romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% news … · volume off-peak base peak *...

4
Energy NEWS | Price forecasts | Country Reports | Analyses | Power and trading data | Auctions | Carbon market | Tenders BalkanEnergy.com Covering: Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Turkey SPOT Market Prices (all prices in EUR/MWh); Rise - Green, Drop - Red Current wholesale prices MIN - AT MAX - GR 45.9 45.9 - 49 49 - 52 52 - 58 58 - 61 61 - 64 64 - 66.7 66.7 based on 2 last day-ahead average price 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 20 40 60 80 100 05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12. Traded volume (GWh) HUPX, Hungary Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak * BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia) Power and trading data 11.12.2019 Full report available in SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday 21,000 energy news, PDF, XLS, email notices NEWS service on new web portal www.portal.balkanenergy.com Day-ahead HUPX forecast and analytics Month-ahead forecast / trading advices HU + SEE SPOT SUPPORT HU + SEE TRADING TOOL All available on new web portal www.portal.balkanenergy.com December-19 forecast available *Day ahead prices - day ahead capacity Market Arbitration Profits (in EUR/MWh) 11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12. WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change Hungary 48.24 51.11 49.72 43.87 61.90 53.74 49.69 -7.5% Germany 38.12 40.17 23.37 -16.38 24.39 43.68 33.89 -22.4% Austria 46.92 44.78 45.28 35.37 36.60 48.81 45.66 -6.5% Slovenia 50.91 45.69 45.80 40.65 47.38 50.58 47.47 -6.2% Romania 48.20 50.94 49.55 43.87 61.90 53.88 49.56 -8.0% Bulgaria 52.70 55.15 54.96 42.03 54.79 61.42 54.27 -11.6% Croatia 50.91 45.69 45.80 40.65 65.10 50.68 47.47 -6.3% Serbia 49.88 53.19 50.97 47.49 46.43 52.12 51.35 -1.5% Greece 61.98 71.34 62.80 63.38 62.48 63.67 65.37 2.7% Turkey 47.93 50.32 48.11 48.02 48.93 47.37 48.79 3.0% IT NORD 51.36 47.15 46.47 44.19 48.28 54.40 48.33 -11.2% 11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12. WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change Hungary 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.51 59.21 -6.8% Germany 50.50 47.54 39.71 -13.66 35.15 49.76 45.92 -7.7% Austria 53.22 50.05 50.90 38.35 39.29 55.45 51.39 -7.3% Slovenia 58.66 51.81 51.78 45.70 49.88 58.21 54.08 -7.1% Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% Bulgaria 56.15 67.33 67.63 46.47 70.63 74.39 63.70 -14.4% Croatia 58.66 51.81 51.78 45.70 82.24 58.41 54.08 -7.4% Serbia 58.18 62.90 64.42 51.58 54.13 60.25 61.83 2.6% Greece 66.82 69.06 67.04 63.52 64.98 67.32 67.64 0.5% Turkey 51.34 52.04 51.42 47.45 50.65 51.14 51.60 0.9% IT NORD 58.66 51.81 51.64 46.52 49.88 61.08 54.03 -11.5% BASE Workweek average PEAK Workweek average 15,000 16,000 17,000 18,000 04.12. 05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. Activated thermal units (MW, installed) In HU, RO, RS, SI, BiH, BG More details and analytics in our Day-ahead forecast 11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12. WED TUE MON SUN SAT B -2.90 -3.47 -7.00 -6.52 11.05 AT > HU P -13.86 -8.86 -24.68 -61.83 -28.08 O -8.16 -4.27 -12.07 -59.36 -14.73 B 1.64 2.08 1.25 3.62 -15.47 HU > RS P 23.86 31.17 39.43 79.76 38.09 O 16.32 21.52 27.33 77.18 29.83 B 2.65 -5.43 -3.94 -3.31 3.17 HU > HR P 11.60 12.90 27.44 63.71 21.88 O 7.68 15.36 24.71 65.24 18.98 B 1.54 2.21 1.40 3.62 -15.47 RO > RS P 8.92 16.12 7.75 21.35 7.67 O 10.67 1.73 -0.59 17.05 -5.65 BASE

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Page 1: Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% NEWS … · Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak * BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia) Power and trading data ... report

Energy NEWS | Price forecasts | Country Reports | Analyses | Power and trading data | Auctions | Carbon market | Tenders

B a l k a n E n e r g y . c o m

Covering: Albania, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovenia, Turkey

SPOT Market Prices (all prices in EUR/MWh); Rise - Green, Drop - Red

Current wholesale prices

MIN - AT MAX - GR

45.9 45.9 - 49 49 - 52 52 - 58 58 - 61 61 - 64 64 - 66.7 66.7

based on 2 last day-ahead average price

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0

20

40

60

80

100

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

HUPX, Hungary

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

* BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia)

Power and trading data

11.12.2019

Full report available in SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY

WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM

This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday

21,000 energy news, PDF, XLS, email notices

NEWS service on new web portal www.portal.balkanenergy.com

Day-ahead HUPX forecast and analytics

Month-ahead forecast / trading advices

HU + SEE SPOT SUPPORT

HU + SEE TRADING TOOL

All available on new web portal

www.portal.balkanenergy.com

December-19 forecast available

*Day ahead prices - day ahead capacity

Market Arbitration Profits (in EUR/MWh)

11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12.

WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change

Hungary 48.24 51.11 49.72 43.87 61.90 53.74 49.69 -7.5%

Germany 38.12 40.17 23.37 -16.38 24.39 43.68 33.89 -22.4%

Austria 46.92 44.78 45.28 35.37 36.60 48.81 45.66 -6.5%

Slovenia 50.91 45.69 45.80 40.65 47.38 50.58 47.47 -6.2%

Romania 48.20 50.94 49.55 43.87 61.90 53.88 49.56 -8.0%

Bulgaria 52.70 55.15 54.96 42.03 54.79 61.42 54.27 -11.6%

Croatia 50.91 45.69 45.80 40.65 65.10 50.68 47.47 -6.3%

Serbia 49.88 53.19 50.97 47.49 46.43 52.12 51.35 -1.5%

Greece 61.98 71.34 62.80 63.38 62.48 63.67 65.37 2.7%

Turkey 47.93 50.32 48.11 48.02 48.93 47.37 48.79 3.0%

IT NORD 51.36 47.15 46.47 44.19 48.28 54.40 48.33 -11.2%

11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12.

WED TUE MON SUN SAT Previous Current Change

Hungary 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.51 59.21 -6.8%

Germany 50.50 47.54 39.71 -13.66 35.15 49.76 45.92 -7.7%

Austria 53.22 50.05 50.90 38.35 39.29 55.45 51.39 -7.3%

Slovenia 58.66 51.81 51.78 45.70 49.88 58.21 54.08 -7.1%

Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3%

Bulgaria 56.15 67.33 67.63 46.47 70.63 74.39 63.70 -14.4%

Croatia 58.66 51.81 51.78 45.70 82.24 58.41 54.08 -7.4%

Serbia 58.18 62.90 64.42 51.58 54.13 60.25 61.83 2.6%

Greece 66.82 69.06 67.04 63.52 64.98 67.32 67.64 0.5%

Turkey 51.34 52.04 51.42 47.45 50.65 51.14 51.60 0.9%

IT NORD 58.66 51.81 51.64 46.52 49.88 61.08 54.03 -11.5%

BASEWorkweek average

PEAKWorkweek average

15,000

16,000

17,000

18,000

04.12. 05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12.

Activated thermal units (MW, installed)

In HU, RO, RS, SI, BiH, BG

More details and analytics in our Day-ahead forecast

11.12. 10.12. 09.12. 08.12. 07.12.

WED TUE MON SUN SAT

B -2.90 -3.47 -7.00 -6.52 11.05

AT > HU P -13.86 -8.86 -24.68 -61.83 -28.08

O -8.16 -4.27 -12.07 -59.36 -14.73

B 1.64 2.08 1.25 3.62 -15.47

HU > RS P 23.86 31.17 39.43 79.76 38.09

O 16.32 21.52 27.33 77.18 29.83

B 2.65 -5.43 -3.94 -3.31 3.17

HU > HR P 11.60 12.90 27.44 63.71 21.88

O 7.68 15.36 24.71 65.24 18.98

B 1.54 2.21 1.40 3.62 -15.47

RO > RS P 8.92 16.12 7.75 21.35 7.67

O 10.67 1.73 -0.59 17.05 -5.65

BASE

Page 2: Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% NEWS … · Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak * BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia) Power and trading data ... report

Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication

Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM

2

Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info

This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday

A

N

A

L

Y

S

E

S

N E WS

SPOT

MARKE T

FUTURES

AUCT IONS

T ENDERS

F L O W S

P O WE R

D A T A

E V E N TS

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

BSP, Slovenia

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

OPCOM, Romania

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

25.0

25.5

26.0

26.5

27.0

27.5

28.0

28.5

29.0

29.5

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

IBEX, Bulgaria

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

0

20

40

60

80

100

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

CROPEX, Croatia

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

0.01.02.03.04.05.06.07.08.09.010.0

0

20

40

60

80

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

SEEPEX, Serbia

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

30

40

50

60

05.12. 06.12. 07.12. 08.12. 09.12. 10.12. 11.12.

Trad

ed v

olum

e (G

Wh)

EPIAS, Turkey

Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak

Daily Auctions (all prices in EUR/MW, volumes in MW AVG)

B 2.65 574 6.57 609 6.85 549 9.91 549

AT > HU P 4.22 541 9.80 609 11.44 549 15.02 549

O 1.07 608 3.34 609 2.25 549 4.80 549

B 0.02 942 0.00 990 0.02 1,050 0.02 951

HU > AT P 0.01 909 0.00 989 0.00 1,050 0.02 951

O 0.02 975 0.01 990 0.04 1,050 0.02 951

B 0.09 1,242 0.07 1,206 0.09 1,181 0.13 1,244

HU > HR P 0.02 1,270 0.01 1,235 0.02 1,210 0.09 1,278

O 0.16 1,213 0.12 1,177 0.16 1,153 0.16 1,210

B 1.00 958 0.53 993 0.42 1,018 0.41 955

HR > HU P 0.13 942 0.04 959 0.08 938 0.00 0

O 0.12 1,014 0.04 1,051 0.02 1,049 0.00 0

B 0.13 978 0.04 1,005 0.05 994 0.00 0

RS > HU P 0.13 942 0.04 959 0.08 938 0.00 0

O 0.12 1,014 0.04 1,051 0.02 1,049 0.00 0

B 0.21 1,021 0.40 995 0.32 1,005 0.00 0

HU > RS P 0.09 1,057 0.35 1,041 0.14 1,061 0.00 0

O 0.33 985 0.45 948 0.51 950 0.00 0

B 0.25 399 0.06 515 0.05 508 0.00 0

RO > RS P 0.14 409 0.04 525 0.02 503 0.00 0

O 0.36 388 0.08 506 0.09 514 0.00 0

B 0.14 701 0.67 584 0.36 573 0.00 0

RS > RO P 0.16 691 1.05 574 0.31 596 0.00 0

O 0.12 711 0.30 593 0.40 551 0.00 0

B 0.94 246 1.16 246 0.52 255 0.43 217

BG > RS P 0.92 269 0.87 276 0.32 288 0.34 240

O 0.96 224 1.45 216 0.73 221 0.52 195

B 0.07 639 0.04 662 0.09 639 0.06 636

RS > HR P 0.07 643 0.03 668 0.10 643 0.05 640

O 0.08 635 0.05 656 0.08 635 0.06 632

B 0.34 195 0.24 193 0.64 125 0.60 205

BA > RS P 0.50 162 0.24 187 0.88 97 0.85 179

O 0.17 229 0.24 198 0.39 152 0.36 230

B 0.08 586 0.06 552 0.06 552 0.04 597

BA > HR P 0.09 580 0.07 542 0.07 542 0.05 598

O 0.06 593 0.05 563 0.05 563 0.04 597

B 0.00 360 0.00 420 0.00 365 0.00 350

BA > ME P 0.00 360 0.00 420 0.00 350 0.00 350

O 0.00 360 0.00 420 0.00 380 0.00 350

B 0.00 206 0.00 211 0.00 166 0.00 317

ME > AL P 0.00 206 0.00 211 0.00 166 0.00 316

O 0.00 206 0.00 211 0.00 166 0.00 318

B 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

AL > GR P 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

O 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

B 0.98 81 1.79 103 0.79 113 0.00 0

RS > MK P 0.54 96 1.07 122 0.02 132 0.00 0

O 1.42 65 2.51 84 1.56 93 0.00 0

B 11.62 208 9.15 203 10.40 203 9.22 202

MK > GR P 7.24 210 4.19 206 1.74 206 5.14 205

O 16.01 206 14.11 200 19.07 200 13.31 200

B 18.67 143 13.35 141 12.19 139 13.85 122

BG > GR P 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0O 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 0

B 10.58 48 9.67 49 8.17 42 4.90 54

TR > GR P 11.43 47 10.62 47 7.04 42 5.29 54O 9.73 48 8.72 50 9.30 43 4.51 54

B 0.00 585 0.01 662 0.00 546 0.02 571

GR > IT P 0.00 588 0.01 664 0.00 528 0.04 540

O 0.00 582 0.01 660 0.00 563 0.00 601

Auctions

Daily 11.12.

WED

10.12.

TUE

09.12.

MON

08.12.

SUN

Page 3: Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% NEWS … · Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak * BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia) Power and trading data ... report

Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication

Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM

3

Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info

This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday

A

N

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Y

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E

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N E WS

SPOT

MARKE T

FUTURES

AUCT IONS

T ENDERS

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Danube level, relevant for hydro generation in 4 HPPs

with 2,740 MW output: Djerdap 1 (SR), Djerdap 2

(SR), Iron Gates 1 (RO), Iron Gates 2 (RO)

* Measurement location near Belgrade, taking into

account Sava river and its tributaries

0 1

-1

2 2

5

3

5

7 8

-202468

10

11.12. 12.12. 13.12. 14.12. 15.12.

Budapest, Hungary

0

3

5

3 3

6 6

8 9

10

02468

1012

Bucharest, Romania

0

2 3

4

2

5

8

10

8

10

02468

1012

Sofia,

Bulgaria

3 2 2

5 3

4 6

11 10

13

0

5

10

15

Belgrade, Serbia

-3 -2 -2

1 0

5

2

5

8 9

-5

0

5

10

Zagreb,

Croatia

11 10 10 12 11

17 16 17 17 18

0

5

10

15

20

Athens, Greece

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

Danube water level (cm)

Current level Long term averageLong term MAX Forecast

6 4 3 3

-1

8 9 10 9 10

-5

0

5

10

15

Skopje, Maced.

Weather forecast (Celsius)

Off-peak Peak

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Bulgaria, Romania, Greece - 11.12.

Bulgaria Romania Greece

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

MWh Wind and Solar forecast - Croatia - 11.12.

Croatia

-1.74 -1.55 -0.99 -0.92 -1.07 -0.96 -0.47

12.6 12.4 11.9 11.9 11.9 12.0 11.6

-5

0

5

10

15

10.12.9.12.6.12.5.12.4.12.3.12.2.12.

Cal 20 Base DE-HU-IT Spreads

IT - HU HU - DE

-1.74 -1.55 -0.99 -0.92 -1.07 -0.96 -0.47

12.6 12.4 11.9 11.9 11.9 12.0 11.6

-5

0

5

10

15

10.12.9.12.6.12.5.12.4.12.3.12.2.12.

Cal 20 Base DE-HU-IT Spreads

IT - HU HU - DE

Danube level

Renewable generation

Page 4: Romania 55.79 60.79 61.04 54.95 82.68 63.90 59.21 -7.3% NEWS … · Volume Off-Peak BASE Peak * BiH, ME, MK, AL: Hungary + capacity price (via Serbia) Power and trading data ... report

Full report available in SEE+Hungary DAILY publication

Click for FREE TRIAL | WWW.BALKANENERGY.COM

4

Balkan Energy Your reliable source of energy info

This report is part of Balkan Energy publication SEE+Hungary Energy DAILY, published on Monday, Wednesday and Friday

A

N

A

L

Y

S

E

S

N E WS

SPOT

MARKE T

FUTURES

AUCT IONS

T ENDERS

F L O W S

P O WE R

D A T A

E V E N TS

Disclaimer: All rights reserved by the Publisher: Balkan Energy—SEE Energy Assessment d.o.o. No part of this publication may be reproduced, redistributed, or in any other

way copied as a whole or partially without written permission of the Publisher. This includes internal distribution.

Balkan Energy AG

Bumelochstrasse 1

CH-4656 Starrkirch Wil

Switzerland

Tel: +41 44 586 98 55

Web: www.balkanenergy.com

Email: [email protected]

Energy NEWS service

800 EUR annually, company licensed

Energy news, data, analyses

PDFs, Excel and web access

-104

-127

215

449

28

-74

-424

-162

-184

437

-1,167

-724

-228

784

-753

260

-189

414

520

34

54

182

21

123

338

-459

-79

-422

-81

16

206

429

-124

-119

-498

-179

-96

320

-1,216

-788

-485

1,096

-880

112

-287

430

537

-12

-13

189

56

111

300

-417

-84

-440

-1,500 -1,000 -500 0 500 1,000 1,500

BG > SR

BG > RO

BG > MK

BG > GR

BG > TR

RO > HU

RO >RS

RO > UA

HU > UA

HU > RS

HU > SK

HU > AT

HU > HR

SI > HR

SI > AT

SI > IT

HR > BA

HR > RS

BA > RS

BA > ME

ME > AL

ME > RS

AL > RS

AL > GR

MK > GR

MK > RS

GR > TR

GR > IT

Commercial flows (MW, last 7 days Hourly AVG)

BASE PEAK

19,000 energy news, PDF, XLS, email notices

NEWS service on new web portal www.portal.balkanenergy.com

Day-ahead HUPX forecast and analytics

Month-ahead forecast / trading advices

HU + SEE SPOT SUPPORT

HU + SEE TRADING TOOL

All available on new web portal

www.portal.balkanenergy.com

September-18 forecast available