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Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director, RenaissanceRe Risk Sciences Foundation

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Page 1: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

Resilience and Recovery:

A Reinsurance Perspective

Mike Cohen

Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe

Director, RenaissanceRe Risk Sciences Foundation

Page 2: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

2Proprietary and Confidential Information

Reinsurance: “Insurance for Insurance Companies”

Why do you buy insurance? Why does your insurer buy

reinsurance?

Protection for catastrophic loss to your family: Protection for catastrophic losses to an insurer:

Share your risk with others insured

by a primary insurance company –

good diversification

Spread catastrophic risks with others

around the world – very significant

diversification

Page 3: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

3Proprietary and Confidential Information

The reinsurance market is large, robust, global, and competitive

$410

$340

$400

$470 $455$505

$540$575

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

$600

$700

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q3 2014

Glob

al R

eins

urer

Cap

ital (

$B)

Change in Global Reinsurer Capital Since 2007

Page 4: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

4Proprietary and Confidential Information

U.S. Federal Disasters, Including Climate-Related Catastrophes, Have Been Increasing Dramatically

Number of U.S. Presidential Disaster Declarations – 1953-2011

Page 5: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

5Proprietary and Confidential Information

Role of Federal Government in Covering Disaster Losses (proportion of total loss paid by government)

Source: E. Michel-Kerjan. Have We Entered an Ever-Growing Cycle on Government Disaster Relief? - Testimony before the U.S. Senate (2013).

Page 6: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

6Proprietary and Confidential Information

To Put Things in Perspective

Sources: Kousky and Shabman (2013)

Page 7: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

7Proprietary and Confidential Information

Barriers to Adaptation – Growing State Incentives For Mal-Adaptation

Page 8: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

8Proprietary and Confidential Information

Can We Mitigate These Barriers with More Scientifically and Fiscally Sound Risk Signals?

“In terms of incentive

to mitigate, the main

determinant of this

dimension is the

decision of whether to

implement subsidized

or risk-based pricing.

The best means of

sending a signal to

individual

policyholders and to

incentivize mitigation

actions is to

reflect the true risk of

their individual

exposure with

accurate premium

pricing and to

provide discounts on

these premiums when

certain mitigation

actions have been

completed.”

Page 9: Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective€¦ · Resilience and Recovery: A Reinsurance Perspective Mike Cohen Vice President, Government Affairs RenaissanceRe Director,

9Proprietary and Confidential Information

Special Challenges for Americans of Lesser Means