renewable energy jobs in australia 2020 jobs tas profil… · 3,000 20 22 24 26 28 32 34 y tas:...

Renewable Energy Jobs in Australia 2020

Tasmania summary

June 2020

isf.uts.edu.au

Background

The first National survey of Renewable Energy

jobs in Australia

Renewable Energy Jobs in Australia | Institute for Sustainable Futures 2

Objectives

• Improve estimates and understanding of renewable energy employment

• Facilitate better workforce planning to avoid future skill shortages

• Identify opportunities for regional jobs and managing energy transition

• Fully study and methodology available from https://bit.ly/REjobs_Au

https://bit.ly/REjobs_Au

isf.uts.edu.au

Scope of study


1. All direct jobs (development, construction/installation, operation and maintenance, manufacturing)

2. Some indirect jobs are included (transport, warehousing, but not professional services, or R&D)

3. Induced jobs are not included (e.g. expenditure of construction workers in regional towns)

4. Some areas were not covered

• Renewable hydrogen

• Metals for renewable energy

• Bio-energy

• Electricity networks

• Professional services (R&D etc)

• End of life recycling, reuse and

disposal

isf.uts.edu.au

Renewable Energy Scenarios – Tasmania


AEMO scenarios from the 2020 Draft Integrated System

Plan were used for the study:

• Under the Central Scenario (i.e. BAU), there is almost

no growth in renewable capacity

• Under the Step Change scenario, installed capacity

increases to more than 6 GW by the late 2020s, driven by

hydro and wind and rooftop solar

• Under the High DER scenario, installed capacity grows

moderately to 4 GW.

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

Inst

alla

ed

Cap

acit

y (M

W)

TAS: Central Scenario

Distributed batteries Utility batteriesRooftop PV Utility SolarPumped hydro HydroWind

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

Inst

alla

ed

Cap

acit

y (M

W)

TAS: Step Change Scenario


-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

Inst

alla

ed

Cap

acit

y (M

W)

TAS: High DER Scenario


isf.uts.edu.au

How many Renewable Energy jobs?


Based on the AEMO 2020 Integrated System Plan scenarios, jobs under the Central scenario (BAU) and the High DER scenario shrink somewhat and then stay mostly steady.

In the Step Change Scenario there is a very large peak in the mid to late 2020s, when new hydro and wind schemes are under construction, and jobs remain close to double current levels.

• Under the Central Scenario (i.e. BAU), there are several hundred jobs lost, and then things plateau until the late 2020s. Jobs average 700 over the period.

• Under the Step Change scenario, there is a large peak in employment in the mid 2020s, followed by a return to about 1,500 jobs. Jobs average 1,900 over the period.

• The High DER scenario is similar to the Central scenario, with a slightly higher average of 900 over the period.

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034

TAS: Renewable Energy Jobs

Central Step Change High DER

Central 700Step Change 1,900High DER 900

AVERAGE JOB NUMBERS

isf.uts.edu.au

Where are the Renewable Jobs – capital cities vs regions?

TITLE | Institute for Sustainable Futures 6

STEP CHANGE SCENARIO, 2025

isf.uts.edu.au

Jobs growth by technology and scenario


-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


Rooftop PVUtility SolarSolar water heating

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy



-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy



-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


Pumped hydro Hydro

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


Pumped hydro Hydro

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


Pumped hydro Hydro

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


Wind

Wind repowering

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gyTAS: Central Scenario

Wind

Wind repowering

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


WindWind repowering

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy


Distributed batteries

Utility batteries

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy



Utility batteries

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

JOBS

(FTE

) by

tech

nolo

gy



Utility batteries

isf.uts.edu.au

O&M jobs make up more than three quarters of the renewable work force


• O&M jobs constitute most of the renewable jobs in Tasmanian because of the high proportion of hydro, although an increasing

number of wind farm jobs are also O&M.

• All scenarios have well around three quarters of renewable jobs in operations and maintenance. The Central scenario has the

highest percentage of O&M jobs (86%) at 2035, as so little new renewable capacity is being built. In the Step Change scenario

at 2035 O&M jobs are 76% of RE jobs, and in the High DER they are 79%.

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

JOB

S (F

TE)

by

typ

e


Manufacturing (domestic) Development and construction

Operations and maintenance

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

JOB

S (F

TE)

by

typ

e




-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

20

20

20

22

20

24

20

26

20

28

20

30

20

32

20

34

JOB

S (F

TE)

by

typ

e




isf.uts.edu.au

What are the key occupations across renewable energy (%)?

Renewable Energy Jobs in Australia | Institute for Sustainable Futures9

Note: the figures are an average for each occupation in the Step Change Scenario 2020-2035 across Australia. Some of the minor occupations have not

being included in the detailed figure.

1-in-5 renewable energy

workers are electricians

& trade assistants

3.6

5.2

5.4

3.1

2.6

4.5

3.4

2.9

2.8

2.7

0.8

13.6

2.7

1.5

1.7

4.0

3.9

1.2

1.8

1.6

4.8

6.1

2.6

0.9

3.1

1.9

1.1

EXECUTIVES & SENIOR MANAGERS

CONSTRUCTION & PROJECT MANAGERS

BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT, ADMINISTRATION & SALES MANAGERS

ELECTRICAL ENGINEERS

HEALTH, SAFETY, QUALITY & ENVIRONMENT

FINANCE, BUSINESS, LEGAL & PLANNING PROFESSIONALS

BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT, MARKETING & SALES

CIVIL MECHANICAL & SCADA ENGINEERS

ACCREDITED PV DESIGNERS

TRANPORT, LOGISTICS & PROCUREMENT

IT PROFESSIONALS

ELECTRICIANS

MECHANICAL TRADES & TECHNICIANS

CONSTRUCTION TRADES

METAL TRADES & NON-TRADES

ADMINISTRATIVE STAFF

DRIVERS

CRANE & HOIST OPERATORS

STOREPERSONS & PACKERS

EARTHMOVING & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MACHINES

SOLAR ROOFERS

ELECTRICAL TRADE ASSISTANTS

BATCH PLANT OPERATORS & CONCRETERS

STEEL FIXERS

GENERAL CONSTRUCTION LABOURERS

ASSEMBLY LABOURERS

PROCESS WORKERS

isf.uts.edu.au

New hydro and pumped hydro will require large volumes of construction workers (%)


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