richard nixon presidential library contested materials collection ... · a letter for the...

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Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection Folder List Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document Description No Date Subject 44 12 5/3/1972 Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Herbert G. Klein RE: "Connecticut Poll" Campaign 44 12 5/8/1972 Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: "Cambridge Opinion Poll." 1pg Campaign 44 12 11/5/1971 Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Gordon Strachan RE: "Colson Request for $1-2,000 for Connecticut Poll." 1pg Campaign 44 12 10/27/1971 Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Harry Dent RE: "H needn't see file…" Includes memo To: John Ehrlichman From: J. Marsh Thomson RE: Connecticut Poll and copy of Hartford Times article titled "Public Esteem For Nixon Soars in Polls." (10/07/1971) 5pgs Campaign 44 12 10/20/1971 Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: Charles Colson RE: "Attached Becker Poll." Includes attached results of 9/16-9/18 Connecticut Becker Poll. 6pgs Campaign 44 12 Memo To: H.R. Haldeman From: John Ehrlichman. Attached memo To: John Ehrlichman From: J. Marsh Thomson RE: "Connecticut Poll" and copy of Hartford Times article titled "Public Esteem For Nixon Soars in Poll." (10/07/1971) 5pgs Campaign Tuesday, February 21, 2012 Page 1 of 2

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Page 1: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

Richard Nixon Presidential LibraryContested Materials CollectionFolder List

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

44 12 531972 Memo To HR Haldeman From Herbert G Klein RE Connecticut Poll

Campaign

44 12 581972 Memo To HR Haldeman From Gordon Strachan RE Cambridge Opinion Poll 1pg

Campaign

44 12 1151971 Memo To HR Haldeman From Gordon Strachan RE Colson Request for $1-2000 for Connecticut Poll 1pg

Campaign

44 12 10271971 Memo To HR Haldeman From Harry Dent RE H neednt see filehellip Includes memo To John Ehrlichman From J Marsh Thomson RE Connecticut Poll and copy of Hartford Times article titled Public Esteem For Nixon Soars in Polls (10071971) 5pgs

Campaign

44 12 10201971 Memo To HR Haldeman From Charles Colson RE Attached Becker Poll Includes attached results of 916-918 Connecticut Becker Poll 6pgs

Campaign

44 12 Memo To HR Haldeman From John Ehrlichman Attached memo To John Ehrlichman From J Marsh Thomson RE Connecticut Poll and copy of Hartford Times article titled Public Esteem For Nixon Soars in Poll (10071971) 5pgs

Campaign

Tuesday February 21 2012 Page 1 of 2

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

44 12 3161971 Newspaper Articles from Hartford Times including Polling Questions about approval of Nixons handling of Presidency Nixon Popularity Increases in State and Our Poll Shows 58 In State Back Nixon 3pgs

Campaign

44 12 10201970 Memo To HR Haldeman From David R Derge RE Second October Survey of Connecticut 4pgs

Campaign

44 12 Report Connecticut Poll Questions and Survey responses regarding November elections and Nixons handling of Presidency 2pgs

Campaign

44 12 10201970 Memo To HR Haldeman From David R Derge RE Second October Survey of Connecticut 4pgs

Campaign

44 12 Report A proposed questionnaire for registered voters of Connecticut including questions about voters approvaldisapproval of Nixon and questions about other candidates 1pg

Campaign

Tuesday February 21 2012 Page 2 of 2

MEMORANDUM

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

May 3 1972

MEM0RANDUM FOR o1R II UAIsf)iIU1A L

FROM HERBER T G KLEIN II RE Connecticut Poll

The Hartford Insurance Group a small Connecticut life insurance company was just recently polled by a private but apparently proshyfessional company The poll covered some 3000 plus employees and the essential result in response to a question as to what person the employees would vote for in a Presidential election were

Nixon 44

McGovern 13

Muskie 11

Wallace 78

Senator Kennedy received a 29 write-in vote and there were also other write in selections

The results were telephoned to my staff by a member of the Republican State Committee in Hartford

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

May 8 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR H R

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT Cambridge Opinion Poll

Connecticut Governor Meskill sent the President this Cambridge Opinion (Tully Plesser) survey which shows the President behind Muskie but ahead of Humphrey and Kennedy

Polling Dates Muskie Humphrey Kennedy

CO-12jIO-12j71 43-47-5-5 46-42-6-6 47-40-6-7

Teeter has a copy of the poll

HALDEMAN

A letter for the Presidents signature acknowledging receipt of the information is attached

-----------------------------------------------------

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Administratively Confidential

November 5 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT COlson Request for $1-2000

for Connecticut Poll

Dick Howard called on Colsons behalf to ask if there would be $1-2000 available for Colson to have several questions added to a Becker Poll in Connecticut Colson wants to add questions in Connecticut to determine why the Presidents popularity has risen so sharply in Connecticut The amount is i~determinate because Colson doesnt want to get into specifics until he has general authority to proceed

Recommendation ________ ~

That the $1-2~0 not b~~llocated because the political polling plans should be submitted by Bob Teeter and the Committee for the Re-Election of the President per yesterdays discussion with the Attorney General

Agree ~~ Disagree_____________________

Comment

6~ ~ I~ e T~ It IC)

Date october 27 1971

TOI H R HALDEMAN

FItO) IllIlRY DENl~ please handle_______

For your information_______

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

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) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

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I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

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~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 2: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

Box Number Folder Number Document Date Document Type Document DescriptionNo Date Subject

44 12 3161971 Newspaper Articles from Hartford Times including Polling Questions about approval of Nixons handling of Presidency Nixon Popularity Increases in State and Our Poll Shows 58 In State Back Nixon 3pgs

Campaign

44 12 10201970 Memo To HR Haldeman From David R Derge RE Second October Survey of Connecticut 4pgs

Campaign

44 12 Report Connecticut Poll Questions and Survey responses regarding November elections and Nixons handling of Presidency 2pgs

Campaign

44 12 10201970 Memo To HR Haldeman From David R Derge RE Second October Survey of Connecticut 4pgs

Campaign

44 12 Report A proposed questionnaire for registered voters of Connecticut including questions about voters approvaldisapproval of Nixon and questions about other candidates 1pg

Campaign

Tuesday February 21 2012 Page 2 of 2

MEMORANDUM

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

May 3 1972

MEM0RANDUM FOR o1R II UAIsf)iIU1A L

FROM HERBER T G KLEIN II RE Connecticut Poll

The Hartford Insurance Group a small Connecticut life insurance company was just recently polled by a private but apparently proshyfessional company The poll covered some 3000 plus employees and the essential result in response to a question as to what person the employees would vote for in a Presidential election were

Nixon 44

McGovern 13

Muskie 11

Wallace 78

Senator Kennedy received a 29 write-in vote and there were also other write in selections

The results were telephoned to my staff by a member of the Republican State Committee in Hartford

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

May 8 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR H R

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT Cambridge Opinion Poll

Connecticut Governor Meskill sent the President this Cambridge Opinion (Tully Plesser) survey which shows the President behind Muskie but ahead of Humphrey and Kennedy

Polling Dates Muskie Humphrey Kennedy

CO-12jIO-12j71 43-47-5-5 46-42-6-6 47-40-6-7

Teeter has a copy of the poll

HALDEMAN

A letter for the Presidents signature acknowledging receipt of the information is attached

-----------------------------------------------------

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Administratively Confidential

November 5 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT COlson Request for $1-2000

for Connecticut Poll

Dick Howard called on Colsons behalf to ask if there would be $1-2000 available for Colson to have several questions added to a Becker Poll in Connecticut Colson wants to add questions in Connecticut to determine why the Presidents popularity has risen so sharply in Connecticut The amount is i~determinate because Colson doesnt want to get into specifics until he has general authority to proceed

Recommendation ________ ~

That the $1-2~0 not b~~llocated because the political polling plans should be submitted by Bob Teeter and the Committee for the Re-Election of the President per yesterdays discussion with the Attorney General

Agree ~~ Disagree_____________________

Comment

6~ ~ I~ e T~ It IC)

Date october 27 1971

TOI H R HALDEMAN

FItO) IllIlRY DENl~ please handle_______

For your information_______

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 3: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

MEMORANDUM

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

May 3 1972

MEM0RANDUM FOR o1R II UAIsf)iIU1A L

FROM HERBER T G KLEIN II RE Connecticut Poll

The Hartford Insurance Group a small Connecticut life insurance company was just recently polled by a private but apparently proshyfessional company The poll covered some 3000 plus employees and the essential result in response to a question as to what person the employees would vote for in a Presidential election were

Nixon 44

McGovern 13

Muskie 11

Wallace 78

Senator Kennedy received a 29 write-in vote and there were also other write in selections

The results were telephoned to my staff by a member of the Republican State Committee in Hartford

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

May 8 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR H R

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT Cambridge Opinion Poll

Connecticut Governor Meskill sent the President this Cambridge Opinion (Tully Plesser) survey which shows the President behind Muskie but ahead of Humphrey and Kennedy

Polling Dates Muskie Humphrey Kennedy

CO-12jIO-12j71 43-47-5-5 46-42-6-6 47-40-6-7

Teeter has a copy of the poll

HALDEMAN

A letter for the Presidents signature acknowledging receipt of the information is attached

-----------------------------------------------------

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Administratively Confidential

November 5 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT COlson Request for $1-2000

for Connecticut Poll

Dick Howard called on Colsons behalf to ask if there would be $1-2000 available for Colson to have several questions added to a Becker Poll in Connecticut Colson wants to add questions in Connecticut to determine why the Presidents popularity has risen so sharply in Connecticut The amount is i~determinate because Colson doesnt want to get into specifics until he has general authority to proceed

Recommendation ________ ~

That the $1-2~0 not b~~llocated because the political polling plans should be submitted by Bob Teeter and the Committee for the Re-Election of the President per yesterdays discussion with the Attorney General

Agree ~~ Disagree_____________________

Comment

6~ ~ I~ e T~ It IC)

Date october 27 1971

TOI H R HALDEMAN

FItO) IllIlRY DENl~ please handle_______

For your information_______

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 4: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

ADMINISTRATIVELY CONFIDENTIAL

May 8 1972

MEMORANDUM FOR H R

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT Cambridge Opinion Poll

Connecticut Governor Meskill sent the President this Cambridge Opinion (Tully Plesser) survey which shows the President behind Muskie but ahead of Humphrey and Kennedy

Polling Dates Muskie Humphrey Kennedy

CO-12jIO-12j71 43-47-5-5 46-42-6-6 47-40-6-7

Teeter has a copy of the poll

HALDEMAN

A letter for the Presidents signature acknowledging receipt of the information is attached

-----------------------------------------------------

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Administratively Confidential

November 5 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT COlson Request for $1-2000

for Connecticut Poll

Dick Howard called on Colsons behalf to ask if there would be $1-2000 available for Colson to have several questions added to a Becker Poll in Connecticut Colson wants to add questions in Connecticut to determine why the Presidents popularity has risen so sharply in Connecticut The amount is i~determinate because Colson doesnt want to get into specifics until he has general authority to proceed

Recommendation ________ ~

That the $1-2~0 not b~~llocated because the political polling plans should be submitted by Bob Teeter and the Committee for the Re-Election of the President per yesterdays discussion with the Attorney General

Agree ~~ Disagree_____________________

Comment

6~ ~ I~ e T~ It IC)

Date october 27 1971

TOI H R HALDEMAN

FItO) IllIlRY DENl~ please handle_______

For your information_______

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 5: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

-----------------------------------------------------

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

Administratively Confidential

November 5 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM GORDON STRACHAN G SUBJECT COlson Request for $1-2000

for Connecticut Poll

Dick Howard called on Colsons behalf to ask if there would be $1-2000 available for Colson to have several questions added to a Becker Poll in Connecticut Colson wants to add questions in Connecticut to determine why the Presidents popularity has risen so sharply in Connecticut The amount is i~determinate because Colson doesnt want to get into specifics until he has general authority to proceed

Recommendation ________ ~

That the $1-2~0 not b~~llocated because the political polling plans should be submitted by Bob Teeter and the Committee for the Re-Election of the President per yesterdays discussion with the Attorney General

Agree ~~ Disagree_____________________

Comment

6~ ~ I~ e T~ It IC)

Date october 27 1971

TOI H R HALDEMAN

FItO) IllIlRY DENl~ please handle_______

For your information_______

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

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(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

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October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 6: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

Date october 27 1971

TOI H R HALDEMAN

FItO) IllIlRY DENl~ please handle_______

For your information_______

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 7: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

t 11 I

-Ct

1l-ttI-Ct

OFFICE OF THE VICE PRESIDENT

WASH I NGTON

Odobe r 18 1971

FOR i Mr John Ehrlichrnan

FROM J Marsh Thomso~~ f1 e

SUBJECT Connecticut Poll

In calling Governor Meskill on Thursday October 7th for his reaction to the Presidentls post-freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be sure the President knew of the most encouraging results of the latest Connecticut poll which of course I duly reported at the time As be said be would~ the Governor has forwarded he complete poll story as it appeared in the Hartford Times which he wanted to be sure the President sees in toto

cc

Charles Colson -peter Millspaugh

(

I

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 8: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

------

~J7 ~ J)J ~ ~ ~ ~~ gt v v ~J-J lt~gt -Y ~ V ~(i W~ hl

bull A MEMBER OF THE CANNETT GROUP

Haltfo~d Connecticut Thursday October 7 1971 E T 1

f middotA )~ ) liv V bull 1----~-~---l

y

f 4Public r ~ ~ gt

f r ~ i1 i~ U ~~ (~~ d Ii rl

oaJJ iA ~ 1- W U lOll

[ v ~i~ ~ i ~ ~For NiOll f ~

~ G fr~ ~~ I J ~gt ~ ~ IS ~ ti __ Ifi 1) l j-~ Lf I 1 ~ i I~ A ) ~I 1 - ~ ~~]

~ ~J ll t-7 j uti ~ Copyright 1971 The lIartford Times ~ Il j

Public approval of President Richard M ~ ~performance has moved sharply upwDrd over the

five months according to the Connecticut Poll f

I ~

The poll conducted exshy ~

tfor The Hartford I I I~_n_ TE1~rJ

finds that 65 1Rt-~f~- ~~u~- t ( bull t - ~ bull Ipcr cent fully 1() points

higher than in April have a favorable opinion of the way

gt the President is handling his 1

[gt job

Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last ~~proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate resulted from people who has changed hardly at nil 00 _~ l pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent r

changing the i r minds-adshy in April) ~ ~ verse reaction to Nixons The 9()day wage and price ~ j performance has declined 7 freeze declared by the Presi- PRES) DENT N[XON PO~ts from 32 per cent to (~ntiDu~ on Page 804) bullbull Clddrcsses the nation

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 9: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

I

TtlE HARTFORD TIMES Thursday October 7 1971 -

L~ Fog ~ ~ Pi ~ If pound I ~( Itfll rc hY 0 ( f Ii~ UI ~ A ~~J l jfl imiddot~ II rJ q 11 fbull f j I J J ~ laquof ~~ 1 1 ~( If if ~ I Ij ~ - 07 ~ 1 l ltrd V V ~ -pound 1 1i ~~ IJ I~ 11 ~ v) J ~ Ii I ~ -I I

(Continued frolll Page 1A) three-quarters of its co~- DImocratie Gfaler Hntford sernlliYcs tJpprove of hiS regarding the Presidents dent in August seems to be tlerformance ~ pcricrm8nce tends to be a major fa~tor in ~is il1- 1 Of real s i g n i f i ea nee proved puhllc standmg m however is trc fact Ihat twoshyConnecticut Some SCll1 both IndependentsPC~)- ~hirdS of ple in 10 who approve of lhs ad middle-of-the-roaders a~e 1ction as compared with only pleased with what the Presl 1bout one in time who (hsap- dent is doin prove are s~tisned wilh iix- Perhaps ~f e q I a I im~ ons performance port11ce among people under

Furthermore the tem- 1We 30 a group hie) Kixon porar wagc-price frcc7e may h~s been ace use d Ot very well help to explam why a J i e nat i n g approval many people who are most outweighs dis~ppri)val by worried about inflatJon andor almost two to one ~ lJn(ployment neertl~less Opinion in more hcujy react positively to NIXOll

While they undcrstnndbly middot are not so [worably dispo~lct

slighly less faorlhle than is the C1SC in the fcst of the state

cmnmTS Approve

He is doinJ the best he can with what he has to work with but I dont apprme of all h() hJS becn doing ()lale c1icka farmlr from East L Y III e Indepmdcnt conshyservative 3514)

I approve of f c e z in g p ric c san d wag e S

~ 1 J - 4 n5 f o f1 ~6~n~ fiI0 ~ 1bg h-~ r 1 I - Iz ~~~~~~

I~ ~ ~ III ~itt~i ~ II IIJ ~~YUiJ (rJi ~ cJ iI ltiJJ

(Sccetary from Be r 1in Republican liberal 65 or dl~middotofmiddotthe-road 2124) Rep uhlican middlemiddotof-Ihe- over) Doing his best but not road 45middot1)4) I highly disapprove of his renlly enough to h cl P bull

Disapprove foreign policy-1Ies pulled big (Female electrical factory Hcs tried but hasnt blunders-especially in Heel worker from S t a In f r d

succeeded Retired nurse China (Salesman fro m Democrat conservative 4Sshyfro m NcB r ita in Hartford Independent mid- 64)

----~------

to thc President as those who Questions People Vere Ask0d are less concerned abvut

eit her of these problems six Do you approve or disapproc of the way Richard II Nixonpeople in 10 who consider inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a verv serious proshy P~rmiddot blem and m (fill] percentage Dis- lo - c(nt1 [~Cof tho~e who feel that way Approve approve pinion Uscl bout npproyc ( ( (

TOnI CO~ECTICUT 0 0 eof hls pcrform1l1ce PUnLiC shyAI~o a 65 ) 10 (SOl)September 1971who sm- thrir filllncia Sil113- 55 32 13 (409)April 1971tion is worse toela thll1 it ()1) I))larch 1971 5G 33 9 ~

~ was a year ago feel -1iXOll 19 I (SCO)October 1970 53 23 is doing a goo(i job 65 33 2 ()13)) 3rch 1970bull In this connection even August lSG9 75 17 8 (5SG) I among the poor more than nlarch 1009 63 12 20 ~13) half of whom say they are 1 worse orf tha~ a ~ear ago AHEA OF STATE and almost nme m 10 of lctropolitan Hartford 60 29 11 (251) bull whom are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)

about mfllton and unerrpy POLITICAL PARTY 11enta maJonty ar~ s~tlS1d Democrats 45 41 14 (217) Ith the Pre sid e n t s Hcpublicans middot87 9 4 (131) performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84) The Prlsidents public an- shynouncemcnt of his plans to POLITICAL OUTLOOK

(l03)visit Communist China next Liberal 43 46 11 7 (lll)spring- appears to have hnLl Conservative 77 16

Jess impact than the wage-- Mid~le-orthe-Road bull 71 20 9 (249) price freeze on his popularity I A p pro val of Nixons SEX

~ (250) performance is not a great bull Men 6~ 26 7 (251) ~ deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14

-~ ~-

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 10: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

--~ - among those who are in favor 30 to H Years (160)63 28 9

(G8 ner cent app-ove of Nixon 45 to 64 Years ( 54)11 23 6performlnce) 65 Years and Over -- Party a ff iIi a t ion and political outlook continue to INCOlE 9 ( 40) 56 35play an important part in Under $5000

63 25 12 ( 55)determining attitude toward S5(raquoO bull $7499

66 24 10 ( 97)the President Better than 40 S7500 bull $99fJ9 (134)CS 21 13 per cent of both Democrats S10000 - $14999 7 ( 89)65 28 an~ libc-rlls react adversely $15000 and Over while almost 90 per cent of I the states Republicans and ___~Ha~ford Coultty

bull lt~+g)qL~ ~~ JII~ ~~ ~~~~~ ~lI~ ~~-~ ~1~g~middotJ)L FP __ ~IIk~r~~_~~~IJIJPI lt_ ~~=tMsZJi$JiPitfJAmQWA)qamp

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 11: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

October 20 1971

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM CHARLES COLSON~ SUBJECT Attached Becker Poll

The attached are the results of a recent Becker Poll polling conducted between September 16 and 18 in Connecticut

As I think I have told you Becker polls throughout New England and in 1970 was remarkably accurate in forecasting the various Senate and Gubernatorial races In fact he was right in every state His Connecticut polls have been consistently better than the national average and there is therefore probably somewhat of a bias our way although Becker tells me that this is not so that these polls in his opinion are quite accurate

Even if he is off however by as much as 10 percent we certainly are in good shape in Connecticut

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 12: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

OUESTION l)EOPLE ~1J~RE ASKID --------~----As you mily know President Nixon has annouced that he plans to visit Communist China next spring to() meet with the Communist Chinese leaders there Do you approve or disapprove of the President visiting Communist China next spring

DISAPPROVE NO OPINION

TOTAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC 73 17 10 (501)

bullAREA OF STATE

Metropolitan Hartford 69 15 16 (251) Rest of State 75 17 8 (250)

POLITICAL PARTY Democrats 71 18 11 (217)

~Repub licans 74 17 9 (181) Independents 74 16 10 ( 84)bull

POLITICAL OUTLOOK Liberal 82 14 4 (103 ) Conservative 72 15 13 (111 ) Middle-of-the-Road 71 19 10 (249)

SEX Men 76 16- 8 (250) Women 71 17 12 (251)

AGE Under 30 Years 80 12 8 (114) 30 to 44 Years 80 12 8 (164) 45 to 64 Years 61 24 15 (166) 65 Years and Over 71 18 11 ( 54)

INCOME - Under $5000 59 23 18 ( 46)

$5000 - $7499 65 26 9 ( 55) $7500 - $9999 65 24 11 ( 97) $10000 - $14999 83 10 7 (134) $15000 and Over 83 9 8 ( 89)

-____-__--------__-----_ _- __--__------__-_ _------_- --__-----_- _-_-_---------shyEDUCATION

High School Incomplete 65 23 12 (116 ) High School Graduate 66 21 13 (176) Some College 8t~ 10 6 (102) College Graduate 81 10 9 (104 )

bull gt

Hartford County

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

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c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

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~

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October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 13: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

--~

Suppese the Rcpublicnn candidate for President was Richard Nixon th Democratic candidate ~s Edlanl Kenshyned) and the Aroerican Independ(nt Party candidate (lS George Wlllacc

seE

Suppose the Republican candidate for Pre sid ent was Richard Nixon the Denocratic candida tmiddote wlS Edmltnd Musshykie and the Amcciciln Indpendent larty candidate was -allace Then which one would to see

ARS OF STATE Netrop 0 Ii tan H1ttford Rest of State

middot middot cpub lican3C~lldepcndents

POLITICAL OU1LOOK -Liberal

Conserva tive Nidd 1e-of-the-Road

omen

AGE Under 30 Years 30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ylt28rS 65 Years or Over

$5000 $5000 - $7499 $7500 - $9999 $10000 - $14999 $15000 and Over

MLVJP POLL ~gust1971

winH

NIXON

ft

lfS

36 47

19 76 38

n 53 49

45 4S

45 46 43 ~47

29 41 46 46 50

42

MUSKIE

~

36

48 33

61 14 32

61 22 33

37 35

39 39 34 29

42 46 34 35 35

36

4 15

5 4

11 16

3 3

10

17 7

20

1 6 4

7 19 14

4 4

14 16

5 5 3 5

11 10 20 19

10 o 6 7 1

19 13 14 12 14

11 11

Suppose the RcpubliCltln candidate for President was Richard Nixon the )cmJcratic cnnGidatc was Edward Kenshylltdy ~nl toe American Independent F11tCY cDndidate was George 1Jallacc~

Then which one would you like to see winH

WA1~LACE UNDECIDED

2 ~

54 27 4 15

50 34 6 10 56 24 4 16

30 liC 4 20 84 7 3 6 48 27 9 16

43 50 1 6 66 11 7 16 58 24 4 14

57 27 5 11 52 26 4 18 I 47 43 2 8 57 27 5 11 I

I56 21 5 18 57 10 5 28 I 42 33 8 17 46 34 3 17 l9 29 6 16 55 29 7 9 70 23 1 6

43 38 10 9

Hartford County

If the Novemebr 1972 e lee tion for president were being held today snd the Repuhlican candidate was Richard Nixon the Dcnmcraticmiddot candidate was Hubert Humphrey and the American Independent Pllrty clndidate was George Wallace which one would you like to see win

NIXON ~

56 26

47 33 58 24

26 50 86 5 54 20

38 44 67 15 58 24

54 30 S5 23

53 29 58 24 52 27 54 24

3S 43 51 27 50 29 58 24 64 25

43 37

Question asktd only of people who say at least fairly sure they will vote in November 1972 Presidential election

UNDECIDED

4 14

5 4

15 14

3 3

13

21 6

13

4 7 3

14 11 15

S 4

11 18

4 6

3 7

14 12 18 15

12 o 6

8 1

10 22 15 10 10

11 9

they the

are

Then which Qnc would you Win

WALLACE 1

54 27

50 56

34 24

30 84 48

46 7

27

43 66 58

50 11 24

57 52

27 26

47 57 56 57

43 27 21 10

42 46 49 55 70

33 34 29 29 23

43 38

4

6 4

4 3 9

1 7 4

5 4

2 5 5 5

8 3 6 7 1

10

Hke to

15

10 16

20 6

16

6 16 14

11 18

8 11 18 28

17 17 16

9 6

9

Hamiddotr tford CQunt) M Ques tion asked

at least fairly November 1972 I

~~~~~---------

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

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c5 smiddot - ~

) I

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~

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October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 14: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

o qUESTION PEOPLE HERE ASKED

UDo you think Congress shou ld se t a dead line for withdrawal of all United States troops from Viet Nam by the end of 1971 or do you think that this is a matter that should be left for the President to decide

o

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

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i

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~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

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October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 15: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

--

As you know the peesident has frozen prices wages and rents for 90 dAys until November 12 1971 Do approve or disapprove thls move

D15shyAPPROVE

1)TAL CONNECTICUT PUBLIC

Hartford lhst of State

tQ1J_Tl CA1~ PARTY U(~0cra ts Ptrublic3ns Tnd~pendents

CAL OUTLOOK ~--

C)nservative Middle-of-tlle-Road I

SIX 1en t-1Oflen

AGE -Urder 30 Years

30 to 44 Years 45 to 64 Ye(HS 65 Years and Over

$5000 bull000 - 57499

57500 - 59999 $10000 - $1~999

$15 COO and Over

Z

81 12 7

76 8+

16 10

8 6

80 88 79

14 S

12

6 4 9

81 88 84

13 9

12

6 3 4

82 82

14 9

4 9

8l 79 82 84

11 12 15

2

5 9 3

14

80 86 80 82 88

8 8

13 15

S

12 6 7 3 4

68 11 21

Hould you approve or disshyapprove of continuing this price wage and rent freeze after November 12 1971 7

DISshy NO APPROVE-2-shy OPINION---

47 35 18

52 31 17 45 37 18

44 42 14 53 28 19 51 32 17

49 41 10 i+9 35 16 1+6 33 21

49 39 12 44 31 25

43 14 13 42 34 24 52 34 14 52 21 24

62 26 12 47 30 23 39 38 41

l4 20 18

63 24 13

Hartford County

All things considered do you think YOUR household economic situation will be helped hurt or remain about the same between n(l~ and Novembel 12 1971 by the Presidents 90 day pric~ wage and rent freeze

REMAIN NO HURT

amp

14 12 71 3

16 13

11 12

69 73

l~

2

15 15

9

12 9

17

70 75 69

3 1 5

15 13 13

9 14 12

73 71 73

3 2 2

12 15

12 12

73 71

3

2

18 13 14

7

12 14 13

3

68 72 71 81

2 1 2 9

11 18 11 13 16

9 16 13 11

7

68 66 73 76 76

12 0 3 0 1

1lt The Gallttp Poll asked this question only of people who had hrrd or T2ad about President Nixon t s ini shytial specch on the subject Therefore the 21 who are lisccmiddotd amiddot hmiddotlVln~ no opinIon inchdes 97 vho ~erp rll)t ]t UmiddotI~

Assuming that price wage and rent controls are necesshysary would you approve or disapprove of these controls including a limit on plofits as well

10 HRCEW APPROVE OPINION I

7~

55 25 20 (501

58 24 18 (251 54 26 20 (250

60 23 17 (217 54 29 17 (181 52 22 26 ( 84

61 26 13 (103 55 29 16 (Ill 56 23 21 (249

61 25 14 48 25 27

48 31 21 (114 54 25 21 (164 62 25 13 (166 53 13 34 ( 54

55 21 24 ( 46 54 28 18 ( 55

j 55 17 28 ( 97

60 25 15 (134

I

54 38 8 C 89

(537I

~ ~c_ bullbullbull

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 16: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

---- ---

middot

QUESTIONS PEOFLE HERE ASKED

TAL COimrCTICUT PUBLIC ---~----~-------shySeptember 1971 pri 1 1971 (-larch 1971 August 1969 Narch 1969

OF STATE co tropo Etan lIar tfordid

Rest of State ~~- ~--~ -~ - -------shy

1 1 ~rA

Hen Ilomen

Under 30 Years 30 to 1+4 Years 45 to 64 Years 65 Years and Over

LCOHE Under $5000 85000 - $7499 S7500 - $9999 S10OOO - $14999 $15000 and Over

Less than 5 of 1 Hartford County

Considering your income and the cost of living would you say you are better off today than you lcre one year ago worse off or about the same

BETTER OFF

10

~JORSE

ABOUT SA1E

7-

NO OPINION--- shy

15 14 12 17 15

41 45 44 41 29

1+2 41 43 l~O

55

2

1 2 1

11 16

43 40

t l+3

2

J

17 42 40 1 12 39 47 2

29 36 33 2 12 41 45 2 10 41 48 1middot bull

5 51 43 1

- -

14 54 32 5 40 5L~ deg1

16 51 32 1 22 30 47 1 14 34 50 2

Again considering your income and the cost of livshying how do you feel things will be six months ~rom nm-1 Do you feel you will be better off six months from now worse off or about the same

FERshy

BETTER WORSE ABOUl NO CENT OFF SAME OFINION

10 10

L(17 24 49 10 17 36 40 7 15 35 43 7

Ii ~ I

18 26 44 12 16 23 51 10 t1

L 20 26 46 8 r~rol_13 22 53 12 2Sj

I 25 23 45 7 20 25 46 9 kl~1

54 r~Y11 23 1-2 (1M 9 26 52 13 ()I

I

k j

12 31 46 11 18 10 54 18 ( 17 30 45 8 l(q 21 27 47 5 lei20 17 53 10 I

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 17: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

THE WHITE HOUSE

WASHINGTON

For

From John Ehrlichman

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 18: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

OCT 191971 lt r

l -- l

~ ~

11shy

t OFFICE OF THE ViCE PRESIDENT

WASHINGTON

October 18 19 71

FOR Mr John Ehrli~an FROM J Marsh ThO~S~

SUBJECT Connecticut Pol

In calling Governor Mesk i ll on Thu r sday October 7th for hi ~ reaction to the Pre s ident s post - freeze telecast the Governor wanted to be s ure the P res i d ent k new of the nlOst encouraging res ults of the late s t Connecticu t poll which of course I duly reported at the time A s he s a id he would the Governor has forwarde d the complete poll sto r y a s it app e a red in the Hartford Times whi ch h e w anted to be s ure the President see s in toto

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 19: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

I

J 2+

~tr~~l I 4~)( jp lilAt$a ~~~~~

A MEMBER OF THE CAN NETT GROUP

Hartford Connecticut Thursday october 7 1971 E T 1

Public Esteem

For Nixon Soars in ~ Poll

Copyright 1~71 The Hartford Times I

Pub~ic approval of President Richard M Nixons performance has moved sharply upward over the past five months according to the Connecticut Poll

~~

The poll conduded exshy

elusively for The Hartford- Times by Becker Research Corp of Boston findsthat 65 per cent fully 10 points higher than ill April have a favorable opinion of the way the President is handling his jdb bull

c-The ~~

Coaectlcat -] --iIPoll ~ -~---) ~

~~s gt 11Most of this higher apshy 25 per cent since last spring (1)

proval rate appears to have while the no opinion rate cr) resulted from people who has changed hardly at all (10 ~~

~pre v i 0 U sly disapproved per cent today 13 per cent in April) C~~changing the i r ~inds-adshy

The 91klay wage and price verse reaotion to Nixons freeze declared by the Presi-performance has declined 7

bull addresses the nationpoints from 32 per oent to (Continued on Page SA)

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 20: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

Ea Amiddot poundTH-E HlR~9o~Ti~JEs Thurs~y~ ~tober 7 1971

~lRoIlShowsyeHSIi( Approval OImiddotPresidenf I

i

(Continued from Page lA) three-qruu-ters of its con- Democratic Greater Hartford (Secretary from Be r lin Republican servatives approve of his regarding the Presidents Rep ublican middle-of-the- over)I dent in August seems to be performanee ~rformance tends to be road 45-64) I highly dii a majQr factor in his imshy Of real s i g n i fica nee slightly less favorable than is Disapprove foreign policyc

~ proved fPltblic standing in however is the fact that two-- the case in the rest of the Hes tried but basntblunders-esplt1 Connecticut Some seven peo-shy thirds of both Independents state succeed~~ (Retired nurse China (Sa~ pIe in 10 who approve of this and middle-of-the-roaders are COMMENTS fro m N e w B r ita in Hartford Incaction as compared with only pleased with what the Presi-4 Approve ~-~-~ -------- ~---

about one in three who disapshy dent is doing He is doing the best he prove are satisfied with Nixshy Perbaps af e qua 1 im- can with what he has to workons performance partance among people under with but I dont approve of

Furthermore the temshy age 30 a group which Nixon all he has been doing (Male I porary wage--priee freeze may has been ace use d of chieken farmer from East very well help to explain w~y a lie nat i n g approval L y me Independent con-many people who are most outweighs disapprova~ by servative 35-44) bull iworried about inflation andor almost two to one I approve of f r e e z i n g iunelIlployment nevertheless Opinion in more ooavily prices and wagesreact positively to Nixon While they understandably are not sO favorably disposed to the President as those who Questions People Were Askedare less concerned about ~llher of these problems six Do you approve or disappI10ve of the way Richard M Nixonpeople in 10 who consi~er inshy is handling his job as Presidentflation a very serious proshy Pershyblem and an equal percentage Dis- No centageof those who feel that way Approve approve Opinion Baseabout unemployinent approve TOTAL CONNECTICUT of his performance PUBLIC

Also a majority of those September 1971 65 25 10 o(S01)whQ say their financial situashy April 1971 55 32 13 (499)tion is worse today than it March 1971 58 33 9 (SOl) was a year ago feel Nixon October 1970 53 ~S 19 (500)is doing a good job March 1970 65 33 2 (513)

In this connection even August 1969 i5 17 8 (566) alllilng the poor more than MarchI969 63 12 20 (513)

half of whom say they are worse off than a year ago AREA OF STATEand almost nine in 10 of Metropolitan Hartiord 60 29 11 (251)whOm are deeply concerned Rest of State 66 24 10 (250)about inflation and unemployshy POUTlCAL PARTY menta majority are satisfied Democrats 45 41 14 (217)with the Pre sid e nts Republicans 87 9 4 (181)performance Independents 67 24 9 ( 84)

The Presidents pubJic anshynouncement of his plans to POUTlCAL OUTLOOK

visit Communist China next Liberal 43 ltW 11 (l03) spring appears to have had Conservative 77 16 7 (111) less impact than the wageshy Middle-of-the-Road 11 20 9 (249) prke freeze on his popularity A p pro val of Nixons SEX perfltlrmance is not a great Men 67 26 7 (250) deal lower among those who Women 62 24 14 (251) are against the vIsit (56 per cent approve of Nix 0 n AGE performance) than it i s Under 30 Years 61 32 7 (114) among those who are in favor 30 to 44 Years 66 18 16 (164) (68 oer cent approve of Nixon 45 to 64 Years 63 28 9 (166) performance) 65 Years and Over 71 23 6 ( 54)

Party a f f il i a t ion and political outlOok continue to INCOME

play an important part in Under $5000 56 35 9 ( ltW) 4 determining attitude toward $5000 - $7499 63 25 12 ( 55)

the President Better than 40 $7500 - $9999 66 24 10 ( 97) per cent of both Democrats $10000 - $14900 66 21 13 (134) and liberals react adversely $15QOq and Over 65 28 7 ( 89) while almost 90 per cent of the sfates Republicans and Hartford County

I I ~~ ~~fJ~~~ ~ Jt rJ

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 21: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

I I Nixon Soars li~ral G50r dl~of-the-road 21-24)

Doing his best but not r disapprove of his really enough to h el p jey- Hes pulled big (Female electrical factoryespecially in Red worker from S tam for d (Salesman fro m Democrat Conservative 45shy

Independent mid- 64)

0shy- C -~lmiddot~ 1r

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 22: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

Do you apprlveuro ani ) Nlrol1 his job 3sect Lmiddot~s )

APmiddot In~AP r - il~

~rPROVE ~o n

TDTAL CONN PUBLIC ~larch 1971 58 33 9 October 1970 53 23 In March 1970 65 S3 ~

~August 1969 75 17 lt)

March 1969 63 12 ~Q

ARE OF STATE ~wMetolJohtan Hartford 55 )) 1

Rest of State 59 32

FOLITCAL PARTY r bull jDemocrats 40 51

82 12 51 01

TOLTICAL OUTLOD- LfLaal 41 (orzervative Cshy1 middotldls~cfthemiddotRoad 6~

31 61 VIc 11en Sf

I If 3fL14 yeuro~ 21middotZJ Yeic

1 __

(~5~G4 YC1

euroS Years 0 0 eT

Februuy 1 44

Rlmrm IEJ~LrD Febuary ID71~

Hrtfora CC1Jl+Y for Globe Eo1 6 - ViTI~V Tr l~

donee New Bediord

1)

4tl

43

42

1

l 1~-

( 11 ( 53)

(Contmlled from Page lA)

Boston Globe showed 3pprGvdl of Nilol1 at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at bout the same time in Rhode ls1and f0r Chmmel 6 (WTEV PonC4rt-1CP I New Bedford)

4S per cent Sticshy~i~J Pr ilCi

AlrDvaI of th~ President m Connecticut has moved up a bit since last October when it stood at ~3 c~nt but dis-

also climbed

cent

a

irem 23 pm cent to over tll~ same

th~ most si61~iflcant tbl~e increa~s how

tIl( fact that tey r~p-r~ticeable crystalmiddot

1~ c 0 0f 0)1inion toward the Pejrt the number of

judgnlQ1t en tolh1lTalr~ declining fl-rt p~t cent to 9 per cent curing the past five months

Approval of Vice President Agnew has also edged upward in recent months from 46 per - - ~

two it alo tlt~ jy ~-~

abh~ RJnr1fr~ lV

fJle S~middot

whftrr tff ~fV H

and A-new ft compared wit ccmiddot atld mocler2t~ e i~r of Wh01l1 ltlr~ -

far at- t~ 1 ]

11 agtgt cc r bull 1 enjoy tmiddot

-

_ _L _

reg

ifnegative response aL~~~~cgt L~ ple under age 30 Ioing

11J) fTmiddot H(FS men ICOMMENTS iLL 1 v~ from ~lest lr~

Nixon - Approve 1~ r dJ _

l j

I i 1 I j

j

piaces men iike

from West f~ ~lian 30middot44)

mSllj~~rove behind

Decoramiddot nvich female

rr()llr

Itwl~ ~t~lsJord -44_)__

- ----~

(~(lrHmiddotiucted (crr hannl 6 _ V1T~middotr 1

dBnCClfew bMVI ct

_~l

(Continued from Page lA) two is alo 11 ablJ anlJP

Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

~) atmiddot-- () t

of tbe President 111 (Cl111sicut has moved up a bit sll1ce last October when it SfJ)cl at 53 Pt tfnt but dis euro[ountcrs21proval bs also c1imbd slightly tTOm 23 per cent to S~ cen t oVer the f~tiTIe i

~

bull t-(s~ increaes lw 1 euroveuror i thG fad thnt t1ey r~p rrrlt a lrtlceabJe crvsilImiddot 11 0 r rpl1ion toward the Prcjd t11 the number of

regjudgm2C1t Ifi181JCc decUnlng S2i W44A--~_~ ~ --- i shy

jc cent to 9 per cent negative respons lt- ~ ~~- gt ltluring the past five months pIe under age 30 t

Approval of Vice President COMMENTS h c Agnew has also edged upward 11 in recent months from 45 per Nixon - Approve Hnk ~ cent to 51 per cent Hes doing the bzlL he r2U L~v shy

Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

--7--~ town Independent ~~2_________ 1C0Gt w--1l-~1J~ 1~iJ~ - ~--- -

-h~ ~_ltl1~~~~itL-~li- i ~ 0_ 1igt __ $iillj(_Uamp~iij-~c~A~4 bull -eJ ~ - -_

t - bull bull ~

i L

i

~ rr )

~_J

~ - ) ~ (j rJ

) a gtoj tl

-) F1~ - ) j ~ ~ () ~a

~ tl - ED 0r vl 0 ~ r Ul ~~ Q I0 2 lt) e5 8 0 l -- M - [ ~ shy-1 tr ~

~ p fl =I l j ~ - l Co ~

0 0 41 ~i~ 0 shy)

- laquor ~ t yen~ -

9 ~ ri- (5 1 l ~ (Jpound _ 0 c-

~) ~ -

~ gt-lt g c--~~ ~J

I 0 l

c5 smiddot - ~

) I

IC) - ~

t(I

0 + ~ ~ shy l

~

~ 1

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 23: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

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Boston Globe showed approval The S1of Nixon at 44 per cent and of Agnew at 43 per cent Similarly a survey taken at and p 1abiOut the same time in Hhorle compared ~YHl Ci- ~ ~middot~t~middot~3IslanD rJr Chann~I I) aF] rnouerJt r lt nFTovidsnte I NeVI i~s~ of whorn 2rS~~JWed nly sS per cent S1t~ t8f D~ 11+ ~ hed v Fri1

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Reaction to the President with what he h2~ nd v(th L~e i_l~l and Vice President tends to the way the SttUampt l now th8 t

run along partisan lines While (Male photo lithogn f(111 tor t- lSt about half the states Somers IndepenL ~l P) 1(ltaot1t3ts disapprove of biJth years old) 1 I in 10 aPPtUt8 Rrp1lblkans I dOl)t think 111 ( io I j liId rw-SOlne 7 of 10 are jJNixon and better U1II NiJ(rm i~ ~on t~waA with now (iJoBsewife Ir I Ic~~l bull d _

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October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 24: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

i

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October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 25: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

October 20 1970

MEMORANDUM FOR H R HALDEMA~

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible Hisbull first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thirds

of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapprovd

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

First Survey Second Survey Change

Weickel 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 26: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 1400

C NixonAgnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaPErove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 2600 2900 2300 1100

Agnew 44ampfo 4500 3100 4300 2500 1200

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will slpport President Nixonts policies in the U S Sena teo

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very ImEortant Somewhat Important ImEortant At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 2800 13 1200 16 15

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 1100 Not Asked Vote Against 6 No Difference 73 Dont Know 9

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 27: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 ~ndependents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 28: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole popularion except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (17 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshymentbull

bull

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 29: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

Connecticut Poll

1 Are you now registered to vote in the November elections

2 Do you intend to vote in the November election (they were all registered)

3 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Nixon is handling his job as President

Approve Disapprove No Opinion

26 23

4 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Spiro Agnew is handling his job as Vice President

Approve Disapprove N O

44 bull 31 25

5 What in your opmlOn are some of the most important problems facing the country today First Second Third (no responses)

6 If the election for U S Senator were being held today would you vote for Lowell Weicker Duffey or Dodd

Weicker Duffey Dodd Other Undecided

25 26 21 1 27

7 Are you leaning more toward Weicker Duffey or Dodd (if undecided) Responses combined in question 6

8 How important do you think it is for the State of Connecti mt ato elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the US Senate

Very Impt Somewhat Impt Not Very Not at all

40 21 13 16 10

9 If President Nixon came to Connecticut and campaigned for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnt it make any difference

For Against No Diff c N Dont Know

11 6 73 9

10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
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      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
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10 Ii Vice President Agnew came to Connecticut and campagined for Weicker for U S Senator would you be more likely to vote for Weicker or more likely to vote against him or wouldnIt it make any differnc

For Against No DiH Dont Know

9 9 73 9

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 31: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

October 20 1970

MEMORAlTDUM FOR H R HALDEMAN

FROM DR DAVID R DERGE

SUBJECT Second October Survey of Connecticut

I Recommendations

A Weicker and Dodd have gained in the past three weeks and Duffey has declined This race is still a toss up

B The President should make another visit if possible His first trip was widely known and approved by nearly two-thhds of the voters A return trip late in the campaign might nail the election for Weicker

C Recommended target groups are listed with issue concerns in this report

II Connecticut - 701 voters were interviewed

A Presidents October campaign visit to Connecticut

1 This visit is widely known Eighty percent have seen heard or read about it

2 Of those who are aware of the visit 65 approved of it and 19 disapproved

B Trial Heat

The trial heat for U S Senate was as follows (Committed and Leaners combined)

Fir st Survey Se cond Survey Change

Weicker 25 30 +5

Duffey 26 25 -1

Dodd 21 28 +7

Undecided 28 17 -11

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 32: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

2

A two-way trial heat excluding Dodd resulted as follows

Weicker Duffey Neither Undecided

3100 2700 2800 14

C Nixon Agnew Popularity

The standard Gallup question on approval disapproval produced the following data

Approve DisaEprove Dont Know Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

Nixon 5100 6000 26 29 23 11

Agnew 4400 45 31 4300 2500 12

D Importance of Electing a Senator who will support the President bull

Respondents were asked how important they felt it would be for Connecticut to elect a Senator who will support President Nixons policies in the U S Sena ~e

Results were as follows Not Very Not Important

Very Important Somewhat Important Important At All Survey Survey Survey Survey

1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd 1st 2nd

4000 3800 2100 28 1300 12 16 1500

E Nixon-Agnew Campaigning in Connecticut

Respondents were asked whether campaigning by the President and Vice President would make them more likely to vote for or against Weicker cr would it make no difference

For the President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 11 Not Asked Vote Against 600 No Difference 7300 Dont Know 900

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 33: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

3

For the Vice President the overall figures were as follows

1st Survey 2nd Survey

Vote For 9 10 Vote Against 9 13 No Difference 73 70 Dont Know 9 6

F Other findings of interest

1 Only 10 of the 1968 Wallace voters intend to support Weicker

2 Fifty-five percent of the self-identifying Republicans intend to support Weicker

G Recommended Target Groups for Further Campaigning

These are areas in which Weicker shows weakness based on analysis of the early October survey

1 Negroes (5 of the population) Nearly twice as many Negroes as the average population are concerned with inflation high cost of living economy unemployment with special emphasis on unemployment Also more than twice as many Negroes as average are concerned with drugs

2 Labor Union Connected Voters (27 of the population) They show above average interest in inflation high cost of living economy and unemployment with emphasis on unemployment

3 Age group 21-29 (26 of the population) They show higher than average concern for the Vietnam War

4 Catholics (51 of the population) Their issue configuration closely matches the whole population

5 Independents (17 of the population) Forty-two percent of the Independents are still undecided Their issue configuration generally matches the whole population

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 34: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

4

6 RMN 1968 Voters (46 of the population) Fifteen percent of RMN 1968 voters will support Duffey and 29 will support Dodd Their issue interests match the whole population except for somewhat greater interest in college student demonstrations

7 Undecided Voters (l7 of the population) They are more concerned with inflation high cost of living economy and unemployshyment

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12
Page 35: Richard Nixon Presidential Library Contested Materials Collection ... · A letter for the President's signature acknowledging receipt of the "information" is attached. -----THE WHITE

A Propsoed Questionnaire for Connecticut

(only of registered voters)

1 Standard Richard Nixon approvedisapprove

2 Standard Ag new approve

3 If the election for US Senator were being held today would you~ vote for Lowell Weicker Jr Joseph Duffey or TholTIas Dodd

4 Follow-up to deterlTIine leaners

5 Suppose that the election for U S Senator were betweeen Lowell Weicker Jr and Joseph Duffy Would you vote for Lowell Weicker Jr or Joseph Duffy

6 Are you aware of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker in Connecticut this week Yes or No - Dont Know

7 If yes do you approve ot disapprove of President Nixons efforts on behalf of Lowell Weicker Jr

Approve Disapprove Donit Know

8 Standard question on How IlTIportant do you think it is for tEhe State of Connecticut to elect a Senator who agrees with bullbullbullbullbullbullbullbullbull

9 If Agnew calTIe to Cmmnecticut would you be lTIore likely to

  • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12 apdf
    • Contested Files
      • HR Haldeman - Connecticut - 12