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Indian Textile Industry:A Growth Perspective

Mr. Sachit JainVardhman Group

Singapore, March, 2010

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Indian Textile Industry: Growth Drivers

o Global Opportunities

o Domestic Policy Frame-Work

o Manufacturing competitiveness

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The consolidation of textile manufacturing in Asia gives impetus to Indian Textile Industry growth

• 70 % of world fiber processing takes place in Asia.

• China, India and Pakistan account for 60% of world fiber consumption.

• Though Bangladesh and Vietnam have been emerging as competing textile economies. They depend on the imported textile inputs.

• Global retailers are preferring single point service helping integrating suppliers of textile and clothing.

World Textile Fiber Processing

Rest of world30%

Asia70%

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Growing world trade in textile and clothing offers significant opportunities for Indian T&C exports

152158

310

157

198

355

203

277

480

250

362

612

280

440

720

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1995 2000 2005 2008 2012

World Trade in Textiles and Cothing(USD bn)

TotalClothingTextile

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World Trade in Textile and Clothing

• With removal of quantitative restrictions especially after 2002, India’s textile and clothing exports grew at a higher rate during 2002-2007 in tandem with growth in world trade in T&C.

• India’s T&C exports growth was lower than China, which registered 23% growth in T&C exports during 2002-2007. China exported $171 bn T&C products against $22 bn from India

• It indicates missed opportunities as well as scope for future growth

Textile Clothing T&C

1995-2002

World 0.2% 4% 2%

India 4% 5% 4%2002 -2007

World 9% 11% 10%

India 11% 11% 11%

*CAGR

Comparative growth rate in World Trade in T&C(%)*

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Growing importance of cotton in world trade in textile and clothing is visible in USA T&C imports

USA: Textile and Clothing Imports( USD bn)

5552

40

24

13

15

20

3237

38

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2008

Cotton products

Non cottonproducts

4856 58 59

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

1990 2000 2005 2008

USA T&C imports: Percentage share of cotton products

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The Industry Structurally has a Significant Potential to Grow

Growing International demand ,

Large domestic market

Presence in all parts of value chain

Large numbers of producers

Availability of Raw Materials and Workforce

Well developed textile machinery industry

Context for Firm Strategy

and Rivalry

Factor (Input)

Conditions

Demand Conditions

Related & Supporting industries

Attributes of India’s Textile Industry which provides structural advantage to grow -

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India share in world installed capacity of spindles and shuttle-less looms

39

104

212

0

50

100

150

200

250

India China World

Spindles Installed capacity ( mn nos.)

50

370

970

0

200

400

600

800

1000

India China World

Shuttle-less looms installed capacity(in 000 nos.)

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Breaking from the past legacy

Fragmented Industry Structure

Low Level Of Technology

Sub-scale Of Operations

Because of past policy distortion, the

profitability and investments remained

subdued in the past

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Fiscal Policy Framework : From fragmented duty structure to unified approach

Fabric 1993-94 (Rs./sqm) Exemption 2003 2004/2006

Limit(if any) B.E.D. S.E.D. B.E.D.1 FABRIC(WOVEN )

Cotton Fabric Optional Duty12(optional) 10

a) Does not exceeds Rs.10 0.20

Man Made/ Blended Fabric Optional Duty12(optional)

10

FABRIC (KNITTED)

Cotton Optional Duty12(optional)8

Blended & MMF Optional Duty12(optional) 10

2 FABRIC PROCESSINGB.E.D.

A.1

Hand Processing(Without aid of Power/steam)

0 0

e.) Exceeds Rs.100 20% A.2

Hand Processing (with specified 12 power processes for 100% cotton fabric)

0 5 5

2

A.3

Hand Processing (with specified 12 power processes for Blended and 100% non cotton fabric)

0 8

a.)Does not exceeds Rs.40 per sqm. 0.50+5%

A.4

Hand processing(with specified 7 power processes for man made fabric)

0 8

CProcessed fabric -woven 12 10

D Processed fabric knitted-Cotton Optional 12(optional)

8

EProcessed Fabric Knitted-MMF Optional 12(optional)

10

3

4

4% on a cotton fabric

and 8% on blended and non cotton

fabric for all categories

Cotton/Blended/Manmade fabric processed with out aid of power is exempted from duty

India: Trends in Effective Rate of Excise Duty on Fabric and Fabric Processing

c.) Exceeds Rs.100 per

sqm20%

Grey fabric exempted from duty

Blended and man made fabric, whose value per sqm

b.) Exceeds Rs.40 but does not exceeds Rs.100

2.50+ 20% of the value exceeding Rs.40 per

sqm.

d.) Exceeds Rs.40 but does

not exceeds Rs.100

2.50+ 20% of the value exceeding Rs.40 per

sqm.

c.) Exceeds Rs.25 but does

not exceeds Rs.40 0.50+5%

Particulars 2002

1Cotton fabric whose value per sqm.

b.) Exceeds Rs.10 but does

not exceeds Rs.25 0.50

B.E.D.

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Domestic policy frame work-Recent initiatives

Restoration of level playing fieldOrganised vs. unorganized sectorSmall vs. large unitsUnequal fiscal treatment has been abandoned

Duty rationalization

Technology upgradation fund(TUF)

Reduction in import duty on most of textile machinery

Capital subsidy for fabric processing

Development of SEZ and apparel parks are put on fast track.

Fiscal policy reforms refurbish the investment outlook of the industry

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Textile industry committed efforts to harness the fundamental strengths are visible in growing investments

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1999-2000

2000-2001

2001-2002

2002-2003

2003-2004

2004-2005

2005-2006

2006-2007

2007-2008

2008-2009

Investment approved under TUF( USD 40 bn)

About equal amount of investment is projectedin next 10 years

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Scope for future growth lies in fundamental strengths of the Indian Textile Industry

Well integrated production base

Wide range of Cotton / Spun yarn

Strong base for Cotton , PSF and PFY

Wide range of Cotton and Synthetic fabric

Growing domestic market for high quality textiles

Growing demand for Technical Textiles / Performance Fibres

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India’s share in cotton production in the world is growing( mn tons)

1719

26

2 24 5

23 21%

16%

12%12%

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1993/94 2000/01 2005/06 2008/090%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%World

India

% share of India in

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The principle cause for higher cotton production is growing productivity( kg/ha)

Productivity per hectare( kg/ha)

278

524

610

724761

554

478

286

0100200300400500600700800

1993/94 2000/01 2005/06 2008/09

World

India

100

52

100

46

100

66

100

69

0

20

40

60

80

100

1993/94 2000/01 2005/06 2008/09

India recorded higher growth rate in productivity

World

India

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Increasing cotton productivity : Village adoption program

o The cotton yield in Punjab declined to very low level 300 kg/ha in 1999

leading to drop in cotton cultivation

o Best yield award to cotton growers started in 2001

o Village adoption program for increasing cotton productivity by improving

cultivation practices and quality seed started in 2003

o Cotton productivity grew to 700 kg/ha in Punjab

o The model is all set to be replicated in rest of cotton producing States in

India, which will give sustainable increase in productivity and cotton crop

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India: Foreign trade trends in cotton

India: Import and export of cotton fiber( mn tons)

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1993/94 2000/01 2005/06 2008/09

Import

Export

•The Indian cotton is attractive to foreign Buyers due to its peculiar characteristics

• Cotton constitutesa major part of

imported cotton for manufacturing Higher counts

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2 0 0 82 0 2 0

A re a u n d e r co tto n cu ltiva tio n - m n h a m n h e c ta re

1 0 1 0

P ro d u c tiv ity kg /h a5 6 0 7 5 0

P ro d u c tio n m n to n s5 .6 7 .5

C o n su m p tio n m n to n s4 6 .2

C o tto n su rp lu s m n to n s1 .6 1 .3

C O T T O N E C O N O M Y O F IN D IA O U T L O O K 2 0 2 0

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Cotton fiber place in Indian textile value chain will remain important

PRODUCTION OF SPUN YARN (IN '000 TONNES)

1510

1894

2267 2272

2948

4500

395646 585 677

2800

107 196 248366 378

800

207

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

4000

4500

5000

1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 2020

YEAR

COTTONBLENDED100% N.C.

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67752395TOTAL

3917PPFY

11130NFY

13644VFY

35001336PFY

93PPSF

32091ASF

695223VSF

1965651PSF

20202009

India: MMF consumption projections( mn kg)

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INDIA: TEXTILE FIBER CONSUMPTION OUTLOOK 2020

4

2.7

6.56.7

0

2

4

6

8

2009 2020

Fiber consumption outlook-2020( mn tons)

Cotton

MMF

60

4940

51

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Cotton MMF

Composition of fiber consumption(% share)

2009

2020

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Size of Indian Textile Industry-Exports

Textile and Clothing exports(USD bn)

13.50 14.0517.50 19.10

21.50 22.0018.36 19.27

21.6424.30

40.00

60.00

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-2011

2011-2012

2012-2013

2014-2015

2019-2020

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

T&C exports growth rate

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3.5

1310

30

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

INDIA CHINA WORLD USA

Scope for growth in domestic market:Per capita fiber consumption(Kg)

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35

2260

37

90

60

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2008-09 2014-15 2019-2020

PROJECTED SIZE OF INDIAN TEXTILE INDUSTRY( USD BN)

ExportsDomestic

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SWOT analysis of Indian Textile Industry: Strengths

Independent & Self-Reliant industry.

Availability of Low Cost and Skilled Manpower

Availability of large varieties of cotton fiber and has a fast

growing synthetic fiber industry.

India has great advantage in Spinning Sector and has a

presence in complete textile value chain.

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SWOT analysis of Indian Textile Industry: Weaknesses

The fabric and garmenting sector need modernization, which is under process Infrastructural Bottlenecks and Efficiency such as, Transaction Time at Ports and transportation Time. Unfavorable labor Laws. Lack of Trade Membership, which restrict to tap other potential market. Economies of Scale- average spinning mill-

14000 spindlesHigher Indirect Taxes, Power and Interest Rates.

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SWOT analysis of Indian Textile Industry: Opportunities

Growth rate of domestic Textile Industry is 6-8% per annum.

Large potential in International Market.

Product development and diversification to cater global needs.

Elimination of Quota Restrictions leads to greater Market Access.

Market is gradually shifting towards Branded Readymade Garments.

Emerging Retail Industry and Malls provide huge opportunities for the Apparel, Handicraft and other segments of the industry.

Greater Investment and FDI opportunities are available.

Large scope for technical textile linked with growing industrialization, large infrastructure projects in stream

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SWOT analysis of Indian Textile Industry: Threats( Concerns)

Competition from other developing countries, especially

China in domestic market also –will lead to consolidation

Elimination of Quota system has led to fluctuations in

Export Demand.

Rising prices of inputs-raw material

Formation of trading blocks

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Vibrant Private Sector

• Vardhman Group Bombay Rayon• Nahar Alok• Arvind mills Ahima• Shanmugvel JCT• Madura Welspun• Surya Laxmi Group Trident • Ramlinga Group Gokaldas exports• Lakshmi Group Orient Craft• LNJ Group Bombay Rayon Fashions• Chola Group Raymond• Raja Palayam• Super spinning• Centaury• GTN group

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Thank You