sample and design changes, the methodological results
TRANSCRIPT
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample and Design Changes, the Methodological Results from the
2006 SHAPE Survey.
Sheldon Swaney, BA Tim Zimmerman, BATodd Rockwood, Ph.D. Michael Davern, Ph.D.
12th Annual Minnesota Health Services Research ConferenceMarch 6, 2008
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Symposium Agenda
Overview of the SHAPE projectAddress-based sampling frameCell phone-only households“Nearest neighbor” replacement methodologyMultiple mode
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE Overview
Sheldon Swaney, BA
12th Annual Minnesota Health Services Research ConferenceMarch 6, 2008
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
What is SHAPE
SHAPE, the Survey on the Health of All thePopulation, and the Environment, is apublic health surveillance and assessmentproject of the Hennepin County HumanServices and Public Health Department toperiodically survey the health of residents ofHennepin County.
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE History
Three waves of the survey: SHAPE 1998SHAPE 2002SHAPE 2006
www.hennepin.us/SHAPEQuestionnairesDocumentationReports
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Collaborative Contributions: Hennepin County and Community
Hennepin – SHAPE Project TeamSheldon SwaneyMelissa BarkerMei DingUrban LandremanTim ZimmermanAnn Kinney - MDH
CommunityFace Value ResearchersCommunity Organizations
Meg Hargreaves
Michelle Chiezah
Matthias Kirch
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Collaborative Contributions: University of Minnesota
In-Kind Contributions
Michael Davern - Sampling and administrationKaren Virnig - Instrument development, translation and administrationTodd Rockwood - Instrument development, translation and administration
ExpertiseKaren Turner & Joe Hallgren – ProgrammingMary Sigrah – TranslationInterviewing Staff
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Project Cycle 2006
18 monthsAnalysis/Reporting
4 months6 monthsData set preparation
8 months6 monthsSurvey Implementation
12 months9 monthsPlanning & DesignMethodology & Content
ActualEstimateAction
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
What’s New in SHAPE 2006
New partnersNew sampling frameNew geographyNew data collection methodsUpdated adult questionnaireNew child questionnaire
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE Reports 2006
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Response Rates 2006
44.6%52.8%27.6%Adult response rate
91.4%92.3%86.0%Child from adult response rate
51.9%
2,097
1,941
5,590
Phone
51.9%-Child only response rate
2,097-Child only
1,941-Child from adult
8,1912,601Adult
TotalMailQuestionnaire
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample Frame
Tim Zimmerman, BA
12th Annual Minnesota Health Services Research ConferenceMarch 6, 2008
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Background
In 2002, the SHAPE survey relied mainly on a listed telephone number sample frame
We did this to make sure we could analyze by geography, and map the results
Sampling frame was a telephone list purchased from Marketing Systems GroupNot included in the sampling frame:
Households without telephonesHouseholds with unlisted telephone numbers
SHAPE 2002 Sampling Frame
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE 2002 Sampling FrameListed telephone sample14 geographic strata
11 Minneapolis community areas3 suburban areas + 2 sub-areas
Over sample racial/ethnic groupsTelephone interviews
200 in-personResponse rate 67%9,500 adult respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
In 2006 we were interested in examining alternative sample framesThe proportion of the population with land-line telephones was decreasing nationwide
Decreasing number listed land-line phonesIncreasing cell phone only households
Increasing call screeningDecreasing response rates
SHAPE 2006 Sampling Frame
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Those without land-line telephone service tended to have different health characteristics than those with land-lines
More likely to smoke, drink, and lack health insurance according to national numbers from Blumberg, et al.
This concerned us greatly
SHAPE 2006 Sampling Frame
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample Frame Assessment Conclusion
After careful consideration, the team decided to rely on the Delivery Sequence File (DSF) from the U.S. Postal Service (purchased through Marketing Systems Group).
SHAPE 2006 Sampling Frame
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
DSF advantages
It provided fairly good coverage in most of the countyAllowed us to map each addressAllowed us to try some new methods, such as sampling nearest neighbors for non-responding households
SHAPE 2006 Sampling Frame
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Driven by planned reports6 sampling strata0.6% of the households will be sampled in each of the sampling strataIn each of the 6 sampling strata, there are specific census tracts in which a 5% over-sample will drawn
These census tracts to be over-sampled were selected based on high representation of 4 racial and ethnic populations
SHAPE 2006 Sample Design
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE 2006 Geographic Stratification
6 sampling strata (based on political boundaries)
4 in Minneapolis2 in the suburbs
Maple Grove
MinnetonkaBeach
GreenwoodTonka Bay
Osseo
Robbinsdale
Fort SnellingChanhassen
Medicine Lake
Rockford
Loretto
SpringPark
Woodland
ExcelsiorSt. Bonifacius
Long Lake
Maple Plain
St.Anthony
Deephaven
Hanover
Wayzata
New Hope
Hopkins
Brooklyn Center
Rogers
Mound
Golden Valley
St. Louis Park
Richfield
Crystal
Champlin
Shorewood
Brooklyn Park
Greenfield
Minnetonka
Independence
Edina
Eden Prairie
Minnetrista
Bloomington
HassanDayton
Medina Plymouth
Corcoran
Orono
Minneapolis
06
05
04
0201
03
Stratification boundariesNear-North/CamdenNortheast/University/LongfellowCentral/Phillips/PowderhornCalhoun Isles/Southwest/Nokomis1st Ring2nd Ring/3rd Ring/Far West
Stratification Geography
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE 2006 Geographic Over-sampling
SHAPE 2006:Oversampled Census TractsHennepin County City of Minneapolis
Maple Grove
MinnetonkaBeach
GreenwoodTonka Bay
Osseo
Robbinsdale
Fort SnellingChanhassen
Medicine Lake
Rockford
Loretto
SpringPark
Woodland
ExcelsiorSt. Bonifacius
Long Lake
Maple Plain
St.Anthony
Deephaven
Hanover
Wayzata
New Hope
Hopkins
Brooklyn Center
Rogers
Mound
Golden Valley
St. Louis Park
Richfield
Crystal
Champlin
Shorewood
Brooklyn Park
Greenfield
Minnetonka
Independence
Edina
Eden Prairie
Minnetrista
Bloomington
HassanDayton
Medina Plymouth
Corcoran
Orono
Minneapolis
Shingle Creek
Lind-Bohanon
Columbia Waite Park
Windom Park
Audubon Park
Victory
Webber-Camden
Cleveland
FolwellMcKinley
MarshallTerrace
HollandBottineau
Sheridan
LoganPark
Northeast Park
Mid-City Industrial
Como
BeltramiSt.
AnthonyEast
St. AnthonyW estNear North
HawthorneJordan
Willard-Hay
Sum
ner-G
lenwood
NicolletIsland
Marcy-Holmes
University Prospect Park
Harrison
Bryn-Mawr
Kenwood
Lowry Hill
North Loop
DowntownWest Downtown
East
Elliot ParkLoring Park
Stevens Square
Seward
CooperLongfellow
Howe
Hiawatha
MorrisParkWenonah
KeewaydinMinnehaha
Ericsson
Standish
Corcoran
PowderhornPark
Central
BancroftBryant
ReginaNorthrup
Hale
Field
Page
Diamond Lake
Windom
KennyArmatage
Fulton LynnhurstTangletown
KingField
East HarrietLinden Hills
West Calhoun Ecco Carag
Whittier
Lowry H
ill East
Cedar-Isles
Cam
den Industrial
East Isles
Cedar-Riverside
Lind-Bohanon
Lyndale
W estPhillips
MidtownPhillips East
Phillips
Ventura Village
Stratum 01 oversampleStratum 02 oversampleStratum 03 oversampleStratum 04 oversampleStratum 05 oversampleStratum 06 oversample
City/n'hood boundariesInterstate highways
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Hennepin County 2006 Sample Frame
The sample frame assessment questions were:
What proportion of the housing units in Hennepin county were in the DSF? How did this vary by geography?What proportion of the DSF records were linkable to listed telephone numbers so they could be called? How did this vary by county geography?
Sample Frame Assessment
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
To answer these questions, we purchased all of the DSF addresses in the county, and all of the listed telephone numbers in the county, from Marketing Systems Group
Sample Frame Assessment
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE 2006 Sampling Frame
Sampling frame is the U.S. Postal Service Delivery Sequence File (DSF)
Includes all housing units to which mail can be delivered (485,000 households)It is current (as of November 2005)Includes the delivery sequence code (effectively sequencing the file in the order in which mail is delivered)We geocoded the DSF file, and assigned census tract numbers to each address
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE 2006 Sampling Frame
Listed telephone file (265,000 households)Addresses from the telephone list were matched against the DSF file55% of the DSF household addresses were successfully matched to the listed telephone numbersSampled DSF records linked alternate “Nearest Neighbor” with a phone number (more on this later)
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample Frame Assessment
01 7,109 51.3% 1.0401A 15,727 36.1% 1.0502 33,787 43.2% 1.0202A 11,012 33.5% 0.9803 25,099 33.2% 1.1203A 23,553 28.0% 1.0504 48,499 57.8% 1.0004A 4,874 52.2% 1.0005 92,784 61.3% 1.0405A 19,886 47.9% 1.0206 186,698 63.3% 1.1206A 16,544 46.1% 1.10Total 485,572 54.7% 1.06
Percent of DSF Addresses with Listed Telephone
Ratio of DSF Addresses to Occupied Census 2000 Housing
DSF Addresses as of November 2005
Geographic Sample Stratum
Table 1: Delivery Sequence File Housing Units, and Delivery Sequence File Housing Units with a Listed Telephone Number Compared to US Census 2000 Total Occupied Housing Units by Survey Strata
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Hennepin County 2006 Sample Frame
Q: What proportion of the housing units in Hennepin county were in the DSF?Q: How did this vary by geography?
Sample Frame Assessment
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Hennepin County 2006 Sample Frame
Q: What proportion of the DSF records were linkable to listed telephone numbers so they could be called?Q: How did this vary by county geography?
Sample Frame Assessment
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
2002Listed telephones14 geographic strataOver sampling –racial/ethnic groupsTelephone interviews
9,500 adults
Response rate: 67%
2006Address frame6 geographic strataOver sampling –racial/ethnic groupsMixed mode – mail & telephone interviews8,000 adults / 4,000 childrenResponse rate: 45%
2002 & 2006 Survey Design Comparison
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Hennepin County 2006 Sample Frame
What is the effect of using the address-based sample frame vs.. the listed telephone-based frame?
How did estimates of health status, behaviors and other factors affecting the health of the population change by using the more complete address-based coverage?
Sample Frame Assessment
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Percentage who, when sick or needing care, have no regular place of care to which to go
20.3%
11.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Percentage who had an unmet mental health care need
21.9%
10.4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Percentage who have not had their blood cholesterol checked within the past five years
18.2%
12.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
23.7%
14.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s
Percentage who had five or more drinks on an occasion at least once during the past 30 days
Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
12.4%
6.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s
Percentage who missed a rent or mortgage payment during the past 12 months because they did not have enough money
Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
33.5%
23.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s
Percentage who are never involved in any school, community, or neighborhood activities
Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
14.3%
3.2%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
Without listed phone With listed phone
Perc
en
t o
f ad
ult
s
Percentage who moved two or more times during the past two years
Among primary respondents
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Cell Phone-only Households
Michael Davern, Ph.D.(Karen Soderberg, Mei Ding, Tim Zimmerman and Sheldon Swaney all helped me
put this presentation together)
12th Annual Minnesota Health Services Research ConferenceMarch 6, 2008
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Why the Concern About Cell Phones and Surveys?
Random Digit Dial Surveys traditionally only dial land line telephone numbers
Why?The proportion of the population with land-line telephones was decreasing nationwide
Mainly because cell phone only households were increasing in number
Those people living in cell phone only households tended to have different health characteristics than those with land-lines
More likely to smoke, drink, and lack health insurance according to national numbers from Blumberg et al
This greatly concerns many survey researchers
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Rates of Cell Phone Only
1.6% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 1.6%
1.5% 1.8% 1.9%2.3%
1.7%
4.4%
5.4%
6.7%
7.7%
9.6%
11.8%
12.6%
3.7%
4.9%
5.8%
7.6%
8.6%
11.6% 11.9%
1.5% 1.8%
2.3%1.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Jan - Jun 2004 Jul - Dec 2004 Jan - Jun 2005 Jul - Dec 2005 Jan - Jun 2006 Jul - Dec 2006 Jan - Jun 2007
Adults with wireless service only
Children with wireless service only
Adults with no telephone service
Children with no telephone service
(Source: Blumberg and Luke 2007)
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Our Research Questions
How many people in Hennepin County lived in cell phone only households and did they show similar health characteristics as the nationwide sample?How would our estimates have been different if we had used a listed telephone number sample frame in 2006 like we did in 2002?
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
SHAPE 2006 Survey Basics
The basic survey was of 4,304 adults 18 years of age and olderMixed mode data collection using a mail survey and phoneOversampled low-income and minority areasUnweighted response rate was roughly 41% (we are still awaiting the final AAPOR calculation)The survey was conducted between May, 2006 and March 2007
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Demographics of Cell Phone Only Population Versus Others
Socio-demographic characteristicsAge 18-24 8.2 30.7 -22.5 ***Age 65 and older 16.9 0.8 16.1 ***Male 47.0 48.0 -0.9Race and ethnicityHispanic/Latino 3.1 3.0 0.1White (Non-Hispanic) 84.5 87.2 -2.7Black/African American (Non-Hispanic) 7.1 5.0 2.1American Indian (Hon-Hispanic) 0.3 0.7 -0.5Asian/Pacific Islander (Non-Hispanic) 3.8 3.4 0.3Having less than High School education 4.6 0.7 3.9 ***Household income below 100% FPL 6.8 11.6 -4.8Household income below 200% FPL 17.3 22.8 -5.5From Minneapolis 30.0 54.2 -24.2 *** Overall rate (weighted by cellphone weight) 89.5 10.5
*** p <.001
* p < .05** p<.01
Selected Characteristics by Status of Telephone Service at Home for Hennepin County Adults: SHAPE 2006
DifferenceLand Line Telephone
Cell only HH
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Demographics of Cell Phone Only Population Versus Others
Community and neighborhood Never involved in school, community or neighborhood activities 21.9 31.4 -9.5 *People in this neighborhood are afraid to go out at night due to violence - Strongly agree or somewhat agree
18.4 24.9-6.5
Gangs are a serious issue in this neighborhood - Strongly agree or somewhat agree
12.8 18.1-5.3
Worry food would run out before had money to buy more- Often or Sometime
9.2 16.4-7.2 *
Moved at least 2 times in past 2 years 5.3 41.4 -36.1 ***Missed a rent or mortgage payment due to not have enough money 6.0 15.5 -9.5 **
Selected Characteristics by Status of Telephone Service at Home for Hennepin County Adults: SHAPE 2006
DifferenceLand Line Telephone
Cell only HH
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Key Health Characteristics of Cell Phone Only Population vs.. Others
Overall Health Status Selfrated health as poor or fair 9.0 8.3 0.7Recent frequent mental distress 9.7 13.9 -4.3Currently having asthma 8.0 7.7 0.2Ever been diagnosed with diabetes 6.7 0.3 6.3 ***Ever been diagnosed with Depression 22.6 26.3 -3.7Serious psychological distress 1.9 4.3 -2.5Obese (BMI>=30.0) 18.7 9.7 9.0 ***Overweight (BMI>=25.0, including Obese) 55.8 45.0 10.9 *
Selected Characteristics by Status of Telephone Service at Home for Hennepin County Adults: SHAPE 2006
DifferenceLand Line Telephone
Cell only HH
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Key Health Characteristics of Cell Phone Only Population vs.. Others
Health access & utilization
Currently uninsured 6.1 8.4 -2.3Difficult in paying for premium, co-pay, deductible for you & your family 25.8 35.0
-9.3 *Difficult in paying prescription each month 10.8 9.5 1.4Having no regular source of care (personal Dr or health care provider 22.0 47.9
-26.0 ***Having no regular place of care (DrOffice/ clinic,VA clinic/hospital 14.6 29.2 -14.6 ***Speaks a language other than English at home 4.3 2.6 1.7Unmet medical care needs in past 12 m 12.7 22.4 -9.7 **Unmet mental health care needs in past 12 m 13.1 27.7 -14.6 ***Having no cholesterol check in 5 years or never had one 14.4 34.9 -20.5 ***
Selected Characteristics by Status of Telephone Service at Home for Hennepin County Adults: SHAPE 2006
DifferenceLand Line Telephone
Cell only HH
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Key Health Characteristics of Cell Phone Only Population vs.. Others
Lifestyles, nutrition and exercise
Having 5 or more servings of veg/fruit yesterday 34.6 37.1 -2.5Currently smoking 16.5 24.1 -7.6 *No leisure time physical activity in past 30 days 15.0 7.8 7.2 **Binge drinking at least once in past 30 days 18.3 55.1 -36.8 ***
Selected Characteristics by Status of Telephone Service at Home for Hennepin County Adults: SHAPE 2006
DifferenceLand Line Telephone
Cell only HH
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Logistic Regression Analysis
It’s clear that people who live in cell phone only households are different from those who do notHowever, the key question for researchers is after controlling for variables used to make weighting adjustments (age, sex, race, strata, etc.) do the differences remain?
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Logistic Regression Analysis
Overall Health Status Selfrated health as poor or fair (A01) 1.1Recent frequent mental distress (A03) 1.1Ever Been diagnosed with having asthma (A05) 0.8Ever been diagnosed with diabetes (P:A10a A10b, M:A11) 0.3 *Ever been diagnosed with Depression (A26) 1.2Serious psychological distress (k6, A32a to A32f) 1.1Obese (BMI>=30.0) (A22 A23) 0.8
Selected health Indicator
Cell Phone Only Odds Ratio
yRelative to Others Regressed on Selected
Characteristics Controlling for Variables Used in Weighting Procedures
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Logistic Regression Analysis
Health access & utilization
Currently uninsured (B01_1 to B01_9) 1.3 *Difficult in paying for premium, co-pay, deductible for you & your family (B03)
1.2
Difficult in paying prescription each month (B04 B05) 0.9Having no regular source of care (personal Dr or health care provider (B07)
1.5*
Having no regular place of care (DrOffice/ clinic,VA clinic/hospital (B08) 1.4*
Unmet medical care needs in past 12 m (B13 B14) (population) 1.3
Unmet mental health care needs in past 12 m (B16 B17) (population) 1.6 **Having no cholesterol check in 5 years or never had one (B24) 1.2
Selected health Indicator
Cell Phone Only Odds Ratio
yRelative to Others Regressed on Selected
Characteristics Controlling for Variables Used in Weighting Procedures
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Logistic Regression Analysis
Lifestyles, nutrition and exercise
Having 5 or more servings of veg/fruit yesterday(C01 C02) 1.0Currently smoking (C19 C20) 1.5 *No leisure time physical activity in past 30 days (C09) 0.8Binge drinking at least once in past 30 days (C05 C08) 2.4 **Community and neighborhood Never involved in school, community or neighborhood activities (D02) 1.4 *People in this neighborhood are afraid to go out at night due to violence - Strongly agree or somewhat agree (D05d)
0.9
Gangs are a serious issue in this neighborhood - Strongly agree or somewhat agree (D05e)
0.9
Worry food would run out before had money to buy more- Often or Sometime (D11)
1.1
Moved at least 2 times in past 2 years (D12) 3.7 **Missed a rent or mortgage payment due to not have enough money (D13) 2.0
**
Selected health Indicator
Cell Phone Only Odds Ratio
yRelative to Others Regressed on Selected
Characteristics Controlling for Variables Used in Weighting Procedures
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Conclusions
The cell-phone only population Very different with respect to demographic and health characteristicsAfter controlling for demographic characteristics used in weighting most differences are no longer significant
Diabetes, Access to health care (no regular source of care, having an unmet need in the last 12 months), current smoking and binge drinking remainSome community variables also remain significant
Bottom line is that weighting adjustments are still working but not well enough in some areas
These domains are likely to grow
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
“Nearest neighbor”replacement methodology
Sheldon Swaney, BA
12th Annual Minnesota Health Services Research ConferenceMarch 6, 2008
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Survey error
Non-coverage errorSampling frame improvement
Total non-response errorReplacementWeighting
Item non-response errorImputation
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample Replacement 1998 & 2002
Sampling frame – Listed telephonesSurvey method – Telephone interviews1998 – 19 sampling strata2002 – 14 sampling strata with 11 over-sample substrata = 25 strataResponse failures were replaced with another randomly selected household from the same sampling strata
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample Replacement 2006
Sampling frame – Mailing addresses linked with listed telephone numbersSurvey method – Mail - Mail with Telephone follow-up 2006 – 6 sampling strata with 6 over-sampled substrata = 12 strata
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Assumptions
Non-response rates are not equally distributed geographically
Response rates for mail surveys 10 – 30%
Neighbors are more likely to have similar demographic and health characteristics than people living farther away
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sample Replacement Plan 2006
“Nearest Neighbor”Alternative sampling units were defined individually for each primary sampling unit at the time of sample selectionAlternative unit was defined as being the nearest record (geographic proximity) in the sampling frame that matched the primary sampling unit selection strata and that also had an associated listed telephone number
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Replacement Sampling 2006: “Nearest Neighbor"
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Distance between Primary and Alternate (N = 16,948)
5813Distance inMeters
112# of Mail stops
MeanMedianMeasure
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Respondents by Primary and Alternate
2,754138050.1%
1,37449.9%
Cycle 2(n=6,000)
3,29143.2%
1,91139.3%
Alternate
7,6204,32956.8%
Total
4,8662,95560.7%
Cycle 1(n=8,500)
TotalPrimaryCycle
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sampling strata
Oversampled areas
Alternate as % of all completesNo completes
0% - 20%
21% - 40%
41% - 60%
61% - 80%
81% - 100%
SHAPE 2006: Alternate Completesas a % of All Completes
Data Displayed by Census Block Group
Hennepin County
Source: SHAPE 2006
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Demographic Factors for Primary vs. Alternate Respondents
3.7%5.0%2.7%Hispanic
3.7%3.8%3.6%Asian/Hawaiian/PI non-Hispanic
12.7%16.1%10.0%Black/African American non-Hispanic
1.1%1.5%0.8%American Indian non-Hispanic
1.3%1.7%1.2%Two or more non-Hispanic
61.6%60.3%62.6%Female
Race/Ethnicity –
77.5%72.1%81.7%White non-Hispanic
38.4%39.7%37.4%Gender - Male
20.9%20.4%21.2%65 + years
18.0%18.0%18.0%55-64 years
21.9%21.8%21.9%45-54 years
19.3%19.1%19.4%35-44 years
14.8%15.3%14.4%25-34 years
5.2%5.3%5.1%Age - 18-24 years
TotalAlternatePrimaryFactor
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sampling and Survey Design Factors for Primary vs. Alternate Respondents
15.5%8.8%20.5%06 Suburban 2nd 3rd Ring
4.4%3.1%5.4%04 Minneapolis South
3.9%3.4%4.2%04A Minneapolis South Over-sample
8.2%6.4%9.6%05 Suburban 1st Ring
14.7%14.6%14.8%05A Suburban 1st Ring Over-sample
2.1%2.3%1.9%03 Minneapolis Central
16.1%22.6%11.2%03A Minneapolis Central Over-sample
11.3%11.1%11.5%06A Suburban 2nd 3rd Ring Over-sample
8.9%10.4%7.8%02A Minneapolis East Over-sample
3.1%2.9%3.3%02 Minneapolis East
11.3%14.1%9.1%01A Minneapolis North Over-sample
0.5%0.3%0.6%01 Minneapolis North
Sample Strata
59.0%67.4%52.6%Over-Sample
32.2%10.1%49.0%Survey Mode (mail)
TotalAlternatePrimaryFactor
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Overall Health Status for Primary vs. Alternate Respondents
25.1%
3.4%
24.9%
9.1%
8.9%
11.6%
16.2%
Total
1.091
1.573*
1.008
0.909
1.063
1.025
1.057
Odds Ratio
27.2%23.5%Obese (BMI >=30.0)
4.1%2.9%Serious psychological distress
24.6%25.1%Ever diagnosed with depression
9.5%8.8%Ever diagnosed with diabetes
9.2%8.7%Current asthma
12.0%11.3%Frequent mental distress
18.5%14.4%Self-rated health status – poor or fair
AlternatePrimaryOverall Health Status
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Health Access and Utilization for Primary vs. Alternate Respondents
13.5%
12.4%
14.8%
5.8%
12.9%
21.3%
15.5%
31.2%
8.3%
Total
1.048
1.162
1.136
0.965
1.134
1.058
1.043
1.089
1.102
Odds Ratio
12.0%12.7%Unmet mental health care needs
13.8%13.3%No cholesterol check past 5 years
15.2%14.4%Unmet medical care needs
7.4%4.5%Language other than English
12.2%13.5%No regular place of care
22.8%20.2%No regular source of care
15.9%15.2%Difficulty pay prescriptions
33.0%29.9%Difficulty pay premiums, co-pays …
9.8%7.1%Currently Uninsured
AlternatePrimaryHealth Access & Utilization
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Lifestyles, Nutrition and Exercise for Primary vs. Alternate Respondents
15.6%
21.8%
18.9%
31.5%
Total
0.976
1.048
0.981
0.895
Odds Ratio
14.2%16.6%Binge drinking in last 30 days
24.3%19.9%No leisure time physical activity
19.7%18.2%Current smoker
29.0%33.5%5 or more servings fruits/vegetables
AlternatePrimaryLifestyles, Nutrition and Exercise
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Community and Neighborhood Factors for Primary vs. Alternate Respondents
8.1%
5.5%
13.3%
29.8%
38.3%
26.9%
Total
1.249*
1.366*
1.269*
1.179*
1.296*
1.292*
Odds Ratio
9.2%7.3%Missed rent or mortgage payment in last 12 months
5.3%5.6%Moved at least twice in past two years
15.0%12.1%Worried food would run out before had money to buy
37.1%24.5%Gangs are a serious problem in neighborhood
46.7%32.0%Afraid to go out at night in neighborhood due to violence
28.4%25.8%Never involved in school, community or neighborhood activities
AlternatePrimaryCommunity and Neighborhood
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Nearest Neighbor conclusions
Differences between Primary and Alternate respondents did not require weighting adjustmentDesign experiment needed to determine Primary and Alternate similaritiesOperational complexity of “Nearest Neighbor”
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Multiple Modes
Todd Rockwood, Ph.D.
12th Annual Minnesota Health Services Research ConferenceMarch 6, 2008
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Mode Effects in SHAPE III
Embedded experiment in which sampled elements randomized to either Mail or Telephone ModePurpose
Evaluate question areas in which mode effects are presentMeasure magnitude of mode effects if present
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Analysis
Simple comparison of responses between modesIntent of the analysis is to evaluate simple differences that would emerge if a study did not use a mixed mode design
Basic differences that would be found if a study was done only be telephone or mail
Multi-variate in which demographic and sampling characteristics that show significant differences between mode
Controls for differences that emerge relative to differences in individuals who respond to mail versus telephone surveys
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Questionnaire Domains Evaluated
Health StatusDepressionScreening Tests Insurance/Health Service UtilizationReceipt of Public/Medical AssistanceCommunity EvaluationDiscrimination
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Demographics
Mail TelephoneN 2,102 703
Male 36% 42%Female 64% 58%
X2 p.01
White 84% 82%Hispanic/Latino 2% 3%African American 10% 10%American Indian 1% 1%Asian/PI 3% 3%Other 1% 1%Two Plus Race/Ethnic ity 1% 1%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Demographics
Mail Telephone18-24 6% 5%25-34 16% 13%35-44 19% 20%45-54 21% 22%55-64 18% 17%65+ 21% 23%
Less than HS 4% 7%HS/GED 17% 19%Some College 32% 30%College Grad+ 47% 44%
X2 p .01
Born in US 93% 89%Not Born in US 7% 11%
X p.01
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Sampling
Mail TelephoneRegular Sample 46% 48%Oversample 54% 52%
MPLS-NearN/Camden 10% 9%MPLS-NE/Uni/LF 13% 9%MPLS-Ctr/Phllips/Ph 16% 12%MPLS-Cal I/SW/Nokomis 9% 9%Suburban-1st ring 23% 27%Suburban-2nd ring 31% 34%
X2 p .01
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Variables Included in Multi-Variate Analysis
GenderEducation
High School or Less/More than High SchoolBirthplace
Born in US/Not Born in USSampling Geography
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Health Status
Few differences between modesMail Mode
Higher rates borderline diabetes and borderline hypertension
Phone ModeHigher rate MD told them they are overweight (w/in past year)
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 8 2 2Moderate Threat 3 1 1Threatening 0 0 0
Total 11 27% 27%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Health Status
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Boderline Diabetes BoderlineHypertension
Overweight
Condition
Per
cent
Yes
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Depression
Major differences between modesMail mode manifests more depression
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 0 0 0Moderate Threat 1 0 0Threatening 8 7 5
Total 9 78% 56%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Depression
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Nothing Cheer Up Nervous Hopeless
Issue
Perc
ent (
Non
e of
the
Tim
e)
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Screening
Major differences between modesPhone Mode higher rates of screening in past year for:
Blood CholesterolFBOTSigmoidoscopy/Colonoscopy
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 0 0 0Moderate Threat 3 3 3Threatening 0 0 0
Total 3 100% 100%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Screening
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Cholesterol FBOT Sig/Colon
Perc
ent Y
es
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Insurance/Health Services
Moderate differences between modesPhone Mode
Higher rates of insuranceFewer problems with money relative to insuranceMore likely to get care at clinics
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 4 2 2Moderate Threat 1 1 1Threatening 1 1 1
Total 6 67% 67%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Insurance/Source of Care
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Insured Difficulty Paying Clinic
Per
cent
Yes
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Public Assistance
Few differencesMail Mode
Higher use of food shelvesOverall more public assistance (mean .37)
Phone ModeHigher use of school lunchesOverall lower public assistance (mean .20)
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 0 0 0Moderate Threat 0 0 0Threatening 11 2 2Count [11] 1 1
Total 11 18% 18%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Public Assistance
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
Food Shelves School Lunches
Per
cent
Yes
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Major DifferencesPhone Mode
Live in better communities and are more socialMail Mode
Live in communities with fewer gang problemsAll items but 1 demonstrate strong social desirability in response
Community Assessment
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 0 0 0Moderate Threat 10 10 7Threatening 0 0 0
Total 10 100% 70%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Community Assessment
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Interaction withNghbors
Help EachOther
Trusted Raise Kids
Per
cent
Agr
ee
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Discrimination
Mail mode higher report of DiscriminationJobMortgageRestaurantCourts
Mean number Mail (.35) Telephone (.19)
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant
Not-Threatening 0 0 0Moderate Threat 0 0 0Threatening 10 4 4Count [10] 1 1
Total 10 40% 40%
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Discrimination
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
At Work Restaurant Court System
Per
cent
Yes
Mail Telephone
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Summary
Health StatusLittle Difference
DepressionMajor Difference
Mail mode much more likely to profile a population dealing with depression
ScreeningMajor Differences
Phone mode much more likely to profile a population that screens for health problems
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Summary
Insurance/Health ServicesMajor Differences
Mail mode more likely to be un-insured and have monetary issues relative to insuranceMail mode less likely to receive care at a clinic
Public/Medical AssistanceFew Differences
CommunityMajor Differences
Telephone mode lives in utopia
Center for Survey Research in Public HealthUniversity of Minnesota
Human Services & Public Health DepartmentHennepin County
Summary
DiscriminationModerate Differences
Mail mode higher rates of discriminationDirect Mode Effects
Half of the items demonstrate significant differences by modeMuch higher for items that are dealing with threatening or moderately threatening topics
Item Type Number of ItemsBi-Variate # Significant
Multi-Variate # Significant Percent
Not-Threatening 12 4 4 33% / 33%Moderate Threat 18 15 12 83% / 67%Threatening 30 14 12 47% / 40 %
Total 60 33 28 55% / 47%