role of modeling in the remediation of the wp14/lf15 ......role of modeling in the remediation of...

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2019 Federal Remediation Technologies Round Table | May 22 | Reston, Virginia Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented By: Scott Morgan, PG AECOM, Newark, DE, USA

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Page 1: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

2019 Federal Remediation Technologies Round Table | May 22 | Reston, Virginia

Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware

Presented By:

Scott Morgan, PG AECOM, Newark, DE, USA

Presenter
Presentation Notes
This is a case study of the use of various modeling and data evaluation tools to manage and investigate environmentally impacted sites. Two locations at Dover Air Force Base, WP14/LF15 were selected as our case study to show how multiple modeling tools were employed at various points during a nearly 30-year long project. Models developed across the base and refined to address issues specifically at WP14/LF15 provided greater assurance for implemented and augmented remedial technologies to reach Remedial Action Objectives.
Page 2: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

– Introduction

– Location and Background

– Fate and Transport Modeling

– Source Delineation and Treatment

– Summary and Path Forward

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Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware

Page 3: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

This is a case study of the use of various modeling and data evaluation tools to manage and investigate environmentally impacted sites.

Two locations at Dover Air Force Base, WP14/LF15 were selected as our case study to show how multiple modeling tools were employed at various points during a nearly 30-year long project.

Models developed across the base and refined to address issues specifically at WP14/LF15 provided greater assurance for implemented and augmented remedial technologies to reach Remedial Action Objectives.

3

Introduction

Page 4: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

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Location of WP14 and LF15

North LF15

WP14 0 300 600

Feet

Presenter
Presentation Notes
History and Background Two adjacent sites used ~1950s: WP14-liquid waste disposal area (e.g., waste solvents, hydraulic fluids),and LF15-landfill used for solid waste and small quantities of shop wastes. Early 1960s (precise time frame unknown), sites were covered with soil and grass. No active remediation was conducted. Environmental investigations revealed a groundwater contamination plume, primarily PCE and TCE and their breakdown products. Land use-open grassy field, no buildings in immediate area, no change in site use planned. Monitored natural attenuation was implemented per 1997 Record of Decision.
Page 5: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

– WP14 – Liquid Waste Disposal Pit • Active in late 1950s to early 1960s • Disposed of liquid shop wastes including oils and solvents

– LF15 – Landfill • Active during the 1960s • Used for solid waste and small quantities of shop wastes

– Early 1960s (precise time frame unknown), sites were covered with soil and grass. No active remediation was conducted.

– Environmental investigations revealed a groundwater contamination plume, primarily PCE and TCE and their breakdown products.

– Monitored natural attenuation was implemented per 1997 Record of Decision.

5

Background of WP14 and LF15

Page 6: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

6

Environmental Restoration Time-Line

* Published in 1998 ** Published in 2000 *** Published in 2001

First Environmental

Sampling 1986

1993 – 94 RI Sampling

USGS Regional

DAFB 3D Groundwater Flow Model**

1997 – 99

USGS - Assessment Modeling of MNA

for EMU Sites* 1995 – 96

1999

Monitoring begins

DNREC – GMZ 2003

2000 - 01 USGS Mass Flux

Study ***

2012 Source

Delineation

AECOM Fate & Transport Predictive Modeling

2013

2015 ROD Amendment

--------- AAB Source Area

Injection

AECOM Fate & Transport Predictive

Modeling Update 2016

Monitoring Continues

1997 MNA ROD

signed

Page 7: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

7

Plume over Time

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Monitored Natural Attenuation recommended for the WP14/LF solvent plume, Implemented in 1999. Little change to total summed VOCs form 1994 to 2008
Page 8: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

8

Trend Evaluation of MNA for meeting RAOs

PCE Regression indicates

excessive time to reach RAOs

Presenter
Presentation Notes
By 2010 it was concluded that, although Off-base migration is not occurring, MNA alone would not be sufficient. Solution: Utilize Accelerated Anaerobic Biodegradation (AAB) to treat source mass, continue MNA for dissolved plume.
Page 9: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

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Simulated PCE Plume Assuming no Source Area

T = Present (1994), source removed T = Source removed + 10 years

T = Source removed + 20 years T = Source removed + 30 years

Page 10: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

– Graphical trend analysis has been used for plume monitoring since 2003.

– More robust numerical modeling was performed, starting in 2013, to provide information on the fate and transport of COCs and time to reach RAOs.

– Site data were used to calculate site-specific degradation rates. Degradation rates were refined through iterative model runs to best fit observed constituent distributions using both reactive (RT3D) and non-reactive (MT3DMS) model codes.

– At WP14/LF15, graphs of COC trends in source area wells were used to predict when source area concentrations would fall below RAOs.

– Model runs with calibrated parameters and assuming no continuing source were used to estimate when the dissolved plume areas would fall below RAOs.

– Modeling indicated that total time to reach RAOs 40+ years.

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Fate and Transport Modeling

Page 11: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

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Source Delineation and Treatment

• 77 locations across WP14 and LF15

• Evidence of previously unknown source material

• Highest PCE Concentration = 29,822 µg/L

• Carbon injections in AAB treatment area in 2015

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Source Area Well Trend Graph

Injection

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Updated Simulated Concentrations over Time

Simulated concentrations drop below RAOs in approximately 20 to 25 years

WP14/LF15

Mid-Plume

WP14/LF15

Distal End

Page 14: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

– WP14/LF15 was selected as our case study to show how multiple modeling tools were employed at various points during a nearly 30-year long project. • Early on, USGS models provided foundational understanding of F&T and support of remedy

selection.

– Previous modeling exercises at modeling studies at DAFB indicated the importance of understanding source area conditions for overall plume persistence.

– Concentration trends inconsistent with model results raised concerns that RAOs would not be met in reasonable time frame and that source area conditions may be different than expected at WP14/LF15.

– Subsequent source area investigation identified mass remaining in source area which was treated using

– Refined 3D Fate and Transport modeling and Trend analysis supported a change to the existing remedy.

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Summary

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Data supported change to the remedy, ROD was updated to include source area treatment with monitoring Models will continue to be used to support site decisions for ‘weight of evidence’ decisions
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– Continue annual plume monitoring and evaluation of concentration trends as compared to predicted changes.

– Enhance the Conceptual Site Model through Environmental Sequence Stratigraphy (ESS)

– When RAOs are reached, use statistical analysis or modeling to demonstrate sustainable achievement of RAOs

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Path Forward

Page 16: Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 ......Role of Modeling in the Remediation of the WP14/LF15 Chlorinated Solvent Plume at Dover Air Force Base, Delaware Presented

2019 Federal Remediation Technologies Round Table | May 22 | Reston, Virginia

Thank You! Scott Morgan, PG AECOM, Newark, DE, USA T 302.781.5935 E [email protected]