil, and fuel oil and coal.2. Electricity and gas.NOTE.Percent changes in major aggregates are found in

    the National Income and Product Accounts Tables, table 8.1.Dollar levels are found in tables 1.2, 1.15, 1.17, 3.8B, and 4.4.

    amounts of crops under CommodityCredit Corporation (CCC) loan, ratherthan in business inventories. CCCloans are treated as government pur-chases in the national income andproduct accounts (NIPA's); as a result,a net increase in the amount of cropsunder CCC loan leads to an increasein final sales. In the third quarter,final sales of GNP increased 6 per-cent, following a 4V2-percent increase.CCC loans more than accounted forthis acceleration: Final sales exclusiveof CCC purchases increased 4% per-cent in the third quarter, following a5-percent increase in the second.

    Second, net exports changed littlein the third quarter. As a conse-quence, U.S. production (measured byreal GNP) increased about as much as

    Real gross product .HoursCompensationReal gross product per hourCompensation per hourUnit labor cost

    1984IV

    472.662213.514

    I

    043689315185

    1985II

    25g

    47

    173922

    ra

    3 12659

    53227

    U.S. demand (measured by real grossdomestic purchases). In the past sev-eral quarters, demand typically in-creased more than production, as netexports declined. (As explained in thebox on page 3, new information indi-cates that there is a problem with themerchandise import data.)

    Third, in the personal sector, realpersonal consumption expenditures(PCE) increased 5 percent. This sub-stantial increase, which was concen-trated in motor vehicles, occurred de-spite weakness in real disposable per-sonal income (DPI). This weaknesscan be traced to a drop of $14 billionin current-dollar DPI. Reflecting theincrease in personal outlays and thedecline in DPI, personal saving fell.The personal saving rate, which hadincreased to 5.1 percent in the secondquarter, dropped to 2.9 percent in thethird.

    Productivity and costs.Table 2shows changes in real gross product,aggregate hours, and compensation inthe business economy other thanfarm and housing. Real gross productincreased 3 percent, reflecting a 2Vz-percent increase in hours and a Vz-percent increase in productivity (asmeasured by real gross product perhour). The productivity increase mod-erated the impact of increased hourlycompensation on unit labor costs;compensation per hour was up 3 per-cent, but unit labor cost was up 2l/2percent. The third-quarter increase inunit labor cost, although larger thanthe second-quarter increase, was 1%percentage points lower than the in-crease over the preceding four quar-ters.

    Prices.GNP prices, as measuredby the fixed-weighted price index, in-creased 3 percent in the third quar-ter, somewhat less than the increasesin the past several quarters, whichranged from 3x/2 to 4% percent (table3). The price of gross domestic pur-chases also increased 3 percent, fol-

    GNP

    Less' Change in business inventories..Equals: Final salesLess' Exports .. . . ...Plus' ImportsEquals: Final sales to domestic

    purchasers . ....

    Personal consumptionexpendituresFood . ..EnergyOther personal consumption

    expendituresOther

    Nonresidential structuresProducers' durable equipmentResidential . Government purchases

    Equals: Gross domestic purchasesAddenda:

    Food and energy components ofGNP: 1Food components 2Energy components 3

    GNP less food componentsGNP less energy componentsGNP less food and energy

    components

    1984IV

    3.6

    3.7-1.6

    30

    3.5

    3.9331.64.5282.21.61.03.7

    3.4

    2.71.7383.73.9

    I

    4.3

    4.4.1

    64

    3.8

    3.32.6

    -4.54.7453.72.0

    -1.47.0

    3.7

    2.53.7464.85.2

    1985II

    3.9

    4.076

    3.9

    4.1- 612.4

    4.4354.02.2134.2

    3.8

    -.514.6463.3

    3.9

    III

    2.9

    3.0-1.3-24

    2.8

    2.3.6

    3.53.73.73.73.23.04.0

    2.8

    .2-1.2

    333.23.7

    1. Inasmuch as GNP is the sum of final products, the foodand energy estimates in this table do not take into account theeffect on the prices of final products of changes in the prices ofthe food and energy that are costs of production.

    2. Consists of all components for which separate estimatesare prepared. The major component that is not included ispurchases of food by the Federal Government other thantransactions by the Commodity Credit Corporation that aretreated like purchases.

    3. Consists of all components for which separate estimatesare prepared. The major components that are not included are(1) exports of energy; (2) the gasoline and motor oil portions ofinventories of gasoline service stations; and (3) the energyportions of inventories of businesses that do not produceenergy for sale.

    NOTE.Most index number levels are found in the NationalIncome and Product Accounts Tables, table 7.2.

    lowing a 4-percent increase in thesecond quarter. The third-quarter de-celeration in the prices of both GNPand gross domestic purchases reflect-ed a swing in energy prices from asharp increase to a small decline.

    Largely due to energy prices, pricespaid by consumersPCE pricesde-celerated ll/2 percentage points to a2V2-percent increase in the thirdquarter. Other PCE prices also con-tributed to the deceleration by slow-ing to 3V2 percent from 4V2 percent;food prices, however, were up slightlyafter a slight decline. For the mostpart, prices paid by investors and bygovernment continued to increase inthe moderate ranges registered in thepast several quarters.

    Employment and hours.Employ-ment increased and the unemploy-ment rate edged down in the thirdquarter.

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  • October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    According to the household survey,employment of adult men and adultwomen increased, while teenage em-ployment was unchanged. The com-bined increase in employment, 0.4million, was slightly larger than theincrease in the labor force, 0.3 mil-lion. As a result, the unemploymentrate moved down to 7.2 percent, and

    employment as a percent of the work-ing-age population moved back up toa record-tying 60.1 percent (table 4and chart 2).

    According to the establishmentsurvey, nonfarm employment in-creased 0.6 million. All of the increaseoccurred in distribution, services, and

    government; employment in goods-producing industries fell slightly. Av-erage weekly hours in the privatenonfarm economy were unchangedagain in the third quarter, but inmanufacturing, average weekly hoursincreased by 0.2, to 40.5, and overtimehours increased by 0.1, to 3.3.

    CHART 2Unemployment Rate1

    1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198319741. Civilian.NOTE.Business cycle peaks (P), and troughs (T), are turning points in economic activity, as designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Shaded areas represent recessions.Data: BLS.

    U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

    1984 1985

    A Note on Merchandise Trade DataFor the preliminary third-quarter GNP estimate, the change in

    net exports reflects a change in the source data used to estimatemerchandise imports. BE A is now using the Census Bureau's "re-vised statistical month" series, which becomes available 1 monthafter the previously used "statistical month" series.1 Although thenew series provides a more accurate estimate of merchandise im-ports, the import data available for the preliminary estimate havebeen reduced from 2 months to 1 month (and BEA projections areused for the 2 missing months). BEA is continuing to use the sta-tistical month series for exports.

    This change was made in light of the Census Bureau's new in-formation on the seriousness of the timing problem with monthlytrade data. Each month, these data are compiled from documentstransmitted to Census by the U.S. Customs Service within 15 daysof the end of the month. The values reported on these documentsshould represent only transactions for the month just ended. How-ever, they also include a "carry-over" of documents for previousmonths. In the past, for use in both the U.S. international transac-tions accounts and the NIPA's, BEA has adjusted the publishedCensus series on the basis of limited information from Census toremove the carry-over. The new information released by Censusreveals that for the past several years this adjustment has beeninadequate because the amount of carry-over has increased sub-stantiallyincluding documents as much as a year oldand hasvaried widely from month to month. For example, in August 1985,the carry-over documents accounted for 47 percent of the value ofimports and 11 percent of the value of exports; in the previousmonth, the import carry-over was 39 percent and the export carry-over was 11 percent. For 1984, the new information shows that thetiming problem has had only a minor impact on annual totals forboth exports and imports. For the period from the first quarter of1984 through the second quarter of 1985, the impact on quarter-to-quarter changes in exports is minor, but the impact on the quar-ter-to-quarter changes in imports is substantial.

    1. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Ad-vance Report on U.S. Merchandise Trade: August 1985 StatisticalMonth," News Release CB-85-174 (Washington, DC: Department ofCommerce, 27 September 1985).

    In September, Census introduced alternative export and importseries: "revised statistical month" series. These series, which sub-stantially reduce the carry-over, are derived from all documentsreceived within 45 days of the end of the month. Each revisedseries is calculated by combining the value of documents for agiven month that are received in that month plus the value of thecarry-over in the subsequent monththat is, the documents re-ceived in the subsequent month that pertain to previous months.In addition, beginning in 1986, Census will publish annually afinal, or "actual," monthly series. This series will be calculatedwhen complete information is available to recompile all carry-overdocuments.

    When BEA prepared the preliminary third-quarter estimate ofchange in net exports, the revised statistical month imports serieswas available through July. The change from June to July in therevised statistical month series differed significantly from thechange in the statistical month series. (On a seasonally unadjustedbasis, the statistical month series showed a lOVfe-percent decreaseand the revised statistical month series a 5V2-percent increase.) Be-cause the revised series was viewed as providing a better indicatorof current developments, it was used by BEA in estimating thethird-quarter change in merchandise imports. (For the flash esti-mate of the third quarter, information for July on the revised sta-tistical month basis was not available; the estimate was based onthe statistical month series with the assumption that there wouldbe very little variation in extent of carry-over in the August andSeptember imports data.)

    In the December NIPA revision, actual data for both merchan-dise exports and imports will be incorporated from the secondquarter of 1983 through the second quarter of 1985, and data onthe revised statistical month basis will be incorporated beginningwith the third quarter of 1985. The same data will also be incorpo-rated into the U.S. international transactions accounts in Decem-ber. In the future, BEA will follow a two-step procedure to esti-mate both merchandise exports and imports. The current quarter-ly estimates will be based on the "revised statistical month" series.Annually, these estimates will be replaced by the "actual" series.

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  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985

    Personal IncomePersonal income increased $24 Mz

    billion in the third quarter, $6*/2 bil-lion less than in the second (table 5).The slowdown was more than ac-counted for by a sharp drop in farmproprietors' income.

    Wage and salary disbursementswere up $24J/2 billion in the thirdquarter, $3V2 billion less than in thesecond. The slowdown reflected small-er increases in distributive industries,commodity-producing industries otherthan manufacturing, and governmentand government enterprises. The pat-tern of increase in government andgovernment enterprises in recentquarters has been affected by FederalGovernment and Postal Service payadjustments, which added to the in-creases in wages in the first andsecond quarters, but had a slight neg-ative effect on the third-quarter in-crease. Manufacturing increased afterno change in the second quarter; serv-ices increased slightly more than inthe second quarter.

    Proprietors' income declined $6V2billion in the third quarter, followinga small increase in the second. Non-farm proprietors' income increasedslightly more in the third quarterthan in the second, but farm propri-etors' income plummeted $11 billion,as a continued decline in crop andlivestock prices and a large drop inagricultural subsidy payments morethan offset the effect of an increase inreal farm product. Subsidy pay-

    mentswhich had accounted forabout one-half of farm proprietors'income in the second quarterfell$8% billion in the third. The declineslargely reflected a decrease in "defi-ciency payments"; these payments tofarmers who reduced planted acreageare based on the difference betweenlegislated "target prices" and marketprices. Deficiency payments had beenunusually large in the second quarterreflecting payments on the 1984 corncrop as well as some advance pay-ments on 1985 crops. (Farm subsidiesare expected to increase in the fourthquarter when the balance of deficien-cy payments on the 1985 wheat cropare made.)

    Personal interest income declined$3 billion, the same as in the secondquarter, due to the continued declinein the rate of interest paid on person-al assets.

    Transfer payments increased about$5% billion in the third quarter, afterchanging little in the second. Aboutone-half of the step-up was accountedfor by retroactive Social Security pay-ments, which swung to a $2 billion in-crease from a $1 billion decline in thesecond quarter. These paymentsresult largely from the recalculationof the earnings base underlying bene-fits for recent retirees.

    Other income increased $5x/2 bil-lion, about $1% billion less than inthe second quarter. The slowdownwas in rental income, which fell $6billion in September as a result ofdamage caused to residential proper-

    Table 5.Personal Income and Its Disposition:Change From Preceding Quarter

    [Billions of dollars; based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Table 4.Selected Labor Market Indicators[Seasonally adjusted]

    Household surveyCivilian employment (millions)

    Adult menAdult womenTeenagers ..

    Employment-population ratio (percent)Unemployment rate

    Establishment surveyEmployment nonfarm (millions)

    Goods producingDurable manufacturingNondurable manufacturing ... . .Other goods producing

    Distributive *Services 2Government

    Average weekly hours:Private nonfarmManufacturingManufacturing overtime . . .

    Level1984

    ra

    105.356.042.9

    6.459.67.4

    94.924.911.67.95.4

    27.526.616.0

    35.340.53.3

    IV

    106.056.343.36.4

    59.87.2

    95.825.011.77.95.4

    27.826.916.1

    35.240.53.4

    1985I

    106.756.343.86.6

    60.17.3

    96.625.111.77.95.5

    28.127.316.1

    35.140.43.3

    II

    106.856.443.96.4

    60.07.3

    97.325.111.67.85.7

    28.427.716.2

    35.140.33.2

    ra

    107.256.644.26.4

    60.17.2

    97.925.011.57.85.7

    28.628.016.4

    35.140.53.3

    Change from preceding quarter1984IV

    0.7.3.4

    0.2

    -.3

    .9

    .1

    .100.3.3.1

    -.10.1

    1985I

    0.70.5.2

    .3

    .1

    .8

    .100.1.3.4

    0

    -.1-.1-.1

    II

    0.1.1.121

    0

    .70-.1-.1

    .2

    .3

    .4

    .1

    0-.1_ i

    ra

    0.4.2.3

    0.1

    -.1

    .6-.1

    100.2.3.2

    0.2.1

    Wage and salarydisbursementsManufacturing ..Other commodity-producing..DistributiveServicesGovernment and

    government enterprisesProprietors' income

    FarmNonfarm

    Personal interest incomeTransfer paymentsOther incomeLess: Personal contributions

    for social insurancePersonal income

    Less: Personal tax and nontaxpayments

    Equals: Disposable personalincome

    Less: Personal outlays

    Equa Is: Personal saving

    Addenda: Special factors inpersonal income:Federal Government and

    Postal Service payadjustments...

    Agricultural subsidiesMilitary retirement paySocial Security retroactive

    payments ... ... .Cost-of-living increases in

    Federal transferpayments

    Social Security base andrate changes (in personalcontributions for socialinsurance)

    1984

    IV

    282607.667964.3542133673.372

    1.848.9

    108

    38.139.2

    1.1

    44.8

    -5.6

    23

    I

    351554.559

    1058.6

    737430

    17457

    112

    47.6

    373

    10.2546

    44.4

    36'3.05.6

    12

    84

    63

    1985n

    279o3.367

    1166.4

    92332

    3 03

    69

    2.030.9

    408

    71.7

    50.920.8

    131.7

    10

    ra

    24623

    .949

    1194.663

    10946

    -305753

    1.824.5

    384

    13.9471

    61.0

    6-8.7

    18

    1. Includes transportation and public utilities, wholesale trade, and retail trade.2. Includes financial and nonfmancial services.Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

    NOTE.Most dollar levels are found in the National Incomeand Product Accounts Tables, table 2.1.

    ties by two hurricanes that swept theGulf and Atlantic coasts.

    Personal contributions for social in-surance, which are subtracted in de-riving the personal income total, in-creased $2 billion, about the same asin the second quarter.

    Personal tax and nontax payments,increased $38V2 billion after dropping$41 billion in the second quarter. Theswing reflected the unusual pattern ofFederal income tax refunds, whichwere delayed in the first quarter butwere caught up in the second. Thepattern of tax refunds did not affectthe level of personal tax payments inthe third quarter, but did increase thethird-quarter change by $271/2 billion(table 6).

    Largely due to the erratic patternof personal taxes, DPI dropped $14billion after a huge$71V2 billion-increase. If the effect of the timing ofincome tax refunds is excluded, DPIwould have increased $13y2 in thethird quarter and $16V2 billion in thesecond. Real DPI decreased 4 percent

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  • October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Table 6.Personal Tax and Nontax Payments:Change From Preceding Quarter

    [Billions of dollars; based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Personal tax and nontaxpayments

    FederalImpact of legislation 1

    Indexing of income taxesRefunds slowdownOther

    State and localImpact of legislationOther

    1984IV

    10.88.3

    -1.0

    9.32.6-.43.0

    I

    37.334.3

    q O o.o

    6927.610.1

    3.0-.33.3

    1985

    n

    40.8

    -44.00

    -55.111.2

    3.103.1

    ra

    38.4

    36.3-1.9

    27.610.7

    2.1-1.2

    3.3

    1. For more information on the impact of legislation onFederal receipts, see "Impact of Recent Tax Law Changes" inthe April 1985 issue of the SURVEY.

    after increasing 8 percent in thesecond quarter. If the effect of thetiming of income tax refunds is ex-cluded, real DPI would have shown nochange after decreasing % percent.

    The decline in DPI, coupled with anincrease in personal outlays, led to asubstantial drop in the personalsaving rate, from 5.1 percent in thesecond quarter to 2.9 percent in thethird. Undoubtedly, many factorswere involved in the saving rate'ssharp drop; three are mentionedbelow. First, changes in farm propri-etors' income have, historically, hadrelatively little impact on personaloutlays. If it is assumed that thethird-quarter decline in farm incomehad no effect on personal outlays, theincome change by itself would havelowered the saving rate by about 0.4percentage point. Second, some partof the record consumer purchases ofmotor vehicles in the third quarter(discussed under PCE) may representan alternative kind of savingan ac-cumulation of physical capital as op-posed to financial capital. In the past,large changes in consumer purchasesof motor vehicles have been associat-ed with changes in the opposite direc-tion in the saving rate. Third, incometax refunds boosted second-quarterDPI (and probably personal saving),and thereby caused the third-quarterdrop in the saving rate to be largerthan it otherwise would have been.

    Components of Real GNPAmong the components of real

    GNP, PCE and inventory investmentregistered changes in the third quar-ter similar to their second-quarterchangesPCE up and inventory in-vestment down. Other componentsregistered divergent movements be-tween the two quarters. Government

    purchases increased sharply in thethird quarter, following a moderateincrease in the second; fixed invest-ment slipped slightly, following an in-crease; and net exports were flat, fol-lowing a decline.

    Personal consumption expendituresReal PCE increased 5 percent in

    the third quarter, the same as in thesecond; a strong increase in durablegoods was accompanied by smaller in-creases in nondurable goods and inservices.

    Expenditures for durable goods in-creased 2Ql/2 percent in the thirdquarter, following a 7-percent in-crease in the second. The increase re-flected a large jump, 54 percent, inthe motor vehicles component; thiscomponent had been increasing inrecent quarters, but at more moder-ate rates. The third-quarter strengthin motor vehicles reflected recordsales of new cars and trucks in lateAugust and September, in response toattractive financing packages offeredby manufacturers. Furniture andhousehold equipment slipped % per-cent in the third quarter, after a 10 Vz-percent increase in the second; otherdurable goods increased 2l/2 percent,after a 1-percent increase.

    Nondurable goods increased slight-ly, l/z percent, in the third quarter,following a 4V2-percent increase inthe second. Expenditures for food andfor clothing and shoes, which together

    represent about three-fourths of totalnondurables, accounted for the decel-eration. Food decelerated from a Ql/2-percent increase to a 2-percent in-crease, and clothing and shoes swungfrom an 8-percent increase to a SVfe-percent decline. Energy expendituresincreased 7 2 percent in the thirdquarter, following a 6-percent declinein the second. Other nondurablegoods increased little, as they had inthe second quarter.

    Expenditures for services increased2l/2 percent in the third quarter, fol-lowing a 4-percent increase in thesecond. Among services, electricityand gas declined in both quarters,and a slowdown in other services wascentered in spending on medical careand net foreign travel.Investment

    Residential investmentReal resi-dential investment increased 11 per-cent in the third quarter, following a6V2-percent increase in the second.Single-family construction was un-changed, but multifamily constructionand the "other," nonconstruction,component increased. (The noncon-struction component includes addi-tions and alterations, brokers' com-missions on the sale of residences,and mobile homes.)

    The pattern of the constructioncomponents follows that of housingstarts, with a shorter lag in single-family than in multifamily units.

    CHART 3Housing Starts

    Millions of units2.5

    1.0 -

    0L_LJL1981 1982 1983 1984

    Seasonally Adjusted as Annual RatesData: Census.

    U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

    1985

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  • SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985

    Single-family starts were roughly thesame in the second quarter as theyhad been in the first; multifamilystarts had increased sharply in thefirst quarter (chart 3).

    An increase in brokers' commis-sions accounted for much of the in-crease in the nonconstruction compo-nent, and reflected increased sales ofnew and existing residences. Fromthe second quarter to July-August,sales of new residences increased 6.8percent, and sales of existing resi-dences, 7.9 percent (not annual rates).These increases continue the patternof recent quarters and reflect the con-tinued downtrend in mortgage rates(chart 4). The mortgage rate hoveredjust above 12 percent in the thirdquarter, 64 basis points below itssecond-quarter level and 235 basispoints below its level in the thirdquarter of 1984.

    Nonresidential fixed investmentReal nonresidential fixed investmentdeclined 4 2 percent in the thirdquarter, following a 14V2-percent in-crease in the second. Both structuresand producers' durable equipment(PDE) contributed to the third-quarterswing.

    Structures declined 7 Vfe percent, fol-lowing a 9-percent increase. Commer-cial structures and industrial struc-tures declined by about equalamounts; other categories of struc-tures changed little.

    PDE declined 3Vi percent, followinga 16V2-percent increase. The changein PDE was again dominated by thevolatile information processing cate-gory, computers in particular (table7). The transportation category, large-ly due to strong auto sales, againchanged in the opposite directionfrom the information processing cate-gory and moderated the swing in totalPDE.

    Change in business inventories.Real business inventories decreased$2 billion in the third quarter, follow-ing an $8V2 billion increase in thesecond (table 8). In both quarters, thechange in inventory investment con-tributed negatively to the change inGNPminus $10 Vi billion in thethird quarter and minus $11 billion inthe second. The third-quarter swingin inventory investment was largelyaccounted for by farm and trade in-ventories. Farm inventories increasedlittle, following a $3V2 billion increase

    CHART 4Selected Interest Rates

    Percent22

    20

    18

    16

    14

    12

    10

    3-montft Treasury Bis "*...**

    I M I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I i I I I I I i I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ! i I I I M1981 1982

    Data: FRB, FHLMC.U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis

    1983 1984 1985

    in the second quarter; faced with goodharvests, low foreign demand, andlow prices, farmers placed substantialamounts of crops under CCC loan. Inretail trade, sharper decumulation ininventories was more than accountedfor by autos. As was mentioned earli-er, auto sales jumped in the thirdquarter in response to attractive fi-nancing packages offered by manufac-turers; as a result, auto inventorieswere run down to levels below thoseconsidered desirable by the industry.(The ratio of unit auto inventories toauto sales fell to 1.3 in September1985the lowest level since the be-ginning of this series in 1967.)

    Reflecting the decline in inventoriesand the increase in final sales, theconstant-dollar ratio of total invento-ries to total final sales declined to3.02, approaching the lower end of the3.01-3.09 range within which it hasfluctuated over the last 2 years.

    Net exportsReal net exports were flat in the

    third quarter, following a $5% billiondecline in the second. Exports and im-ports both increased by less than $x/2billion in the third quarter; in thesecond they had both declinedex-ports by $6 billion and imports by lessthan $V2 billion. Within exports, agri-cultural products declined in the faceof ample worldwide supplies, but thisdecline was more than offset by in-creases in services and nonagricul-tural exports. Within imports, al-though services remained flat, mer-chandise imports registered a smallincrease. The increase in merchandiseimports, in which a decline in petrole-um was more than offset by an in-crease in nonpetroleum, was estimat-ed using the Census Bureau's importdata on a revised statistical monthbasis. See the box on page 3 for a de-scription of these new data and theiruse in preparing the third-quarter es-timates.Government purchases

    Real government purchases wereup 16 percent in the third quarter,following a moderate increase in thesecond. The step-up was in Federalpurchases, which jumped 331/2 percentafter a slight decline. Defense pur-chases, which often fluctuate sharplyfrom quarter to quarter, were up con-siderably more than in the secondquarter. The large increase was due

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  • October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Table 7.Real Nonresidential Producers' Durable Equipment[Billions of 1972 dollars; seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    Producers' durable equipmentInformation processing and related equip-

    mentTransportation and related equipmentIndustrial equipment

    Level1984

    m

    152.470.835.125.720.8

    IV

    154.472.535.025.621.3

    1985I

    152.269.736.225.321.0

    II

    158.274.135.626.322.2

    m

    156.870.938.126.321.5

    Change from preceding quarter1984IV

    2.01.7-.1-.1

    .5

    1985I

    -2.2

    -2.81.2-.3-.3

    n

    6.04.4-.61.01.2

    in-1.4

    -3.22.50-.7

    Table 9.Federal Receipts and Expenditures,NIPA Basis: Change From Preceding Quarter[Billions of dollars; based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]

    NOTE.Information processing and related equipment, previously referred to as high-technology equipment, consists of: office and

    store equipment (including computers), communications equipment, photographic instruments and scientific and engineeringinstruments.

    Transportation and related equipment consists of: passenger cars, trucks, aircraft, railroad equipment, and ships and boats.Industrial equipment, previously referred to as heavy industrial equipment, consists of: general and special industrial

    machinery, fabricated metals and metalworking equipment, steam and internal combustion engines, and electrical transmissionand distribution equipment.

    Table 8.Change in Real Business Inventories[Billions of 1972 dollars; seasonally adjusted at annual rates]

    Change in business inventoriesFarmNonfarm . .

    ManufacturingWholesale trade .Retail tradeOther

    Level

    1984III

    30.64.1

    26.513.09.52.51.5

    IV

    16.84.8

    12.0-.13.98.1.1

    1985I

    19.13.4

    15.72.12.4

    10.11.2

    n

    8.33.44.9

    .53.5101.8

    III

    -2.1

    .2-2.3

    .6

    .4-4.1

    .8

    Change from preceding quarter1984IV

    -13.8.7

    -14.5-13.1-5.6

    5.6-1.4

    1985I

    2.3-1.4

    3.72.2

    -1.52.01.0

    II

    -10.80

    -10.8-1.6

    1.1-11.1

    .6

    III

    -10.4-3.2-7.2

    .1-3.1-3.1-1.0

    NOTE.Dollar levels are found in the National Income and Product Accounts Tables, table 5.9.

    to a step-up in the delivery of militaryequipment. Nondefense purchases in-creased sharply after a decline;changes in both quarters were due tooperations of the CCC. As noted earli-er, farmers stepped up placements ofcrops with the CCC under the com-modity loan program in the thirdquarter. State and local governmentpurchases were up 5 percent, some-what less than in the second quarter.The increases were largely in high-way construction.

    The Federal sector.Changes incurrent-dollar Federal receipts andexpenditures on a NIPA basis areshown in table 9. Expenditures in-creased $22 billion in the third quar-ter, about double the increase in thesecond. The step-up was more thanaccounted for by purchases; defensepurchases were up more than in the

    second quarter, and nondefense pur-chases increased after a decline.Transfer payments increased after adecline, largely reflecting the patternof retroactive Social Security pay-ments. Net interest paid and grants-in-aid to State and local governmentsincreased again, but the compositionof the increase in grants changedsharply. In the second quarter, high-ways had fully accounted for the in-crease; in the third, education ac-counted for the largest share. Subsi-dies less the current surplus of gov-ernment enterprises declined sharply,mainly due to the drop in agriculturalsubsidy payments. Changes in wageaccruals less disbursementswhichare subtracted from expendituresre-flected a retroactive payment toPostal Service employees in thesecond quarter.

    Receipts

    Personal tax and nontaxreceipts

    Corporate profits tax accrualsIndirect business tax and

    nontax accrualsContributions for social

    insurance

    Expenditures .Purchases of goods and services...

    National defenseNondefense

    Transfer paymentsGrants-in-aid to State and local

    governments ,Net interest paidSubsidies less current surplus of

    government enterprisesLess: Wage accruals less

    disbursements ,Surplus or deficit (-),

    national income andproduct accounts ,

    1984IV

    15.7

    833.8

    2

    38

    32.913.711.3246.54.94543

    .9

    -17.2

    I

    49.4

    343-1.7

    5

    16316.74.22.3199.9

    -1.91823

    .4

    32.7

    1985n

    -37.4

    440-1.3

    4.2

    3.611.54.47.22.8-.62.94.6-.9

    -1.2

    -49.0

    m

    n.a.

    363n.a.

    -5.03.2

    21.922.812.010.73.22.31.06.3

    1.0

    n.a.

    n.a. Not availableNOTE.Dollar levels are found in the National Income and

    Product Accounts Tables, table 3.2.

    Among receipts, recent sharp fluc-tuations in personal tax receipts weremainly due to the delay and catchupin income tax refund payments.Changes in indirect business taxes inthe past two quarters reflected a one-time fee levied in the second quarteron the nuclear power industry for ex-isting stocks of nuclear waste. Contri-butions for social insurance again in-creased moderately. Estimates of cor-porate profits, and, thus, of corporateprofits tax accruals, can be approxi-mated by using a residual calculationof corporate profits that assumes thatthe statistical discrepancy in theNIPA's is the same as in the preced-ing quarter. On the basis of this cal-culation, total receipts increasedabout $40 billion in the third quarter.

    The Federal deficit on a NIPA basishad increased $49 billion to $214 bil-lion in the second quarter and islikely to decline about $18 billion inthe third. These changes largely re-flect the impact of the timing of taxrefunds.

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  • 8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    National Income and Product Accounts Tables

    October 1985

    New estimates in this issue: Third quarter 1985, preliminary.The abbreviations used in the tables are: CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment

    IVANIPA's

    Inventory valuation adjustmentNational income and product accountsPreliminaryRevised

    The NIPA estimates for 1929-76 are in The National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-76: Statistical Tables (StockNo. 003-010-00101-1, price $10.00). Estimates for 1977-79 and corrections for earlier years are in the July 1982 SURVEY; estimates for 1980 andcorrections for earlier years are in the July 1983 SURVEY; estimates for 1981-83 and corrections for earlier years are in the July 1984 SURVEY.Summary NIPA Series, 1952-83, are in the August 1984 SURVEY. These publications are available from the Superintendent of Documents andCommerce Department District Offices; see addresses inside front cover.

    The full set of NIPA estimates shown regularly in this part of the SURVEY are now available on diskette for $240 per year (12 updates). Formore information, write to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BE-54), U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230.

    Table 1.1-1.2.Gross National Product in Current and Constant Dollars

    Gross national product

    Personal consumption expenditures

    Durable goodsNondurable goodsServices . . .

    Gross private domestic investment

    Fixed investmentNonresidential

    Structures.Producers' durable equipment

    Residential .Nonfarm structures . Farm structuresProducers' durable equipment ... .

    Change in business inventoriesNonfarm .Farm

    Net exports of goods and services

    ExportsImports . .

    Government purchases of goods and services

    FederalNational defense .Nondefense

    State and local .

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    3,304.8

    2,155.9

    279.8801.7

    1,074.4

    471.6

    485.1352.9129.7223.2132.2127.6

    1.03.6

    -13.5-3.1

    -10.4

    -8.3

    336.2344.4

    685.5

    269.7200.5

    69.3415.8

    1984

    3,662.8

    2,341.8

    318.8856.9

    1,166.1

    637.8

    579.6425.7150.4275.3153.9148.8

    1.14.0

    58.249.68.6

    -64.2

    364.3428.5

    747.4

    295.4221.5

    73.9452.0

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    3,644.7

    2,332.7

    320.7858.3

    1,153.7

    627.0

    576.4420.8150.0270.7155.6150.5

    1.04.1

    50.647.03.5

    58.7

    362.4421.1

    743.7

    296.4220.8

    75.6447.4

    III

    3,694.6

    2,361.4

    317.2861.4

    1,182.8

    662.8

    591.0435.7151.4284.2155.3150.1

    1.24.0

    71.863.78.1

    -90.6

    368.6459.3

    761.0

    302.0220.3

    81.7458.9

    IV

    3,758.7

    2,396.5

    326.3866.5

    1,203.8

    637.8

    601.1447.7157.9289.7153.5148.3

    1.04.1

    36.627.29.4

    -56.0

    367.2423.2

    780.5

    315.7231.684.1

    464.8

    1985

    I

    3,810.6

    2,446.5

    334.8877.3

    1,234.4

    646.8

    606.1450.9162.9288.0155.2150.0

    1.04.2

    40.734.16.6

    -74.5

    360.7435.2

    791.9

    319.9233.9

    85.9472.0

    II

    3,853.1

    2,493.0

    339.2891.9

    1,261.9

    643.2

    625.3467.3168.3299.0158.0152.4

    1.34.3

    17.911.46.5

    -94.0

    347.7441.6

    810.9

    324.2241.1

    83.2486.7

    III"

    3,916.1

    2,536.5

    355.6895.6

    1,285.3

    622.8

    630.9467.5166.8300.6163.4157.5

    1.74.3

    -8.1-8.4

    .3

    -89.2

    347.6436.7

    845.9

    347.0253.1

    93.9498.9

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    1983

    1,534.7

    1,009.2

    157.5376.3475.4

    221.0

    224.6171.0

    49.2121.8

    53.751.2

    .42.1

    -3.6.6

    -4.2

    12.6

    139.5126.9

    291.9

    116.284.731.5

    175.7

    1984

    1,639.3

    1,062.4

    178.0393.5490.8

    289.9

    265.1204.9

    56.9148.0

    60.257.5

    .42.3

    24.820.94.0

    -15.0

    146.0161.1

    302.1

    122.589.632.9

    179.6

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    1,638.8

    1,064.2

    178.6396.6488.9

    283.9

    263.7202.9

    56.8146.0

    60.858.1

    .42.3

    20.318.71.6

    -11.4

    144.7156.2

    302.1

    123.289.633.6

    178.9

    III

    1,645.2

    1,065.9

    177.0395.5493.5

    300.2

    269.6209.5

    57.1152.4

    60.157.3

    .52.3

    30.626.54.1

    -27.0

    147.4174.4

    306.1

    125.089.136.0

    181.1

    IV

    1,662.4

    1,075.4

    182.9395.0497.5

    289.9

    273.1213.8

    59.4154.4

    59.256.5

    .42.4

    16.812.04.8

    -13.4

    147.1160.5

    310.5

    129.692.736.8

    180.9

    1985

    I

    1,663.5

    1,089.1

    187.0398.6503.5

    292.1

    273.0213.0

    60.8152.2

    60.057.2

    .42.4

    19.115.73.4

    284

    143.7172.1

    310.7

    129.892.737.1

    180.9

    II

    1,671.3

    1,102.1

    190.1403.2508.7

    289.5

    281.2220.3

    62.1158.2

    60.957.9

    .52.58.34.93.4

    33 8

    137.9171.8

    313.5

    129.794.335.4

    183.9

    III"

    1,684.8

    1,115.2

    199.2403.9512.1

    278.1

    280.2217.7

    60.9156.8

    62.559.4

    .62.5

    -2.123

    .2

    -34.0

    138.1172.1

    325.5

    139.498.740.6

    186.1

    Table 1.3-1.4.Gross National Product by Major Type of Product in Current and Constant Dollars

    Gross national product

    Final salesChange in business inventories

    Goods

    Final sales..Change in business inventories

    Durable goods . .Final sales..Change in business inventories

    Nondurable goodsFinal salesChange in business inventories

    ServicesStructures

    Addenda:Gross domestic purchases lFinal sales to domestic purchasers * . . .

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    3,304.8

    3,318.3-13.5

    1,355.7

    1,369.2-13.5

    555.3557.5-2.1800.4811.7

    -11.3

    1,639.3309.8

    3,313.13,326.5

    1984

    3,662.8

    3,604.658.2

    1,543.0

    1,484.858.2

    655.7625.3

    30.4887.3859.5

    27.8

    1,763.3356.5

    3,727.03,668.8

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    3,644.7

    3,594.150.6

    1,544.8

    1,494.250.6

    647.9629.7

    18.2896.9864.6

    32.4

    1,742.6357.2

    3,703.43,652.8

    III

    3,694.6

    3,622.871.8

    1,549.2

    1,477.471.8

    654.7613.1

    41.7894.4864.330.1

    1,783.3362.1

    3,785.23,713.4

    IV

    3,758.7

    3,722.136.6

    1,579.8

    1,543.236.6

    687.7661.0

    26.7892.1882.2

    9.9

    1,813.7365.2

    3,814.83,778.1

    1985

    I

    3,810.6

    3,770.040.7

    1,583.8

    1,543.140.7

    677.1648.2

    29.0906.7895.0

    11.7

    1,857.2369.6

    3,885.23,844.5

    II

    3,853.1

    3,835.217.9

    1,579.5

    1,561.717.9

    669.6665.9

    3.7910.0895.8

    14.2

    1,888.8384.8

    3,947.13,929.2

    III"

    3,916.1

    3,924.2-8.1

    1,595.1

    1,603.181

    674.8687.6128

    920.2915.5

    4.8

    1,927.3393.8

    4,005.34,013.4

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    1983

    1,534.7

    1,538.3-3.6

    688.6

    692.236

    295.6296.1

    5392.9396.1-3.2

    723.2122.9

    1,522.11,525.7

    1984

    1,639.3

    1,614.524.8

    764.5

    739.624.8

    341.6328.4

    13.2422.9411.2

    11.7

    736.7138.1

    1,654.41,629.5

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    1,638.8

    1,618.520.3

    767.4

    747.120.3

    339.5331.4

    8.1427.9415.7

    12.2

    732.9138.5

    1,650.21,629.9

    III

    1,645.2

    1,614.630.6

    766.8

    736.130.6

    340.2322.4

    17.8426.5413.7

    12.8

    739.0139.4

    1,672.21,641.6

    IV

    1,662.4

    1,645.616.8

    778.8

    762.016.8

    355.4343.4

    12.0423.5418.6

    4.8

    743.6140.0

    1,675.81,659.0

    1985I

    1,663.5

    1,644.419.1

    773.0

    753.819.1

    346.9334.3

    12.6426.0419.5

    6.5

    749.7140.9

    1,692.01,672.8

    II

    1,671.3

    1,663.08.3

    772.2

    763.98.3

    346.6344.4

    2.1425.7419.5

    6.2

    753.5145.5

    1,705.11,696.8

    III"

    1,684.8

    1,686.9-2.1

    777.3

    779.4-2.1

    348.8353.9-5.1428.5425.5

    3.0

    760.0147.5

    1,718.81,720.9

    1. Gross domestic purchases equals GNP less exports plus imports; final sales to domestic purchasers equals final sales less exports plus imports.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS

    Table 1.5-1.6.Gross National Product by Sector in Current and Constant Dollars

    Gross national product

    Gross domestic productBusiness

    NonfarmNonfarm less housing ..Housing

    FarmStatistical discrepancy

    Households and institutionsPrivate households Nonprofit institutions .

    GovernmentFederalState and local

    Rest of the worldAddendum:

    Gross domestic business product less housing

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    3,304.8

    3,256.52,790.82,728.92,434.7

    294.261.5

    .5116.5

    7.8108.7349.2107.8241.448.3

    2,487.7

    1984

    3,662.8

    3,619.23,120.53,049.02,725.7

    323.278.9

    -7.4123.5

    8.1115.4375.3114.6260.743.6

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    3,644.7

    3,602.63,106.83,037.52,718.8

    318.778.3

    -9.0123.1

    8.0115.1372.7114.4258.342.1

    III

    3,694.6

    3,650.13,148.53,078.02,750.3

    327.783.5

    -13.0123.8

    8.1115.7377.7114.7263.044.5

    IV

    3,758.7

    3,718.63,209.43,137.02,801.1

    335.982.3

    -9.9126.0

    8.3117.8383.2115.3267.840.2

    1985

    I

    3,810.6

    3,772.93,252.53,185.02,841.6

    343.375.7

    -8.1128.0

    8.4119.7392.4119.1273.337.7

    II

    3,853.1

    3,816.13,287.73,229.42,877.2

    352.172.0

    -13.7130.4

    8.5121.8398.1119.7278.337.0

    III"

    3,916:1

    3,877.63,341.03,285.02,923.1

    361.969.7

    -13.7132.7

    8.7123.9403.9120.4283.438.5

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    1983

    1,534.7

    1,512.11,307.81,273.81,130.6

    143.233.8

    .247.33.3

    44.0157.051.3

    105.722.5

    1,163.5

    1984

    1,639.3

    1,619.71,413.91,377.61,228.8

    148.839.73.3

    47.83.4

    44.4158.051.9

    106.119.6

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    1,638.8

    1,619.81,414.11,380.11,232.1

    148.038.14.1

    47.93.4

    44.5157.851.9

    105.919.0

    III

    1,645.2

    1,625.31,419.51,383.51,233.9

    149.641.8

    -5.947.73.4

    44.3158.152.0

    106.219.9

    IV

    1,662.4

    1,644.61,438.11,399.21,248.1

    151.143.3

    -4.448.23.5

    44.8158.352.0

    106.317.8

    1985

    I

    1,663.5

    1,647.01,440.01,401.91,249.2

    152.641.7

    -3.648.53.5

    45.0158.552.0

    106.516.5

    II

    1,671.3

    1,655.21,447.71,411.11,256.9

    154.242.66.0

    48.83.6

    45.2158.752.2

    106.616.1

    III"

    1,684.8

    1,668.21,459.91,422.51,266.7

    155.843.4

    -6.049.23.7

    45.6159.152.3

    106.816.6

    Table 1.7.Relation of Gross National Product, Net National Product,National Income, and Personal Income

    Table 1.11.National Income by Type of Income

    Gross national product

    Less:Capital consumption al-

    lowances with CCAdj...Capital consumption al-

    lowancesLess: CCAdj

    Equals: Net national prod-uct

    Less:Indirect business tax and

    nontax liabilityBusiness transfer pay-

    mentsStatistical discrepancy

    Plus: Subsidies less currentsurplus of governmententerprises

    Equals: National income

    Less:Corporate profits with

    IVA and CCAdj ... .Net interestContributions for social

    insuranceWage accruals less dis-

    bursementsPlus:

    Government transfer pay-ments to persons ..

    Personal interest income....Personal dividend income-Business transfer pay-

    ments

    Equals: Personal income

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    3,304.8

    377.1

    367.2-9.9

    2,927.7

    280.4

    15.6.5

    15.6

    2,646.7

    225.2256.6

    272.74

    389.3376.370.3

    15.6

    2,744.2

    1984

    3,662.8

    403.3

    417.314.1

    3,259.6

    304.0

    17.3-7.4

    14.2

    2,959.9

    285.7284.1

    306.0

    .1

    399.4433.777.7

    17.3

    3,012.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    3,644.7

    400.0

    410.310.3

    3,244.7

    301.3

    17.1-9.0

    9.6

    2,944.8

    291.1282.8

    304.2

    .2

    398.1425.677.2

    17.1

    2,984.6

    III

    3,694.6

    406.9

    423.116.3

    3,287.7

    306.6

    17.5-13.0

    8.4

    2,984.9

    282.8293.5

    308.1

    -.4

    401.0449.378.5

    17.5

    3,047.3

    IV

    3,758.7

    414.4

    437.222.9

    3,344.4

    312.5

    18.0-9.9

    12.6

    3,036.3

    291.6293.4

    312.7

    .5

    403.8456.180.2

    18.0

    3,096.2

    1985

    I

    3,810.6

    421.0

    450.129.1

    3,389.6

    317.5

    18.5-8.1

    14.8

    3,076.5

    292.3287.0

    330.0

    .1

    420.7456.081.4

    18.5

    3,143.8

    II

    3,853.1

    427.7

    463.736.0

    3,425.4

    327.4

    19.0-13.7

    13.8

    3,106.5

    298.5274.7

    334.6

    1 0

    420.5453.082.5

    19.0

    3,174.7

    III"

    3,916.1

    438.4

    480.542.1

    3,477.7

    327.9

    19.5

    7.4

    ""'267.8

    338.6

    0

    425.7450.083.2

    19.5

    3,199.1

    Table 1.8.Relation of Gross National Product, Net National Product,and National Income in Constant Dollars

    [Billions of 1972 dollars]

    Gross national productLess: Capital consumption

    allowances with CCAdjEquals: Net national prod-

    uctLess:

    Indirect business tax andnontax liability busi-ness transfer paymentsless subsidies plus cur-rent surplus of govern-ment enterprises

    Statistical discrepancyEquals: National income

    1,534.7

    168.1

    1,366 6

    151.8.2

    1,214.5

    1,639.3

    175.2

    1 4641

    159.0-3.3

    1,308.5

    1,638.8

    174.1

    1,464.7

    158.9-4.1

    1,309.9

    1,645.2

    176.0

    1,469.2

    159.1-5.9

    1,316.0

    1,662.4

    178.5

    1,484 0

    160.0-4.4

    1,328.4

    1,663.5

    180.5

    1,483 0

    161.4-3.6

    1,352.2

    1,671.3

    182.6

    1 488 7

    162.4-6.0

    1,332.4

    1,684.8

    185.8

    1 499 0

    163.3

    National income

    Compensation of employ-ees ...

    Wages and salariesGovernment and gov-

    ernment enterprises ....Other .

    Supplements to wagesand salaries

    Employer contribu-tions for social in-surance

    Other labor income

    Proprietors' income withIVA and CCAdj

    Farm. ...Proprietors' income

    with IVACCAdj

    NonfarmProprietors' incomeIVA .. ..CCAdj

    Rental income of personswith CCAdj . ...

    Rental income of per-sons

    CCAdjCorporate profits with IVA

    and CCAdjCorporate profits with

    IVA ..Profits before tax

    Profits tax liability ..Profits after tax

    DividendsUndistributed

    profitsIVACCAdj.

    Net interest

    Addenda:Corporate profits after

    tax with IVA andCCAdj

    Dividends ... .Undistributed profits

    with IVA and CCAdj

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    2,646.7

    1,984.91,658.8

    327.71,331.1

    326.2

    153.1173.1

    121.713.8

    22.1-8.4107.9100.4

    88.3

    58.3

    96.6-38.3

    225.2

    192.0203.275.8

    127.472.9

    54.511 233.2

    256.6

    149.472.9

    76.5

    1984

    2,959.9

    2,173.21,804.1

    349.91,454.2

    369.0

    173.5195.5

    154.428.2

    36.4-8.2126.2114.5-.412.2

    62.5

    103.0-40.5

    285.7

    230.0235.789.8

    145.980.5

    65.457

    55.7

    284.1

    195.980.5

    115.4

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    2,944.8

    2,159.21,793.3

    347.51,445.8

    365.9

    172.4193.5

    149.823.4

    31.783

    126.3115.0-.411.8

    62.0

    102.5-40.6

    291.1

    238.7246.095.8

    150.279.9

    70.2-7.352.3

    282.8

    195.279.9

    115.3

    III

    2,984.9

    2,191.91,819.1

    352.01,467.1

    372.8

    174.7198.1

    153.727.3

    35.58 2

    126.4113.8

    .112.5

    63.0

    104.241 2

    282.8

    224.5224.883.1

    141.781.3

    60.3-.258.3

    293.5

    199.881.3

    118.4

    IV

    3,036.3

    2,228.11,848.2

    357.21,490.9

    380.0

    177.5202.5

    159.129.4

    37.6-8.2129.7116.7-.213.2

    64.1

    105.541 4

    291.6

    227.1228.787.7

    141.083.1

    58.0-1.664.5

    293.4

    203.983.1

    120.8

    1985

    I

    3,076.5

    2,272.71,882.8

    365.51,517.3

    389.8

    183.6206.3

    159.825,7

    33.9-8.2134.0119.5

    314.8

    64.8

    106.1-41.3

    292.3

    223.2222.385.3

    137.084.5

    52.5.9

    69.1

    287.0

    207.084.5

    122.5

    II

    3,106.5

    2,305.91,909.5

    370.71,538.9

    396.3

    186.1210.2

    160.723.4

    31.5-8.1137.3121.6

    215.9

    66.7

    108.1-41.4

    298.5

    223.5221.083.6

    137.485.6

    51.82.5

    75.0

    274.7

    214.985.6

    129.3

    HIP

    2,337.21,935.2

    376.31,558.9

    402.1

    188.3213.7

    154.412.5

    20.6-8.1141.9125.2

    .116.5

    67.7

    110.9-43.2

    86.4

    6.082.3

    267.8

    86.4

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985Table 1.13.Gross Domestic Product of Corporate Business in Current Dollars and Gross Domestic Product of Nonfinancial Corporate Business

    in Current and Constant Dollars

    Gross domesticproduct of cor-porate business

    Capital consumption allow-ances with CCAdj

    Indirect business tax andnontax liability plusbusiness transfer pay-ments less subsidies

    Domestic incomeCompensation of em-

    ployeesWages and salariesSupplements to

    wages and salaries ...Corporate profits with

    IVA and CCAdjProfits before tax

    Profits tax liability ..Profits after tax

    DividendsUndistributed

    profitsIVACCAdj

    Net interestGross domestic

    product of finan-cial corporatebusiness

    Gross domesticproduct of nonfi-nancial corpo-rate business

    Capital consumption allow-ances with CCAdj

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    2,037.0

    231.2

    1,805.8

    206.2

    1,599.6

    1,357.11,121.2

    236.0

    200.4

    178.475.8

    102.663.0

    39.6-11.2

    33.242.1

    119.3

    1,917.7

    218.0

    1984

    2,277.2

    246.2

    2,030.9

    224.8

    1,806.2

    1,494.81,225.8

    269.1

    262.7

    212.789.8

    122.971.6

    51.3-5.755.748.6

    124.4

    2,152.8

    231.2

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    2,271.3

    244.1

    2,027.2

    223.5

    1,803.7

    1,485.61,219.0

    266.6

    269.8

    224.895.8

    128.970.9

    58.17.3

    52.348.3

    124.3

    2,146.9

    229.3

    III

    2,292.4

    248.1

    2,044.3

    227.2

    1,817.1

    1,508.31,236.5

    271.7

    258.5

    200.483.1

    117.371.6

    45.7-.258.350.4

    123.5

    2,168.9

    232.9

    IV

    2,337.5

    252.8

    2,084.7

    231.2

    1,853.5

    1,532.11,255.5

    276.7

    270.9

    208.087.7

    120.477.6

    42.8-1.664.550.5

    126.3

    2,211.2

    237.1

    1985

    I

    2,373.7

    257.4

    2,116.4

    234.8

    1,881.5

    1,560.21,276.7

    283.6

    271.6

    201.685.3

    116.374.2

    42.1.9

    69.149.7

    131.1

    2,242.6

    241.1

    II

    2,408.1

    261.6

    2,146.5

    242.5

    1,904.0

    1,580.31,292.4

    287.9

    275.8

    198.383.6

    114.684.9

    29.82.5

    75.048.0

    140.0

    2,268.2

    244.9

    HI"

    266.7

    243.4

    1,599.11,307.4

    291.7

    78.7

    6.082.346.8

    249.4

    Net domestic productIndirect business tax and

    nontax liability plusbusiness transfer pay-ments less subsidies

    Domestic incomeCompensation of em-

    ployees .Wages and salariesSupplements to

    wages and salaries ...Corporate profits with

    IVA and CCAdjProfits before tax

    Profits tax liability ..Profits after tax

    DividendsUndistributed

    profitsIVACCAdj

    Net interest

    Gross domestic prod-uct of nonfinancialcorporate business...

    Capital consumption allow-ances with CCAdj

    Net domestic productIndirect business tax and

    nontax liability plusbusiness transfer pay-ments less subsidies

    Domestic income

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    1,699.7

    196.71,503.0

    1,263.11,044.3

    218.8

    171.0

    148.858.090.862.8

    28.0-11.2

    33.469.0

    1984

    1,921.6

    214.61,707.0

    1,392.81,143.0

    249.7

    234.7

    184.971.2

    113.771.0

    42.7-5.755.479.5

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1983

    IV

    1,917.6

    213.41,704.2

    1,384.51,137.1

    247.4

    240.8

    195.977.2

    118.670.3

    48.3-7.352.278.9

    1984

    I

    1,936.0

    216.91,719.1

    1,405.21,153.0

    252.1

    231.6

    173.864.4

    109.570.9

    38.5-.258.082.4

    II

    1,974.1

    220.71,753.3

    1,427.41,170.7

    256.7

    243.4

    181.068.7

    112.276.7

    35.6-1.664.182.5

    III

    2,001.5

    224.21,777.3

    1,452.81,189.9

    263.0

    243.2

    173.666.6

    107.073.2

    33.8.9

    68.681.3

    IV

    2,023.2

    231.51,791.7

    1,471.41,204.5

    266.9

    241.9

    165.063.6

    101.483.9

    17.62.5

    74.478.5

    1985

    I"

    232.4

    1,487.11,217.0

    270.1

    77.6

    6.081.676.5

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    896.4

    100.0

    796.4

    97.8698.6

    977.2

    104.0

    873.2

    101.3771.9

    979.5

    103.4

    876.1

    101.2774.9

    980.0

    104.5

    875.5

    101.1774.4

    992.5

    105.8

    886.6

    102.3784.3

    994.0

    107.0

    887.1

    103.3783.8

    998.7

    108.1

    890.5

    103.8786.7

    109.4

    104.3

    Table 1.14-1.15.Auto Output in Current and Constant Dollars

    Auto output

    Final salesPersonal consumption expenditures

    New autosNet purchases of used autos

    Producers' durable equipmentNew autos

    Net exportsExportsImports

    Government purchasesChange in business inventories

    NewUsed

    Addenda:Domestic output of new autos lSales of imported new autos 2

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    88.7

    87.588.365.223.017.331.0137

    -19.24.1

    23.21.21.2

    .7

    .4

    70.133.1

    1984

    106.4

    103.5102.375.926.424.940.3154

    -24.75.0

    29.6.9

    2.92.6

    .4

    86.737.8

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    98.7

    105.8104.677.826.824.940.81592454.6

    29.1.9

    7.1821.1

    79.338.2

    III

    99.0

    100.6100.973.627.326.241.8

    -15.6-27.4

    5.032.4

    .8-1.6

    13-.3

    82.437.1

    IV

    113.2

    103.6101.876.025.824.339.1

    -14.8-23.4

    4.928.3

    .89.79.8.1

    89.541.4

    1985

    I

    124.8

    107.3103.277.625.628.343.8

    -15.5-25.1

    6.231.3

    .917.517.2

    .3

    101.137.2

    II

    98.5

    104.8104.779.425.227.742.915 2

    -28.45.6

    34.0.8

    -6.370

    .6

    82.742.2

    III"

    105.3

    120.7117.394.123.131.047.516 5

    -28.65.7

    34.31.0

    -15.419 13.7

    89.450.0

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    1983

    49.9

    49.143.435.8

    7.612.417.04 g

    -7.42.29.6

    .7

    .8

    .7

    .1

    38.418.1

    1984

    58.1

    56.748.540.67.9

    16.921.5

    4 6-9.3

    2.611.9

    .71.41.3.1

    46.220.2

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    54.4

    58.349.741.8

    7.917.121.847922.4

    11.7.7

    5.24 2.3

    42.520.6

    III

    54.4

    55.447.439.48.0

    17.622.2

    -4.6-10.3

    2.612.9

    .63.9

    9-.1

    43.919.9

    IV

    61.3

    55.947.940.2

    7.716.220.6

    -4.4-8.8

    2.611.4

    .6-1.0

    5.40

    47.321.9

    1985

    I

    66.0

    58.248.140.57.6

    18.322.8

    -4.5-8.9

    3.112.0

    .77.77.6.1

    52.619.5

    II

    54.0

    57.348.941.3

    7.617.822.34 4

    -10.02.9

    12.9.6

    -3.2-3.4

    .2

    42.722.0

    III"

    58.5

    66.055.948.87.1

    19.624.65 0

    -10^22.9

    13.1.7

    -7.5-8.5

    1.1

    46.426.0

    Table 1.16-1.17.Truck Output in Current and Constant Dollars

    Truck output 1

    Final salesPersonal consumption expendituresProducers' durable equipmentNet exports .

    ExportsImports

    Change in business inventories

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    36.3

    36.115.320.8

    -3.92.05.93.9

    .2

    1984

    54.2

    51.519.332.5

    -5.42.57.95.0

    2.7

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    51.1

    50.519.332.7

    -6.62.28.85.1

    .6

    III

    56.8

    52.619.633.7

    -5.32.67.94.6

    4.2

    IV

    59.4

    57.020.636.4

    -5.02.87.85.1

    2.4

    1985

    I

    57.3

    57.823.435.0

    -6.92.59.46.3

    -.5

    II

    55.8

    56.122.735.0

    -7.72.6

    10.36.0

    -.2

    III"

    62.1

    61.726.235.3

    -5.82.68.46.0

    .4

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    1983

    16.7

    16.68.48.6

    -1.9.8

    2.71.6

    .1

    1984

    23.7

    22.510.312.8

    -2.61.03.62.0

    1.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    22.5

    22.210.312.9

    -3.1.9

    4.02.0

    .3

    III

    24.5

    22.810.513.2

    -2.61.03.61.8

    1.7

    IV

    25.7

    24.710.814.3241.13.52.0

    1.0

    1985

    I

    24.7

    24.912.213.6

    -3.31.04.22.4

    -.2

    II

    23.8

    23.911.813.4

    -3.71.04.62.3

    -.1

    III"

    26.4

    26.313.613.4

    -2.91.03.92.3

    .1

    Table l.U-1.15:1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos produced in the

    United States.2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and govern-

    ment purchases.

    Table 1.16-1.17:1. Includes new trucks only.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 11

    Table 2.1.Personal Income and Its Disposition

    Personal income

    Wage and salary disburse-ments ..

    Commodity-producingindustries

    ManufacturingDistributive industriesService industriesGovernment and govern-

    ment enterprises

    Other labor income

    Proprietors' income with IVAand CCAdj

    FarmNonfarm

    Rental income of personswith CCAdj

    Personal dividend income

    Personal interest income

    Transfer paymentsOld-age, survivors, disabil-

    ity, and health insurancebenefits.

    Government unemploymentinsurance benefits

    Veterans benefitsGovernment employees re-

    tirement benefitsOther transfer paymentsAid to families with de-

    pendent childrenOther

    Less: Personal contribu-tions for social insurance .

    Less: Personal tax andnontax payments

    Equals: Disposable personalincome

    Less: Personal outlaysPersonal consumption ex-

    pendituresInterest paid by consumers

    to businessPersonal transfer payments

    to foreigners (net)Equals: Personal saving.

    Addenda:Disposable personal

    income:Total, billions of 1972 dol-

    larsPer capita:

    Current dollars1972 dollars

    Population (millions)Personal saving as percent-

    age of disposable person-al income

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    2,744.2

    1,659.2

    519.3395.2398.6413.1

    328.2

    173.1

    121.713.8

    107.9

    58.3

    70.3

    376.3

    405.0

    221.6

    26.116.6

    59.581.0

    14.266.8

    119.6

    404.2

    2,340.1

    2,222.0

    2,155.9

    65.1

    1.0

    118.1

    1,095.4

    9,9774,670234.5

    5.0

    1984

    3,012.1

    1,804.0

    569.3433.9432.0452.9

    349.8

    195.5

    154.428.2

    126.2

    62.5

    77.7

    433.7

    416.7

    237.3

    15.916.5

    62.284.9

    14.770.1

    132.5

    435.3

    2,576.8

    2,420.7

    2,341.8

    77.8

    1.2

    156.1

    1,169.0

    10,8874,939236.7

    6.1

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    2,984.6

    1,793.1

    567.0432.2429.5449.3

    347.3

    193.5

    149.823.4

    126.3

    62.0

    77.2

    425.6

    415.2

    235.2

    15.816.6

    63.184.5

    14.969.6

    131.8

    430.3

    2,554.3

    2,409.5

    2,332.7

    75.7

    1.0

    144.8

    1,165.3

    10,8064,930236.4

    5.7

    III

    3,047.3

    1,819.5

    573.3436.4436.4457.3

    352.4

    198.1

    153.727.3

    126.4

    63.0

    78.5

    449.3

    418.6

    238.2

    15.216.7

    63.984.6

    14.670.0

    133.4

    440.9

    2,606.4

    2,442.3

    2,361.4

    79.8

    1.1

    164.1

    1,176.5

    11,0004,965237.0

    6.3

    IV

    3,096.2

    1,847.6

    580.9442.4443.1466.9

    356.7

    202.5

    159.129.4

    129.7

    64.1

    80.2

    456.1

    421.8

    243.5

    16.016.4

    59.286.7

    14.672.1

    135.2

    451.7

    2,644.5

    2,481.5

    2,396.5

    83.6

    1.5

    163.0

    1,186.7

    11,1334,996237.5

    6.2

    1985

    I

    3,143.8

    1,882.7

    590.9447.9449.0477.4

    365.4

    206.3

    159.825.7

    134.0

    64.8

    81.4

    456.0

    439.2

    249.6

    17.816.9

    67.187.8

    15.172.7

    146.4

    489.0

    2,654.8

    2,536.2

    2,446.5

    87.9

    1.8

    118.6

    1,181.9

    11,1544,965238.0

    4.5

    II

    3,174.7

    1,910.6

    594.2447.9455.7489.0

    371.7

    210.2

    160.723.4

    137.3

    66.7

    82.5

    453.0

    439.5

    249.9

    15.816.9

    68.388.5

    15.373.3

    148.4

    448.2

    2,726.5

    2,587.1

    2,493.0

    92.6

    1.5

    139.4

    1,205.3

    11,4325,054238.5

    5.1

    III"

    3,199.1

    1,935.2

    597.4450.2460.6500.9

    376.3

    213.7

    154.412.5

    141.9

    67.7

    83.2

    450.0

    445.2

    254.9

    15.016.8

    69.489.0

    15.273.8

    150.3

    486.6

    2,712.6

    2,634.2

    2,536.5

    96.5

    1.2

    78.4

    1,192.6

    11,3464,988239.1

    2.9

    Table 2.2-2.3.Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type ofProduct in Current and Constant Dollars

    Personal consump-tion expenditures

    Durable goods

    Motor vehicles and parts ...Furniture and household

    equipmentOther

    Nondurable goods

    FoodClothing and shoesGasoline and oilOther nondurable goods

    Fuel oil and coalOther

    Services

    HousingHousehold operation

    Electricity and gasOther

    TransportationOther

    Personal consump-tion expenditures

    Durable goods.

    Motor vehicles and parts ...Furniture and household

    equipmentOther

    Nondurable goods

    FoodClothing and shoesGasoline and oilOther nondurable goods .....

    Fuel oil and coalOther

    Services

    HousingHousehold operation

    Electricity and gasOther

    Transportation .Other

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    2,155.9

    279.8

    129.3

    104.146.4

    801.7

    416.5127.090.0

    168.221.0

    147.2

    1,074.4

    363.3153.881.372.572.5

    484.8

    1984

    2,341.8

    318.8

    149.8

    117.051.9

    856.9

    443.6140.291.4

    181.721.2

    160.5

    1,166.1

    397.9164.085.778.378.3

    525.9

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    2,332.7

    320.7

    152.3

    116.651.7

    858.3

    442.1142.292.8

    181.221.6

    159.7

    1,153.7

    392.4163.386.177.277.6

    520.4

    III

    2,361.4

    317.2

    148.6

    116.851.9

    861.4

    448.6139.390.0

    183.621.1

    162.5

    1,182.8

    403.3167.688.479.278.5

    533.4

    IV

    2,396.5

    326.3

    150.7

    121.853.8

    866.5

    449.8143.290.8

    182.719.7

    163.1

    1,203.8

    413.4166.485.980.581.2

    542.8

    1985

    I

    2,446.5

    334.8

    155.7

    123.855.3

    877.3

    457.3145.589.9

    184.618.5

    166.0

    1,234.4

    422.2170.988.882.183.6

    557.7

    II

    2,493.0

    339.2

    157.6

    126.055.6

    891.9

    463.9149.293.6

    185.317.7

    167.6

    1,261.9

    432.9170.385.584.884.5

    574.3

    III"

    2,536.5

    355.6

    173.8

    125.356.5

    895.6

    466.9147.193.8

    187.818.3

    169.5

    1,285.3

    444.6172.585.187.485.3

    582.8

    Billions of 1972 dollars

    1,009.2

    157.5

    66.6

    65.925.0

    376.3

    188.988.526.172.94.0

    68.9

    475.4

    171.364.124.939.131.7

    208.3

    1,062.4

    178.0

    75.8

    74.827.5

    393.5

    193.496.526.976.73.9

    72.8

    490.8

    177.764.825.139.732.7

    215.6

    1,064.2

    178.6

    77.2

    74.127.4

    396.6

    193.699.127.176.93.9

    73.0

    488.9

    176.865.125.639.532.7

    214.3

    1,065.9

    177.0

    74.8

    74.827.4

    395.5

    195.695.926.977.13.9

    73.1

    493.5

    178.565.125.239.932.6

    217.2

    1,075.4

    182.9

    75.9

    78.528.5

    395.0

    194.796.926.776.73.7

    73.1

    497.5

    180.365.225.040.233.1

    218.9

    1,089.1

    187.0

    77.7

    80.229.1

    398.6

    196.897.926.977.13.6

    73.5

    503.5

    182.166.425.640.833.4

    221.7

    1,102.1

    190.1

    78.7

    82.329.2

    403.2

    199.899.826.777.03.3

    73.6

    508.7

    183.966.124.641.533.7

    225.0

    1,115.2

    199.2

    87.6

    82.229.3

    403.9

    200.798.927.077.23.5

    73.7

    512.1

    185.766.224.241.933.9

    226.4

    Table 3.14.State and Local Government Social Insurance FundsReceipts and Expenditures

    [Billions of dollars]

    Receipts

    Contributions for social in-surance

    Personal contributionEmployer contributions

    Government and gov-ernment enterprises ....

    Other

    Interest and dividends re-ceived

    Expenditures

    Administrative expenses(purchases of goods andservices)

    Transfer payments to per-sons

    Surplus or deficit( )

    646

    39.0

    10.428.6

    26.125

    256

    27 1

    1.0

    26.1

    375

    730

    42.6

    11.431.2

    28.527

    30530 4

    1.1

    29.3

    426

    720

    42.1

    11.230.9

    28.227

    298

    30 0

    1.1

    29.0

    41 9

    74 1

    430

    11.531.5

    28.827

    31 1

    308

    1.1

    29.6

    433

    76 2

    438

    11.732.1

    29.327

    324

    31 7

    12

    30.5

    44 5

    78 0

    447

    12.032.7

    29.928

    333

    32 6

    12

    314

    45 4

    79 8

    457

    12.333.4

    30.628

    342

    33 7

    1.3

    32.4

    46 1

    81 5

    46.5

    12.633.9

    31.029

    350

    349

    13

    33.6

    46 5

    Table 3.14:NOTE.In this table, interest and dividends received are included in receipts; in tables 3.2 and

    3.3, interest received and dividends received are netted against expenditures.

    Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

  • 12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985

    Table 3.2.Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures Table 3.3.State and Local Government Receipts and Expenditures

    Receipts

    Personal tax and nontaxreceipts

    Income taxesEstate and gift taxes

    Corporate profits tax accru-als

    Indirect business tax andnontax accruals

    Excise taxesCustoms duties . . .Nontaxes

    Contributions for socialinsurance

    Expenditures

    Purchases of goods andservices

    National defenseNondefense

    Transfer paymentsTo personsTo foreigners

    Grants-in-aid to State andlocal governments

    Net interest paidInterest paid

    To persons and busi-ness

    To foreignersLess: Interest received

    Subsidies less current sur-plus of governmententerprises

    SubsidiesLess: Current surplus of

    government enterprises-

    Less: Wage accruals lessdisbursements

    Surplus or deficit(-), NIPA's

    Social insurance fundsOther

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    641.1

    295.2288.8

    5.9.5

    59.8

    52.436.19.17.1

    233.7

    819.7

    269.7200.569.3

    345.6338.7

    7.0

    86.394.2

    119.5

    101.817.725.3

    23.421.7

    -1.7

    -.4

    -178.6

    -28.4-150.2

    1984

    704.7

    315.0308.4

    5.9.7

    70.8

    55.535.811.97.8

    263.4

    880.5

    295.4221.573.9

    353.0344.5

    8.4

    93.2116.7143.6

    124.019.626.9

    22.321.6

    -.7

    .1

    -175.8

    -8.5-167.4

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    704.3

    310.7303.8

    6.2.6

    75.6

    55.936.112.17.7

    262.0

    868.0

    296.4220.875.6

    350.1343.7

    6.4

    93.2110.9138.0

    119.218.927.2

    17.716.4

    -1.3

    .2

    -163.7

    -7.7-156.0

    III

    706.2

    319.7314.0

    5.0

    65.3

    56.135.612.48.2

    265.2

    886.8

    302.0220.381.7

    353.8346.2

    7.7

    92.1122.0149.0

    128.920.027.0

    16.515.8

    -.7

    4

    -180.6

    -7.3-173.3

    IV

    721.9

    327.9321.2

    6.0

    69.1

    55.935.512.18.4

    269.0

    919.7

    315.7231.684.1

    360.4347.213.1

    97.0126.4153.9

    132.921.027.4

    20.720.5

    -.3

    .5

    -197.8

    -10.2-187.7

    1985

    I

    771.4

    362.2355.4

    6.2

    67.4

    56.435.312.58.7

    285.3

    936.5

    319.9233.985.9

    370.3363.1

    7.2

    95.1128.2155.6

    134.920.727.4

    23.123.7

    .6

    .1

    -165.1

    -2.5-162.6

    II

    733.9

    318.3310.8

    6.7

    66.1

    60.735.311.513.8

    288.9

    948.0

    324.2241.183.2

    369.8361.6

    8.2

    98.1132.8159.6

    139.020.626.9

    22.125.7

    3.6

    -1.0

    -214.1

    1.8-215.8

    III"

    354.6347.3

    6.6

    55.735.312.18.3

    292.1

    969.9

    347.0253.193.9

    372.9365.6

    7.4

    100.4133.7161.5

    140.021.527.8

    15.817.0

    1.2

    0

    -.4

    Receipts

    Personal tax and nontaxreceipts

    Income taxesNon taxesOther

    Corporate profits tax accru-als

    Indirect business tax andnontax accruals

    Sales taxesProperty taxesOther

    Contributions for social in-surance

    Federal grants-in-aid

    Expenditures

    Purchases of goods andservices

    Compensation of employ-ees

    OtherTransfer payments to per-

    sonsNet interest paid

    Interest paid

    Less: Interest received

    Less: Dividends receivedSubsidies less current sur-

    plus of government

    Subsidies

    Less: Current surplus ofgovernment enterprises-

    Less: Wage accruals lessdisbursements

    Surplus or deficit(-), NIPA's

    Social insurance fundsOther

    Billions of dollars

    1983

    478.2

    109.058.740.89.5

    16.0

    228.0107.491.329.3

    39.0

    86.3

    434.1

    415.8

    241.4174.4

    50.7-21.9

    32.4

    54.3

    2.6

    -7.8.5

    8.3

    0

    44.1

    37.56.6

    1984

    523.6

    120.364.545.810.0

    19.1

    248.4119.498.330.7

    42.6

    93.2

    470.7

    452.0

    260.7191.3

    54.8-25.3

    38.2

    63.5

    2.8

    -8.1.6

    8.7

    0

    52.9

    42.610.4

    Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984

    II

    520.6

    119.664.545.29.9

    20.2

    245.4118.396.930.2

    42.1

    93.2

    466.1

    447.4

    258.3189.1

    54.4-24.9

    37.5

    62.4

    2.7

    -8.0.6

    8.6

    0

    54.5

    41.912.6

    III

    524.6

    121.264.646.510.2

    17.8

    250.5120.299.430.9

    43.0

    92.1

    477.0

    458.9

    263.0195.9

    54.8-25.9

    39.0

    64.9

    2.8

    81.6

    8.7

    0

    47.6

    43.34.3

    IV

    539.7

    123.865.747.810.3

    18.5

    256.6123.0101.931.7

    43.8

    97.0

    484.0

    464.8

    267.8197.0

    56.6-26.4

    40.6

    66.9

    2.9

    -8.2.6

    8.8

    0

    55.6

    44.511.1

    1985

    I

    545.6

    126.867.249.110.5

    17.9

    261.1125.0103.932.2

    44.7

    95.1

    491.9

    472.0

    273.3198.7

    57.6-26.4

    42.2

    68.6

    3.0

    82.7

    8.9

    0

    53.7

    45.48.3

    II

    558.0

    129.968.750.610.7

    17.6

    266.8127.9106.032.9

    45.7

    98.1

    507.7

    486.7

    278.3208.3

    58.9-26.5

    43.8

    70.2

    3.1

    -8.3.7

    9.0

    0

    50.3

    46.14.2

    III"

    132.069.052.210.9

    272.3131.0107.933.4

    46.5

    100.4

    521.1

    498.9

    283.4215.5

    60.2-26.4

    45.4

    71.9