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SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc., E.I.T. Karim El-Basyouny, Ph.D., P.Eng. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering University of Alberta 28 th CARSP Conference, Victoria, BC

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Page 1: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING

ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK

Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc., E.I.T.

Karim El-Basyouny, Ph.D., P.Eng.

Department of Civil & Environmental EngineeringUniversity of Alberta

28th CARSP Conference, Victoria, BC

Page 2: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

CONTENTS

2

• Background• Objectives

INTRODUCTION

• Study area• FCW Algorithms comparison framework• FCW algorithms• Measures of Effectiveness (MOEs)

METHODOLOGY

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC

Page 3: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

INTRODUCTIONBACKGROUND

oRear-end collisions are one of the most frequenttypes of collisions occurring on North Americanroads 1,2

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 3

Other Collisions

Rear-end Collisions(25%)

In CanadaoForward Collision Warning

(FCW) algorithms wereintroduced as an activecountermeasure to avoidthese collisions

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INTRODUCTIONBACKGROUND

o Several studies were conducted to compare the

efficiency of various FCW algorithms on a

microscopic/individual level 4,5

o Since the implementation of FCW technologies is

expected to occur in a gradual manner over multiple

years, the impact of these technologies is worth

investigation on a network level

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 4

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INTRODUCTIONOBJECTIVES

oAssess and compare different FCW algorithms

from a safety, mobility, and environmental

perspectives under varying market penetration rates

(i.e., 25%, 50%, 75%, and 100%)

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 5

Page 6: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

STUDY AREA

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 6

Page 7: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

FRAMEWORK

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 7

Whitemud Drive Microsimulation Model

Update FCW Algorithm

Adjust MP

Input Vehicles Trajectories in SSAM Travel Time

Rear End Conflicts

Fuel Consumption

Summarize and Compare the Results

Start Multi-runs

Node Evaluation

Page 8: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

WHITEMUD DRIVER MICROSIMULATION MODEL

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 8

o A previously calibrated VISSIM model representing

Whitemud Drive evening peak hours was used7,8

o External driver models were coded to make the cars that have

an FCW decelerate when needed

o The cars will decelerate based on the braking distance which

differs from an algorithm to another

Page 9: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

FCW ALGORITHMS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 9

𝑑𝑤𝑎𝑟𝑛

Leading vehicleFollowing vehicle𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒

o Six of the most commonly cited FCW algorithms8-13 were

modeled in VISSIM and the results of the MOEs were

compared on a network basis

Page 10: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

MODELING ASSUMPTIONS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 10

o The FCW car is equipped with sensing technology which is

in a perfect condition and the braking distance with

sufficient accuracy

o The model assumes the maneuver is followed perfectly

regardless of any variations (i.e., mechanical components,

warning system interface or drivers’ braking application)

Page 11: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

MODELING ASSUMPTIONS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 11

o Each algorithm was modeled based on its own assumptions

with respect to driver and system delays.

o The weather condition is clear and stable and has no effect

on the drivers’ and/or vehicles’ performance.

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FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS COMPARISON

MEASURES OF EFFECTIVENESS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 12

o Safety measure: rear-end conflicts

oMobility measure: travel time

oEnvironmental measure: fuel consumption

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RESULTS

REAR-END CONFLICTS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 13

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

25% 50% 75% 100%

No.

of R

ear-

End C

onflic

ts

Alg.1 Alg.2 Alg.3 Alg.4 Alg.5 Alg.6 Base Condition

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RESULTS

REAR-END CONFLICTS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 14

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Bra

kin

g D

ista

nce (

m)

Relative Speed (km/hr)

Alg.3 (80 km/hr)Alg.5 (80 km/hr)Alg.6 (80 km/hr)Alg.3 (60 km/hr)Alg.5 (60 km/hr)Alg.6 (60 km/hr)

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RESULTS

TRAVEL TIMES

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 15

400

425

450

475

25% 50% 75% 100%

Tra

vel T

ime (

seconds)

Alg.1 Alg.2 Alg.3 Alg.4 Alg.5 Alg.6 Base Condition

Page 16: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

RESULTS

FUEL CONSUMPTION

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 16

2200

2250

2300

2350

2400

25% 50% 75% 100%

Fuel C

on

sum

ption (

Liter)

Alg.1 Alg.2 Alg.3 Alg.4 Alg.5 Alg.6 Base Condition

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CONCLUSIONS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 17

o Systematic improvements (i.e., on the network level) caused

by the FCW systems will generally overlap with the

situational improvements (i.e., on a driver level)

o More tangible improvements were noticed with higher

penetration rates

Page 18: Safety, Mobility, and Environmental Impacts of …...SAFETY, MOBILITY, AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF FORWARD COLLISION WARNING ALGORITHMS ON A ROADWAY NETWORK Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc.,

CONCLUSIONS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 18

o Generally, safety benefits on the network level for most of

the FCW algorithms did not have a substantial effect on

mobility and environment

o The FCW systems, which did not provide a network-level

safety benefit, were more likely to have negative impacts on

mobility and environment

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CONCLUSIONS

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 19

o The more conservative algorithms (e.g., Alg.3) in terms of

braking distance (i.e., longer distance) had inconsistent

results on a network level for all measures

o Alg.2, which is a perceptual FCW algorithm, gave the best

results in terms of safety benefits

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LIMITATIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCH

o The modeled FCW algorithms assumed perfect drivers’

compliance and sensing capabilities

o Varying levels of service and weather conditions were not

taken in consideration while modeling the FCW algorithms

o The assessment of integrating the FCW systems with other

Connected Vehicle applications should be investigated

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 20

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REFERENCES

1. National Safety Council, “National Safety Council Injury Facts,” 2015.2. Transport Canada, “National Collision Database Online,” 2017.3. P. Seiler, B. Song, and J. Hedrick, “Development of a collision avoidance system,” Automot. Eng., vol. Vol. 106, pp. 24–28, 1998.4. L. Yang, J. H. Yang, E. Feron, and V. Kulkarni, “Development of a Performance-Based Approach for a Rear-End Collision

Warning and Avoidance System for Automobiles,” pp. 316–321, 2003.5. K. Lee and H. Peng, “Evaluation of automotive forward collision warning and collision avoidance algorithms,” Veh. Syst. Dyn., vol.

43, no. 10, pp. 735–751, 2005.6. M. Hadiuzzaman, “Variable Speed Limit Control to Mitigate Freeway Congestion,” University of Alberta, Canada, 2014.7. X. Wang, M. Hadiuzzaman, and T. Z. Qiu, “Analyzing Sensitivity of Freeway Capacity at a Complex Weaving Segment,” in 2012

CSCE Conference, 2012, pp. 1–11.8. R. Kiefer, D. LeBlanc, M. Palmer, J. Salinger, R. Deering, and M. Shulman, “Development and Validation of Functional

Definitions and Evaluation Procedures For Collision Warning/Avoidance Systems,” no. August, p. 75, 1999.9. Y. Fujita, K. Akuzawa, and M. Sato, “Radar brake system,” JSAE Rev., vol. 16(2), pp. 95–101, 1995.10. A. Doi, T. Butsuen, T. Niibe, T. Takagi, Y. Yamamoto, and H. Seni, “Development of a rear-end collision avoidance system with

automatic brake control,” JSAE Rev., vol. 15, no. 4, pp. 335–340, 1994.11. S. J. Brunson, E. M. Kyle, N. C. Phamdo, and G. R. Preziotti, “Alert Algorithm Development Program NHTSA Rear-End Collision

Alert Algorithm,” no. September, 2002.12. P. Seiler, B. Song, and J. Hedrick, “Development of a collision avoidance system,” Automot. Eng., vol. Vol. 106, pp. 24–28, 1998.13. A. L. Burgett, A. Carter, R. J. Miller, and W. G. Najm, “A collison warnig alorithm for rear-end collision,” Natl. Highw. Traffic Saf.

Adm. Washington, DC, pp. 566–587, 1998.

Images:

https://automobiles.honda.com/images/2016/pilot/features-safety/forward-collision-warning.jpg

https://transformingedmonton.ca/get-there-faster-slow-down/

28TH CARSP CONFERENCE, VICTORIA, BC 21

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QUESTIONS?CONTACT INFO

Mostafa H Tawfeek, M.Sc., E.I.TDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering

University of [email protected]