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    I n t e r n a t i o n a l T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n U n i o n

    reform

    TRENDSINTELECOMMUN

    ICATION

    2007THEROADTO

    NEXT-GENERATIO

    N

    NETWORK

    S

    ( N G N )Summa

    ry

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    ALSO AVAILABLE FROM ITU

    PUBLICATIONS

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2007: The Road to Next-Generation Networks (NGN), 2007 (8th Edition) .......100 CHF

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform: Regulating in the broadband world, 2006 (7th Edition).....................................95 CHF

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform: Licensing in an Era of Convergence, 2004/05 (6th Edition) ..............................95 CHF

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform: Promoting Universal Access to ICTs, 2003 (5th Edition) ..................................90 CHF

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform: Effective Regulation, 2002 (4th Edition) ...........................................................90 CHF

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform: Interconnection Regulation, 2000-2001 (3rd Edition) .......................................90 CHF

    Trends in Telecommunication Reform: Convergence and Regulation, 1999 (2nd Edition) .............................................75 CHF

    General Trends in Telecommunication Reform 1998: World Volume I ...........................................................................75 CHFGeneral Trends in Telecommunication Reform 1998: Africa Volume II ..........................................................................65 CHF

    General Trends in Telecommunication Reform 1998: Americas Volume III ...................................................................55 CHF

    General Trends in Telecommunication Reform 1998: Arab States Volume IV ...............................................................45 CHF

    General Trends in Telecommunication Reform 1998: Asia Pacific Volume V.................................................................60 CHF

    General Trends in Telecommunication Reform 1998: Europe Volume VI .......................................................................72 CHF

    Collection of five Regional reports (Volumes II-VI) ......................................................................................................297 CHF

    Collection of Regional and World reports (Volumes I-VI).............................................................................................372 CHF

    The Arab Book: Telecommunication Policies for the Arab Region, 2002.......................................................................50 CHF

    The Blue Book: Telecommunication Policies for the Americas, 2000 (2nd Edition) ......................................................50 CHF

    Please contact the ITU Sales Service:

    Tel.: +41 22 730 5111

    Fax: +41 22 730 5194

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Website: www.itu.int

    Note: Discounts are available for all ITU Member States, Sector Members and Least Developed Countries.

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    I n t e r n a t i o n a l T e l e c o m m u n i c a t i o n U n i o n

    TRENDS IN TELECOMMUNICATION

    REFORM 2007

    The road to Next-Generation Networks (NGN)

    Summary

    September 2007

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    Table of Contents

    Page

    1 Introduction.......................................................................................... 5

    2 Market and regulatory trends............................................................... 8

    3 Selected regulatory developments ..................................................... 17

    4 What is NGN?.................................................................................... 21

    5 Interconnection in an NGN environment........................................... 22

    6 Universal access and NGN ................................................................ 24

    7 Consumer protection and quality of service in NGN......................... 25

    8 Creating an enabling environment for NGN...................................... 28

    9 Conclusion ......................................................................................... 30

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    Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2007 Summary

    5

    TRENDS IN TELECOMMUNICATION

    REFORM 2007

    The road to Next-Generation Networks (NGN)

    Summary

    1 INTRODUCTION

    ITU/BDT is pleased to present the eighth edition of Trends in

    Telecommunication Reform, a continuing part of our dialogue with the

    worlds information and communication technology (ICT) policy-makers

    and regulators. This years edition focuses on the move to next-

    generation networks (NGN), which has captured the attention of the

    information and communication technology (ICT) sector in 2007. The

    sector has already seen the year of convergence, followed by the yearwhere broadband was on everyones lips, along with the more recent

    fascination with Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) and fixed-

    mobile convergence (FMC). Each of these recent buzz words represents

    part of the same evolutionary path in which individual service-specific

    networks are developing into advanced IP-based networks capable of

    providing a full range of services and applications accessible from a

    wide range of devices that can function from any location.

    Although the sector has faced many so-called revolutions, theconsensus, with regard to NGN, is that the move will be more of an

    evolution than a revolution. Many observers expect that NGN and the

    Internet will co-exist for some time although most would agree that the

    move to all IP-based networks is unstoppable. Even where NGN is

    deployed, it is also likely to include many variants as market players

    leverage their investments in todays technology. In Europe, Japan,

    North America and the Republic of Korea, many equate NGN with fibre

    (FTTx) deployments coupled with a move to more ubiquitous and robustwireless coverage. Indeed in wealthier countries, fixed-line operators are

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    deploying fibre closer and closer to the end-user, while mobile operators

    are investing in third, and even fourth-generation mobile networks as

    well as broadband wireless access (BWA). Both fixed and mobile

    networks are being upgraded to offer ever higher-speed broadband.At first glance, it looks like the digital divide storm clouds are

    brewing. European countries talk about tens of billions of euros of

    investments needed to achieve NGN, sums that would go begging in the

    developing world. But there is a silver lining. There is a growing range

    of wireless technologies that offers ever-increasing broadband

    capabilities. And national fibre backbone deployments are now within

    financial reach of developing countries. Todays fibre backbones

    coupled with wireless access technologies offer developing countries afar richer diet of ICT services than legacy Public Switched Telephone

    Network (PSTN) and 2G mobile networks ever could and at lower cost.

    Some developing countries, such as Argentina, Bangladesh, Bulgaria and

    Pakistan are already experiencing NGN migration by focusing on cost-

    effective solutions to enable affordable access to the widest base of end-

    users possible.

    Technology alone, however, is not the solution. Policy-makers

    recognize the need to abandon regulatory practices designed for anearlier era that today stifle innovation and investment and lead to

    arbitrage opportunities. Those countries that are witnessing the greatest

    explosion of ICT growth and investment have designed regulatory

    frameworks that enable and promote ICT development.

    The emerging NGN environment poses significant challenges to all

    market players who are developing new business models, as well as to

    governments and regulators intent on creating future-proof regulatory

    frameworks. This years Trends in Telecommunication Reform containsten chapters addressing each of the NGN-related challenges and

    opportunities to enable regulators to harness the potential of NGN to

    build an Information Society for all:

    Chapter One provides an ICT market and regulatory overview to

    set the stage for the following chapters;

    Chapter Two provides an NGN overview to introduce the

    discussion in the later chapters;

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    Chapter Three focuses on NGN technology in an effort to

    demystify the plethora of NGN terms under discussion;

    Chapter Four looks at fixed-mobile convergence as one of the

    trends leading to NGN deployments (the other major trend,VoIP, was explored in the 2006 edition ofTrends);

    Chapter Five examines interconnection and access in an NGN

    environment;

    Chapter Six looks at international Internet interconnection,

    which will take on increased importance as international

    networks become increasingly IP-based;

    Chapter Seven examines universal access and NGN;

    Chapter Eight addresses Quality of Service (QoS), consumer

    protection and cybersecurity in an NGN environment;

    Chapter Nine provides discussion on an Enabling Environment

    for NGN; and

    Chapter Ten provides a conclusion and a look ahead.

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    2 MARKET AND REGULATORY TRENDS

    Buoyant ICT growthIn order to understand the likely migration paths toward IP-enabled

    and next-generation networks, it is essential to evaluate the current state

    of ICT infrastructure deployment. Developed countries, which have the

    majority of the worlds fixed and broadband lines, are more likely to

    migrate to fixed rather than wireless NGN access networks as they

    upgrade their existing fixed-line telephone and cable TV infrastructure.

    Wireless access will still play a key role in developed economies where

    users seek seamless or ubiquitous coverage, and are likely to use fixedlines while in a set location (home or work) and mobile while on the go.

    Figure 1.1 Growth in fixed lines, mobile cellular subscribers

    and Internet users, in billions, world (1996-2006)

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    billi

    ons

    Internet users

    Mobile subscribers

    Fixed lines

    Source:ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database.

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    Figure 1.1 shows the buoyant growth in the ICT sector over the past

    decade, demonstrating the spectacular success of the mobile sector in

    particular.

    By the end of 2006, there were a total of nearly 4 billion mobile andfixed-line subscribers and over 1 billion Internet users. This includes

    1.27 billion fixed-line subscribers and 2.68 billion mobile subscribers

    (61 per cent of which are located in developing countries) as well as

    some 1.13 billion Internet users.

    Broadband on the rise

    While access to ICT continues to grow, countries are increasinglyfocusing on improving broadband use, in particular. Broadband is

    necessary in order to achieve the Information Society. Broadband-

    enabled services have the potential to create economic and empowerment

    opportunities and improve lives. Indeed, some of the applications that are

    having the greatest impact on people and businesses are closely linked to

    broadband uptake. This is also reflected by the fact that since 2005 there

    were more fixed broadband subscribers than dialup Internet subscribers

    worldwide.

    Today, however, broadband penetration is dominated by the

    wealthy countries. Some 70 per cent, or nearly three-quarters, of

    broadband subscribers worldwide in 2006, were located in high-income

    countries which accounted for just 16 per cent of world population.

    Furthermore, two economies India and Vietnam accounted for more

    than 95 per cent of all broadband subscribers in low-income countries,

    while a single economy China accounted for 94 per cent of

    broadband subscribers in the lower-middle income group (Figure 1.2).

    The good news is that a number of developing countries are experiencing

    broadband growth. In Peru, for example, the number of broadband

    subscribers has grown by close to 80 per cent annually between 2001 and

    2006, from 22779 in 2001 to 484899 at the end of 2006. In Europe,

    over half the Estonian population uses the Internet and the country has

    the highest penetration of both Internet and broadband in Central and

    Eastern Europe. But in Least Developed Countries (LDCs), there were

    merely 46000 broadband subscribers in the 22 out of 50 LDCs with

    broadband service in 2006.

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    Figure 1.2 Broadband worldwide

    Number of countries with broadband

    commercially available

    81

    113

    133145

    166 170

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 start

    2007

    Top 25 broadband economies by total number of subscribers, 2006

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    United

    States

    China

    Japan

    Ge

    rmany

    Korea

    (Rep.)

    U

    nited

    Kingdom

    France

    Italy

    C

    anada

    Spain

    Brazil

    Nethe

    rlands

    Taiwan,

    China

    Au

    stralia

    M

    exico

    Russia

    Turkey

    Poland

    Belgium

    Sweden

    India

    Switz

    erland

    Hong

    Kong,

    Ch

    ina

    De

    nmark

    Arg

    entina

    millions

    Source:ITU World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Database.

    In the area of broadband infrastructure, developed markets are

    intent on bringing fibre closer to the end user either as FTT Home

    (FTTH), where the fibre reaches the end-users premises, FTT Building

    (FTTB), where the fibre stops at the building; FTT Curb (FTTC) or FTTKerb (FTTK), where fibre stops at a curb near a building or group of

    buildings; and FTT Node (FTTN) or FTT Cabinet (FTTCab), where

    fibre stops at a cabinet with telecommunication equipment that serves a

    neighbourhood. Collectively, these variants are termed FTTx.

    The Asia-Pacific region today has more FTTx services than any

    other part of the world. Japan was the first country to introduce a FTTH

    network in 1999. In 2005, the number of Japanese subscribers to FTTH

    services increased 88 per cent to surpass the 5 million mark (Figure 1.3).

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    A positive trend in FTTx deployment worldwide is the increasing

    number of developing countries launching FTTx networks. In Asia,

    UTStarcom in India, and in Latin America, Telesp (the Brazilian fixed-

    line unit of Telefnica) are planning FTTx deployments for 2007.

    Figure 1.3 FTTH homes connected, Japan, 2000-2005

    0

    2000000

    4000000

    6000000

    8000000

    10000000

    12000000

    14000000

    16000000

    Dec-00

    Jun-01

    Dec-01

    Jun-02

    Dec-02

    Jun-03

    Dec-03

    Jun-04

    Dec-04

    Jun-05

    Dec-05

    FTTHDSLCATV

    Source:MIC Japan.

    In developing countries, the meteoric rise of mobile services has

    been fuelled by improved affordability, increased network coverage, and

    new service options. The same factors can promote wireless broadbandInternet access in developing countries, even in countries with poorly

    developed fixed-line infrastructure, as mobile handsets that support both

    voice and Internet applications become more affordable (Box 1.1). In

    Kenya, for example, one ISP has announced that it will provide Internet

    access, instant messaging, and push e-mail and attachment support to

    mobile users through a handheld device, in conjunction with its partner,

    a mobile operator. Nearby in Zambia, a mobile operator is introducing

    the countrys first mobile Internet access facility to provide customerswith quick access through their mobile handsets or laptops. Still, because

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    of high prices, these services remain beyond the reach of most customers

    in developing countries and are targeted to high-end and business

    customers. It is hoped that operators will eventually find pricing plans

    that make these services more affordable to a full range of users. (SeeFigure 1.4 showing deployments of mobile technologies).

    Figure 1.4 Map of mobile technologies worldwide, May 2007

    Note: The map shows networks commercially launched as of May 2007. For some

    countries where more than one technology has been commercially deployed, the most

    advanced technology is represented.

    Legend: 2G = Second-generation wireless telephone technology

    CDMA2000 1x = Code Division Multiple Access

    CDMA2000 1x EV-DO = Code Division Multiple Access Evolution-

    Data Optimized

    WCDMA = Wideband Code Division Multiple AccessHSDPA = High-Speed Downlink Packet Access

    Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of material in this map do

    not imply any opinion whatsoever on the part of ITU concerning the legal or other

    status of any country, territory or area or any endorsement or acceptance of any

    boundary.

    Source: ITU, based on data adapted from 3Gtoday

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    Box 1.1: Mobile broadband for developing countries

    The demand for affordable IMT-2000 services is rising in developing

    countries. One opportunity for developing nations, particularly thosewith large rural populations, is the commercialization of low-

    frequency mobile technologies. These enable wider coverage with

    fewer base stations, and hence reduce the cost of mobile infrastruc-

    ture significantly. CDMA450 is a 3G solution combining next-gene-

    ration CDMA2000 wireless communication services with wide

    network coverage using the 450-MHz frequency band. Its wide

    adoption throughout the developing world is indicative of the benefits

    it can bring in low-cost connectivity. In a number of countries,

    services licensed in the 450 MHz frequency are used for delivering

    mobile or fixed wireless access to remote rural areas, helping to

    bridge the rural-urban digital divide (e.g. in Argentina, Belize, Benin,

    China, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Indonesia, Libya, Mexico, Peru,

    Russia and Venezuela).

    Source: ITU, adapted from Telegeography, Global Insight and operators reports.

    Privatization and competition trends

    Despite the general slow-down in the sale of state-owned

    incumbent operators, privatization remains a priority for most countries

    that have not yet fully or partially privatized their incumbent operator.

    The objectives of privatization are to improve efficiency, productivity,

    and service quality, as well as to raise capital, improve management

    expertise and further develop the network. In addition, many countries

    have found that competition is often more fair when the state avoids

    being both a market player (as owner or part-owner of the incumbent)and a referee at the same time. Privatization sends the signal that policy

    decisions and regulations will be fair to all players. Between 1990 and

    2006, some USD 83 billion was raised through privatizations of

    incumbent public telecommunication operators in developing countries.

    By the middle of 2007, 123 ITU member countries had a private or

    privatized national fixed-line incumbent (Figure 1.5). Several other

    countries have announced their intention to privatize. The government of

    the Ukraine has the green light to move on its plans to sell Ukrtelecom.The Kyrgyz government also plans to further privatize the fixed-line

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    incumbent, Kyrgyztelecom, and Slovenias Finance Ministry has

    announced the international tender for the further sale of a minority stake

    in Telekom Slovenije by the end of August 2007.

    Figure 1.5 Public/private ownership of national fixed-line

    incumbents, 1991-2007, WorldAs of 1 June 2007

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    1991 1993 1995 1999 2001 2005 2007

    Private State-owned

    Countries

    Source:ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database.

    During the same period, the opening of markets to competition has

    remained steady. Mobile and Internet services continue to be the most

    competitive markets, while fixed-line services are also becoming

    increasingly competitive (see Figure 1.6).

    In the first part of 2007, the Gulf countries among the Arab States

    were very active in opening both their mobile and fixed markets. For

    example, in April 2007 the Supreme Council of Information and

    Communication Technology (ictQATAR) launched a formal selection

    process for the award of a mobile licence to a new entrant in the State of

    Qatar. The Telecommunication Regulatory Authority of Oman also

    announced its intention to license a second national operator. The second

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    operator will compete with Omantel which is currently the monopoly

    provider of fixed-line services.

    Figure 1.6 Growth of competition in basic services and cellularmobile services worldwide, 1995-2006, and competition in selected

    service areas, 2006

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    1995 1997 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

    Basic services Mobile

    CountriesGrow th of c ompetition, 1995 to 2006

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%100%

    Basic

    services

    Leased

    lines

    Mobile

    cellular(2G)

    Internet

    services

    Wireless

    local loop

    VSAT Cable TV DSL 3G

    Monopoly Competit ion

    Source:ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database.

    A growing community of regulators

    The establishment of a separate regulator is one of the most visible

    signs of sector reform. Separate regulatory agencies lay the groundworkfor a favourable investment climate and the promotion of market

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    opportunities. Increasingly regulators seek to be ICT enablers and agents

    of change. This is usually best achieved where ICT regulators have a

    certain degree of autonomy from government and industry pressures.

    The world now has 148 national ICT-sector regulators (Figure 1.7).Over 75 per cent of ITU Member States have established a separate

    regulator, although differences remain between regions. Africa counts

    the highest percentage of countries with a separate sector regulator

    (91 per cent), followed by the Americas (89 per cent), and Europe (80

    per cent). The Arab States and Asia-Pacific number 62 and 58 percent,

    respectively. Growth in the number of regulators is set to continue with

    more than five countries having indicated their intention to establish an

    ICT regulatory body in the near future.

    Figure 1.7 Growth of regulators worldwide, 1990 - mid-2007

    14

    43

    86

    106

    124

    137148

    1990 1995 1998 2000 2002 2004 2007

    Regulatory agencies,

    world (cumulative)

    Source:ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database.

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    3 SELECTED REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS

    International mobile roamingThe issue of mobile roaming charges is on the agenda of regulatory

    authorities and regional regulator associations worldwide, in an attempt

    to find solutions for the high international roaming charges paid by

    consumers using their mobile phones while travelling abroad. To date,

    most regional groups have taken a soft-regulation approach to

    international mobile roaming, focusing on publishing roaming rates. The

    European Commission, however, in a watershed measure, has decided to

    regulate roaming charges in the 27-country European Union block. Thismove may embolden other regional groups to take firmer action to cut

    mobile roaming charges.

    Regulating local loop unbundling and infrastructure sharing

    Local loop unbundling (LLU) has generated a lot of debate

    worldwide, with countries and regions taking a variety of approaches.

    The different approaches taken to unbundling often reflect the balance

    countries seek to strike between addressing competitive bottlenecks and

    encouraging investment in infrastructure. Countries like the United

    States, with inter-modal broadband competition between cable TV and

    ADSL broadband providers, may place less emphasis on local loop

    unbundling, and even view unbundling as a barrier to innovation and the

    development of infrastructure. Countries with limited inter-modal

    competition, such as many European countries, have found it necessary

    to embrace local loop unbundling to encourage ADSL provision and are

    now planning to extend LLU to FTTx deployments. Regulators inEurope have vigorously enforced LLU regulation as a means of boosting

    broadband deployment, and the number of unbundled lines currently

    available in Europe has risen dramatically, by nearly 80 per cent from

    2005 to 2006. Many developing countries, in initial stages of sector

    reform, have focused primarily on increasing the number of voice users,

    and have principally concentrated on raising the number of voice

    subscribers on mobile networks. They also had far fewer fixed local

    loops to unbundle.

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    In addition to LLU, other regulatory measures are being developed

    to ensure smooth competition and market access for new entrants such as

    mandatory passive infrastructure sharing and in-site sharing. According

    to ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database, a majority ofcountries who completed the 2006 survey indicated that infrastructure

    sharing is required while nearly half indicated that in-site sharing is

    mandatory. This is the case for example in Bulgaria, Colombia, Jordan,

    Madagascar, Mali, Morocco, Poland and Turkey.

    Interconnection

    A clear and transparent interconnection regulatory framework is

    key to a sustained competitive environment. Providing public access toreference interconnection offers, agreements, and prices is one tool

    regulators can use to promote transparency, raise competitor awareness

    and ensure a level playing field among competitors.

    Worldwide trends show that only 32 per cent of countries require

    the publication of interconnection agreements. In contrast, interconnec-

    tion pricing information is made publicly available in 59 per cent of

    countries around the world. Europe is taking the lead with 72 per cent of

    countries requiring interconnection prices to be made public, while in the

    Americas, only 46 per cent of countries require operators to publish this

    information (Figure 1.8). The Arab States have the highest percentage of

    countries mandating operators to publish reference interconnection

    offers, followed by Europe and the Asia-Pacific regions. The require-

    ment to publish reference interconnection offers is mainly imposed on

    the incumbent operator or operators with significant market power.

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    Figure 1.8 What interconnection information is made publicly

    available?

    0%

    10%

    20%30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    Africa Americas Arab States Asia-Pacific Europe

    Interconnection prices RIO Interconnection agreements

    Note: RIO refers to reference interconnection offer. The percentages shown in the

    figure are based on the number of countries that answered positively to the relevant

    questions in the 2005 and 2006 annual telecommunication regulatory surveys.

    Source: ITU World Telecommunication RegulatoryDatabase.

    VoIP regulation

    Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) subscribers continue to grow,

    fuelled primarily by the demand for lower cost services as well as the

    fact that VoIP is being integrated into a number of new services offered

    on IP networks. Despite obvious benefits, VoIP also challengestraditional telecommunication business models, leading some countries

    to try to ban or limit VoIP. In many countries, incumbents have resisted

    offering VoIP services to protect their lucrative long-distance and

    international call revenues. In the process they have tried to convince

    regulators and policy-makers to ban or restrict other service providers

    from doing so. Today, however, the number of countries in which VoIP

    has been legalized is greater than the number of countries where it is

    banned.

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    Indeed the state of VoIP regulation is changing so quickly it is

    almost impossible to keep pace. Until recently, for example, VoIP was

    banned in many African and Arab State countries. Today, a growing

    number of countries have or are about to legalize VoIP, including,Algeria, Ghana, Kenya, Mauritius, Nigeria, Somalia, South Africa,

    Tanzania and Uganda (Figure 1.9).

    Figure 1.9 The spectrum of regulatory treatment of VoIP, 2006

    Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database and ITU, The state of

    VoIP worldwide 2006

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    4 WHAT IS NGN?

    There are numerous views of what constitutes NGN. Different

    operators that have begun the process of NGN migration refer to theirnext-generation networks differently. For some, NGN simply means

    migration from a PSTN to an IP-based network. For others, it is a more

    specific reference to advances such as international call IP trunking and

    IP in the local loop.

    From a technology perspective, NGN is based on a new architecture

    that modifies both the core and access parts of a telecommunication

    network, changing the way it delivers services to end-users (Box 1.2).

    At the network core level, the major innovation associated with

    NGN is the introduction of a packet-based transport level that is separate

    from the network control layer. This packet-based transport is generally

    based on Internet Protocol, which is the current universal transport

    technology capable of handling any type of service. However, this

    transport is enriched with Multi Protocol Label Switching (MPLS) to

    ensure Quality of Service (QoS). At the end-user NGN access level,

    access is provided through packet-based broadband capable of handling

    the provision of voice, data, and other content-based services. Broadbandaccess can be either delivered through fixed-line technology such as

    Digital Subscriber Line (DSL), fibre-optic and cable TV, or wireless

    technology such as broadband wireless access (BWA).

    Box 1.2: ITU definition of NGN

    A Next Generation Network is defined by ITU as a packet-based

    network able to provide telecommunication services and able to makeuse of multiple broadband, QoS-enabled transport technologies and in

    which service-related functions are independent from underlying

    transport-related technologies. It enables unfettered access for users

    to networks and to competing service providers and/or services of

    their choice. It supports generalized mobility that will allow

    consistent and ubiquitous provision of services to users.

    Source: ITU-T Recommendation Y.2001

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    5 INTERCONNECTION IN AN NGN

    ENVIRONMENT

    Domestic interconnection

    Regulation is frequently needed in support of access and

    interconnection. A key question that is considered in this eighth edition

    of Trends in Telecommunication Reform is the degree to which

    regulation of access and interconnection will be necessary in the

    emerging world of NGN and in particular how the emergence of NGN

    alters market power and market entry.

    In particular, the relative merits of different wholesale inter-

    connection charging arrangements are explored in the NGN context.

    Most of the world uses a system known as Calling Partys Network Pays

    (CPNP); however, a less widely used system known as Bill and Keep

    offers a number of advantages, particularly for countries where adoption

    of ICT services is already well advanced. Migration to an NGN environ-

    ment is a natural time for a country to consider whether wholesale

    interconnection arrangements could profitably evolve.

    International interconnection

    On an international level, the subject of interconnection has been

    dominated for some time by issues related to the accounting rate system

    and the cost of international Internet connectivity. While these issues

    have been with us for some time, a greater sense of urgency to resolve

    them has been brought about by the transition to NGN. This transition is

    expected to lead to further declines in the amount of PSTN traffic thatgoes through the accounting rate system, in turn reducing the amounts of

    foreign exchange developing countries receive through settlement

    payments. At the same time, this transition is also expected to place a

    greater burden on developing countries in the form of costs related to

    international Internet connectivity. For a variety of reasons, developing

    countries have had to bear high costs for international connectivity to the

    Internet. This burden is expected to increase as more traffic migrates to

    NGN.

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    While the decline of the accounting rate system appears

    unstoppable, developing countries are taking a multi-pronged approach

    to ensure that access to ICT services becomes more affordable and

    available. This includes deploying international fibre cable networks, tolower costs for international Internet connectivity and concerted

    domestic sector reform such as liberalizing the international gateway and

    promoting competition in international leased lines. At the same time,

    local and regional traffic aggregation and exchange initiatives are

    attracting increased support.

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    6 UNIVERSAL ACCESS AND NGN

    On the one hand, NGN promises to benefit universal access efforts

    by expanding the range of services that can be made available through asingle network. On the other, NGN also brings along with it a number of

    significant challenges that include the erosion of traditional revenue

    bases used to fund universal access programmes and the possibility of an

    even widening digital divide stemming from an uneven distribution of

    NGN-related benefits.

    In all cases, it is necessary for sufficient importance to be given to

    sector reform in expanding ICT access. A systematic review of a

    countrys universal access policies should first and foremost include arevision of its sector policies and regulations concerning licensing,

    spectrum management, interconnection, VoIP and price regulation with a

    view towards lowering barriers to market entry in rural and remote areas.

    In the event that universal access funding becomes necessary, the

    following issues are raised in an NGN environment:

    How should the scope of universal access be defined? Should

    broadband be included? Should it apply only to transport or toservices?

    How should funds used to support universal access be collected

    given the decline in incumbent voice revenues?

    How should funds for universal access be distributed to take

    advantage of new technologies that allow economies of scale to

    be more easily attained?

    In deciding between the different options available for regulatorsand policy-makers, it should be recalled that the transition to NGN is

    ongoing with markets still adjusting to changes. With future

    developments being hard to predict, greater reliance in general must be

    placed on market forces in the provision of universal access.

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    7 CONSUMER PROTECTION AND QUALITY OF

    SERVICE IN NGN

    NGN offers the possibility of delivering real benefits to citizens andconsumers in terms of innovative new services and greater choice.

    However, the convergence of different services onto a single network

    raises important issues concerning quality of service, consumer

    awareness and consumer protection. For example, although consumers

    may perceive new voice services like VoIP to be identical to traditional

    voice services, they may not be able to deliver traditional features such

    as access to emergency services.

    The level of regulatory intervention required to protect consumerswill depend in part on the structure of the market concerned and the

    commercial incentives for service providers. Where there are effective

    competition and commercial incentives for service providers the focus is

    likely to remain on consumer empowerment, which can be enforced

    where necessary through transparency requirements. Where competition

    or commercial incentives are weak, regulators may need to take a more

    interventionist approach such as the setting and monitoring of minimum

    QoS standards that are appropriate to the NGN environment.Today, QoS monitoring is mandatory in a vast majority of

    countries. Regulators can be mandated to address a range of activities

    from defining and setting QoS measurements, to monitoring and

    enforcing QoS. Sometimes these duties are also shared with the sector

    ministry, consumer protection associations, and national standardization

    agencies (Figure 1.10).

    The migration to NGN has also led to a growing debate concerning

    net neutrality. The expression net neutrality usually refers to the

    debate around whether there should be an overarching principle of non-

    discrimination regarding different forms of Internet traffic carried across

    networks. The debate is most controversial where it relates to

    differentiation between application providers. For example, network

    operators in the United States have argued that they need to be able to

    charge application providers for high priority traffic in order to support

    the business case for investment in higher capacity networks that such

    applications require. The counter argument by those who favour net

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    neutrality is that end users have already paid the operators for access and

    that prioritization by ISPs effectively constitutes charging twice for the

    same network.

    Figure 1.10 Who sets the standards? Who monitors service

    quality?Entities responsible for setting quality of service standards by percentage

    Sector

    Ministry

    21%

    Operators

    8%

    Other

    7%

    Regulator

    64%

    Setting QoS

    Standards

    Entities responsible for service quality monitoring by percentage

    Regulator

    64%Sector

    Ministry

    14%

    Operators

    17%

    Other

    5%

    Monitoring

    Service Quality

    Note: In some countries, more than one entity can be responsible for setting and

    monitoring QoS standards.

    Source: ITU World Telecommunication Regulatory Database

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    In essence the issue of net neutrality is all about the future of

    commercial relationships, payment flows and access to markets.

    Concerns about net neutrality are greatest where an operator with

    significant market power (SMP) in the relevant market undertakes toprioritize delivery of its own services over those of its competitors for

    anti-competitive purposes.

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    8 CREATING AN ENABLING ENVIRONMENT

    FOR NGN

    The transition to NGN has demonstrated the importance ofregulatory clarity when dealing with essential facilities controlled by the

    incumbent. Without clarity, current and future investment by competitive

    providers may be disrupted, as their investment decisions are highly

    dependent on the incumbents future plans. In the Netherlands, for

    example, the Dutch regulator OPTA has identified the lack of clarity and

    certainty regarding access alternatives in the wake of incumbent KPNs

    NGN migration, as a factor leading to low levels of investment in Digital

    Subscriber Line (DSL) networks by competitive providers during thefirst semester of 2006.

    In general, regulators are mindful of the risks associated with NGN

    deployment so as not to stifle innovation. They seek to balance this goal

    with that of fostering robust, competitive markets. Although it is not

    necessarily the role of the regulator to protect investments made by

    competitive providers against market risks, it is still important to

    consider their interests in terms of ensuring the continued availability of

    current wholesale inputs to their products during the lifetime of theassets in which they have invested. Similarly, suitable migration paths

    for existing infrastructure investments following the deployment of new

    technologies must be ensured.

    In order to arrive at the best result, it is important for governments

    to build in mechanisms for collaboration among regulators, policy

    makers and industry, as they grapple with the issue of how best to

    address the transition to an NGN environment. Regulators in Costa Rica,

    Lithuania and the United Kingdom, for example, have acknowledgedthat they should play a supervisory role rather than attempt to manage

    the migration to NGN, recognizing that industry stakeholders, who better

    understand the requirements and potential of NGN, are more likely to

    develop effective solutions than regulators. The involvement of

    stakeholders in the regulatory process can take a number of forms,

    including a consultative process, hearings, seminars, forums, community

    meetings, as well as establishing technology expert groups and industry-

    led groups. The goal of such collaboration is to ensure that the regulatory

    framework does not become so restrictive that it thwarts investment in

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    NGN and, at the same time, it does not act too late to encourage

    competition.

    These objectives, designed to facilitate the migration to NGN are

    enshrined in the best practice guidelines agreed by regulatory authoritiesfrom around the world that participated in the 2007 ITU Global

    Symposium for Regulators (GSR). The 38-point roadmap is designed to

    encourage regulatory frameworks that foster innovation, investment and

    affordable access to NGN. The 2007 GSR Best Practice Guidelines

    underscore the importance of embracing the principles of a clear and

    transparent regulatory process, including the adoption and enforcement

    of rules; technology-neutral and competitive network provision under a

    coherent approach, that address the issues raised by convergence. Theguidelines also call on regulators to adopt forward-looking regimes

    subjected to regular reassessments to ensure that undue regulatory

    barriers to competition and innovation are removed. This on-going

    monitoring would also ensure that users and providers are able to

    migrate to future networks whenever market conditions are met. The full

    text of the 2007 GSR Best Practice Guidelines is available at

    www.itu.int/ITU-D/treg/Events/Seminars/GSR/GSR07/consultation.html

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    9 CONCLUSION

    While it is simply too early to determine the precise regulations to

    apply in an NGN environment, it is nevertheless certain that thetransition to NGN is underway and that it promises to fundamentally

    alter the ICT landscape. It will bring opportunities for operators and

    benefits for consumers, while at the same time posing challenges for

    regulators and policy-makers. Regulation in this regard is a true work in

    progress. There is much to be learned from those countries that have

    gone further down the road of technological development and policy

    analysis. As is the case in all ICT developments, there will be world

    leaders in NGN development and regulation. Those countries that are at

    less developed stages will have the opportunity to benefit from the

    experiences, mistakes and successes experienced by those leading

    countries. At a minimum, there is clear guiding value in the established

    principles of regulation that seek to foster competition and investment. In

    most cases, there is yet to be a convincing case to depart from these tried

    and tested principles. Where necessary, departure from these principles

    should be capable of justification and be modelled to promote

    competition, investment certainty and consumer welfare.

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    Regulatory information is available on the ITUs onlineICT Eye portal

    The worlds unique one-stop-shop for Telecom/ICT data collection

    and dissemination!

    www.itu.int/ITU-D/icteye/

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    For more information on this report and other ITU regulatory

    activities, consult www.itu.int/ITU-D/treg/

    For ordering information, contact:

    International Telecommunication Union

    Sales and Marketing Division

    Place des Nations 1211 GENEVA 20 Switzerland

    Fax: +41 22 730 5194 E-mail: [email protected]

    http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/treg/
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