reliability maintenance engineering 1 - 4 estimating reliability
DESCRIPTION
Reliability Maintenance Engineering Day 1 session 4 Estimating Reliability Three day live course focused on reliability engineering for maintenance programs. Introductory material and discussion ranging from basic tools and techniques for data analysis to considerations when building or improving a program.TRANSCRIPT
Reliability Engineering
Fred [email protected]
USING FIELD AND TEST DATA TO ESTIMATE RELIABILITY
Day 1 Session 4
Objectives
• Discussing reliability data types• Considering complete and censored data• Analyzing trend plotting, 80-20 plots and
statistical plots• Drawing a best-fit regression line with Weibull• Recording data related to reliability
performance• Providing continuity in data collection systems
Reliability Data Types
• CMMS data
• Process data
• Life data
• Time to Failure data
Reliability Data Types
• Pass/Fail data• Attribute data
• Time or cycles to failure• Variables data
• Start and stop definitions
Reliability Data Types
• Complete data– All units have failed
• Censored data– Right censored – not all
have failed yet– Left censored – not sure
when some started– Interval censored – not
sure when failure occurred between inspections.
Reliability Data Types
• Non-repairable data
All start at time zero
Reliability Data Types
• repairable data
All start at time zero
Discussion & Questions
Trend Plotting
Advantages• Easy
• Visual
• Actual data
Disadvantages• Difficult to see changes
• Lagging indicator
• May require adjustments for scheduled downtime
80 – 20 or Pareto plotting
Advantages• Easy
• Visual
• Prioritization build in
Disadvantages• Difficult to see changes over
time
• Doesn’t include costs impact
Coun
t or F
requ
ency
Life Data CDF
Advantages• Accounts for all data
• Visual
• Easy to read
Disadvantages• Difficult to see changes
• Requires probability paper or software
• Requires time to failure data
CDF – Cumulative Distribution Function -
MCF plotting
Advantages• Very Easy to create
• Easy to see patterns
Disadvantages• Difficult to summarize
• Requires more than two failures/repairs per equipment
• Doesn’t account for scheduled downtime or extended repairs
MCF – Mean Cumulative Function
Wayne Nelson, Graphical Analysis of Repair Data
Discussion & Questions
Weibull Plotting with Weibull++
• Data preparation• Basic algorithm• Censored data handing
• For more details• www.weibul.com
Reading a Weibull CDF Plot
MCF plotting
• Data Preparation• Basic algorithm
• For more information• Trindade paper, book,
Nelsons paper, book
Reading an MCF plot
Discussion & Questions
Plot labeling
• Title• Data source• Data timeframe
• Axis labels and units
Report Data
• Regular reports
• Project reports
• Analysis reports
• Recommendation reports
Comparisons over time
• Break up data by time– Before/after change– Before/after experiment– Before/after overhaul
• Labels• Show magnitude of
impact clearly, if any.
Data collection over time
• Vendor data• Installation• Maintenance• Decommissioning
Discussion & Questions
Summary
• Discussing reliability data types
• Considering complete and censored data
• Analyzing trend plotting, 80-20 plots and statistical plots
• Drawing a best-fit regression line with Weibull
• Recording data related to reliability performance
• Providing continuity in data collection systems
Using field and test data to estimate reliability