scar borough walmart target shopper analysis

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    A Complimentary Study from Scarborough ResearchDecember, 2005

    www.scarborough.com

    [email protected]

    A Comparison of Wal-Mart and TargetShoppers

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    Introduction

    Over the last 15 years, Wal-Mart has emerged as a retail juggernaut, changing forever theretail landscape in the US. Wal-Mart is a national leader in virtually every retail category inwhich they compete.

    71% of American adults in the 75 major markets measured by Scarborough report having

    shopped at Wal-Mart within the past three months.

    At about the same time, Target has also emerged as a major presence in American retailing.In the same 75 markets, 53% of adults report having shopped at Target in the past 3months.

    From Main Street to Wall Street, these retailers are closely monitored. Their corporatestrategy impacts marketing and media professionals locally, regionally and nationally. Thiscomplimentary study from Scarborough Research aims to provide a deeper understanding ofWal-Mart and Target shoppers, their other retail interests, buying patterns, and local market

    indicators.

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    Overview

    In this analysis, Scarborough profiles Target and Wal-Mart shoppers in fourways:

    1. Those who shopped at both Wal-Mart AND Target (i.e. SharedShoppers)

    2. Those who shopped at Wal-Mart BUT NOT Target (i.e., Wal-MartExclusive Shoppers)

    3. Those who shopped at Target BUT NOT Wal-Mart (i.e. Target ExclusiveShoppers)

    4. Those who shopped at NEITHER Wal-Mart NOR Target

    Since Wal-Mart and Target share many customers, the study focuses on theexclusive shopper categories (numbers 2 and 3 above) in order to isolatedifferences.

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    Overview: The Importance of Localism

    Differences between Wal-Mart and Target shoppers may beattributed to varying causes

    There may be inherent differences in the kinds of shoppers theretailers attract

    There may be inherent differences in the nature of the local marketsin which each retailer is strongest.

    Scarborough continually finds that the local mix of available retailbrands is an important driver in consumer retail preferences.

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    Wal-Mart and Target Shoppers:

    Who are they?

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    Background: U.S. Retailers Analyzed in this StudyThese are all major retailers at which at least 5% of the population in the

    75 Scarborough markets shopped in the past 3 months.

    Best Buy

    Big Lots

    BJs Wholesale Club

    Burlington Coat Factory

    Circuit City

    Costco

    Dillards

    Dollar General

    Family Dollar

    JC Penney

    Kmart

    Kohls

    Macys

    Marshalls

    Meijers

    Mervyns

    Nordstrom

    Note: Respondents are asked to identify from a list of retailers, those at which they shopped in the past 3 months. The questionnairelists major national and regional department stores, mass merchandisers, big boxes, and warehouse clubs, based on availability in the

    market in which the questionnaire is fielded.

    Ross Dress for Less

    Sams Club

    Sears

    Target

    The Home Depot

    TJ Maxx

    Value City Dept. Store

    Wal-Mart

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    High-Penetration Retailers

    Of these retailers, Wal-Mart has the highest consumerpenetration. 71% of adults in Scarboroughs 75 local marketsreport having shopped at Wal-Mart in the past 3 months.

    Target ranks second at 53%.

    K-Mart and Sears are tied for third at 37%. (It will beinteresting to see how their merger affects the retail landscape.)

    JC Penney ranks fifth at 35%. No other retailer in this analysis

    exceeds 30%

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    Retailers Ranked Based on the Percentage of Adults 18+ who Shopped thereDuring the past 3 months.

    (part 1 of 2)

    71

    53

    37

    37

    3526

    24

    22

    20

    20

    18

    14

    13

    Wal-Mart

    Target

    Kmart

    Sears

    JCPenneyBest Buy

    Kohl's

    Sam's Club

    Family Dollar

    Costco

    Dollar General

    Circuit City

    Marshalls

    % penetration

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Retailers Ranked Based on the Percentage of Adults 18+ who Shopped thereDuring the past 3 months.

    (part 2 of 2)13

    13

    13

    1111

    10

    10

    87

    7

    6

    5

    Big Lots

    TJ Maxx

    Macy's

    Burlington Coat

    Dillard's

    Mervyn's

    The Home Depot

    Nordstrom

    Ross Dress For Less

    BJ's

    Meijer

    Value City

    % penetration

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Over 4 in 5 US adults 18+ shop at Wal-Mart, Target, or both.

    83% of adults 18+ have shopped inWal-Mart, Target, or both in the past 3

    months. 40% shopped at both Wal-Mart AND

    Target (Shared Shoppers.)

    31% shopped at Wal-Mart but NOT

    Target (Wal-Mart-exclusives.)

    12% shopped at Target but NOT Wal-Mart (Target-exclusives)

    12%

    31%

    17%

    40%

    Wal-Mart only

    Target only

    Wal-Mart AND Target

    NeitherSource: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Target-exclusives skew younger than Wal-Mart exclusives

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers skewsomewhat older than the general

    population; 43% are 50+.36% of Target-exclusives are aged50+.

    31% of Target-exclusive shoppersare 18-34, matching the generalpopulation.

    31 30

    39

    29 28

    43

    3133

    3634 33 33

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    18-34 35-49 50+

    Total Adults Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers

    Target-exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers

    Percent Penetration

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Wal-Mart exclusives are somewhat more likely to be male, Target

    exclusives more likely to be female.

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers skewslightly male. Target-exclusives skew

    slightly female.

    Shared Shoppers have the mostpronounced female skew: 57%

    485253

    4745

    55

    43

    57

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    5060

    70

    Male Female

    Total Adults Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers

    Target-exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers

    Percent Penetration

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Target-exclusive shoppers are more likely to come fromupscale households

    29% of the Target-exclusives havehousehold incomes in excess of

    $100K annually, an index of 161compared to the market average

    Only 12% of Wal-Mart exclusive

    shoppers have a household incomein excess of $100K annually, anindex of 66.

    18

    12

    29

    18

    0

    510

    15

    20

    2530

    35

    Total Adults Wal-Mart

    exclusive

    shoppers

    Target-

    exclusive

    shoppers

    Shared

    shoppers

    HH Income 100K+

    Percent Penetration

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    The mean household income of Target-exclusive shoppers is 25% higherthan the overall average

    Target-exclusives have a meanhousehold income of about $85K

    Wal-Mart exclusives have a meanhousehold income of about $57K

    Shared shoppers have a meanhousehold income of about $70K,slightly higher than the marketaverage.

    $57,000

    $85,000

    $70,000$68,000

    $0

    $25,000

    $50,000

    $75,000

    $100,000

    TotalAdults

    Wal-Martexclusive

    shoppers

    Target-exclusive

    shoppers

    Sharedshoppers

    Mean Household Income

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Wal-Mart and Target Shoppers:

    Where else do they shop?

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    Cross-Shopping

    Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers are most likely to shop at DollarGeneral, Family Dollar, and Big Lots.

    These are the only retailers in the analysis where Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers are more likely to have shopped than the generalpopulation.

    Target-exclusive shoppers are most likely to shop at Nordstrom,Macys, Costco, and Mervyns.

    In all they are more likely than the general population to haveshopped at 12 of the other retailer brands in this analysis.

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    Where else do Wal-Mart Exclusive Shoppers shop?A comparison to total adults

    How to read: Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers are 45% more likely than the general population to haveshopped at Dollar General.

    145

    137

    120

    99

    96

    9591

    89

    88

    87

    Dollar General

    Family Dollar

    Big Lots

    Kmart

    The Home Depot

    Sam's ClubValue City Department Store

    Sears

    BJ's Wholesale Club

    JCPenney

    IndexSource: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Where else do Target Exclusive Shoppers shop?How to read:

    Target-exclusive shoppers are 87% more likely than the general population to have

    shopped at Macys.

    241

    187

    167136

    127

    123

    123

    122

    119

    115

    107

    104

    Nordstrom

    Macy's

    CostcoMervyn's

    Marshalls

    The Home Depot

    TJ Maxx

    Ross Dress For Less

    Best Buy

    Circuit City

    Kohl's

    BJ's Wholesale Club

    Index

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Cross-Shopping

    Consumers who shop at BOTH Wal-Mart and Target are more likely thanthe general population to have shopped at every one of the other retailers in

    this analysis.

    The leaders are Mervyns, Kohls, Burlington Coat Factory, and TJ Maxx.

    Consumers frequenting BOTH Wal-Mart and Target are likely the more avidshoppers.

    These shoppers are the most likely to be female (57%), and thus severalretailers specializing in female apparel (Ross, TJ Maxx) appear on the list of

    highest-indexing brands.

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    Retailers Ranked by Index of Shared Wal-Mart/Target Shoppers toTotal Adults

    How to read:

    Shared Shoppers are 51% more likely than the general population to have shopped at

    TJ Maxx.

    159

    152

    152

    151

    150

    145145

    144

    144

    143

    Mervyn's

    Kohl's

    Burlington Coat Factory

    TJ Maxx

    Dillard's

    Ross Dress For LessMarshalls

    Circuit City

    Sam's Club

    Best Buy

    IndexSource: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Wal-Mart and Target In the Local Market

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    Wal-Mart and Target in the Local Market

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers, Target-exclusive shoppers, and SharedShoppers have distinct demographic skews

    This section examines geographic skews. What local markets do Wal-Martshoppers come from? Target shoppers?

    Can the differences in demographics among Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers andTarget exclusive shoppers be attributed to the branding differences of eachstore? Or, are they driven by the markets in which the retailers happen tohave the strongest presence?

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    Wal-Mart and Target in the Local Market*

    This section of the study examines:

    Local markets where Wal-Mart has the highest penetration among adults 18+

    Local markets where Wal-Mart has the lowest penetration among adults 18+

    Local markets where Target has the highest penetration among adults 18+

    Local markets where Target has the lowest penetration among adults 18+

    * NOTE: Local market information is based on DMA, or Designated Market Area

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    Scarborough Local Markets Ranked by % of Adults WhoShopped At Wal-Mart, Past 3 Months

    (Total US: 71%)

    Top 12

    Roanoke (94%)

    Lexington (88%)

    Knoxville (93%)

    Birmingham (92%)

    El Paso (90%)

    Mobile (90%)

    Jacksonville (90%)

    Wichita (90%)

    Oklahoma City (90%)

    San Antonio (89%)

    Greenville (89%) Memphis (89%)

    Bottom 12

    New York (38%)

    San Francisco (44%)

    Seattle (52%)

    Portland (53%)

    Detroit (54%)

    Los Angeles (58%)

    Minneapolis (62%)

    Philadelphia (64%)

    San Diego (64%)

    Washington (65%)

    Chicago (65%) Grand Rapids (66%)

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    A

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    Scarborough Local Markets Ranked by % of Adults WhoShopped At Target, Past 3 Months

    (Total US: 53%)

    Top 12

    Minneapolis (79%)

    Chicago (68%)

    Tucson (67%)

    Los Angeles (66%)

    San Diego (66%)

    Detroit (64%)

    Milwaukee (64%)

    San Antonio (64%)

    San Francisco (63%)

    Des Moines (62%)

    Austin (62%) Denver (62%)

    Bottom 12

    Charleston (27%)

    Birmingham (28%)

    Harrisburg (31%)

    Lexington (31%)

    Tulsa (35%)

    Wilkes-Barre (36)

    Greenville (36%)

    Hartford (38%)

    New Orleans (40%)

    Spokane (40%)

    Roanoke (40%) New York (40%)

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Wal-Mart Versus Target in the Local Market:Different Strongholds

    Six of the top-12 Target local markets are among the bottom-ranked Wal-Mart local markets(Minneapolis, San Diego, Los Angeles, Chicago, Detroit, San Francisco)

    Four of the top-12 Wal-Mart local markets are among the bottom-ranked Target localmarkets (Birmingham, Lexington, Roanoke, Greenville)

    There is little overlap between the top-ranked Wal-Mart local markets and the top-rankedTarget local markets

    San Antonio is the only market common to both lists Targets highest-penetration markets cluster among the overall largest 13 local markets

    Wal-Mart tends to have highest penetration in mid-sized, southern markets, and lowestpenetration in large urban markets

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    Target in Major Local Markets

    Target has a higher penetration than Wal-Mart In nine local markets (seenext page)

    All nine of these markets are major urban areas

    Seven of these are among the 13 largest local markets

    New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, San Francisco, Detroit,Minneapolis, Seattle

    Two of the 10 largest local markets rank among the four highest-penetration

    Target markets Los Angeles, Chicago

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    Scarborough Local Markets Where Target Has a HigherMarket Penetration Than Wal-Mart

    Ranked by raw difference

    63

    79

    64 6658 55

    68

    40

    66

    44

    62

    5458

    53 52

    65

    38

    64

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    SanFrancisco Minneapolis Detroit Los Angeles Portland Seattle Chicago New York San Diego

    Target Wal-Mart

    +2

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    +19

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    Target, Wal-Mart and Local Market Rank

    Next, the study will examine the penetration of shoppers basedon local market size, isolating the top-13 local markets, as this isthe group in which Targets major market skew is most pronounced

    Well look at three groups:

    local markets 1-13

    local markets 14-35

    The remainder of Scarboroughs 75 local markets

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    Wal-Mart-Exclusive Shoppers by Local Market Size

    Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers arerelatively evenly distributed across

    the three local market groups

    Wal-Mart-exclusive shopperindexes:

    Top-13 local markets: 88

    local markets 14-35: 125

    Remaining local markets: 94

    3632

    2632

    38 36

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Total Wal-Mart-Exclusive

    Shoppers

    Top-13 local markets Local markets 14-35

    Remainder

    How to read chart: 36% of Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers come from the remainder local markets. How to read indexes: Wal-Mart Exclusive Shoppers are

    88% as likely as adults overall to live in the top-13 local markets.

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    Target-Exclusive Shoppers by Local Market Size

    Two thirds of Target-exclusiveshoppers come from the top-13

    local markets

    Only 11% come from localmarkets 36+

    Target-exclusive shopper indexes:

    Top-13 local markets: 184

    local markets 14-35: 90

    Remaining local markets: 27

    36

    66

    26 23

    38

    11

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    Total Target-Exclusive

    Shoppers

    Top-13 local markets Local markets 14-35

    Remainder

    How to read chart: 66% of Target exclusive shoppers come from the top-13 local markets. How to read indexes: Target Exclusive Shoppers are 84% more

    likely than adults overall to live in the top-13 local markets.

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    Shared Shoppers by Local Market Size

    58% of Target and Wal-MartShared Shoppers come from local

    markets 36+ This is because each retailer has its

    highest aggregate penetrations inthe smaller local markets

    Shared Shopper indexes:

    Top-13 local markets: 53

    Local markets 14-35: 91

    Remaining local markets: 151

    36

    1926 24

    38

    58

    0

    1020

    30

    40

    5060

    70

    Total Shared shoppers

    Top-13 local markets Local markets 14-35

    Remainder

    How to read chart: 19% of Shared Shoppers come from the top-13 local markets. How to read indexes: Shared Shoppers are 51% more likely than adults

    overall to live in markets 36+.

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    Non-Shoppers by Local Market Size

    62% of adults who shopped atneither Wal-Mart nor Target come

    from local markets 1-13

    Non-Shopper indexes:

    Top-13 local markets: 172

    Local markets 14-35: 83

    Remaining local markets: 44

    36

    62

    2621

    38

    17

    0

    1020

    30

    40

    5060

    70

    Total Non-Shoppers

    Top-13 local markets Local markets 14-35

    Remainder

    How to read chart: 62% of adults who shopped at neither Target nor Wal-Mart come from the top-13 local markets. How to read indexes: Non-shoppers are

    44% as likely as adults overall to live in markets 36+

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    Wal-Mart and Target in the Local Market: Conclusions

    Target is strongest relative to Wal-Mart in the top-10 local markets, andgenerally in larger urban areas

    Wal-Mart is strongest in smaller and southern local markets.

    Target-exclusive shoppers are drawn disproportionately from the top-13 localmarkets (66%)

    Similarly, adults who shopped at neither Target nor Wal-Mart falldisproportionately among the top-13 local markets (62%)

    There is clearly a correlation between the different profiles of Target and Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers, and the fact that Target-exclusive shoppers aredrawn primarily from the top-13 local markets.

    We must stop short of saying this correlation is causality

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    What are Wal-Mart and Target ShoppersBuying?

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    Shopper Spending

    Scarborough collects information on annual consumer expendituresacross a series of categories

    This section of the report compares spending by the four Wal-Mart/Target cells

    Note that this information reflects consumer annual expenditures intotal, not in the specific retailers

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    Mean Amount Spent on Mens Business Clothing, Casual ClothingAmong men 18+ in the past year

    $266

    $197

    $295

    $245

    $275

    $217

    $303

    $246

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    $300

    $350

    Men's Business Clothing Men's Casual Clothing

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers Target-exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    How to read chart: Male Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers who purchased mens business clothing during the past year spent about $266 onthese purchases.

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    Mean Amount Spent on Womens Business Clothing, Casual ClothingAmong women 18+ in the past year

    $238$196

    $310

    $272$264

    $235

    $292

    $246

    $0

    $50$100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    $300

    $350

    Women's Business Clothing Women's Casual Clothing

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers Target exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    How to read chart: Female Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers who purchased womens business clothing during the past 12 months spent about$238 on these purchases.

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    Mean Amount Spent on Infants Clothing, Childrens Clothing AmongAdults 18+ in the past year

    $144

    $217$175

    $259

    $168

    $250

    $166

    $228

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    $300

    Infant clothing Children clothing

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers Target exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    How to read chart: Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers who purchased infant clothing during the past year spent about $144on these purchases.

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    Mean Amount Spent on Costume Jewelry and Fine Jewelry AmongAdults 18+ in the past Year

    $97

    $313

    $124

    $347

    $103

    $322

    $130

    $356

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250$300

    $350

    $400

    Costume Jewelry Fine Jewelry

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers Target-exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    How to read chart: Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers who purchased costume jewelry during the past year spent about $97 on thesepurchases.

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    Mean Amount Spent on Cosmetics, Perfumes and Skin Care AmongAdults 18+ in the past Year

    $127

    $178

    $154 $154

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    Cosmetics, perfumes, skin care

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers Target-exclusive shoppers Shared shoppers Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    How to read chart: Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers who purchased cosmetics/perfumes/skin care items during the past year spent about$127 on these purchases.

    Sh S d

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    Shopper Spending

    Target exclusives spent the most on childrens clothing and infants clothing

    Wal-Mart exclusives spent the least on each of these categories

    Female Target-exclusives spent the most on womens business and womens casual clothing

    Female non-shoppers spent almost as much

    Female Wal-Mart-exclusives spent the least

    Target-exclusive shoppers and men who shopped at neither retailer spent the most on mensbusiness and mens casual clothing

    Male Wal-Mart-exclusives spent the least

    Sh S d

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    Shopper Spending

    Among women, Target exclusives spend:

    30% more than Wal-Mart-exclusives on business clothing 39% more than Wal-Mart-exclusives on casual clothing

    This coincides with the finding that Target-exclusives are morelikely to shop at fashion-oriented retailers

    Sh S di

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    Shopper Spending

    Target-exclusives spent about 40% more than Wal-Mart exclusives in theHBA category (cosmetics, perfumes, skin care)

    This may be due to in part to the differences in gender skew Non-Shoppers spent the most on both costume jewelry ($130) and fine

    jewelry ($356)

    Target exclusives spent almost as much ($124 and $347 respectively)

    Wal-Mart-exclusives spent the least ($97 and $313 respectively)

    These differences may be a function of market rank, since non-shoppers andTarget-exclusives both cluster in the top-13 local markets

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    Online Shopping

    T Sh A Ab A I U W l

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    Target Shoppers Are Above-Average Internet Users; Wal-Mart Shoppers are Below Average

    Target shoppers are more likely than the general population to have:

    Accessed the Internet in the last 30 days

    Bought anything online in the past year

    Spent over $100 online in the past year

    Target shoppers are more likely than the general population to have made purchases online in key retailcategories in the past year:

    Clothing or accessories

    Consumer electronics

    Groceries

    HBA

    Toys or games

    Wal-Mart shoppers are average or slightly below average for online purchases in all retail categories

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    Online ActivityHow to read: 61% of all Wal-Mart shoppers accessed the Internet in the past 30 days.

    61%

    42%

    35%

    70%

    52%

    45%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%70%

    80%

    Accessed Internet Past 30 days Any online purchase past 12 months Spent at least $100

    Wal-Mart Target

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    B ht It O li i th P t Y

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    Bought Items Online in the Past YearIndex Against Total Adults 18+

    How to read: Target shoppers are 26% more likely than adults in general to have boughtclothing or accessories online in the past year.

    94 92 9298 102

    125 121115

    129 133

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100120

    140

    Clothing or accessories Consumer electronics Groceries, candy,

    food

    HBA Toys or games

    Wal-Mart Target

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Target-Exclusive Shoppers are the Most Avid Internet Users

    The difference in Internet usage is most pronounced in comparing Target-exclusive shoppersand Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers

    58% of Target-exclusive shoppers made an online purchase in the past year, ascompared to 32% of Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers

    50% of Shared Shoppers made any online purchase

    Interestingly, while non-shoppers mirror the geographic distribution of Target-exclusive

    shoppers, they differ in Internet usage Non-shoppers are the second-least avid Internet users after Wal-Mart-exclusive

    shoppers

    Target exclusive shoppers are significantly more likely than the general population to have

    made an online purchase in each key category examined Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers are significantly less likely

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    Online ActivityHow to read: 74% of Target-exclusive shoppers accessed the Internet in the past 30 days.

    52%

    32%

    26%

    74%

    58%

    52%

    69%

    50%

    42%

    54%

    37%33%

    0%

    10%

    20%30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    Accessed Internet Past 30 days Any online purchase past 12 months Spent at least $100

    Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers Target-exclusive shoppers Shared Shoppers Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

    Items Bought Online in the Past Year:

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    Items Bought Online in the Past Year:Index Against Total Adults 18+

    How to read: Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers are 36% less likely than all adults to have bought

    clothing or accessories online in the past year. Target exclusive shoppers are 51% more likelythan all adults to have purchased clothing or accessories online during the past year.

    64 6674

    67 62

    151 151143

    153

    136117 112 107

    122133

    8697 100

    67 64

    0

    20

    4060

    80100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    Clothing or accessories Consumer electronics Groceries, candy,

    food

    HBA Toys or games

    Wal-Mart-excl Target-excl Shared Neither

    Source: Scarborough Multi-Market, Release 1 2005

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    Summary Points

    S Points

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    Summary Points

    In the 75 Scarborough local markets, 83% of adults haveshopped at either Wal-Mart, Target, or both in the past threemonths:

    71% at Wal-Mart

    31% at Wal-Mart but NOT Target

    53% at Target

    12% at Target but NOT Wal-Mart

    40% shopped at BOTH Wal-Mart and Target

    Summary Points

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    Summary Points

    The exclusive shoppers to each retailer have distinctly differentdemographic and socio-economic skews:

    Target-exclusive shoppers are more likely to be female, younger,and upscale

    Shared Shoppers (those who have shopped at both retailers) arethe most avid shoppers, and are more likely than the generalpopulation to have shopped at each of 23 other retail brands

    examined.

    Summary

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    Summary

    Geography seems to play an important role in the differences between theshopper cells.

    Wal-Mart-tends to have its highest penetration of exclusive shoppers in mid-sized and smaller, southern markets

    Target tends to have its highest concentration of exclusives in major urbanareas

    The 13 largest local markets (36% of population) account for: 66% of Target-exclusives

    62% of non-shoppers (neither Target nor Wal-Mart)

    local markets 36+ (38% of population) account for: 58% of Shared Shoppers

    Wal Mart and Target: Summary

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    Wal-Mart and Target: Summary

    Target only

    Wal-Mart

    only

    Neither

    Wal-Mart

    AND Target

    Older

    Fewer Kids

    Upscale ($100K+, shop athigh end retailers); or, non-shoppers (someone else in the

    HH does the shopping)Major-local market skew

    Heavy shoppers; likely

    primary shoppersFemale skew

    Likely to shop at retailersspecializing in female apparel

    Concentrated in local markets36+

    More likely to be one-stop shoppers

    Older, downscale

    Value-conscious

    Likely to come fromsmaller, southern localmarkets

    Shop at upscale

    fashionable retailers

    Most upscale cell; meanhousehold income of $85K.

    Predominantly found in the

    top-13 local markets

    Summary

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    Summary

    Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers:

    More likely to shop at discount retailers (Dollar General, Family Dollar, Big

    Lots, K-Mart) Low index against the majority of other retail brands examined suggests that

    Wal-Mart-exclusives are the most likely to be one-stop shoppers

    For categories examined, Wal-Mart-exclusive shoppers are the lightest spenders Could be a function of shopper typology, market distribution, or both

    Wal-Mart-exclusive shopper index in top-13 local markets: 88; Target-exclusiveshopper index: 184

    Wal-Mart exclusive shoppers are average or slightly below average for onlinepurchases in all retail categories

    Summary

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    Summary

    Target-exclusive shoppers:

    More likely to shop at fashion-oriented retailers (Nordstrom, Macys, Mervyns, TJ Maxx)

    Less likely to be one-stop shoppers High expenditures for mens clothing, womens clothing, childrens clothing, infants clothing, fine

    jewelry, costume jewelry, HBA

    Spending patterns similar to non-shopper patterns

    Both groups concentrated in top-13 local markets There appears to be a correlation between Target-exclusive shoppers and shopping for clothing

    Clothing may be drawing the core Target shopper to the store

    Target shoppers are more likely than the general population to have accessed the Internet in

    the last 30 days, bought anything online in the past year, and to have spent over $100online in the past year

    Summary

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    Summary

    Wal-Mart and Target share a large portion of the total shopper universe (40% of adults)

    These shared shoppers are generally avid shoppers who are more likely than average toshop at other retailers as well

    They tend to come from smaller-ranked markets; 58% of them are in local marketsranked 36 or lower. Only 19% come from the top-13 local markets.

    With respect to exclusive shoppers:

    The 12% of the adult population who shopped at Target but not Wal-Mart are moreupscale and heavier spenders.

    The 31% of the population who shopped at Wal-Mart but not Target are moredownscale and lighter spenders.

    These differences may reflect the different demographic make-ups of the two groups.

    Or, they may reflect the fact that each retailer is strongest in different markets

    Summary

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    Summary

    17% of adults shopped at neither retailer

    These non-shoppers are disproportionately clustered in the top-13 localmarkets

    Where Wal-Mart has its lightest presence, and Target its greatest

    This might suggest that Wal-Mart has opportunity to grow in the nations

    largest local markets Conversely, Target may have growth opportunities in smaller markets

    In each case, expansion would probably result in greater direct competition

    between Target and Wal-Mart

    Sources and Contacts

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    Sources and Contacts

    The information in this report is from the Scarborough Multi-Market Study,Release 1 2005

    All local market information is based on DMA, or Designated Market Area.DMA is a trademark of Nielsen Media Research

    All information used in this report may be sourced as: ScarboroughResearch, Scarborough Multi-Market Study, Release 1 2005

    For additional information, please contact:

    Julie ODonnell, 678-455-6213, [email protected]

    Members of the press please contact Allyson Mongrain, 703-451-3174,[email protected]