romancing the stop by kenneth lee

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  • 8/12/2019 Romancing the Stop by Kenneth Lee

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    Trading Thoughts and Ideas

    By; Kenneth Lee

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    Disclaimer

    As always very few of any of this is a novel

    idea of my making, just my interretation of

    ideas and facts I have learned over the years and

    staring at charts until I was !lind"

    If anyone feels I have encroached on any of

    their rorietary information lease let meknow and I will edit or remove" This is !eing

    made for sharing on u!lic forums not as a

    money making endeavor"

    #lus also remem!er trading is a lonely

    rofession and each erson is resonsi!le for

    their own trading decisions" $veryone has their

    own ideas of what is a good or !ad trading idea

    use this information to !uild your own Ideas"

    Thanks Ken Lee

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    %&'$(A'D

    In my time trading I have seen many eole with

    issues similar to these that they have found hard toovercome and most never get ast and finally decide to

    give u trading"

    I have decided to try and ut some of my own trading

    thoughts down on aer " &ne to remind myself on a daily

    !ases of what are in my oinion the most cost effective

    asects of trading" &r the things that can allow a erson to

    move forward in the trading game"

    The title 'omancing The )to , Is ro!a!ly !ased on

    the most imortant of any one single trading issue that is

    a!used to the detriment !y more traders than anything

    else" The )to osition"

    *oving a sto, adding to a loser to move a entry"Those things will kee a erson from !ecoming a real

    trader every time"

    I will also ut some of my ersonal thoughts down of

    what I look for as to direction and my ersonal entry

    ideas" Again this is just my own thoughts !ased on

    information gathered over a decent amount of time fromvarious sources"

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    'omancing The )to

    The one single asect of trading that will make you or

    !reak you is using stos correctly" They will reserve yourtrading account e+uity as well as !uild your confidence in

    your own trade lans"

    The first and foremost thing a sto does is rovide

    control for rule num!er;

    " Always have enough e+uity to take the ne-t trade"

    If you can.t take the ne-t trade you are dead in the

    water and will have to wait to save more funds to tryagain" #lus it is a devastating !low to the ego to have that

    feeling of a total loss " *ost eole can.t take to many hits

    on their ersonalities !efore they decide that this isn.t for

    them "

    Those that kee fighting the good fight can also !uild

    a wall of indifference !etween themselves and their

    trading " *aking it sorta alright to continually fail, !ut

    neither idea is acceta!le" (e are all in this to at the very

    least add to our financial situations and !etter our life.s "

    #lus your ersonality will start to suffer and then you can

    start to !lame out side things on your trading" Blaming

    your family and friends or your other jo!" (hich can

    lead to self destruction"

    )o we must learn to love where we lace our stos and

    reali/e they are our guardian angels, That we control to

    rotect us from us" I hear so many eole !laming the

    market or the charts on why a trade goes !ad , !ut in

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    reality we have no one to !lame !ut ourselves"

    The choice of entry style has less to do with !eing a

    successful trader than does knowing where to lace a

    realistic sto" I watch a few new!ies trade and analysis

    their charts and at times one of the most !asic faults is

    the use of a reset sto loss" This is the sto you set on

    your latform to automatically !e laced with your entry"

    The use of that should !e nothing more than to get

    your sto on your chart so you can then adjust it to the

    correct location" To correct that issue change it from say

    0 or 12 is to 02" Then it is so far out of osition youhave no choice !ut to adjust it" #lus within your trading

    lan you should have a rice num!er already icked to

    where it should go"

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    3ere in the title #icture we have two demand levels or

    one that is now !eing tested for the second time" But we

    can clearly see where our sto should !e laced "

    The only thought we have in our minds when we take

    a trade is the fact we are only taking it !ecause we think

    with the given information we have used to lan our

    trade that the rice is now going to go !ack u" &ur

    choice of sto location should suort that choice"

    (e can see that the sto is !elow !oth levels giving us

    the !est chance for a move !ack u" But it wasn.t meant to!e and we got stoed out" But that is good as we (A4T

    to !e stoed out if we are wrong !ecause that is why we

    ut it there"

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    There is a lot on that chart a!ove that was saying that

    short was the direction that rice was going , But another

    one of the major failings in trading is trying to turn rice

    when everything is saying otherwise" It doesn.t matter

    what you use to enter , A set of lower swing highs , a

    suly level that is holding and !een hit lower and lower

    just the oosite of one that is going to !reak" &r even

    nothing more than a trend line" They all show the same

    thing, #rice is going to dro lower"

    But in the overall idea of trading it was more

    imortant that we laced a sto in the correct lace than

    that we !e right in icking the right direction" Because

    even if we don.t have the !est record of icking good

    entries we will !e a!le to ick some more since we

    reserved our e+uity"

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    )o we now know it doesn.t matter as much as our

    entry style" The true key is to know where we should lace

    our sto and then try and get the !est entry ossi!le

    which would !e the one closes to that sto" That limits our

    risk !ecause then rice has to move against us less to hit

    our sto that reserves more of our e+uity to trade

    another day"

    &n the !elow chart which is a 5 hr we can clearly see

    where we want to lace our stos the to or !ottom of

    each swing high or low" )o once we have these stolocations icked it is then on us to find the !est entry as

    close to them as we can to limit our risk"

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    I have said this a million times your choice of entry

    style should !e what you can )$$" In the !eginning none

    of us knew which way rice was going when we looked at

    a chart" I have always tried to comare learning to see

    entries to driving a car " 6ou can ut it all down on aer

    !ut it is nothing comared to !eing out there on the road

    doing 70 mh trying to remem!er it all at the same time"

    #lus just !ecause we now know where stos should go

    we can even eliminate those which we see as !eing

    irrelevant or against our trading lan direction"I ersonally love the swing highs and lows to ick

    direction then add )uly and Demand levels into the

    e+uation and it serves me well as my rimary way to lan

    a trade" I don.t forsake other !asic trading ideas either

    such as retraces 8%i!9 long wicks 8#ins9 or atterns

    8 descending or ascending triangles , flags9" But with time

    you start to come to the reali/ation that most of those arenothing !ut )uly and Demand levels in a icture form

    after the fact" &ther s may call them suort and

    resistance, or where !uyers or sellers are entering the

    market , !ut the main key is what you can use to get your

    entry as close to your sto as ossi!le"

    There is no !etter feeling than getting that sot on

    entry with little or no draw down " #lus those are the ones

    you should always try and hold for a home run as great

    rejection right off the entry is a good sign of the !est

    choices"

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    I have looked at a few different trading strategies over

    the years !ut they all had the underlining idea of trading

    rice action" They all had great merits, !ut some were to

    limited in their tyes of entries not enough" &thers had to

    many with different rules for each" But overall they did

    work"

    But I guess the one thing I took away from them all"

    (as the fact that the guys romoting them were making

    massive gains not off all the +uick intra:day entries they

    were showing , !ut from longer term trading ideas thatreally re+uired not much e-lanation !ut more

    commitment to !elieve in your choices"

    #lus they tended to trade using a sto as not only a

    way to rotect there initial risk !ut also as a rofit taking

    tool as well" )ay looking at that 5 hr chart we get a entry

    off one of those levels then each time it !reaks anotherswing we move our sto u to !elow the new swing" (e

    will continue to make gains until it reverses" If it should !e

    a flier we could make a massive gain in just one trade"

    $ven those trying to follow trade levels given, found it

    hard in the holding art" This is something I have had to

    deal with myself and am now just starting to get a !etter

    handle on" But it still comes !ack to loving our stos and

    using them more as a overall trading tool than just a thing

    to desise" As that attitude will not get us far"

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    )o let us look at using a sto as a over all trading tool"

    (e can see in the !elow chart we have almost 12 hrs to

    find a entry within that level at the to" )o as we !elieve

    that rice is going down" &nce rice moves to our first

    counter demand level" These are the laces if rice was to

    turn around it would" As each level is !roken we see a new

    suly level formed" (hen rice moves away we can then

    move our sto down to where it would !e if we were to

    short again at one of these new suly levels after a

    retrace"

    This is one of the hardest arts of !eing a great traderholding a trade when you or sitting on a large gain" But as

    you can see if you held thru those 1 demand level !reaks

    the trade was awesome"

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    )o we can see how massive gains can !e achieved !y

    using a sto as a overall trading tool and in the rocess we

    will start to view our stos differently" 4ot as roof of our

    failure to ick a correct trade entry !ut as the true reason

    we are successful at trading"

    This doesn.t mean we can.t take rofits when we see a

    reason to" But I would suggest )

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    I watched one day as a guy got stoed may!e 7 or >

    times !ut never lost a cent" *ay!e even made a few is"

    But then finally his entry was at the right sot and he just

    let it run and made a!out 102 is" The key is that he

    wasn.t looking for a small gain he was looking for the

    right entry to the right move a large one"

    )o in summary enter as a intraday trader or scaler

    !ut hold for the levels on the longer charts"

    Then there is style two, Those that can scal as well as

    trade longer term" It always ama/es me one I see somethat can enter a osition !ased of daily or 5 hr charts with

    huge stos of even hundreds , then in the same day trade

    fast charts with tight stos of 0 or 12" !ut their key to

    success is that they adjust the trades accordingly" The ??

    risked is the same !ased on the sto osition distance" But

    it is a rare trader that can kee their mind straight to ull

    that off"

    )o where does that !ring us" To the fact that to risk

    less we should look for the major levels to take trades !ut

    if we can look for entries on the faster charts " I ersonally

    like the =2 min chart for my entries " It is smooth enough

    without loads of noise" 4oise is just the u and down

    movement of orders !eing filled " The longer term the

    chart is the more the chart smooths out not leaving

    confusing atterns to have to digest"

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    )o we have two charts" The first is showing the 5 hr

    level and sto location" 6es it could go higher and test the

    to !ut the long red candles that droed from it makes it

    very good to me"

    Then we have a =2 min chart looking for the !est

    entry we can find as close to that 5 hr sto as ossi!le" (e

    can see 1 ossi!le entries one )unday night then the other

    *onday morning" I have marked the oening rice on thechart I will use this as a trading level as we can see right

    !elow it how rice droed away" I don.t hold a lot of

    ower to )unday night levels staying within their

    arameters as they are formed during low volume times

    and we can get a drift in or out of a level that will sna

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    !ack in when larger orders start to enter the market"

    But of course the !est entry was the highest , closest to

    the 5hr sto" 'ight after )unday oen for most @ m

    eastern ")" , a test of the %riday high suly level, These,

    I call flis where rice flis over from one direction to the

    other" Think of a swimmer aroaching the wall he twist

    around getting in to osition then he ushes off towards

    the finish line" The large move down is when he uses his

    legs to ush off getting away from the wall"

    )o we can see how using the faster chart we have

    entered a trade risking less of our e+uity, !ut this doesn.t

    mean we have to limit or ersective of our ossi!le gains"

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    )o let us look at how differently the take rofits would

    look on the different charts" %irst we will look at the 5hr"

    (e can see the clear difference that removing some of

    the noise can rovide" This the =2 min chart"

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    )o what does this tell us" 4um!er one is that we

    shouldn.t get tunnel vision, ust !ecause you may watch a

    faster chart for !etter entries or more entries" To not use

    all your charts as a comlete guide is a !it fool hardy" (e

    after all are in this to make money" And we can leave a lot

    on the ta!le !y not watching them all"

    )o in summary we can clearly see how using a sto

    limit as a different tye of tool can change our ersective

    on it and make it more a friend than a foe" There is a so

    much sychology a!out why we have self destructive!ehavior !ut we all see it all the time ersonally " The girls

    that kee dating the mean men" &r the drug users" The

    eole that can.t control their anger or emotional wrecks"

    &ver eaters the list is huge " But they are all !ased on the

    same ideas" (e !uild electrical connections in our !ody

    that 3A$ to !e filled " )o it is hard to change these !ad

    ha!its, !ut the good news is they can !e changed "

    But the key is forcing ourselves do do things that are

    uncomforta!le !ecause they are going against the

    connections we have created" ust as when you +uit

    smoking it gets easier and easier each day until finally you

    !reak that cycle" )ure you still may have a desire to smoke

    !ut now you can control it"

    In most cases with our trading the difference !etween

    screwing u and doing well is a millisecond of time so all

    we need is a !it of control to think the right thought at the

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    right time" That is where a lan comes into it"

    If you have thought out your trades ahead of time you

    have already lanted the seed to do the right thing" Almost

    all my '$ALL6 !ad trades come from shooting from the

    hi not thinking things out and just juming in" A lot of

    times I can find myself doing what I call trading against

    myself" This is where I took a trade against my own !ias

    for a air the !eing the alha male I can.t admit I am a

    moron and get out" There is no lace in trading for ego

    when it comes !etween you and your trades" The

    comuter or charts could care less a!out us and ourignorant !ehavior"

    The sooner a erson comes to gri with this fact the

    faster they will move into the realm of ro trader" The

    difference I see !etween rofessionals in any field and

    amateurs isn that a!ility to do the right thing at the right

    time" $ven a great athlete knows when to take a loss for

    the team " &r a lawyer knows when to take a settlement ordoes he stick it out and loss more !y fighting a losing

    !attle, or a contractor in a uside down jo!, might !e

    !etter to ay any enalties and !ail out"

    But what I am saying there isn.t a rofession I know

    of that doesn.t !enefit from acceting a loss from time to

    time and the rofessional is the eole that can see an

    reali/e that"

    In trading we have the !est chance to !ecome rich

    than any other tye of endeavor !ecause it is one of the

    few things that all our risk is ufront" But if we are just to

    hard headed to use the !est tool we have we deserve to

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    just struggle and slowly drive ourselves insane" 3ow many

    eole in any !usiness would love to have all their risk

    ufront and locked in knowing they would never lose

    more than they setu"

    I don.t remem!er who it is !ut someone has that

    attached to their avatar , C Insanity is doing the same

    thing e-ecting a different outcome

    )o learn to em!race your sto and see it for what it is

    your guardian angel ut there !y you to rotect yourself

    from yourself"

    Then make the commitment to change your own !adha!its and think your entries thru !efore you lea" But

    mainly think a!out your sto or your risk er trade" That

    is the only thing really imortant"

    A rofit target is a good thing !ut you can trade very

    successfully with out one , !ut not a sto" )ome of my !est

    trades haened !ecause I had a comuter or internet

    issue and I couldn.t close a trade and when I got !ack uand running I had made more than if I had closed"

    I am going to go ahead and convert this to a df and

    try to add to it later "

    Eheers Ken Lee