retail park, limerick · 2019. 8. 16. · carrickerry ballynacally ennis ballyslattery broadford...
TRANSCRIPT
Prime Retail Park Investment Opportunity For Sale by Private Treaty
R E T A I L P A R K , L I M E R I C K
Modern retail park extending to 16,607.8 sq m (178,764 sq ft)
The AssetModern fully let retail park extending to 16,607.8 sq m (178,764 sq ft)
Comprising 7 retail warehouse units
Situated on the Ballysimon Road 4km from Limerick City Centre and 1km from the M7 Motorway, a major arterial route linking Limerick to Dublin
Excellent tenant mix including B&Q, Harvey Norman, Halfords, Home Store + More and EZ Living
Current rent roll of more than €2.3 million per annum
Attractive WAULT of circa 8.4 years
Additional income potential through the form of turnover top-ups and future development opportunities on site with the benefit of P.P
For the avoidance of doubt please note this is a property investment sale and the Tenants are unaffected
C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
East Point Retail Park
Northern Trust
Delta Retail ParkBMWAUDI
M7
M7
DUBLIN
LIMERICK CITY
P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
N18
N18
M7
M7
M20
R445
R445R445
R527
R511
R511R526
R512
R445 R463
R463R464
R464
LimerickLimerick
Garryowen
Ballynanty
Ballysheedy
Groody Park
Castletroy
Galvone
Dooradoyle
LocationCityEast Retail Park is located approximately 4kms south east of Limerick City, benefiting from extensive frontage onto the Ballysimon Road. The park is positioned just off Junction 29 of the M7 motorway, one of Ireland’s busiest arterial routes.
Limerick City is the regional capital of the south west of Ireland and the third largest city overall. The city has a population of 94,192 as per the 2016 census. Limerick is located approximately 202km south west of Dublin (M7), 102km north of Cork (N20) and 107km south of Galway (M18).
Limerick is one of three cities which makes up the Cork-Limerick-Galway corridor along the west of Ireland and has a population of over 1 million people. The city lies on the River Shannon and is a popular tourist destination, it also acts as a gateway to County Kerry, Ireland’s main tourist destination outside of Dublin.
Limerick is well connected and easily accessible by all modes of transport. It benefits from an extensive road / motorway network with drive times to Dublin in 2hrs 25mins, Cork 1hr 40mins and Galway in 1hr 20mins. There are local city bus services operating as well as expressway routes direct to other towns and cities. There are numerous rail connections from Limerick (Colbert) Station connecting Dublin (Heuston) in 2hrs, Cork (Kent) in 1hr 25mins and Galway (Ceannt) in 1hr 55mins. Shannon International Airport is located 33km to the northwest of the subject property providing various domestic and international connections.
CityEast Retail Park is located within an established commercial location. In the immediate area around the park there is also Garryglass Industrial Estate, Delta Retail Park, Eastway Business Park, East Point Retail Park, Monaclinoe Industrial Estate and Crossagalla Industrial Estate, all located on the Ballysimon Road. City East Plaza, a modern office development is located directly opposite the retail park where Northern Trust are the main tenant.
C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Catchment Analysis
Limerick
Clarina
Ahane
Craglea
Ballymoylan
Ahane
O’Briensbridge
Nenagh
Dunkerrin
Barrisnoe
Cooleen
Ballagh
Cashel
Tipperary
Tipperary
Kilmallock
Rockhill
Upperchurch
Murroe
Cliggin
Dromkeen
Fedamore
MeanusCarrickettle
CarrigoreillySt Patrickswell
Croom
Milltown(Asceaton)
Rathkeale
Newcastle
Kilmeedy
Curra More
Foynes
Carrickerry
Ballynacally
Ennis
Ballyslattery
Broadford
Shannon
M7
M7
M20
N20
N21
N24
N24
Limerick is well connected and easily accessible by all modes of transport. It benefits from an extensive road / motorway network with drive times to Dublin in 2hrs 25mins, Cork 1hr 40mins and Galway in 1hr 20mins.
P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Population Growth 2006 - 2016 Household Expenditure
Permanent Households total 80,184
of catchment area is within the A, B, C1 Socio-Economic Group.
51%
Workforce
Population by Age
< 15 years
15 - 24 years
25 - 44 years
45 - 64 years
65+ years
Average Weekly Spend €790
Limerick
Clarina
Ahane
Craglea
Ballymoylan
Ahane
O’Briensbridge
Nenagh
Dunkerrin
Barrisnoe
Cooleen
Ballagh
Cashel
Tipperary
Tipperary
Kilmallock
Rockhill
Upperchurch
Murroe
Cliggin
Dromkeen
Fedamore
MeanusCarrickettle
CarrigoreillySt Patrickswell
Croom
Milltown(Asceaton)
Rathkeale
Newcastle
Kilmeedy
Curra More
Foynes
Carrickerry
Ballynacally
Ennis
Ballyslattery
Broadford
Shannon
M7
M7
M20
N20
N21
N24
N24
2011 216,701
2006 205,362
2016 221,581
+2%+6%
12,927
31,99226,695
4,6321,448
2,490 (not stated)
Per household
0
1
2
34
Total Expenditure
€63,327,489
Housing
€13mGoods & Services
€11m
Food
€9mTransport
€9m
Recreation & Culture
€6mFuel
€3m
Clothing
€2mAlcohol
€2m
52,421
Catchment 221,581 Ireland 4,761,865
46,227
30,001
63,304
29,628
21%
13%
29%
24%
13%
1,006,552
576,452
1,406,291
1,135, 003
637,567
21%
12%
30%
24%
13%
C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
The PropertyCityEast Retail Park was constructed in 2006 and comprises 7 retail warehouse units extending to 16,607.8 sq m (178,764 sq ft) GIA. The scheme is laid out in two detached blocks, the anchor unit occupied by B&Q is a large rectangular shaped building with the other remaining units laid out in an “L” shaped configuration. The retail park sits on a site area of approximately 6.64hectares (16.41 acres) and provides for 525 surface car parking spaces which is free for customers.
Units range in size from approximately
704.00 sq m (7,578 sq ft) to 5,546.2 sq m (59,699 sq ft).
The units are of steel portal frame construction with block work walls and cast in-situ concrete floors with coated metal deck roofs. The current use within the park is restricted to bulky goods.
P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Tenancy OverviewCityEast Retail Park is let to seven tenants including B&Q, Harvey Norman, Halfords, Home Store + More and EZ Living.
Top 3 tenants by income
Over 75% of the current income is secured against multinational covenants.
The above areas which are calculated on a Gross Internal Area basis were provided by Murphy Surveys. An assignable measurement survey and detailed tenancy schedule is provided in the dataroom.
Unit Trading As Demise Floor Area Sq m
Floor Area Sq ft Lease Term Start End Rent Review Break Contracted Rent Rent Receivable Comment
1 B&QGround 5,378.5 57,894
20 yrs & 1 day 25/07/2005 25/07/2025 25/07/2020 €590,000 €590,000
Abated rent from €1,208,592 per annum to minimum rent of €590,000 per annum plus 5% of Gross T/O in excess of annual Rental Threshold of €11.8m from 1st April 2013 to 24th July 2020. The next rent review on 25th July 2020 will be the higher of €590,000 per annum or the open market yearly rent. Mezzanine 167.7 1,805
2 EZ LivingGround 833.0 8,966
10 yrs 17/06/2013 16/06/2023 17/06/2018 16/06/2020 €130,000 €130,000Mezzanine 549.6 5,916
3 HalfordsGround 669.2 7,203
20 yrs & 1 day 28/10/2005 28/10/2025 28/10/2020 €183,090 €183,090Mezzanine 438.4 4,719
4 Maxi ZooGround 680.1 7,321
25 yrs & 1 day 24/03/2008 24/03/2033 24/03/2018 €186,354 €186,354Mezzanine 23.9 257
5,6,7 Harvey Norman Ground 4,256.4 45,815
25 yrs & 1 day 09/01/2006 09/01/2031 10/01/2021 09/01/2026 €638,520 €638,520 Break Option clause subject to 12 months notice and 12 months penalty. Mezzanine 78.5 845
8,9 Home Store + MoreGround 1,891.5 20,360
25 yrs & 1 day 07/08/2007 07/07/2032 07/08/2017 €473,525 €473,525Mezzanine 694.3 7,473
10 Home Savers Ground 946.7 10,190 20 yrs 17/05/2018 16/05/2038 17/05/2023 €101,270 €101,270
Rent Deposit Deed- €93,421.58 to act as security and for the future performance of the Tenant. 1/3 will be refunded to the Tenant 21 days after the last day of the second year of the term, 1/3 after the last day of the third year of the term and 1/3 after the last day of the fourth year of the term.
Total 16,607.8 178,764 €2,302,759 €2,302,759
C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Covenant Strength by Income
Income Profile to Expiry Income Profile to Break
Multinational
€1,727,964National
€574,795
25%75%
€0€130,000
€773,090
€1,399,669
€0€200,000€400,000€600,000€800,000
€1,000,000€1,200,000€1,400,000€1,600,000
0 years - 2 years 2 years to 5years
5 years to 10years
10 years +
€0
€1,411,610
€130,000
€761,149
€0€200,000€400,000€600,000€800,000
€1,000,000€1,200,000€1,400,000€1,600,000
0 years - 2 years 2 years to 5years
5 years to 10years
10 years +
Harvey Norman
28%
B&Q
26%
€638,520
€590,000
Home Store + More
21%€473,525
OTHER TENANTS
€2.3m Rent
Receivable
Site Plan
Future Development
Unit 1A- Planning granted under ref (13/631) for an additional unit extending to approximately 1,427 sq m (15,360 sq ft).
Unit 10A- Planning granted under ref (17/733) for a coffee pod extending to approximately 244 sq m (2,626 sq ft).
Unit Trading As Demise Floor Area Sq m
Floor Area Sq ft Lease Term Start End Rent Review Break Contracted Rent Rent Receivable Comment
1 B&QGround 5,378.5 57,894
20 yrs & 1 day 25/07/2005 25/07/2025 25/07/2020 €590,000 €590,000
Abated rent from €1,208,592 per annum to minimum rent of €590,000 per annum plus 5% of Gross T/O in excess of annual Rental Threshold of €11.8m from 1st April 2013 to 24th July 2020. The next rent review on 25th July 2020 will be the higher of €590,000 per annum or the open market yearly rent. Mezzanine 167.7 1,805
2 EZ LivingGround 833.0 8,966
10 yrs 17/06/2013 16/06/2023 17/06/2018 16/06/2020 €130,000 €130,000Mezzanine 549.6 5,916
3 HalfordsGround 669.2 7,203
20 yrs & 1 day 28/10/2005 28/10/2025 28/10/2020 €183,090 €183,090Mezzanine 438.4 4,719
4 Maxi ZooGround 680.1 7,321
25 yrs & 1 day 24/03/2008 24/03/2033 24/03/2018 €186,354 €186,354Mezzanine 23.9 257
5,6,7 Harvey Norman Ground 4,256.4 45,815
25 yrs & 1 day 09/01/2006 09/01/2031 10/01/2021 09/01/2026 €638,520 €638,520 Break Option clause subject to 12 months notice and 12 months penalty. Mezzanine 78.5 845
8,9 Home Store + MoreGround 1,891.5 20,360
25 yrs & 1 day 07/08/2007 07/07/2032 07/08/2017 €473,525 €473,525Mezzanine 694.3 7,473
10 Home Savers Ground 946.7 10,190 20 yrs 17/05/2018 16/05/2038 17/05/2023 €101,270 €101,270
Rent Deposit Deed- €93,421.58 to act as security and for the future performance of the Tenant. 1/3 will be refunded to the Tenant 21 days after the last day of the second year of the term, 1/3 after the last day of the third year of the term and 1/3 after the last day of the fourth year of the term.
Total 16,607.8 178,764 €2,302,759 €2,302,759
P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
BALLYSIMON RD
SERVICE RD
OLD TIPPERARY RD (N24)
SERV
ICE
RDDEVELOPMENT LAND
GARDENCENTRE
NEWLINEARPARK
UNIT 1A
UN
IT
10A
PJ T
HW
AITE
S
FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES
For illustration purposes only
C I T Y E A S T R E TA I L PA R K
Economy going from Strength to StrengthIreland was the EU’s fastest growing economy in 2018, with output rising by 8.2%. Total employment rose by 2.3% in 2018 and a further 3.7% year-on-year in Q1 2019, with an increase of over 80,000 people at work. Unemployment is currently at 4.6%, close to what is believed to be full employment. Greater numbers at work, coupled with increased earnings and consecutive tax cuts, have led to strong growth of over 5% in real aggregate household disposable incomes in the last twelve months and continued deleveraging which has contributed to a 4.6% rise in households’ net worth.
Retail EconomyThe Q1 national accounts show a 2.9% increase in personal consumption expenditure – still positive but something of a slowdown compared with the growth rates seen in late 2017 and the first half of 2018.
The narrower monthly retail sales measure is also showing growth, but has slowed significantly in the last few months. As of June the index was rising by just 0.1% Y/Y, compared with 6.4% a year ago.
All but the bars and motors sectors captured in the monthly data are enjoying annual sales growth in volume terms (dots above the horizontal axis in Figure 2). Some of the strongest growth is being recorded in electrical (+22.7% 3mma) and furniture stores (+10.0% 3mma). These store types are commonly associated with housing and their performance would appear to reflect the ramping-up of new housing supply – new dwellings completions rose by 25.2% in 2018 by
23.2% Y/Y in Q1 2019 – as well as improved disposable incomes and rising house prices – the latter of which has likely encouraged people to invest more in their homes.
Only newsagents, bars and car dealerships sit to the right of the vertical axis in Figure 2, indicating rising average prices. In all other sectors prices are falling. Indeed, deflation has been a consistent theme in Irish retail for a few years now. One reason is an ongoing compositional shift in the Irish retail landscape towards mid-market and value brands. It also reflects lower input costs for retailers due to a weaker Pound since the Brexit referendum, with a share of these savings being passed on to consumers. However, the continuing disparity between volume and value sales also suggests that e-commerce is improving price transparency, forcing face-to-face stores to be more competitive.
Why Invest in Irish Retail
Figure 1: Household Net Worth By Component Figure 2: Annual Retail Sales & Price Growth by Sector (3-mth Mov. Avg. June 2019)
1,000
750
500
250
0
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2003
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2003
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Source: Central Bank of Ireland
Financial Assets Liabilities Housing Assets Net Worth
Dept. Stores
Grocery
Pharmacy
Clothing
Furniture
Hardware
Electrical
Newsagents
Bars
Motors
Specialist Foods
-8
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
-12 -8 -4 0 4 8 12
Sales Volume, %
Price Growth, %
Source: CSO, Savills Research
P R I M E R E TA I L PA R K I N V E S T M E N T O P P O R T U N I T Y
Indicator Period % Change Y/Y
Live Register July 2019 -12.0
Overseas Trips to Ireland Q1 2019 +5.5
Real VAT Receipts June 2019 +3.7
Real Household Disposable Income (4QMA) Q1 2019 +5.2
Household Net Worth Q4 2018 +4.6
Total Retail Sales May 2019 +1.0
Total Employment Q1 2019 +3.7
Real Personal Consumption Expenditure Q1 2019 +2.9
Real Average Gross Earnings Q1 2019 +2.3
Consumer Credit Outstanding Balances May 2019 +4.7
Consumer Sentiment (3mma) June 2019 -14.2
Sources: CSO, CBI, KBC Bank Ireland/ESRI, Dept. of Finance.
Consumer Economy Dashboard
Retail PropertyOver the 12m to end-June, retail rents rose by 1.5% across the basket of investment grade shops covered by MSCI. This reflects a slowdown compared with 3% Y/Y a 12m ago. As ever with retail there is significant variation by location and store type. Given buoyant consumer demand for electrical goods and homewares, arising from increased household wealth and housing output, the retail warehousing sector has been the best performer. Here rents are rising by 6.5% per annum and capital values have edged up by 1.8%.
OutlookThe economic backdrop remains favourable for retail property. Ireland’s benign cycle of jobs creation, which has been in place for more than five years now, is expected to continue with consensus forecasts pointing to robust growth of 2.2% and 1.9% in 2019 and 2020 respectively. Additionally, as the labour market approaches full-employment, wage inflation is likely to strengthen, which should provide consumers with additional firing power at the tills.
In conjunction with the ESRI Savills Research has developed an econometric model of retail rents in Ireland. In summary, with limited additional rental property being constructed rents are now rising with 1.51% Y/Y rental growth Q2 2019. The model forecasts further rental growth of 3.44% between Q3 2019 to Q1 2021.
Figure 3: Overall Rents Forecast Q2 2018 - Q1 2021300
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Central Forecast 95% Lower 95% Higher
ContactSelling Agents
Savills 33 Molesworth St Dublin 2 PSRA 002233
Brendan Delaney +353 (0) 1 618 1715 [email protected]
John Earley +353 (0) 1 618 1766 [email protected]
Peter O’Meara +353 (0) 21 490 6114 [email protected]
Solicitor
Beauchmaps Riverside Two Sir John Rogerson’s Quay Dublin 2
Maitiú Ó Dónaill +353 (0) 1 418 0657 m.o’[email protected]
DISCLAIMER: These particulars are issued by Savills Ireland on the understanding that any negotiations relating to the property are conducted through them. While every care has been taken in preparing them, by Savills Ireland for themselves and for the vendor/lessor whose agents they are, give notice that: - (i) The particulars are set out as a general outline for guiding potential purchasers/tenants and do not constitute any part of an offer or contract. (ii) Any representation including descriptions, dimensions, references to condition, permissions or licenses for uses or occupation, access and any other details are given in good faith and are believed to be correct, but any intending purchaser or tenant should not rely on them as statements or representations of fact but must satisfy themselves (at their own expense) as to their correctness. (iii) Neither by Savills Ireland, nor any of their employees have any authority to make any or give any representation or warranty in relation to the property. August 2019. Designed and produced by Creativeworld. 01282 858200
ViewingsAll viewings are strictly by appointment through the sole selling agent.
PricingGuide Price excess €24,250,000 (subject to contract), which represents a net income yield of 8.75% after standard purchaser’s costs of 8.46%.
BER Rating
VATWe understand transfer of business relief should apply to the sale.
TitleWe understand that the property is held Freehold.
Data Site www.cityeastretailpark.com