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    The Intelligent Retailers World of Insight

    Benchmark Report 2011

    Brian Kilcourse and Paula Rosenblum, Managing Partners

    November 2011

    Sponsored by:

    Supporting Sponsors:

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    i

    Executive Summary

    In an era of continued global economic uncertainty, rapid response to market conditions is

    increasingly important. Once disparate departments within the retail enterprise now need to

    respond as a single organism. An important tool to enable this responsiveness is an Enterprise-

    wide BI strategy. The need has grown and more retailers are moving in the direction of puttingone in place. The value of this enterprise-wide strategy is to ensure that each department is

    operating from the same set of data, delivered at the same time. Delivery mechanisms can and

    will likely differ depending on the physical location of the data consumer, but the data itself is

    consistent across channels, geographies, departments and roles.

    Business Challenges

    In the five years that RSR has been conducting benchmarks on the subject of BI, retailers have

    consistently expressed a need to move more quickly. The need for speed remains the most

    frequently cited business challenge driving new BI and Analytics initiatives. But the challenge is

    different for Retail Winners compared to all other retailers. While average and laggard performers

    arent getting the information quickly enough, most Retail Winners are getting the information

    quickly, but are unable to react to what it reveals. Additionally, more real-time information on

    relevant and personalized cross-sells, up-sells and hot promotions, along with actionable

    information about customer complaints, should be deliverable - but the industry, for the most part,

    is lagging.

    Opportunities

    Most retailers share the same desire to retain customers longer, and as a result have shifted the

    focus of their BI efforts to the stores. Winners additionally focus on improving their ability to react

    more quickly to supply chain disruptions outside the four walls of the business. Non-winners put

    more faith in opportunities that are inside the four walls of the business, after the receipt of

    goods.

    Organizational Inhibitors

    For most retailers, siloed information contained in existing legacy transactional systems is by far

    their biggest operational impediment to delivering new generation BI capabilities. But retailers

    also complain more that its hard to quantify the technology ROI for new BI capabilities. To

    overcome this inhibitor, many are turning to pilot projects to prove the value of new BI and

    Analytics capabilities.

    Technology Enablers

    Retailers understand that without a robust technology infrastructure, transforming mountains of

    transaction and customer data into useable metrics is almost impossible. While the plumbing for

    BI is being put into place, retailers are excited at the prospect of bringing consumer-gradeusability into the enterprise. But todays reality is different: while desktop scorecards and

    dashboards have clearly become more ubiquitous, a surprising percentage of C-level executives,

    store managers and other retail executives are still predominantly getting their analytics through

    Flash reports.

    BOOTstrap Recommendations

    RSRs recommendations to retailers regarding next-generation BI and Analytics are as follows:

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    1. Get an enterprise-wide BI strategy in place. Such a strategy will have these critical

    components: executive commitment; an infrastructural plan for creating, retrieving, updating,

    and deleting big data; a wireless plan for the stores; a roadmap that insures a step-wise

    approach to implementation, and modern delivery vehicles for actionable information.

    2. Prioritize those who most need real-time information, and information that is most valuable.

    Temper the enthusiasm created by consumer-oriented smart mobile technologies withappreciation for the underlying complexities.

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    iii

    Table of Contents

    Executive Summary ........................................................................................................................... iResearch Overview ......................................................................................................................... 1

    Why Did We Undertake This Research? ..................................................................................... 1Traditional Approaches and Conventional Wisdom Now Fall Short ............................................ 2

    Guidelines Used for Describing BI in this Report......................................................................... 3RSRs Methodology and Whats a Retail Winner Anyway? ..................................................... 4

    Defining Winners and Why They Win, and Why Laggards Fail ............................................... 4Survey Respondent Characteristics ............................................................................................ 4

    Business Challenges ....................................................................................................................... 6Cant Get Information Fast Enough or Cant Act on What They See .......................................... 6Delivery Mechanisms Lag ............................................................................................................ 7The Data Delivered Remains Somewhat Pedestrian .................................................................. 8Despite the Challenges, Opportunities Abound ........................................................................... 9

    Opportunities ................................................................................................................................. 10Pushing Reaction Time To The Front Of The Process .............................................................. 10Getting Smart In The Store ........................................................................................................ 11What About New Demand Signals From Social Media? ........................................................... 12

    Organizational Inhibitors ................................................................................................................ 14Siloed Systems Supporting Siloed Business Units .................................................................... 14Status Quo ................................................................................................................................. 15Pilot Projects Gain Favor ........................................................................................................... 16

    Technology Enablers ..................................................................................................................... 18Theres a Lot of Plumbing Under those Dashboards ................................................................. 18Beyond the Excitement and Promise, Whats the Reality Today? ............................................ 19

    BOOTstrap Recommendations ..................................................................................................... 211. Get an Enterprise-wide BI Strategy in Place ......................................................................... 21 2. Prioritize those Who Need Real-time Information Most ......................................................... 213. Temper Enthusiasm with Appreciation for Complexity of the Task ....................................... 21Appendix A: RSRs Research Methodology .................................................................................... a

    Appendix B: About Our Sponsors.................................................................................................... bAppendix C: About RSR Research .................................................................................................. d

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    Figures

    Figure 1: Not Your Fathers Uses for Business Intelligence ............................................................ 1Figure 2: Enterprise-wide BI: 80% are doing SOMETHING. ....................................................... 3Figure 3: Either We Cant Get the Data or We Cant Do Anything about It ..................................... 6Figure 4: Smaller Retailers Challenged to Recognize Best Customers .......................................... 7Figure 5: Delivery Vehicles Lag for Everyone but Consumers ........................................................ 8Figure 6: Pedestrian Data Yields Sub-optimal Results ................................................................... 9Figure 7: Nimble On The Buy Side? .............................................................................................. 10Figure 8: Getting Back To The Store ............................................................................................. 12Figure 9: Not Getting All The Signals - Yet ................................................................................... 13Figure 10: Legacy .......................................................................................................................... 14Figure 11: Frog In a Kettle? ........................................................................................................... 15Figure 12: Try It, Youll Like It! .................................................................................................... 16Figure 13: Infrastructures Matter ................................................................................................... 18Figure 14: Delivery Mechanisms all Sound Really Appealing ................................................... 19 Figure 15: but Reality Lags Behind ............................................................................................ 20

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    1

    Research Overview

    Why Did We Undertake This Research?

    Business Intelligence and its resultant analytics have come a long way in retail over the past five

    years. These changes are enabled by faster hardware and informed by new data and user

    interfaces emerging from the consumerization of IT. New, simpler to use tools and techniques are

    being used by retailers track and monitor performance.

    Specifically we find BI-generated reports, dashboards and alerts:

    moving out of the glass house into the hands of decision-makers

    shifting from long lag-time look backs to near-real-time feedback loops

    becoming more granular and detailed

    shifting focus from solely within the enterprise to 360 degree views from source to

    consumption

    This is evident in retailers assessment of BI value (Figure 1):

    Figure 1: Not Your Fathers Uses for Business Intel l igence

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    While retail over-performers (the group RSR calls Retail Winners) have a slightly different focus

    than the aggregate, the overall response pool calls out the importance of getting information

    faster and places a greater focus on evaluating the entire value chain, from source to

    consumption.

    29%

    36%

    36%

    38%

    39%

    42%

    42%

    57%

    62%

    40%

    41%

    54%

    45%

    36%

    29%

    40%

    30%

    32%

    31%

    23%

    11%

    16%

    25%

    29%

    19%

    12%

    5%

    Enable a 360 degree view of our business (customers,

    suppliers & partners, internal operations)

    Maximize the value of our investments in inventory

    Help plan product assortment, allocation, pricing andpromotions

    Help optimize supply chain performance

    Match internal process performance metrics tocustomer satisfaction metrics to assess the value of

    A tool to manage exceptions as they are happening,not after-the-fact

    A tool to support more timely responsiveness to

    demand changes

    Understand customer behaviors in order to executeour business strategy and build loyalty

    Track key performance data to control our internalprocesses and compare actual performance against plan

    Value of BI to Support Business Processes

    Very Relevant Somewhat Relevant Little to No Relevance

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    Retail Winners tend to be more outwardly focused than their peers:

    40% of Retail Winners find 360 degree views of the business to be very relevant vs. 15%

    of all other respondents

    69% of Retail Winners believe understanding customer behaviors to help build business

    strategy is very important vs. 35% of all other respondents

    Almost half (47%) of Retail Winners believe in is very important to match their internal

    performance metrics with customer satisfaction metrics to evaluate their business vs.

    only one quarter (25%) of all other respondents

    Clearly in an era of continued global economic uncertainty, rapid response and outwardly facing

    metrics are increasingly important.

    Traditional Approaches and Conventional Wisdom Now Fall Short

    Retailers and economists have long used metrics like consumer confidence and the fluctuating

    price of oil and other commodities as a predictor of demand. They have also used their own

    products past performance as prelude to the future. But the Great Recession and the uncertain

    economic years that followed have shown these forecasts to be unreliable for retailers at all levelsof performance

    1.

    Similarly, conventional wisdom long held that all reductions in payroll-to-sales ratios in stores

    were good reductions. However, as the web and other selling channels have become more

    convenient, the lack of helpful staff in stores has become more obviously inconvenient for

    shoppers who have found their voice in Social Media, and found alternatives through mobility.

    RSRs research has shown payroll-to-sales ratios are finally stabilizing2, but tools are clearly

    needed to insure that in-store payroll is acting as productively and as frequently in customer-

    facing roles as possible.

    In the face of so much uncertainty, and with the need to respond as a single organism rather than

    as a set of disparate departments, the recognition of the value of an Enterprise-wide BI strategyhas grown and more retailers are moving in the direction of putting one in place (Figure 2).

    1Twenty-first Century Merchandising Takes Hold: Benchmark Report 2011, RSR Research,August 20112The 21

    stCentury Store: The Search for Relevance, Benchmark Report, RSR Research,

    June 2011

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    Figure 2: Enterprise-wide BI: 80% are doing SOMET HING.

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    The value of an enterprise-wide strategy is that it insures each department is operating from the

    same set of data, delivered at the same time. Delivery mechanisms can and will likely differ

    depending on the physical location of the data consumer, but the data itself is consistent across

    channels, geographies, departments and roles.

    Guidelines Used for Describing BI in this ReportWeve found differences in terms used by retailers and vendors when describing BI and analytics.

    To set a level playing field, we make the following distinctions:

    Many people consider the terms Business Intelligence (BI) and Analytics to be

    interchangeable. For our purposes in this report, we will take this route. BI churns data

    and produces outputs. Those outputs are analytics. For our purposes, they both fall

    under the topic BI. Advanced analytics offer the ability to optimize pricing, model

    customer behavior, segment customers, forecast demand and more. As part of an

    enterprise BI strategy, these advanced analytics should be reviewed distinctly from

    reporting and are beyond the scope of this document.

    Our definition of real-time BI means as real-time as it needs to be. As well see later,

    in many instances, retailers are receiving information faster than they can actually use it.

    In our view real-time BI delivers actionable information into the hands of decision-makers.

    With these nuances explained, well move on to the details of the report.

    5%

    15%

    35%

    17%

    28%

    Very low priority or no plans

    We see the value, but it's not at the top of ourpriority list

    We're working on putting one in place

    We've have one in place for less than twoyears

    We've had one in place for longer than twoyears

    To What Extent Does Your Company Have

    Enterprise-wide BI Strategy in Place?

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    RSRs Methodology and Whats a Retail Winner Anyway?

    RSR uses its own model, called the BOOT, to analyze Retail Industry issues. We build this

    model with our survey instruments. Appendix A contains a full explanation of the methodology. In

    a nutshell, the BOOT consists of four parts:

    Business Challenges the external challenges a company faces.

    Opportunities the ways the company perceives it can overcome those challenges

    Organizational Inhibitors the internal barriers the company faces that may prevent it

    from taking advantages of the opportunities it sees

    Technology Enablers assuming a company can overcome its internal issues, the

    technology tools it can use to support taking advantage of the opportunities it identifies

    Defining Winners and Why They Win, and Why Laggards Fail

    In our surveys, we continue to find differences in the thought processes, actions, and decisions

    made by retailers who outperform their competitors and the industry at large Retail Winners.

    The BOOT model helps us better understand the behavioral and technological differences that

    drive sustainable sales improvements and successful execution of brand vision.

    Our definition of these Retail Winners is straightforward. We judge retailers by year-over-year

    comparable store/channel sales improvements. Assuming industry average comparable store/

    channel sales growth of two percent (the bar in a post-recession world is relatively low), we

    define those with sales above this hurdle as Winners, those at this sales growth rate as

    average, and those below this sales growth rate as laggards or also-rans. Because there

    have been so many strong retail comebacks post-recession, we also identified those whose

    comparable increases exceeded 10%. It is consistent throughout much of RSRs research

    findings that Winners dont merely do the same things better, they tend to do different things.

    They think differently. They plan differently. They respond differently.

    Laggards also tend to think differently. They may have spectacular vision, but often fail on

    execution. They may forget the power and breadth of choices todays customer has. They fail tore-invent themselves when it becomes obvious their existing business model is no longer

    working. They dont change their business processes in an effective manner, and so they either

    eschew technology enablers, or dont gain expected Return on Investment on those they DO buy.

    In good times, they skate by: in tough times these weaknesses come back to haunt them.

    Survey Respondent Characteristics

    RSR conducted an online survey from July - October 2011 and received answers from 95

    qualified retail respondents. Respondent demographics are as follows:

    Job Title:

    Senior Management (CEO, CFO, COO) 23%

    Vice President 32%Director/Manager 27%

    Internal Consultant 6%

    Internal Staff & Other 12%

    2010 Revenue ($ Equivalent):

    Less than $249 Million 32%

    $250 - $999 Million 9%

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    $1 - $5 Billion 26%

    Over $5 Billion 18%

    Selling Format:

    Fast Moving Consumer Goods 38%

    General Merchandise and Apparel 46%

    Food Service/Hospitality 16%

    Headquarters/Retail Presence:

    United States 61% 67%

    Canada 7% 26%

    Latin America 2% 20%

    Europe 11% 27%

    United Kingdom 4% 21%

    Asia Pacific 11% 31%

    Middle East 1% 11%Africa 2% 10%

    Year-Over-Year Comparable Store Sales Growth Rates (assume average growth of 2%):Worse than Average (Laggards) 16%

    Average 19%

    Better than Average (Retail Winners) 54%

    More than a 10% Improvement 11%

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    Business Challenges

    Cant Get Information Fast Enough or Cant Act on What They See

    In the five years that RSR has been conducting benchmarks on the subject of BI, retailers haveconsistently expressed a need to move more quickly. In 2007, this was at least somewhat

    influential to more than 90% of survey respondents. This year the need for speed remains the

    most frequently cited business challenge (Figure 3).

    Figure 3: Either We Cant Get the Data or We Cant Do Anything about It

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    But weve also seen a shift this year. While just more than half of respondents are not getting

    information to merchants quickly enough, just under half of respondents get the information, but

    cant act on what they receive. The organizations ability to respond lags its ability to inform.

    This is most evident when looking at Retail Winners vs. the rest of the respondent pool. Sixty

    percent of average and laggard performers arent getting the information quickly enough, and

    59% of Retail Winners are getting the information quickly, but are unable to react.

    27%

    60%

    27%

    60%

    47%

    33%

    33%

    10%

    28%

    31%

    48%

    48%

    48%

    59%

    17%

    37%

    33%

    52%

    46%

    41%

    48%

    Logistics managers dont get information fastenough to minimize the impact of supply chain

    problems

    Cant identify our best customers to offer specialincentives to them while they are shopping

    We struggle to match inventory to demand

    Merchants dont get information fast enough toreact to differences between what they thought

    would happen vs. what is actually happening

    Marketing doesnt know what customer sentimentis until we can see it in sales

    Cant support customer cross-channel activitiesvery well

    We cant act quickly enough on the information wereceive

    Top Three Business Challenges that CreateInterest in Using Near-real-time BI

    All Respondents Winners All Others

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    More significant differences emerge when looking at Retailers across different revenue bands.

    The largest retailers, those with annual revenue over $5 billion are caught in BOTH conundrums.

    Seventy percent report their merchants dont get information fast enough (vs. only 38% of

    retailers with annual revenue less than $250 million), and 60% report that they cant act quickly

    enough on that information when they do get it. These are the most significant business

    challenges they face, by a wide margin.

    The smallest retailers, on the other hand, also cant act on what they do receive (69%), but in

    addition they are challenged to identify their best customers (Figure 4).

    Figure 4: Smal ler Retai lers Chal lenged to Recognize Best Customers

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    This is problematic, given that most small and mid-sized retailers attempt to differentiate through

    knowing their customers and the products they prefer. Without a proper BI infrastructure and

    tools, they may find themselves losing their most important advantage against their larger

    competitors. When Amazon.com knows your customers preferences better than you do, a local

    retailer is in serious trouble.

    Delivery Mechanisms Lag

    When we look at the most typical delivery vehicles used to present BI data to various

    constituents, it becomes easier to understand why its hard to both get and react to data.

    Dashboards are great tools for desk-bound C-level and Line of Business (LOB) executives and

    managers, but fall short when delivered to people in the field, like store managers andemployees. And the still ubiquitous flash sales report typically involves poring over information,

    rather than creating an instant call to action (Figure 5).

    46%

    60%

    17%

    30%

    Less than $249million

    $250 million - $999million

    $1 Billion to $5 Billion Over $5 Billion

    Identifying Best Customers as a BusinessChallenge (based on Annual Revenue)

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    Figure 5: Del ivery Vehicles Lag for Every one but Consumers

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    Today, customers are the most likely recipients of mobile alerts across all revenue bands.

    Obviously this needs to change. Store Managers and employees must be armed with up-to-date

    information, and cant be expected to sit at desks or pore over reports while customers wander

    around the store, smart phones in hand.

    Happily we are seeing many indications of pre-packaged mobile solutions coming from the

    vendor community, and are hearing early use-case results and new pilots underway for in-store

    employees. The explosion of tablets as an affordable form-factor is making this shift possible and

    we expect to see a significant uptick in adoption over the coming year.

    The Data Delivered Remains Somewhat Pedestrian

    Just as delivery mechanisms have lagged, so have the data elements being delivered to

    constituents. While its useful to know best and worst sellers, we also believe tools to identify

    best customers as they enter the store or corporate ecommerce site should be part of the BI data

    portfolio. As we can see below in Figure 6, however, the data delivered remains uninteresting.

    Wed love to see more real-time information on relevant and personalized cross-sells, up-sellsand hot promotions, along with actionable information about customer complaints, but the

    industry, for the most part, is lagging. Well investigate the reasons for this more in the section on

    Organizational Inhibitors, but make note of it here.

    46%

    27%

    19%

    40%

    45%

    47%

    50%

    54%

    43%

    22%

    21%

    15%

    21%

    11%

    17%

    17%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    12%

    4%

    2%

    6%

    6%

    2%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    9%

    35%

    0%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    2%

    2%

    24%

    30%

    27%

    36%

    32%

    26%

    26%

    33%

    45%

    Supply Chain Managers

    Supply Chain Partners

    Customers

    Employees

    Store Managers

    Line Level Managers

    Designated Analysts

    Line of Business Executives -Vice Presidents & Directors

    C-level Executives

    Most Typical Delivery Vehicles for BI Constituents

    Desktop Scorecard/Dashboard Desktop Alerts Mobile Scorecard/Dashboard Mobile Alerts "Flash" Reports

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    Figure 6: Pedestr ian Data Yields Sub-optimal Results

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    We see no appreciable difference across revenue bands or performance level. While the industry

    aspires to become more customer-friendly, it lags in delivering relevant information to those who

    might help make it so.

    Despite the Challenges, Opportunities Abound

    Given that retailers recognize their challenges, and given the explosion of mobile delivery tools

    and techniques, coupled with ever more ubiquitous big data hardware, we expect to see

    retailers making a great leap over the coming year, In the next section well identify the areas

    they are most interested in exploring,

    26%

    26%

    33%

    39%

    46%

    46%

    57%

    63%

    74%

    Expected Receipts

    Loss Prevention alerts

    Customer complaints

    Hot Promotions

    Expected sales

    Financial scorecard

    Inventory exceptions (out of stock or overstock)

    Performance to plan

    Current sales (Best sellers/worst sellers)

    Most Typical Near Real-time Information Delivered

    to Constituents

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    Opportunities

    Pushing Reaction Time To The Front Of The Process

    Most retailers share the same desire to retain customers longer, but Winners differ from others in

    their thought process on achieving that objective (Figure 7).

    Figure 7: Nimble On The Buy Side?

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    40%

    29%

    27%

    60%

    40%

    47%

    53%

    57%

    73%

    73%

    80%

    36%

    67%

    80%

    22%

    35%

    35%

    35%

    35%

    38%

    42%

    50%

    52%

    54%

    65%

    67%

    70%

    73%

    Reduced shrink

    Reduce or eliminate re-work at stores or DC

    Exception alerts point out the need for more training

    Adjust space allocated for specific product in responseto sales spikes

    Improving supply chain network management

    Better match of labor to customer flows just in time

    Rapid response to changes in consumer demand

    Improved IT responsiveness & better system

    performance

    Higher average transaction value

    Improved merchandise productivity

    Increased shopping frequency

    Better reaction to supply chain shocks

    Better what if modeling capabilities for matching

    demand with assortment, price, and promos at a

    Higher customer retention

    Rate the following opportunities you see from real-time BI to help overcome those business challenges

    (A Lot Of Opportunity)

    Winners Others

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    Retailers want to be able to perform more what if analyses with their BI capabilities, but the

    scenarios they are interested in analyzing differ. Winners are much more focused than their

    lesser performing counterparts on improving their ability to react more quickly to supply chain

    disruptions outside the four walls of the business. These disruptions can ultimately cause

    consumer dissatisfaction. Non-winners put more faith in opportunities for a better response tochanges in consumer demand, and the ability to adjust space allocated to a specific product in

    response to sales spikes. These opportunities are inside the four walls of the business, after

    receipt of goods from suppliers.

    Its an important distinction. While most non-winners dont see a lot of opportunity on the supply

    chain side of their business, a majority does see opportunities for increased shopping activity,

    improved merchandise productivity, and higher average transaction value. While these are

    important, they are outcomes. As we have seen in other studies, Retail Winners take an activist

    role in framing their future prospects, while laggards tend to position themselves as

    victims of circumstance. For over-performing retailers, that means gaining visibility as far into

    the supply chain as possible to gain the lead-time they need to alter their plans and exceed

    consumer expectations.

    Another opportunity area also deserves mention: over twice as many non-winners as Winners

    see an opportunity to use BI to better control shrink than Winners. This again points to a historical

    difference between Winners and others; they have better control of shrink to begin with thus

    theres less of an opportunity for them as for others.

    Finally, while a majority of respondents see an opportunity to use BI for improved system

    performance, that choice is oddly out of place with other highly ranked opportunities.

    Getting Smart In The Store

    In RSRs June 2011 report entitled The 21st

    Century Store: The Search For Relevance3, we

    said:

    The evolution and proliferation of consumer-held technologies have brought stores to

    their Rubicon. The question retailers face is no longer, How can we make the in-store

    experience as satisfying as the web? It has become, How can we make our stores more

    significant than showrooms for online merchants?

    Theoretically, that quandary is resolved through the effective use of information, specifically by

    informing store-level operational processes with actionable information derived from the

    companys BI and analytics capabilities in something approaching real-time. Consumers have

    information at their fingertips nowadays that often exceeds any of the information available to

    store management and personnel. If that kind of pressure werent enough, theres also the

    challenge of running the store at optimal productivity, having neither too much nor too little

    inventory, having the right assortment at the right place and time, and having the right number of

    service employees on hand to meet the demands of those hyper-informed consumers. Retailers

    are seeking to eliminate the lag time to action, to achieve both the goal of servicing

    knowledgeable customers better, and to run a more optimized operation.

    3The 21st Century Store: The Search for Relevance, Benchmark Report, June 2011, 2011 RSR Research LLC

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    In an apparent response to these concerns, retailers have shifted the focus of their BI efforts to

    the stores (Figure 8). Whereas only last year almost of retailers who responded to our study

    indicated that all channels would receive equal benefit from realizing the opportunities in BI and

    analytics capabilities, this year the best value is perceived to come from improving performance

    at the stores, far more than the other selling channels.

    Figure 8: Gett ing Back To The Store

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    This response is heavily weighted to non-winners, who overwhelming chose the store as the #1

    benefactor of better BI capabilities (73%). Winners have a far more balanced perspective, but

    still also give most weight to the stores (44%).

    What About New Demand Signals From Social Media?

    In RSRs report entitled Social Medias Impact on Customer Engagement4, responses from

    retailers showed us that:

    Top Winners see Social Medias potential to create new demand signals. Of course,

    messages from various Social Media, whether in the form of Facebook postings, email

    messages, blog entries, or Twitter tweets are not data they are sentiments expressed

    in plain (or natural) language. Until recently, there were few technical ways of turning that

    4Social Medias Impact on Customer Engagement, Benchmark Report, May 2011, 2011 RSR Research LLC

    47%

    2%

    0%

    11%

    40%

    19%

    10%

    2%

    14%

    55%

    All channels can take equal benefit

    Mobile Commerce

    Catalog/call centers

    Ecommerce

    Brick and Mortar stores

    What Channel Can Gain the Most Benefit fromNear Real Time BI?

    2011 2010

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    13

    unstructured text into something that can be transformed into true insights. But that has

    changed in the last two years as technology providers have brought natural language

    processing capabilities to the market Top Winners are aware of the opportunity that

    such technologies represent, and (more than other retailers) want those capabilities to

    turn customer sentiment expressed in Social Media into new demand signals.

    The question for our retailers in this study was how much progress had they made towards being

    able to consume and analyze new unstructured data from non-transactional systems such as

    social media to optimize their value offerings? The answer is mixed (Figure 9).

    Figure 9: Not Gett ing Al l The Signals - Yet

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    Retailers ability to consume un-structured information from Facebook is reflective of that

    platforms overwhelming popularity with consumers. For our retailers, no other source comes

    close, even though 45% of respondents say that they can now also use signals from Twitter to

    glean business intelligence. But as well see later in this report, its not at all clear that retailers

    are using such sophisticated tools as natural language processors to convert unstructured into

    structured data. Its far more likely that signals from the social media cloud are being translated

    into something usable by external sources, such as the social media platforms themselves, in the

    form of statistics. While that information is useful, its limited by how much the provider can or will

    provide.

    21%

    18%

    28%

    45%

    69%

    53%

    59%

    69%

    74%

    90%

    Presence on commerce portal such asAmazon.com

    Location based social networks, eg. FourSquare,shopkick

    YouTube

    Twitter

    Facebook

    Value Opportunities from Social Media Networks

    Potentially at Least Some Value Actually Achieved at Least Some Value

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    14

    Organizational Inhibitors

    Siloed Systems Supporting Siloed Business Units

    For most retailers, siloed information contained in existing legacy transactional systems is by far

    their biggest operational impediment to delivering new generation BI capabilities (Figure 10). In

    this regard, Winners fared only slightly better than the total response group (72%).

    Figure 10: Legacy

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    Where Winners did outshine their competition is in the second-ranked operational challenge, that

    the our operational units dont work well together. They are learning to work cohesively.

    Twenty-five percent fewer Winners than the total response group (36% compared to 48% overall)

    rated that a top operational challenge. Presumably, most Winners have addressed the

    organizational challenges and varying compensation strategies that prevent line-of-business

    organizations working well together.

    Another important operational challenge identified by the survey respondents is that we get

    valuable insights from social media networking sites, but cant use it for decision making. The

    response from Winners and others was consistent. Given the high potential value that retailers

    30%

    32%

    38%

    45%

    48%

    75%

    Our IT department doesnt get informationfast enough to react to outages and other

    system problems

    LP Managers dont get information fastenough to react to exceptions

    We get valuable insights from socialnetworking sites, but cant use it for decision-

    making

    Our store managers dont have theinformation they need to run their stores

    more efficiently

    Our operational units dont work welltogether

    Information is siloed

    Identify The Top Three (3) Operational ChallengesYou Face That Create Interest In Using Near-real-

    time BI In Your Company

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    15

    assign to social media (Figure 9), one has to conclude that for some retailers the signals to be

    derived from social media havent affected their merchandising plans yet. Social media is still in

    its early days, but its important to look at the other side of that response 62% of our

    respondents didntchoose that as a top operational challenge. Given earlier responses about the

    value of information derived from social media, its a good bet that a plurality of retailers have

    managed to eke value out of the feedback they get form consumers, however it is that they get it.

    Status Quo

    In RSRs 2010 BI study, when we asked retailers specifically to identify the top three

    organizational inhibitors keeping them from taking advantage of real-time BI, retailers confessed

    to an inability to get data into a usable format and a lack of funds to do the deed.

    It is somewhat surprising to see then, in Figure 11, that not much has changed, except that

    retailers seem to be more acutely aware of the organizational issues that stand in the way of

    delivering improved BI capabilities.

    Figure 11: Frog In a Kett le?

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    Most startling of all is that retailers complain more that its hard to quantify the technology ROI for

    new BI capabilities (23% more of responding retailers claim this as a top 3 inhibitor than in

    2010).

    15%

    17%

    27%

    29%

    29%

    34%

    37%

    46%

    54%

    12%

    18%

    20%

    27%

    20%

    38%

    30%

    41%

    46%

    Poorly defined store-level processes

    Entrepreneurial reactive culture makes it difficultto agree on standardized alerts and metrics

    We have no idea what to do with the data we getfrom social network and customer feedback sites

    Our technology infrastructure is difficult tochange and adapt

    We dont believe we can react quickly enough tothe information a real-time BI system might tell us

    Different versions of the truth data indifferent operational systems that cant easily be

    Hard to quantify technology return on investmentfor new BI capabilities

    There are budgetary constraints to creatingintegrated processes and systems

    The data we need has to be manually pulledfrom operational systems

    Identify The Top Three Organizational Inhibitors Standing InThe Way Of Taking Advantage Of The Opportunities

    Identified2010 2011

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    16

    Instead, given the challenges and opportunities that retailers have identified, the fact that the

    same old inhibitors stand in the way of progress seems incomprehensible.

    The answer to this paradox might be found in the challenges that retailers have been trying to

    address in these times of mobile and hyper-informed consumers. Retailers have a lot on their

    plates: channel integration, consumer and employee facing mobile capabilities, the reintegration

    of the store into an omni-channel world, the rise of the CMO and customer-centric marketingstrategies. All of these are important, and investment in new BI capabilities is apparently taking a

    back seat to them all.

    Pilot Projects Gain Favor

    Given that retailers continue to fret over the ROI for investments in ROI vs. the potential value to

    be had from new BI capabilities, our respondents indicate an increased willingness to undertake

    pilot projects to prove the value (Figure 12).

    Figure 12: Try It , You l l L ike It!

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    18%

    38%

    38%

    39%

    41%

    41%

    41%

    42%

    55%

    58%

    64%

    65%

    51%

    44%

    54%

    37%

    44%

    44%

    41%

    47%

    40%

    42%

    31%

    30%

    31%

    18%

    8%

    24%

    15%

    15%

    18%

    11%

    5%

    0%

    5%

    5%

    Improved integration tools

    Create an ROI-based business case to gain moreresources for improving BI capabilities

    Bringing in outside expertise to drive internal business

    process change

    Hosted solutions (SaaS BI)

    Improve our POS systems to start gathering better data

    More sophisticated tools to collate the unstructureddata we gather

    Wireless devices that can deliver alerts to employees inreal-time

    Cheaper, faster technology

    Simpler analysis tools

    Improve employee training to start entering cleanerdata

    Executive Mandate

    Pilot programs to prove ROI business case

    Rate The Value Of The Following In Overcoming The

    Organizational Inhibitors You Face To ImplementingCapabilities To Deliver Near Real-time Information

    A Lot Of Value Some Value Little Or No Value

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    17

    While strong executive-level sponsorship of investments in BI remains a top method for

    overcoming inhibitors (as it has in every prior study weve undertaken about BI), establishing pilot

    projects to prove the ROI has risen to #1 (from #5 in our 2010 study). This rise in importance of

    pilot projects is a testament to the urgency that retailers feel to get the ball rolling when it comes

    to new investments in BI.

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    18

    Technology Enablers

    Theres a Lot of Plumbing Under those Dashboards

    When thinking about BI and analytics, we often look from the interface first, and then think about

    the underpinnings. In fact, without a robust technology infrastructure, transforming mountains of

    transaction and customer data into useable metrics is almost impossible. Our retail respondents

    clearly recognize this undeniable truth (Figure 13).

    Figure 13: Infrastructures Matter

    Source: RSR Research November 2011

    While we have some doubt that 63% of respondents are currently gaining real benefits from

    Natural Language Processors, we have no doubt that retailers understand the value of getting

    their disparate data into a single, usable format through data transformation tools and integration

    middleware. We are encouraged to see this universal appreciation of the underpinnings of BI,

    especially since at least half our respondents come from the business, rather than technology

    side of the retail house.

    In that spirit, its a bit easier to understand the over-enthusiastic response to perceived value

    received from Natural Language Processors. Line-of-business executives are finally trying to

    learn the language of IT, and while they may not have a thorough understanding of the

    differences between data transformation and aggregation tools, and Natural Languagetransformation tools, they get that the plumbing is necessary to get the results they want.

    We see a similar pattern when looking at perceived and actual value of various delivery

    mechanisms for BI (Figure 14).

    63%

    80%

    97%

    97%

    100%

    100%

    Natural language processors, to convertunstructured data (e-mails, text, tweets, etc.)

    into structured data

    Integration middleware between operationalsystems

    Data transformation & aggregation tools (tohelp enable normalization of disparate

    transactional data formats into one version ofthe truth

    Value Opportunities from Infrastructure Tools

    Potentially at Least Some Value Actually Received at Least Some Value

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    Figure 14: Del ivery Mechanisms al l Sound Real ly Appeal ing

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    The enthusiasm among all respondents is palpable. The iPad and iPhone have provided an

    epiphany for many retailers, with notable massive purchases at mega-retailers like Lowes (34,000

    iPhones ordered for employees in 2011), and Nordstrom (purchasing iPads for sales associates

    to be used for both mobile check-out and clienteling). Perhaps the most interesting data point in

    Figure 14 revolves around the value and usage of corporate-wide email. Only here has actual

    value lived up to its potential. In fact, the world of email has matured to a point of diminishing

    returns. Retailers are far more enthusiastic at the prospect of instant messaging when necessary

    through either corporate or employee owned devices than perpetuating the verbose mlange ofemails that every executive pores through on a daily (or hourly) basis.

    Our only caveat here is retailers propensity to drown themselves with information. A barrage of

    instant messages can prove to be as unnerving and counterproductive as a bulging in-box.

    Discipline is still needed, or new tools will turn out to be as confusing as their predecessors.

    Beyond the Excitement and Promise, Whats the Reality Today?

    We have no doubt that plumbing is being put into place, and we also are quite certain that

    retailers are excited at the prospect of bringing consumer-grade usability into the enterprise.

    After all, there are very few user manuals sent along with new apps for mobile phones and

    tablets why do we need training and classes in the use of our enterprise applications? Beyond

    the promise, whats actually in use today? As we can see in Figure 15, actual deliverymechanisms are quite different than the picture painted above.

    47%

    54%

    34%

    76%

    70%

    73%

    75%

    70%

    87%

    71%

    71%

    92%

    94%

    98%

    Integrated voice/data network at the store level

    Instant messaging via the internal network

    Employee owned smart mobile devices

    Corporate-wide Email

    Commercial / pre-integrated application suite

    Store Manager or Employee portals

    Company-owned smart mobile devices (Phones, iPad,etc.)

    Value Opportunities from Different Delivery

    Mechanisms

    Potentially at Least Some Value Actually Received at Least Some Value

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    Figure 15: but Real i ty Lags Behind

    Source: RSR Research, November 2011

    While desktop scorecards and dashboards have clearly become more ubiquitous, a somewhat

    stunning percentage of C-level executives, store managers and other retail executives are still

    predominantly getting their analytics through Flash reports. Of course, in todays real-time

    world, even the name flash reports is a bit of a misnomer, left over from a time when they really

    just referred to unaudited sales data being given to users.

    The only constituent that seems to be getting the results of BI delivered to them on mobile

    devices is the consumer. Thirty-five percent of respondents do deliver information to consumers

    on mobile devices. Were not convinced that this information is all analytical in nature, but

    certainly it has been scrubbed for relevancy. In fact, some might argue that some of the data

    being delivered to consumers, based on computer cookie analysis shifts from relevant to

    creepy. Its disconcerting for a consumer who has been browsing for shoes on one site to find

    ads for shoes showing up as sidebar ads on their Facebook pages. Yes business intelligence

    was used, yes the information was personalized, but it is not necessarily desirable. This delicate

    line between relevance and intrusion will be explored extensively over the coming years.

    46%

    27%

    19%

    40%

    45%

    47%

    50%

    54%

    43%

    22%

    21%

    15%

    21%

    11%

    17%

    17%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    12%

    4%

    2%

    6%

    6%

    2%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    9%

    35%

    0%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    2%

    2%

    24%

    30%

    27%

    36%

    32%

    26%

    26%

    33%

    45%

    Supply Chain Managers

    Supply Chain Partners

    Customers

    Employees

    Store Managers

    Line Level Managers

    Designated Analysts

    Line of Business Executives -Vice Presidents & Directors

    C-level Executives

    Most Typical Delivery Vehicles for BI Constituents

    Desktop Scorecard/Dashboard Desktop Alerts Mobile Scorecard/Dashboard Mobile Alerts "Flash" Reports

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    BOOTstrap Recommendations

    Were really encouraged to see retailers enthusiasm for new tools and delivery mechanisms for

    BI and analytics especially given the business-base of most of our respondents. We believe

    retailers can leverage that enthusiasm and create new applications to provide digestible

    information to the people who need it on retailings front lines. Towards that end, we presentthree recommendations.

    1. Get an Enterprise-wide BI Strategy in Place

    The successful enterprise-wide BI strategy will have several critical components:

    Infrastructure: Hardware is now available to support Big Data. Build the integration

    bridges from operational systems directly to the data warehouse.

    Executive Involvement: From the responses weve received to our BI survey, we

    believe Line of Business users are ready and willing to become engaged. Theyll even

    talk about infrastructure issues, since they recognize the importance of overcoming them.

    A Roadmap: An enterprise-wide BI strategy should include a step-wise approach to

    adding incremental value with BI and its associated outputs. Think about appropriate

    hardware platforms, data transformation tools and techniques, and layering in reporting,

    alerts, and finally advanced analytics that are retail-specific solutions.

    A Wireless Plan for Stores: Even the best insights will lose value if theyre not

    delivered in a timely fashion to the people that need them in the field. The time is NOW

    to put a wireless infrastructure in place. Customers can use 3G and 4G to educate

    themselves. Retailers will need the wireless infrastructure for store managers and

    employees. Letting customers hop on the bus will just be a plus.

    Modern Delivery vehicles: The days of desktop dashboards and flash reports are

    drawing to an end. Consumer grade usability has become the order of the day. No one

    gets a user manual with consumer apps. BI can be equally as simple. Plan for simplicity

    as an output of back-office complexity.

    2. Prioritize those Who Need Real-time Information Most

    Scorecards are useful after the fact, but real-time exception alerts are most valuable to those on

    the front lines: in call centers, stores and distribution centers. Giving information to those who can

    actually do something with it is critical.

    3. Temper Enthusiasm with Appreciation for Complexity of the Task

    The consumerization of IT has given the non-technical user a real appreciation for the value of

    technology tools. However, expectations may sometimes outstrip reality. There are no magic

    bullets in successful retailing. Insights delivered in a timely fashion will foster success, but it will

    take some time to build those insights. Brand building with words and pictures is relatively easycompared to the collation and synthesis of mountains of data into actionable information. While

    technology development cycles are faster than they used to be, populating apps with high-

    powered data will take some time.

    We live in very exciting times. The fact that half our respondents can deliver information faster

    than their organizations can respond to it is actually a huge leap forward. Business Intelligence

    and analytics will support the return to holistic retailing the RSR has been recommending for

    several years. Holistic retailing in the 21st

    century is channel-aware but non-prejudicial (store,

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    22

    mobile, on-lineall are equally important and synergistic), collaborative rather than siloed, and

    forward, rather than backward looking, and customer, rather than product-centric.

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    a

    Appendix A: RSRs Research Methodology

    The BOOT methodology is designed to reveal and prioritize the following:

    Business Challenges Retailers of all shapes and sizes face significant external

    challenges. These issues provide a business context for the subject being discussedand drive decision-making across the enterprise. Opportunities Every challenge brings with it a set of opportunities, or ways to

    change and overcome that challenge. The ways retailers turn businesschallenges into opportunities often define the difference between Winners andalso-rans. Within the BOOT, we can also identify opportunities missed anddescribe leading edge models we believe drive success.

    Organizational Inhibitors Even as enterprises find opportunities to overcome theirexternal challenges, they may find internal organizational inhibitors that keep themfrom executing on their vision. Opportunities can be found to overcome theseinhibitors as well. Winning Retailers understand their organizational inhibitors andfind creative, effective ways to overcome them.

    Technology Enablers If a company can overcome its organizational inhibitors it

    can use technology as an enabler to take advantage of the opportunities it identifies.Retail Winners are most adept at judiciously and effectively using these enablers,

    often far earlier than their peers.

    A graphical depiction of the BOOT follows:

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    b

    Appendix B: About Our Sponsors

    Netezza, an IBM Company, is the global leader in data warehouse and analytic appliances that

    dramatically simplify high-performance analytics across an extended enterprise. Netezzas

    technology processes enormous amounts of data at exceptional speed, providing a significant

    competitive and operational advantage to retailers worldwide including Catalina Marketing, Guitar

    Center, Michaels, Neiman Marcus, Nielsen, Ross Stores and Yum! Brands.

    With SASs 35 years of advanced analytics and retail domain expertise, retailers choose SAS to

    drive better business results. SAS provides winning retailers with solutions for retail merchandise

    planning, size optimization, localized assortment optimization, allocation, space planning and

    optimization, price optimization, customer insight, social media analytics, campaign management

    and advanced forecasting across the enterprise. SAS provide flexible deployment models, and

    SAS retail intelligence is ramped up at your pace. Retailers turn and return to SAS because SAS

    drives better results.

    For further information, visit http://www.sas.com/retail/

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    c

    Supporting Sponsors

    By enabling more content, mobility and capabilities than ever before, Intel gives you the

    advantage in a rapidly changing world. With advanced silicon, industry standard platforms,

    modular infrastructure solutions and ecosystem support, Intel can help you deliver a more

    compelling digital lifestyle. Intel, the world leader in silicon innovation, develops technologies,

    products and initiatives to continually advance how people work and live. Additional information

    about Intel is available at www.intel.com/go/ic.

    Manthan Systems produces cutting edge analytic solutions for global retailers. Manthan'sbreakthrough solutions, under the brand name ARC, transform the way retailers use analyticsdriven decision making for strategic advantage. The ARC product portfolio spans the entirespectrum of retail decision making with role-based, pre-built applications, and includes productsfor merchandising analytics, financial analytics, customer centric analytics, supplier portal andanalytics. These award winning products provide a significant edge to an organizations analyticalcapability and maturity, and are proven to deliver unmatched business benefits in a remarkablyshort timeframe. Manthans experience spans a wide range of retail segments and formats,

    having transformed decision making for over 50 leading Retailers in 16 countries. For moreinformation visit www.manthansystems.com.

    For more than 35 years, RedPrairies best-of-breed supply chain, workforce, and all-channel retail

    solutions have put commerce in motion for the worlds leading companies. Installed in over

    60,000 customer sites across more than 50 countries, RedPrairie solutions adapt to help ensure

    visibility and collaboration between manufacturers, distributors, retailers, and consumers.

    RedPrairie is prepared to meet its customers current and future demands with multiple deliveryoptions, flexible architecture, and 24/7 technical and customer support. For a world in motion,

    RedPrairie is commerce in motionTM

    .

    To learn more about how RedPrairie solutions can optimize your inventory, improve employee

    productivity, or increase sales, visit RedPrairie.com or email [email protected].

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    Appendix C: About RSR Research

    Retail Systems Research (RSR) is the only research company run by retailers for the retail

    industry. RSR provides insight into business and technology challenges facing the extended retail

    industry, providing thought leadership and advice on navigating these challenges for specific

    companies and the industry at large. We do this by:

    Identifying information that helps retailers and their trading partners to build more

    efficient and profitable businesses;

    Identifying industry issues that solutions providers must address to be relevant in the

    extended retail industry;

    Providing insight and analysis about a broad spectrum of issues and trends in the

    Extended Retail Industry.

    Copyright 2011 by Retail Systems Research LLC All rights reserved.No part of the contents of this document may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without the

    permission of the publisher. Contact [email protected] for more information.