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2nd Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Symposium for the Energy Sector 5- 6 March 2018, Paris Pekka Niemi Fingrid Plc. Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland

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Page 1: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

Julkinen

2nd Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Symposium for the Energy Sector5- 6 March 2018, Paris

Pekka NiemiFingrid Plc.

Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland

Page 2: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

Fingrid and Power System

Page 3: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

Finland runs on electricity. Fingrid's most important task is to ensure that Finland obtains electricity without disturbances at all times.

Pekka Niemi3

Page 4: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

How does electricity travel?

Electric Power System

Page 5: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

10 reserve powerplants

> 935 MW reserve

over 47 000 towers 115 substations

14 400 km of power lines

300 km of submarine cable

The main grid in numbers

Page 6: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Power Transmission Network

to which major power plants, factories and regional distribution

networks are mainly linked.Also connects Finland to

international electricity markets.

Page 7: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

The risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland

Page 8: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Threats caused byweather• The climate in Finland puts several

severe stresses on the open air structures of power network.

• The mix of wind, snow, frost, water and ice in different amounts and strenghtsmust be anticipated in planning of thestructures.

• Wind alone has not been documentedto have caused severe breakdowns in main grid stucturess unless materialdefects or bad planning has contributed

Page 9: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Ice, frost and snow• Hoar frost is quite frequent trouble in

wintertime on the conductors and lightning arrester ropes. The load cancause dangerously deep sags and even cut down of ropes or wires.

• Heavy snowloads cause widedisruptions and outages especially in distribution networks due to treesbending down on conductors(picture).

• Wind alone has not been documentedto have caused severe breakdowns in main grid stucturess unless materialdefects or bad planning has contributed

Page 10: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Freezing rain in Finland• Freezing rain is considered a rare and

potentially very destructivephenomenon to power networks and other critical infrastructures.

• The huge damages caused by freezingrain in Canada 1998, Germany 2005 (pic.), Slovenia 2011, Russia 2013 arenoticed with great concern also in Finland.

Page 11: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Why is freezing rain so serious threat ?• The strenght of structures in transmission

network is designed to withstand normal(weight and tension) and exceptional (storm, single conductor brakedown) stressesaccording to standards based on climatic and geographical circumstances.

• Combination of wind and ice accumulating on especially conductors cause eventuallysurpassing the strenght of structures and dueto one collapse several others are bound to follow.

Page 12: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Consequenses of ice stormFreezing rain combined with strong windsmakes an ice storm.

The ice storm affects the whole society withseverity directly proportional to theaccumulation of ice and strenght of winds.

In USA a index table is created to assess theconsecuences of an ice storm the variablesbeing ice accumulation and wind speed

Sperry-Piltz Ice Accumulation Index.

http://www.spia-index.com/

Page 13: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

CLIM4ENERGYCase study using the indicator

Freezing Rain Impact Indicator

Page 14: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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Freezing Rain Impact Indicator

The co-operation in developing FreezingRain Impact Indicator with Finnish Meteorogical Institute has brought Fingrid deeper understanding of freezing rain as a climatic phenomenon an also data of itsoccurence and projections of the possiblechanges up to the middle of this century.

Page 15: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

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The use of Freezing Rain Impact IndicatorThe projections provided in this projectshow clearly that the increase of possibilityof freezing rain in Finland up to 2050 is slight.

The change do not imply upgrading thestandards of designing power networkstructures or involve other preventivemeasures such as providing anti-icing methods or techniques excess to what already are available.

FZRA>25 mm/24 h

RCP4.5

RCP8.5

Page 16: Risk of freezing rain disruption in Finland · 8 Pekka Niemi Threats caused by weather • The climate in Finland puts several severe stresses on the open air structures of power

Fingrid OyjLäkkisepäntie 2100620 HelsinkiPL 530, 00101 HelsinkiPuh. 030 395 5000Fax 030 395 5196

Thank you!