risk management of pipeline systems
TRANSCRIPT
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Risk Management of Pipeline Systems
PRESENTED BY:
Daryl Foley P.L.(Eng)
President and Founder
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Risk
Will It Happen? Event Tree
• Stop From Happening (Barriers) » Prevent/Remove Water
» Inhibit (Dry and Wet)
» Inspect More Frequent
» Overdesign
How Bad Will it be? Fault Tree
• Reduce Impact (Find/Respond)
» Improve Leak Detection
» Frequent Isolation (Sectionalizing Valves)
» Rapid Response
Probability
Incident
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Risk Considerations
• What do I have ?
• Where is it ?
• What are it’s conditions ?
• Is this a threat ?
• What could happen ?
• What is the probability ?
• What should I do about it ?
• Is what I did effective ?
• What should I do to make it better ?
• Did it make it better ?
• Am I comfortable with control ?
• How often should I re-evaluate ?
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Management Systems
• KPI’s
• Management Commitment
• Processes
• Defined Responsibility
• NCR/CA
• MOC
• RCA
• Technical Specifications
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Operator Maturity
Maturity 2
No Risk Management
Program
Maturity 3
Basic Risk Spreadsheet
Maturity 4
Records Complete Advanced Processes, Procedures,
Organizational Alignment
Integrated Risk Assessment
Process
Internal Training
Maturity 5
Comprehensive Records, Advanced
Processes, Organizational
Alignment
Always Improving!!
Sophisticated Risk Modelling, Always
Improving
Internal/External Training
Poor Inventory
Have Good Inventory
Some Processes and Procedures
OMS/SLMS
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Consequence To Public
Dictates Maturity Expectation
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Risk Management Cycle
Sample and Test: Determine Characteristics
Calculate/Inspect: Confirm Threat (Theory Or Visually)
Mitigate: Implement Control Of Threat
Monitor: Look For Indications That Control Is Effective
Inspect: Verify Through Inspection
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Where Do You Spend Your
Time?
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How Often Should You Look?
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Damage Types
• Internal Corrosion
• External Corrosion/Interference (AC Inter/Foreign
Line)
• Manufacturing Or Installation Defect
• Third Party Strike
• Operator Error
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Internal Corrosion
• Gas Systems – Dehydration Upsets
» (No Water, No Corrosion)
• Water Holdup (Topography, Traps)
• Bacteria Contribution
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Mitigation
• Dehydration
• Pigging (Water Removal)
• Inhibitor- Vapour Phase Inhibitors (pH Modifiers)
• Inhibitor - Film Formers
• Inhibitor - Batch
• Biocide
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Mitigation Effectiveness
Don’t take credit in your risk tool for mitigation that isn’t verified!
Residual risk should provoke an action, the action should verify or reduce the risk.
Is Mitigation Happening?
Field Checks, Documents
Is It Working?
Residuals, Bacteria Counts, Water
Is It For Sure Working?
Inspect !!
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Monitoring/Sampling
• Flow
• Dewpoint
• Chemical Injection Rates
• Right of Ways
• Leak Detection
• Coupons/Probes
• Chemistry
• Bacteria Counts
• Chemical Residuals
• Water
• Water Chem (pH, Fe/Mn)
• Solids
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External Corrosion
CAUSE
• Poor Coating
• Inadequate Cathodic Protection
• Interference (AC/DC ie. Foreign Line)
• Material Hard Spots (SCC)
HOW TO MANAGE
• Risk Models Using Age, Coating, and History
(Shielding Is Hard To Find )
• Cathodic Protection (Criteria are given in Section 6 of
NACE SP0169 and Annex B of CGA OCC-1.)
• Consider Stress Corrosion Cracking (CEPA)
• Management By ILI is Best Approach
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Manufacturing and Construction
• Hard Spots (Cracking)
• Laminations
• Improper Weld (ERW/DSAW)
• Dents, Gouges, Wrinkles
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Third Party Strike
• Call Before You Dig
• Signage
• Community Awareness and Education
• Inspections
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Inspection/Testing
• Dig Sites and UT/Visual
• In-line Inspection
» Magnetic Flux
» UT (High Resolution & Ultra High Resolution)
» EMAT (Electro-Magnetic Acoustic Transducer)
» Caliper
» Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU)
• Pressure Tests (feasible in dry gas?)
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In Line Inspection - Key Factors
• Establish A Specification For The Vendor To
Meet
• Probability Of Detection (POD)
• Probability Of Identification (POI)
• Detection Resolution (Pit Size, Grooving)
• Cost Of Digging
• Data Management And Comparison
• Establish A Specification To Be Met By Vendors
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Comparison Between Inspections
• Matching Corrosion Sites
» Cluster Matching (Not As Accurate)
» Box Matching (Best For Different Vendors)
» Signal Matching (Not Good For Different Vendors)
• Growth Rate Errors (Bias and Repeatability)
» Use The Same Technology Between Runs
» Use The Same Vendor If Possible
» Calibrate ILI Signal For Different Magnetization
Levels
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Assessment Considerations
• Failure Pressure Ratio (FPR)
» Predicted burst pressure/100% SMYS
• Assessment methods
» RSTRENG (Modified ASME B31G)
» ASME B31G
» DNV RP-F101
» Shell 92
» BS 7910
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Resources and References
• API 1163, “In-Line Inspection Systems Qualification”
• Pipeline Operators Forum -Specifications and Requirements for
In-line Inspection Companies
• Certified Technicians(ANSI/ASNT-ILI-PQ-2005)
• CEPA –Metal Loss Inline Inspection Tool Validation
• CEPA-Recommended Practice for Managing Near Neutral pH
SCC
• Assessing Repeat ILI Data Using Signal to Signal Comparison
Techniques Jane Dawson; Geoffrey Hurd Baker Hughes
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Thank You
PRESENTED BY:
Daryl Foley