research and analysis on smart home · home appliances market • with the popularization of smart...
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Research and Analysis on Smart Home
Chao Dai
West Institute,CAICT
2017.11.3
1
Course Objectives
The definition of smart home
Development status of Smart home
Home intelligent research results sharing
The future trend of Smart Home
Standardization work of Smart Home
Definition of smart home
Safety
Comfortable Energy saving
Efficient&Convenient
Smart home with residential or office and extension (balcony/courtyard/garage, etc.) as a platform, based on the matter network and related sensing technology, from intelligent terminal equipment, networking devices, software systems, cloud computing platform composed of a home ecosystem.
The realization of human remote control equipment, equipment interconnection, equipment self-learning and other functions, and through the collection, analysis of user data to provide users with personalized life services.
The relationship between Smart home and Smart city
SmartHome
Smart Buildings
Smart Community
Smart City
The application of Smart city is the whole city. Smart Home is the micro-node of the intelligent city construction, which is the basis of the organic interaction and benign operation of the intelligent city.
Smart Community Applications: Smart buildings, road network monitoring, smart parking, community security and many other areas.
The application category of Smart buildings is high-grade residential quarters, villas, hotels, office buildings, shopping malls and so on.
Smart home for the residential platform, smart home rapid popularization of the need for real estate industry, chain hotels, hotel management companies, property management companies, housing leasing business and other close cooperation.
Course Objectives
The definition and background of smart home
Development status and background of Smart home
Home intelligent research results sharing
The future trend of Smart Home
Standardization work of Smart Home
A number of provinces and cities issued a new building housing overall decoration Guidance document
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Including the city of Shanghai, Shandong Province, Anhui Province, Henan Province, Jiangsu Province, Hubei Province, Zhejiang Province, Sichuan Province, Fujian Province, Hainan Province and other provinces and cities were released on the new real estate (residential and commercial) overall decoration, Full decoration of the guidance, and some from the beginning of 2016 began trial.
In the future may be the country at all levels of provinces and cities will introduce relevant guidance.
China 's smart home market trends
Mature stage(2030--)
Start phase(2011-2019)
Development stage(2020-2029)
TimeA
B
C
D
I
I
II
III
IV VVI
VII
VIII
F
F
H
Explore the stage(1997-2010)
Intelligent care, health monitoring, audio and video, become the main service of smart home. Industry formed "cloud + terminal equipment + services" in the era of oligopoly, competition reached its peak.
Start-ups and new products, capital markets are active, but product homogeneity is serious
The rapid development of new technologies, intelligent home eco-platform and cloud service platform is completed. A large number of start-ups business failures, industry leaders appear
By technology, materials, consumer habits and other factors constraints, smart home market in the concept of the formation of the stage
The Policy of "Internet +" released, Internet companies get into the field of smart Home Furnishing
X
In 2013, TV stick, TV box, smart TV, intelligent router and other appliances sprung up, home appliance manufacturers began to work with Internet companies.
E
G
Market Accreditation
In 1997, Bill Gates ’smart home,has been known to the public
In 1999, Microsoft launched to ‘TV Internet’, is the beginning of China's smart home
In 2004, the Home Network Standard Industry Alliance launched the “e home” , dominantedby Haier.
Triple-Play develops rapidly, smart home is regarded as the microscopic node of smart city. A large number of smart small household electrical appliances have been introduced , Capital investment was brisk.
With the bottom of the agreement to get through, the linkage between different terminals possible. Enterprises pay more attention to data collection.
Start-ups have fallen sharply and mergers and acquisitions have increased. Industry oligarchs gradually formed, increased customer loyalty, and gradually formed a stable ecosystem of users of specific ecosystems.
Market share is highly concentrated, the technology is mature and stable, product features are more segmented, the main revenue model is based on value-added services.
Home intelligent has been popular, the market is monopolized by large enterprises, users slow growth, pay more attention to service
Engineering construction, Smart device upgrades, O2O services to promote smart home 100 billion market
Engineering construction
Smart device Replacement
• The new real estate project construction and transformation, the main participants are: real estate development companies, hotels, property companies and so on. Involved in the field of security, control, lighting and so on
• Replacement of traditional household appliances
• Procurement of new terminal equipment
Online To OfflineServices
• With the increase in the number of new smart terminals in the home environment, the data will provide a more accurate reference for home O2O and advertising
=100 billion
market
Analysis and Forecast of the Scale of smart Home Appliances Market
• With the popularization of smart home appliances in
the consumer market, is gradually being used in the
traditional industry pilot applications, such as: Real
estate developers, chain hotels and so on. China‘s
smart home market is expected to grow significantly
• According to QianJia research reports, by 2018, the
smart home market will be close to 140 billion yuan.
150 205.3286.1
403.4
605.7
916.6
1396.5
2139.8
3294.1
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2012年 2013年 2014年 2015年 2016年 2017年 2018年 2019年 2020年
Data Sources:QianJia《2012-2020 China's smart home market trends and investment opportunities analysis report》
China 's smart home market size growth trend2012-2020
China Smart Home Industry mapComponent suppliers
sensorbatteryscreen
Professional service provider
OEM manufacturers
Identify control &interaction techniques
industry standards &testing organizations
Supply Chain Service
Cloud services &large data platform
System platform / Cloud Service
Representatives of the smart home manufacturers
health-care Kitchen Appliances
system platform
Safety & Security entertainment
Networking Control & illumination
Online sales channels
Offline sales channels Hotel
Marketing and channel traderSystem
integrator
indoor environment toiletReal
estate
chip module
Appliances
A series of problems in the field of Smart home元器件供应商
传感器电池屏幕芯片
专业服务商
代工厂商
识别控制与交互技术
行业标准/技术组织 供应链服务
云服务与大数据平台
系统平台/云服务
智能家居代表厂商
健康医疗厨电
系统平台
安防 娱乐
组网 控制+照明
线上销售渠道 线下销售渠道
营销及渠道商 室内环境 厕卫Real estate Hotel System
integrator
Lack of acceptance criteria: After the completion of the smart transformation acceptance, there is no reference to the national-level inspection standards, at this stage usually by the party's own acceptance, and only for functional acceptance.
Definition confusion: The definition of intelligent buildings and smart hotels is unclear, and there is no clear specification of the functions.
Lack of intelligent evaluation system: Before the intelligent transformation, there can be no basis for the intelligent transformation function level guidance documents or policies can refer to, can not be issued intelligent transformation star rating.
Security worrying: Smart system and Smart equipment itself security worrying, user privacy data easy to disclose, the use of data is lack of third-party supervision and evaluation.
Course Objectives
The definition and background of smart home
Development status and background of Smart home
Home intelligent research results sharing
The future trend of Smart Home
Standardization work of Smart Home
Smart home four scenes - Smart control, Smart security, health management, entertainment video
By the TV, audio equipment and other components. The main application scene around the living room, to provide users with multimedia video, interactive games, interactive education, shopping,and so on
Including home health monitoring terminals, routers, cloud services, such as chronic patients, sub-health population of real-time monitoring and management and remote monitoring and control
Including surveillance cameras, intelligent access control, sensors, alarm systems. To control the entrance and exit effectively, to achieve anti-theft, gas leakage, leakage prevention, fire protection, etc.
Cloud platform through the sensor acquisition of user data analysis, the initiative to the House lighting, power supply, heating, cleaning, doors and windows and other equipment to adjust to meet user needs. can also realize the linkage between different devices
Entertainment & video
Health management
Smart security Smart control
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
非常重要,紧急
重要,但不紧急
无所谓,不关心
不重要,也不是重点
The necessity of smart renovation of hotel
and residential buildings
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
More than 50% of the respondents believe that the hotel, real estate field of intelligent transformation at this stage is important but not urgent.
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals www.caict.ac.cn
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
每月 每季度 每半年 每年 1-2年 2年 2-3年 3年以上 其他
Smart Renovation/Decoration interval
The companies surveyed said that the time interval for intelligent transformation was generally more than 3 years.
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals www.caict.ac.cn
Unimportance & nonpoint
Indifferent & careless
important & nonurgent
allimportant& clamant
1/12 1/21/4 1 1 –2 2 2-3 >3 others
(/year)
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
The companies surveyed believe that "security monitoring" is still the most important first use scene and transformation scene, 36% of the surveyed companies think that security monitoring is the most important use of the scene.
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals www.caict.ac.cn
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
整体控制 安防监控 娱乐影音 健康管理 其他
The most important use scene in smart home
25%
36%
16%
22%
1%
About Research on four scene needs of intelligent
home improvement
整体控制
安防监控
娱乐影音
健康管理
其他
www.caict.ac.cn© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
Whole control
Security Monitoring
Entertainment video
Health management
others
Whole control
Security Monitoring
Entertainment video
Health management
Others
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
About 60% of the companies surveyed used "Wired + wireless" networking. About 37% of enterprises choose to use wireless mode for networking.
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The companies surveyed preferred Wi-Fi, followed by hybrid networking and Ethernet networking.
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0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
以太网
电力猫
WIFI
蓝牙
Zigbee
F. 混合方案
G. 其他
Which networking technology will be selected
60%
37%
2%1%
Networking scheme selection
有线+无线
无线
有线
其他
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnairesData Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
Wired+Wireless
Wireless
Wired
Other
Ethernet
Homeplug
Bluetooth
Mixed
Other
About 34% of the enterprises that the smart transformation to achieve the desired. About 32% of the enterprises that basically achieve the desired results.
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After the completion of the transformation, About 39% of the enterprises that the final acceptance of the project is a party, mainly functional acceptance.
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23%
32%
34%
7%4%
After the smart transformation achieves the
anticipated effect statistics
没有达到,不及格,低于60分
基本达到,60分
比较满意,70分
很满意,高于80分
超出预期,高于90分
39%
5%6%
30%
14%
6%
The acceptance status of intelligent transformation
甲方企业
施工方
系统集成商
第三方检验检测机构
第三方监理机构
其他
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnairesData Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
Dissatisfaction,<60
Basically desire,>60
achieve desire,>70
quiet desire,>80
exceed desire,≥90
First party
Construction side
System integrator
Third testing organization
The third supervision
Others
More than 79% of the companies surveyed think it is necessary to introduce the relevant standards of intelligent transformation
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Enterprises in the smart transformation and equipment selection priority factors include: prices, equipment, universality, scalability, compliance with the relevant testing standards
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39%
40%
16%
3%2%
The importance of smart transformation standards
很有必要,希望参与制定
很有必要,保持关注
有必要,保持关注
无所谓,不关心
其他
0 20 40 60 80
整体价格
集成商的品牌
产品的品牌
具备相应的国标资质
符合相关检验检测标准
智能化设备的通用性和可扩展性
其他
Considerations for equipment Selection
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnairesData Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
Quite necessary,hope to introduce
Quite necessary,keep to attention
Necessary,keep to attention
Not to matter
Others
Others
Commonality and extendibility
Coincidence test standard
Possess international qualification
The product of brands
The integrator of brands
Price
About 60% of the companies believe that when they are in the product selection, the product conform to the relevant criteria is to select important factors.
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About 77% of enterprises believe that in the process of intelligent transformation, the need for ecosystems related to the overall norms or guidance documents.
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60%24%
16%
With the national standard of the product is a key
factor in the selection
是
不是
不清楚
77%
12%
11%
Need to test specifications or guidance documents
需要
不需要
不清楚
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
Unclear
Yes
NoUnclear
Yes
No
About 59% of companies believe that smart homes will replace traditional homes. 35% of companies believe that smart home will coexist with the traditional home.
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals www.caict.ac.cn
The Companies believe limit the popularity of smart home wide range of issues include: low technology maturity, product features less than expected, consumer awareness is limited.
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals
www.caict.ac.cn
59%
35%
3%3%
Intelligent home is the future development trend
智能家居将取代传统家居
智能家居将与传统家居并存
传统家居还会处于主导地位
不清楚
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
相关技术还不成熟
产品功能没有达到预期
消费者认知程度有限
消费能力有限
缺少智能化功能等级评价体系
缺少验收标准
What limits the wide popularity of smart homes
Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires Data Sources : Based on 1010 Offline survey questionnaires
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
Replace the traditional home
Coexist with traditional home
Traditional home is still in the leading position
Unclear
Lack of acceptance criteria
Lack of intelligent function level evaluation system
Limited spending power
Consumer awareness is limited
Product functionality did not meet expectations
Related technology is not yet mature
0 100 200 300 400
人工智能
通信技术
新型材料
高敏感度传感器
云计算大数据
The technical field of promoting intelligent home
development in the future
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals www.caict.ac.cn
0
50
100
体感交互 人脸识别 语音识别 静脉识别 其他相关技术
Which AI technologies are used most in smart
home applications
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals www.caict.ac.cn
Research on smart transformation of hotel and real estate industry
Based on 539 Offline survey questionnaires
Based on 303 Offline survey questionnaires
Somatosensory interaction
Face recognition
speech recognition
Meridian recognition Others
The acceptance of the project is carried out from four directions including: function, security, connectivity, wireless signal coverage
© CAICT,CTTL-Terminals
www.caict.ac.cn
34
35
55
51
42
44
37
43
25
6
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
设备安装工艺检查
综合布线系统线缆穿布检查
智能化设备功能验收
智能化设备安全性验收
智能化系统功能验收
智能化设备连接性
智能家居的网络与应用的互联互通性
无线信号覆盖范围
无线信号辐射安全
其他
Research on Project Acceptance function
Data Sources : Based on 327 Offline survey questionnaires
Others
Wireless signal radiation security
Wireless signal coverage
Network and application connectivity
Intelligent device connectivity
Intelligent system function acceptance
Intelligent equipment security acceptance
Intelligent equipment functional acceptance
PDS inspection of wire through cloth
Equipment installation process inspection
Cloud computing big data
High sensitivity sensor
new materials
Communications tec.
AI
Bionic robot
Humanoid Robots
Machine Cognition
Time
Bioarray
The future trend of the smart home
2010-2020The age of Intelligent perception
2021-2030AI age -
autonomous learning and perception
2030-AI age -
independent thinking and innovation
Cognitive Computing
New materials
Deep Learning
Pen
etr
ati
on
rate
Deep Learning
BigData Cloud computingIoT BigData Cloud computingIoT
Smart home industry technology development trend
New sensor
Wireless communication Technology
• Miniaturization• Intelligent• multi-functional• wireless network
• NB-IoT• Bluetooth 5.0、BLE Mesh• Wi-Fi、Wi-Fi HaLow• NFC• Zigbee3.0
• Mode transformation: smart home from the device side + mobile terminal mode to equipment + cloud + mobile terminal.
• Security:Equipment、Data…
Big Data & Cloud
Artificial Intelligence• Human–Computer
Interaction:speech recognition, voice recognition, machine vision, motion recognition
• Machine learning• Deep learning
Service RobotWith the decrease of birth rate and the aggravation of aging, service robots will be popularized in the fields of family, office and public service.
The follow-up work of Smart home standardization
Five important points of standardization work
The China Telecommunication Technology Labs -terminals is the leader in the CCSA TC11 WG1 SmartHome group.
Smart Home Working Group is responsible for the organization of Smart home Partners in the field of joint research and discussion of the Smart home field technical standards.
CCSA TC11 Smart Home Working Group will work with OCF, AllSeen and other international Intelligent Home Forum Organization Standards Organization, joint research and intelligent home related technology and standardization. At the same time, with Wi-Fi Alliance, Bluetooth forum, ZigBee Alliance, NFC, USB, home Plug and other related technical alliance organizations to cooperate closely.
Ecological Atlas of some member enterprises
26
Real estate developers
System Integrator
BigData/Cloud
Home Electronics
Online channel Offline channel
Telecom operators
I.C.D.
A.I. I.C. Standard Certification
Note: The above content includes some partner enterprises that are inviting to join
Home Platform-type Robot
Solutions for business
Five important points of standardization work
Standardize the definition, terminology, System architecture, networking principles, application scenarios and functional requirements of smart home systems
General standard of Intelligent home
Definition of Smart Home application
scenario and technical Requirements
analysis and test program standards
Smart Home specific Application scenario standards
Data relating to intelligent terminals and intelligent
systems, including: data classification, data definition,
collection and management, data use and other standards
Technical standard of Big Data
Communication and networking, such as low-level physical interface
and protocol requirements, different kinds of products of commonality
and special technical requirements and test program class standards
Interface protocol standard
Related to equipment
safety, network security,
data security, etc.
Security standards
Trainer: Chao Dai
E-mail: [email protected]
Department: Consult department of West institute of CAICT
Address: Yuma Road, Nan’an District, Chongqing, China
Thank you
中国信息通信研究院 http://www.caict.ac.cn