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Disaster Mitigation Efforts in Indonesia
presented atSecond Asian Science and Technology Forum
Tokyo, 8 September 2006
byDr. Idwan Suhardi
Deputy Minister for Utilization and Dissemination of Research and Technology
State Ministry of Research and TechnologyRepublic of Indonesia
State Ministry of Research and TechnologyRepublic of IndonesiaRepublic of Indonesia
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OUTLINEOUTLINE
1.1. INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION
22 RECENTRECENT DISASTERDISASTER
3. CURRENT STATUS OF INDONESIAN TSUNAMI EARLY WARNING SYSTEMS
4. END4. END--TOTO--END TSUNAMI SIMULATION IN PADANG END TSUNAMI SIMULATION IN PADANG CITY ON 26 DECEMBER 2005CITY ON 26 DECEMBER 2005
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1.1. INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION
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The Indonesian region very complicated plates convergence : subduction, collision, back-arc thrusting, back-arc and opening faults
Moving relatively to each other • the India-Australia plate :
moving northward • the Philippine sea plate :
moving west-northwestward. • the Caroline plate : moving
east-southeastward (near Aru) and west-northwestward (near Yap trench)
Every year about 460earthquakes (M > 4.0 )
Tectonic Setting and Tectonic Setting and SeismicitySeismicity of Indonesiaof Indonesia
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Earthquake and Tsunami HistoryEarthquake and Tsunami History
EARTHQUAKE WITH M ≥ 7.0 RSIN INDONESIA, 1900 - 2004
EARTHQUAKE WITH M ≥ 7.0 RSIN INDONESIA, 1900 - 2004
A. TOTAL : 212
B. IN THE SEA : 182 ( 86 % )
C. SHALLOW IN THE SEA : 153 ( 72 % )
D. GENERATED TSUNAMI) : 86 ( 40 % )
A. TOTAL : 212
B. IN THE SEA : 182 ( 86 % )
C. SHALLOW IN THE SEA : 153 ( 72 % )
D. GENERATED TSUNAMI) : 86 ( 40 % )
modified from : Latif and Guisakof
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Earthquake Events in IndonesiaEarthquake Events in Indonesia
EARTHQUAKE with MAGNITUDE ≥ 7.0 RS(1900 – 2004)
212 event11%
1756 event89%
Indonesia
Out of Indonesia
TOTAL NUMBER OF Earthquakes = 1968 event
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2. Recent Disaster2. Recent DisasterAcehAceh TsunamiTsunami
MerapiMerapi EruptionEruptionJogjaJogja EarthquakeEarthquake
PangandaranPangandaran TsunamiTsunami
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Tsunami Tsunami AcehAceh : a brief reminder : a brief reminder
• 132,000 confirmed dead• 37,000 missing• 572,000 displaced• 1.3 million homes and buildings destroyed• 8 ports and 4 fuel deports damaged• 85% of the water and 92% of the sanitation
system broke down• 120 km of roads and 18 main bridges
demolished• total losses amount to US$ 4.5 billion, which
represents 2.2% of National GDP and 97%of Aceh’s GDP
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the causes the causes
Catastrophic earthquakeScale 9 with shallow epicenter offshoreVery strong ground shaking for 4 minutes felt in many areasPeople moved out of their houses out of fear
Followed by a tsunamiWave height ranging from 4 – 35 mMost people have never seen such calamity in their livesDid not know what to do – chaoticNo warning was issued
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What remains What remains
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Volcanic Eruption : Mount Volcanic Eruption : Mount MerapiMerapi
page page 12
The The MerapiMerapi CycleCycle
During the period of 1006 to 2001 Mount Merapi has erupted 82 times.
• Short cycle 2-5 years• Medium cycle 5-7 years
The last three eruptions (1997,1998, 2001) no casualties, but two people died during 2006 eruption.
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The The JogjaJogja Earthquake, Earthquake, 27 May 200627 May 2006
Earthquake with 5.9 SR6,234 people died7,057 houses collapse, including several historical sitesJogja airport was closed for several daysTotal losses is estimated at US$ 3 billion
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Earthquake and Tsunami, Earthquake and Tsunami, 17 July 200617 July 2006
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…… the victimsthe victims
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6.70m+7:41:53.2S109:15:51.8EWidara Payung
4.69m7:41:37.6S108:39:06.0EPangandaran
7.67m7:41:01.2S108:36:43.3EBulak Laut
5.34m7:41:31.9S108:32:09.4EBatu Hiu
2.12m7:44:48.6S108:29:51.3EBatukaras
5.9m7:49:10.2S108:26:32.1E
3.67m7:48:56.0S108:24:09.9E
3.74m+7:45:52.8S108:03:35.7ESindangkerta
5.20m7:40:05.9S107:41:26.6EPameungpeuk
Inundation height
LatitudeLongitudeLocation
…… maximum : 7 m wavemaximum : 7 m wave
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2. CURRENT STATUS OF INDONESIAN TEWS
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in response to in response to AcehAceh tsunami, tsunami,
• Government formed the Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Agency (BRR)
• Ministry of Research and Technology responsible in coordinating various agencies in the Development of TsunamiWarning Systems throughout Indonesia
BAKOSURTANALBPPT LAPAN LIPI BMGDKP
ESDM BAPPENASKOMINFODEPLUKLHBAKORNAS PBP
ITB
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Summary of GrandSummary of Grand--scenarioscenario
Sensing Devices :•Seismometer•Accelerometer•OBU :
- Seismometer- Accelerometer- Pressure
•GPS
Transmit Data :Bottom to Surface,Surface to center
Processing Center
Transmit Information :SR/MMILocation (LS+BT)DepthTimePredict : Tsunami ?
Recipients :•Bakornas•Satkorlak•Satlak•Media
Geo Input
Recipients :•Bakornas•Satkorlak•Satlak•Media
COMMUNITY
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Schematic Diagram of Basic Design Schematic Diagram of Basic Design
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Satellite in Satellite in Pacific systemPacific system
Bottom pressure Bottom pressure gaugegauge
OBSOBS
BuoyBuoy
Regional/NationalRegional/NationalCenterCenter
Coastal stationCoastal station
Coastal stationCoastal station
HAAHAA
Indian Ocean PlateIndian Ocean Plate
Satellite in Satellite in Indian OceanIndian Ocean
GTS or GTS or ACeSACeS
SeismographSeismograph
Tide gageTide gage
GPSGPS
© Jan Sopaheluwakan, 2005
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Seismic MonitoringSeismographAccelerograph
Database of Tsunami ModelingSea level monitoring
DART - BUOYTide Gauge
Information and Communication TechnologyCrustal Deformation Monitoring
GPSGeospatial Information
Satellite ImageryTopographic and Bathymetric map
Community PreparednessCapacity Building
System ElementsSystem Elements
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NO DEVICE PLANNED EXISTING
1 SEISMOGRAPH 160 units scattered in 10 Regional Offices issue warning within 5 minutes
58 units scattered in 5 Regional Offices issue warning within 20-30 minutes
2 ACCELEROGRAPH 500 Units 9 Units
Seismic Monitoring Seismic Monitoring
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DEVICE EXISTING PLAN
TIDE GAUGE
60 units (35 analog graphical chart and 25 digital tidal recording)
120 units of digital tidal recording
SeaSea‐‐level Monitoring level Monitoring
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Oceanographic MonitoringOceanographic MonitoringDEVICE EXISTING PLANNED
DART-BUOY 12 Units to only monitor sea environment 22 Units of Ocean Bottom Pressure Sensors
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Plan to install Continuous GPS ( 27 GPS near tide gauges and 10 GPS near Buoys)
CrustalCrustal Deformation MonitoringDeformation Monitoring
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Tsunami ModelingTsunami Modeling
1. The 1797 West Sumatran Tsunami2. The 1818 Bali Tsunami3. The 1820 Bima Tsunami4. The 1833 Bengkulu Tsunami5. The 1883 Krakatau Volc Tsunami6. The 1935 North Sumatera Tsunami7. The 1969 Mandar Tsunami 8. The 1992 Flores Tsunami
16 of 109 tsunamis have been simulated
9. The 1994 East Java Tsunami10. The 1996 Toli-Toli Tsunami11. The 1996 Biak Tsunami12. The 1998 PNG Tsunami13. The 2000 Banggai Tsunami14. The 2004 Aceh Tsunami15. The 2005 Nias Tsunami16. The 2006 Pangandaran Tsunami
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The 2004 The 2004 AcehAceh TsunamiTsunami
Latief, Aditya, Haris, (2005)
Tsunami Height Distribution
Tsunami Inundation
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Numerical Modeling Numerical Modeling (Pangandaran 17 July 2006)
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EndEnd--toto--end Tsunami Simulation end Tsunami Simulation in in PadangPadang CityCity
on 26 December 2005on 26 December 2005
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Tsunami Prone Area in the WorldTsunami Prone Area in the World
PADANG City
(Source : Geographica)
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Community PreparednessCommunity Preparedness
Tsunami in Indonesia are local type• Generated very close to coastal communities• Insufficient time to accurately assess the risk• Less time to disseminate warnings and carry out orderly evacuation
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Seismological Summary of Seismological Summary of SumateraSumatera
Several big earthquake have been recorded in the West Coast of Sumatra (e.g. 1833, 1935 and 2004) and initiated tsunami disaster. Based on paleo-tsunami research, the next big earthquake with tsunami is forecasted to occur at Padang
Padang
(Natawidjaya, 2002)
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Area : 694.96 km2
Inhabitants : 901,488 people
Coast length : +/- 84 km
Number of surrounding rivers : 21
Geographical Position : 0°54’ - 1° 08’ S
Altitude : 0 – 10 m (60%)
Statistics of Statistics of PadangPadang CityCity
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Public Education MaterialsPublic Education Materials
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National Media CampaignNational Media Campaign
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Local Media CampaignLocal Media Campaign
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Distributed Materials and Previous ExerciseDistributed Materials and Previous Exercise
Earthquake and tsunami drill
Hazard Map Evacuation Routes Learning media
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Increasing Awareness for Government OfficersIncreasing Awareness for Government Officers
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Workshop for Developing Evacuation MapWorkshop for Developing Evacuation Map
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TOT for Local Officers, Students, NGO and PublicTOT for Local Officers, Students, NGO and Public
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TOT for Local Officers, Students, NGO and PublicTOT for Local Officers, Students, NGO and Public
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Tsunami numerical simulation is under-development for Padangarea based on the 1833 earthquake. The model would be able to simulate tsunami run-upand predicts the available time for evacuation purposes
Please wait … take some time to run the program
Tsunami Model for Tsunami Model for PadangPadang CityCity
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Elevation of Elevation of PadangPadang CityCity
: 0-5 mdpl
: 5 – 10 mdpl
: 10 – 25 mdpl
: 25 – 100 mdpl
: > 100 mdpl
Safe Area: > 5 meters above sea-level
: Danger Zone
: Alert Zone
: Safe Zone
: Relocation Zone
: Relocation Zone
Kogami 2005
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Documentation LIPI
Evacuation Map and Sign BoardsEvacuation Map and Sign Boards
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Evacuation Routes and Escape Building
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PUSAT KOTAJL. RADEN SALEH
INDARUNG
LUBUK BEGALUNG
TELUK BAYUR
SIMPANG HARU
BY PASS
KAMPUS UNAND
Evacuation Routes and Escape Building
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Evacuation Routes and Escape Building
ULAK KARANG
LAPAI
SITEBA
BY-PASS/BALAI BARU
TABING/AIR TAWAR
BY-PASS
TUNGGUL HITAM
RAWANG PANJANG
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Evacuation Routes and Escape Building
BEBERAPA JALUR DAN TITIK EVAKUASISUMBER: Dinas Prasarana Jalan Propinsi Sumbar
SIMPANG KALUMPANG
LUBUK MINTURUN
BY PASS
BY PASS
BY PASS
LUBUK BUAYA
ANAK AIR
PARAK BURUAK
SIMPANG LALANG
SIMPANG TABING
SIMPANG DUKU
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DTM of DTM of PadangPadang
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People went to the designed evacuation place (PangilunMountain)
Activities at the Evacuation Place
Sending warning from National Center (BMG) to Major of Padang City (Authorized person) by Pushing Red Button
Commemoration of OneCommemoration of One--year Tsunami Disasteryear Tsunami Disaster
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Indonesia, with the aids from several other countries, have established additional 11 seismometer stations (Nias, Yogyakarta, Banda Aceh, Jambi, Padang Panjang, Bengkulu, Bandung, Palu, Waingapu, Denpasar, Tangerang) as a part of INA-TWS. Utilizing the global network, INA-TWS has capacity to distribute earthquake information in less than 10 minutes after earthquake occurs. This has been demonstrated by an end-to-end simulation on December 2005 to commemorate one-year of the Aceh-tsunami
RealReal––time Earthquake Monitoringtime Earthquake Monitoring
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System for sea level monitoring in Padang has been established and directly connected with BMG on real time basis for tsunami warning confirmation.
RealReal--time Seatime Sea--level Monitoringlevel Monitoring
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Terjadi gempa kuat 26 Desember 2005; 09.16 WIB; 125 km baratdaya Kota Padang.
Potensi timbulkan tsunami, segera tinggalkan pantai Kota Padangdan sekitarnya. (BMG)
Message Content via SMS :
A strong earthquake has occurred on December 26, 2005; 09.16 WIB; 125 km South-West of Padang City
It potentially can trigger tsunami, please evacuate yourself immediately from coasts of Padang City and its surrounding
Tsunami WarningTsunami Warning
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From National Center (BMG-Jakarta) to Major of Padang via SMS
From Major of Padang to Critical Posts by Siren, HT, Local Communication. The Critical Posts include:
• The Center of Operational Control
• Fire Brigade
• Police
• Indonesian Red Cross
• Mosques
• Churches
Dissemination of Warning InformationDissemination of Warning Information
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SITUATION DURING TSUNAMI DRILL
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Spatial Plan Principles for Padang City :
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…… the way forwardthe way forward
Tsunami early warning systems cannot be handled by a single country. Strong cooperation is needed among all countries over the globe, especially those who have coastal areas threatened by tsunami.
Such cooperation can be classified into two main groups, i.e. : structure (relating to establishment of sensing devices) and culture (relating to building resilient communities)
The cooperation can be in the form of :
A. STRUCTURE
• Funding for sensing equipment and installation, including data sharing and information exchange
• Operation and maintenance of the systems for both financial and technological aspects
• Development of robust communication infrastructure
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…… the way forwardthe way forward
B. CULTURE
• Capacity building in human resource development, joint research program and institutional development
• Empowering domestic resources in instrumentation industries and facilities
• Strengthening the regional network
• Enhancing the community preparedness together with public awareness towards community-based disaster management
• Development of redundancy in warning dissemination
• Development of formal education in disaster management
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Thank YouThank You
ClosureClosure