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San Diego Real Estate Market Update
Overview of Key Indicators 2014-2015
SOLD LISTINGS
(Detached) 6.8% INCREASE (Attached) 9.8% INCREASE
MEDIAN PRICE
(Detached) 6.5% INCREASE (Attached) 6.2% INCREASE
NEW LISTINGS
(Detached) 0.4% DECREASE (Attached) 0.7% INCREASE
Closed SalesSan Diego County Year To Date
Median Sales Price
San Diego County
Year To Date
Days On Market Until SaleComparing Dec 2014 to Dec 2015
Days Change- 7.9 Decrease
Dec-14 62.4 Days
Percent Change- 12.6% Decrease
Dec-15 54.5 Days
62 59
4945 43 41 44
4044 47 46 47
54
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
14-Dec 15-Jan 15-Feb 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug 15-Sep 15-Oct 15-Nov 15-Dec
Days
Historical Affordability Index Statewide and Countywide 1991-2015
0.00%
10.00%
20.00%
30.00%
40.00%
50.00%
60.00%
1991
1991
1992
1992
1993
1993
1994
1994
1995
1995
1996
1996
1997
1997
1998
1998
1999
1999
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2005
2007
2008
2010
2011
2013
2014
CA SD County
Historical Affordability Index Statewide and Countywide 2010-2015
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Q3-2006
Q3- 2010
Q3-2011
Q3- 2012
Q3- 2013
Q3- 2014
Q3- 2015
12%
46%
52%
49%
32%
30%
29%
San Diego County
CA
Months Supply of Inventory Countywide Jan 2015 - Dec 2015
2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.9 3 3.1 3 2.92.7
2.4
2
2.4 2.4 2.42.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3
2.11.8
1.4
15-Jan 15-Feb 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug 15-Sep 15-Oct 15-Nov 15-Dec
Detached Attached
Months Supply of Inventory Neighborhood Specific
2.7
2.2
3.53.2
1.9
1.51.8
2.1
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
SD County South County East County Downtown
December-14 December-15
Median Price Changes Neighborhood Specific Jan 2015 – Dec 2015
7.50%
11%
7.10%
14.70%
2.03%
5.93%4%
8.90%6.50%
-10.70%
8.16%10.21%
SD County South County East County Downtown Coastal North CountyInland
Detached Price Attached Price
Median Price Changes Luxury Market Jan 2015 – Dec 2015
-1.31%
3.49%
19.35%
-5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00%
1M - 2.5M
2.5M - 5M
5M - 10M
% Change
Projections for 2016
PRICES
4 - 6% INCREASE
INTEREST RATES
1% - 1.25% INCREASE
MARKET TIMES
70-75 Days SFR Detached Home
Projections for 2016
BUYERS MARKET
2016 Transitioning to a Buyer’s Market
PRICE RECESSION
2+ Years Affordability Index Drops to Teens
INVENTORY INCREASE
2+ Years Inventory Builds to 7+ Months
Thank you. Questions?
For More Information On Housing Stats Visit www.sdar.com/stats