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INDIAS TOP RESIDENTIALDESTINATIONS TO INVEST INInvestment Advisory Report November 2012
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This reportLGHQWLHVthe
top residential
destinations in the
country from the
investment point of view
over the nextYH
years (2013-2017)
Balancing return with the associated risk is the
focal point of any investment decision. Equity and
debt are considered to be the mainstream asset
FODVVHV+RZHYHUWKHWUDGHREHWZHHQUHWXUQ
and risk in both these asset classes is strikingly
GLHUHQW:KLOHHTXLW\DVDQDVVHWFODVVLV
associated with high returns albeit with a greater
risk score as measured by volatility, a relatively
stable debt investment comes with a larger
compromise on returns.
Real estate, the third mainstream asset class,
RHUVWKHEHVWFRPELQDWLRQRIUHWXUQVDQGULVN
From the perspective of return, real estate
investment in India has garnered superior returns
in comparison to other asset classes over a long
term. Further, an investment in residential
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
INTRODUCTION
property is generally done with leverage in the
form of a housing mortgage. This leverage further
increases the potential for earning higher returns
since the initial equity contribution is a fraction of
the property value.
From the perspective of risk, property investment
fares better because asset price generally
remains stable. It has been established that an
investment in real estate based on sound
research can seldom go wrong. In the sense thatin comparison to an asset class like equity which
is dependent on several factors related to the
XQGHUO\LQJEXVLQHVVOLNHSURWDELOLW\OHYHUDJH
and corporate governance, a real estate
investment is based on the underlying asset. A
sound research is inherently founded on deep
IMPORTANT TERMS USED IN THE REPORT
TERM MEANING
Metropolitan region 7KHXUEDQUHJLRQDVGHQHGE\WKHUHJLRQDOGHYHORSPHQWDXWKRULW\
Zone A Zone is a geographical division of the metropolitan region comprising of several
localities that possess similar characteristics in terms of access to employment hubs,
connectivity and demography. In most cases, the metropolitan region is divided into 4-5
]RQHVWKDWDUHODEHOHGDV&HQWUDO6RXWK1RUWK:HVWDQG(DVW
Destination Destination is the most promising residential locality from the perspective of investment
Benchmark location ,GHQWLHGEDVHGRQWKHQHDUHVWSULFHFRQWRXUDEHQFKPDUNORFDWLRQLVDQHVWDEOLVKHG
residential locality that has saturated in terms of real estate growth and infrastructure
development and is considered as the most sought after residential market within the
]RQH:LWKUHVSHFWWRSULFHIRUHFDVWLQJIRUWKHGHVWLQDWLRQDEHQFKPDUNORFDWLRQSUHIHUDEO\
in the same zone, becomes the reference point
Property price This map splits the geography of a city in accordance with the prevailing residential
contour map SURSHUW\SULFH5HVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWVIDOOLQJZLWKLQDFRQWRXUOLQHFRPPDQGSULFHLGHQWLHG
by such line
Investor Return It is the IRR (Internal Rate of Return) for a typical investor in residential property
Assumptions for Size of property: 1000 sq. ft. Investment horizon: 5 years
calculating Investor Loan to Value ratio: 60% Mortgage rate: 10.5% pa
Return Loan tenure: 20 years
Residential Property The price indicates the average capital value in the residential market of the destination
Price (`per sq.ft.) and benchmark locations
Hidden Gem Locations where we expect the real estate drivers to gather momentum beyond year 2017
We have developed a
framework built on top-
down approach in the
selection of WKHYHPRVW
promising cities and zones
within them and bottom-
up approach in the
selection of top
investment destinations
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From the perspective of
risk, property investment
fares better because asset
price generally remains
stable
understanding of the property market along with
the study of factors that drive it.
Real estate is an asset class where an educatedinvestor can mitigate the risk and enjoy the
associated superior returns at the same time.
Coupled with the other mainstream asset classes,
this investment vehicle can make for an optimally
GLYHUVLHGSRUWIROLR,QPRVWFDVHVLQYHVWPHQWLQ
real estate is fraught with decisions based on gut
feeling and tips which result in poor
investments. Hence, an investor has to clearly
delineate a real estate investment from
speculation.
7KHJOREDOQDQFLDOFULVLVRIKDVEURXJKW
about a striking change in the attitude of
investors. This change towards expectation on
investment returns, growth and risk does not
single out any one asset class but applies to most
of the assets whether it is equity, debt,
commodity or real estate. Amidst this changed
scenario it is evident that an advice on
investment in any asset class cannot be generic.
Real estate as an asset class is the foremost
example that will witness the challenge thrown by
this tenet particularly in this tough economic
scenario. Even within real estate as an asset
class, the judgment on investment outlook on
commercial real estate and residential real estate
FDQQRWEHDXQLHGRQH7KHGRPLQDQWIDFWRUV
that drive investment returns for both these are
diverse to a great extent. Hence, the investment
opinion should take into account each of these
factors.
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORT,QGLDV5HVLGHQWLDO'HVWLQDWLRQV
Although the prominence of real estate as an
asset class is increasing, the investment research
in the subject lags much behind in comparison to
other asset classes. With this report, we will makean incipient foray into the subject by identifying
the top residential destinations in the country
IURPWKHLQYHVWPHQWSRLQWRIYLHZIRUWKHQH[WYH
\HDUV7KHGHVWLQDWLRQVDUH
residential markets that we expect will
outperform in terms of the investor returns on
account of the appreciation in property prices. We
KDYHGHYHORSHGDIUDPHZRUNEXLOWRQWRSGRZQ
DSSURDFKLQWKHVHOHFWLRQRIWKHYHPRVW
promising cities and zones within them and
ERWWRPXSDSSURDFKLQWKHVHOHFWLRQRIWRS
investment destinations. Since real estate
activities are not restricted to city limits, we have
considered the entire metropolitan region in our
analysis. Our understanding of the local property
market and experience in dealing with
SDUDPHWHUVWKDWGHWHUPLQHDQXUEDQFHQWUHV
growth equips us to develop the framework for
this pioneering report.
While selection of the top residential investment
destinations remains the core of this report, we
DOVRSUHVHQWYHORFDWLRQVZKHUHZHH[SHFWWKH
real estate drivers to gather momentum albeit
GXULQJWKHHORQJDWHGWLPHKRUL]RQEH\RQG
7KHVHORFDWLRQVKDYHEHHQLGHQWLHGDVKLGGHQ
JHPVLQWKHUHSRUWIn most cases, investment
in real estate is fraught
with decisions based on
gut feeling and tips which
result in pOor
investments. Hence, an
investor has to clearly
delineate a real estate
investment from
speculation
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
Regional growth within a
city is anything but even
and the direction of such
growth is a critical
factor in determining the
fate of a particular
residential property
APPROACH FOR IDENTIFICATION OF THE TOP RESIDENTIALINVESTMENT DESTINATIONS
India
Urban centres
Top 100 cities
Business activity:Banking penetration, hotel room demand, air passenger traffic
Infrastructure development:Current and proposed infrastructure expenditure
Top 100 cities based on population
Employment:Occupied office space, industrial activity
Social & physical infrastructure:Analysis of development plan of respective
authorities and extensive field survey
Connectivity withimportant locations
Access to socialinfrastructure
Special factors:Proximity to
premium officespace, landavailability,
lifestyle shift,planned
development
Top 5 cities
Zone
Destination
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The top residential destinations have been picked
from the universe of all urban centres in the
country. In this multi stage selection, each
parameter was chosen in a manner that captures
WKHFDXVHDQGHHFWUHODWLRQVKLSRIVXFK
parameters with the growth of residential
development in the city.
The population base of a city is a crucial indicator
RIWKHSRWHQWLDORILWVKRXVLQJPDUNHW,QWKHUVW
VWDJHRIVHOHFWLRQWRSFLWLHVZHUHLGHQWLHG
based on their population. The extent of business
activity and thrust on infrastructure development
DUHFULWLFDOIDFWRUVDHFWLQJWKHKRXVLQJPDUNHW
and accordingly these selected 100 cities were
studied. Banking penetration, hotel room
GHPDQGDQGDLUSDVVHQJHUWUDFZHUH
considered as surrogates for business activities
and current and proposed infrastructure
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
From the growth and
investment perspective,
zones that have high
concentration of business
activity at present and
projections of meaningful
increment in future will
have a comparative
advantage over others
that have saturated on
this
METHODOLOGY &
APPROACHSelection of top cities in the country
expenditures were taken as proxies for
infrastructure development. The cities were
ranked on these individual parameters and based
on the average ranking Mumbai, Delhi,
Bengaluru, Chennai and Pune emerged as the top
YHFLWLHV
With the fundamental prerequisite already in
SODFHWKHVHYHFLWLHVDUHZHOOSUHSDUHGWR
participate in the growth trajectory for the
foreseeable future. While a framework was
SUHSDUHGDQGWRSFLWLHVZHUHLGHQWLHGRXU
HQGHDYRXUZDVHYHQPRUHVSHFLF:HKDYH
striven to provide a crystal clear view on
investment destinations for a typical investor in a
residential property. This objective meant
LGHQWLFDWLRQRIUHVLGHQWLDOGHVWLQDWLRQVWKDW
would outperform others on the investment return
scale.
Selection of zone within a city
Regional growth within a city is anything but even
and the direction of such growth is a critical
factor in determining the fate of a particular
residential property. We therefore, split each city
into 4-5 zones to capture the quantum and
GLUHFWLRQRIVXFKJURZWK7KLVVSLOWLQWRGLHUHQW
zones is based on the homogeneity of
characteristics with respect to access toemployment centres, social and physical
infrastructure and demography.
The selection of a preferred zone depends on the
SHUVSHFWLYHRIVXFKVHOHFWLRQZKLFKGLHUV
depending on the purpose of purchasing property
which is either end-use or investment. From the
growth and investment perspective, zones that
have high concentration of business activity at
present and projections of meaningful increment
in future will have a comparative advantage over
others that have saturated on this. Growth of
business activity will create abundant
employment opportunities which in turn will lead
to a rise in inward migration and high demand for
residential property in these zones. Hence, we
LGHQWLHGWKHGULYHULQGXVWULHVLQHDFK]RQHDQG
assessed the impact of their business activity on
the kind of employment generated by such
industry. We have captured the extent of
employment generation by measuring the
TXDQWXPRIRFFXSLHGRFHVSDFHDWSUHVHQWDQG
IRUWKHQH[WYH\HDUV
A regression model capturing the impact of
change in revenue of driver industry on change inRFFXSLHGRFHVSDFHZDVGHYHORSHG5HYHQXH
SURMHFWLRQVIRUUVWWZR\HDUVZHUHEDVHGRQWKH
revenue guidance by the respective industry
associations. Projections for the remaining three
years were based on the moving average trend of
WKHSUHFHGLQJYH\HDUV$OVRWKHXSFRPLQJ
VXSSO\RIRFHVSDFHLQQH[WYH\HDUVLQDOOWKH
zones was analysed to understand the balance
between the incremental employment and
XSFRPLQJRFHVSDFH7KXVDFU\VWDOFOHDUYLHZ
on employment potential in a particular zone has
been provided. The service sector has emerged as
a driving force in most of the cases with the
Information Technology and Information
Technology enabled Services (IT/ITeS) industry
emerging as a dominant employment driver.
Besides the quantum of employment generation
in the driver industry, the nature of jobs in
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
accordance with its position in the value chain in
WKHLQGXVWU\ZDVWDNHQDVDGLHUHQWLDWLQJ
element. For instance, employment in software
development within the IT/ITeS industry has aGLHUHQWLPSDFWRQWKHLQFRPHSUROHRI
employees in comparison to that in the Business
3URFHVV2XWVRXUFLQJ%32UROH7KLVGLHUHQFHLQ
LQFRPHSUROHZLOOLPSDFWDRUGDELOLW\LQD
diverse manner.
Besides employment, the other important factor
IURPWKHJURZWKDQGLQYHVWPHQWSHUVSHFWLYHLV
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHGHYHORSPHQW5HJLRQDO
GHYHORSPHQWSODQVDQGHOGYLVLWVWRWKH]RQHV
equipped us to assess the scope of infrastructure
development that will have an impact on
UHVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWVZLWKLQD]RQH:HDVVHVVHG
WKHLPSDFWRIH[LVWLQJDQGXSFRPLQJSK\VLFDO
infrastructure like road, rail and airport projectsRQWKHUHVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWVRIHDFK]RQH3UHVHQFH
RIVRFLDOLQIUDVWUXFWXUHFRPSULVLQJHGXFDWLRQ
healthcare and recreation was also reviewed.
:HVHOHFWHG]RQHVKDYLQJWKHPRVWSURPLVLQJ
IXWXUHRQDFFRXQWRIWKHJURZWKLQWKHTXDQWXPRI
RFFXSLHGRFHVSDFHDQGLQFUHPHQWDO
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHGHYHORSPHQW2YHUWKHIRUHVHHDEOH
IXWXUHWKHVHSUHIHUUHG]RQHVZLOOEHWKHELJJHVW
EHQHFLDULHVEHFDXVHWKH\IDOOLQWKHGLUHFWLRQRI
movement of employment and infrastructure.
&RPPHUFLDO2FH6SDFH
IT Sector
Industrial Physical
Connectivity
%DVLFXWLOLWLHV:DWHU3RZHU
(GXFDWLRQ+HDOWKFDUH
Entertainment
6RFLDO
The service sector has
emerged as a driving force
in most of the cases with
the Information
Technology and
Information Technology
enabled Services (IT/ITeS)
industry emerging as a
dominant employment
driver
Non IT Sector
Selection of DestinationZLWKLQ]RQH
All the residential markets within the preferred
]RQHZLOOEHQHWRQDFFRXQWRIWKHJURZWKLQ
employment opportunities and infrastructureGHYHORSPHQW+RZHYHUDIHZRIWKHVHZLOOKDYHD
FRPSDUDWLYHDGYDQWDJHRYHURWKHUV$ERWWRPXS
DSSURDFKZDVDGRSWHGWRDQDO\VHWKHH[LVWLQJ
and proposed connectivity and social and
physical infrastructure facilities. The approach
ZDVPRGHOOHGEDVHGRQRXUHOGYLVLWVWRHDFKRI
WKHUHVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWVLQWKHSUHIHUUHG]RQHDQG
discussions with various stakeholders. This
primary survey coupled with our real estate
H[SHUWLVHKHOSHGXVWRDUULYHDWWKHEHVW
destinations from the perspective of investment.
7KHGHVWLQDWLRQVKDYHEHHQDQDO\VHGYLVYLVD
EHQFKPDUNORFDWLRQZKLFKLVDQHVWDEOLVKHG
residential locality that has attained a relatively
KLJKHUVDWXUDWLRQOHYHOLQWHUPVRIUHDOHVWDWH
JURZWKDQGLQIUDVWUXFWXUHGHYHORSPHQWDQGLV
FRQVLGHUHGWREHRQHRIWKHPRVWVRXJKWDIWHU
UHVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWVZLWKLQWKH]RQH7KH
EHQFKPDUNORFDWLRQIRUHDFKGHVWLQDWLRQKDV
EHHQLGHQWLHGEDVHGRQWKHQHDUHVWSULFH
FRQWRXU:LWKUHVSHFWWRSULFHIRUHFDVWLQJIRUDGHVWLQDWLRQDEHQFKPDUNORFDWLRQSUHIHUDEO\LQ
WKHVDPH]RQHEHFRPHVWKHUHIHUHQFHSRLQW
As mentioned earlier, our analytical focus was
SULPDULO\WRXQGHUVWDQGWKHVWDWHRIWKHVXEMHFW
markets connectivity with important locations
and social and physical infrastructure facilities
DYDLODEOHFXUUHQWO\DQGDOVRLQWKHIRUHVHHDEOH
IXWXUH+RZHYHULQFHUWDLQGHVWLQDWLRQVWKHUH
ZHUHYDULDWLRQVZLWKUHVSHFWWRIDFWRUVLPSDFWLQJ
future price movements like:
. 3UR[LPLW\WRSUHPLXPRFHPDUNHWV:DGDODRQHRIWKHVHOHFWHGGHVWLQDWLRQVLQ0XPEDL
ZLOOEHQHWGXHWRLWVFRQQHFWLYLW\ZLWKWKH
SUHPLXPEXVLQHVVGLVWULFWRIWKH%DQGUD.XUOD
&RPSOH[%.&
. /LPLWHGODQGDYDLODELOLW\ Limited landDYDLODELOLW\ZLOOOLPLWWKHVFRSHRIQHZ
Besides the quantum of
employment generation in
the driver industry, the
nature of jobs in
accordance with its
position in the value chain
in the industry was taken
as aGLHUHQWLDting
element
5($/(67$7('5,9(56
Business activity Infrastructure
0DQXIDFWXULQJ
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
construction and put an upward pressure on
property prices in destinations like Chembur
in Mumbai.
. Lifestyle shift: Destinations like KR Puram inBengaluru possess the potential to provide alifestyle shift, which is possible generally in
projects developed on large land parcels that
facilitate high rise premium developments
with plush amenities.
. Planned development: Lack of socialinfrastructure remains a concern in some
destinations as of now. However, on account
of being in the planned development region,
education, healthcare and recreation facilities
will eventually come up in destinations like
Ulwe in Mumbai.
While dynamics of a residential market with
respect to the demand-supply scenario were
considered to understand its depth, the impact of
factors like quality of projects, premium or
DRUGDEOHFDWHJRU\RQSURSHUW\SULFHZDVDOVR
assessed. It is of paramount importance to
assess all these factors in comparison to the
benchmark locality and also other localities
within the zone. Further, these factors have to be
viewed in the context of the prevailing property
SULFH'HVWLQDWLRQVFKRVHQDUHGHQLWHO\WKHRQHV
that would outperform other locations on the
investment return scale. However, continuing
with our intention of undertaking a thread bare
analysis and providing an unequivocal
LQYHVWPHQWYLHZZHKDYHTXDQWLHGWKHFDSLWDO
appreciation and the resultant investor returns for
investment in these destinations.
As mentioned earlier, to forecast the price
movement of a destination, we have considered
the price of a benchmark location as the
reference point. The assumption is that the
destination price will grow at a faster pace (as
compared to the benchmark location price)
because of its relatively higher level of increasing
developmental activities. As a result of this, thecurrent price discount of the destination will
reduce, making price convergence imminent in
the future.
,QWKHUVWVWDJHZHKDYHIRUHFDVWHGWKHSULFHRI
a benchmark location. Empirical evidence
indicates that price variation of established
UHVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWVLVVLJQLFDQWO\H[SODLQHGE\
the changes in economic activities. In line with
this, we have conducted iterations to identify the
H[SODQDWRU\YDULDEOHVWKDWVWURQJO\LQXHQFHG
property price movement in the benchmark
locations. Indias economic growth has beenLGHQWLHGDVWKHPRVWVLJQLFDQWIDFWRU
explaining the price movements. Regression
equations have been estimated for each of the
LGHQWLHGEHQFKPDUNORFDWLRQVDQGSULFHKDV
been forecasted till 2017.
In the second stage, the price discount of aGHVWLQDWLRQKDVEHHQIRUHFDVWHGIRUWKHQH[WYH
years. In order to achieve this, we studied the
LPSDFWRIGLHUHQWIDFWRUVRQSULFHVRIWKH
benchmark location over the last decade. These
factors include:
. Incremental employment generation in thezone.
. New infrastructure projects.
. Reduction in time to commute between thebenchmark location and important places in
the zone.
Our analysis shows that the occurrence of one ofthe above mentioned factors or a combination of
them accelerated the growth of residential
property prices in a benchmark location before it
stabilized and emerged as a relatively developed
market. Assuming that the destination will have a
Over the foreseeable
future, the preferred
zones will be the biggest
EHQHFLDULHVEHFDXVHthey
fall in the direFWLRQof
movement of employment
and infrastrXFWXUH
Fontinuing with our
intention of undertaking a
thread bare analysis and
providing an unequivRFDO
investment view, we have
quDQWLHG the FDSLWal
appreFLDtion and the
resultant investor
returns for investment in
these destinations
TOP INVESTMENTDESTINATIONS RANKED INORDER OF INVESTOR RETURNDURING THE NEXT 5 YEARS
#1 Ulwe
29.0%
#2 Wadala#3 Chembur#4 Noida
Extension
27.0%25.5%22.9%
#8 Ravet
#7 Hinjewadi#6Medavakkam
#5 DwarkaExpressway
22.3%
21.2% 20.6% 20.1%
20.0%
#9 Tathawade
#10 Hebbbal
#11 Pallikarnai
19.3%19.1%18.7%
#12 Wakad
18.6%
#13 KR Puram
Investor returns per annum
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
Empirical evidence
indicates that price
variation of established
residential markets is
VLJQLFDQWOy explained by
the changes in economic
activities
similar impact of incremental employment
generation and new infrastructure projects, the
property price in the destination has been
forecasted by applying an estimated discount
factor on the future price movements of the
benchmark location.
2XUUHVHDUFKLQGLFDWHVWKDWDRUGDELOLW\ZLOONHHS
a resistance on price movement in many
destinations. Hence, we have created an income
pyramid of the employees in the driver industry.
This pyramid is a distribution of all the employees
according to their income. Thus, a ceiling was
applied to our destination price forecast as per
the change in this pyramid for the forecasthorizon.
REGION-WISE TOP INVESTMENT DESTINATIONS FOR NEXT 5 YEARS
Forecasted Price Appreciation in Percentage
Additionally, in cases where land availability is
not a concern, price growth will not breach the
DRUGDELOLW\WKUHVKROGRIWKHWDUJHWFRQVXPHU
group. As a result of this factor some destinations
did not qualify for the projected price growth and
were dropped from the top destinations list.
For a typical investor in residential property what
PDWWHUVLVWKHHHFWLYHUHWXUQUHVXOWLQJIURPWKH
leverage provided through the housing loan. The
same has been calculated and labelled as
Investor Return arising out of investment in
under construction residential property, in these
WRSGHVWLQDWLRQVRYHUDSHULRGRIWKHQH[WYH
\HDUV3URSHUW\VSHFLFDWLRQDQGLQYHVWPHQWVL]H
available at a destination along with selectresidential projects have also been provided in
the report.
NORTH
Mumbai Pune
NCR
Chennai
Bangalore
SOUTH
WEST
#1 Noida Extension
#2 Dwarka Expressway
111%
108%
#2Hebbal
#1 Medavakkam
#3 Pallikarnai
#4 KR Puram
94%
103%
93%
91%
#4Hinjewadi
#5Tathawade
#6Ravet
#7Wakad
100%
98%
97%
9
1%
#1Ulwe
#3Chembur
#2Wadala
145%
133%
125%
EAST
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
in cases where land
availability is not a
concern, price growth
will not breach the
Dordability threshold
of the target consumer
group
. With property options ranging from`3,200/sq.ft. to`15,000/sq.ft. and investor
returns in the range of 18.6% - 29% pa
residential real estate will emerge as a
SURPLVLQJDVVHWFODVVIRUWKHQH[WYH\HDUV
. With seven destinations, the western regionhas the highest number of promising
residential investment options.
. The top three investment destinations, withinvestor returns in excess of 25% pa, are from
Mumbai.
. Only Mumbai ranks ahead of the topinvestment destinations of the NCR, thebiggest residential market in the country.
. Enhanced connectivity and the proposition ofWKHGLSORPDWLFHQFODYHZLOOVLJQLFDQWO\EHQHW
the Dwarka Expressway, placing it in high
KEY takeaways
Risk factors for our outlook
2XUIRUHFDVWIRURFFXSLHGRFHVSDFHUHOLHV
largely on the service sector led by the IT/ITeS
industry. The sectors revenue growth during the
QH[WYH\HDUVZLOOKDYHDQLPSDFWRQWKH
employment, which is one of the biggest drivers
of real estate. For the IT/ITeS industry, the
revenue growth estimates for the initial two years
have been taken from the industry association
and for the remaining three years they have been
WDNHQDVWKHSUHFHGLQJYH\HDUPRYLQJDYHUDJH
growth rate between 10-12%.
While the Indian IT/ITeS industry isinterconnected with the global economy, reputed
research studies have highlighted the
interlinkage between the domestic manufacturing
sector and this industry. As a result, the weak
global economy and a slowdown in the domestic
manufacturing sector will have a direct impact on
this industry. Our analysis puts a great emphasis
on the fate of the IT/ITeS industry because of its
HPHUJHQFHDVDVLJQLFDQWHPSOR\PHQWSURYLGHU
LQWKUHHRIWKHWRSYHFLWLHV
The BFSI industry has a meaningful role in the
employment trend in cities like Mumbai and
Delhi. We have considered a revenue growth rate
RIEDVHGRQWKHSUHFHGLQJYH\HDU
moving average growth rate for this industry.
The employment generated by these industries
KDVDVLJQLFDQWLPSDFWRQRXUIRUHFDVWIRU
RFFXSLHGRFHVSDFH+HQFHDQ\PDMRU
deviation in their revenue growth will have an
DGYHUVHLPSDFWRQRXUIRUHFDVWIRURFFXSLHGRFHspace and therefore the fate of the respective
destination.
Additionally, in several cases, the fate of the
destinations is linked to the delivery of
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHSURMHFWVZKLFKPDNHVRXUDQDO\VLV
YXOQHUDEOHWRDQ\VLJQLFDQWGHYLDWLRQIURPWKH
SURJUHVVWLPHOLQHRIVXFKSURMHFWV
ranks on the investment return scale.
. The IT/ITeS industry is the driving force behindthe growth in most of the destinations.
. With four investment destinations, Pune hasthe maximum number of promising residential
property options.
. IT/ITeS, Automobile and Engineering sectorsare the primary employment drivers in Pune
. The destinations in Chennai will immenselyEHQHWIURPWKHJURZWKRIWKH,7,7H6DQG
Automobile industries in Tamil Nadu during the
QH[WYH\HDUV
. IT/ITeS and Bio-technology sectors will be thedriving forces behind the growth of
destinations in Bengaluru.
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
BENGALURU METROPOLITIONREGION POPULATION
Population in Millions
Source: Census 2011, Knight Frank Research
Population Average Annual Growth
1991 2001 2011
Bengaluru (also known as Bangalore), the capital of Karnataka is located
in the south-eastern part of the state. The city is located at an
altitude of 950m. above the sea level, thereby making its climate very
serene. Bengaluru is the third most populous city of India with a very diverse
demography. It is also known as the Garden City of India. It houses the
largest number of Information Technology (IT) and Information Technology
Enabled Services (ITeS) companies in India for which it earned the
sobriquet of the Silicon Valley. It also houses numerous public sector
companies including defence, aerospace and bio-technology.
Bengaluru urban agglomeration is known as Bengaluru Metropolitan
Region (BMR) comprising Bengaluru urban district, Bengaluru rural district
and Ramanagara district. The Bruhat Bengaluru Mahanagara Palike
(BBMP) is in charge of the civic administration of the city. The corporation
is spread over an area of 741 sq. km. Bangalore Metropolitan Region
Development Authority (BMRDA), an autonomous body created by theGovernment of Karnataka is the nodal agency looking after the overall
development of the BMR. During the last two decades the population
growth was phenomenal in the BMR. It rose at an annual rate of 3.9%
GXULQJSULPDULO\GXHWRDKXJHLQX[RI,7,7H6HPSOoyees.
BENGALURU
4.84 6.54 9.595.2% 3.1% 3.9%
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CHIKKABOMMASANDRA
VARTURVARTUR
CHIKKA
15000
6000
3500
Major Roads
Railway Line
Existing Metro
Under Construction
South Zone
West Zone
Central Zone
East Zone
North Zone
Price Contours (`/ sq.ft)
Proposed Metro
Nagawara
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Gottigere
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BENGALURU MAP
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
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Bengaluru Metropolitan
Region (BMR) is spread over
741 sq. km.
Market Overview
ZONE MAJOR RESIDENTIAL
DESTINATIONS
Central MG Road, Vitthal Mallya Road,
Frazer Town, Lavelle Road,
Richmond Road, Langford Town
West Malleswaram, Rajajinagar, Tumkur
Road, Vijayanagar, Yeshwanthpur
North Banaswadi, Hebbal, Bellary Road,
Hennur, Yelahanka, Jakkur, HBR
Layout
East :KLWHHOG2OG$LUSRUW5RDG2OG
Madras Road, KR Puram
South Koramangala, Sarjapur Road, HSR
layout, Jayanagar, JP Nagar,
Bannerghtta Road, Kanakapura
Road
7KH%05PDUNHWFDQEHGLYLGHGLQWRYHEURDG
zones: Central, West, North, East and South.
South Bengaluru, a locale which until the mid-
1990s housed a strong Kannada (native language of
Karnataka) speaking population now boasts ofbeing a cosmopolitan region. This was mainly on
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India. Electronic City located on Hosur Road in the
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1990. Many IT giants like Infosys, HCL
Technologies, HP, Wipro, Genpact and Siemens
have setup their campuses in this region. With the
setting up of these companies, the South
Bengaluru region became a preferred commercial
as well as residential destination. The availability of
land, strong infrastructure and presence of the
middle-income segment have contributed to the
development of this zone. The residential clusters
LQSUR[LPLW\WRWKH(OHFWURQLF&LW\OLNH6DUMDSXU
Koramangala, Jayanagar, BTM Layout,
Bannerghatta Road and Hosur Road have attracted
a large number of immigrants especially the IT
employees. Social infrastructure like the availability
of quality hospitals, prestigious educational
institutions and retail malls are some of the major
reasons behind residential demand in this part of
Bengaluru.
This region started losing its charm since 1998
when the Government of Karnataka announced the
new international airport at Devanahalli - a town
located in the north of Bengaluru. Major IT/ITeS
companies started acquiring land closer to the
DLUSRUWLQWKHQRUWKIRUWKHLUH[SDQVLRQ7KH\
refrained from buying any new land in this region,
hampering the overall growth of the South
Bengaluru region. In this bargain North Bengaluru
emerged a better investment destination compared
to the south.
The new international airport at Devanahalli
commenced in 2008. By virtue of this, North
Bengaluru became one of the most sought after
destinations of Bengaluru. Numerous real estate
and infrastructure projects were announced to
enhance the connectivity between Bengaluru city
centre and the airport; this included High Speed
Rail Link (HSRL), monorail and Metro rail. Moreover,
to generate employment in this region, the
government in association with private companiesHDUPDUNHGODUJHLQYHVWPHQWVVXFKDV.,$'%3DUN
$LUSRUW7RZQVKLS$HURWURSROLV,QIRUPDWLRQ
Technology Investment Region (ITIR), Devanahalli
Business Park (DBP) and Global Finance District
(GFD). These also attracted a lot of institutional
buyers like real estate developers and
hoteliers.This region is on the cusp of becoming the
new commercial business district (CBD) of
%HQJDOXUX+HQFHLWLVZRUWKZKLOHWRH[SORUHWKLV
region with respect to the real estate investment.
Major micro-markets covered under this zone are
Hebbal, Devanahalli, Yelahanka and Hennur.
Before 1990, the eastern zone was home only tosome of the reputed heavy manufacturing
LQGXVWULHVOLNH+LQGXVWDQ$HURQDXWLFV/LPLWHG
+$/%(0/DQG,7,WKDWZHUHLQVWUXPHQWDOLQWKH
growth of this region. With the dawn of the IT sector
some of these industries have gradually turned into
WHFKSDUNV3UR[LPLW\WRWKH2XWHU5LQJ5RDG255
FRXSOHGZLWKWKHDYDLODELOLW\RIJUDGHGRFHVSDFH
attracted major IT/ITeS companies in the eastern
]RQH7KLVIXHOOHGWKHH[SDQVL RQRIFRPPHUFLDODQG
residential development in this region.
&RQVHTXHQWO\:KLWHHOG&95DPDQ1DJDU%URRNH
)LHOG2OG0DGUDV5RDG,QGLUDQDJDU.53XUDP2OG
$LUSRUW5RDG0DKDGHYDSXUD+RRGL&LUFOHDQG6DL
%DED$VKUDPHPHUJHGDVWKHSUHIHUUHGUHVLGHQWLDOdestinations among the IT employees. Moreover,
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
2007 2008 2012*2009 2010 2011
* Till September 2012
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT LAUNCHTREND IN BENGALURU
Launches Source: Knight Frank Research
31,236
20,60814,439
31,733
54,075
24,741
9.59 mn.population in the BMR, an
increase of98% in thelast two decades
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* Till September 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010
5%
180,000
160,000
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
No.
ofUnits
Stock Cumulative Absorption % of Unsold Units
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF BENGALURU
2011
Source: Knight Frank Research
2012*
2OG0DGUDV5RDG:KLWHHOG5RDG,73/DQG9DUWKXU
Road emerged as a business district having many
tech-parks, SEZs, captive campuses and business
centres.
Central Bengaluru is the commercial and retail
KHDUWRIWKHFLW\ZLWKYDULRXVFRUSRUDWHRFHV
ORFDWHGLQPLFURPDUNHWVOLNHWKH0*5RDG9LWWKDO
Mallya Road, Commissariat Street, Ulsoor and
/DYHOOH5RDG([FHOOHQWFRQQHFWLYLW\ZLWKYDULRXV
parts of the city, good physical and social
infrastructure along with the presence of organized
retail has ensured the highest property prices in
WKLVSDUWRIWKHFLW\7KHSURPLQHQWUHVLGHQWLDOmicro-markets of this region include MG Road,
/DQJIRUG5RDG5LFKPRQG7RZQ/DOEDJK5RDG
9LWWKDO0DOO\D5RDG5HVLGHQF\5RDGDQG)UDVHU
7RZQ0DMRULW\RIWKHUHVLGHQWLDOGHYHORSPHQWVLQ
the central locations are bungalows and
independent residential units, however some
SRFNHWVOLNH5LFKPRQG7RZQ5LFKPRQG5RDG
0DOOHVKZDUDP3LSHOLQH5RDGDQG0*5RDGDUH
witnessing growth in multi-storey high-rise
constructions as well.
3ULPDULO\DQLQGXVWULDOKXE:HVW%HQJDOXUXKRXVHV
RQHRIWKHODUJHVWLQGXVWULDODUHDVRI$VLD3HHQ\D
,QGXVWULDO$UHD7KHUHDUHKXJHVHWXSVRIVHYHUDO
renowned engineering, transformers, motors and
generator companies here. Being an industrial hub,
WKLVUHJLRQZDVQRWFDXJKWLQWKH,7,7H6ZDYHRI
the mid-1990s, that transformed South and East
Bengaluru as one of the most sought after
residential markets. However, this region gained a
lot of traction with the announcement of the
XSFRPLQJLQIUDVWUXFWXUHSURMHFWVYL]HOHYDWHG
H[SUHVVZD\PHWURDQGWKHURDGFRQQHFWLYLW\DORQJ
WKH7XPNXU5RDG0LFURPDUNHWVVXFKDV
0DOOHVZDUDP
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Real Estate Drivers
Infrastructure Development
Employment Indicators
Service Sector
IT Sector
Manufacturing Sector
Biotech Sector
Rail Network
Bangalore Metro Corridor I & II
Monorail Corridor
Infrastructure Development
Pheripheral Ring Road
Elevated Road / Expressway
Road Network
62 km. Outer Ring Roadconnects all the major IT
hubs from North to South
EXISTING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
DISTANCE OBSERVATIONS
Outer Ring Road (ORR) 62 km. ORR provides connectivity with all the major highways around the
city. Passing across the major suburbs viz. Hebbal - KR Puram -
Marathahalli - Sarjapur Rd. - Silk Board Junction
Nandi Infrastructure Corridor 42 km. Long peripheral road, connecting Jalahalli in the north with the
Enterprises (NICE) Electronic City on Hosur Road in the South. The corridor connects
Ring Road Mumbai and Chennai through NH-4 in the western region and NH-
7 in the southern region respectively. Initially a four-lane structure
with provision for expansion upto six-lane. NICE Ring Road has
HQDEOHGWUDFIURP0XPEDLWRPRYHGLUHFWO\WR&KHQQDLZLWKRXW
crossing downtown Bengaluru
Hosur Road (NH7) 40 km. A four to eight-lane national highway (Part of NH7) connecting
Bengaluru city with Hosur, a town in Tamil Nadu. The Hosur Road
passes via the Electronic City one of the largest IT industrial parks
of Bengaluru
Bengaluru Elevated Toll-way 10 km. A 10 km. long elevated and tolled expressway connecting
Bomanahalli to Electronic City
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
High Speed Rail Link
EXISTING SUBURBAN RAIL NETWORK
DISTANCE OBSERVATIONS
Metro Train Network 6.7 km. Reach I, a 6.7 km. part of the East-West corridor, connecting
Phase I, Reach I Byappanahaalli with MG Road is operational since October 2011
Metro rail operational
between Byappanahaalli
and MG Road since Oct 2011
ROAD NETWORK
METRO TRAIN NETWORK
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A 33 km. High Speed RailLink proposed - will
operate between Cubbon
Road and Bengaluru
International Airport
UPCOMING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
CONNECTIVITY & LENGTH OBSERVATIONS CURRENT EXPECTEDSTATUS COMPLETION
Road widening from Hebbal A six-lane elevated road over the Under 2013-14
to Bengaluru International Airport existing road connecting with the Cons truction
20 km. international airport is under
construction. The elevated stretch that
starts from Kodigehalli gate will be a
six-lane highway extending over 4 km.
The project will have a series of seven
\RYHUVIURP+HEEDOWRWKH7UXPSHW
Junction near the airport
High Speed Rail Link (HSRL) $NP+65/KDVEHHQSURSRVHG Five Post 2016
33 km. that will connect the city centre with consortiums
WKHDLUSRUW7KH+65/ZLOORSHUDWH shortlistedEHWZHHQ&XEERQ5RDGDQG%HQJDOXUX
International Airport with two halts in
EHWZHHQRQHDW+HEEDODQGDQRWKHU
at Yelahanka.
Monorail Project %HQJDOXUX$LU5DLO/LQN/WG%$5/KDV Proposed Post 2015
41 km. proposed 31 km. monorail from JP
1DJDUVRXWKWR+HEEDOQRUWKDQG
NPEHWZHHQ3HULSKHUDO5LQJ5RDG
355DQG0DJDGL5RDG7KLVSURMHFW
will function as a feeder service to metro
rail as well as the international airport
Peripheral Ring Road (PRR) $NP355KDVEHHQSURSRVHGLW Pre-feasibility Post 2016
116 km. will connect the entire peripheral stage
arterial road linking all the major
KLJKZD\VDQGWKHGLVWULFWURDGV0DMRU
FRQQHFWLQJDUHDZRXOGEH+RVXU5RDG
WR7XPNXU5RDGYLD.53XUDP%HOODU\
5RDG2OG0DGUDV5RDGDQG6DUMDSXU
5RDG7KH355LVH[SHFWHGWRHDVHWKH
FRQJHVWLRQRQWKH255
Bengaluru Metro Rail Phase I D$NP1RUWK6RXWK16PHWUR Under 2014-15
42 km. FRUULGRUKDVEHHQSURSRVHGLWZLOO construction
FRQQHFW+HVDUDJKDWWDFLUFOHLQQRUWK
ZLWK3XWWHQDKDOOLLQVRXWK
E$QNP(DVW:HVW(:PHWUR
FRUULGRUKDVEHHQSURSRVHGLWZLOO
FRQQHFW%\DSSDQDKDOOLZLWK0\VRUH
5RDG5HDFK,DNPSDUWRIWKH(:
FRUULGRUFRQQHFWLQJ%\DSSDQDKDDOOL
ZLWK0*5RDGLVRSHUDWLRQDOVLQFH
2FWREHU
Bengaluru Metro Rail Phase 2 D3KDVH,,HQYLVDJHVH[WHQVLRQRIWKH In-principle %H\RQG
NP 0HWUR3KDVH,RQWKH16FRUULGRU7R approval
the north it will be extended upto received from
%HQJDOXUX,QWHUQDWLRQDO([KLELWLRQ WKH*RYWRI
&HQWUH%,(&DQGWRWKHVRXWKLWZLOOEH Karnataka.
H[WHQGHGXSWR1,&(-XQFWLRQ Awaiting
approval from
E(:FRUULGRULVSODQQHGWREH the Urban
H[WHQGHGXSWR:KLWHHOGWRWKHHDVW Development
and Kengeri to the west. Department0LQLVWU\
F)XUWKHUWZRQHZOLQHVKDYHEHHQ
SODQQHGLQ3KDVH,,RQHFRQQHFWLQJ
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORT,QGLDV5HVLGHQWLDO'HVWLQDWLRQV
A 116 km. Peripheral RingRoad proposed -
connecting Hosur Road to
Tumkur Road via KR Puram,
Bellary Road, Old Madras
Road and Sarjapur Road
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Over 2,000 IT & ITeScompanies present in
Bengaluru including more
than 100 Fortune-500
companies
UPCOMING ARTERIAL ROAD NETWORK
CONNECTIVITY & LENGTH OBSERVATIONS CURRENT EXPECTEDSTATUS COMPLETION
Rashtreeye Vidyalaya (RV) Road with
Bommasandra in the South,
Electronics City on the Hosur road with
the city centre
d) Another line will be parallel to the
NS Corridor of Phase I, running
between Nagawara in the north and
Gottigere in the South. It will have two
interchange stations, one at MG Road
and another at Jayadeva hospital
Elevated corridor from Central Silk A 15 km. elevated corridor connecting Pre-Feasibility Beyond 2015
Board Junction to Jayamahal Road Central Silk Board Junction to stage
15 km. Jayamahal Road is envisaged to ease
WKHWUDFRZEHWZHHQ1RUWKDQG
South Bengaluru. This will also
facilitate in reaching the new
international airport in the North.
Construction of elevated corridor A 28 km. West-East elevated corridor Pre-Feasibility Beyond 2014
between Jnanabharathi and along the Ring Road connecting stage
Old Airport Road Tumkur (Jnanabharathi) with Old
28 km. Airport Road. The corridor will pass
through Sirsi Circle, Town Hall, Hudson
Circle, Vellara junction and Old Airport
Road. The proposed corridor is
expected to ease the East-West city
WUDFRZ
Bengaluru - Mysore Expressway A six-lane expressway connecting Land Beyond 2017
140 km. Bengaluru with Mysore is under acquisitions
construction. Only peripheral part of
56 km. has been completed till date.
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
Bengaluru is the IT and Bio-technology capital ofIndia. It also houses numerous Government
promoted heavy industries including defence
RUJDQL]DWLRQVVFLHQWLFHVWDEOLVKPHQWV
aerospace and telecommunication companies. It
also has renowned Indian educational institutions
RHULQJDSOHWKRUDRIMRERSSRUWXQLWLHV
However, Bengalurus economy is primarily
driven by the IT/ITeS sector and bio-technology
sector.
IT/ITeS SECTOR
Over 2,000 IT/ITeS companies, including more
than 100 Fortune-500 companies have
established their operations in Bengaluru. These
companies in all, generate software exports worth
`700bn. and directly employ over 650,000
professionals. Prominent Fortune-500 companiesoperational in Bengaluru are IBM, Dell, HP,
CISCO, Sun Microsystems, Microsoft, Toyota, ING,
Tesco, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, Goldman
Sachs, Bosch and Tyco. Prominent Indian IT &
ITeS companies like TCS, Infosys, Wipro and
Mahindra Satyam have major operations in the
city.
Bengalurus IT/ITeS sector accounts for almost
one-third of Indias IT/ITeS revenue and almost
half of the Indian Bio-Technology companies are
located in Bengaluru. These sectors play a very
vital role in the growth of commercial andresidential real estate in Bengaluru.
IT/ITeS companies have been predominantly
concentrated in South, South East Bengaluru and
the Outer Ring Road (ORR) stretch from Hebbal to
Employment Indicators in Bengaluru
Bengaluru generates
software exports worth
`700 bn.
650,000 ITprofessionals directly
employed in Bengaluru
IT/ITeS and Bio-technology
sector are the driving
factors for Bengaluru's
growth
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Silk Board junction. This region houses many
renowned tech-parks, IT/ITeS SEZs and captive
campuses of Fortune-500 IT companies. Micro-
PDUNHWVDORQJ:KLWHHOG(OHFWURQLF&LW\2556DUMDSXUDQG%DQQHUJKDWWD5RDGKDYHGHYHORSHG
into self-sustaining hubs. East Bengaluru has
RYHUPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFH$SDUWIURPWKH
large campuses of IT/ITeS companies such as
'HOO7&6/7,QIRWHFK*(+3DQGL*DWHWKHUH
DUHQXPHURXVVWDQGDORQHFRPPHUFLDORFH
EXLOGLQJVOLNH%ULJDGH0HWURSROLV3UHVWLJH
6KDQWLQLNHWDQ(PEDVV\&UHVW,73%*957HFK
3DUN6-5L3DUNDQG6DODUSXULD7HFK3DUNDFURVV
WKH,7KXERI:KLWHHOGLQ(DVW%HQJDOXUX
(OHFWURQLF&LW\,QGXVWULDO3DUNORFDWHGLQWKH
southern region is spread over 330 acres having
RYHUPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFHLQFOXGLQJWKH
FDSWLYHRFHV,WLVGLYLGHGLQWRWKUHHSKDVHVRI
which one is completely dedicated to the bio-
technology sector, while the other two pre-
dominantly house IT/ITeS sector companies.
0DMRUFRPSDQLHVKDYLQJRFHVKHUHDUH,QIRV\V
:LSUR+&/*HQSDFW6LHPHQV7&6DQG0DKLQGUD
6DW\DP1RQFDSWLYHFRPPHUFLDORFHVSDFHV
LQFOXGH6-5(TXLQR[+DULWD,73DUN*OREDO7HFK
3DUN695)RUWXQDHDQG+LUDQDQGDQL8SVFDOH
7KH255VWUHWFKEHWZHHQ+HEEDOWR6LON%RDUG
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commencement of the Bengaluru International
$LUSRUWLQLQ'HYDQDKDOOL7KLVVWUHWFKVHUYHV
as a main junction between the airport and the
established IT hub of Bengaluru i.e. Electronic
&LW\DQG:KLWHHOG7KLVVWUHWFKKDVODUJHPXOWL
tenanted IT parks. Major IT parks include Manyata
(PEDVV\%XVLQHVV3DUN6DODUSXULD6XSUHPH
&HVVQD%XVLQHVV3DUNDQG3UHVWLJH7HFK3DUN
The countrys IT/ITeS sector grew at an annual
UDWHRIWR`EQGXULQJDQG
is estimated to reach EQE\$VSHU
1$66&20WKH,7,7H6VHFWRUKDVFUHDWHG
tremendous job opportunities, generating over 11mn. direct and indirect jobs. It is
estimated that the sector would create
RYHUPQE\DQGFORVHWRPQMREVE\
%HQJDOXUXIRUPVRQHWKLUGRIWKHFRXQWU\V
WRWDO,7,7H6UHYHQXHV:HH[SHFW%HQJDOXUXWR
continue its growth trajectory in-line with the
FRXQWU\V,7,7H6JURZWK)XUWKHUWKH*RYHUQPHQW
of Karnataka proposes to increase employment
RSSRUWXQLWLHVLQWKHVRIWZDUHH[SRUWHOGWRDERXW
PQE\IURPPQDWSUHVHQW
With the strengthening of the global economy,
robust domestic fundamentals and easyavailability of skilled human capital the IT/ITeS
LQGXVWU\KHUHLVH[SHFWHGWRJURZVLJQLFDQWO\LQ
the coming years.
`
IT/ITeS sector constitutes
70% of the totalRFHspace in Bengaluru
OFFICE SPACE BREAK-UP
Source: .QLJKW)UDQN5HVHDUFK
BENGALURU OFFICESPACE DYNAMICS
before2008
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORT,QGLDV5HVLGHQWLDO'HVWLQDWLRQV
140
100
40
ZONE WISE DISTRIBUTION OFOFFICE SPACE STOCK
Source: .QLJKW)UDQN5HVHDUFK
&HQWUDO West South East North
Currently the total RFH
space stock in Bengaluru
is 92 mn. sq.ft. of which
79.80 mn. sq.ft. is occupied
2 mn. direct and indirectJoBS TO BE GENERATED BY
2020 IN BENGALURU
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NORM DETAILS
Time line for property registration Any time until possession
Re-sale before possession Allowed
Transfer charges payable to builder `200-300 psf
Loading (as % of carpet) 33%
Remarks Investor friendly market. Gains from lower Stamp Duty are taken back by
KLJKHU9$7UDWH(HFWLYHO\WD[HVDUHKLJKHULQFRPSDULVRQWR0XPEDL
and Pune
MARKET NORMS
BIO-TECHNOLOGY SECTOR
India is ranked among the top 12 biotechnology
destinations in the world and third largest in the
$VLD3DFLFUHJLRQ7KH*RYHUQPHQWRI.DUQDWDND
is committed to establishing a Biotech corridor
for the development of the biotech industry in
.DUQDWDND7KHFRUULGRULQ%HQJDOXUXVKDOOH[WHQG
from the Indian Institute of Science to the
8QLYHUVLW\RI$JULFXOWXUDO6FLHQFHV.DUQDWDNDKDV
DODUJHQXPEHURIELRWHFKFRPSDQLHVVXFKDV
$VWUD=HQHFD,QGLD%LRFRQ,QGLD&DGLOOD
6PLWK.OLQH%HHFKDPDQG:RFNKDUGW
7KH,QGLDQ%LRWHFKQRORJ\6HFWRULVH[SHFWHGWR
grow to USD 10 bn. by 2015 from USD 4 bn.
SRVWHGLQVFDO%HQJDOXUXKDVHPHUJHGDVD%LRWHFKFDSLWDORI,QGLDDFFRXQWLQJRYHU
40% or USD 1.6 bn. of the countrys total
UHYHQXHV2IWKHELRWHFKUPVDFURVVWKH
FRXQWU\RUDUHORFDWHGLQ.DUQDWDNDDQG
RUDUHLQ%HQJDOXUXRZLQJWRULFKKXPDQ
capital and cost advantage over peers overseas.
&XUUHQWO\WKHWRWDORFHVSDFHVWRFNLQ%HQJDOXUX
LVDERXWPQVTIWRIZKLFKPQVTIWLV
USD 10 bn. the size ofIndian Bio-technology
sector by 2015. Current size
USD 4 bn.
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
RFFXSLHGUHVXOWLQJLQDYDFDQF\OHYHORI
Bengaluru retained the top slot for the highest
RFHVSDFHDEVRUSWLRQLQWKHFRXQWU\LQ)
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Proposed Monorail
Major Roads
Railway Line
Benchmark location
Top destination
Employment Hubs
Major Roads
Existing Metro
Proposed Metro
Airport
Railway Line
Benchmark location
Top destination
Employment Hubs
KR PURAM
WHITEFIELD
B Halli Terminal
MG Road
KR Puram
:KLWHHOG
B Narayanapura
Mahadevapura
CV Raman Nagar
%URRNHHOG
Hudi
KIADB Export
Promotion Area ,QWHUQDWLRQDO7HFKQRORJ\
3DUN%DQJDORUH,73%
EPIP Zone
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
EAST BENGALURU MAP
HEBBAL
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bengaluru dominance in the
BPO/KPO sectors have won
it a place in the dictionary
as Bangalored meaning
Outsourced
Bengaluru was a laid-back city till the mid-1990s
when the IT boom reshaped it into a major city of
India. Many large domestic IT companies as well
DVWKH)RUWXQHFRPSDQLHVVHWXSWKHLURFHV
here giving a boost to the Bengaluru real estate
market. Today, Bengaluru has become the
software hub of India, commonly known as the
Silicon Valley of India. Its dominance in the KPO
(Knowledge Process Outsourcing) and BPO
(Business Process Outsourcing) sectors have won
it a place in the dictionary as Bangalored
meaning Outsourced. We believe Bengalurus
dominance in the IT/ITeS sector will continue in
the foreseeable future.
As per the fundamental economics of the real
estate sector, the price appreciation depends on
two factors - employment and infrastructure
development (connectivity). This phenomenon
has been witnessed in the South and South-East
regions of Bengaluru. In the mid-1990s, since the
growth of the IT/ITeS sector many large IT parksand campuses have been set-up in the Electronic
&LW\VRXWKDQG:KLWHHOGVRXWKHDVWUHJLRQ
This attracted many software engineers to
Bengaluru consequently leading to demand for
residential real estate. Micro-markets such as
Bannerghatta Road, Kanakpura, Sarjapur Road, JP
1DJDU-D\D1DJDU:KLWHHOG9DUWKXU
Mahadevapura, CV Raman Nagar, Uttarahalli, KR
Puram and Electronic City have emerged as
residential markets. However, South Bengaluru
destinations lost their charm post the
commencement of the Bengaluru International
Airport (BIA) near Devanahalli in North Bengaluru.As a natural phenomenon for the real estate
sector, all focus including government,
corporates and general public at large, has now
shifted northwards a new growth corridor for
real estate.
We expect North and East Bengaluru to be the
ELJJHVWEHQHFLDULHVRIWKH%,$DQGH[SHFWWKHP
to emerge as the new Central Business Districts
(CBD) of Bengaluru within the next decade. This
can be further substantiated by the numerous
infrastructure projects undertaken by the
government such as High Speed Rail Link (HSRL),
Metro Lines, monorail and the Peripheral Ring
Road that are at various stages of construction.
On completion, these projects will enhance the
connectivity of the city centre with the BIA.
PREFERRED
ZONES INBENGALURU
Availability of huge land parcels along the road
between the city centre and the BIA has attracted
many large corporates.
Residential end-users at large prefer residing in
Northern Bengaluru as against the south; this
was not the case 4-5 years back. The change in
preference was mainly on account of shifting of
the airport to the north near Devanahalli. We
expect the stretch from Hebbal to Yelahanka in
the north to gain large price appreciation in the
QH[WYH\HDUVPDLQO\RQDFFRXQWRILWVSUR[LPLW\
to the airport, connectivity with the city centre
and upcoming social infrastructure.
East Bengaluru in itself is a well-developed and
VHOIVXVWDLQLQJ]
RQH$WLWVF
RUH:KLWHHOGDVDmicro-market has evolved over the years. It has
become one of the most preferred destinations
for the IT/ITeS employees, as it is close to the IT
FRUULGRURI:KLWHHOGDQG,73%,WDOVRKDVDZHOO
developed social infrastructure (school, hospitals
etc.) and a well-organized retail market.
Moreover, this region will have smooth
accessibility to the airport with the proposed 116
km. Peripheral Ring Road (PRR). The PRR will link
Hosur Road with Tumkur Road via KR Puram,
Bellary Road, Old Madras Road and Sarjapur
5RDG+HQFHPDUNHWVOLNH.53XUDP:KLWHHOG
Budigere Cross and Old Madras Road will see
some good traction in the next 4-5 years.
Therefore, based on the above developments we
believe North and East Bengaluru regions will
ZLWQHVVJRRGWUDFWLRQRYHUWKHQH[WYH\HDUV
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
NORTHBENGALURU
The focus of the GOK over the last decade has
clearly been North Bengaluru. By shifting the
Bengaluru International Airport (BIA) near
Devanahalli in the north thereby replacing old
HAL Bengaluru International Airport, GOK has
substantiated its intention in developing North
Bengaluru. Since the new airport is 40 km.
outside the city, GOK has also planned Mass
Transit Systems (MTS) l ike monorail, Metro-Line
and High Speed Rail Link (HSRL) to enable
travellers to reach the airport faster. Also,
commuter rail system has been planned to
connect Devanahalli with Yeshvantpur via
Yelahanka. Additionally, widening of the NH-7upto BIA from the existing six-lane to eight-lane is
XQGHUSURFHVV7KLVFDQVXVWDLQKLJKHUWUDFGXH
to airport expansion and expected real estate
developments on either side of the NH-7. Further,
South Bengaluru micro-
markets lost its charm
post the commencementof the Bengaluru
International Airport in
North Bengaluru
We anticipate North and
East Bengaluru to be the
biggestEHQHFLDULHVof
the BIA and expect them to
emerge as the new Central
Business Districts (CBD) of
Bengaluru within the next
decade
-
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`1,150 bn.Investment earmarked for
North Bengaluru
the GOK is also developing the Peripheral Ring
Road (PRR) as an eight lane expressway along
the periphery of Bengaluru for a total road length
of 116 km. that will connect all the peripheryregions to the airport. Availability of vast vacant
land parcels close to the airport and along the
road leading to the airport has enabled GOK to
plan projects worth`1,150bn., including
Devanahalli Business Park (DBP), Aero SEZ,
Information Technology Investment Region (ITIR),
Bio-Technology, Aerotropolis and many other
recreational developments.
Further, the GOK has also invited many
FRUSRUDWHVWRVHWXSWKHLUXQLWVRFHVLQ1RUWK
Bengaluru. Many large companies such as HAL,
BEML, Infosys, Dynamatic Technologies Ltd, IFCIand Tata Elxsi have signed an MoU with the GOK.
55 multinational IT companies including Infosys,
Wipro, TCS and Cognizant have evinced interest
LQVHWWLQJXSWKHLURFHVLQWKH,7,52YHUPQ
people are expected to get direct employment
IURPWKH,7,5DQGRYHUPQLQGLUHFW
employment. Employment due to the ITIR in itself
speaks about the growth of this region. These
developments are expected to completely change
1RUWK%HQJDOXUXIURPDQXQH[FLWLQJORFDWLRQWRD
bustling self-sustaining city.
Growth of the residential market in this zone has
been primarily along the Outer Ring Road (ORR)
VXFKDV+HEEDO6DKDNDUD1DJDU'ROODUV&RORQ\
571DJDU%DQDVZDGL0DKDGHYDSXUDDQG
1DJZDUD+RZHYHUSRVWFRPPHQFHPHQWRIWKH
%,$LQWKHVWUHWFKIURP+HEEDOWR%,$LV
* Till September 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010
50,000
40,000
30,000
10,000
No.
ofUnits
Stock Cumulative Absorption % of Unsold Units
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF NORTH BENGALURU
2011
Source: Knight Frank Research
2012*
witnessing residential developments. Proximity to
the airport and to the commercial hub of
Manayata Tech Park has made this pocket of
Bengaluru the preferred residential location bythe IT population.
$VRQ6HSWHPEHU1RUWK%HQJDOXUXKDVZLWQHVVHG
DWRWDORIUHVLGHQWLDOXQLWVEHLQJODXQFKHG
VLQFH2IWKLVDWRWDORIXQLWVKDYH
EHHQDEVRUEHGUHVXOWLQJLQUHPDLQLQJ
unsold. Over the years, unsold units have risen
mainly on account of low pace of absorption due
to uncertain global markets. Announcement of
QHZSURMHFWVKDVFRPHGRZQLQWKHUVWP
RIDVRQO\XQLWVKDYHEHHQODXQFKHG
DJDLQVWWKHXQLWVODXQFKHGLQ7KH
excess supply from the previous years has had an
DGYHUVHLPSDFWRQWKHXQVROGXQLWVSHUFHQWDJH
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORT,QGLDV5HVLGHQWLDO'HVWLQDWLRQV
2007 2008 2012*2009 2010 2011
* Till September 2012
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT LAUNCHTREND IN NORTH BENGALURU
Launches Source: Knight Frank Research
13,355
14% 14%
15%
42,329 unitslaunched and 28,785 units
absorbed since 2007 in
North Bengaluru
4 mn. direct andindirect employment to be
genereated over next 3
decade in North
Bengaluru
-
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Existing
Infrastructure
HEBBAL TO BIA ROAD
A 3.72 km. six-lane elevated road over the
existing road is under construction. The project
ZLOOKDYHDVHULHVRIVHYHQ\RYHUVIURP+HEEDOWR
the Trumpet Junction near the airport. The
elevated road starts from the Kodigehalli gate
and connects to the international airport. This
SURMHFWE\WKH1DWLRQDO+LJKZD\$XWKRULW\RI,QGLD
1+$,LVDWYDULRXVVWDJHVRIFRQVWUXFWLRQIURP+HEEDOWRWKH
-
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EMPLOYMENT HUBS IN NORTH BENGALURU
SECTOR PROJECT NAME MAJOR COMPANIES
IT/ITeS Manyata Embassy Business Park Philips, IBM, ANZ
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
Employment Indicators inNorth Bengaluru
Further, there is the aerospace SEZ that is being
planned here besides three industrial parks on
3,000 acres of land. Many renowned hotels like
Oberoi, JW Marriot and Fortune are also planned
here. There is plenty of commercial development
in the pipeline, with several developers having
bought huge land parcels for development in the
stretch from Hebbal to Devanahalli. With so muchcommercial development, we expect residential
development to follow suit in this region making
it the most sought after destination in the next 4-
5 years.
Few builders who have planned residential
projects in North Bengaluru are Brigade Group
with their Gateway, Ozone Developers with their
integrated project called Urbana, Prestige with
their Ozone and Golfshire Projects, Hiranandani
Upscale with their Chancery, Nitesh with their
Columbus Square and Sobha with their Althea.
6LQFHRYHUPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFH
LQFOXGLQJFDSWLYHRFHVKDVEHHQFRQVWUXFWHGLQ
METRO-LINE
A 24 km. North-South (NS) corridor connecting
Hesaraghatta circle near Nagasandra (north) with
Puttenahalli (south) has been proposed. Along
with this, there are also plans (under Metro Phase
II) to extend the Metro line from Hesarghatta up
WRWKH%,$7KHVHVLJQLFDQWSURMHFWVZLOODGG
value to the property along this route.
The region has a demand for residential,
commercial and retail spaces. With plans for the
development of an aerospace Special Economic
Manyata Embassy Business
Park has over 7.5 mn. sq. ft.
stock and 9.4 mn. sq. ft.
under construction
North Bengaluru region
is expected to
generate direct and
indirect employment of
over 4-4.5 mn. inthe next decade
Zone (SEZ), IT SEZ and creation of separate
workspaces in the vicinity of the airport, there is
also a huge supply of residential layouts.
HIGH SPEED RAIL LINK (HSRL)
A 33 km. HSRL has been proposed and will
connect the city centre with the airport. The HSRL
will operate between Cubbon Road and BIA with
two halts between them, one at Hebbal and the
other at Yelahanka. The HSRL will run parallel to
the expressway.
North zone of the city has a host of civic
infrastructure projects, large commercial
developments and new residential options that
have changed the characteristics of the localities
over the last few years. Bengaluru International
Airport has been the main catalyst for the change
in this region. The monorail, Metro Rail and
Bengaluru-Mysore Infrastructure Corridor (BMIC)project as well as the social infrastructure
facilities are together set to drive Bengaluru
further ahead.
The existing major employment driver in this
region is the IT/ITeS sector. However, in future the
incremental employment in this region will be
generated from the planned commercial
developments such as ITIR, Aero SEZ, Devanahalli
Business Park, Aerotropolis and Global Financial
District. Cumulatively the GOK has envisaged an
investment of`1,150bn. in the North Bengaluru
region and is expected to generate direct and
indirect employment of over 4-4.5 mn. in the next
decade.
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1RUWK%HQJDOXUX2YHUWKHQH[WYH\HDUVPQ
VTIWRIRFHVSDFHLVH[SHFWHGWREHDGGHGWR
WKHH[LVWLQJLQYHQWRU\WKHUHE\WDNLQJLWWRPQ
VTIWE\WKHHQGRI+RZHYHUGHPDQGLVH[SHFWHGQRWRQO\IURPWKH,7,7H6VHFWRUEXWDOVR
IURPWKHDHURVSDFHVHFWRUORJLVWLFFRPSDQLHV
DQGQDQFLDOVHFWRUV([FHVVLYHGHPDQGIRU
TXDOLW\RFHVSDFHKDVNHSWYDFDQF\OHYHOVLQ
ORZHUVLQJOHGLJLWVLQDQGZHH[SHFWLWWR
UHPDLQDWWKDWOHYHOWLOO:HIRUHFDVWDQ
LQFUHPHQWDOPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFHWREH
DEVRUEHGRYHUWKHQH[WYH\HDUV
3UHIHUHQFHRIWKHFRPSDQLHVWREHLQFORVH
SUR[LPLW\RIWKHDLUSRUWDQGHPSOR\HHV
SUHIHUHQFHWRVWD\FORVHUWRWKHLUZRUNSODFHZLOO
RYHUDOOGULYHWKHGHPDQGIRUFRPPHUFLDODVZHOO
DVUHVLGHQWLDOUHDOHVWDWHLQWKLVORFDWLRQ
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORT,QGLDV5HVLGHQWLDO'HVWLQDWLRQV
before2008
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E
NORTH BENGALURU OFFICESPACE DYNAMICS
EAST BENGALURU(DVW%HQJDOXUXKDGVLPLODUFKDUDFWHULVWLFVDVWKDW
RI%HQJDOXUXFLW\%HLQJDQRQGHVFULSW]RQHXQWLO
WKHPLGVWKHUHJLRQJDLQHGSURPLQHQFHRQO\
DIWHUWKH,7ERRPRIWKHV3UR[LPLW\WRWKH
FLW\FHQWUHDQGKXJHDYDLODELOLW\RIODQGDWWUDFWHG
PDQ\,7,7H6FRPSDQLHVKHUH2YHUPQVTIW
RI,7,7H6VSDFHLVRSHUDWLRQDODVRI-XQH
0DMRU,7,7H6KXEVOLNH6DODUSXULD+DOOPDUN,73%
50=(FRVSDFH3UHVWLJH6KDQWLQLNHWDQDQG
%DJPDQH:RUOG&HQWUHKDYHPDGHWKLVSRFNHWRI
%HQJDOXUXWKHSUHIHUUHGUHVLGHQWLDOORFDWLRQE\,7
SRSXODWLRQ)XUWKHUZLWKWKHJURZWKRI
SRSXODWLRQWKLVUHJLRQKDGDJUHDWGHDORIVRFLDO
LQIUDVWUXFWXUHWRSURYLGHHQWHUWDLQPHQWRSWLRQVWR
WKHUHVLGHQWV*URZWKRIWKHUHVLGHQWLDOPDUNHWLQ
WKLV]RQHKDVEHHQSULPDULO\DORQJWKH:KLWHHOG
5RDG.53XUDP2OG0DGUDV5RDG2OG$LUSRUW
5RDG,73/&95DPDQ1DJDU0DKDGHYDSXUD
+RRGL&LUFOHDQG,QGLUD1DJDU
$VRQ6HSWHPEHU(DVW%HQJDOXUXKDVZLWQHVVHGD
WRWDORIUHVLGHQWLDOXQLWVEHLQJODXQFKHG
VLQFH2IWKLVDWRWDORIXQLWVKDYH
EHHQDEVRUEHGUHVXOWLQJLQUHPDLQLQJ
XQVROG2YHUWKH\HDUVXQVROGXQLWVKDYHULVHQ
PDLQO\RQDFFRXQWRIORZSDFHRIDEVRUSWLRQGXH
WRKLJKQXPEHURIODXQFKHV$QQRXQFHPHQWRI
QHZSURMHFWVKDVFRQWLQXHGZLWKLWVKLJK
PRPHQWXPDQGPZLWQHVVHGWKHODXQFKRI
XQLWVDVFRPSDUHGWRXQLWVODXQFKHG
WKURXJKRXW([FHVVVXSSO\IURPWKHSUHYLRXV
\HDUVKDVDQDGYHUVHLPSDFWRQWKHXQVROGXQLWV
SHUFHQWDJH
* Till September 2012
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF EAST BENGALURU
2007 2008 2009 2010
No.ofUnits
6WRFN &XPXODWLYH$EVRUSWLRQ RI8QVROG8QLWV
2011
Source: .QLJKW)UDQN5HVHDUFK
2012*
Currently the total RFH
spaFHVWRFNLQ1RUth
Bengaluru is 7.7 mn. sq.ft.
of ZKLFKPQVT. ft. is
RFFXSLHG
23,689XQLWVODXQFKHGand 15,946 units absorbed
VLQFH7 in East
Bengaluru
Over 30 mn. sq. ft. ofIT/ITeS spaFHLVoperational
as of June 2012 in East
Bengaluru
We expeFW another 9.5mn. sq.ft. of new RFH
spaFHto beFomeoperational by 2017
-
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Existing
Infrastructure
PERIPHERAL RING ROAD (PRR)
A 116 km. PRR connecting the entire
peripheral arterial road linking all the major
highways has been proposed. The majorconnecting areas would be Hosur Road
(south) to Tumkur Road (west) via KR Puram
(east), Bellary Road (north), Old Madras
Road and Sarjapur Road (south). The PRR is
expected to ease the congestion on the
ORR.
METRO-LINE
A 15.5 km. metro rail line has been proposed
under Phase-II of the Bengaluru Metro. This
is the extension of the existing metro line
which runs between Byappanahalli and MG
Road. The new metro line stretch, a part of
East-West corridor, will start from the
%\DSSDQDKDOOLDQGWHUPLQDWHDW:KLWHHOG
on the East. This corridor has 14 metro
stations - Jyothipuram, KR Puram,
Narayanapura, Mahadevapura,
Garudacharpalya, Doddanakundi,
Visvesvaraya Industrial Estate,
Kundalahalli, Vaidehi Hospital, Satyasai
Medical Institute, ITPL, Kadugodi, Ujwala9LG\DOD\DDQG:KLWHHOG
CONNECTIVITY FROM OLD
MADRAS ROAD TO DEVANAHALLI
The distance between the Old Madras Road
(OMR) in the East and Devanahalli in the North is
over 40 km. There are two major routes that
connect the city centre in the east with the airport
QHDU'HYDQDKDOOLLQWKHQRUWK7KHUVWURXWH
Baiyappanahalli Hebbal BIA is a 40 km. drive
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
before2008
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E
60
50
40
30
20
10
EAST BENGALURU OFFICESPACE DYNAMICS
along the ORR. The second route starts on the NH-
QHDU%DL\DSSDQDKDOOLRWKH2OG0DGUDV5RDG
It then connects with the airport via NH-648 near
the Hoskote Industrial area. This stretch has also
witnessed a lot of residential traction post the
commencement of BIA. Manyata Tech Park,
:KLWHHOG5RDG,73%+RVNRWH,QGXVWULDO3DUN
and other IT space on the ORR are the major
developments fuelling demand for residential
houses in this pocket.
UpcomingInfrastructure
2007 2008 2012*2009 2010 2011
* Till September 2012
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT LAUNCHTREND IN NORTH BENGALURU
Launches Source: Knight Frank Research
4,691
2,961
429
3,795
6,399
5,415
A 15.5 km. metro railline has been proposed
under Phase-II of the
Bengaluru Metro
The new metro line
stretch, a part of East-
West corridor, will start
from the Byappanahalli
and terminate at
:KLWHHOG on the East
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
EMPLOYMENT HUBS IN EAST BENGALURU
SECTOR PROJECT NAME MAJOR COMPANIES
IT/ITeS Bagmane World Centre EMC2
IT/ITeS Ferns Icon Lenovo, ST Micro Electronics
IT/ITeS ITPB Zone ABB, Accenture, Amazon
Employment Indicators in
East BengaluruThe IT/ITeS sector continues to be the major
employment driver of this region. Over 30 mn. sq.
IWRFHVSDFHZDVRFFXSLHGDVRI-XQH
Major IT/ITeS hubs in this region include
Salarpuria Hallmark, ITPB, RMZ Ecospace,
Prestige Shantiniketan and Bagmane World
&HQWUH7KHRYHUDOOGHPDQGIRUWKLVORFDWLRQZLOO
EHGULYHQE\WZRPDMRUFKDUDFWHULVWLFVD,7,7H6
employees preference to stay close to their
ZRUNSODFHDQGEZHOOHVWDEOLVKHGVRFLDO
infrastructure including organized retail market.7KHSURSRVHG355ZLOOHQKDQFHFRQQHFWLYLW\RIDOO
the industrial hubs of Bengaluru. One node of
this PRR is Hoskote - an upcoming industrial and
DXWRPRELOHKXE0DQ\-DSDQHVHFRPSDQLHVKDYH
evinced interest in setting up their plants here.
6LQFHPRUHWKDQPQVTIWRIRFH
space has been constructed in Eastern
%HQJDOXUX2YHUWKHQH[WYH\HDUVZHH[SHFW
RYHUPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFHWREHDGGHGWR
the existing inventory taking the total stock to 57
PQVTIWE\WKHHQGRI,7,7H6VHFWRU
remains the single largest demand driver for
WKHVHVSDFHV&XUUHQWO\RIWKHRFHVSDFHLQ
the region is vacant and this is expected toUHGXFHWRE\:HIRUHFDVWDQ
LQFUHPHQWDOPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFHWREH
DEVRUEHGRYHUWKHQH[WYH\HDUV
INVESTMENTDESTINATIONS INBENGALURU
Hebbal located in the northern region and KR
Puram in the eastern region are the most
promising residential destinations in Bengaluru.Proximity to the Manyata Tech Park near Hebbal
DQG:KLWHHOG5RDGQHDU.53XUDPPDNHVWKHVH
destinations an ideal residential location.
Additionally, connectivity of the eastern region
ZLWKWKHQRUWKHUQUHJLRQWKURXJK255DQGWKDWRI
WKHFLW\FHQWUHZLWKWKHDLUSRUWLQWKHQRUWK
WKURXJK1+%HOODU\5RDGKDYHLPSURYHGWKH
commuting experience. Further, the upcoming
355ZKLFKLVH[SHFWHGWRFRQQHFWDOOWKH
SHULSKHUDOGLVWULFWVZLOOHDVHFRQQHFWLYLW\IURPWKH
eastern region to the airport. Proposed
infrastructure projects such as the monorail,
Metro and High Speed Rail Link is expected tofurther enhance the connectivity from the city
FHQWUHWRWKHDLUSRUW7KHVHGHVWLQDWLRQVZLOO
EHQHWLPPHQVHO\IURPWKHDERYHPHQWLRQHG
developments.
The GOK is carrying out numerous infrastructure
projects across the cities that are in various
stages of construction. These projects areexpected to bring about phenomenal changes in
WHUPVRIFRQQHFWLYLW\DPRQJGLHUHQWORFDWLRQV
ZLWKLQWKHFLW\DQGUHGXFHWKHFRPPXWLQJWLPH
7KHVHIDFWRUVZLOOKDYHDFRQVLGHUDEOHLPSDFWRQ
WKHUHDOHVWDWHSULFHVDFURVVWKHFLW\+RZHYHU
WKHSULFHDSSUHFLDWLRQZLOOQRWEHXQLIRUPDFURVV
WKHFLW\DQGZLOOYDU\EDVHGXSRQYDULRXVWKHPHV
:HEHOLHYHWKDWRYHUDSHULRGRIWKHQH[WYH
\HDUV1RUWK(DVW%HQJDOXUXZLOOSURYLGHWKH
highest appreciation compared to other zones.
Based on the announced infrastructure projects,
FRXSOHGZLWKSUR[LPLW\WRWKH,7FRUULGRUZHKDYHVKRUWOLVWHGWZRGHVWLQDWLRQVWKDWORRNSURPLVLQJ
in this zone viz. Hebbal and KR Puram. These
destinations share some common characteristics
among themselves making them ideal residential
Since 2008 more than 37mn. sq. ft. of RFHVSace
has been constructed in
East Bengaluru
:HH[SHct another 24mn. sq.ft. of new RFH
VSace to become
RSHUDtional by 2017
We believe Hebbal and KR
Puram toSUovide the
highest DSSUHciation in
Bengaluru market
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
destinations. These destinations are in close
SUR[LPLW\WRWKH,7FRUULGRURI+HEEDO:KLWHHOG
Road and the ORR (Hebbal-KR Puram-
Marathahalli stretch). Additionally, thesedestinations are also well connected with the
Bengaluru International Airport and Bengaluru
city centre. The upcoming monorail, Metro, HSRL
and elevated road will enhance connectivity
between the city centre and the airport.
Following are the factors that will have a positive
impact on the chosen destination:
. Bengaluru will witness an incremental demandRIPQVTIWRIRFHVSDFHRYHUWKHQH[W
YH\HDUVSULPDULO\GULYHQE\WKH,7,7H6
sector. More than 60% of this will be within
North-East Bengaluru.
. Bio-technology industry of Karnataka isforecasted to grow at an annual average rateof 10% over the next six years from USD
170mn. in 2011 to USD 272mn. in 2017. A large
number of these units are expected to be set-
up in the north-east region mainly on account
of favourable regulations, availability of vastland parcels, proximity to the city centre and
the talent pool of the city.
. The distinct feature of these destinations willbe a) proximity to the major employment hubs
of Bengaluru i.e. Manyata Tech Park in the
1RUWKDQG:KLWHHOGDQG,73/LQWKH(DVWE
quick and easy accessibility to the city centre
DQGUHWDLOKXEVIRUGDLO\UHTXLUHPHQWVDQGF
distance to the airport.
. Additionally, the upcoming metro, monorail,HSRL corridor between Hebbal and BIA will
further boost the connectivity of this location.
. Proposed PRR will further enhance theconnectivity from all the peripheral districts.
More than 60% of theincremental RFHVSace
to be in North and East
Bengaluru
Bio-technology industry in
Karnataka is estimated to
grow at 10% CAGR from USD
170mn. in 2011 to USD 272mn.
in 2017
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Source: Knight Frank Research
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in`/sq.ft
2012
HebbalRMV/Sanjay Nagar
`6,350
2017E
`8,230
`9,145
`4,250
DESTINATION
HEBBAL
Hebbal was once the end of the northern city limit
of Bengaluru. However with Bengalurus
horizontal growth, Hebbal has witnessed a
complete make-over in the last decade. Hebbal,
previously, endowed with a calm and serene
environment has now become quite active and
lively. Hebbal gained importance as a destination
with the establishment of Bengaluru InternationalAirport near Devanahalli which is 30 km. away
from Hebbal. It has now emerged into one of the
IT/ITeS hub, housing many tech parks and
campuses of IT companies. The infrastructure of
Hebbal is outstanding; it has well linked roads
FRQQHFWLQJGLHUHQWSDUWVRIWKHFLW\7KLVZLOOEH
further enhanced once the monorail, HSRL and
Metro commence in the next 4-5 years that will
connect the city-centre with the airport. This is
expected to immensely increase the residential
prices in Hebbal.
There was a dearth of residential projects in
Hebbal before 2008. It witnessed the launch of a
mere 110 residential units in 2008.
Developers got attracted to this destination post
commencement of the Bengaluru International
Airport near Devanahalli in 2008. On account of
this, 372 new residential units were launched in
2010, which on a year-on-year basis registered a
rise of 285%.
As on September 2012, 557 units out of the total
1,604 units launched were unsold, implying 34.7%of the total inventory as unsold.
We have benchmarked Hebbal to RMV/Sanjay
Nagar which is an established micro-market and
has characteristics similar to Hebbal. Going
forward, we expect the absorption rate to
increase due to the reasons stated earlier and
this will positively impact prices in Hebbal.
Currently, Hebbal prices are 33% lower than our
benchmarked micro-market. We forecast this
discount to narrow down to 10% by the end of 2017
resulting in Hebbal prices moving up from
`4,250/sq.ft. to`8,230/sq.ft.
* Till September 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010
1,800
1,500
1,200
900
600
300
Stock Cumulative Absorption % of Unsold Units
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF HEBBAL
2011 2012*
1%
33%
8%
35%
* Till September 2012
Launches
2007 2008 2012*2009 2010 2011
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT LAUNCHTREND IN HEBBAL
Source: Knight Frank Research
11097
372
666
721 units launchedand 233 units absorbed in
last 21 months in Hebbal
No.
ofUnits
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
Source: Knight Frank Research
5% 4%
We forecast prices in
Hebbal to appreciate by
94% from 2012 to 2017
305
55
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PRICE MOVEMENT
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
* Figures in`per sq.ft
2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Hebbal RMV/Sanjay Nagar Discount Margin
`3.6 mn. and
`5.3 mn. are theminimum ticket size for
investment in Hebbal for a
2 BHK and 3 BHK Apartment
respectively
Source: Knight Frank Research
Investment Options in Hebbal
INVESTMENT TICKET SIZE
Apartment Size in sq.ft. Ticket Size in `mn.
SELECT PROJECTS
Source: Knight Frank ResearchSource: Knight Frank Research
Project Developer No. of Launch Completion
Units Date Date
Waters Equinox 380 Sep-11 Mar-16
Edge
Sobha Sobha 498 Jun-11 Mar-15
City Developers
1250 - 1850 5.3 - 7.9
850 - 1100 3.6 - 4.7
3BHK
2BHK
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
33%
10%
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* Till September 2012
Launches
2007 2008 2012*2009 2010 2011
RESIDENTIAL PROJECT LAUNCHTREND IN KR PURAM
Source: Knight Frank Research
DESTINATION
KR PURAM
.53XUDPORFDWHGRQ1+RWKH2OG0DGUDV
5RDGLVNPIURP%DL\DSSDQDKDOOL0HWUR
VWDWLRQDQGLVMXVWNPIURP0*5RDG,WV
SUR[LPLW\WRWKH,7FRUULGRURI:KLWHHOGDVZHOODV
RI0DQ\DWD7HFK3DUNKDVPDGHLWWKHPRVW
VRXJKWDIWHUGHVWLQDWLRQDPRQJWKH,7HPSOR\HHV
7KHSURSRVHG3HULSKHUDO5LQJ5RDG355ZLOO
FRQQHFW(DVWHUQ%HQJDOXUXZLWK+RVNRWHZKLFKLVNPIURPWKH.53XUDP:LGHQLQJRIWKH2OG
0DGUDV5RDG+LJKZD\WRHLJKWODQHKDV
enhanced the connectivity; the commute time to
,73/QHDU:KLWHHOGKDVUHGXFHGWR
minutes. Hence, KR Puram-Budigere Cross stretch
has emerged as a good destination. Proximity to
WKH,7KXERI:KLWHHOGLPSURYHGFRQQHFWLYLW\
ZLWKWKHDLUSRUWDQGSUR[LPLW\WRWKH
%\DSSDQDKDOOLPHWURUDLOKXEKDYHJHQHUDWHG
LQWHUHVWDPRQJSURVSHFWLYHEX\HUV
2YHUXQLWVZHUHODXQFKHGVLQFHLQ.5
3XUDPPLFURPDUNHW7KLVOHGWRDQLQFUHDVHLQ
XQVROGXQLWVZKLFKDVDSHUFHQWDJHWRWRWDO
LQYHQWRU\NHSWRQULVLQJVLQFH$VRQ6HSWHPEHU
RIWKHWRWDOXQLWVVWRRGXQVROGLQ.5
Puram as there is still some supply overhang of
the previous year.
:HKDYHEHQFKPDUNHG.53XUDPZLWK:KLWHHOG
ZKLFKLVRQHRIWKHPRVWHVWDEOLVKHGPLFUR
PDUNHWVRI(DVW%HQJDOXUX*RLQJIRUZDUGZH
H[SHFWWKHDEVRUSWLRQUDWHWRLQFUHDVHGXHWRWKH
IDFWRUVVWDWHGHDUOLHUDQGWKLVZLOOSRVLWLYHO\
impact prices in KR Puram. Currently, KR Puram
SULFHVDUHORZHUWKDQWKHHVWDEOLVKHG
PDUNHW:HIRUHFDVWWKLVGLVFRXQWWRQDUURZGRZQ
WRE\WKHHQGRIUHVXOWLQJLQ.53XUDP
prices moving up from`3,245/sq.ft. to
`VTIW
* Till September 2012
2007 2008 2009 2010
6WRFN &XPXODWLYH$EVRUSWLRQ RI8QVROG8QLWV
RESIDENTIAL DEMAND-SUPPLY ANALYSIS OF KR PURAM
2011 2012*
6,095 units launchedin KR Puram since 2007, of
which 42% launched in last
33 months
No.
ofU
nits
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORT,QGLDV5HVLGHQWLDO'HVWLQDWLRQV
CONNECTIVITY TOIMPORTANT LOCATIONS
'LVWDQFH 7UDYHOWLPH
%\5RDG([LVWLQJ %\0HWUR5DLO3URSRVHG
:KLWHHOG :KLWHHOG
13km
52mins
13km
mins
881
254
1,118
414
Source: Knight Frank Research
Over the nextYHyears,
we expect KR Puram to
follow :KLWHHOG in terms
of price
We forecast prices in KR
Puram to appreciate by
91% from 2012 to 2017
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`3.1 mn. and
`4.7 mn. are theminimum ticket size for
investment in KR Puram for
a 2 BHK and 3 BHK
Apartment respectively
SELECT PROJECTS
Source: Knight Frank Research
Project Developer No. of Launch Completion
Units Date Date
Purva Puravankara 306 Mar-11 Sep-14
Midtown
Pashmina Pashmina 250 Jan-12 Dec-14
Waterfront Developers
Purple Purple 135 Jan-11 Dec-13
Woods Estates
INVESTMENT TICKET SIZE
Apartment Size in sq.ft. Ticket Size in `mn.
Source: Knight Frank Research
1450 - 2100 4.7 - 6.8
950 - 1220 3.1 - 4.0
3BHK
2BHK
INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
PRICE MOVEMENT
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
* Figures in`per sq.ft
KR Puram :KLWHHOG Discount Margin
Source: Knight Frank Research
2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Source: Knight Frank Research
PRICE FORECAST
* Figures in`/sq.ft
2012
KR Puram:KLWHHOG
`5,175
2017E
`6,200
`7,370
`3,245
37%
15%
Investment Options
in KR Puram
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
HIDDEN GEM
YelahankaCONNECTIVITY TOIMPORTANT LOCATIONSFROM YELAHANKA
* By road
Distance
18km
17km 19
km
Yelahanka located further north of Hebbal is at a
distance of 19km. from the Bengaluru
International Airport (BIA). It was initially
envisaged as the satellite city of Bengaluru, but is
now a part of the BBMP The Municipal
Corporation of Bengaluru. The NH-7 provides
excellent connectivity with the airport as well as
the city centre.
The destination gained prominence only after thecommencement of BIA at Devanahalli. However,
this was the sole reason for the swift rise in the
real estate prices of Yelahanka. The current prices
KDYHDOUHDG\EXLOWLQWKHEHQHWDULVLQJRXWRIWKH
announced projects, which we believe will see
light only after 2017. As on date, Yelahanka is still
short of social infrastructure including basic
amenities like water and electricity. Moreover, the
organised retail market is still non-existent in this
destination.
The Government of Karnataka has proposed
numerous infrastructure projects includingwidening of elevated road, High Speed Rail Link
and Metro Rail to improve the connectivity
between the airport and Bengaluru City Centre.
Also, commuter rail system has been planned to
connect Devanahalli with Yeshvantpur via
Yelahanka.
Further, the Government of Karnataka has formed
Bengaluru International Airport Area Planning
Authority (BIAAPA) to ensure organized
development of Bengaluru North, Devanahalli
and Dodaballapur Taluka. A total investment of
`1,150bn. has been earmarked in order to make
North Bengaluru a self-sustaining business hub.
Some of the major investments are Information
Technology Investment Region (ITIR) inDevanahalli, Aero SEZ an aviation hub in
Devanahalli, Devanahalli Business Park and
Aerotropolis. The Government of Karnataka is in
talks with banking giants to set up a Global
Financial District near Devanahalli. These
developments are expected to completely change
North Bengaluru from an unexciting location to a
bustling self-sustaining city.
Cumulatively, the above developments have the
potential to generate 4 mn. direct and indirect
jobs in North Bengaluru over the next two
decades. Hence, we believe that Yelahankas
eventual evolution as a Peripheral Business District will
give birth to a thriving resiential real estate destination.
BBAE LH
Yelahanka located
further north of Hebbal is
at a distance of 19 km
Yelahanka is still short of
social infrastructure and
basic amenities
Bengaluru International
Airport Area Planning
Authority formed by
Government of Karnataka
Destination gained
prominence only after the
commencement of
Bengaluru INTERNATIONALAIRPORT
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INVESTMENTadvisory REPORTIndias Residential Destinations
8.701.9%6.56 2.9%
CHENNAI METROPOLITION REGION POPULATION
Population in Millions