scb_101985
TRANSCRIPT
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OCTOBER 1985 / VOLUME 65 NUMBER 10SUBVEY OF CUBBENT
CONTENTS
Business Situation 1
National Income and Product Accounts Tables 8
An Advance Overview of the Comprehensive Revision of theNational Income and Product Accounts 19
Motor Vehicles, Model Year 1985 29
State Quarterly Personal Income, 1978:1-1985:11 30Metropolitan Area Projections of Income, Employment,
and Population to the Year 2000 32
CURRENT BUSINESS STATISTICSGeneral SI
Industry S19Footnotes 833
Subject Index (Inside Back Cover)
U.S. Department of Commerce
Malcolm Baldrige / SecretarySidney L. Jones / Under Secretary
for Economic Affairs
Bureau of Economic Analysis
Allan H. Young / DirectorCarol S. Carson / Deputy Director
SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS
Editor-in-Chief: Carol S. CarsonManuscript Editor: Dannelet A. GrosvenorManaging Editor: Leland L. Scott
Staff Contributors to This Issue: Leo M. Bernstein,Robert L. Brown, Carol S. Carson, Gerald F. Donahoe,Douglas R. Fox, Gurmukh S. Gill, John A. Gorman,Linnea Hazeri, Shelby W. Herman, Daniel J. Larkins,Larry R, Moran, Robert P. Parker, Tracy R. Tapscott,Isabelle B. Whiston, Regional Economic AnalysisDivision
SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS. Published monthly by the Bureauof Economic Analysis of the U.S. Department of Commerce, Editori-al correspondence should be addressed to the Editor-in-Chief,Survey of Current Business, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230.
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The Secretary of Commerce has determined that the publication of this periodical is necessary in the transaction of the public business required by law of this Department. Use of funds for printingthis periodical has been approved by the Director of the Office of Management and Budget through April 1,1985.
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE DISTRICT OFFICESAH, Anchorage 99513701 CSt. 271-5041AL, Birmingham 352O5908 S. 20th St. 254-1331AR, Little Roek 72201320 W. Capitol Ave. 378-5794AZ, Phoenix 85073201 N. Central Ave. 26! 4285CA, Los Angeles 9004911777 San Vicente Blvd. 824-7591CA, San Francisco 94102ISO Golden Gate Ave, 556*5860CO, Denver 8020272i . 19th St. 837-3246 Baltimore 21202415 t.S. Customhouse 962-3560MI, Detroit 48226231 W. Lafayette 226-3650
VIY Minneapolis 554O!110 S. 4th St. 725-2133MO, Kansas City 64106601 E. 12th St. 374-3142MO, St. Louis 63105120 S. Central Ave. 425-3302MS, Jackson 39213300 Woodrow Wilson Blvd. 960-4388NC, Greensboro 27402203 Fed, Blclg., W. Market St. 378-5345MS, Omaha 68102300 S. 19th St. 221-3664INJ, Trenton 086O8240 W. State St. 989-2100MM, Albuquerque 87102505 Martjuette Ave., IV.W. 766-2386NV, Reno 895O3777 W. 2nd St. 784-5203NY, Buffalo 14202111 W. Huron St, 846-4191
Nil, New York 0127826 Federal Plaza 264-0634
OH, Cineinatti 45202550 Main St. 684-2944
OH, Cleveland 44114666 Euclid Ave. 522-4750
OK, Oklahoma City 731054024 Lincoln Blvd. 231-5302
OR. Portland 972041220S.W. 3rd Ave. 221-3001
PA, Philadelphia 19106600 Arch St, 597-2866
PA, Pittsburgh 152221000 Liberty Ave, 644-2850
PR, San Juan 00918Rm: 659, Federal BIdg. 753-45:
SC, Columbia 292011835 Assembly St. 765-5345
TN, Memphis 38102147 Jefferson A*e. 521-3213
TX, Dalla* 7524211000 Commerce Si. 767-0542
TX. Houston 77O02515 Rusk St. 226-4231
IT, Salt Lake City 84101350 S. Main St. 524-5! 16
VA, Richmond 23240400 N. 8th St. 771-2246
W A. Seattle 981091700 Westlake Ave., Rm: 706 442-5616
Wl. Milwaukee 53202517 E. Wisconsin Ave. 291-3473
WV, Charleston 25301500 Quarrier St. 343-6181WY, Cheyenne 820012120 Capitol Ave. 772-2151
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the BUSINESS SITUATION
CHART 1Real Product:Change From Preceding Quarter
Billion 1972$
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
20
10
0
-10-20
30
20
10
0
-10
20
10
0
-10
2010
0
-10
-2020
10
0
-10
WGE IN BUSINESS 'VENTORIES I
A, MM i
aROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT
M Vehicles
PERSONAL CONSUMmD^ SXPENOTURES
I.lilll.iFIXED JNViOTQfr
Residential
Ne EXPORTS 1
Federal1982 1983 1984 1985
Based on Seasonally Adjusted Annual RatesU.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis 85-10-1
A HE pace of U.S. production pickedup again in the third quarter. RealGNP increased at an annual rate of3 Vfc percent, following an increase of 2percent in the second quarter (table1). Inflation, as measured by the GNPfixed-weighted price index, slowed. Atan annual rate of 3 percent, downfrom 4 percent in the preceding quar-ter, inflation was at its lowest rate inmore than 10 years.1
1. Quarterly estimates in the national income andproduct accounts are expressed at seasonally adjustedannual rates, and quarterly changes in them are dif-ferences between these rates. Quarter-to-quarter per-cent changes are annualized. Real, or constant-dollar,estimates are expressed in 1972 dollars.
The preliminary (plus 15-day) GNP estimates for thethird quarter, prepared in mid-October, are based onthe following major source data: For personal con-sumption expenditures (PCE), retail sales through Sep-tember, and unit auto and truck sales through Sep-tember; for nonresidential fixed investment, the sameinformation for autos and trucks as for PCE, July andAugust construction put in place, July and August
Several noteworthy aspects of thethird quarter can be viewed in termsof developments in the farm, rest-of-the-world, and personal sectors.
Faced with depressed prices reflect-ing bumper harvests and low foreigndemand, farmers placed largemanufacturers' shipments of machinery and equip-ment, and investment plans for the quarter; for resi-dential investment, July and August construction putin place, and July and August housing starts; forchange in business inventories, July and August bookvalues for manufacturing and trade, and unit auto in-ventories through September; for net exports of goodsand services, July and August statistical month mer-chandise exports, July revised statistical month mer-chandise imports, and fragmentary information on in-vestment income for the quarter; for government pur-chases of goods and services, Federal unified budgetoutlays for July and August, State and local construc-tion put in place for July and August, and State andlocal employment through September; and for GJVPprices, the Consumer Price Index for July and August,the Producer Price Index for July and August, andunit-value indexes for exports and imports for Julyand August. Some of the source data are subject to re-
Looking Ahead . . . NIPA Revisions. An advance overview of the comprehensive revision
of the NIPA's scheduled for release in December appears in this issue.See page 19 for information about the availability of the revised estimatesand related materials.
Input-Output Estimates. Two sets of estimatesnew structures andequipment by using industry, and employment and employee compensa-tionconsistent with the 1977 input-output table will appear in the No-vember SURVEY.
Business Statistics. The 1984 edition of this biennial volume will beavailable soon from the Government Printing Office. It contains histori-cal data and methodological notes for all series in the "S" (or blue) pagesof the SURVEY and for selected BEA series. Upcoming issues of theSURVEY will contain order information.
U.S. Direct Investment Abroad. A volume presenting the results of theBenchmark Survey of U.S. Direct Investment Abroad1982 will be pub-lished in December. It will contain data on the financial structure andoperations of U.S. parent companies and their foreign affiliates, on bal-ance of payments transactions between parents and affiliates, and on par-ents' direct investment position in affiliates. An article summarizing thefinancial and operating data is scheduled for the December SURVEY. Apackage of tables presenting the results of the first annual survey, cover-ing 1983, will be available upon request in November. These resultsupdate the financial and operating data collected in the benchmarksurvey. An article analyzing these data is scheduled for the JanuarySURVEY. Both sets of data provide new detail for services industries.
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SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985
Table 1.Real GNP: Change From PrecedingQuarter
[Percent change at annual rates]
GNP
Final sales . .
Personal consumptionexpendituresDurables
Motor vehicles andparts
Furniture andhousehold equipment ..
Other durablesNondurables
FoodEnergy 1Clothing and shoesOther nondurables
Services. . . . . .Energy 2Other services
Gross private domesticfixed investmentNonresidential
StructuresProducers' durable
equipmentAutos and trucksOther
ResidentialNet exports of goods and
services . ..Exports
MerchandiseAgriculturalNonagricultural
OtherImports . .. .
MerchandisePetroleumNonpetroleum
OtherGovernment purchases of
goods and servicesFederal
National defenseNondefense
Commodity CreditCorporation
OtherState and local
Change in business
1984IV
4.37.9
3.614.1
5.721.6173 .5
-1.9 57
4.23
3.3-3.7
37
5.38.5
172
54-3.8
78-5.5
-.714864.353
-17.8-28.3
347-6.6
-35.8-8.9
5.915217.599
14.2-.2
I
0.3- 3
5.29.29.78.8903.74.3144.3235.0
10.547
-.1-1.6
9.556
20.11125.3
-9.026
-33.969
-17.332.357.6
-56.266.2
-17.0
.3
.7 23.1
-4.00
1985II
1.946
4.86.85.1
10.7104.76.4
-597.8
g4.2
-14.75.3
12.714.592
166-7.62386.4
-15.1-16.8-45.7-89
-12.6-.8986.1
-3.2-.6
3.7 .47.2
-17.7
1.66.7
ra
3.359
4.820.553.8-.325.6
1.874
-3.42
2.75.53.1
-1.4-4.7-7.7
-3.523.293
10.9
.5-1.4
-24.73.83.2
.717
42.23.9
-2.1
16.133.420.174.4
1.55.0
Table 2.Real Gross Product, Hours, andCompensation in the Nonfarm BusinessEconomy Less Housing: Change From Pre-ceding Quarter
[Percent change at annual rates; based on seasonally adjustedestimates]
Table 3.Fixed-Weighted Price Indexes:Change From Preceding Quarter
[Percent change at annual rates; based on index numbers(1972=100), seasonally adjusted]
1. Gasoline and oil, and fuel oil and coal.2. Electricity and gas.NOTE.Percent changes in major aggregates are found in
the National Income and Product Accounts Tables, table 8.1.Dollar levels are found in tables 1.2, 1.15, 1.17, 3.8B, and 4.4.
amounts of crops under CommodityCredit Corporation (CCC) loan, ratherthan in business inventories. CCCloans are treated as government pur-chases in the national income andproduct accounts (NIPA's); as a result,a net increase in the amount of cropsunder CCC loan leads to an increasein final sales. In the third quarter,final sales of GNP increased 6 per-cent, following a 4V2-percent increase.CCC loans more than accounted forthis acceleration: Final sales exclusiveof CCC purchases increased 4% per-cent in the third quarter, following a5-percent increase in the second.
Second, net exports changed littlein the third quarter. As a conse-quence, U.S. production (measured byreal GNP) increased about as much as
Real gross product .HoursCompensationReal gross product per hourCompensation per hourUnit labor cost
1984IV
472.662213.514
I
043689315185
1985II
25g
47
173922
ra
3 12659
53227
U.S. demand (measured by real grossdomestic purchases). In the past sev-eral quarters, demand typically in-creased more than production, as netexports declined. (As explained in thebox on page 3, new information indi-cates that there is a problem with themerchandise import data.)
Third, in the personal sector, realpersonal consumption expenditures(PCE) increased 5 percent. This sub-stantial increase, which was concen-trated in motor vehicles, occurred de-spite weakness in real disposable per-sonal income (DPI). This weaknesscan be traced to a drop of $14 billionin current-dollar DPI. Reflecting theincrease in personal outlays and thedecline in DPI, personal saving fell.The personal saving rate, which hadincreased to 5.1 percent in the secondquarter, dropped to 2.9 percent in thethird.
Productivity and costs.Table 2shows changes in real gross product,aggregate hours, and compensation inthe business economy other thanfarm and housing. Real gross productincreased 3 percent, reflecting a 2Vz-percent increase in hours and a Vz-percent increase in productivity (asmeasured by real gross product perhour). The productivity increase mod-erated the impact of increased hourlycompensation on unit labor costs;compensation per hour was up 3 per-cent, but unit labor cost was up 2l/2percent. The third-quarter increase inunit labor cost, although larger thanthe second-quarter increase, was 1%percentage points lower than the in-crease over the preceding four quar-ters.
Prices.GNP prices, as measuredby the fixed-weighted price index, in-creased 3 percent in the third quar-ter, somewhat less than the increasesin the past several quarters, whichranged from 3x/2 to 4% percent (table3). The price of gross domestic pur-chases also increased 3 percent, fol-
GNP
Less' Change in business inventories..Equals: Final salesLess' Exports .. . . ...Plus' ImportsEquals: Final sales to domestic
purchasers . ....
Personal consumptionexpendituresFood . ..EnergyOther personal consumption
expendituresOther
Nonresidential structuresProducers' durable equipmentResidential . Government purchases
Equals: Gross domestic purchasesAddenda:
Food and energy components ofGNP: 1Food components 2Energy components 3
GNP less food componentsGNP less energy componentsGNP less food and energy
components
1984IV
3.6
3.7-1.6
30
3.5
3.9331.64.5282.21.61.03.7
3.4
2.71.7383.73.9
I
4.3
4.4.1
64
3.8
3.32.6
-4.54.7453.72.0
-1.47.0
3.7
2.53.7464.85.2
1985II
3.9
4.076
3.9
4.1- 612.4
4.4354.02.2134.2
3.8
-.514.6463.3
3.9
III
2.9
3.0-1.3-24
2.8
2.3.6
3.53.73.73.73.23.04.0
2.8
.2-1.2
333.23.7
1. Inasmuch as GNP is the sum of final products, the foodand energy estimates in this table do not take into account theeffect on the prices of final products of changes in the prices ofthe food and energy that are costs of production.
2. Consists of all components for which separate estimatesare prepared. The major component that is not included ispurchases of food by the Federal Government other thantransactions by the Commodity Credit Corporation that aretreated like purchases.
3. Consists of all components for which separate estimatesare prepared. The major components that are not included are(1) exports of energy; (2) the gasoline and motor oil portions ofinventories of gasoline service stations; and (3) the energyportions of inventories of businesses that do not produceenergy for sale.
NOTE.Most index number levels are found in the NationalIncome and Product Accounts Tables, table 7.2.
lowing a 4-percent increase in thesecond quarter. The third-quarter de-celeration in the prices of both GNPand gross domestic purchases reflect-ed a swing in energy prices from asharp increase to a small decline.
Largely due to energy prices, pricespaid by consumersPCE pricesde-celerated ll/2 percentage points to a2V2-percent increase in the thirdquarter. Other PCE prices also con-tributed to the deceleration by slow-ing to 3V2 percent from 4V2 percent;food prices, however, were up slightlyafter a slight decline. For the mostpart, prices paid by investors and bygovernment continued to increase inthe moderate ranges registered in thepast several quarters.
Employment and hours.Employ-ment increased and the unemploy-ment rate edged down in the thirdquarter.
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October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS
According to the household survey,employment of adult men and adultwomen increased, while teenage em-ployment was unchanged. The com-bined increase in employment, 0.4million, was slightly larger than theincrease in the labor force, 0.3 mil-lion. As a result, the unemploymentrate moved down to 7.2 percent, and
employment as a percent of the work-ing-age population moved back up toa record-tying 60.1 percent (table 4and chart 2).
According to the establishmentsurvey, nonfarm employment in-creased 0.6 million. All of the increaseoccurred in distribution, services, and
government; employment in goods-producing industries fell slightly. Av-erage weekly hours in the privatenonfarm economy were unchangedagain in the third quarter, but inmanufacturing, average weekly hoursincreased by 0.2, to 40.5, and overtimehours increased by 0.1, to 3.3.
CHART 2Unemployment Rate1
1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 198319741. Civilian.NOTE.Business cycle peaks (P), and troughs (T), are turning points in economic activity, as designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Shaded areas represent recessions.Data: BLS.
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
1984 1985
A Note on Merchandise Trade DataFor the preliminary third-quarter GNP estimate, the change in
net exports reflects a change in the source data used to estimatemerchandise imports. BE A is now using the Census Bureau's "re-vised statistical month" series, which becomes available 1 monthafter the previously used "statistical month" series.1 Although thenew series provides a more accurate estimate of merchandise im-ports, the import data available for the preliminary estimate havebeen reduced from 2 months to 1 month (and BEA projections areused for the 2 missing months). BEA is continuing to use the sta-tistical month series for exports.
This change was made in light of the Census Bureau's new in-formation on the seriousness of the timing problem with monthlytrade data. Each month, these data are compiled from documentstransmitted to Census by the U.S. Customs Service within 15 daysof the end of the month. The values reported on these documentsshould represent only transactions for the month just ended. How-ever, they also include a "carry-over" of documents for previousmonths. In the past, for use in both the U.S. international transac-tions accounts and the NIPA's, BEA has adjusted the publishedCensus series on the basis of limited information from Census toremove the carry-over. The new information released by Censusreveals that for the past several years this adjustment has beeninadequate because the amount of carry-over has increased sub-stantiallyincluding documents as much as a year oldand hasvaried widely from month to month. For example, in August 1985,the carry-over documents accounted for 47 percent of the value ofimports and 11 percent of the value of exports; in the previousmonth, the import carry-over was 39 percent and the export carry-over was 11 percent. For 1984, the new information shows that thetiming problem has had only a minor impact on annual totals forboth exports and imports. For the period from the first quarter of1984 through the second quarter of 1985, the impact on quarter-to-quarter changes in exports is minor, but the impact on the quar-ter-to-quarter changes in imports is substantial.
1. U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Ad-vance Report on U.S. Merchandise Trade: August 1985 StatisticalMonth," News Release CB-85-174 (Washington, DC: Department ofCommerce, 27 September 1985).
In September, Census introduced alternative export and importseries: "revised statistical month" series. These series, which sub-stantially reduce the carry-over, are derived from all documentsreceived within 45 days of the end of the month. Each revisedseries is calculated by combining the value of documents for agiven month that are received in that month plus the value of thecarry-over in the subsequent monththat is, the documents re-ceived in the subsequent month that pertain to previous months.In addition, beginning in 1986, Census will publish annually afinal, or "actual," monthly series. This series will be calculatedwhen complete information is available to recompile all carry-overdocuments.
When BEA prepared the preliminary third-quarter estimate ofchange in net exports, the revised statistical month imports serieswas available through July. The change from June to July in therevised statistical month series differed significantly from thechange in the statistical month series. (On a seasonally unadjustedbasis, the statistical month series showed a lOVfe-percent decreaseand the revised statistical month series a 5V2-percent increase.) Be-cause the revised series was viewed as providing a better indicatorof current developments, it was used by BEA in estimating thethird-quarter change in merchandise imports. (For the flash esti-mate of the third quarter, information for July on the revised sta-tistical month basis was not available; the estimate was based onthe statistical month series with the assumption that there wouldbe very little variation in extent of carry-over in the August andSeptember imports data.)
In the December NIPA revision, actual data for both merchan-dise exports and imports will be incorporated from the secondquarter of 1983 through the second quarter of 1985, and data onthe revised statistical month basis will be incorporated beginningwith the third quarter of 1985. The same data will also be incorpo-rated into the U.S. international transactions accounts in Decem-ber. In the future, BEA will follow a two-step procedure to esti-mate both merchandise exports and imports. The current quarter-ly estimates will be based on the "revised statistical month" series.Annually, these estimates will be replaced by the "actual" series.
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SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985
Personal IncomePersonal income increased $24 Mz
billion in the third quarter, $6*/2 bil-lion less than in the second (table 5).The slowdown was more than ac-counted for by a sharp drop in farmproprietors' income.
Wage and salary disbursementswere up $24J/2 billion in the thirdquarter, $3V2 billion less than in thesecond. The slowdown reflected small-er increases in distributive industries,commodity-producing industries otherthan manufacturing, and governmentand government enterprises. The pat-tern of increase in government andgovernment enterprises in recentquarters has been affected by FederalGovernment and Postal Service payadjustments, which added to the in-creases in wages in the first andsecond quarters, but had a slight neg-ative effect on the third-quarter in-crease. Manufacturing increased afterno change in the second quarter; serv-ices increased slightly more than inthe second quarter.
Proprietors' income declined $6V2billion in the third quarter, followinga small increase in the second. Non-farm proprietors' income increasedslightly more in the third quarterthan in the second, but farm propri-etors' income plummeted $11 billion,as a continued decline in crop andlivestock prices and a large drop inagricultural subsidy payments morethan offset the effect of an increase inreal farm product. Subsidy pay-
mentswhich had accounted forabout one-half of farm proprietors'income in the second quarterfell$8% billion in the third. The declineslargely reflected a decrease in "defi-ciency payments"; these payments tofarmers who reduced planted acreageare based on the difference betweenlegislated "target prices" and marketprices. Deficiency payments had beenunusually large in the second quarterreflecting payments on the 1984 corncrop as well as some advance pay-ments on 1985 crops. (Farm subsidiesare expected to increase in the fourthquarter when the balance of deficien-cy payments on the 1985 wheat cropare made.)
Personal interest income declined$3 billion, the same as in the secondquarter, due to the continued declinein the rate of interest paid on person-al assets.
Transfer payments increased about$5% billion in the third quarter, afterchanging little in the second. Aboutone-half of the step-up was accountedfor by retroactive Social Security pay-ments, which swung to a $2 billion in-crease from a $1 billion decline in thesecond quarter. These paymentsresult largely from the recalculationof the earnings base underlying bene-fits for recent retirees.
Other income increased $5x/2 bil-lion, about $1% billion less than inthe second quarter. The slowdownwas in rental income, which fell $6billion in September as a result ofdamage caused to residential proper-
Table 5.Personal Income and Its Disposition:Change From Preceding Quarter
[Billions of dollars; based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Table 4.Selected Labor Market Indicators[Seasonally adjusted]
Household surveyCivilian employment (millions)
Adult menAdult womenTeenagers ..
Employment-population ratio (percent)Unemployment rate
Establishment surveyEmployment nonfarm (millions)
Goods producingDurable manufacturingNondurable manufacturing ... . .Other goods producing
Distributive *Services 2Government
Average weekly hours:Private nonfarmManufacturingManufacturing overtime . . .
Level1984
ra
105.356.042.9
6.459.67.4
94.924.911.67.95.4
27.526.616.0
35.340.53.3
IV
106.056.343.36.4
59.87.2
95.825.011.77.95.4
27.826.916.1
35.240.53.4
1985I
106.756.343.86.6
60.17.3
96.625.111.77.95.5
28.127.316.1
35.140.43.3
II
106.856.443.96.4
60.07.3
97.325.111.67.85.7
28.427.716.2
35.140.33.2
ra
107.256.644.26.4
60.17.2
97.925.011.57.85.7
28.628.016.4
35.140.53.3
Change from preceding quarter1984IV
0.7.3.4
0.2
-.3
.9
.1
.100.3.3.1
-.10.1
1985I
0.70.5.2
.3
.1
.8
.100.1.3.4
0
-.1-.1-.1
II
0.1.1.121
0
.70-.1-.1
.2
.3
.4
.1
0-.1_ i
ra
0.4.2.3
0.1
-.1
.6-.1
100.2.3.2
0.2.1
Wage and salarydisbursementsManufacturing ..Other commodity-producing..DistributiveServicesGovernment and
government enterprisesProprietors' income
FarmNonfarm
Personal interest incomeTransfer paymentsOther incomeLess: Personal contributions
for social insurancePersonal income
Less: Personal tax and nontaxpayments
Equals: Disposable personalincome
Less: Personal outlays
Equa Is: Personal saving
Addenda: Special factors inpersonal income:Federal Government and
Postal Service payadjustments...
Agricultural subsidiesMilitary retirement paySocial Security retroactive
payments ... ... .Cost-of-living increases in
Federal transferpayments
Social Security base andrate changes (in personalcontributions for socialinsurance)
1984
IV
282607.667964.3542133673.372
1.848.9
108
38.139.2
1.1
44.8
-5.6
23
I
351554.559
1058.6
737430
17457
112
47.6
373
10.2546
44.4
36'3.05.6
12
84
63
1985n
279o3.367
1166.4
92332
3 03
69
2.030.9
408
71.7
50.920.8
131.7
10
ra
24623
.949
1194.663
10946
-305753
1.824.5
384
13.9471
61.0
6-8.7
18
1. Includes transportation and public utilities, wholesale trade, and retail trade.2. Includes financial and nonfmancial services.Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
NOTE.Most dollar levels are found in the National Incomeand Product Accounts Tables, table 2.1.
ties by two hurricanes that swept theGulf and Atlantic coasts.
Personal contributions for social in-surance, which are subtracted in de-riving the personal income total, in-creased $2 billion, about the same asin the second quarter.
Personal tax and nontax payments,increased $38V2 billion after dropping$41 billion in the second quarter. Theswing reflected the unusual pattern ofFederal income tax refunds, whichwere delayed in the first quarter butwere caught up in the second. Thepattern of tax refunds did not affectthe level of personal tax payments inthe third quarter, but did increase thethird-quarter change by $271/2 billion(table 6).
Largely due to the erratic patternof personal taxes, DPI dropped $14billion after a huge$71V2 billion-increase. If the effect of the timing ofincome tax refunds is excluded, DPIwould have increased $13y2 in thethird quarter and $16V2 billion in thesecond. Real DPI decreased 4 percent
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October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS
Table 6.Personal Tax and Nontax Payments:Change From Preceding Quarter
[Billions of dollars; based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Personal tax and nontaxpayments
FederalImpact of legislation 1
Indexing of income taxesRefunds slowdownOther
State and localImpact of legislationOther
1984IV
10.88.3
-1.0
9.32.6-.43.0
I
37.334.3
q O o.o
6927.610.1
3.0-.33.3
1985
n
40.8
-44.00
-55.111.2
3.103.1
ra
38.4
36.3-1.9
27.610.7
2.1-1.2
3.3
1. For more information on the impact of legislation onFederal receipts, see "Impact of Recent Tax Law Changes" inthe April 1985 issue of the SURVEY.
after increasing 8 percent in thesecond quarter. If the effect of thetiming of income tax refunds is ex-cluded, real DPI would have shown nochange after decreasing % percent.
The decline in DPI, coupled with anincrease in personal outlays, led to asubstantial drop in the personalsaving rate, from 5.1 percent in thesecond quarter to 2.9 percent in thethird. Undoubtedly, many factorswere involved in the saving rate'ssharp drop; three are mentionedbelow. First, changes in farm propri-etors' income have, historically, hadrelatively little impact on personaloutlays. If it is assumed that thethird-quarter decline in farm incomehad no effect on personal outlays, theincome change by itself would havelowered the saving rate by about 0.4percentage point. Second, some partof the record consumer purchases ofmotor vehicles in the third quarter(discussed under PCE) may representan alternative kind of savingan ac-cumulation of physical capital as op-posed to financial capital. In the past,large changes in consumer purchasesof motor vehicles have been associat-ed with changes in the opposite direc-tion in the saving rate. Third, incometax refunds boosted second-quarterDPI (and probably personal saving),and thereby caused the third-quarterdrop in the saving rate to be largerthan it otherwise would have been.
Components of Real GNPAmong the components of real
GNP, PCE and inventory investmentregistered changes in the third quar-ter similar to their second-quarterchangesPCE up and inventory in-vestment down. Other componentsregistered divergent movements be-tween the two quarters. Government
purchases increased sharply in thethird quarter, following a moderateincrease in the second; fixed invest-ment slipped slightly, following an in-crease; and net exports were flat, fol-lowing a decline.
Personal consumption expendituresReal PCE increased 5 percent in
the third quarter, the same as in thesecond; a strong increase in durablegoods was accompanied by smaller in-creases in nondurable goods and inservices.
Expenditures for durable goods in-creased 2Ql/2 percent in the thirdquarter, following a 7-percent in-crease in the second. The increase re-flected a large jump, 54 percent, inthe motor vehicles component; thiscomponent had been increasing inrecent quarters, but at more moder-ate rates. The third-quarter strengthin motor vehicles reflected recordsales of new cars and trucks in lateAugust and September, in response toattractive financing packages offeredby manufacturers. Furniture andhousehold equipment slipped % per-cent in the third quarter, after a 10 Vz-percent increase in the second; otherdurable goods increased 2l/2 percent,after a 1-percent increase.
Nondurable goods increased slight-ly, l/z percent, in the third quarter,following a 4V2-percent increase inthe second. Expenditures for food andfor clothing and shoes, which together
represent about three-fourths of totalnondurables, accounted for the decel-eration. Food decelerated from a Ql/2-percent increase to a 2-percent in-crease, and clothing and shoes swungfrom an 8-percent increase to a SVfe-percent decline. Energy expendituresincreased 7 2 percent in the thirdquarter, following a 6-percent declinein the second. Other nondurablegoods increased little, as they had inthe second quarter.
Expenditures for services increased2l/2 percent in the third quarter, fol-lowing a 4-percent increase in thesecond. Among services, electricityand gas declined in both quarters,and a slowdown in other services wascentered in spending on medical careand net foreign travel.Investment
Residential investmentReal resi-dential investment increased 11 per-cent in the third quarter, following a6V2-percent increase in the second.Single-family construction was un-changed, but multifamily constructionand the "other," nonconstruction,component increased. (The noncon-struction component includes addi-tions and alterations, brokers' com-missions on the sale of residences,and mobile homes.)
The pattern of the constructioncomponents follows that of housingstarts, with a shorter lag in single-family than in multifamily units.
CHART 3Housing Starts
Millions of units2.5
1.0 -
0L_LJL1981 1982 1983 1984
Seasonally Adjusted as Annual RatesData: Census.
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
1985
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SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985
Single-family starts were roughly thesame in the second quarter as theyhad been in the first; multifamilystarts had increased sharply in thefirst quarter (chart 3).
An increase in brokers' commis-sions accounted for much of the in-crease in the nonconstruction compo-nent, and reflected increased sales ofnew and existing residences. Fromthe second quarter to July-August,sales of new residences increased 6.8percent, and sales of existing resi-dences, 7.9 percent (not annual rates).These increases continue the patternof recent quarters and reflect the con-tinued downtrend in mortgage rates(chart 4). The mortgage rate hoveredjust above 12 percent in the thirdquarter, 64 basis points below itssecond-quarter level and 235 basispoints below its level in the thirdquarter of 1984.
Nonresidential fixed investmentReal nonresidential fixed investmentdeclined 4 2 percent in the thirdquarter, following a 14V2-percent in-crease in the second. Both structuresand producers' durable equipment(PDE) contributed to the third-quarterswing.
Structures declined 7 Vfe percent, fol-lowing a 9-percent increase. Commer-cial structures and industrial struc-tures declined by about equalamounts; other categories of struc-tures changed little.
PDE declined 3Vi percent, followinga 16V2-percent increase. The changein PDE was again dominated by thevolatile information processing cate-gory, computers in particular (table7). The transportation category, large-ly due to strong auto sales, againchanged in the opposite directionfrom the information processing cate-gory and moderated the swing in totalPDE.
Change in business inventories.Real business inventories decreased$2 billion in the third quarter, follow-ing an $8V2 billion increase in thesecond (table 8). In both quarters, thechange in inventory investment con-tributed negatively to the change inGNPminus $10 Vi billion in thethird quarter and minus $11 billion inthe second. The third-quarter swingin inventory investment was largelyaccounted for by farm and trade in-ventories. Farm inventories increasedlittle, following a $3V2 billion increase
CHART 4Selected Interest Rates
Percent22
20
18
16
14
12
10
3-montft Treasury Bis "*...**
I M I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I i I I I I I i I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I ! i I I I M1981 1982
Data: FRB, FHLMC.U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
1983 1984 1985
in the second quarter; faced with goodharvests, low foreign demand, andlow prices, farmers placed substantialamounts of crops under CCC loan. Inretail trade, sharper decumulation ininventories was more than accountedfor by autos. As was mentioned earli-er, auto sales jumped in the thirdquarter in response to attractive fi-nancing packages offered by manufac-turers; as a result, auto inventorieswere run down to levels below thoseconsidered desirable by the industry.(The ratio of unit auto inventories toauto sales fell to 1.3 in September1985the lowest level since the be-ginning of this series in 1967.)
Reflecting the decline in inventoriesand the increase in final sales, theconstant-dollar ratio of total invento-ries to total final sales declined to3.02, approaching the lower end of the3.01-3.09 range within which it hasfluctuated over the last 2 years.
Net exportsReal net exports were flat in the
third quarter, following a $5% billiondecline in the second. Exports and im-ports both increased by less than $x/2billion in the third quarter; in thesecond they had both declinedex-ports by $6 billion and imports by lessthan $V2 billion. Within exports, agri-cultural products declined in the faceof ample worldwide supplies, but thisdecline was more than offset by in-creases in services and nonagricul-tural exports. Within imports, al-though services remained flat, mer-chandise imports registered a smallincrease. The increase in merchandiseimports, in which a decline in petrole-um was more than offset by an in-crease in nonpetroleum, was estimat-ed using the Census Bureau's importdata on a revised statistical monthbasis. See the box on page 3 for a de-scription of these new data and theiruse in preparing the third-quarter es-timates.Government purchases
Real government purchases wereup 16 percent in the third quarter,following a moderate increase in thesecond. The step-up was in Federalpurchases, which jumped 331/2 percentafter a slight decline. Defense pur-chases, which often fluctuate sharplyfrom quarter to quarter, were up con-siderably more than in the secondquarter. The large increase was due
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October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS
Table 7.Real Nonresidential Producers' Durable Equipment[Billions of 1972 dollars; seasonally adjusted annual rates]
Producers' durable equipmentInformation processing and related equip-
mentTransportation and related equipmentIndustrial equipment
Level1984
m
152.470.835.125.720.8
IV
154.472.535.025.621.3
1985I
152.269.736.225.321.0
II
158.274.135.626.322.2
m
156.870.938.126.321.5
Change from preceding quarter1984IV
2.01.7-.1-.1
.5
1985I
-2.2
-2.81.2-.3-.3
n
6.04.4-.61.01.2
in-1.4
-3.22.50-.7
Table 9.Federal Receipts and Expenditures,NIPA Basis: Change From Preceding Quarter[Billions of dollars; based on seasonally adjusted annual rates]
NOTE.Information processing and related equipment, previously referred to as high-technology equipment, consists of: office and
store equipment (including computers), communications equipment, photographic instruments and scientific and engineeringinstruments.
Transportation and related equipment consists of: passenger cars, trucks, aircraft, railroad equipment, and ships and boats.Industrial equipment, previously referred to as heavy industrial equipment, consists of: general and special industrial
machinery, fabricated metals and metalworking equipment, steam and internal combustion engines, and electrical transmissionand distribution equipment.
Table 8.Change in Real Business Inventories[Billions of 1972 dollars; seasonally adjusted at annual rates]
Change in business inventoriesFarmNonfarm . .
ManufacturingWholesale trade .Retail tradeOther
Level
1984III
30.64.1
26.513.09.52.51.5
IV
16.84.8
12.0-.13.98.1.1
1985I
19.13.4
15.72.12.4
10.11.2
n
8.33.44.9
.53.5101.8
III
-2.1
.2-2.3
.6
.4-4.1
.8
Change from preceding quarter1984IV
-13.8.7
-14.5-13.1-5.6
5.6-1.4
1985I
2.3-1.4
3.72.2
-1.52.01.0
II
-10.80
-10.8-1.6
1.1-11.1
.6
III
-10.4-3.2-7.2
.1-3.1-3.1-1.0
NOTE.Dollar levels are found in the National Income and Product Accounts Tables, table 5.9.
to a step-up in the delivery of militaryequipment. Nondefense purchases in-creased sharply after a decline;changes in both quarters were due tooperations of the CCC. As noted earli-er, farmers stepped up placements ofcrops with the CCC under the com-modity loan program in the thirdquarter. State and local governmentpurchases were up 5 percent, some-what less than in the second quarter.The increases were largely in high-way construction.
The Federal sector.Changes incurrent-dollar Federal receipts andexpenditures on a NIPA basis areshown in table 9. Expenditures in-creased $22 billion in the third quar-ter, about double the increase in thesecond. The step-up was more thanaccounted for by purchases; defensepurchases were up more than in the
second quarter, and nondefense pur-chases increased after a decline.Transfer payments increased after adecline, largely reflecting the patternof retroactive Social Security pay-ments. Net interest paid and grants-in-aid to State and local governmentsincreased again, but the compositionof the increase in grants changedsharply. In the second quarter, high-ways had fully accounted for the in-crease; in the third, education ac-counted for the largest share. Subsi-dies less the current surplus of gov-ernment enterprises declined sharply,mainly due to the drop in agriculturalsubsidy payments. Changes in wageaccruals less disbursementswhichare subtracted from expendituresre-flected a retroactive payment toPostal Service employees in thesecond quarter.
Receipts
Personal tax and nontaxreceipts
Corporate profits tax accrualsIndirect business tax and
nontax accrualsContributions for social
insurance
Expenditures .Purchases of goods and services...
National defenseNondefense
Transfer paymentsGrants-in-aid to State and local
governments ,Net interest paidSubsidies less current surplus of
government enterprisesLess: Wage accruals less
disbursements ,Surplus or deficit (-),
national income andproduct accounts ,
1984IV
15.7
833.8
2
38
32.913.711.3246.54.94543
.9
-17.2
I
49.4
343-1.7
5
16316.74.22.3199.9
-1.91823
.4
32.7
1985n
-37.4
440-1.3
4.2
3.611.54.47.22.8-.62.94.6-.9
-1.2
-49.0
m
n.a.
363n.a.
-5.03.2
21.922.812.010.73.22.31.06.3
1.0
n.a.
n.a. Not availableNOTE.Dollar levels are found in the National Income and
Product Accounts Tables, table 3.2.
Among receipts, recent sharp fluc-tuations in personal tax receipts weremainly due to the delay and catchupin income tax refund payments.Changes in indirect business taxes inthe past two quarters reflected a one-time fee levied in the second quarteron the nuclear power industry for ex-isting stocks of nuclear waste. Contri-butions for social insurance again in-creased moderately. Estimates of cor-porate profits, and, thus, of corporateprofits tax accruals, can be approxi-mated by using a residual calculationof corporate profits that assumes thatthe statistical discrepancy in theNIPA's is the same as in the preced-ing quarter. On the basis of this cal-culation, total receipts increasedabout $40 billion in the third quarter.
The Federal deficit on a NIPA basishad increased $49 billion to $214 bil-lion in the second quarter and islikely to decline about $18 billion inthe third. These changes largely re-flect the impact of the timing of taxrefunds.
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8 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS
National Income and Product Accounts Tables
October 1985
New estimates in this issue: Third quarter 1985, preliminary.The abbreviations used in the tables are: CCAdj Capital consumption adjustment
IVANIPA's
Inventory valuation adjustmentNational income and product accountsPreliminaryRevised
The NIPA estimates for 1929-76 are in The National Income and Product Accounts of the United States, 1929-76: Statistical Tables (StockNo. 003-010-00101-1, price $10.00). Estimates for 1977-79 and corrections for earlier years are in the July 1982 SURVEY; estimates for 1980 andcorrections for earlier years are in the July 1983 SURVEY; estimates for 1981-83 and corrections for earlier years are in the July 1984 SURVEY.Summary NIPA Series, 1952-83, are in the August 1984 SURVEY. These publications are available from the Superintendent of Documents andCommerce Department District Offices; see addresses inside front cover.
The full set of NIPA estimates shown regularly in this part of the SURVEY are now available on diskette for $240 per year (12 updates). Formore information, write to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BE-54), U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC 20230.
Table 1.1-1.2.Gross National Product in Current and Constant Dollars
Gross national product
Personal consumption expenditures
Durable goodsNondurable goodsServices . . .
Gross private domestic investment
Fixed investmentNonresidential
Structures.Producers' durable equipment
Residential .Nonfarm structures . Farm structuresProducers' durable equipment ... .
Change in business inventoriesNonfarm .Farm
Net exports of goods and services
ExportsImports . .
Government purchases of goods and services
FederalNational defense .Nondefense
State and local .
Billions of dollars
1983
3,304.8
2,155.9
279.8801.7
1,074.4
471.6
485.1352.9129.7223.2132.2127.6
1.03.6
-13.5-3.1
-10.4
-8.3
336.2344.4
685.5
269.7200.5
69.3415.8
1984
3,662.8
2,341.8
318.8856.9
1,166.1
637.8
579.6425.7150.4275.3153.9148.8
1.14.0
58.249.68.6
-64.2
364.3428.5
747.4
295.4221.5
73.9452.0
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
3,644.7
2,332.7
320.7858.3
1,153.7
627.0
576.4420.8150.0270.7155.6150.5
1.04.1
50.647.03.5
58.7
362.4421.1
743.7
296.4220.8
75.6447.4
III
3,694.6
2,361.4
317.2861.4
1,182.8
662.8
591.0435.7151.4284.2155.3150.1
1.24.0
71.863.78.1
-90.6
368.6459.3
761.0
302.0220.3
81.7458.9
IV
3,758.7
2,396.5
326.3866.5
1,203.8
637.8
601.1447.7157.9289.7153.5148.3
1.04.1
36.627.29.4
-56.0
367.2423.2
780.5
315.7231.684.1
464.8
1985
I
3,810.6
2,446.5
334.8877.3
1,234.4
646.8
606.1450.9162.9288.0155.2150.0
1.04.2
40.734.16.6
-74.5
360.7435.2
791.9
319.9233.9
85.9472.0
II
3,853.1
2,493.0
339.2891.9
1,261.9
643.2
625.3467.3168.3299.0158.0152.4
1.34.3
17.911.46.5
-94.0
347.7441.6
810.9
324.2241.1
83.2486.7
III"
3,916.1
2,536.5
355.6895.6
1,285.3
622.8
630.9467.5166.8300.6163.4157.5
1.74.3
-8.1-8.4
.3
-89.2
347.6436.7
845.9
347.0253.1
93.9498.9
Billions of 1972 dollars
1983
1,534.7
1,009.2
157.5376.3475.4
221.0
224.6171.0
49.2121.8
53.751.2
.42.1
-3.6.6
-4.2
12.6
139.5126.9
291.9
116.284.731.5
175.7
1984
1,639.3
1,062.4
178.0393.5490.8
289.9
265.1204.9
56.9148.0
60.257.5
.42.3
24.820.94.0
-15.0
146.0161.1
302.1
122.589.632.9
179.6
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
1,638.8
1,064.2
178.6396.6488.9
283.9
263.7202.9
56.8146.0
60.858.1
.42.3
20.318.71.6
-11.4
144.7156.2
302.1
123.289.633.6
178.9
III
1,645.2
1,065.9
177.0395.5493.5
300.2
269.6209.5
57.1152.4
60.157.3
.52.3
30.626.54.1
-27.0
147.4174.4
306.1
125.089.136.0
181.1
IV
1,662.4
1,075.4
182.9395.0497.5
289.9
273.1213.8
59.4154.4
59.256.5
.42.4
16.812.04.8
-13.4
147.1160.5
310.5
129.692.736.8
180.9
1985
I
1,663.5
1,089.1
187.0398.6503.5
292.1
273.0213.0
60.8152.2
60.057.2
.42.4
19.115.73.4
284
143.7172.1
310.7
129.892.737.1
180.9
II
1,671.3
1,102.1
190.1403.2508.7
289.5
281.2220.3
62.1158.2
60.957.9
.52.58.34.93.4
33 8
137.9171.8
313.5
129.794.335.4
183.9
III"
1,684.8
1,115.2
199.2403.9512.1
278.1
280.2217.7
60.9156.8
62.559.4
.62.5
-2.123
.2
-34.0
138.1172.1
325.5
139.498.740.6
186.1
Table 1.3-1.4.Gross National Product by Major Type of Product in Current and Constant Dollars
Gross national product
Final salesChange in business inventories
Goods
Final sales..Change in business inventories
Durable goods . .Final sales..Change in business inventories
Nondurable goodsFinal salesChange in business inventories
ServicesStructures
Addenda:Gross domestic purchases lFinal sales to domestic purchasers * . . .
Billions of dollars
1983
3,304.8
3,318.3-13.5
1,355.7
1,369.2-13.5
555.3557.5-2.1800.4811.7
-11.3
1,639.3309.8
3,313.13,326.5
1984
3,662.8
3,604.658.2
1,543.0
1,484.858.2
655.7625.3
30.4887.3859.5
27.8
1,763.3356.5
3,727.03,668.8
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
3,644.7
3,594.150.6
1,544.8
1,494.250.6
647.9629.7
18.2896.9864.6
32.4
1,742.6357.2
3,703.43,652.8
III
3,694.6
3,622.871.8
1,549.2
1,477.471.8
654.7613.1
41.7894.4864.330.1
1,783.3362.1
3,785.23,713.4
IV
3,758.7
3,722.136.6
1,579.8
1,543.236.6
687.7661.0
26.7892.1882.2
9.9
1,813.7365.2
3,814.83,778.1
1985
I
3,810.6
3,770.040.7
1,583.8
1,543.140.7
677.1648.2
29.0906.7895.0
11.7
1,857.2369.6
3,885.23,844.5
II
3,853.1
3,835.217.9
1,579.5
1,561.717.9
669.6665.9
3.7910.0895.8
14.2
1,888.8384.8
3,947.13,929.2
III"
3,916.1
3,924.2-8.1
1,595.1
1,603.181
674.8687.6128
920.2915.5
4.8
1,927.3393.8
4,005.34,013.4
Billions of 1972 dollars
1983
1,534.7
1,538.3-3.6
688.6
692.236
295.6296.1
5392.9396.1-3.2
723.2122.9
1,522.11,525.7
1984
1,639.3
1,614.524.8
764.5
739.624.8
341.6328.4
13.2422.9411.2
11.7
736.7138.1
1,654.41,629.5
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
1,638.8
1,618.520.3
767.4
747.120.3
339.5331.4
8.1427.9415.7
12.2
732.9138.5
1,650.21,629.9
III
1,645.2
1,614.630.6
766.8
736.130.6
340.2322.4
17.8426.5413.7
12.8
739.0139.4
1,672.21,641.6
IV
1,662.4
1,645.616.8
778.8
762.016.8
355.4343.4
12.0423.5418.6
4.8
743.6140.0
1,675.81,659.0
1985I
1,663.5
1,644.419.1
773.0
753.819.1
346.9334.3
12.6426.0419.5
6.5
749.7140.9
1,692.01,672.8
II
1,671.3
1,663.08.3
772.2
763.98.3
346.6344.4
2.1425.7419.5
6.2
753.5145.5
1,705.11,696.8
III"
1,684.8
1,686.9-2.1
777.3
779.4-2.1
348.8353.9-5.1428.5425.5
3.0
760.0147.5
1,718.81,720.9
1. Gross domestic purchases equals GNP less exports plus imports; final sales to domestic purchasers equals final sales less exports plus imports.
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS
Table 1.5-1.6.Gross National Product by Sector in Current and Constant Dollars
Gross national product
Gross domestic productBusiness
NonfarmNonfarm less housing ..Housing
FarmStatistical discrepancy
Households and institutionsPrivate households Nonprofit institutions .
GovernmentFederalState and local
Rest of the worldAddendum:
Gross domestic business product less housing
Billions of dollars
1983
3,304.8
3,256.52,790.82,728.92,434.7
294.261.5
.5116.5
7.8108.7349.2107.8241.448.3
2,487.7
1984
3,662.8
3,619.23,120.53,049.02,725.7
323.278.9
-7.4123.5
8.1115.4375.3114.6260.743.6
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
3,644.7
3,602.63,106.83,037.52,718.8
318.778.3
-9.0123.1
8.0115.1372.7114.4258.342.1
III
3,694.6
3,650.13,148.53,078.02,750.3
327.783.5
-13.0123.8
8.1115.7377.7114.7263.044.5
IV
3,758.7
3,718.63,209.43,137.02,801.1
335.982.3
-9.9126.0
8.3117.8383.2115.3267.840.2
1985
I
3,810.6
3,772.93,252.53,185.02,841.6
343.375.7
-8.1128.0
8.4119.7392.4119.1273.337.7
II
3,853.1
3,816.13,287.73,229.42,877.2
352.172.0
-13.7130.4
8.5121.8398.1119.7278.337.0
III"
3,916:1
3,877.63,341.03,285.02,923.1
361.969.7
-13.7132.7
8.7123.9403.9120.4283.438.5
Billions of 1972 dollars
1983
1,534.7
1,512.11,307.81,273.81,130.6
143.233.8
.247.33.3
44.0157.051.3
105.722.5
1,163.5
1984
1,639.3
1,619.71,413.91,377.61,228.8
148.839.73.3
47.83.4
44.4158.051.9
106.119.6
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
1,638.8
1,619.81,414.11,380.11,232.1
148.038.14.1
47.93.4
44.5157.851.9
105.919.0
III
1,645.2
1,625.31,419.51,383.51,233.9
149.641.8
-5.947.73.4
44.3158.152.0
106.219.9
IV
1,662.4
1,644.61,438.11,399.21,248.1
151.143.3
-4.448.23.5
44.8158.352.0
106.317.8
1985
I
1,663.5
1,647.01,440.01,401.91,249.2
152.641.7
-3.648.53.5
45.0158.552.0
106.516.5
II
1,671.3
1,655.21,447.71,411.11,256.9
154.242.66.0
48.83.6
45.2158.752.2
106.616.1
III"
1,684.8
1,668.21,459.91,422.51,266.7
155.843.4
-6.049.23.7
45.6159.152.3
106.816.6
Table 1.7.Relation of Gross National Product, Net National Product,National Income, and Personal Income
Table 1.11.National Income by Type of Income
Gross national product
Less:Capital consumption al-
lowances with CCAdj...Capital consumption al-
lowancesLess: CCAdj
Equals: Net national prod-uct
Less:Indirect business tax and
nontax liabilityBusiness transfer pay-
mentsStatistical discrepancy
Plus: Subsidies less currentsurplus of governmententerprises
Equals: National income
Less:Corporate profits with
IVA and CCAdj ... .Net interestContributions for social
insuranceWage accruals less dis-
bursementsPlus:
Government transfer pay-ments to persons ..
Personal interest income....Personal dividend income-Business transfer pay-
ments
Equals: Personal income
Billions of dollars
1983
3,304.8
377.1
367.2-9.9
2,927.7
280.4
15.6.5
15.6
2,646.7
225.2256.6
272.74
389.3376.370.3
15.6
2,744.2
1984
3,662.8
403.3
417.314.1
3,259.6
304.0
17.3-7.4
14.2
2,959.9
285.7284.1
306.0
.1
399.4433.777.7
17.3
3,012.1
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
3,644.7
400.0
410.310.3
3,244.7
301.3
17.1-9.0
9.6
2,944.8
291.1282.8
304.2
.2
398.1425.677.2
17.1
2,984.6
III
3,694.6
406.9
423.116.3
3,287.7
306.6
17.5-13.0
8.4
2,984.9
282.8293.5
308.1
-.4
401.0449.378.5
17.5
3,047.3
IV
3,758.7
414.4
437.222.9
3,344.4
312.5
18.0-9.9
12.6
3,036.3
291.6293.4
312.7
.5
403.8456.180.2
18.0
3,096.2
1985
I
3,810.6
421.0
450.129.1
3,389.6
317.5
18.5-8.1
14.8
3,076.5
292.3287.0
330.0
.1
420.7456.081.4
18.5
3,143.8
II
3,853.1
427.7
463.736.0
3,425.4
327.4
19.0-13.7
13.8
3,106.5
298.5274.7
334.6
1 0
420.5453.082.5
19.0
3,174.7
III"
3,916.1
438.4
480.542.1
3,477.7
327.9
19.5
7.4
""'267.8
338.6
0
425.7450.083.2
19.5
3,199.1
Table 1.8.Relation of Gross National Product, Net National Product,and National Income in Constant Dollars
[Billions of 1972 dollars]
Gross national productLess: Capital consumption
allowances with CCAdjEquals: Net national prod-
uctLess:
Indirect business tax andnontax liability busi-ness transfer paymentsless subsidies plus cur-rent surplus of govern-ment enterprises
Statistical discrepancyEquals: National income
1,534.7
168.1
1,366 6
151.8.2
1,214.5
1,639.3
175.2
1 4641
159.0-3.3
1,308.5
1,638.8
174.1
1,464.7
158.9-4.1
1,309.9
1,645.2
176.0
1,469.2
159.1-5.9
1,316.0
1,662.4
178.5
1,484 0
160.0-4.4
1,328.4
1,663.5
180.5
1,483 0
161.4-3.6
1,352.2
1,671.3
182.6
1 488 7
162.4-6.0
1,332.4
1,684.8
185.8
1 499 0
163.3
National income
Compensation of employ-ees ...
Wages and salariesGovernment and gov-
ernment enterprises ....Other .
Supplements to wagesand salaries
Employer contribu-tions for social in-surance
Other labor income
Proprietors' income withIVA and CCAdj
Farm. ...Proprietors' income
with IVACCAdj
NonfarmProprietors' incomeIVA .. ..CCAdj
Rental income of personswith CCAdj . ...
Rental income of per-sons
CCAdjCorporate profits with IVA
and CCAdjCorporate profits with
IVA ..Profits before tax
Profits tax liability ..Profits after tax
DividendsUndistributed
profitsIVACCAdj.
Net interest
Addenda:Corporate profits after
tax with IVA andCCAdj
Dividends ... .Undistributed profits
with IVA and CCAdj
Billions of dollars
1983
2,646.7
1,984.91,658.8
327.71,331.1
326.2
153.1173.1
121.713.8
22.1-8.4107.9100.4
88.3
58.3
96.6-38.3
225.2
192.0203.275.8
127.472.9
54.511 233.2
256.6
149.472.9
76.5
1984
2,959.9
2,173.21,804.1
349.91,454.2
369.0
173.5195.5
154.428.2
36.4-8.2126.2114.5-.412.2
62.5
103.0-40.5
285.7
230.0235.789.8
145.980.5
65.457
55.7
284.1
195.980.5
115.4
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
2,944.8
2,159.21,793.3
347.51,445.8
365.9
172.4193.5
149.823.4
31.783
126.3115.0-.411.8
62.0
102.5-40.6
291.1
238.7246.095.8
150.279.9
70.2-7.352.3
282.8
195.279.9
115.3
III
2,984.9
2,191.91,819.1
352.01,467.1
372.8
174.7198.1
153.727.3
35.58 2
126.4113.8
.112.5
63.0
104.241 2
282.8
224.5224.883.1
141.781.3
60.3-.258.3
293.5
199.881.3
118.4
IV
3,036.3
2,228.11,848.2
357.21,490.9
380.0
177.5202.5
159.129.4
37.6-8.2129.7116.7-.213.2
64.1
105.541 4
291.6
227.1228.787.7
141.083.1
58.0-1.664.5
293.4
203.983.1
120.8
1985
I
3,076.5
2,272.71,882.8
365.51,517.3
389.8
183.6206.3
159.825,7
33.9-8.2134.0119.5
314.8
64.8
106.1-41.3
292.3
223.2222.385.3
137.084.5
52.5.9
69.1
287.0
207.084.5
122.5
II
3,106.5
2,305.91,909.5
370.71,538.9
396.3
186.1210.2
160.723.4
31.5-8.1137.3121.6
215.9
66.7
108.1-41.4
298.5
223.5221.083.6
137.485.6
51.82.5
75.0
274.7
214.985.6
129.3
HIP
2,337.21,935.2
376.31,558.9
402.1
188.3213.7
154.412.5
20.6-8.1141.9125.2
.116.5
67.7
110.9-43.2
86.4
6.082.3
267.8
86.4
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
10 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985Table 1.13.Gross Domestic Product of Corporate Business in Current Dollars and Gross Domestic Product of Nonfinancial Corporate Business
in Current and Constant Dollars
Gross domesticproduct of cor-porate business
Capital consumption allow-ances with CCAdj
Indirect business tax andnontax liability plusbusiness transfer pay-ments less subsidies
Domestic incomeCompensation of em-
ployeesWages and salariesSupplements to
wages and salaries ...Corporate profits with
IVA and CCAdjProfits before tax
Profits tax liability ..Profits after tax
DividendsUndistributed
profitsIVACCAdj
Net interestGross domestic
product of finan-cial corporatebusiness
Gross domesticproduct of nonfi-nancial corpo-rate business
Capital consumption allow-ances with CCAdj
Billions of dollars
1983
2,037.0
231.2
1,805.8
206.2
1,599.6
1,357.11,121.2
236.0
200.4
178.475.8
102.663.0
39.6-11.2
33.242.1
119.3
1,917.7
218.0
1984
2,277.2
246.2
2,030.9
224.8
1,806.2
1,494.81,225.8
269.1
262.7
212.789.8
122.971.6
51.3-5.755.748.6
124.4
2,152.8
231.2
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
2,271.3
244.1
2,027.2
223.5
1,803.7
1,485.61,219.0
266.6
269.8
224.895.8
128.970.9
58.17.3
52.348.3
124.3
2,146.9
229.3
III
2,292.4
248.1
2,044.3
227.2
1,817.1
1,508.31,236.5
271.7
258.5
200.483.1
117.371.6
45.7-.258.350.4
123.5
2,168.9
232.9
IV
2,337.5
252.8
2,084.7
231.2
1,853.5
1,532.11,255.5
276.7
270.9
208.087.7
120.477.6
42.8-1.664.550.5
126.3
2,211.2
237.1
1985
I
2,373.7
257.4
2,116.4
234.8
1,881.5
1,560.21,276.7
283.6
271.6
201.685.3
116.374.2
42.1.9
69.149.7
131.1
2,242.6
241.1
II
2,408.1
261.6
2,146.5
242.5
1,904.0
1,580.31,292.4
287.9
275.8
198.383.6
114.684.9
29.82.5
75.048.0
140.0
2,268.2
244.9
HI"
266.7
243.4
1,599.11,307.4
291.7
78.7
6.082.346.8
249.4
Net domestic productIndirect business tax and
nontax liability plusbusiness transfer pay-ments less subsidies
Domestic incomeCompensation of em-
ployees .Wages and salariesSupplements to
wages and salaries ...Corporate profits with
IVA and CCAdjProfits before tax
Profits tax liability ..Profits after tax
DividendsUndistributed
profitsIVACCAdj
Net interest
Gross domestic prod-uct of nonfinancialcorporate business...
Capital consumption allow-ances with CCAdj
Net domestic productIndirect business tax and
nontax liability plusbusiness transfer pay-ments less subsidies
Domestic income
Billions of dollars
1983
1,699.7
196.71,503.0
1,263.11,044.3
218.8
171.0
148.858.090.862.8
28.0-11.2
33.469.0
1984
1,921.6
214.61,707.0
1,392.81,143.0
249.7
234.7
184.971.2
113.771.0
42.7-5.755.479.5
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1983
IV
1,917.6
213.41,704.2
1,384.51,137.1
247.4
240.8
195.977.2
118.670.3
48.3-7.352.278.9
1984
I
1,936.0
216.91,719.1
1,405.21,153.0
252.1
231.6
173.864.4
109.570.9
38.5-.258.082.4
II
1,974.1
220.71,753.3
1,427.41,170.7
256.7
243.4
181.068.7
112.276.7
35.6-1.664.182.5
III
2,001.5
224.21,777.3
1,452.81,189.9
263.0
243.2
173.666.6
107.073.2
33.8.9
68.681.3
IV
2,023.2
231.51,791.7
1,471.41,204.5
266.9
241.9
165.063.6
101.483.9
17.62.5
74.478.5
1985
I"
232.4
1,487.11,217.0
270.1
77.6
6.081.676.5
Billions of 1972 dollars
896.4
100.0
796.4
97.8698.6
977.2
104.0
873.2
101.3771.9
979.5
103.4
876.1
101.2774.9
980.0
104.5
875.5
101.1774.4
992.5
105.8
886.6
102.3784.3
994.0
107.0
887.1
103.3783.8
998.7
108.1
890.5
103.8786.7
109.4
104.3
Table 1.14-1.15.Auto Output in Current and Constant Dollars
Auto output
Final salesPersonal consumption expenditures
New autosNet purchases of used autos
Producers' durable equipmentNew autos
Net exportsExportsImports
Government purchasesChange in business inventories
NewUsed
Addenda:Domestic output of new autos lSales of imported new autos 2
Billions of dollars
1983
88.7
87.588.365.223.017.331.0137
-19.24.1
23.21.21.2
.7
.4
70.133.1
1984
106.4
103.5102.375.926.424.940.3154
-24.75.0
29.6.9
2.92.6
.4
86.737.8
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
98.7
105.8104.677.826.824.940.81592454.6
29.1.9
7.1821.1
79.338.2
III
99.0
100.6100.973.627.326.241.8
-15.6-27.4
5.032.4
.8-1.6
13-.3
82.437.1
IV
113.2
103.6101.876.025.824.339.1
-14.8-23.4
4.928.3
.89.79.8.1
89.541.4
1985
I
124.8
107.3103.277.625.628.343.8
-15.5-25.1
6.231.3
.917.517.2
.3
101.137.2
II
98.5
104.8104.779.425.227.742.915 2
-28.45.6
34.0.8
-6.370
.6
82.742.2
III"
105.3
120.7117.394.123.131.047.516 5
-28.65.7
34.31.0
-15.419 13.7
89.450.0
Billions of 1972 dollars
1983
49.9
49.143.435.8
7.612.417.04 g
-7.42.29.6
.7
.8
.7
.1
38.418.1
1984
58.1
56.748.540.67.9
16.921.5
4 6-9.3
2.611.9
.71.41.3.1
46.220.2
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
54.4
58.349.741.8
7.917.121.847922.4
11.7.7
5.24 2.3
42.520.6
III
54.4
55.447.439.48.0
17.622.2
-4.6-10.3
2.612.9
.63.9
9-.1
43.919.9
IV
61.3
55.947.940.2
7.716.220.6
-4.4-8.8
2.611.4
.6-1.0
5.40
47.321.9
1985
I
66.0
58.248.140.57.6
18.322.8
-4.5-8.9
3.112.0
.77.77.6.1
52.619.5
II
54.0
57.348.941.3
7.617.822.34 4
-10.02.9
12.9.6
-3.2-3.4
.2
42.722.0
III"
58.5
66.055.948.87.1
19.624.65 0
-10^22.9
13.1.7
-7.5-8.5
1.1
46.426.0
Table 1.16-1.17.Truck Output in Current and Constant Dollars
Truck output 1
Final salesPersonal consumption expendituresProducers' durable equipmentNet exports .
ExportsImports
Change in business inventories
Billions of dollars
1983
36.3
36.115.320.8
-3.92.05.93.9
.2
1984
54.2
51.519.332.5
-5.42.57.95.0
2.7
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
51.1
50.519.332.7
-6.62.28.85.1
.6
III
56.8
52.619.633.7
-5.32.67.94.6
4.2
IV
59.4
57.020.636.4
-5.02.87.85.1
2.4
1985
I
57.3
57.823.435.0
-6.92.59.46.3
-.5
II
55.8
56.122.735.0
-7.72.6
10.36.0
-.2
III"
62.1
61.726.235.3
-5.82.68.46.0
.4
Billions of 1972 dollars
1983
16.7
16.68.48.6
-1.9.8
2.71.6
.1
1984
23.7
22.510.312.8
-2.61.03.62.0
1.1
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
22.5
22.210.312.9
-3.1.9
4.02.0
.3
III
24.5
22.810.513.2
-2.61.03.61.8
1.7
IV
25.7
24.710.814.3241.13.52.0
1.0
1985
I
24.7
24.912.213.6
-3.31.04.22.4
-.2
II
23.8
23.911.813.4
-3.71.04.62.3
-.1
III"
26.4
26.313.613.4
-2.91.03.92.3
.1
Table l.U-1.15:1. Consists of final sales and change in business inventories of new autos produced in the
United States.2. Consists of personal consumption expenditures, producers' durable equipment, and govern-
ment purchases.
Table 1.16-1.17:1. Includes new trucks only.
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
October 1985 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS 11
Table 2.1.Personal Income and Its Disposition
Personal income
Wage and salary disburse-ments ..
Commodity-producingindustries
ManufacturingDistributive industriesService industriesGovernment and govern-
ment enterprises
Other labor income
Proprietors' income with IVAand CCAdj
FarmNonfarm
Rental income of personswith CCAdj
Personal dividend income
Personal interest income
Transfer paymentsOld-age, survivors, disabil-
ity, and health insurancebenefits.
Government unemploymentinsurance benefits
Veterans benefitsGovernment employees re-
tirement benefitsOther transfer paymentsAid to families with de-
pendent childrenOther
Less: Personal contribu-tions for social insurance .
Less: Personal tax andnontax payments
Equals: Disposable personalincome
Less: Personal outlaysPersonal consumption ex-
pendituresInterest paid by consumers
to businessPersonal transfer payments
to foreigners (net)Equals: Personal saving.
Addenda:Disposable personal
income:Total, billions of 1972 dol-
larsPer capita:
Current dollars1972 dollars
Population (millions)Personal saving as percent-
age of disposable person-al income
Billions of dollars
1983
2,744.2
1,659.2
519.3395.2398.6413.1
328.2
173.1
121.713.8
107.9
58.3
70.3
376.3
405.0
221.6
26.116.6
59.581.0
14.266.8
119.6
404.2
2,340.1
2,222.0
2,155.9
65.1
1.0
118.1
1,095.4
9,9774,670234.5
5.0
1984
3,012.1
1,804.0
569.3433.9432.0452.9
349.8
195.5
154.428.2
126.2
62.5
77.7
433.7
416.7
237.3
15.916.5
62.284.9
14.770.1
132.5
435.3
2,576.8
2,420.7
2,341.8
77.8
1.2
156.1
1,169.0
10,8874,939236.7
6.1
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
2,984.6
1,793.1
567.0432.2429.5449.3
347.3
193.5
149.823.4
126.3
62.0
77.2
425.6
415.2
235.2
15.816.6
63.184.5
14.969.6
131.8
430.3
2,554.3
2,409.5
2,332.7
75.7
1.0
144.8
1,165.3
10,8064,930236.4
5.7
III
3,047.3
1,819.5
573.3436.4436.4457.3
352.4
198.1
153.727.3
126.4
63.0
78.5
449.3
418.6
238.2
15.216.7
63.984.6
14.670.0
133.4
440.9
2,606.4
2,442.3
2,361.4
79.8
1.1
164.1
1,176.5
11,0004,965237.0
6.3
IV
3,096.2
1,847.6
580.9442.4443.1466.9
356.7
202.5
159.129.4
129.7
64.1
80.2
456.1
421.8
243.5
16.016.4
59.286.7
14.672.1
135.2
451.7
2,644.5
2,481.5
2,396.5
83.6
1.5
163.0
1,186.7
11,1334,996237.5
6.2
1985
I
3,143.8
1,882.7
590.9447.9449.0477.4
365.4
206.3
159.825.7
134.0
64.8
81.4
456.0
439.2
249.6
17.816.9
67.187.8
15.172.7
146.4
489.0
2,654.8
2,536.2
2,446.5
87.9
1.8
118.6
1,181.9
11,1544,965238.0
4.5
II
3,174.7
1,910.6
594.2447.9455.7489.0
371.7
210.2
160.723.4
137.3
66.7
82.5
453.0
439.5
249.9
15.816.9
68.388.5
15.373.3
148.4
448.2
2,726.5
2,587.1
2,493.0
92.6
1.5
139.4
1,205.3
11,4325,054238.5
5.1
III"
3,199.1
1,935.2
597.4450.2460.6500.9
376.3
213.7
154.412.5
141.9
67.7
83.2
450.0
445.2
254.9
15.016.8
69.489.0
15.273.8
150.3
486.6
2,712.6
2,634.2
2,536.5
96.5
1.2
78.4
1,192.6
11,3464,988239.1
2.9
Table 2.2-2.3.Personal Consumption Expenditures by Major Type ofProduct in Current and Constant Dollars
Personal consump-tion expenditures
Durable goods
Motor vehicles and parts ...Furniture and household
equipmentOther
Nondurable goods
FoodClothing and shoesGasoline and oilOther nondurable goods
Fuel oil and coalOther
Services
HousingHousehold operation
Electricity and gasOther
TransportationOther
Personal consump-tion expenditures
Durable goods.
Motor vehicles and parts ...Furniture and household
equipmentOther
Nondurable goods
FoodClothing and shoesGasoline and oilOther nondurable goods .....
Fuel oil and coalOther
Services
HousingHousehold operation
Electricity and gasOther
Transportation .Other
Billions of dollars
1983
2,155.9
279.8
129.3
104.146.4
801.7
416.5127.090.0
168.221.0
147.2
1,074.4
363.3153.881.372.572.5
484.8
1984
2,341.8
318.8
149.8
117.051.9
856.9
443.6140.291.4
181.721.2
160.5
1,166.1
397.9164.085.778.378.3
525.9
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
2,332.7
320.7
152.3
116.651.7
858.3
442.1142.292.8
181.221.6
159.7
1,153.7
392.4163.386.177.277.6
520.4
III
2,361.4
317.2
148.6
116.851.9
861.4
448.6139.390.0
183.621.1
162.5
1,182.8
403.3167.688.479.278.5
533.4
IV
2,396.5
326.3
150.7
121.853.8
866.5
449.8143.290.8
182.719.7
163.1
1,203.8
413.4166.485.980.581.2
542.8
1985
I
2,446.5
334.8
155.7
123.855.3
877.3
457.3145.589.9
184.618.5
166.0
1,234.4
422.2170.988.882.183.6
557.7
II
2,493.0
339.2
157.6
126.055.6
891.9
463.9149.293.6
185.317.7
167.6
1,261.9
432.9170.385.584.884.5
574.3
III"
2,536.5
355.6
173.8
125.356.5
895.6
466.9147.193.8
187.818.3
169.5
1,285.3
444.6172.585.187.485.3
582.8
Billions of 1972 dollars
1,009.2
157.5
66.6
65.925.0
376.3
188.988.526.172.94.0
68.9
475.4
171.364.124.939.131.7
208.3
1,062.4
178.0
75.8
74.827.5
393.5
193.496.526.976.73.9
72.8
490.8
177.764.825.139.732.7
215.6
1,064.2
178.6
77.2
74.127.4
396.6
193.699.127.176.93.9
73.0
488.9
176.865.125.639.532.7
214.3
1,065.9
177.0
74.8
74.827.4
395.5
195.695.926.977.13.9
73.1
493.5
178.565.125.239.932.6
217.2
1,075.4
182.9
75.9
78.528.5
395.0
194.796.926.776.73.7
73.1
497.5
180.365.225.040.233.1
218.9
1,089.1
187.0
77.7
80.229.1
398.6
196.897.926.977.13.6
73.5
503.5
182.166.425.640.833.4
221.7
1,102.1
190.1
78.7
82.329.2
403.2
199.899.826.777.03.3
73.6
508.7
183.966.124.641.533.7
225.0
1,115.2
199.2
87.6
82.229.3
403.9
200.798.927.077.23.5
73.7
512.1
185.766.224.241.933.9
226.4
Table 3.14.State and Local Government Social Insurance FundsReceipts and Expenditures
[Billions of dollars]
Receipts
Contributions for social in-surance
Personal contributionEmployer contributions
Government and gov-ernment enterprises ....
Other
Interest and dividends re-ceived
Expenditures
Administrative expenses(purchases of goods andservices)
Transfer payments to per-sons
Surplus or deficit( )
646
39.0
10.428.6
26.125
256
27 1
1.0
26.1
375
730
42.6
11.431.2
28.527
30530 4
1.1
29.3
426
720
42.1
11.230.9
28.227
298
30 0
1.1
29.0
41 9
74 1
430
11.531.5
28.827
31 1
308
1.1
29.6
433
76 2
438
11.732.1
29.327
324
31 7
12
30.5
44 5
78 0
447
12.032.7
29.928
333
32 6
12
314
45 4
79 8
457
12.333.4
30.628
342
33 7
1.3
32.4
46 1
81 5
46.5
12.633.9
31.029
350
349
13
33.6
46 5
Table 3.14:NOTE.In this table, interest and dividends received are included in receipts; in tables 3.2 and
3.3, interest received and dividends received are netted against expenditures.
Digitized for FRASER http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/ Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
-
12 SURVEY OF CURRENT BUSINESS October 1985
Table 3.2.Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures Table 3.3.State and Local Government Receipts and Expenditures
Receipts
Personal tax and nontaxreceipts
Income taxesEstate and gift taxes
Corporate profits tax accru-als
Indirect business tax andnontax accruals
Excise taxesCustoms duties . . .Nontaxes
Contributions for socialinsurance
Expenditures
Purchases of goods andservices
National defenseNondefense
Transfer paymentsTo personsTo foreigners
Grants-in-aid to State andlocal governments
Net interest paidInterest paid
To persons and busi-ness
To foreignersLess: Interest received
Subsidies less current sur-plus of governmententerprises
SubsidiesLess: Current surplus of
government enterprises-
Less: Wage accruals lessdisbursements
Surplus or deficit(-), NIPA's
Social insurance fundsOther
Billions of dollars
1983
641.1
295.2288.8
5.9.5
59.8
52.436.19.17.1
233.7
819.7
269.7200.569.3
345.6338.7
7.0
86.394.2
119.5
101.817.725.3
23.421.7
-1.7
-.4
-178.6
-28.4-150.2
1984
704.7
315.0308.4
5.9.7
70.8
55.535.811.97.8
263.4
880.5
295.4221.573.9
353.0344.5
8.4
93.2116.7143.6
124.019.626.9
22.321.6
-.7
.1
-175.8
-8.5-167.4
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
704.3
310.7303.8
6.2.6
75.6
55.936.112.17.7
262.0
868.0
296.4220.875.6
350.1343.7
6.4
93.2110.9138.0
119.218.927.2
17.716.4
-1.3
.2
-163.7
-7.7-156.0
III
706.2
319.7314.0
5.0
65.3
56.135.612.48.2
265.2
886.8
302.0220.381.7
353.8346.2
7.7
92.1122.0149.0
128.920.027.0
16.515.8
-.7
4
-180.6
-7.3-173.3
IV
721.9
327.9321.2
6.0
69.1
55.935.512.18.4
269.0
919.7
315.7231.684.1
360.4347.213.1
97.0126.4153.9
132.921.027.4
20.720.5
-.3
.5
-197.8
-10.2-187.7
1985
I
771.4
362.2355.4
6.2
67.4
56.435.312.58.7
285.3
936.5
319.9233.985.9
370.3363.1
7.2
95.1128.2155.6
134.920.727.4
23.123.7
.6
.1
-165.1
-2.5-162.6
II
733.9
318.3310.8
6.7
66.1
60.735.311.513.8
288.9
948.0
324.2241.183.2
369.8361.6
8.2
98.1132.8159.6
139.020.626.9
22.125.7
3.6
-1.0
-214.1
1.8-215.8
III"
354.6347.3
6.6
55.735.312.18.3
292.1
969.9
347.0253.193.9
372.9365.6
7.4
100.4133.7161.5
140.021.527.8
15.817.0
1.2
0
-.4
Receipts
Personal tax and nontaxreceipts
Income taxesNon taxesOther
Corporate profits tax accru-als
Indirect business tax andnontax accruals
Sales taxesProperty taxesOther
Contributions for social in-surance
Federal grants-in-aid
Expenditures
Purchases of goods andservices
Compensation of employ-ees
OtherTransfer payments to per-
sonsNet interest paid
Interest paid
Less: Interest received
Less: Dividends receivedSubsidies less current sur-
plus of government
Subsidies
Less: Current surplus ofgovernment enterprises-
Less: Wage accruals lessdisbursements
Surplus or deficit(-), NIPA's
Social insurance fundsOther
Billions of dollars
1983
478.2
109.058.740.89.5
16.0
228.0107.491.329.3
39.0
86.3
434.1
415.8
241.4174.4
50.7-21.9
32.4
54.3
2.6
-7.8.5
8.3
0
44.1
37.56.6
1984
523.6
120.364.545.810.0
19.1
248.4119.498.330.7
42.6
93.2
470.7
452.0
260.7191.3
54.8-25.3
38.2
63.5
2.8
-8.1.6
8.7
0
52.9
42.610.4
Seasonally adjusted at annual rates1984
II
520.6
119.664.545.29.9
20.2
245.4118.396.930.2
42.1
93.2
466.1
447.4
258.3189.1
54.4-24.9
37.5
62.4
2.7
-8.0.6
8.6
0
54.5
41.912.6
III
524.6
121.264.646.510.2
17.8
250.5120.299.430.9
43.0
92.1
477.0
458.9
263.0195.9
54.8-25.9
39.0
64.9
2.8
81.6
8.7
0
47.6
43.34.3
IV
539.7
123.865.747.810.3
18.5
256.6123.0101.931.7
43.8
97.0
484.0
464.8
267.8197.0
56.6-26.4
40.6
66.9
2.9
-8.2.6
8.8
0
55.6
44.511.1
1985
I
545.6
126.867.249.110.5
17.9
261.1125.0103.932.2
44.7
95.1
491.9
472.0
273.3198.7
57.6-26.4
42.2
68.6
3.0
82.7
8.9
0
53.7
45.48.3
II
558.0
129.968.750.610.7
17.6
266.8127.9106.032.9
45.7
98.1
507.7
486.7
278.3208.3
58.9-26.5
43.8
70.2
3.1
-8.3.7
9.0
0
50.3
46.14.2
III"
132.069.052.210.9
272.3131.0107.933.4
46.5
100.4
521.1
498.9
283.4215.5
60.2-26.4
45.4
71.9