robust data filtering in wind power systems by: andrés llombart-estopiñán circe foundation –...

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Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart- Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

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Page 1: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Robust data filtering in wind power systems

By: Andrés Llombart-EstopiñánCIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Page 2: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

ObjectiveIntroduction: the need of filteringThe LMS fitting techniqueThe LMedS methodologyExperimental resultsConclusions

Page 3: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

ObjectiveIntroduction: the need of filteringThe LMS fitting techniqueThe LMedS methodologyExperimental resultsConclusions

Page 4: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Objective

To assess the performance of the Least Median of Squares method when it is used to filter wind power data

Page 5: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

Objective

Introduction: the need of filteringThe LMS fitting techniqueThe LMedS methodologyExperimental resultsConclusions

Page 6: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Introduction

Why it is needed?OperationMaintenanceProduction Control

Characterization of the P – v curves

High quality P – v data

Page 7: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Introduction

Circumstances that affect the data qualitySensor accuracyEMI Information processing errorsStorage faultsFaults in the communication systemsAlarms in the wind turbineetc

Page 8: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Introduction

An example of P – v data

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Page 9: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Introduction

P – v data after considering the SCADA alarms

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Page 10: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

ObjectiveIntroduction: the need of filtering

The LMS fitting techniqueThe LMedS methodologyExperimental resultsConclusions

Page 11: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMS fitting technique

Gets the curve that minimizes the Mean Square Error

All measurements can be interpreted with the same model

Very sensitive to outliersBreakdown of 0% of spurious data

Page 12: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMS fitting technique

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LMS line

Page 13: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

ObjectiveIntroduction: the need of filteringThe LMS fitting technique

The LMedS methodologyExperimental resultsConclusions

Page 14: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

It is based in the existence of redundancyLMedS method uses the Median whereas

the LMS method uses the meanUnfortunately the LMedS method don’t

have analytical solution

Page 15: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMS fitting technique

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Page 16: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

ExampleFitting with a polynomial with 4 coefficientsn measurements

m possible solutions, where

!4!4

!

n

nm

Page 17: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

Steps to get the fitting:

1. Calculate the m subsets of the minimum number of measurements required to fit your curve

2. For each subset S, we compute a power curve in closed form PS

3. For each solution PS, the median MS of the squares of the residue with respect to all the measurements is computed

4. We store the solution PS which gives the least median MS

Page 18: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

Rejection of wrong data:Estimate de standard deviation

Probability of accepting a measure being good: 99 %

Threshold = 2.57

SMn 45148.1ˆ

Page 19: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

ObjectiveIntroduction: the need of filteringThe LMS fitting techniqueThe LMedS methodology

Experimental resultsConclusions

Page 20: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Experimental results

Methodology

A year of historical data 5 different tests

Alarm Records (AR) AR + classical

statistic method AR + robust statistic Classical statistic Robust statistic

Page 21: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Experimental results

Rough data Considered Alarms

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Page 22: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Experimental results

AR + Class. Stat AR + Robust Stat.

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Page 23: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Experimental results

Classic Stat. Robust Stat.

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Page 24: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Index

ObjectiveIntroduction: the need of filteringThe LMS fitting techniqueThe LMedS methodologyExperimental results

Conclusions

Page 25: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Conclusions

A robust filtering method has been proposed It has been proved successfullyThe method have shown a good

robustnessSome research is needed

Considering the wind direction

Page 26: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

Robust data filtering in wind power systems

Thanks for your attention

Page 27: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

Example: fitting a polynomial of 4 coefficients for a 3 months period of data, that implies ~ 12.750 data

The computational cost is huge

151!4!4

!E

n

nm

Page 28: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

Solution: selecting randomly subsets Compromise:

Minimizing the number of subsetsWarranting a reasonable probability of not

failingSo, the first method step is substituted

by a Monte Carlo technique to randomly select k subsets of 4 elements

Page 29: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

How many subsets?A selection of k subsets is good if at least in

one subset all the measurements are goodPns is the probability that a measurement is

not spuriousPm is the probability of not reaching a good

solution

41log

log

ns

m

P

Pk

Page 30: Robust data filtering in wind power systems By: Andrés Llombart-Estopiñán CIRCE Foundation – Zaragoza University

The LMedS fitting technique

In our example considering:Pns = 75 %Pm = 0,001

191log

log4

ns

m

P

Pk