Resource productivity and future technologies

Miroslav Havránek

EEA - FLIS - COPENHAGEN - 18.-19. 11.2010

Content

About CUEC Resource productivity Final sink scarcity Future technologies ISIE ConAccount news

Charles University Environment Center

Charles University in Prague Non-faculty research institute (1992) About 30 people (director prof. Bedrich

Moldan) Focus on environmental and ecological

economy, sustainable development indicators

Resource productivity metrics

EEA Core set EUROSTAT IEA

Upstream processes omitted Rucksack, Footprinting, Hybrid I-O tables

Resource productivity in Europe

Source: EUROSTAT

Energy intensity per product

Source: CZSO

Increasing efficiency - pitfall

Physical and financial flows are coupled Resource efficiency leads to higher quality of

life and ultimatelly to more resource use = rebound effect is real

Economic growth is driven by consumption (income)

To effectively de-couple and decrease env. burden efficiency must grow faster than GDP

Final sink

Resource becomes waste

Dematerialisation shifts materials to more dangerous materials

Recycling vs. Final disposal

Air & Soil & Sea

Technology development

Strong driver of the future Omitted environmental impacts and resource

needs Non-linearities in future scenarios Penetration curve of new technologies Know-how exchange

Accelerating technologies: race in to unknown?

Improvement of technology vs. Change of basic principles

Technology outlook of LDV, IEA

Source: IEA 2010

Technologies example:Demand Side

Energy efficiency in buildings and appliances Heat pumps Solar space and water heating Energy efficiency in transport Electric and plug-in vehicles H2 fuel cell vehicles

CCS industry, H2 and fuel transformation Industrial motor systems

Technologies example:Suply side

CCS fossil-fuel power generation Nuclear power plants Onshore and offshore wind Biomass IGCC & co-combustion Photovoltaic systems Concentrating solar power Coal: integrated-gasification combined Cycle Coal: ultra-supercritical 2nd generation biofuels

News

Thank you for your attention