report liabilitymanagement
TRANSCRIPT
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PROJECT REPORT
TITLED
LIABILITY MANAGEMENT AND DERIVATIVES AS A TOOL OFLIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES
SUBMITTED BY:
MANISH SAINIENROLMENT NUMBER # 990046281
STUDY CENTRE # 0712REGIONAL CENTRE # 029
PROJECT PROPOSAL# 34918
SUBMITTED TO:
SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES
INDIRA GANDHI NATIONAL OPEN UNIVERSITYMAIDAN GARHI
NEW DELHI.
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CONTENTS
1.About IDBI
2.Introduction
3.Reasons for ALM Mismatch
4. Sources And Characteristics Of IRR
5.Measurement and management of IRS
6.Regulatory framework
7.ALM constraints
8.What are Derivatives
9. FRAs and IRS
10.What Does IRS Do?
11. Indian Scenario
12. Conclusion
13. References
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ABOUT IDBI
Industrial Development Bank of India (IDBI) was established in July 1964 by
Government of India under an act of Parliament, the Industrial Development
Bank of India Act, 1964(the IDBI Act). The IDBI Act governs the functions
and working of IDBI. Initially IDBI was set up as a wholly owned subsidiary
of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to provide credit and other facilities for
the development of industry. In 1976,the ownership of IDBI was transferred
to the Government of India and it was entrusted with the additional
responsibility of acting as the principal financial institution for coordinating
the activities of institutions engaged in financing, promotion or development
of industry.
In 1982, IDBI transferred its International Finance Division to export-import
Bank of India, which was established as a wholly owned corporation of the
Government of India under the export-import Bank of India Act, 1982.
In 1990,IDBI's portfolio relating to the small-scale industrial sector was
transferred to the Small Industries (SIDBI), which was established as a
wholly owned subsidiary of IDBI under Small Industries Development Bank
of India Act, 1989(SIDBI Act, 1989).
IDBI provided significant support in the development of the capital market
through setting up of Securities & Exchange Board of India, National Stock
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Exchange of India LTD, Credit Analysis and Research LTD, Stock Holding
Corporation of India LTD, Investor Services of India LTD, National Securities
Depository Ltd.
In 1999, entered into a JV agreement with the Principal Financial Group,
USA for participation in equity and management of IDBI Investment
Management Company Ltd., erstwhile a 100% subsidiary of IDBI.
In March 2000, set up IDBI Intech Limited as a subsidiary to undertake IT
related activities.
Functions
As a Development Bank, IDBI has financed and nurtured Indian industry
through its infancy to fulfill the national dream of a robust industrial and
financial structure in the country.
Over the last thirty years, IDBI's role as a catalyst to industrial development
has encompassed a broad spectrum of activities. IDBI can finance all types
of industrial concerns covered under the provisions of the IDBI Act,
irrespective of the size or the form of the organization. IDBI primarily
provides finance to large and medium industrial enterprises and is
authorized to finance all types of industrial concerns engaged in the
manufacture, processing of preservation of goods, mining, shipping,
transport, hotel industry, information technology, medical and health
services, leasing, generation and distribution of power, maintenance, repair,
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testing or servicing of vehicles, vessels and other types of industrial
machinery and the setting up of industrial estates. IDBI also assists
industrial concerns engaged in research and development of any process or
product or in the provision of special technical knowledge or other services
for promotion of industrial growth. In addition, floriculture, road construction
and the establishment and development of tourism related facilities including
amusement parks, cultural centers, restaurants, travel and transport
facilities and other tourist services and film industry have been recognized as
industrial activities eligible for finance from IDBI.
IDBI has been assigned a special role for co-coordinating the activities of
institutions engaged in financing, promoting or developing industries as also
provision of technical, legal and marketing assistance to industry and
undertaking market surveys, investment research as well as techno-
economic studies in connection with development of industries.
"We are envisaging the new Industrial Development Bank of India as a
central coordinating agency, which ultimately will be concerned, directly or
indirectly, with all the problems or questions relating to the long and
medium term financing of industry, and will be in a position, if necessary, to
adopt and enforce a system of priorities, in promoting future industrial
growth"
Extract of the then Union Finance Minister's address
to the Parliament on the setting up of IDBI in 1964
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IDBI's future strategy for business growth would be to further build upon its
area of core competence viz., project financing complemented with the
aggressive entry into other compatible business operations. Asset growth of
acceptable quality through client-driven business deals that would help
maintain IDBI's market shares along with enhanced profitability would be an
integral part of the strategy. IDBI's future strategy would be not only to
maintain its premier position in the Indian financial system but also to take a
position of prominence among top DFIs of the world.
Offices
IDBI has its Head Office at Mumbai and has an all India presence through its
branch network. It operates through the network of 5 Zonal offices; one
each in Calcutta, Chennai, Guwahati, Mumbai and New Delhi. Besides, IDBI
has 38 branch offices located in state capitals and major commercial centers
in India.
Government Holding
The IDBI Act was amended in October 1994, which, inter alia, permitted
IDBI to raise equity from the public subject to the holding of the
Government not falling below 51% of the issued capital. Pursuant to the
amendment, in July 1995,IDBI made its first initial public offering of equity
shares aggregating RS. 2184 crones. Simultaneously, the Government also
offered for sale a part of its holding of equity shares in the capital of IDBI
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aggregating Rs.187.5 crores (including premium of RS. 120 per share) to
the Indian public. On completion of the allotment of shares offered to the
public, the Government's shareholding in IDBI reduced to 72.14%. The
Government share holding has further come down to 57.76% with effect
from June 5,2000 as, the Government of India converted 24.7 crone equity
shares into 24.70 crone fully paid preference shares of Rs.10/- each
redeemable within 3 years and carrying a dividend @ 13% pa. However the
Government's holding has gone up to 58.5% with effect from August
25,2000.
Regulation and Supervision
The IDBI Act regulates the functions and business of IDBI. In addition it is a
financial institution subject to regulatory supervision by RBI. Section 45L of
RBI Act, 1934, empowers RBI, inter alia, to call for certain information
relating to the business of IDBI and give directions relating to conduct of its
business. RBI has also setup a Board of Financial Supervision under the
chairmanship of the Governor of RBI, which carries out periodical supervision
of IDBI.RBI also issues detailed guidelines on Asset Classification, Income
Recognition and Provisioning, Capital Adequacy, Asset Liability Management
etc. from time to time. IDBI adheres to all such guidelines and submits
necessary information to RBI as per guidelines.
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Corporate Governance
Presently corporate governance is administered through the Board and two
major committees, i.e. the Executive Committee and the Audit Committee.
However the primary responsibility of upholding the high standards of
corporate governance in its operations and providing necessary disclosures
within the framework of legal provisions and banking conventions with
commitment to enhance the shareholder's value, lies with the Board of IDBI.
The Board
The Board of Directors can have a maximum of 12 directors, consisting of a
Chairman and a Managing Director appointed by the Government of India, a
fulltime director appointed by the Government on the recommendations of
the Board, two Government nominees, three directors having special
knowledge in diverse fields nominated by Central Government and four
directors elected by the shareholders other than the Government of India.
Primary responsibilities of the Board include:
Maintaining high standard of corporate governance.
Shaping the policies and procedures of the Bank.
Monitoring the progress and shaping the future growth strategy.
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The Executive Committee
All directors of the Board are members of the Executive Committee, with the
CMD of IDBI being the committee chairman. This committee deals with
sanctions of assistance above certain threshold limits and also decides on
matters relating to Business Plans, Resource Mobilization, Investments,
Capital Expenditure etc.
Audit Committee
It comprises of five directors and is headed by an independent professional
director. This committee acts an interface between the management and the
statutory and internal auditors overseeing internal auditors.
Investor Grievances Committee
This committee consists of a Chairman and two members, who are Directors
of the Board and the Deputy Managing Director as a member. The
committee looks into redressal of shareholders and the investors' complaints
mainly relating to transfer of shares/bonds, on-receipt of annual accounts
and dividend, interest etc.
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OBJECTIVES
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RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
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LIMITATION
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INTRODUCTION
Asset and liability management is the management of total balance
sheet dynamics with regards to size and quality. It involves
quantification of risks.
Asset and Liability Management is the management of the structure of a
bank's balance sheet in such a way that interest related earnings are
maximized within the overall risk preference of the banks management.
Stated in this way, ALM is not new to bank management. No bank could
have survived over the years without paying attention to the risk/return
characteristics of its balance sheet. Asset and Liability management has
grown up as a response to the problem of managing modern banks dealing
in a wide range of diversified aspects, liabilities, and contingent liabilities at
a time of volatile interest rates, volatile exchange rates and, more generally
a continually changing economic environment.
Over the last few years the Indian financial markets have witnessed wide-
ranging changes at the fast pace. Intense competition for business involving
both the assets and liabilities, together with increasing volatility in the
domestic interest rates as well as foreign exchange rates has bought
pressure on the management of banks to maintain a good balance among
spreads, profitability and long term viability. These pressures call for
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structured and comprehensive measures and not just ad hoc action. The
management of banks has to base their business decisions on a dynamic and
integrated risk management system and process driven by corporate
strategy. Banks are exposed to several major risks in the course of their
business- credit risk, interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk, equity
commodity price risk, liquidity risk and operational risk.
The initial focus of the Asset Liability Management (ALM) function would be
to enforce the risk management discipline viz. managing business after
assessing the risks involved. The objective of good risk management
programs should be that these programs would evolve into a strategic tool
for bank management.
In the normal course, banks are exposed to credit and market risks in view
of the asset-liability transformation. With liberalization in Indian financial
markets over the last few years and growing integration of domestic markets
and with external markets, the risks associated with banks operations have
become complex and large, requiring strategic management. The interest
rates on bank investments in government and other securities are also now
market related. Intense competition for business involving both the assets
and liabilities, together with increasing volatility in the domestic interest
rates as well as foreign exchange rates, has brought pressure on the
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management of banks to maintain a good balance among spreads,
profitability and long-term viability. Imprudent liquidity management can put
bank earnings and reputation at great risk. These pressures call for
structured and comprehensive measures and not just ad hoc action.
The management of banks has to base their business decisions on a dynamic
and integrated risk management system and process, driven by corporate
strategy. Banks are exposed to several major risks in the course of their
business- credit risk, interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk,
equity/commodity price risk, liquidity risk and operational risk. It is,
therefore, important that banks introduce effective risk management
systems that address the issues related to interest rate, currency and
liquidity risks.
Banks can address these risks in a structured manner by upgrading their risk
management and adopting more comprehensive Asset-Liability Management
(ALM) practices that has been done hitherto.
Asset and Liability Management is the management of the structure of a
bank's balance sheet in such a way that interest related earnings are
maximized within the overall risk preference of the banks management.
Stated in this way, ALM is not new to bank management. No bank could
have survived over the years without paying attention to the risk/return
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characteristics of its balance sheet. Asset and Liability management has
grown up as a response to the problem of managing modern banks dealing
in a wide range of diversified aspects, liabilities, and contingent liabilities at
a time of volatile interest rates, volatile exchange rates and, more generally
a continually changing economic environment.
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REASONS FOR ASSET LIABILITY MISMATCH:
Prepayment / Payment Delays: The prepayment or payment delay
creates mismatch in the Asset - Liability structure when a borrower
does not fulfill his obligation or does not do so on time. There is
a fundamental connection between this problem and asset and liability
management, in that all asset management relies upon asset being of
good quality. The most direct influence of asset and liability
management on this problem has been the switch to variable rate
lending. This change designed to remove from banks much of the
interest rate risk involved in maturity transformation succeeded but
shifting the interest rate risk to the borrower, thus making his cash
flow less predictable and may be making him a worse credit risk. Of
course this will depend upon the variability of rates of interest, a
sudden fall in rates of interest will obviously help borrowers on
variable rate terms, rise will be to their disadvantage. Bad debts also
affects asset and liability management. They freeze assets and
convert short-term claims into long-term claims. Cash flows, which
were expected, are not received and this impacts on bank liquidity. If
bad debts are unusually large they affect outsiders perception of the
bank and in all probability reduce its creditworthiness, thereby
affecting the ease and/or cost of raising funds. And anything affecting
the perceived creditworthiness of a bank affects its ability to manage
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liabilities. While it is to be expected that bad debts will rise in time of
severe recession, the problems can be exacerbated by insufficient
diversification of the loan portfolio. With all lending whether by banks
or by financial institutions, concentration on individual lenders,
individual groups, and individual economic sectors can increase this
problem. Thus measuring and managing liquidity needs are vital
activities of commercial banks. By assuring a bank's ability to meet its
liabilities as they become due, liquidity management can reduce the
probability of an adverse situation developing.
In order to overcome this liquidity gap, commercial banks
undertake Credit Risk Management, which involves three key
principles: selection, limitation and diversification. The choice to
whom to lend is a first requirement. However discrimination is a bank's
credit management, there remains the risk of unforeseen changes in
the economic fortunes of companies, industries, of geographical areas
or even of whole countries; hence it is necessary to have a system of
limits in different ways and at different levels for amounts to be loaned
to any one borrower or group of connected borrower and to any one
industry or type of economic activity. The third principle of limitation-
avoiding concentration of lending. But over and beyond this minimum
implied diversification, the more a bank is able to spread its lending
over different types of borrower, different economic sectors and
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different geographical regions, the less likely is it to encounter credit
problems. Large banks are more able to diversify by geography by
economic sector than small banks.
Vulnerable Exchange Rate Movements: vulnerable exchange rate
movements creates Asset- Liability mismatch due to changes in
foreign exchange rates. Floating exchange rate arrangement has
bought in its wake pronounced volatility adding a new dimension to
the risk profile of bank balance sheets. The increased capital flows
across free economies following deregulation have contributed to
increase in the volume of transactions. Large cross border flows
together with the volatility has rendered the banks balance sheets
vulnerable to exchange rate movements. Dealing in different
currencies brings opportunities as also risks. If the liabilities in one
currency exceed the level of assets in the same currency, then the
currency mismatch can add value or erode value depending upon the
currency movements. For instance if dollar assets exceed dollar
liabilities a bank stands to gain from appreciation of the dollar and to
lose from depreciation. Banks undertake operations in foreign
exchange like accepting deposits, making loans and advances and
quoting prices for foreign exchange transactions. Irrespective of the
strategies adopted, it may not be possible to eliminate currency
mismatches altogether. Besides some of the institutions may take
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proprietary trading positions as a conscious business strategy. The
simplest way to avoid this is to ensure that mismatches, if any are
reduced to zero or near zero.
The management of currency positions like other aspects of asset
and liability management involves both short-run and long run
considerations. In the short run banks can transact in a range of
markets in orders to alter their asset/liability position in any given
currency. In the long run banks can choose to compete more or less
aggressively for business in particular currencies and they can vary their
long-term borrowing in particular currencies. If it accords with its other
long term plans, a bank can seek to develop retail banking operations in
other currencies in order to boost its resources in the currencies in
question.
Balance Sheet Activities: Banks have traditionally stood ready to
provide certain types of guarantee which involved underwriting the
obligations of a third party and which creates contingent liability for
the guarantor banks. In recent years contingent activities have
become more important as banks have increased off-balance sheet
business in search for fee income or for hedging purposes. The new
contingent risk are those arising from commitments to provide funds in
the future, from acting as counter party in currency or interest-rate
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swaps and from outstanding forward or futures commitment, and from
options granted.
Contingent activities should be taken seriously because they
being contingent as opposed to actual at times could be
underestimated.
Interest Rate Mismatches: Whenever rate-of-interest conditions
attaching to assets and liabilities diverge, then changes in market
interest rates will affect bank earnings. The regulatory restrictions on
banks greatly reduced many of the risks in the financial system. The
deposits were taken in at mandatory rates and loaned out at legally
established rates. Interest rates therefore remained unaffected by
market pressures.
Deregulation of the financial system in India has put in place a lot of
operational freedom to the financial institutions and the pricing of
major portion of assets and liabilities have been left to their
commercial judgement. The money that savings institutions historically
took in was primarily short-term deposit whereas the money they lent
out was primarily in the form of long-term loans. They failed in the
early 1980's when interest rate on deposit accounts rose sharply.
Because the mortgages used to pay interest on these accounts were
long-term instruments, the institutions were receiving lower rates than
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they were paying. Therefore their cost of funds rose much faster than
the yields on their assets. The resulting declines in spread and
profitability contributed to many failures.
For example, suppose ABC negotiated 10% with the borrower on 48-
month installment loan and a rate of 6% with the depositor on 90 days
CD. The spread would be 4%, which is favorable to ABC. Now the
depositor decides to renew the CD at the end of 90 days. If deposit
interest rates in ABC's market have risen during the 90 days since the
CD originally opened, ABC would be forced to pay higher rate when CD
renews. If local rate have risen by 2%, then ABC may be required to
pay 8% on renewal of CD. But because the 48-month installment loan
is fixed to maturity and 45 installments of the original 48 payments
will be still outstanding ABC will have 10% yield on the majority of the
loan and cost of fund will be 8%. The spread has dropped to 2% from
4%. As a result less money will be available to cover expenses. This
difference occurs because loan and deposit reprice at different times.
If rates had fallen during the 90 day period, cost of funds would drop
at renewal increasing ABC's profitability. The rapidly climbing cost of
funds in contrast to the sluggish movement in yields on earning assets
contributed to heavy losses.
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The earning of assets and the cost of liabilities are therefore
closely related to interest rate volatility.
Interest rate refers to potential impact of Net Interest Income (NII) or
Market Value of Equity (MVE) caused by unexpected changes in
interest rate. This unexpected change in the interest rates gives raise
to Interest Rate Risk.
While asset and liability management covers a much broader scope
than management of interest rate risk, this aspect of risk
management is one of the most important disciplines in asset
and liability management.
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SOURCES AND CHARACHTERISTIC OF INTEREST RATE RISK
The degree of interest rate risk that the institution must manage depends
upon the rate sensitivity of the financial instruments it uses to obtain funds
(deposits and borrowings) and invest funds (investment and loans).
Financial instruments rate sensitivity is the speed at which the interest rate
on the instrument responds to a change in market rates.
For example, suppose a customer opened a money market deposit account
(MMDA) at an interest rate of 5.5%. An MMDA is a saving account that is
designed to be directly equivalent to and competitive with money market
mutual funds. The institution can establish its own minimum deposit and
maintenance balance requirement to open the account to earn interest, the
MMDA contract specifies that whenever the institution changes its MMDA
rate, all MMDA customers automatically receive the new rate. If the
institution changes its rate to 5.75%, the customer who opened the MMDA
at 5.5% will immediately receive the higher rate. Because the interest rate
on the account might change immediately whenever there is a change in
market rates, the MMDA account can be extremely rate-sensitive. On the
other hand suppose a customer purchases a 2-year CD at a rate of 6.5%,
the CD contract specifies that the interest rate will be in effect for the life of
the instrument, 2 years. If the institution raises its rates on 2 years CD to
7%, the customer who already purchased it at 6.5% is locked in the older
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rate. Because a considerable length of time will elapse before the CD will
react to the change in market rates and because there are penalties for early
withdrawal, such CD is not considered to be very rate sensitive.
This shows rate sensitivity of a financial instrument depends upon certain
characteristics. These characteristics are: -
1. Length of term to maturity - the above example of the 2-year CD
showed the effect of maturity on rate sensitivity. Maturity is the point at
which an instrument becomes due and payable. The maturity of an
instrument represents an occasion to renegotiate the rate on the instrument.
Upon maturity of a 2 year CD the customer is free to take the funds and
seek the most favorable rate at which to reinvest. Thus, the shorter the term
of maturity, the more susceptible borrowers and lenders are to rate
sensitivity. Financial institution can replace maturing investments, loan, and
deposits on borrowings with other investments, loans, deposits or
borrowings. At the time of reinvestment, the financial institution is
vulnerable to the effect of changes in market interest rates. If rates have
gone up since the original instrument was first negotiated, the replacement
instrument will carry a higher interest rate. If rates have gone down, the
opposite occurs.
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2. Use of Amortization - an instrument is said to amortize when it calls for
payment of a portion of the instruments principal periodically over the life of
the instrument. For example, the typical mortgage loan has a 30-year life,
but each monthly payment includes interest on the outstanding balance plus
a reduction in the outstanding principal. As the institution receives these
principal payments it has the opportunity to lend the funds to other
customers at current market rates. This shows amortizing instrument is
more rate-sensitive than one that calls for a lump-sum payment. This is
because the principal payments represent re-pricing opportunities.
3. Prepayment - often a borrower or depositor does not adhere to the
principal repayment schedule specified in the contract. When a customer
prepays a loan early, the institution has the opportunity to reinvest those
funds at current market rates. When the customer negotiates an early
withdrawal on a CD, an institution replaces the funds withdrawn with funds
obtained at current market rates. Because prepayment causes a loan or CD
to reprice earlier than specified in the contract, in institution experiencing
frequent payment is more rate sensitive than an instrument that experiences
infrequent prepayments. Prepayments on loans vary based on demographic
and economic characteristics. E.g. a market with rapidly growing, healthy
economy experiences higher turnover in its housing stock than a market that
is stagnant, causing more frequent prepayments of mortgage loans. In an
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environment of falling rates, borrowers will have greater incentives to
refinance loans than when will rates are rising.
4. Contractual Repricing - timing the repricing of a financial instrument by
specifying it in the instruments contract is called contractual re pricing.
Earlier the timing of the re pricing of an instrument had been directly tied to
the timing of its principal flows. The reason re pricing was tied to these cash
flows is that until recently most instruments have carried an interest rate
that remained fixed until maturity? But then it was discovered that
guaranteeing a fixed rate for the term of the instrument could cause
considerable difficulty. Making the purchase of certain classes of assets
affordable to customers requires that the purchase be financed over
relatively long periods of time. Fixed rate term loans are not very rate
sensitive, as their balances do react to the changes in market rates. Because
customers like to keep their deposits in short term instruments, it is difficult
to find a source of deposit with rate sensitivity similar to that of an
institutions long-term mortgages. This problem of funding long term assets
with short-term liabilities is to separate instruments re pricing from the
terms of the contract.
E.g. while the typical adjustable rate mortgage has a term of 15 to 30 years,
its contract may allow the institution to change its interest rate annually
based on movements in market rates. Contractual modification of the re
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pricing characteristics affects the rate sensitivity of the instrument. Rather
than gradually re pricing over 15 o 30 years through amortization, the
instrument can re price annually.
Interest rate risk can be basically classified into:
Gap or mismatch risk
A gap risk arises from holding assets and liabilities with different principal
amounts, maturity or re pricing dates thereby creating exposure to
unexpected changes in the level of interest rates. The gap is the difference
between the amount of assets and liabilities on which the interest rates are
reset or re priced during a given period. In other words, when assets and
liabilities re price during different periods, they can create a mismatch. Such
a gap or mismatch may lead to gain or loss depending upon how interest
rates in the market tends to move. For example, if a bank has invested the
proceeds of a 91 days, 8% deposits in 91 days treasury bill earning 10% and
maturing on the same day as the deposit, the bank will have a matched gap.
Here there would be no interest rate risk. If the proceeds of the 91 day
deposit are re invested in the floating rate loan (re priced at monthly
interval) with an initial rate of 10%, the interest rate charged on the loan
will change twice during 91 days, while deposit rate remains unchanged.
Since the asset is repriced much more rapidly than the liability during this
period, the bank is more asset sensitive. The asset sensitive bank can
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produce a large NII if the interest rate rises in the market because interest
rate on floating loan moves higher during the 91 days period, while interest
rate being paid on the deposit remains at 8%. Conversely, asset sensitive
gap position will cause compression in NII as interest rate declines. If bank
uses 91 days 8% deposit to fund a 5 year fixed rate govt. stock at 10%, the
stock would continue to earn 10% while the deposit gets re priced at every
91 days interval. The bank is more liability sensitive because the interest
paid on deposit is reset more rapidly than the fixed coupon earned on the
stock. A rise or fall in the interest rate in a liability sensitive situation has the
opposite effect on the NII than on an asset sensitive bank. Any increase in
the interest rate will cause an erosion in the liability sensitive bank NII.
Basis risk
In a perfectly matched gap position, there is no timing difference between
the repricing dates; the magnitude of change in the deposit rate would be
exactly matched by the magnitude of change in the loan rate. However,
interest of two different instruments will seldom change by the same degree
during the give period of time. The risk that the interest rate of different
assets and liabilities may change in different magnitude is called basis risk.
The following table shows how the basis risk occurs.
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GAP Statement for ABC Bank
(Amount in million of Rs)
Repricing Assets Repricing liabilities
Call money 50 Saving Bank 50
Cash credit 40 Time deposits 50
90 100
The bank as a negative gap of Rs.10 million. In case the interest rate falls by
1% (assuming that the rates on all assets and liabilities change by 1%) will
improve the banks NII by Rs. 1 million.
Net Interest Position Risk
The banks net interest position also exposes the bank to an additional
interest rate risk. If a bank has more assets on which it earns interest than
its liabilities on which it pays interest, interest rate risk arises when interest
rate earned on assets changes while the cost of funding of the liabilities
remains at 0%. Thus, a bank with positive net interest position will
experience a reduction in NII as interest rate declines and expansion in NII
as interest rate rises. A large positive net interest position accounts for most
of the profit generated by many financial institutions.
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Embedded Option Risk
Large changes in the level of interest rate create a risk to banks profits by
encouraging pre payment of loans and/or withdrawal of deposits before the
stated maturity dates. In case where no penalty for pre payment of loans,
the borrower have a natural tendency to pay of their loan when a decline in
interest rate occurs. In such cases, the bank receive a lower NII for e.g.
suppose a bank disbursed a 90 days loan at the rate of 10% which is funded
through a 90 days CD at the rate of 8%. In case the rate of interest declines
to 9% after 30 days and the borrower repays his loan immediately, the bank
receives only 200 basis points NII or 30 days rather than the anticipated 90
days. In the remaining 60 days of the 90 days term, the NII will be only 100
basis points. When the interest rate rises, the NII will be exposed to same
embedded option risk in the liability side of the balance sheet. If there are
no substantial penalties for pre mature withdrawal, the depositor may
withdraw the term deposits before the contracted maturities so that the
funds can be re deposited in new deposit accounts at a higher rate of
interest. Thus, as interest rate rise and falls, the banks are exposed to some
degree of risk as customers exercise the embedded options inherent in their
loan and deposit contracts. The faster and higher the magnitude of changes
in the interest rate, the greater will be the embedded option risk. Banks
impose penalties for pre payment of loans and pre mature withdrawal of
deposits. However as customer resist paying large penalties bank have to
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reduce penalties to modest level as a competitive strategy to attract
additional business.
Yield Curve Risk
An yield curve is a line on a graph plotting the yield of all maturities of a
particular instrument. As the economy moves through business cycle, the
yield curve changes rather frequently. To illustrate how a change in the
shape of yield curve affects the banks NII, lets us assume that ABC bank use
three years floating rate fixed deposits for funding three year floating rate
loans (the deposits and loans are re priced at quarterly intervals). If the
bank pays 100 basis points above the 8.50%, 91 days treasury bills rate to
fixed deposits and basis points is produced. If the yield curve turns inverted
during the next repricing date with the 91 days TB's rate increasing to 10%
and 364 days TB's rate remaining at 9% and the spread relationship of
deposits and loans to TB's remains constant, the NII will be reduced to 100
basis points. Thus banks should base only the rate of single instruments for
pricing the assets and liabilities.
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Re-investment Risk
As one instrument matures and replaced with another, the funds being re
invested may bear a different rate than the funds in the initial instrument.
The risk that this will occur is called re-investment risk. As replacement
instruments take the place of original instrument on an institutions
statement of condition, the institutions interest income and interest expense
will rise or fall, depending on the whether the replacement bears a higher or
lower interest rates than the original instrument.
Liquidity Risk
Customers look to financial institution as a source of funds and a place to
deposit excess funds. A depositor expects to be able to withdraw deposited
funds as needed, so a financial institution needs to have funds available
when the customer asks for them. Borrower also expects that an institution
will be able to supply funds for loans. So, financial institutions seek to have
some degree of liquidity.
Liquidity is a measure of a business, individual or institution to convert
assets into cash at a particular time without significant loss of principal
value. In other words liquidity is the ability to meet commitments when due
and to undertake new transactions when desirable.
The liquidity of assets varies widely. Assets offering immediate liquidity
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Measurement and Management of Interest Rate Risk
Before risk can be managed, they must be identified and quantified. Unless
we measure the quantum of risk inherent in a bank's balance sheet is
measured it is impossible to measure the degree of risk the bank is exposed
to. It is equally impossible to develop effective risk management strategies.
Without being able to understand the correct risk position of the bank.
There are many analytical techniques to measure interest rate risk. The
most commonly used techniques are:
Maturity Gap Analysis
Duration Gap Analysis.
Simulation
Value At Risk.
While these methods highlight different facets of interest rate risk, banks in
combination that combine features of all the techniques can use these.
Maturity Gap Analysis
Gap analysis is a technique that shows how quickly an individual rate-
sensitive asset or liability reacts to change in market rate. In addition, gap
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analysis compares the rate sensitivity of assets and liabilities making up an
institution's portfolio and measures the imbalance between their respective
rate sensitivities at a particular time. It does this by breaking down future
cash flows by rate-sensitive asset or liability is scheduled to reprice. The gap
is the difference between the amounts of assets and liabilities repricing in a
rate-sensitivity period. A rate sensitivity is a period of time during which the
portion of a rate sensitve asset or liability is scheduled to reprise
The mismatch risk can be measured by calculating gaps over different time
intervals based on aggregate balance sheet data at a fixed point of time. An
institutions interest rate position is the cumulative result of thousands of
individual items of deposits, loans, investments etc. Each deposit, advance,
investment etc has its own cash flow characteristics. In order to fully
comprehend the risk inherent in banks balance sheet, each deposit,
borrowing, loan, cash credit etc. should be related to their cash flows and
repricing to a given change in general level of interest rate.
The gap report should be generated by grouping rate sensitive liabilities,
assets and off balance sheet positions into time buckets according to
residual maturity or next repricing period, whichever is earlier. The difficult
task in gap analysis is determining rate sensitivity. All investments,
advances, deposits, borrowings, purchased funds etc. that mature/re price
within a specified timeframe are interest rate sensitive. Similarly any
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principal repayment of loan is also rate sensitive if the bank expects to
receive within the time horizon. This includes final principal payment and
interim installments. Certain assets and liabilities are repriced at pre-
determined intervals and are rate sensitive at the time of repricing. While
the interest rate on term deposits are fixed during their currency the
advances portfolio of the banking system is basically floating. The interest
rates could be repriced any number of occasions, corresponding to the
changes in PLR.
Duration Gap Analysis
Matching the duration of assets and liabilities instead of matching the time
until repricing is another technique for interest rate measurement. Duration
gap model focuses on managing NII by recognizing the changes in the
market value of the assets and liabilities for a given change in the market
interest rate.
Duration is the weighted average of the time until expected cash flows from
a security will be received, relative to the current price of the security. The
weights are the present values of each cash flow divided by the current
price. Additional data required to calculate the duration gap are the current
market yields/cost of different categories of assets and liabilities.
The difference between duration of the asset structure and the duration of
the liability structure is the bank's net duration. If the net duration is
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positive (DA>DL), a decrease in market interest rate will increase the
market value of the bank. When the duration gap is negative, the market
value of the bank increases when rate of interest increases but decreases
when rate falls.
Simulation
Simulation is a technique to measure an institution's interest rate risk by
forecasting the effect of an interest rate change on the institution's
profitability and market value. All the asset-liability simulation models use a
basic three-step approach in running a computer simulation. First, the user
provides the computer simulation model with data. Then the computer
model uses the data to simulate the effect of the interest rate assumptions
and management policies on the institution profitability and market value.
Finally the model communicates its result using a variety of reports.
Value at Risk
VAR is a statistical measure of the risk that estimates the maximum loss
that may be experienced on a portfolio with a given level of confidence. VAR
always comes with a probability that says how likely it is that losses will be
smaller than the amount given. VAR is a monetary amount, which may be
lost over a certain specified period of time. The period of time is dependent
on the period the portfolio is considered to be held constant. The following is
the general formal definition of VAR:
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Value at risk is the maximum amount of money that may be lost on a
portfolio over a given period of time, with a given level of
confidence.
VAR is typically calculated for a one-day period - known as the holding
period - and is often calculated with 95% confidence. 95% confidence means
that there is (on average) a 95% chance of loss on the portfolio being lower
than the VAR calculated. Thus the typical definition of VAR becomes the
maximum amount of money that may be lost on a portfolio in 24 hours, with
95% confidence.
The holding period commonly used is one day. The longer the holding
period, the larger is the VAR. The confidence levels will only be true if VAR is
compared against the actual loss on the portfolio over a large number of
days. It is possible that at some point we will experience several days in a
row in which the actual loss on the portfolio is in excess of the var figure
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REQUIREMENT OF AN EFFECTIVE ALM FUNCTION - REGULATORY
FRAMEWORK.
ALM INFORMATION SYSTEM: -
The information necessary to support ALM decision- making can be from
internal and external sources. Internal information should contain all that is
necessary to determine the banks position, evaluate results of prior ALM
activity and apply the banks expertise. External information should enable
ALM to link historical, current and forecast developments in the bank's
economic environment (including institutional aspects such as regulation and
the structure of financial markets) to the development of desirable strategies
for managing the banks position.
ALM information requirements can differ enormously between banks. A
multi- center, risk-taking institution cannot be successful without a constant
stream of internal and external information to feed the decision making
process that controls its ALM and trading positions. Such an institution will
recognize the critical nature of relevant, reliable and timely information for
these processes because of the critical role they play in banks business. A
risk avoiding, single center bank on the other hand may approach the
subject of ALM information with much less effort and can still have
satisfactory process.
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The purpose of ALM information is to help ALM function understand the
dynamics and trends of the banks net interest income and the potential for
favorable and unfavorable change. Information should enable the bank to
design attractive strategies. In large banks ALM needs to deal with data
belonging to many different systems, often spread over many countries. The
ALM function needs to be intelligent and economic user of information, able
to improvise, estimate, negotiate access, it should not ask for more than it
strictly needs.
The basic information below shows a fairly long list of external items. The
economic forecast needs to focus on the economic development of the bank
service area. In many banking markets, change in transaction balances,
business and consumer saving, and borrowing activities are distributed
proportional to each banks overall market share. From there fairly accurate
and reliable forecast cane be made with regard to changes in many
balancesheet item. Also analysis of the short-term flow of funds and the
policy alternatives available to the monetary authorities to influence
developments often leads to practical results. It may be difficult for many
economists, unless they get much exposure to daily financial market activity
to develop an operational aspect to their forecasting in the are of interest
rates. As an alternative to the fundamental approach traditionally used by
economist to forecast interest rates and exchange rates, banks where trends
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are interpreted without too much concern about their causes adopt a
technical approach.
ALM Process gives weight to
Risk parameters
Risk identification
Risk measurement
Risk management
Risk policies and tolerance levels
We have already seen the different types of risk faced by banks and
strategies for measurement and management of interest rate and liquidity
risk.
ALM Organization
For implementing asset and liability management in an organization the
following steps need to be taken :
Organizing a planning team
Developing a strategic plan
Establishing an Asset Liability Committee
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Developing a process for reviewing performance relative to the
institutions profit and strategic plans.
By successfully completing these five steps, the institution builds a
foundation for integrating the key components of asset-liability
management.
The Planning Team
A banks planning team is responsible for developing the banks strategic plan
and setting planning process, assigns responsibilities for developing the
component parts of the banks overall plan, reviews the components and
recommends action regarding the plan to the board of directors. The
planning team periodically reviews the institution's performance relative to
the plan and recommends modifications.
Composition - The composition of the planning committee varies according
to the size, level of sophistication and philosophy of the institution. In small
institutions, the planning committee combines key managers and board
members. In large banks like IDBI, with full time planning staff, the planning
committee consists entirely of staff members. In addition the planning team
always consist of the chief executive officer of the bank. Team members
should include members who have a basic set of skills and knowledge. The
key member of the planning committee is the team leader. This person is
responsible for scheduling, organizing and conducting the committee
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meetings.
The Strategic Plan
Developing the strategic plan is the most crucial part of the planning
process. The strategic plan identifies the bank goals over the next few years,
examines the banks present position and determines the action necessary to
achieve the goals set forth in the mission statement. A strategic plan has
give key components.
Mission statement
Strategic financial goals
Situation analysis
SWOT analysis
Action plan supported by a financial plan.
Mission Statement
The financial institution begins the planning process by developing a basic
direction. It does this by preparing a basic mission statement, which
identifies the institutions, primary reason for being in business. The mission
will vary in accordance with the situation of the bank. The mission statement
should retain enough flexibility to allow the institution to react to internal
and external change. The economic, regulatory and competitive environment
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is certain to change over time, and the mission statement must be flexible
enough to that change. It should
1. Define line of business - the mission statement should first define the line
of business, its primary focus. By identifying the institutions primary
focus in the mission statement, manager can better direct their efforts
toward goals compatible with their institutions basic purpose.
2. Differentiates from competition - the mission statement should identify
the institutions uniqueness and strengths. One way is to define the
qualities that differentiate the institution from its competition.
3. Identify key values - the mission statement should spell out the
institutions key values. These might include commitment to community,
employees, stockholders and customers.
4. Identify present and prospective customers - the mission statement
should identify present and prospective customers. Here in identifying the
customers it should specify the institutions market area.
5. Spell out commitment to profitability - it should spell out the profit
orientation of the institution and its commitment to achieving its strategic
financial goals.
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Strategic Financial Goals
The mission statement serves as a basis for developing a set of strategic
financial goals. The strategic financial goals generally include objectives in
each of five crucial areas of financial performance. These areas are: -
Profitability
Growth
Capitalization
Investor compensation
Situation Analysis
The third step in the strategic planning process is to determine the
institutions current performance relative to its goals. An analysis of the
current situation will help build on institution strengths and correct its
weaknesses. Situation analysis begins with internal analysis. Management
evaluate financial trends within the institution, as well as its resources and
its management policies and procedures. After examining the institution
itself external analysis is done. The managers look at the institutions
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market, its performance in its market and the regulations that affect its
present and future operations.
SWOT Analysis
Here the most important issues identified in the situation analysis are
brought out. SWOT analysis is done in which the institution identifies and
sets priorities among its most important strengths, weakness, opportunities
and threats.
Action Plans
In the final step of the strategic planning process, a series of action plan is
developed. The action plans will take the institution from its present position,
as identified in the situation and SWOT analysis towards achievement of its
mission and strategic financial goals.
The Asset-Liability Management Committee
Once the strategic plan has been developed and is in place, the responsibility
for day to day administration of the components that affect financial
performance passes to the asset - liability committee (ALCO). While the
planning committee has a long-range perspective and meets infrequently the
ALCO has a much shorter-range perspective and meets more frequently.
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Composition and Responsibilities
The size of ALCO would depend on the size of each institution, business mix
and organizational complexity. To ensure commitment of the top
management and timely response to market dynamics, the CEO or the ED
head the committee. The chiefs of investment, credit, resource management
or planning funds management/treasury, international banking and
economic research can be members of the committee. In addition, the head
of the technology division should also be invitee for building up of MIS and
related computerization.
In its pricing role, the committee establishes and modifies on all the rate
sensitive assets and liabilities marketed by the institution in the retail
market. Pricing changes are designed to react to competitive and market
changes and to manipulate customer demand in managing the institutions
position with regard to interest rate, credit and liquidity risk.
The Budget or Profit Plan
A banks annual budget or profit plan is the tool that keeps the bank on track
towards achieving its strategic financial goals. The ALCO oversees the
development of the budget, recommends its implementation to the BOD and
monitors the banks performances under the plan.
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The Review System
An established system of reviewing the plan and modifying it where
necessary contributes significantly to the plan's success. When the plan is
written, the bank determines the frequency of its review, the types of
performance reporting and the method to use in modifying the plan. Banks
depend on effective plans with realistic targets. These plans enable the
managers to take action consistent with the banks short and long-range
goals.
ALM CONSTRAINS FACED BY BANKS
One of the essential requirements of ALM is the timely and accurate
collection of data. In India, considering the large network of branches,
it becomes difficult to collect and compile reliable data in absence of
computerized environment.
One of the major problems is the mismatch between relatively short-
term liabilities and the longer maturity assets held, particularly in the
SLR proportion of a bank portfolio.
The appropriate training of the staff for interpretation of data for ALM
is also one of the problems faced by the banks.
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In India, the market of off-balance sheet products viz. Swaps, FRA's,
option and futures have not been developed. These are not used for
hedging interest rate risk.
The deregulation of interest rate, though has made significant impact
on the management and performance of the banks, it lacks
professional approach and technique to interest rate forecasting.
Derivatives as a tool of liability management
One of the significant approaches used by banks to overcome the problem of
asset liability mismatch is to use various derivative instruments like futures,
options, swaps etc. all these instruments play a vital role in balancing the
balance sheets of the banks in a reasonable manner. Covering all these
aspects is one of the basic requirements of the banks. But to cover the
interest rate risk, the most effective instrument is Interest Rate Swaps.
Following pages of the report give a brief about the derivatives, their
presence in international and domestic market.
What are Derivatives?
Derivatives, the word, originate in mathematics and refers to a variable,
which has been derived from some other variable. For example, a measure
of weight in pounds can be derived from a measure of weight in kilograms
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by multiplying by 2.2.
Derivatives are financial contracts of pre-determined fixed duration, whose
values are derived from the value of an underlying primary financial
instrument, commodity or index, such as interest rates, exchange rates,
commodities, and equities. They are also known as contingent claims.
Without the underlying product and market it would not have any
independent existence. Someone may take an interest in the derivative
product without having an interest in the underlying product market; but the
two are always related and may therefore interact and affect each other,
similar to the way in which coffee prices may affect tea prices because both
are beverages.
If we look back at the world in the mid-sixties, price risk in financial markets
was fairly limited. This was an era when state interventions were much more
prevalent, the world over, and many kinds of risk were apparently absent
owing to price controls. For example, "interest rate risk" did not appear to be
present in India owing to direct state control over interest rates. Ever since
the early seventies, governments all over the world have steadily retreated
from overt price controls. This has been motivated by an increasing
realization that these stabilization programs involve enormous costs, upon
governments in particular and upon the economy in general through
distortions in resource allocation.
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The evolution of the four major financial markets of the economy - equity,
debt, foreign exchange, and commodities - has proceeded differently. In the
case of equity, direct government interventions have been absent in almost
all countries. In the case of foreign exchange, the first phase of elimination
of price controls took place in OECD countries in the early seventies, though
market interventions continued. From the early nineties onwards, there has
been a sense that government intervention in many currencies is infeasible
even when it is thought desirable. In the area of interest rates, there has
been a significant shift in monetary policy away from targeting nominal
interest rates. In the area of commodities, the breakdown of cartels like
OPEC, and the steady reduction of controls upon agricultural commodities,
has led to an increasing emphasis upon markets in determining commodity
prices.
The deregulation of these four financial markets has had many
consequences for productivity and economic growth. It has also generated
an upsurge of price volatility. The term "risk" is often interpreted, in
common parlance, as the probability of encountering losses. In the language
of modern economics, however, risk is defined as volatility, where
unexpected changes (whether in the positive or negative direction) are
viewed symmetrically. Volatility in major financial markets of the world rose
sharply in the early seventies. For a simple example, we can think of a
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commodity like cement in India, where price controls once existed. Under a
regime of price controls, the price apparently stayed constant for many
months at a time. However, the "true" price of cement did fluctuate. The
inflexibility of a controlled price generated risk for consumer (of shortages)
and producers (of gluts). A builder might apparently face no risk through a
clearly defined price, but the risk of actually obtaining cement might be quite
considerable if shortages exist. A cement manufacturer faced the opposite
risks. In an environment without price controls, it is the publicly visible price,
which fluctuates, and trading in cement is always possible at the market
price. The market-clearing price sends out meaningful signals to influence
the behavior of consumers and producers, and the risk is explicitly visible as
the volatility of cement prices.
Economic agents are uncomfortable when exposed to risk. Risk can inhibit
the use of efficient production processes, and hence productivity, in the
economy. Hence the management of risk has become important. There are
three major `technologies' through which economic agents can reduce the
risk that they are exposed to: diversification, insurance and hedging.
Diversification
It is obtained when economic agents spread their exposure over many
imperfectly correlated risks.
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Insurance
It is obtained by paying a fixed cost (the insurance premium) and
eliminating certain kinds of risk.
Hedging
Derivatives are risk-shifting instruments. The derivatives can also be
compared to an insurance policy. As you pay premium in advance to
an insurance company in protection against a specific event, the
derivatives products have a payoff contingent upon the occurrence of
some event for which you pay premium in advance. Initially, they were
used to reduce exposure to changes in foreign exchange rates, interest
rates, or stock indexes or commonly known as risk hedging. Hedging is
the most important aspect of derivatives and also its basic economic
purpose. There has to be counter party to hedgers and they are
speculators. Speculators don't look at derivatives as means of reducing
risk but it's a business for them. Rather he accepts risks from the
hedgers in pursuit of profits. Thus for a sound derivatives market, both
hedgers and speculators are essential. Now, derivative market can
stand on two pillars, but they will stand better if there were three
pillars. The third pillar represents arbitrageurs (judge in French).
These market participants look for mispricings and market mistakes,
and by taking advantage of them; they disappear and never become
too large.
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Risk management: Derivatives provide an excellent mechanism to
Portfolio Managers for managing the portfolio risk and to Treasury
Managers for managing interest rate risk. The importance of index
futures & Forward Rate Agreement (FRA) in this process can't be
overstated.
Price discovery: These derivative instruments make the spot price
discovery more reliable using different models like Normal
Backwardation hypothesis. These instruments will cause any arbitrage
opportunities to disappear & will lead to better price discovery.
Increasing the depth of financial markets: When a financial market
gets such sort of risk-management tools, its depth increases since the
Institutional Investors get better ways of hedging their risks against
unfavorable market movements.
Now these are some of the arguments against:
Speculation: Many people fear that these instruments will
unnecessarily increase the speculation in the financial markets, which
can have far reaching consequences. The Barrings Bank incident is the
classic case in point.
Market efficiency: Many people fear that the Indian markets are not
mature & efficient enough to introduce these instruments. These
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instruments require a well functioning & mature spot market. Like
recently The Economic Times reported the strong correlation of Indian
equity markets to the NASDAQ. Such type of market imperfections
makes the functioning of derivatives market all the more difficult.
Volatility: The increased speculation & inefficient market will make the
spot market more volatile with the introduction of derivatives.
So one can see that the pros of derivatives far outweigh the cons. And
moreover, by imposing margin requirements, by limiting the exposure one
can take and other measures like that, these vices of derivatives can be
controlled. The importance of derivatives for any financial market can't be
overstated.
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History and Development of Derivative Markets (Instruments):
A lot of people have this notion that derivatives are a completely new
phenomenon. They may have become popular now but their origin can be
traced back to Aristotle's writings.
Aristotle tells the story of Thanes; a poor philosopher who developed a
financial device, which he said, could be universally applicable. Thanes had
great skill in forecasting and predicting how good the harvest would be in
the autumn. Confident about his prediction, he made agreements with area
olive press owners to deposit what little money he had with them to
guarantee him exclusive use of their olive presses when the harvest was
ready. Thanes successfully negotiated low prices because the harvest was in
future and no one knew whether the harvest would be plentiful or pathetic
and because the olive press owners were willing to hedge against the
possibility of a poor yield -and these contracts were exercised some 2500
years ago!
This indicate that that derivatives are not a new concept at all, although, for
India it is still a relatively recent phenomenon.
The three modes of trade-spot transactions, forward/futures transactions
and options- have existed through the course of history, reaching the high of
sophistication in the late twentieth century. The concept of forward delivery,
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with contracts stating what is to be delivered for a fixed price at a specified
place at a specified date, existed in ancient Greece and Rome. Perhaps the
first organized commodity exchange on which forward contracts existed in
early 1700s in Japan. The first formal commodity exchange in the United
States for spot and forward trading was formed in 1848:the Chicago Board
of Trade (CBOT). Futures contracts began trading on CBOT in 1860s.The
Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was formed in 1919,though it did exist
before that date under other names. Merton Miller, one of the winners of the
1990 Nobel Prize for economics, wrote in 1986,"my nomination for the most
significant financial innovation of the last twenty years is financial futures-
the futures exchange style of trading of financial instruments."
Options also have a long history. The concept of options existed in ancient
Greece and Rome. Options were used by speculators in the tulip craze of
seventeenth century Holland. Unfortunately, there was no mechanism to
guarantee the performance of the options' terms, and when the tulip craze
collapsed in 1636,many of the speculators were wiped out. In particular, the
put writers refused to take delivery of the tulip bulbs and pay high prices
they had originally agreed to pay. Puts and calls, mostly on agricultural
commodities were traded in nineteenth century England and in the United
States.
On the basis of underlying assets, derivatives are broadly of three types:
Financial Derivatives
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Commodity Derivatives
Index Derivatives
In commodity derivatives the underlying asset is commodity like gold or
could be any other raw material whereas in case of financial derivatives, the
underlying asset is some financial instrument like equity etc. In case of
Index derivative, the value is derived from the index of securities like S & P
500 or Sensex.
Also financial risks can arise due to following:
Due to inherent risk associated with each security and systematic risk
of the whole market of securities.
Due to fluctuations in Interest rates
Due to fluctuations in Exchange rates
Thus we can have 3 types of financial derivatives for all the above 3 cases.
Equity Derivative
Interest Rate Derivative
Currency Derivative
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In the equity derivatives we can have stock index futures, stock index
options, individual stocks options and individual stock futures.
Derivative markets in India
The Past: It's been fairly long since derivative trading started off on the
Indian Indexes. Activity has failed to really take off with low figures being
transacted in terms of Value and Volumes. The punters in the capital
markets but has not really brought about a wave so as to speak hailed the
introduction of derivatives trading. There are several factors, which impede
the growth of the derivatives markets in India. Of these factors the absence
of clear guidelines on tax-related issues and the high cost of transaction is
the most prominent.
The Bombay Stock Exchange decided to introduce a new index, which would
now substitute the BSE-30 in order to boost derivatives trading. The new
Index was to be narrower and more sensitive than the 30-share Sense. The
derivatives markets are generally a very volatile market and operators in
these markets would prefer a more volatile index than the Sense. It could be
said that the interest of the operators in derivatives trading would be directly
proportional to the volatility in the underlying security which would mean
that more the volatility, more the interest. BSE's developing the new index
suits the traders in the derivatives market.
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To elaborate more on this special index it needs to be clearly stated that this
index included several technology scrips that had not found a place in the
existing index. Apart from tracing in index futures, the bourse plans to
introduce trading in other products in the derivatives segment such as the
trading in stock options and futures. The new index is to be in place by April
2001. Trading in index options would begin with 30-50 scrips. These would
include scrips in the current Sensex and also some of the scrips on the Nifty
(NSE-50).
The criteria for the selection of these scrips would be liquidity and market
capitalization. The aspect that rolling settlement has been mandated for
nearly all the actively traded stocks, speculative activity is likely to switch to
the derivatives market. The derivatives market is expected to see a spurt in
activities by the end of this fiscal. The derivatives in India need to catch up
with other major bourses the world over wherein the turnover in the
derivatives segment far exceeds the cash segment.
The BSE recently introduced limited trading membership to investors in the
derivatives segment. This would involve an entrance fee of Rs. 1 lakh.
Initiatives have been taken in terms of a nationwide training program to
disseminate information on derivatives trading. The CEO of derivatives
segment of BSE, Manoj Vaish has stated explicitly that the volume of
derivatives trading in India was currently very low compared with the cash
volumes. The introduction of the limited trading membership (LTM) would
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enable members to taste the flavor of derivatives without having to accept
the liability of paying margin money to the exchange. The liability would be
borne out by the clearing member who would act on behalf of LTM.
However, an LTM would neither be entitled to hold any office of the
exchange neither have voting rights. The exchange would charge annually
an amount of Rs. 25,000 in addition to an initial fee of Rs. 3 lakh, out of
which Rs. 2 lakh would go to the investor protection fund and the balance to
trade guarantee fund. The LTM would have all the rights and privileges of a
trading member and have to be registered. All guidelines issued by the Stock
Exchange Board of India would apply to the LTM.
Other initiatives to spruce up derivatives trading are the plan to develop a
retail debt market and also bring about the participation of the bourse in the
wholesale debt market. Players in the derivatives markets could expect to
see some changes in the future and hope that the Indian derivative markets
take off without further snags.
Changes in the Market:
What will happen to Indian Financial market, when the derivatives will be
launched, is yet to be seen, but for the market and it's time now to say good
bye to Badla and all such deferral products like ALBM and BLESS. Come July
2, 2001, the Indian bourses will be ushering into an era of options finally. In
a move, which is bound to have far reaching implications, the market
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regulator SEBI has finally decided to put a ban on Badla and all deferral
products, effective July 2, 2001. The regulator has given time till September
3, 2001 to liquidate outstanding deferred positions as of the current
settlement worth close to Rs. 2,000 crore. It has said that any additional
deferred position taken after May 15 would have to be liquidated by July 2,
and no new deferred positions will be allowed from July 2. This gives a
breathing space to the players to square up their position and is expected to
ease the selling pressure. The fact that market has sustained the upward
momentum, post-ban announcement, vindicates that belief.
The regulator has further announced that 251 scrips will be put into rolling
settlement mode. This will be in addition to the 163 scrips, which are already
in the compulsory-rolling mode. These are the scrips, which form part of the
list of scrips where Badla or ALBM was allowed. SEBI has said that all scrips,
which do not form part of this list, will be brought within the ambit of rolling
settlements from January 2, 2002. In the interim period, however, the
regulator has decided to put in place a uniform settlement cycles for stocks,
which are not in rolling mode. This cycle would run from Monday to Friday
and would be followed across all the stock exchanges. This would effectively
lead to the closing of the door on menace of inter-exchange arbitrage, which
had been outlined as one of the reasons for the recent stock market scam.
In another bold initiative towards bringing the Indian capital market at par
with the global practices, SEBI has decided to do away with the price bands
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(circuit filters) for all stocks in the rolling mode. It sounds logical to give an
adequate exit opportunity to investors once the trading period is reduced to
a single day from five days. Though the price bands would continue to be in
place for other scrips, 95 percent of all trading volumes would be exempt
from any price bands. SEBI has also decided that the global practice of
having index-based circuit filters will be introduced. It means that while their
will be no price bands on individuals stocks, the market could be frozen if
the entire index itself swings sharply. The extent of the circuit filter would be
worked out shortly.
To keep a check on another malaise, insider trading, the regulator has
approved a code of conduct and a preventive framework. The regulator has
also paved the way for launch of options trading on individual stocks, though
it has deferred the launch of futures on individual stocks.
On this front, the BSE has recently entered into an agreement with Chicago
Mercantile Exchange (CME) to adopt its "Standard Portfolio Analysis of Risk"
(SPAN) system for calculating margin requirements and managing risk.
Introduced by the CME in 1988, SPAN has become an industry-standard,
adopted by more than 30 exchanges and clearing organizations worldwide
including Tokyo Stock Exchange, Singapore Exchange and Hong Kong
Futures Exchange. SPAN was the first futures industry performance bond
system ever to calculate requirements exclusively on the basis of overall
portfolio risk. SPAN is a portfolio-based system, which comprehensively
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evaluates the impact of specified market events on futures and options
portfolios. A key element of this process is granting credit for net long option
value, and assessing additional charges for net short option value. This long
option value credits and short option value charges comprise the premium
component of the overall, or "total", performance bond calculation. The
requirement assessed upon long options positions is designed to reflect the
fact that the holder of these long options may not be able to liquidate them
at their current market value. The difference between the current value of a
given long option position and its liquidation value under a "worst case
scenario" of market movement is derived as part of the scanning risk
calculation, and serves as a haircut against the option's full value to reflect
potential liquidation losses. The BSE has said that it will adopt CME's
standard portfolio analysis of risk management to compute margin
requirements for derivative products like options and futures. The exchange
has said that this will also be used for recognizing risk offsets between the
cash and the derivatives markets.
The market appears to be divided on the issue of ban on Badla. According to
one section of the market, as Badla has been around for a long time it
should have been allowed to continue, albeit with more stringent risk
measures such as upfront payment of margins. Another view is that so long
as Badla mechanism is available derivatives will never take off, as given a
choice between Badla and other derivatives, players would opt for a
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mechanism like Badla, which they have been used to for decades. Not
withstanding such never ending debates, the fact of the matter is that, we
need a market where rules of game are different for each discipline - be it
rugby or football. And, the writing on the wall is clear - it's time to clean
one's act or be ready for extinction, which could be just a few strokes away.
Financial Derivatives in India
Informal options markets
As in other countries, informal options markets have existed in India for
centuries. Today, they go by names like teji-mandi, bhav-bhav, etc. Lacking
formal market institutions, these markets are fairly small. The anachronistic
legal prohibition upon derivatives contracts in India has also served to
impede the growth and institutionalization of these markets.
Badla
On the equity market, many observers have noted that the institution of
Badla (on the Bombay Stock Exchange) and derivatives markets are similar
insofar as they are both vehicles for leveraged trading. This fact has been
widely, and incorrectly, mutated into the notion that "Badla is an indigenous
alternative to derivatives". This fact is incorrect insofar as Badla is not
indigenous (it has existed in stock markets in London, Paris and Milan). It is
also incorrect insofar as Badla does not achieve what either futures or
options markets achieve, which is hedging risk. Hence, Badla does not
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belong in the analysis of derivatives markets in India. (Badla is now
scrapped by SEBI since July 2001)
Futures and options markets
By May 1996, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) had substantially
completed the development of systems and software required to start
trading futures and options on the NSE-50 index. The commencement of
trading on this market has been awaiting approval from SEBI since then. In
November 1996, SEBI created the twenty-member L. C. Gupta Committee in
order to draft a policy framework governing derivatives markets. As of early
December 1997, the report of this committee is awaited.
Many of the fears about equity index derivatives as "highly leveraged
instruments" are essentially misplaced on the equity market. This is because
the distorted trading practices presently used on the spot market for equity
in India involve more leverage, and much more unsafe leverage, than what
is involved in the NSE index derivatives proposal. In this sense, the attempts
at formulating a stringent regulatory apparatus to govern the index
derivatives market are somewhat misplaced, and risk stifling the market in
its formative phase. A superior approach towards regulation would have
involved an early onset of equity index derivatives, coupled by a policy
initiative to diminish the leveraged trading, which is found on the spot
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market.
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Currency derivatives
In the report on capital account convertibility, the Tarapore Committee has
recommended that a dollar-rupee futures market should augment the
existing dollar-rupee forward market, and that a currency options market
should be created. These initiatives would give improved hedging methods
through which economic agents could reduce their exposure to currency
fluctuations, and improve market quality on the dollar-rupee spot market.
Market structure
3 essential classes of players drive the markets -
Hedgers: They seek to eliminate or reduce price risk to which they are
already exposed. They provide the economic substance to any fin