rog 12 w2 2011 federal election v05

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    Innovative Research Group, Inc.

    www.innovativeresearch.ca

    Toronto :: Vancouver

    Macleans Election Survey Series ``

    2011 Federal Election: Second Wave

    Innovative Research Group

    56 The Esplanade, Suite 310Toronto, ONM5E 1A7

    April 11, 2011 STRICTLY PRIVILEGED AND CONFIDENTIAL:: Draft Report ::

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    2

    The online survey was conducted among current members of

    INNOVATIVEs Canada 20/20 panel from April 8th to April 11th, 2011. The Canada 20/20 Panel is recruited from a wide variety of sources to

    be representative of the known distribution of Canadians by age, gender,region and language.

    Each survey is administered to a series of randomly selected subsamples of the panel and weighted according to Census data to ensurethat the sample is representative of the age, gender, region andlanguage breakdown of the Canadian population to provide results thatare intended to approximate a probability sample.

    Each panellist is provided with a unique URL in their invitation so thatonly invited panel members are able to complete any specific survey.Each URL can only be used to complete one survey.

    The weighted total sample included 2059 responses eligible for inclusionin our analysis. An unweighted probability sample of 2059 would have anestimated margin of error of 2.16 percentage points, 19 times out of20.

    The margin of error will be larger within each sub-grouping of thesample.

    Methodology

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    The Horserace

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    National Decided Vote by Region

    If a Federal election were held today, which party would you vote for? In that case, which party do you

    lean toward slightly?

    Q

    42%

    61%

    51%

    42%37%

    5%

    38%

    20%18%21%

    37%35%

    23%25%16% 19%16%

    20%13%

    24%

    6%7%7%8%10%

    BC Alber r res O r Q ebec Atlantic

    Conserative Liberal NDP Green Bloc

    39% 28% 17% 7% 9%

    National Vote Intention

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    Federal Leaders

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    24

    12%

    16%

    9%

    17%

    23%

    31%

    25%

    6%

    15%

    18%

    30%

    10%

    18%

    17%

    15%

    43%

    32%

    18%

    18%

    Stephen

    Harper

    M chae

    I nat eff

    JackLayton

    E zabethMay

    Strong y fa ourabe Somewhat fa ourabe

    eutra Somewhat unfa ourabe

    Strong yunfa ourabe

    Leader Favourables

    Now we are going to provide you with several names of public figures. Please indicate whether or notyou have heard of that person and, if so, whether you have a strongly favourable, somewhatfavourable, neutral, somewhat unfavourable or very unfavourable impression of that person.

    Q

    ROC Quebec

    8%

    6%

    21%

    30%

    4%

    15%

    24%

    50%

    23%

    14%

    13%

    27%

    16%

    15%

    37%

    17%

    25%

    9%

    11%

    13%

    46%

    17%

    19%

    20%

    3%

    Stephen

    Harper

    M chaeIgnat eff

    JackLayton

    es Duceppe

    E zabethMay

    Strong y fa ourab e Somewhat fa ourab e

    eutra Somewhat unfa ourabe

    Strong yunfa ourabe

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    24%

    22%

    17%

    19%

    6%

    6%

    10%

    11%

    43%

    42%

    Wa e2

    Wa e1

    Strong y fa ourabe Somewhat fa ourabe

    eutra Somewhat unfa ourabe

    Strong yunfa ourabe

    Leader Favourables Stephen Harper

    Now we are going to provide you with several names of public figures. Please indicate whether or notyou have heard of that person and, if so, whether you have a strongly favourable, somewhatfavourable, neutral, somewhat unfavourable or very unfavourable impression of that person. StephenHarper

    Q

    ROC Quebec

    8%

    8%

    15%

    16%

    13%

    9%

    17%

    17%

    46%

    49%

    Wa e2

    Wa e1

    Strong y fa ourab e Somewhat fa ourab e

    eutra Somewhat unfa ourabe

    Strong yunfa ourabe

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    16%

    17%

    31%

    31%

    18%

    16%

    17%

    18%

    18%

    18%

    Wa e2

    Wa e1

    Strong y fa ourabe Somewhat fa ourabe

    eutra Somewhat unfa ourabe

    Strong yunfa ourabe

    Leader Favourables Jack Layton

    Now we are going to provide you with several names of public figures. Please indicate whether or notyou have heard of that person and, if so, whether you have a strongly favourable, somewhatfavourable, neutral, somewhat unfavourable or very unfavourable impression of that person. JackLayton

    Q

    ROC Quebec

    21%

    27%

    50%

    45%

    16%

    16%

    9%

    7%

    3%

    3%

    Wa e2

    Wa e1

    Strong y fa ourab e Somewhat fa ourab e

    eutra Somewhat unfa ourabe

    Strong yunfa ourabe

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    30%

    8%

    3%

    7%

    15%

    18%

    11%

    11%

    19%

    16%

    ave

    Wave1

    Str favourable Somewhat favourable

    Neutral Somewhat unfavourable

    Stronglyunfavourable

    Leader Favourables Gilles Duceppe

    Now we are going to provide you with several names of public figures. Please indicate whether or notyou have heard of that person and, if so, whether you have a strongly favourable, somewhatfavourable, neutral, somewhat unfavourable or very unfavourable impression of that person. GillesDuceppe

    Q

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    9%

    10%

    25%

    24%

    30%

    30%

    15%

    14%

    18%

    18%

    Wa e2

    Wa e1

    Strongly fa ourable Somewhat fa ourable

    Neutral Somewhat unfa ourable

    Stronglyunfa ourable

    Leader Favourables Elizabeth May

    Now we are going to provide you with several names of public figures. Please indicate whether or notyou have heard of that person and, if so, whether you have a strongly favourable, somewhatfavourable, neutral, somewhat unfavourable or very unfavourable impression of that person. ElizabethMay

    Q

    ROC Quebec

    4%

    5%

    14%

    18%

    37%

    33%

    13%

    10%

    20%

    22%

    Wa e2

    Wa e1

    Strongly fa ourable Somewhat fa ourable

    Neutral Somewhat unfa ourable

    Stronglyunfa ourable

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    Best Prime Minister by Region (Wave 2)

    Which of the following party leaders would make the best Prime Minister of Canada?Q

    40%

    57%

    41%38%

    31%

    13%

    1%

    12%

    19%16%

    30%27%19%25%

    31%

    12%15%18%

    12%17%

    3%4%2%5%3%

    BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic

    arper gnatieff La ton a Duceppe

    36% 22% 19% 3%3%

    Best Prime Minister (National)

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    Campaign Discourse and Events

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    87

    82

    71

    13

    18

    29

    Stephen

    arper

    ichael

    Ignatieff

    Jack La ton

    Yes No

    7

    7

    61

    59

    26

    26

    39

    1

    Stephen

    arper

    ichaelIgnatieff

    Jack La ton

    illes Duceppe

    Yes No

    ROC Quebec

    Awareness by Leaders

    Have you read, seen or heard anything aboutQ

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    RSH - Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party

    And what was it that you have read, seen or heard?Q

    15

    26%

    15%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    15%

    Controversy over excluding people from rallies

    Party platform/promises - general

    arper - negative

    Campaigning/campaigning loc ations

    Economic recovery/deficit reduction

    Plans to increase TFS

    (after balancing budget)

    Budget announcements/plans to balance budget earlier

    Bruce Carson scandal

    General media coverage

    Tax breaks/cuts - general

    Attack ads/general campaign ads

    Controlling the media/limiting media to five q uestions per day

    Tough on Crime Bill

    Against coalition government

    Other

    ROC

    20%

    15%

    6%

    6%

    5%5%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    14%

    Party platform/promises - general

    Controversy over excluding people from rallies

    arper - negative

    Getting rid of the long gun registry

    Budget announcements/plans to balance budget earlier

    Platform/promises wont come into effect until after budget is balanced

    Funding issues of Pont Champlain - Montreal

    General media cov erage

    Economic recovery/deficit reduction

    Campaigning/campaigning locations

    Plans to increase TFSA (after balancing budget)

    Controlling the media/limiting media to five qu estions per day

    Quebec sales tax TVQ

    Election - general

    Tax break/cuts - general

    ydro deal in NF

    Not listening to people

    Other

    Quebec

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    16

    Verbatims Stephen Harper

    Harper - negative

    He looks like a fool on a quad.

    I don't want to talk about itbecause he's a creep.

    Everyone is putting him down.

    another scandal about how

    tyrannical he is as a primeminister....it's his way or thehighway. it doesn't matter whatthe people want or even whathis party wants, it's all aboutwhat he wants.

    Steve ain't doing so good

    campaigning.

    Pathological liar and hypocrite.

    He makes mistake aftermistake. He offends everyone.

    Controversy over excluding

    people from rallies

    Throwing people out of ralliesbecause of information he hasabout their beliefs.

    About folks not being allowed toattend his rallies because of

    perceived liberal affiliations andthe RCMP screeners oversteppedtheir bounds.

    The RCMP removed somepeople from the organizedConservative rallies as they werethought to favour another party.

    That he has publicly altered hisconvictions on barring peoplefrom his events. My perception isthat his apology is not honest.

    Party platform/promises -

    general

    Platform released.

    I've read his new campaignplatform.

    He presented the Conservative

    Policy Platform to the people ofCanada.

    Election promises, electionpromises.

    His election promises.

    Campaign promises.

    His Party's campaign platform.

    He released the party's electionplatform document.

    Election platform which is arehash of the budget which didn'tpass.

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    19%

    12%

    10%

    9%

    9%

    %

    %

    %

    2%

    2%

    2%

    24%

    Pr

    t

    r

    l

    c

    l

    i rid

    I

    rr

    di

    t

    i

    ppr

    pri

    t

    c

    mm

    t

    m

    d

    c

    did

    t

    !

    lt c

    r

    pr

    mis

    s

    A

    ci

    p

    rt

    pl

    tf

    rm f

    rt

    l

    cti

    / R

    d

    "

    # l

    cti

    pr

    mis

    s (

    sp

    cifi

    d)

    E

    c

    d f

    di

    f

    r

    d c

    ti

    / p

    ssp

    rt

    A

    c

    m

    t

    f t

    F

    mil

    p

    ck / !

    lp f

    prf

    mili

    s

    I

    ti

    ff-Pers

    l

    pi i

    - $ egati%

    e

    Ignatieffcampaigningacr

    ss t ec

    ntr

    /

    ampaign trail

    Li eral t%

    ads

    Generalmedia (t%

    /radi

    /inter%

    iews,etc.)

    Ot er

    RSH - Michael Ignatieff and the Liberal Party

    And what was it that you have read, seen or heard?Q

    17

    15 &

    13&

    9 &

    7 &

    7&

    5 &

    4 &

    3 &

    3&

    3 &

    3 &

    3 &

    2 &

    2 &

    2 &

    2 &

    2 &

    2 &

    19 &

    I' '

    ue' ' urr( unding the inappr( priate ) omment ' made b0

    ) andidate'

    Announ) ing part0

    platform forthe ele) t i ( n / 1 ed 2 oo 3

    4 ealth ) are pr( mi ' e'

    Ignat ieff)ampaigning a

    )r

    ( ' '

    the)ount r

    0

    /5

    ampaign trail

    Announ) ement of the 6 amil0

    pa) 3

    / 4 elp foprfamilie'

    Ele) ti ( n pr( mi ' e' (un' pe ) ified)

    Enhan) ed funding foredu) ati ( n / pa ' ' po rt

    5 orpo rate tax in) rea' e

    Liberal t7

    ad '

    Ignat ieff' ) rit i ) i ' m' of 4 arper/ 5 on ' er7

    ati7

    e'

    Ignat ieff-Per' (

    nal op ini ( n - 8 egat i7

    e

    Ignat ieff-Per' ( nal op ini ( n - 8 egat i7

    e

    9 eneral ele) t i ( n ) o7

    erage

    9 eneral M edia

    Expen' i7

    e ' pending init iati7

    e' (i.e ' o ) ial pr( gram' )

    @ pending init iati7

    e'

    Empha' i ' on ) hildren ) are / A a0

    ) are

    Would re) on ' iderthe pur) ha' e of 6 -35 fighterjet '

    Other

    ROC Quebec

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    18

    Verbatims Michael Ignatieff

    Healthcare promises

    He has promised 6% increasesin transfers to the provincesonce the current agreementexpires.

    He has promised to protectour National Health care.

    That he is going to increase thefunding for health care

    His latest promise is that hewill increase the funding forhealth care. (whilst sitting with apatient awaiting five hours of

    chemo therapy).Just finished watching TV andsee he has promised to maintain6% funding increase for healthcare.

    Promises to replace Champlain

    Bridge

    Proposes to replace theChamplain bridge in Montreal.

    He would replace the Champlainimmediately.

    He says he will replace theChamplain Bridge. Just hope hedoesn't spend billions trying tofigure it out.

    He presented the Liberalplatform last Sunday, he promiseda new Champlain Bridge...

    Wants to rebuild new bridge inqc.

    He would replace the Champlainimmediately

    Issues surrounding the

    inappropriate commentsmade by candidates

    Racial remarks by a candidate

    Iggy's having problems withloose lipped liberal candidates.

    He has been doing damage

    control over remarks made byLiberal candidates - one in

    uebec and one in Alberta.

    Got clear of one of his memberafter rude remarks, but kept theother one (the judge) which waseven worst.

    Something about one of thecandidates making statementsabout sexual assault that werewidely considered to be offensive.I still don't know what thecomments actually were.

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    RSH - Jack Layton and the NDP

    And what was it that you have read, seen or heard?Q

    19

    13%

    9%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%26%

    Layton campaigning across the country/ Campaign trail

    Emphasis on health care imrovements

    B latfo rm revealed

    Does not want to spend money on jets but rather updat e the navy's fleet

    The focus on Laytons health issues

    Election promises (unspecified)

    Campaign ads

    Defence plan released / Milit ary policy / White Book

    Wants to increase CPP

    More funding forseniors / Home care

    General media (tv/radio/interviews C etc.)

    Policy against corporate tax cuts

    Spending initiatives (general)

    Attacking the Conservatives/Harper

    Hesupports BC keeping the $1.6 bi llio n HST allowance from Ottawa

    Strong support for f amilies

    Layton wants to build ships for navy in Canada

    General electio n coverage

    Falling support forNDP in the polls

    Other

    ROC

    12%8%

    6%

    6%

    6%

    5%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    2%

    2%

    2%

    2%2%

    2%

    19%

    IncD esinE suppF D G inpF lls H especi I lly in QuebecP

    ElecG i F npD F mises H unspecifiedP

    Q

    F D

    e fundinE

    fF D

    seni F D s R SF

    me cID

    e

    T ene D I l medi I H G

    v/ D I di F /in G e D views U e G cV P

    Pl I G fF D m D eve I led

    W I y GF

    nX

    PeD

    sF

    nI l cF

    mmen GX

    PF

    si G ive

    LI y GF ncI mpI i E ninE I cD F ss G he cF unG D y/ CI mpI i E n G D I il

    LI y GF nw I nG s G F limi G inG e D esG chI D E ed F ncD edi G cI D ds

    EmphI sis F nhe I l G hcI D e imD F vemenG s

    WI nG s GF

    incD

    e I se CPP

    Defence pl I n D ele I sed/Q

    iliG I

    D

    y pF licy / Whi G e BF FY

    ` G G I cY

    inE G he CF nse D v I G ives/HI D pe D

    DF

    esnF G w I nG G F spendmF ney F n je G sbuG D I G he D updI G e G he n

    a G

    D F nE suppF D G fF D fI milies

    b

    eview/CI ncel cF

    nGD

    I cG fF D Je G FiE

    hG eD

    I iD

    cD

    I fG

    CI mpI i E n I ds

    PF

    licy IE

    I insG cF D p F D I G e G I xcuG s

    a uppF D G fF D pe F pleG I

    Y

    inE cI D e F fI n elde D ly/sicY

    D

    elI G

    ive X

    LI y GF ns

    G I GinE hF whe I ndhispI D G y is G he D e G F benefiG G he

    HispF si G i F n F n envi D F nmenG

    c G heD

    Quebec

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    20

    Verbatims Jack Layton

    Emphasis on healthcare

    improvements

    Layton's strong push on healthcare issues and on increasingold age security.

    NDP are supporting betterHealth care- they are they only

    party to really talk about it.

    He was on TV going on abouthow he was the only one thatcould save health care.

    Layton is pushing for moreattention to long-term health

    care, and accusing "Harper'sGovernment" of a lack ofattention to details in thisregard, citing Holder's refusal todiscuss Health Care duringelection rallies.

    Increased support in polls

    (especially in Quebec)

    That the polls have given him 19per cent of the vote, up 2 fromyesterday.

    NDP moves into second place inQuebec.

    His increase in popularity inQuebec.

    Il est plus populaire au Qubecqu'avant.

    Les sondages au Qubec sont enhausse pour le NPD.

    Que le parti gagne des votesdans les sondages.

    Le NPD fait des gains au Qubec.

    Que le NPD augmente dans lessondages

    Election Promises

    More stupid election promisesthat taxpayers cannot afford.

    He is promising everything underthe sun.

    Jack promises us the world butalways fails to mention where the

    money will come from to pay forthese programs. That's ok becauseI already know that I, the taxpayer,will foot the bill. Thanks but nothanks.

    Campaign promises.

    The usual NDP drivel - promises

    he'll never be able to keepbecause he'll never get to be PM.

    Promising 2500 new jobs in(something?).

    Election promises.

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    RSH - Gilles Duceppe and the Bloc Quebecois

    And what was it that you have read, seen or heard? [Asked in Quebec Only]Q

    21

    13%

    13%

    7%

    7%

    6%

    5%

    5%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    3%

    17%

    That hei d defe e di ef

    Que g e h ' d i e te i e d ts

    Ducep p

    e-Peiso

    eal comme

    et - Ne

    f

    atiq

    e

    r

    ttacki ef

    Harper/ Co e servatives

    I e s ists o e tax harmo e isatio e

    Ca mpaif

    e i ef

    I e favour ofthe Champlai e bridge replaceme e t

    That heopposes funding for theLos

    er Churchil l project

    Complaining (unspecified)

    t loc Quebecois -Personal- Negative

    Help for theforest industry

    Campaign ads

    Generalmedia

    Asking for a reform to EI

    Comments regarding Arhurs absenteism

    Duceppe-Pos itive

    u ther

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    22

    Verbatims Gilles Duceppe

    Attacking Harper/

    Conservatives

    Commentaire ngatif surS.Harper.

    Attaque Harper l,HYPOCRITE

    Calls Harper a liar.

    Ses attaques contre lesconservateurs au Saguenay-LacSaint-Jean.

    "que harper aurait du mettrede ces promesses dans sonbudget"

    son discours et sademonisation de Harper alorsque ses antecedents syndicalessont plus epeurants que tout ceque harper peut evoquer

    That he is defending Quebecsinterests

    La dfenses des intrts duQubec.

    Il continue dfendre lesintrts du Qubec. S'il n'taitpas Ottawa pour s'opposer aux

    politiques de Harper, cela feraitlongtemps que le Qubec n'auraitrien.

    Dfense du Qubec.

    iL DEFEND BIN LE qUBEC,MAISIL NE PEU PAS PRENDRE LEPOUVOIR,ALORS C'EST PLUSFACILE DE CRTIQUER.....

    M.Duceppe promet de continuer prendre les intrts desQubecois.

    Duceppe - Personal comment

    - Negative

    C'est un parasite.

    Il fait une mauvaise campagne.

    Quil etait mal honnete.

    That he is there for the pay, andis only good to help to stop theconservative bunch of crooks inQuebec, no real good to theprovince beside that.

    C'est quoi il fais au fdrale cecrtin...il est la juste pour l'argentil fas rien du tout.

    Il ment toujours, on ne peut paslui faire confiance.

    Bien oui les mmes niaiseries, jene peux plus voir cet homme, ilme fait faire des ulcres.......

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    14

    13%

    7%

    7%

    16%

    15%

    37%

    39%

    57%

    8%

    9%

    35%

    23%

    16%5%

    Con erati e

    iberal

    P

    A lot more li el Some hat more li elo i eren e ome hat le li el

    Alot le li el

    ROC

    5%

    9%

    7%

    17%

    9%

    16%

    25%

    7%

    37%

    51%

    61%

    51%

    9%

    8%

    3%

    8%

    41%

    16%

    4%

    19%

    Con erati e

    iberal

    P

    locQuebecoi

    Alot more li el Some hat more li el

    o i erence ome hat le li elAlot le li el

    Party supporters, especially Liberals and NDPers, like

    what they hear form their party but not from others

    Did what you read, saw or heard leave you feeling more or less likely to voteQ

    Quebec

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    Campaign Engagement

    R

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    ampa gn o average nterest n R ut ess nterest ng

    than normal in Quebec

    Q

    40%37%

    16%

    22%

    15%

    25%

    9%

    3%

    21%

    13%

    ROC Quebec

    A lot oreinteresting than ost elections So e hat oreinteresting than ost elections

    About thesa ele elofinterest as ost elections So e hat lessinteresting than ost elections

    A lot lessinteresting than ost elections

    Is this election

    In Quebec, non-Tories are more likely to say the election isMUCH less interesting, in ROC, Tories seem less engaged

    M

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    Ma or ty say e era part es are ta ng a out t e ssues

    that matter, particularly outside of Quebec

    Q

    6%

    14%

    64%

    52%

    30%34%

    ROC Quebec

    Yes No Dont no

    Are any of the federal parties talking about issues you care about in this federal election?

    t t tt t t

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    en t comes to tt ng t e ssues onservat ves ea n

    ROCwhile NDP lead slightly ahead ofBloc in Qc.

    Q

    22%

    27%

    7% 6%

    26%

    39%

    18%

    29%

    20%

    ROC Quebec

    Conser ati e Liberal NDP Green locQuebecois

    Which of the federal political parties is talking the most about issues you care about in this federalelection?

    Generally, loyalists say their party is talking the most about issues theycare about, but the NDP is doing better than expected in Quebec.

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    Campaign Developments

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    Majority aware of facebook/rally controversy

    Q

    2% 4%

    84%

    72%

    15%24%

    ROC Quebec

    Yes No Don t no

    Have you read, seen or heard anything about the Conservatives asking someone to leave one oftheir events because she had a picture with Michael Ignatieff, the Liberal party leader, on herfacebook page?

    t t t t R

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    nc ent e t c ose to a n ot R an ue ec ess

    likely to vote Conservative

    Q If yes, did that incident leave you more or less likely to vote Conservative?

    43%

    49%

    8%6%

    41% 41%

    6%3%2% 2%

    ROC Quebec

    Much oreli el so e hat oreli el Willnot effect ote

    So e hat lessli el Muchlessli el

    Tory loyalists generally unaffected but about half the independents inthe panel less likely to vote Tory after this controversy

    Most t n t s unreasona e to exc u e peop e rom

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    Most t n t s unreasona e to exc u e peop e rom

    campaign events despite their political views

    Q

    24%28%

    49%54%

    8%4%

    18%14%

    ROC Quebec

    Ver reasonable So e hat reasonable So e hat unreasonable Ver unreasonable

    Do you think it is reasonable for political parties to prevent people who appear to support otherparties from attending their events? Is it very reasonable, somewhat reasonable, somewhatunreasonable or very unreasonable.

    Ma or ty are am arw t t e onservat ves apo og z ng

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    Ma or ty are am arw t t e onservat ves apo og z ng

    to the person they asked to leave one of their events

    Q

    6% 4%

    67%

    52%

    28%

    45%

    ROC Quebec

    Yes No Don t no

    Have you read, seen or heard anything about the Conservatives apologizing to the person theyasked to leave one of their events because she had a picture with Michael Ignatieff, the Liberal partyleader, on her facebook page?

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    Tories no Maple Leaf on this issue

    Q If yes, did that apology leave you more or less likely to vote Conservative?

    63%

    72%

    4% 4%

    20% 19%

    6%2%

    7%

    2%

    RO Quebec

    Much reli ely s ewhat reli ely illnot effect te

    o ewhat lessli ely Muchlessli ely

    Ma or ty are aware t at t e era s re t e r can ate

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    Ma or ty are aware t at t e era s re t e r can ate

    in the riding of Manicouagan

    Q

    2 3

    75 75

    23 22

    R C Quebe

    e No Don't now

    Have you read, seen or heard anything about the Liberals firing their candidate in the riding ofManicouagan, the former head of the Association for the Rights ofWhites, over past comments he

    allegedly made about aboriginals?

    T s nc ent a tt e e ect on t e ntent on to vote

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    T s nc ent a tt e e ect on t e ntent on to vote

    Liberal

    Q

    62%

    71%

    8% 9%11%

    9%8%3%

    11%8%

    ROC Quebec

    Much oreli el so e hat oreli el Willnot effect ote

    So e hat lessli el Muchlessli el

    If yes, did that incident leave you more or less likely to vote Liberal?

    ver a are aware o comments ma e y a B oc

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    ver a are aware o comments ma e y a B oc

    Quebecois candidate towards NDP Rival

    Q

    51%

    46%

    Yes No

    Have you read, seen or heard anything about a Bloc Quebecois candidate saying his NDP rival wouldlose votes because that candidate was aboriginal? [Asked in Quebec only]

    Th i id t h d littl ff t Bl t i t t

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    Q

    12%17%

    1% 1%

    68%

    Much reli ely s ewhat re

    li ely

    illnot effect te o ewhat less

    li ely

    Muchlessli ely

    If yes, did that incident leave you more or less likely to vote Bloc Quebecois?

    The incident had little effect on Bloc voter intent,

    especially in a positive way

    Ma or ty say too muc attent on as een put on ga es

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    Ma or ty say too muc attent on as een put on ga es

    and not enough attention has been put on the real issues

    Q

    6% 6%

    66%

    59%

    28%

    36%

    ROC QuebecToo uchattentionisbeinggi en toca paigngaffes, the ediashould focus oreonissuesandpolicies.

    The ediaareright to focusongaffesbecauseoften thegaffes tellus oreabout apart than theircarefull craftedpolicies.

    Dont Kno

    A lot of media coverage in this campaign has been about campaign mistakes or gaffes. Which of thefollowing statements is closest to your view?

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    Traffic Congestion

    Few feel that the federal government should take

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    Few feel that the federal government should take

    the lead on dealing with traffic congestion

    Which of the following best represents your view about the role of the federal government when itcomes to dealing with any traffic congestion problems in your area?

    Q

    30%

    21%

    39%

    31%

    3%

    10%

    28%

    38%

    RO Quebec

    The feder lgo ern ent should t e thelead ndealingwith tr fficc ngesti nThe feder lgo ern ent shouldbe nequalpartnerwith thergo ern entsThe feder lgo ern ent shouldpl y s llr lewhile thergo ern ents t e theleadThe feder lgo ern ent hasnor leindealingwith tr fficc ngesti n

    en t comes to tra c ma or ty o not now w c

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    en t comes to tra c, ma or ty o not noww c

    federal party is best able to deal with congestion issues

    Q

    5% 5%7% 5%

    64%

    14%

    56%

    14%9%7% 10%

    ROC Quebec

    TheConser ati e Part TheLiberal Part NDP Green locQuebecois Undecided/Don't no

    And which party do you feel is best on dealing with traffic congestion?

    Role of federal government (with respect to traffic) by42

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    Role of federal government (with respect to traffic) byfederal party best able to deal with congestion issues

    Q

    42

    Which of the following best represents your view about the role of the federal government when itcomes to dealing with any traffic congestion problems in your area?

    The federal

    government

    should take the

    lead on dealing

    traffic congestion

    The federal

    government

    should take the

    lead on dealing

    traffic congestion

    The federal

    government should

    play a small role

    while other

    governments take

    the lead

    The federal

    government has no

    role in dealing with

    traffic congestion

    Conservative 20% 13% 15% 10%

    Liberal 21% 13% 7% 3%

    NDP 12% 8% 4% 2%

    Bloc

    Quebecois7% 4% 3% 3%

    Green 16% 7% 7% 5%

    Party best

    able to deal

    with traffic

    congestion

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    One-off Questions

    Ma or ty sagree t at corporate taxes must e owere

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    Ma or ty sagree t at corporate taxes must e owere

    to stimulate economy

    Q For each statement below please indicate if you strongly agree, somewhat agree, neither agree nordisagree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each of the following statements:

    Corporate taxes must be lowered to stimulate the economy.

    13%

    17%

    23%

    28%27%29%

    16%

    8%

    19%15%

    ROC Quebec

    Strongl agree So e hat agree Neitheragreenordisagree

    So e hat disagree Strongl disagree

    5 n R an 5 n ue ec say t at corporat ons

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    5 n R an 5 n ue ec say t at corporat ons

    should be taxed more to fund social programs

    Q For each statement below please indicate if you strongly agree, somewhat agree, neither agree nordisagree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each of the following statements:

    Corporations should be taxed more to finance social programs.

    14%

    22%19%

    13%

    20%

    5%

    17%20%

    28%

    38%

    ROC Quebec

    Strongl agree So e hat agree Neitheragreenordisagree

    So e hat disagree Strongl disagree

    Ma or ty o ue ecers ee t at onservat ve e ect on

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    Ma or ty o ue ecers ee t at onservat ve e ect on

    promiseswill benefit ROC more than Quebec

    Q

    33%

    23%

    11% 11%9% 9%

    14%

    25%

    17%

    22%

    RO Quebec

    Str ngly gree S mewhat gree either greenordis gree

    S mewhat dis gree Str nglydis gree

    For each statement below please indicate if you strongly agree, somewhat agree, neither agree nordisagree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree with each of the following statements:

    (ROC) The Conservatives' election promises will benefit the other provinces more than my province.

    (QUEBECONLY) The Conservatives' election promises will benefit the other provinces more thanQuebec.

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    Email: [email protected] Lyle