"revenue management in a declining market" - ray thornton (colonial) - 2009 aim conference
DESCRIPTION
Ray Thornton, Vice President of IT Applications and Support at Colonial Property Trust presents a case study on the benefits of using revenue management system in a declining market. Revenue management systems automate the discipline of rental unit pricing and take the emotion out of pricing and presenting offers. Yet multifamily adoption of revenue management happened as markets recovered and rents were moving upward for everybody. Does revenue management work in a downward-trending market? Ray presents case a study examining whether revenue management adds the same value in a declining market like the one we’re currently experiencing.TRANSCRIPT
Revenue Management in a Declining Market
Revenue Management in a Declining Market
Ray Thornton, Vice President of IT Applications and Support
Colonial Properties Trust
May 1, 2009
Ray Thornton, Vice President of IT Applications and Support
Colonial Properties Trust
May 1, 2009
AgendaAgenda
Company Background History of Revenue Management at CLP Observations from the Field Internal Control of Revenue Management Process KPI Performance History
Company Background History of Revenue Management at CLP Observations from the Field Internal Control of Revenue Management Process KPI Performance History
Company BackgroundCompany Background Colonial Properties Trust (NYSE:CLP)
Headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama
Commercial (Office and Retail) Capabilities 57 Properties Sunbelt Markets (Atlanta, Orlando, Dallas are largest)
MRI CM for Property Management
Colonial Properties Trust (NYSE:CLP) Headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama
Commercial (Office and Retail) Capabilities 57 Properties Sunbelt Markets (Atlanta, Orlando, Dallas are largest)
MRI CM for Property Management
www.colonialprop.comwww.colonialprop.com
Company BackgroundCompany Background Multifamily Capabilities
119 properties with 32,000 units Average Rent of $803 20 Sun Belt Markets (Atlanta, Charlotte, Orlando, Dallas are largest) Average Age is 15 Years 80% of Company NOI
MRI RM for Property Management LRO for Revenue Management
Multifamily Capabilities 119 properties with 32,000 units Average Rent of $803 20 Sun Belt Markets (Atlanta, Charlotte, Orlando, Dallas are largest) Average Age is 15 Years 80% of Company NOI
MRI RM for Property Management LRO for Revenue Management
www.colonialprop.comwww.colonialprop.com
History of Revenue Management *History of Revenue Management *ROLLOUT PROGRESSION
IMPLEMENTATION MSA Units
April 2007
Pilot properties from Mobile, Richmond, Savannah, Raleigh, DFW, Atlanta, Greensboro, Orlando, Charleston 2300
October 2007 Phoenix 950November 2007 Orlando 1300November 2007 Bradenton, Sarasota, Tampa 700December 2007 Dallas\Fort Worth 3500January 2008 Raleigh 1900January 2008 Richmond 1200January 2008 Virginia Beach 500December 2007 Atlanta 3424August 2008 Charlotte 4100August 2008 Savannah 600
21,100
* CLP is currently rolling out remainder of portfolio* CLP is currently rolling out remainder of portfolio
PILOT1
PILOT 2
+3.2%
+2.2%
Observations from the FieldObservations from the Field• PROS
•The daily price changes created a sense of urgency to close the deal on the prospect.
• Multi-term pricing allowed the leasing associate to have more options and focus more on the prospect’s needs.
• Consolidates all supply-related data (traffic, expirations, leasing velocity) into a 16 week pricing forecast.
• Pricing follows a disciplined and “non-emotional” approach that would be more defensible for fair housing.
• The pricing model allowed for a smooth lease expiration matrix.
• LRO has made management transition on the properties easier.
• Pricing process is automated to where all pricing sources (Website\ILS) are in synch and much of STARS pricing approach is automated.
• Pricing process automates renewal generation process and requires that renewals are not less then the expiring lease (unless overridden).
•CONS•System is expensive at first glance. Make sure you do a business case with a hurdle rate.
• System could “dumb down” some of the pricing decisions at the property level (i.e. “The computer told me to do that.”)
• System is somewhat unproven in a down market.
Internal Controls – Best PracticesInternal Controls – Best Practices Change Management
Senior Management Buy-in? Regional Management is the Key!
Traffic Entered Promptly Marketing Sources Correct
Market Comps Shopped Weekly Shopped Accurately
Pricing Awareness of Previous Rents Minimal Overrides Calls are Attended
Change Management Senior Management Buy-in? Regional Management is the Key!
Traffic Entered Promptly Marketing Sources Correct
Market Comps Shopped Weekly Shopped Accurately
Pricing Awareness of Previous Rents Minimal Overrides Calls are Attended
Market Comps – Shopped WeeklyMarket Comps – Shopped Weekly
SAMPLE
Market Comps – Shopped AccuratelyMarket Comps – Shopped Accurately
SAMPLE
Pricing – Awareness of Previous RentsPricing – Awareness of Previous Rents
SAMPLE
Pricing – Minimal OverridesPricing – Minimal Overrides
SAMPLE
Pricing – Calls are AttendedPricing – Calls are Attended
SAMPLE
KPI Performance HistoryKPI Performance History
KPIs Tracked Revenue Per Occupied Unit (RPU) (Internal) Net Effective Rent (External) Physical Occupancy (External) Lease Expirations (Internal)
KPIs Tracked Revenue Per Occupied Unit (RPU) (Internal) Net Effective Rent (External) Physical Occupancy (External) Lease Expirations (Internal)
Revenue Per Unit Indexed (Pilot 1)Revenue Per Unit Indexed (Pilot 1)
Source: CLP DataSource: CLP Data
Revenue Per Unit Indexed (Pilot 2)Revenue Per Unit Indexed (Pilot 2)
Source: CLP DataSource: CLP Data
Rent\Occupancy Gap (RevMan vs NonRevMan)Rent\Occupancy Gap (RevMan vs NonRevMan)AtlantaAtlanta
CharlotteCharlotte
Source: AxioMetricsSource: AxioMetrics
Rent\Occupancy Gap (NonRevMan vs RevMan)Rent\Occupancy Gap (NonRevMan vs RevMan)DallasDallas
OverallOverall
Source: AxioMetricsSource: AxioMetrics
Effective Rent\Occupancy (CLP to NonRevMan Peers)Effective Rent\Occupancy (CLP to NonRevMan Peers)
Effective Rental Rate GapEffective Rental Rate Gap
Occupancy GapOccupancy Gap
Source: CLP Data, AxioMetricsSource: CLP Data, AxioMetrics
Lease ExpirationsLease Expirations
Source: CLP DataSource: CLP Data
So Does It Work?So Does It Work?
Improving\Stabilized Markets RM reacts quicker and drives rents up faster than manual
process while maintaining occupancy. Many studies and pilots prove this.
Declining Markets RM reacts quicker and drives rents down faster than
manual process in order to preserve occupancy. But does it react too quickly and discount too aggressively?
Per Rainmaker, ASN and Simpson have proven it works in a declining market.
Improving\Stabilized Markets RM reacts quicker and drives rents up faster than manual
process while maintaining occupancy. Many studies and pilots prove this.
Declining Markets RM reacts quicker and drives rents down faster than
manual process in order to preserve occupancy. But does it react too quickly and discount too aggressively?
Per Rainmaker, ASN and Simpson have proven it works in a declining market.
THANK YOU!THANK YOU!
Ansley and Reagan say THANKS!!Ansley and Reagan say THANKS!!