road to the presidency 2016 ©james p. norris, may 26, 2015
TRANSCRIPT
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Road to the Presidency
2016©James P. Norris, May 26, 2015
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Who will run?
• Who has “declared” so far?• Who is considering running?• Who is leading as of the end of May,
2015• Who are these people?
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Remember…
• The Election is held on:
• That is a year and a half from now. A long timeand much can change by then.
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To be the candidate, one must…
• Make a strong showing in the Iowa caucus (Feb 1, 2016- Dem; Feb 2, 2016- Rep)
• Make a strong showing or win the New Hampshire Primary election (Tuesday, February 9, 2016)
• Make a strong showing or win in the other state primary elections from March to June, 2016
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But the actual nominations take place..
• 41st Republican Party National Convention• Cleveland, Ohio• July 18-21, 2016• And• Democratic National Convention• Philadelphia, PA• July 25–28, 2016
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Delegates from the whole country come together to nominate
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As of today, May 29, 2015Who has officially “declared”?
• Democratic Party:
– Hillary Rodham Clinton – Former Secretary of State, former U.S. Senator, Former First Lady.
– U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders – Democratic Senator from Vermont (2007 – present)
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“Declared” Republicans…as of 5/28/2015
• Ben Carson – Former pediatric neurosurgeon• Ted Cruz – U.S. Senator from Texas (2013- present) • Carly Fiorina – Former CEO of Hewlitt Packard • Mike Huckabee – Former Governor of Arkansas (1996 –
2007)• Rand Paul – U.S. Senator from Tennessee (2011- present)• Marco Rubio – U.S. Senator from Florida (2011 – present)• Rick Santorum – Former Senator (1995-2007) from PA.• George Pataki – Former N.Y. Governor (1994-2006)
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Who is a “Possible” Candidate?• Democratic Party- • Joe Biden• Lincoln Chafee• Andrew Cuomo• Kirsten Gillibrand• Amy Klobuchar• Dennis Kucinich• Martin O'Malley• Brian Schweitzer• Mark Warner• Elizabeth Warren• Jim Webb
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Who is a “Possible” Candidate?
• Republican:• Kelly Ayotte• Jeb Bush• Chris Christie• Mitch Daniels• Lindsey Graham• Nikki Haley• Bobby Jindal• John Kasich
• Peter King• Susana Martinez• George Pataki• Mike Pence• Rick Perry• Brian Sandoval• Rick Santorum• Scott Walker
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Why so many more Republicans
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Why so many more Republicans?
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Ok. I’ll be nice…Hillary has a formidable lead.
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Hillary Clinton leads the pack.
• Pollster Trend against fellow Democrats:
• Hillary Clinton 62.3%• Elizabeth Warren 12.4%• Bernie Sanders 10.6%• Joe Biden 9.4%• Martin O'Malley 1.8%• Jim Webb 1.6%• Brian Schweitzer 0.0%• Undecided• Other
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The other “declared” candidate:
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Basic Info:
• Hillary Rodham Clinton:• Born: October 26, 1947 (age 67), Chicago, IL• Height: 5' 7" (1.69 m)• Spouse: Bill Clinton (m. 1975)• Bernie Sanders:• Born: September 8, 1941 (age 73), Brooklyn, New
York City, NY• Office: Senator (D-VT) since 2007• Spouse: Jane O’Meara Sanders (m. 1988)
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Issues from the start…
• Hillary Clinton: Age 67 ( Would be 69 yrs old when takes office).
• Benghazi attack – Perception by some of lack of candor, truth.
• Money – The Clinton Foundation accepted donations from foreign governments and Bill Clinton got millions for speeches.
• Others?
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Issues from the start:
• Bernie Sanders – Age 73 (would be 75 when takes office –oldest ever)
• Socialist platform – Far left?
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Clinton has sketched out the broad policy strokes, declaring in her campaign launch video that she wants to be the “champion” for “everyday Americans.”
• On issues ranging from health care to climate change, she’s been largely in lockstep with President Barack Obama, and she used a roundtable discussion Tuesday at a community college in Iowa to outline four big fights she wants to take on — including getting “unaccountable money” out of the political system, using a constitutional amendment if necessary. She also backed Obama’s proposal to offer students two free years of community college.
• Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/04/hillary-clintons-policies-wheres-the-beef-116981.html#ixzz3bImGTKs3
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Sen. Bernie Sanders
• Technically an Independent (not a Democrat), Bernie Sanders is a self-described Socialist.
• As such, his issues and stances tend to be liberal and progressive.
• What Bernie Sanders thinks...
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Who leads on the Republican Side?
• Pollster Trend• Scott Walker 15.8%• Jeb Bush 13.3%• Marco Rubio 10.8%• Rand Paul 9.3%• Ted Cruz 8.9%• Ben Carson 8.7%• Mike Huckabee 8.4%
• Chris Christie 5.1%• Rick Perry 2.4%• John Kasich 1.8%• Carly Fiorina 1.6%• Rick Santorum 1.5%• Bobby Jindal 1.3%• Lindsey Graham 0.6%• Undecided
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Why include undeclared candidates?The “field” is still wide open
• Washington Post “most likely” candidates?
Jeb Bush (Fla), Chris Christie (NJ);Marco Rubio (Fla); Rand Paul (TN)
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• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xp2lEGHwDWc
• SNL Republican Candidates
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Hillary and Bernie’s videos
• Hillary's announcement video
• Bernie Sanders Announcement
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SNL and Hillary
• Saturday Night Live and Hillary's announcement