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INFRASTRUCTURE FORUM - SMART NYC Smart Infrastructure and Interdependencies Mohsen A Jafari, Ph.D. , Laboratory for Energy Smart Systems (LESS) Center for Advanced Infrastructure and Transportation (CAIT) Rutgers University

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Page 1: SMARTsmartinfrastruct.com/wp/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/T1-P6-Jafari.pdf1 –“The End of Car Ownership” - The Wall Street Journal. June 20, 2017/ 2 - 2017 Strategic Directions

INFRASTRUCTUREFORUM -

SMARTNYC

Smart Infrastructure and InterdependenciesMohsen A Jafari, Ph.D. , Laboratory for Energy Smart Systems (LESS)

Center for Advanced Infrastructure and Transportation (CAIT)

Rutgers University

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A Brief Introduction

o 30 years of academic experience, 25 years of industry experience in technical and management

consulting, 10 years of research program leadership and Dept. Chair.

o Principal at Rutgers Center for Advanced Infrastructure and Transportation

(https://cait.rutgers.edu/)

o Director and Founder of Laboratory for Energy Smart Systems (LESS) –

(https://cait.rutgers.edu/less).

o Over $23M R&D funding from government and industry on energy, Intelligent Transportation,

Advanced Manufacturing.

o Funding agencies: Dept. of Energy, California Energy Commission, NJ Board of Public Utility,

Siemens, DNV GL Energy, FHWA, US Dept. of Transportation, National Science Foundation,…

o Thesis advisor to 27 Ph.D. dissertations, 11 M.S. theses, and 7 Post-doctoral research.

o 120 refereed publications and patents

o Over 100 invited and contributed presentations around the world

o Collaboration with industry and major research institutions around the world (e.g., University of

Cambridge, UC-Irvine, Siemens, IBM,…)

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Emerging Urban Infrastructure

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Transformative Changes …

1 – “The End of Car Ownership” - The Wall Street Journal. June 20, 2017/

2 - 2017 Strategic Directions – Smart City/Smart Utilities Report, Black & Veatch.

3 – ReThink.com

4 - Argonne National Lab report

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Stakeholders …

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Building Blocks …

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Cities, States …

o Emission laws & public education of clean energy policies.

o New codes for EV-ready buildings and communities.

o EV ready cabling for parking spots, designated curbsides, etc.

o Removing urban barriers and instating EV-friendly permitting and zoning laws for

new facilities/parking lots/curbside charging.

o Tax incentives and PPP opportunities in EV and CAV support infrastructure

o Facilitating fast charging for fleets, taxis and other public transportation

o Adoption of roadway taxonomy

o Traffic signage and controls for CAV

o Recognition and visibility of early adopters.o Parking space and HOV lanes

o Engage in planning for infrastructure readiness

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Utilities and Energy Industry…

o Substantial increase in power demand is expected:o A typical passenger EV uses more KWH/day than a typical house.

o Self-driving and EV highly likely to substantially increase miles travelled.

o US power infrastructure and grid are aging fast.

o Investment in power transmission has increased since 2005, but ongoing permitting

issues, weather events, and limited maintenance have contributed to an increasing

number of failures and power interruptions.

o Between 2007 and 2013, retail sales of electricity in the United States across all

sectors dropped 2%.

o Stagnant growth, rising costs, and a need for even greater infrastructure investment

represent major challenges to the utility industry.

o Major investment in upgrading transformers will be needed.

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A Big Opportunity for Utilities and Cities to

Work Together

o New market for utilities can help utilities to upgrade the power distribution network.

This leads to higher power reliability and resiliency for cities.

o New tax revenues for increased demand and new business concepts – Energy hubs/

portals / Cafes …

o New business opportunities to reduce the cost of ownership of charging

infrastructure.

o Opportunities to transform underprivileged communities to EV energy hubs with new

revenue and tax models.

o Rate structure based on service priorities, preemption and performance (charging

speed).

o New financial resources for utilities to invest on DERs and microgrids.

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New Business Alliances

o Demand Response programs using managed charging can benefit utilities and

businesses.

o New revenue models for private investors to invest on microgrids and DERs, thus

increasing the overall reliability and resiliency of US power network.

o Day-ahead planning of EV charging can help reduce uncertainty in the grid and save

money for businesses. (reducing quantity risks for grid)

o Owning or operating V2G can provide utilities and aggregators great potentials for

energy storage, demand response, etc.

o For instance, a parking garage can act like an energy storage at times that some or

all cars are parked ….

o Joint technology adventures and start ups on advanced control and communication

solutions between OEMs and utilities (e.g., BMW and PG&E).

o Fleet owners and building complexes can benefit from owning and operating

charging facilities.

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Network Level Problem for EV Charging

Infrastructure

Optimize charging infrastructure for a region:

• Planning and operational constraints must be considered

simultaneously.

• Close collaboration between all stakeholders required.

• Problem objectives:

o Maximize reliable trips and access for EV owners and operators,

o Minimize costs (operation, EV use, …), and

o Maximize revenue for owners and operators.

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Network Level Problem for EV Charging

Infrastructure

Optimize charging infrastructure for a region:

• Decision Variables:

o Mixed portfolio of:

o Charging locations - curb side, workplace, parking lots, home, highways and

freeways, etc.

o Ownership and operation

o Commercial fleets and large complexes may have their own private facilities.

o One time investment or in stages

o Source of investment funds

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Network Level Problem for EV Charging

Infrastructure

Optimize charging infrastructure for a region:

• Problem Inputs and constraints:o Initial and lifecycle costs

o Funding & investment opportunities & constraints

o Tax incentives

o Revenue models and business specific constraints

o Mixed vehicle portfolio and alternative fuel boundaries and simultaneous plans

o Demand forecasts

o Investment requirements on adjacent infrastructures

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Factors Impacting Demand Profile and Variance

• Urban characteristics:

o Cities with sprawl suburban patterns of urban development (e.g.,

Los Angeles and Northeastern cities)

o Self-driving and electric vehicles are expected to take off

o Car sharing and ride hailing could emerge only as complementary options.

o Seamless Mobility for densely populated, high-income cities such

as New York.

o Shared, electric, autonomous, multimodal mobility with public transit as

backbone

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Factors Impacting Demand Profile and Variance

• Demand mix: % of private cars, % commercial fleets, %

city/municipality fleets, heavy trucks, etc. o Private passenger cars:

o Miles traveled/day, landscape characteristic, type of vehicle, etc.

o High stochasticity expected.

o Commercial fleets

o Operational schedule – more deterministic

o Less variance in travel patterns and energy consumption

• Charging technology characteristicso Advanced managed charging

o Charging levels (Level 1, 2, DC fast charging, etc.)

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Rigorous Network Level Optimization

ExampleMany ways to solve this problem; ad hoc, rigorous network

optimization, decomposing the larger problem into smaller

problems, etc.

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INFRASTRUCTUREFORUM -

SMARTNYC

Mohsen A Jafari, Ph.D. Rutgers University

[email protected]

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INFRASTRUCTUREFORUM -

SMARTNYC

November 8, 2017

Broad Street Ballroom

New York, NY