retrospect and prospect of china s gold …lbma/lppm precious metals conference 2012 12 november...

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LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINAS GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo Director General of Financial Market Department The People’s Bank of China November 2012 Hong Kong Conference: LBMA’s Annual Conference is the most incredible and magnificent event in the global precious metals market. People: I met with Dr. Stewart Murray, the Chief Executive and Mr. Kevin Crisp, the former LBMA Chairman last May in Beijing. Venue: Hong Kong was a traditional trading hub for gold in the past decades.

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Page 1: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 1

RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT

OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET

Mr. Xie Duo

Director General of Financial Market Department

The People’s Bank of China

November 2012 Hong Kong

Conference: LBMA’s Annual Conference is the most incredible and

magnificent event in the global precious metals market.

People: I met with Dr. Stewart Murray, the Chief Executive and Mr.

Kevin Crisp, the former LBMA Chairman last May in Beijing.

Venue: Hong Kong was a traditional trading hub for gold in the past

decades.

Page 2: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 2

2004 LBMA Shanghai Conference

Governor Zhou Xiaochuan of PBC : Three Transformations Strategy

In 2011, < Opinions to Boost the Development of China’s Gold Market >

was issued by PBC, Ministry of Finance, State Administration

of Taxation, National Development & Reform Commission, Ministry of

Industry & Information Technology and CSRC.

Three Transformations Strategy

Commodity Market ► Financial Investment Market

Spot Market ► Derivative Market

Domestic Market ► International Market

Page 3: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 3

The structure of China’s gold market: 2 Exchanges + 1 OTC Market

SGE: Spot & Deferred Business

SHFE: Futures Business

Chinese Commercial Banks: Investment Business

The market reform was successful and fruitful.

Achievements: No.1 Gold Producing Country

No. 1 Gold Consuming Country

SGE: No. 1 Spot & Physical Gold Trading Center

SHFE: No. 4 Gold Futures Trading Center

Page 4: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 4

Mission One

Transform from a commodity market to a financial investment market.

Production in 2011: 360 . 96 Tonnes

China’s Annual Gold Output

172.2 192.8 201.9 210.6 217.3

229.8 247.2

280.5 292.0

324.0 340.9

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

14.00%

16.00%

0.0

50.0

100.0

150.0

200.0

250.0

300.0

350.0

400.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Ton

Also in 2011, China’s annual gold consumption volume reached 761 tonnes.

Page 5: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 5

SGE attracted more financial institutions to enter into the market and

offered both the spot and deferred contracts to the individual investors.

SGE 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Financial Members

26 29 30 31 33

Individual Clients

1.1

million

1.5

million

2

million

2.6

million

3

million

More than 30 Chinese commercial banks have conducted gold

investment business and offered various products, including physical

bars and paper gold.

Page 6: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 6

Mission Two Transform from a spot market to a derivative market.

In 2004, SGE successfully launched the deferred trading product.

From 2008, gold deferred trading has accounted for over 60% of

SGE’s gold market for three consecutive years and in 2011, the

percentage rose to 73%.

42.49 470.69 665.3 906.42

1,249.60 1828.13

4463.77 4710.819

6,051.50

37.38 491 795.23 1068.63 1947.51

3164.9

8696.05 10288.76

16,157.81

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Billion Yuan Ton SGE’s Annual Trading Volume and Amount

On Jan 9th 2008, with the approval of CSRC, SHFE launched the gold

futures contract.

Shanghai is now the world No.4 biggest gold futures market just behind

New York, Tokyo and Mumbai.

Chinese commercial banks have gradually offered gold forward, swap

and options contracts to their customers.

Page 7: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 7

Mission Three Transform from a domestic market to an international market.

In November 2005, SGE launched the night trading session.

The night trading session: 21:00 pm – 2:30 am ( Monday to

Thursday), overlaps with the morning trading session in New York

and the afternoon trading session in London.

The night trading session has almost accounted for one third of

SGE’s total trading volume.

Page 8: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 8

In 2008, SGE absorbed 4 foreign banks as its international members.

Now SGE has 9 international members from U.S., U.K., Canada,

Australia, Switzerland and Singapore.

In 2010, PBC granted another 5 Chinese commercials banks

with the gold importation licenses. Now, the total number of the

Chinese banks with the importation licenses rose to 9.

Page 9: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 9

Efforts to safeguard the fruits of the development:

1. Prevent the reconstruction of the gold trading centers.

2. Eliminate the illegal market, while guide the investors to trade

in the legitimate platforms.

Market development is sound and stable.

Future Development of China’s Gold Market

Page 10: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 10

Step One: Ensure the development orientation of the market.

Establish a more mature market system

Promote the product innovation

Satisfy the growing demand in our market

Give full play to serve the country’s real economy

Step Two: Perfect the laws, rules and relative policies.

Page 11: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 11

Step Three: Perfect the mechanism of risk aversion and

investors protection.

Self-disciplinary management

Strict regulation

OTC Market -- Dodd Frank Act

Step Four: Strengthen the market system construction and accelerate

the pace of product innovation.

Price Quoting System

+

More than 11,000 institutions

Gold Leasing & Lending Market

Page 12: RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA S GOLD …LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012 Session 1 - Duo 1 RETROSPECT AND PROSPECT OF CHINA’S GOLD MARKET Mr. Xie Duo

LBMA/LPPM Precious Metals Conference 2012 12 November 2012

Session 1 - Duo 12

Step Five: Promote further opening to the outside world.

That’s all and thank you!