s if ma collateral presentation
TRANSCRIPT
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The New Regulatory Paradigm A barrage of rules, regulations and guidance from every angle
Regulators taking a hard-line stance Similarities and differences in reg. response across regions
E.g., capital vs. the Volcker Rule
Macroeconomic factors (e.g., European fiscal crisis) influencingregulatory outcomes
Bottom line: the regulatory reform process is far from over
The Market Response More resources devoted to compliance
Structural reform = potential competitive opportunity
Strategic positioning is key
Status of Reform Worldwide
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Dodd-Frank Act Implementation
300-400 rules required or contemplated (depending on how counted)
Finalized: roughly 40% Proposed: roughly 30%
Deadlines missed thus far: roughly 30%
U.S. financial regulatory agencies extremely busy
Likely 3-5 years (or larger) before full implementation
Status of Reform in the U.S.
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US EU
DoddFrank Act
CRD IV
Crisis Management DirectiveEMIR (Derivatives)
MiFID II and MiFIR
CRD III
Credit Rating Agencies Regulation
AIFMD / UCITS V
Implementation of G20 Commitments EU andUS
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1. Derivatives and Collateral Transformation
2. Capital / Basel III
Leverage Ratio
Liquidity
3. Shadow Banking and Securities Lending
4. Enhanced Prudential Standards
Single Counterparty Credit Limits
Lending Limits
Foreign Banking Organizations
5. European Bank Financial Transaction Reform
6. The Orderly Liquidation Authority
What We Will Cover Today
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Derivatives&
Collateral Transformation
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OTC Derivatives reform through
Regulatory capital
Clearing Regulation of CCPs
Trade repositories
Regulation of swap dealers and major swap participants
Dodd-Frank Regulatory Regime of OTC Derivatives
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Swap Dealers (SDs) and Major Swap Participants (MSPs) will be subject tonew capital requirements to be determined by their prudential regulator with
respect to the derivatives activities
All SDs and MSPs will be subject to capital and margin rules:
If they are subject to capital and margin rules of a prudential regulator,
then by such prudential regulator
If they are not subject to capital and margin rules of a prudentialregulation, then by the CFTC and/or the SEC
Dodd-Frank Regulatory Regime of OTCDerivatives (contd)
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Further, derivatives between SDs, MSPs and Financial Institutions will haveto be cleared (unless an exemption or an exception applies), and clearedderivatives will be subject to margin requirements to be determined by thederivatives clearing organizations
Both the CFTC and the SEC have proposed capital and margin rules fornon-bank SDs and MSPs
The SEC proposed rules were only released onOctober 18, 2012
Dodd-Frank Regulatory Regime of OTCDerivatives (contd)
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Under the CFTC proposed rules, the subsidiary of a US bank holdingcompany that is a SD or MSP will have to comply with the Feds regulatorycapital requirements as if it is a US bank holding company (i.e., minimumratio of qualifying total capital to risk-weighted assets of 8%, of which at
least half (or 4%) must be in Tier 1 capital (subject to a minimum of at least$20 million of Tier 1 capital)
The SEC proposed capital and margin rules for SDs are modeled after
existing broker-dealer capital and margin rules
There are differences in the CFTC and the SEC proposed capital andmargin rules
Dodd-Frank Regulatory Regime of OTCDerivatives (contd)
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Capital for SDs and MSPs that are FCMs, the greatest of:
$20 million
Capital amount required for FCMs acting as retail forex exchangedealers
8% of risk margin required for customers and non-customersexchange-traded futures and OTC swaps that are cleared
Amount of adjusted net capital required by a futures association ofwhich FCM is member
FCM that is a registered securities broker-dealer, SEC required netcapital
CFTC Proposed Capital Rules
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Capital for SDs and MSPs that are not FCMs:
Maintain tangible net equity (GAAP determination, minus intangiblessuch as goodwill) of at least $20 million, plus additional amounts for
market risk and over-the-counter derivatives credit risk.
To calculate the market risk and over-the-counter derivatives creditrisk amounts, firms could use internal models that are approved by theFed or the SEC can use their models. Otherwise, firms must use the
methodologies adopted by the CFTC, which are similar to those of theBasel Accord.
CFTC Proposed Capital Rules (contd)
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Between entities that are SDs and/or MSPs, there will be required paymentand collection of initial and variation margins
Between SDs/MSPs and a financial entity, the SDs and MSPs will berequired to collect (but not pay) initial and variation margins
There will not be required initial or variation margin required to be collectedfrom non-financial entities by SDs or MSPs
CFTC Proposed Margin Rules
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Minimum Net Capital Requirements for stand-alone SDs, not using internalmodels: $20 million + 8% of risk margin amount
Minimum Net Capital Requirements for stand-alone SDs, using internalmodels: $100 million of tentative net capital (net capital before haircuts),and at least $20 million + 8% of risk margin amount
Minimum Net Capital Requirements for SDs that are also broker-dealers,not using internal models: $20 million + 8% of risk margin amount + currentnet capital ratio required by broker-dealer regulations
Minimum Net Capital Requirements for ANC broker-dealers, using internalmodels: $5 billion of tentative net capital, and at least $1 billion + 8% of riskmargin amount + current net capital ratio required by broker-dealerregulations
MSPs are treated differently under SEC rules, they are only required tohave positive tangible net worth
SEC Proposed Capital Rules
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SDs are required to collect margin:
From other SDs, but the SEC proposes two alternatives: (A) SDsrequired to collect variation margin only, or (B) SDs required to collect
initial and variation margin, but initial margin must be held at a thirdparty
SDs are not required to collect margin from commercial end users, but willhave to take a capital charge for such unmargined swaps
MSPs are required to pay and collect variation margin to theircounterparties and calculate such margin amount daily
SEC Proposed Margin Rules
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As proposed, the CFTC margin rules require:
Initial Margin and Variation Margin:
From SD, MSP or financial entity: cash, US treasury, USagency, senior debt of FNMA, FHLMC, FHLB, FAMC, insuredobligations of a Farm Credit System bank
Initial Margin and Variation Margin:
From non-financial entity: assets with value that is reasonablyascertainable on a periodic basis
Rehypothecation of margin assets is severely restricted. The swap partiesare not permitted to rehypothecate the assets for swaps with SDs, MSPs, orfinancial entities
Collateral Management and Transformation
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Margin assets for swaps between SDs, MSPs and financial entities mustbe held under a tri-party custodial arrangement and the assets can only
be invested in assets eligible to used as collateral
As proposed, the SEC margin rules require:
Cash, securities and/or money market instruments as collateral
An SBSD under the SEC rules are required to treat collateral for clearedswaps as customer property
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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An SBSD and MSBSP must permit their counterparties to requiresegregation of collateral
In addition, cleared swaps will be subject to initial and variation margins tobe posted to the central counterparty (CCP), directly or through a clearingbroker
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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Mandatory swap clearing and proposed margin rules result in:
Increased demand for high quality collateral
Collateral being segregated and/or increased use of third-partycustodial arrangement
The Bank for International Settlements estimated that $470bn of collateralwill be necessary for interest rate swaps in a medium stress environmentand $700bn in a high stress environment
Collateral management and transformation will become important tools inthe new collateral space
Morgan Stanley/Oliver Wyman Report (April 11, 2013)
Revenue opportunities of $5-$8 bn
Global Custodians/Sell-side to be around 80%
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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Enhanced Collateral Management:
CCPs will have to establish system to track, monitor and allocatecollateral
Some swap buy-side parties have turned to third-party collateral agentto help them monitor and manage collateral
Third-party custodial arrangement for swap collateral will continue togrow
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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Collateral Transformation:
Assets that are ineligible swap collateral can be transformed, throughrepo/securities-lending like transactions, into eligible collateral
A number of banks (clearing brokers and custodians) are proposing tooffer collateral transformation services
Some pension funds or sovereign funds with large portfolio of high-quality assets will be able to provide the liquidity
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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Risks of collateral transformation:
In time of market stress, collateral lenders tend to pull back theircollateral
Price fluctuation relating to the lower-quality assets in collateraltransformation transactions to have potentially important impact on therelated swap transactions
Banks and other intermediaries that offer collateral transformation
services will need to have prudent risk management on haircuts andrestrictions on the types of acceptable lower-quality assets
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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Similarly, volatility in swap valuation will also have potentially importantimpact on the collateral transformation market resulting in:
Fluctuation on the price of eligible collateral (i.e., volatility in
funding costs) Stress on liquidity of collateral transformation market (i.e., risk of
loss of funding)
In times of market stress, volatility in swap valuation and in market
price of the lower-quality assets could lead to a vicious cycle
Collateral Management and Transformation(contd)
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Capital / Basel III
*** Comptroller Curry 3/28/13, Hope to finalizeall Basel elements by Summer
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Basel III international response to financial crisis
Substantially increases capital, procedural requirements onbanking institutions
Particular focus on counterparty activities, like securities financeand derivatives
Status (Basel Committee As of March, 2013)
Capital Finalized, in force 11 countries (Includes Switzerland)
Capital Finalized 3 countries
Capital draft regulations 10
Includes EU countries, U.S.
Leverage finalized 2013, NSFR/Large Exposure 2014
Initiating work on variation in RWA (Report in July)
Capital: Basel III Implementation
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Structure of U.S. Proposed Capital Framework
Proposed NewCapital Framework
Capital NPR
Denominator NPR
Advanced Approach NPR
Capital Ratios Capital Composition
Risk-weighting(significant changes)
Enhancements to Basel II
Comment period ended October 22, 2012*** FRB Gov. Tarullo 2/14/13 Speech LCR proposal due in 2013
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NPR 1 Capital NPR(Phase-In 2013-2019)
** Delay from January 1 implementation
announced on November 9, 2012
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Capital RatiosEnd-State Ratios
4.5%
1.5%
CommonEquity Tier1 Capital
7% total
Tier 1Capital
8.5% total
4.5%
1.5%
2.0%
10.5% Total
2.5%
CapitalConservation
Buffer
0% 2.5%Countercyclical
Buffer
4.5%
2.5%
CapitalConservation
Buffer
0% 2.5%CountercyclicalBuffer
AdditionalTier 1
Countercyclical Buffer: Starts at 0 butcould be as high as 2.5% upon agencydiscretion. Applies only to AdvancedApproaches institutions.
Capital Conservation Buffer:Additional buffer to avoid limitations oncapital contributions & certaindiscretionary bonuses.
3%4%
Supplemental LeverageLeverage
2.5%
CapitalConservation
Buffer
Supplemental Leverage: Tier 1 capital to total leverageexposure must be
3%. Applies only to AdvancedApproaches institutions. Incorporates certain off-balancesheet assets in the denominator (e.g., guarantees,financial standby letters of credit, forward agreements).
Treatment of securities finance under discussion.
Tier 2
March 2013 U.S. Senate votes 99-0 to end subsidies; May 2013 Tarullo Possible higher capital if not surplus liquidity
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April 2013 Hoenig suggests a minimum 10% leverage
Brown/Vittner bill
15% leverage for banks with assets >$500B
SNL estimates $900B shortfall
8% leverage for banks with assets >$50B
Tarullo May 3, 2013
The new Basel III leverage ratio does include off-balance sheetassets, but it may have been set too low
Focus on Leverage
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Current G-SIB Buckets(As of November 1, 2012)
Bucket Selected G-SIBs
5-3.5% 0
4-2.5% Citi, Deutsche, HSBC, JPM
3-2.0% Barclays, BNP
2-1.5% BAC, BNY, CS, GS, MUFG, MS, RBS,UBS
1-1% Bank of China, BBVA, Credit Agricole,ING, Santander, Soc Gen, StandardChartered, State Street, Wells
D-SIB designations for many others?
BIS finalized framework October 2012
More national discretion
FRB Gov. Tarullo 2/14/13 Speech US proposal to implement due this year
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NPR 2 The Denominator Standardized
Approach (Effective Date January 2015)
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Punishes non-cash, but correlated collateral
Overrides interpretive relief granted to banks?
Agencies considering simple VaR
Basel III permits
Collins Amendment creates intl competitive issues
Tarullo May 2013 Capital rules for community banks will be simpler thanproposed rules
Simple VaR and IMM Not Expressly Permitted
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NPR 3 Denominator Changes to AdvancedApproach
Ad d A h
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Tier 1 to total capital ratio of 3%
Proposal includes off-balance sheet items
But, does not currently include indemnification
Formal Requirement January 1, 2018
Advanced ApproachSupplemental Leverage Ratio
Advanced Approach
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5,000 trades
Extends holding period to 20 business days
Margin disputes
More than 2/two quarters doubles minimum holding period
F/X mismatch
1.25x exposure multiplier for large counterparties
Advanced ApproachOther Possible Burdens
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EU Implementation
CRD IV
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EU Progress
CRD II
In force:
31.12.2010
CRD III
CRD IV
1.1.2011
31.12.2011
April 16,
2013
Basel II, internal and external ratings based
approaches, operational risk charges, securitization
framework
Basel II.5, Incremental Risk Charge and stressed
VAR, introduction of remuneration principles, higher
risk weights for resecuritizations, prudent valuation offair value positions in the banking book, additional
disclosure requirements
Basel III plus move to single EU rule book, corporate
governance rules, etc.
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Must be adopted by EC (expected by 9/30)
Expected to come into force by January 1, 2014
Same basic capital requirements as US proposal
EBA As of June, 2012 EUs biggest banks had US $147B shortfall
Also capped bankers bonuses
1:1 salary to bonus rate default
1:2 possible if approved by a least 66% of shares
CRD IV Key Facts
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Liquidity Ratios*** Tarullo 5/3/13 More work needed toaddress risks with wholesale funding (including via
SFT) higher liquidity likely appropriate for largestbanks
Liquidity Two New Rules under
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LCR Liquidity Coverage Ratio Basel III internal proposal:
store enough cash or liquid assets for expected net outflows over 30-day nightmare scenario
Test: 1 Jan 2012
Comply: Begin 1 Jan 2015
Amended in January 2013
NSFR Net Stable Funding Ratio:
illiquid assets must be funded safely
Test: 1 Jan 2012
Comply: 1 Jan 2018
TBD if to be amended
Liquidity Two New Rules underBasel III
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Amendments made to the December 2010 LCR Provisions in Basel III Framework,include:
Inclusion of Level 2B assets
at discretion of national authority
Widens range of high quality liquid assets (HQLA)
Unencumbered
Corporate bonds
RMBS
Equities
Right of use during periods of stress
Haircuts to apply
25% to 50%
Cap on Level 2 Assets at 40%
2B Assets capped at 15% of HQLA
LCR Relaxation of LCR
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LCR from 1 January 2015
Implementation in stages
HQLA of 60% in year 1
rising 10% per year
100% HQLA by 1 January 2019
LCR Timing
Intraday Liquidity
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Issued April 2013
Enhances Principle 8 of Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk Managementand Supervision
Supplements LCR (which does not cover intra day risk) Applies to internationally active banks
National supervisors determine other applicability
Results not required to be publicly disclosed
Intraday Liquidity Basel Committee Guidance Overview
Intraday Liquidity
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y q yBasel Committee Guidance Reporting
All Reporting Banks
Time Specific Obligations
Total (gross) via LVPS
Available at Start of Day
Daily Maximum Usage
Intraday throughout Intraday credit lines
Payments for correspondents
Ifdirectparticipant I
fcor
resp
onde
nt
Intraday Liquidity
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Stress
Own stress
Counterparty stress
Market-wide stress
Timing
Monthly basis from January 1, 2015
Coincides with LCR
y q yBasel Committee Guidance Stress/Timing
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Shadow Banking and
Securities Lending
FSB Shadow Banking Initiative: Five
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1)Banks interactions with shadow banking entities
2)Money market funds
3)Other shadow banking entities
4)Securitization
5)Securities lending and repos
gWorkstreams
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Nov. 2012
Proposals issued for public comment
End 2012 / Early 2013
Quantitative impact assessment
Sept. 2013 G20 Summit
Provide final set of recommendations
FSB Shadow Banking Initiative: Timeline
FSB Shadow Banking Initiative on Securities
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FSB April 2012 Interim Report on Securities Lending:
Discusses market regulation, transparency and other issues
Comment period closed May 25, 2012
Generally involves interaction of
Lending and Repos
Bank
BD
Less regulated
institutions
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Report states focus from a shadow banking system on
Securities Lending: FSB Areas of Concern
Maturity & LiquidityTransformation
Maturity Transformationand Leverage
Chain TransactionsCollateral
downgrades/upgrades
(Short term liabilities
vs. long term assets)
(Possible through
leveraged investmentfund financing)
Short sale cash (Often used by banks
to obtain repofinancing)
Securities borrowing collateral
Reinvested cash collateral intolonger term assets
Cash collateral to riskierinvestments
(AIG)
further lengthens
1 2 3 4
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1) Lack of Transparency (due to bilateral nature)
Macro-level market data
Micro-level (institution-specific) market data
Corporate (balance sheet disclosure)
Risk reporting (e.g., re-hypothecation) by intermediaries to clients
2) Procyclicality of system leverage/interconnectedness
Varies depending on: a) Value of collateral
b) Size of haircuts
c) Collateral velocity (rate reused)
3) Other Risks of Reuse of Collateral
Interconnectedness
Leverage
Financial Stability Issues
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4) Fire-Sale of Collateral Assets
Particularly with counterparties with large collateral pools
5) Agent Lender Practices
Lender Agent Bank Borrower
Indemnity eliminates lender concern of borrower risk
6) Cash Collateral Reinvestment AIG-Lending as short term funding for investment
Collateral Pools may promote rapid withdrawal
7) Cash Collateral Valuation Rigor
MBS collapse
Financial Stability Issues (cont.)
Indemnity
Consultative Document on Shadow Banking and
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Background FSB issued November 2012 consultative document:
A Policy Framework for Addressing Shadow Banking Risks inSecurities Lending and Repos
Comment period closed January 2013
Industry comments / meetings with FSB personnel
Consultative document addresses: Financial stability risks in securities lending and repo markets
Policy recommendations related to:
Improvements in transparency
Regulation
Structural aspects of securities financing markets
Securities Lending
FSB Consultative Document:K P li R d i
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Improvements in transparency
Reporting of transaction-level data to trade repositories
Enhanced public disclosure requirements for securities lending activities
Enhanced reporting to fund investors
Tarullo (2/14/13) Specifically cites need for transparency in securitiesfinance
Regulation
Minimum haircuts (High level vs. Back-Stop approach)
Tarullo (5/3/13) speaks approvingly
Minimum standards for cash collateral reinvestment
Minimum standards for collateral valuation and management
Tarullo (5/3/13) Consider limiting re-hypothecation Market structure
Evaluation of central clearing in securities lending markets
Changes to bankruptcy law treatment of securities lending transactions
Key Policy Recommendations
I d t C t / R
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Key Commenters
IIF
ISLA
SIFMA
Key Issues
Regulatory reform incomplete need to see whole picture
One size fits all regulatory approach inappropriate
Exposure-based, rather than transaction reporting
Opposition to mandatory minimum haircuts
Support view that changes to bankruptcy law currently unworkable
Industry Comments / Response
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Enhanced Prudential Standards
US Proposed R les Process
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FRB Issued Proposed Rules on December 20, 2011
Statutory Authority: Sections 165 and 166 of Dodd-Frank
Applicable to banking organizations with > $50 B assets
Applicable to Nonbank SIFIs Comments were due April 30, 2012
Proposed Rules do not apply to foreign banks, but
FRB Separately Issued FBO Prudential Rules
FRB 3/28/13 Speech QIS starting shortly
Coordinate with Basel Committee?
US Proposed Rules: Process
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Basel Committee Limits on Large Exposures
Comment Period Ends June 28, 2013
Intended full Implementation January 1, 2019
Single-Counterparty Exposure Limits: BaselF k C t ti /Li it
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Places limits on consolidated exposure to counterparties daily limit/ monthly compliance reports
General limit of 25% of banking groups CET 1 or Tier 1 Capital and
of exposure to any single counterparty (and affiliates) E.g., December 31, 2012 Bank Tier 1 capital =
$150 B
Bank standard exposure limit $37.5 B
More stringent limit of 10% - 15% of net credit exposure of G-SIBsto other G-SIBs
Bank current exposure limit = $15 B
Note US proposal based on capital stock and surplus
Framework Counterparties/Limits
Counterparties Limit
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Exposures to a counterparty aggregated across the covered companyand all its subsidiaries
Subsidiary broadly defined as directly or indirectly controlled (50%of any class of voting securities) by covered company (systems issue)
25% voting or equity in US proposal
Counterparty includes:
Company and all its subsidiaries collectively
Unlike U.S. proposal, sovereigns excluded
Counterparties Limit
Single-Counterparty Exposure Limits:Framework Depicted
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Framework Depicted
BHC
BankBHC
Nonbank Sub
BHCForeign
Sub
Counterparty
CounterpartySub 1
CounterpartyForeignSub 2
Counterparty30% owned entity
All above exposures aggregated for test Note Q-CCP treatment in Basel unclear; appears covered in U.S.
Gross Credit Exposure; Haircuts
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Gross credit exposure. Gross credit exposure calculation varies bytransaction
Haircut Approach Securities lending and repo
Collateral haircuts (E.g., U.S. proposal) Sovereign debt: 0.005 to 0.06 depending on maturity, OECD Country
Risk Classification
Bank eligible corporate and muni bonds: 0.02 to 0.12 depending on
residual maturity
Main index equities: 0.15
Other publicly traded equities: 0.25
Mutual funds: Highest applicable haircut
Cash collateral held on deposit: 0
Substitution of credit provider also permitted
Gross Credit Exposure; Haircuts
Single-Counterparty Exposure Limits:Framework Calculation
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Aggregate net credit exposure
The sum of the following calculation for all transactions between a BHC anda counterparty and its affiliates:
Gross credit exposure for the transaction (calculated using anyapplicable haircuts)
Lessmarket value of eligible collateral (reduced by applicablecollateral haircut);
Lessvalue of any eligible guarantee;
Lessvalue of derivatives / other hedges
BUT: any adjusted value of collateral, guarantee, derivatives, etc. isshifted to count toward the credit exposure limit of the issuer /guarantor / etc.
Framework Calculation
Single-Counterparty Credit Limits U.S.Examples
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Principal Reverse Repo Fixed Income Collateral
BHC transfers $100 in cash to Broker Dealer. Broker Dealer provides$102 in 10-year sovereign bond collateral (OECD country 0-1).
Credit Exposure to Broker Dealer
BHC Gross Exposure = $100 BHC Net Exposure = $100 $102*96%= $2.08
Credit Exposure to Foreign Sovereign
BHC Gross Exposure = $100 $2.08 = $97.92
Examples
The following examples show counterparty credit exposures calculated forrepurchase and reverse repurchase transactions:
Single-Counterparty Credit Limits U.S.Examples (contd)
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Indemnified Reverse Repo Equity Collateral
BHC acts as an agent for Mutual Fund as part of a securities lendingarrangement and transfers $100 in cash to Broker Dealer. BrokerDealer provides $105 in main index equity collateral.
Credit Exposure to Broker Dealer
BHC Gross Exposure = $100
BHC Net Exposure = $100 $105*85% = $10.75
Credit Exposure to Equity issuer
BHC Gross Exposure = $100 $10.75 = $89.25
Examples (cont d)
Single-Counterparty Credit Limits U.S.Examples (contd)
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Tri-Party Repo
BHC transfers $105 in main index equity securities to BNY Mellon asintermediary for Broker Dealer.BNY Mellon holds $100 in cash provided by Broker Dealer as custodianfor BHC.
BHC Credit Exposure to Broker Dealer
BHC Gross Exposure = $105+$15.75= $120.75
BHC Net Exposure = $120.75 $100 = $20.75 (eligible cashcollateral includes cash held on deposit by a third-party custodian)
Examples (cont d)
D/F 165 Other Issues
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Liquidity Requirements Prescriptive liquidity risk management requirements for boards,
management
Liquidity stress testing, liquidity buffer, contingency funding plan
Risk Management / Governance Provisions Risk Committee
Chief Risk Officer
Stress Testing Supervisory stress tests Company-run stress tests
Debt-to-Equity Limit
Early Remediation Requirements Focus on capital, liquidity, and strength of risk management framework
Potential restrictions on asset growth, acquisitions, capital distributions
/ 65 Ot e ssues
National Bank Lending LimitsBackground and Timing
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D/F 610 revised loans and extensions of credit to include derivativetransactions and securities finance transactions
OCC published interim rule in July 2012
Comment period ended August 6, 2012 Rule currently scheduled to become effective July, 2013
g g
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FRB FBO Proposed Prudential Rules
Reference Date July 1, 2014
Compliance Date July 1, 2015 But per Michael Gibson (FRBBS&R Director) 3/28/13 Not finalized before U.S. regulation
Compliance date may be delayed
FBO Proposed Prudential RulesData Points
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Morgan Stanley/Oliver Wyman Report (April 11, 2013)
Global Balkanization reduces RoE by 2-3 %
Need to duplicate infrastructure at local levels
US is a key global profit and growth driver
Americas in 2012
Represented 47% of global revenues
Represented 55 60 % of global profits
FBO > U.S. $50B Global;Combined U.S. Presence > U.S. $50B
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$
Based onFRY-7Q FBO
Liquidity
Certify/demonstrate to FRB meet BIII .212(c)Provide FRB relevant capital ratios with FRY-7Q .212(c)
Capital
US Liquidity Risk Cttee .222 Annual review /approval of liquidity risk tolerance for US .222 Consistent with enterprise-wide
Consider capital/risk profile/complexity/size/activities US Chief Risk Officer .222
Review liquidity rules with each new US business line/product Annual review of significant US products/business lines Annual review/approval of contingency funding plan [.228] Quarterly
Cash flow projection review [.225] Review liquidity stress testing practices [.226] Review liquidity stress testing results [.226] Approve size/composition of liquidity buffer [.227] Review specific limits [.229] Review sufficiency of liquidity risk management info
Review liquidity risk policies established by US operation management.223
Regularly report to US Risk Cttee Independent liquidity risk function .224
At least annually review US liquidity risk mgmt
Report issues for corrective action
Net credit exposure of US ops may not exceed 25% of FBOs cap and surplus .242 Lower limit if FBO exceeds $500 B global assets Generally like US SCCL, except treats home country sovereigns like US govts
SCCLStressTesting
Either comply with andprovide FRB info regardingreqd home county stresstests, or hold assets equal to108% of liabilities of USbranch and agency networkand engage in US non-IHC
sub operation stress tests.263
Risk Mgmt See IHC, may
be at FBO ifhas US Opsother thanthrough the
FHC
FBO Focus
Risk Mgmt
FBO Liquidity Requirement Detailed (FBO > U.S.$50B Global; Combined U.S. Presence > U.S. $50B)
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Cash Flow Projections .225
Update short-term daily
Update long-term monthly Must:
Project flows arising from assets/liabilities/off-balance sheet over short- andlong-term periods
Identify discrete/cumulative mismatches over time periods
Include flows arising from contractual maturities, etc.
Liquidity stress testing .226
At least monthly, conduct separately for
US branch/agency network US IHC
Done pursuant to policies and procedures
FBO Focus
FBO Liquidity Requirement Detailed (FBO > U.S.$50B Global; Combined U.S. Presence > U.S. $50B)
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Use stress testing for liquidity buffer [.227]
Use stress testing for contingency funding plan [.228]
Stress scenarios = market stress, idiosyncratic stress, and both Overnight/30-day/90-day/1-year horizons
For 30-day scenario, only unencumbered, highly liquid assets may satisfyliquidity buffer
Cash/US govts, others with FRB approval
Report US stress tests/any home county stress tests to FRB within 14 days
FBO Focus (contd)
FBO Liquidity Requirement Detailed (FBO > U.S.$50B Global; Combined U.S. Presence > U.S. $50B)
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Liquidity Buffer .227
Separately maintain for US branch/agency network and IHC Consist of highly liquid, unencumbered, sufficient for net stressed cash flow (internal and
external) over 30 days Location
IHC maintain 30-day level in US (not at branch/affiliate)
Branch at least 14 days in US (remainder of 30 days may be elsewhere)
Contingency funding plan .228
Establish/annually update plan Periodically testSpecific Limits .229
Must maintain limits on potential sources of liquidity risk
E.g., concentrations, maturities
Collateral Monitoring .230
Monitor assets pledged in connection with US operations Monitor intraday liquidity risk exposure Update at least weekly
FBO Focus (contd)
FBO > U.S. $50B Global;U.S. IHC Presence > US $50B
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Assets based on avgconsolidated assets ofUS top tier subs (asreported on FRY-7Q)
Reduce byintercompanyconsolidation IHC
Risk Mgmt
Capital
Must comply with stress testing requirements to same extent as US BHC withconsolidated assets of US $50B .262 Stress
Testing
Holds all US subsexcept 2(h)(2)
All capital requirements of US BHCs .212 Regardless of whether controls bank
Comply with 225.8 capital planning (CCAR) .212
Net credit exposure may not exceed 25% of cap and surplus Lower limit if exceeds $500B assets Largely tracks US SCCL
Except treats home country sovereigns like US govts
Must certify to FRB has US risk committee at IHC if IHC controls all US operations.251
Otherwise may be at FBO Must have at least 1 member with appropriate risk mgmt expertise Must review and develop policies .252 Must meet at least quarterly Must have at least 1 member who is not officer/director of FBO or its
affiliates Must have Chief Risk Officer .253 Must have a board of directors/operate like US corporation
SCCL
Reqd regardless ofwhether controls bank
May be formed with 30
day post-FRB notice
IHC Focus
FBOs > $10B but < $50B U.S. Assets
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FBO must meet home country:
capital requirements that are consistent with Basel framework
stress test requirements that are consistent with U.S. rules
FBO must establish and maintain U.S. risk committee
FBO must establish IHC to hold U.S. assets (other than branch/agencyassets)
IHC subject to: U.S. BHC capital requirements
Company-run stress tests
Liquidity stress tests
FBOs U.S. operations subject to early remediation triggers
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European Bank FinancialTransaction Reform
EU FTT Timing
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The Commission published its proposal for a FTT in the EU in September2011
Each financial institution party to a financial transaction is liable to pay thetax in its Member State of establishment
January 2013: ECOFIN resolved to use enhanced cooperation toimplement FTT in 11 countries Austria, Belgium, Estonia, France,Germany, Greece, Italy, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia and Spain (the FTTZone).
EC published detailed proposal on February 14, 2013
FFT Zone countries expected to publish implementing legislation bySeptember 30, 2013
Implementation scheduled for January 1, 2014
EU FTT Transaction Application
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FTT Zone Member States free to set rates, subject to minimum levels: 0.1%for financial instruments (base on value) and 0.01% for derivatives (notionalamount)
Applies to all financial instruments and derivatives but NOT loans
Repos
Securities lending and collateral transfers
EU FTT Entity Coverage
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Financial Institution very broad, includes: Banks
Broker-dealers
Insurers Pension funds
Financial leasing companies
Exempt Member States
ECB
European Financial Stability Fund
European Stability Mechanism EU
No intermediary/intra-group exemption
How Could an ECP FTT Work?
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The FTT cascades across the parties to a transaction.
So, if everyone is within the FTT Zone:
VendorVendor BrokerBrokerClearing
member
Clearing
member
Clearing
system
Clearing
system
Clearing
member
Clearing
member BrokerBroker BuyerBuyer
0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%(exempt)
1%
This cascade effect is an intentional feature of most designs of
financial transaction tax
How Could an ECP FTT Work?
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Acting outside the FTT Zone may therefore only somewhat reduce the tax:
VendorVendor BrokerBrokerClearing
member
Clearing
memberClearing
system
Clearing
systemClearing
member
Clearing
member BrokerBroker BuyerBuyer
0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%(exempt)
0.8%
How Could an ECP FTT Work?
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If a transaction is cleared through a clearance service in the FTT Zonethen the FTT will apply, even if all parties are outside the FTT Zone:
VendorVendor BrokerBrokerClearing
member
Clearing
memberClearing
member
Clearing
member BrokerBroker BuyerBuyer
0.1% 0.1%(exempt)
0.2%Clearing
system
Clearing
system
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The Orderly Liquidation Authority
OLA Impact Overview
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1) Credit Rating / Funding
Immediate
2) OLA Designation of Failed Counterparty
Risk Generally with Economic Stress
3) Big Bank OLA Funding Requirement
Risk Generally with Economic Stress
4) FRB Director BS&R Michael Gibson (3/28/13)
Subordinated debt required for largest holding companies(particularly G-SIBs) to support FDIC top down approach?
On average OK with where G-SIBs are on debt
(1) and (3) largely unavoidable, (2) can be mitigated (to an extent)
OLA Designation of Failed CounterpartyGeneral Framework
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OLA is designed to combine elements of 2 existing regimes, and provide anovel approach to funding:
FDIA Receivership Rules Bankruptcy Code
Administrative ResolutionStreamlined Process
Funding/Maintenance of Key Systems
FDIC Recoveries&
Assessments
Treasury BorrowingRepaid By
Not
TaxpayerBailout
OLA
Creditor Rights& Protections
$
S P i ll li l i ll i U S
OLA Designation of Failed CounterpartyScope and Coverage
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Scope Potentially applies to almost any systemically important U.S.financial institution
Coverage Holding Company and Subsidiaries
U.S. FI Corp*(BHC, Nonbank
SIFI, 85% FI)
Bank(FDIA)
Insurance(state)
Broker(SIPA) except
QFCs*
* = Covered by OLAQFC = Qualified Financial Contract (e.g., Securities Finance)
OLA Designation of Failed CounterpartyThe Emerging Paradigm Conversion
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Holdco
Bank
Equity Debt
BD
Bridge
Debt Equity
Bank BD
$
*** FDIC (5/2/13) Possible Presumptive Path guidance dueout this Summer.
Single Point of Entr Approach
OLA Designation of Failed CounterpartyThe Emerging Paradigm Coordination
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Single Point of Entry Approach Holdco fails, others saved
FDIC 3/28/13 Preferred Approach
Only not used if insufficient bail-in debt @ Holdco International Acceptance to avoid local failure
UK 70% of U.S. offshore assets December MOU
Engaged with Switzerland positive
EU resolution strategy due this summer
Japan - staff level discussions
Hope for principles later this year
Tarullo (5/3/13) Clear need for a reqmt that large FIs have minimum amounts of
long-term unsecured debt
QFC includes many counterparty based arrangements:
OLA Designation of Failed CounterpartySpecial Case Qualified Financial Contracts (QFCs)
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QFC includes many counterparty-based arrangements:
E.g., securities finance arrangements/swaps
Timing (unlike bankruptcy)
Stayed for 1 business day (till 5pm Eastern Time Monday) if default basedon:
A) Insolvency, OR
B) (According to FDIC) failed funding performance
Note: May be better than SIPA timing
FDIC must
Repudiate (or not) all QFCs to a counterparty
Transfer to a bridge (or not) all QFCs to a counterparty
FDIC Virtually all QFCs in Bridge
Who is counterparty in securities finance?
Damages Calculated as of date of repudiation, and may include cost of cover
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Gregory J. Lyons
Ph# - 212-909-6566
Email - [email protected]
Emilie T. Hsu
Ph# - 212-909-6884
Email - [email protected]