richard t. watson marie-claude boudreau martina greiner donald wynn paul t. york terry college of...

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Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Busines University of Georgia [email protected] The Business of Open Source

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Page 1: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Richard T. WatsonMarie-Claude BoudreauMartina GreinerDonald WynnPaul T. York

Terry College of BusinessUniversity of [email protected]

The Business of Open Source

Page 2: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

What do customers say?

Page 3: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Weather.com

• Dan Agrow (CIO) My experience is we have actually received

better support of open-source software than we have with commercial software

Lots of open-source products work very well and can be deployed and run for about half the cost of commercial products

Page 4: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Sabre Holdings

• Moving off fault-tolerant Compaq Himalaya servers onto a combination of Linux and the MySQL database running on clustered Intel servers

• Total cost of ownership will be at least 40% cheaper, with anticipated savings of “tens of millions of dollars” [Craig Murphy (CTO)]

Page 5: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

La Quinta

• Shifted online reservation system from BEA’s WebLogic to JBoss

• Rationale Good service Increased flexibility Lower costs

Page 6: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

What do suppliers say?

Page 7: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

MySQL

• Mårten Mickos (CEO) How do you turn a $9 billion market into a $3

billion market and dominate what is left?

Page 8: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

TrollTech

• Haavard Nord (CEO) By next year, it may sound bold and stupid,

but in fact we are going to overtake Microsoft in terms of device shipments

Page 9: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Mozilla

• Bart Decrem, spokesman for the Mozilla foundation, about Firefox I think we'll get to 10 percent over the next

year… we have the momentum… The move from IE to Firefox is also shown by the fact that half of Firefox downloads are from IE users

Page 10: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

A trend

• Open source works for some customers and suppliers

• It might not be the answer for everyone, but it is the answer for some

Page 11: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Business Models

Page 12: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

MS Office

MS Windows

Acrobat

Linux

Star Office

Perl

Emacs

Apache

GNU C++

BEA Weblogic

Websphere

Netscape

Solaris

Mac OS

Open Distribution /Open Source

Proprietary /Closed Source

Business Models

Page 13: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Proprietary / Closed Source

• Developed and supported by employees

• Funded by customers• Recognized viability• Offer support & education• Traditional marketing & distribution

Page 14: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Open Distribution / Open Source

• Developed by volunteer developers• Supported by volunteer community• Completely free of cost• Viability?• Nano markets?

Page 15: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

MS Office

MS Windows

Acrobat

Linux

Star Office

Perl

Emacs

Apache

GNU C++BEA Weblogic

Websphere

Netscape

Solaris

Mac OS

Red Hat

SUSE

Open Distribution /Open Source

Proprietary /Closed Source

Business Models

Corporate Distribution / Open Source

Page 16: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Corporate Distribution / Open Source

• Bundlers / value added resellers• Do not necessarily contribute code

to OS community• Usually make installation /

configuration easier• Offer support & education• Viability signal

Page 17: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Open Distribution /Open Source

Proprietary /Closed Source

Business Models

MS Office

MS Windows

Acrobat

Linux

OpenOffice

Perl

Emacs

Apache

GNU C++

BEA Weblogic

Websphere

Netscape

Eclipse

Solaris** Mac OS

Darwin

Red HatSUSE

Mozilla

Star Office

Corporate Distribution /Open Source

Funded Open Source

** Open-source release is still pending

Page 18: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Funded Open Source

• Some support provided by external agents Most often provided as code/support from

salaried employees of sponsor Sometimes provided as direct or indirect

monetary contributions

• Viability signal• Brand inheritance• Sponsors often bundle / enhance OS

projects in proprietary products

Page 19: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Open Distribution /Open Source

Proprietary /Closed Source

Business Models

MS Office

MS Windows

Acrobat

Linux

OpenOffice

Perl

Emacs

Apache

GNU C++ BEA Weblogic

Websphere

Netscape

EclipseSolaris

Mac OS

Darwin

Red HatSUSE

JBoss MySQL

Star Office

Corporate Distribution /

Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Page 20: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Professional Open Source

• Funded by customers Free or “dual” licensing For fee professional service, support, and

education

• Low marketing and distribution costs• Viability• “Always low prices. Always.”

Page 21: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Professional Open Source Players

• JBoss Application Server

• MySQL Relational Database

• Sleepycat Developer Database

• Trolltech Framework for Cross-Platform Development

Page 22: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

JBoss

• Marc Fleury (CEO) We think we’re inventing the new open

source. It’s not the pony-tailed faction on the communist fringe. There needs to be professionalism and credibility. There needs to be sales and marketing, and all the things that make a business. People say you’re either a company or a starving poet. Why can’t we be both?

Page 23: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Open Distribution /Open Source

Proprietary /Closed Source

Business Models

MS Office

MS Windows

Acrobat

Linux

OpenOffice

Perl

Emacs

Apache

GNU C++ BEA Weblogic

Websphere

Netscape

EclipseSolaris

Mac OS

Darwin

Red HatSUSE

JBoss MySQL

Star Office

Corporate Distribution /

Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Supported Open Source

Page 24: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Supported Open Source

• IT service firm supports a range of open source products as part of a service contract HP Unisys SoftPro

• Level 1 & 2 support

Page 25: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Business models

Product price

Installationeffort

Distribution costs

Marketing costs

Proprietary / Closed Source

Open Distribution /Open Source

Corporate Distribution /

Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Supported Open Source

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

low high

* fewer ’s = better

Page 26: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Licensing

Page 27: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Licensing models

• “Copyleft” licenses Exemplified by the GNU General Public

License (GPL) All contributions and modifications are

guaranteed to be “open”

• “Non-copyleft” licenses Apache and Berkeley Software Design (BSD)

Licenses are two prominent examples Code is free to be modified and incorporated

into proprietary products without contributing any changes back to the community

Page 28: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Licensing models

• “Free” licenses “Free as in freedom” Code can be used in any way desired by anyone GPL, Apache, and BSD are all “free” licenses

• “Non-Free” licenses Any license that does not provide free access to

source files or restricts use of source in some way

• “Dual” licenses “Free” for private and “Non-free” for commercial use

Page 29: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customer value

Page 30: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Supply side

• Open source emerges when there is a perceived customer value gap

• Open source serves national interests in some cases

Page 31: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Demand side

• Customer value Benefits > risks

Page 32: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ risks (1)

• Viability of supplier’s business model• Availability of support• Availability of education• Potential for lawsuits

Page 33: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ risks (1)

Viability Support Education Lawsuits

Proprietary / Closed Source

Open Distribution /Open Source

Corporate Distribution /

Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Supported Open Source

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . low risk high risk

* fewer ’s = better

Page 34: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ risks (2)

• Compatibility with other applications • Maturity of software product• Availability of documentation• Security

Page 35: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ risks (2)

Compatibility

Maturity Documentation Security

Proprietary / Closed Source

Open Distribution /Open Source

Corporate Distribution /

Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Supported Open Source

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . low risk high risk

* fewer ’s = better

Page 36: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ benefits (1)

• Access to code• Reduced dependence on single

source• Reduced dependence on single

platform

Page 37: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ benefits (1)

Access to code

Reduced dependence on single source

Reduced dependence on single platform

Proprietary / Closed Source

Open Distribution /Open Source

Corporate Distribution /

Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Supported Open Source

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

low benefit high benefit

* more ’s = better

Page 38: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ benefits (2)

• Higher quality code• Increased innovation• Reduced TCO

Page 39: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Customers’ benefits (2)

Quality of code

Increased Innovation Reduced TCO

Proprietary / Closed Source

Open Distribution /Open Source

Corporate Distribution /Open Source

Funded Open Source

Professional Open Source

Supported Open Source

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . low benefit high benefit

* more ’s = better

Page 40: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Total Cost of Ownership

• OS is not cost-free!• Numerous studies comparing OS to

proprietary Mixed results

• “TCO is like fine wine: it doesn’t travel well. What may be true in one situation is reversed in another. What gets trumpeted as a universal truth may or may not be true in a specific case, but it is most certainly false when claimed universally.”

Joe Barr, freelance journalist

Page 41: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Total Cost of Ownership

• Some important costs to consider: Initial purchase costs Upgrade and maintenance costs Hardware costs Administration of licenses costs Staffing costs Downtime costs System administration costs

Page 42: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Take aways

Page 43: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

POS & strategic risks

• Demand risk Pricing strategy

• Innovation risk Open source

• Efficiency risk Hiring practices

Page 44: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Insights

• Intellectual knowledge matters more than intellectual property

• Intellectual knowledge is hard to scale

• Hybrid Birkenstocks / business suits culture

• Professional and supported open source are key developments

Page 45: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Insights

• Business model Vendor

Determines viability Customer

Determines risks and benefits

• Professional open source might provide greater customer value than other models for software development

• Scalability?

Page 46: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Scalability

• Marc Fleury (CEO), JBoss A challenge for JBoss is scaling this business in

the revenues. Red Hat has set a precedent, there are 250 million bookings, 100 million revenue, and market is paying 40X in capitalization, so it is a 4 billion dollar company on the market. So 40X on the revenues, 20X on bookings, and they sort of set the bar. An open source company can make 250 million dollar revenues. And you know that is going to be a challenge. Getting there, you got to be very lucky and execute well in many steps, and a lot of people is on that way. So, I think that is going to be a challenge.

Page 47: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Scalability

• Forester Research report The organization is very happy with the current

support services they receive from JBoss, Inc., but expressed some concern regarding future growth rates exceeding JBoss, Inc.’s ability to continue to provide excellent support

Commercial open source providers are also small companies, and like many small software companies, they may go out of business

Page 48: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

POS development model

• Innovate• Collaborate• Plan• Develop• Package• Partner• Enable

QuickTime™ and aTIFF (Uncompressed) decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 49: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Why does this matter?

Page 50: Richard T. Watson Marie-Claude Boudreau Martina Greiner Donald Wynn Paul T. York Terry College of Business University of Georgia rwatson@terry.uga.edu

Conclusion

• There are different business models• Business model -> risks and benefits• Professional open source might be a

disruptive technology