relative impact of supply chain on revenue and cost
TRANSCRIPT
www.theinternationaljournal.org > RJSSM: Volume: 05, Number: 09, January 2016 Page 113
Relative Impact of Supply Chain on Revenue and Cost: Evidence from the Indian
Telecom Sector
Vijay Arora
Research Scholar, Faculty of Management Studies,
Manav Rachna International University, Faridabad, India
&
Suresh Bedi
Dean – FCBS and Director, IQAC
Manav Rachna International University, Faridabad, India
ABSTRACT
Telecom sector plays a crucial role in infrastructure development of a country and its economy. The
study was set out to review supply chain of telecom sector and its impact of revenue or cost of
organisation of the sector. The study has sought to review the current supply chain dynamics of Indian
telecom industry and to identify key factors of telecom industry’s supply chain and their relationship
with either revenue or cost of organisation. Further on study has sought to establish that supply chain
management impacts not only cost but revenue also equally in fact more than the cost in telecom
sector. The study propose to establish linkages of supply chain operations with financial performance
parameters of revenue and cost for organisation of the sector so that relationship equation can be
established by individual organisation and performance can be improved. Once linkages are clearly
established in organisation, it helps organisation to align supply chain strategies with overall business
strategy of organisation and help organisation to be agile by bringing flexibility in supply chain.
Keywords:India, Telecom Sector, Supply Chain, Revenue, Cost, Impact
1. India’s Telecom Sector: A Brief Overview
India today is the foremost focal point for global economies. According to Bertelsmann Foundation
and the Centre for applied research, Munich, Germany Transformation Index (BTI) Rankings of 2014,
India was ranked 26th and China 84th in terms of economic and political transformation.(Bertelsmann
Stiftung, 2014)The Indian telecom sector contributed significantly to the growth of the Indian
economy. Success story of telecom in India has got only few parallels in the world. With just about
5.07 million connections in 1991, when liberalisation started, it has grown to be the world’s second
largest network with a subscriber base of 938 million in July 2014.(Telecom Regulatory Authority of
India, 2010)(Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2014)The telecom subscriber’s base touched one
billion in mid of year 2015.(Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2015)The total number of mobile
subscriptions in India is expected to increase to approximately 1.4 billion by 2020, covering almost the
entire population.
Figure 1-1 Number of Wireless Subscribers
In million
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Source: COAI, TRAI Multiple reports
Table 1-1 Number of active wireless subscribers, 2009-15
In million
Source: COAI, TRAI Multiple reports
Out of total telecom subscriber base of 1009.31 million subscribers, 98 per cent that is 983.21
million subscribers are mobile subscribers and only 2 per cent that is 26.10 million subscribers are on
wire line technology. Out of these 983.21 million mobile subscribers,a healthy 90 per cent that is
885.50 subscribers are active subscribers. (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2015) India grew
the most in terms of mobile subscribers, with 26 million net additions in first quarter of 2015, followed
by China (+8 million), Myanmar (+5 million), Indonesia (+4 million), and Japan (+4
million).(Ericsson, Sweden, June, 2015) As a result of the policy and regulatory initiatives over the
years, the growth of subscribers connected to the Indian telecommunications network has seen a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44.66 per cent over last five years. (Telecom Regulatory
Authority of India, 2011)With the introduction of upgraded technologies like third generation (3G) and
fourth generation (4G / LTE) in the near future, the data consumption is likely to multiply manifold.
The prospects of continued aggressive growth and availability of a big pool of skilled manpower hold
immense potential for the sector. Telecom sector offers significant opportunities in the growth of a
nation by contributing to its GDP, job opportunities to nationals, infrastructure growth, investments
and consequential growth of other contributory sectors such as information technology, services and
financial sectors. The sector helps not only in the growth of any economy directly but also in terms of
availability of good telecom infrastructure for other important sectors such as banking, education,
medical, travel, and engineering. That way, it results in further growth of nation creating ripple
effects.(Arora & Bedi, 2015)
Figure 1-2 Direct Contribution to Global GDP from Mobile Ecosystem, 2013
In Billion US Dollars
Source: (GSMA Intelligence, 2014)
As per global trends as well, mobile ecosystem world over contributes one to two per cent of GDP
directly and approximately value for the same in year 2013 was that of 870 billion US Dollars.
Approximate 77 per cent of contribution for the same that is 672 billion US Dollars coming from
mobile network operators followed by wireless handset devices manufacturers, distributors and
retailers of mobile devices, mobile content and service application providers.
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Figure 1-3 Total Mobile Contribution to GDP, 2013-20
In Billion US Dollars
Source: (GSMA Intelligence, 2014)
Contribution to GDP is further higher to three to four per cent if one considers gross contribution.
As per GSMA intelligence, contribution to productivity increase and general economy was 1325 and
174 billion US Dollars respectively making total gross contribution from telecom sector to 2367 billion
US Dollars for year 2013. Further on it is estimated that gross contribution from mobile ecosystem to
GDP is likely to increase to approximately five percent of GDP by year 2020. (GSMA Intelligence,
2014)
Industry had provided implements or applications resulting into efficient processes which earlier
would have taken days or weeks. Industry is now expanding its wings into another industries such as
software development, content driven industries like music, movies, media, gaming, banking,
education, and health sector. The influence that the telecom industry has had on the Indian economy
and day-to-day life in general is echoed in the astonishing spread of telecom technology around the
country. According to a recent study Indian smart phone users now spend 191 minutes per day on
smart phones compared to 128 minutes watching TV. (Ericsson Consumer Lab, 2014) According to a
Telecom Regulatory Authority report there were 904.51 million wireless telecom subscribers in the
country in March’2014. (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2014)
Universality of telecom has had a deep influence on human lives and organisations. In addition to
flexibility of speaking to everyone from any location worldwide, wireless phones / devices have
produced new opportunities for consumer to explore data in form of media news, games, and
subscription of books, magazines, utilities, music, and movies. Organisations have been able to
restructure their ways of working due to better communication facilities like video conferencing and
cloud computing. These have resulted into major cost saving to companies in form of reduced travel
cost, reduce system hardware cost and reduced infrastructure availability due to flexibility of working
from anywhere. Telecom sector is playing a key role in economic and social development of the
country in fact aiding to human social connects through availability of social applications like
Facebook, WhatsApp any time anywhere. Mobile money, mobile health, electronic learning and
mobile education are few other applications being worked on the base of telecom sector resulting into
access to money and health consultation to remotest part of country and effective, economical
education edges of any of the global field of education. The web based age has also facilitated an
unrestricted and quick data availability resulting in effective usage of resources hence improves the
profitability of organisations. In order to meet the consumer or organisation’s requirement for the
output from above said functions it is must that telecom sector is supported by its infrastructure of
networks, hardware/software environments and regulatory guidelines. If the infrastructure of sector is
managed properly than only it can manage industry dynamics.
Indian telecom industry, though being 165 year old, was under government ownership until
1984. Post 1984 private sector was allowed entry in telecom equipment manufacturing. Until 1990 the
Government of India held a monopoly on all types of communication because being driven by pre
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independence Telegraph act of 1885. Post liberalisation era (1990-99) Indian telecom market is one of
the most liberalised markets in the world with private participation in all segments. Growth in the
sector was further spearheaded with announcement of new telecom policy (NTP 1994 and NTP 1999)
and with formation of Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI-1997).Post 2000, Bharat Sanchar
Nigam Limited was established and Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited was privatised (2002). With
launch of mobile telephony 2002 onwards there was no look back for this sector and growth was
fuelled further with increase in limit of foreign direct investment (FDI) to 74 per cent in year 2005.
(Arora & Bedi, 2015)Technically telecom sector in India initially started with wire line technologies
but over a period of time wireless technologies surpassed wire line technologies and at present
subscribers on wireless technologies represent 98 percent of the industry hence for current study focus
is kept on wireless subscribers and associated organisations as it represents majority section of the
sector. (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2015)
Figure 1-4 Major Phases of Growth of Indian Telecom industry
SourceD & B Research, Overview of Indian Telecom Sector, Retrieved July 24, 2014, from
https://www.dnb.co.in/IndianTelecomIndustry/OverviewTI.asp
Figure 1-5Tele-density Growth, 2008-15
In Percent
Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India,Annual Report, 2012-13
Globalisation and progressive regulatory regime resulted into development of telecom sector
and sector became an integral part of Indian economy’s infrastructure. The sector observed a minimal
drop in the number of subscribers during the year 2012-13.(Telecom Regulatory Authority of India,
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2013) The tele-density at the end July 2015 reached to the mark of 80.09 as compared to 78.66 at the
end of year 2012 recording a decrease from 2012 to 13 and then regaining. The trend of tele-density
since March 2008 is as shown below.
Figure 1-6Indian Telecom Sector Revenue (YOY), 2006-2014
In Billion US Dollars
Source: Telecom Regulatory Authority of India,Mutiple reports
As per TRAI data, total gross revenue of Indian telecom sector after adjustment of intra
operator interconnection charges, increased from34.6 billion dollars in 2012-13 to 36.6 billiondollars
in 2013-14, showing agrowth of 5.69% over the previous year. Revenue for corresponding period in
2011-12 was 31 billion dollarsand 2012-13 revenue of34.6 billion US dollarsrecorded a growth of 8.68
per cent.Because of unprecedented growth in mobile telephony, the number of mobile subscribers
grew at unbelievable growth rate from ten million in 2002 to 1002 million in 2015. The telephone
density was a meagre 0.8 per cent in 1991 but now stands at a respectable 80 per cent with urban and
rural tele-density of 151 per cent and 48 per cent respectively.(Telecom Regulatory Authority of India,
2011)(Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2015)The growth has so far breached several targets set
by the government and continues unabated. The target of tele-density of seven per cent by 2005 and 15
per cent by the year 2010 set in New Telecom Policy 1999 was achieved in 2004 and 2007
respectively and the target of 600 million connections set by the planning commission for the end of
eleventh five-year plan(2007-12) was achieved in February 2010.
As the growth continues, the number of connections crossed the one billion mark in mid of
2015. More than 40 per cent of the current monthly addition over 18 million customers are in rural
areas. This growth will not be only in terms traditional voice or broadband connections. With multiple
research and design activities being made in machine to machine communication, cloud computing,
tracking , and positioning, controlling devices and processes, smart meters, smart grids and smart cities
the number of connected devices and human being together is going to exceed all estimates. This
growth in the sector will predominantly be spearheaded by the growing affordability of handsets,
dongles and services. Second generation (2G- Global System for Mobile Communication- GSM)
subscriber base is estimated to be its highest in 2015 and with third generation (3G) services picking
up now subscribers shall migrate from 2G. Third generation (3G-Wideband Code Division
Multiplexing Access WCDMA/HSPA)subscriber base is anticipated to develop from over 120 million
in 2014 to around 620 million by 2020, resulting into 45 per cent subscribers on 3G. Long term
evolution (LTE) subscriber base is anticipated to be around 230 million by 2020 which will be
approximate 17 per cent of the total subscriber base. Technically at present 2G technology currently
covers 95 percent of country’s population that means 95 per cent of nationals can subscribe to 2G
making it the technology with the broadest spread in India. On another hand 3G covered more than 35
percent of the Indian population by the end of 2014, and is anticipated to spread to approximately 90
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percent by the end of 2020. Furthermore, about 40 percent of the population will be covered by LTE
technology by 2020. (Ericsson, Sweden, June, 2015)
Demographically smart phone users in age group 50 years or above rose four times from a
small number in 2013 to 2015. In the same tenure users in 31-40 years age group rose to three times.
Smart phone subscribers users are spending more than three hours a day on their smart phones and 25
percent of them check their phones over 100 times a day. Approximately 30 per cent of this time is
spent on applications like chat, social media, and gaming. 65 per cent of mobile broadband smart
phone subscribers in India give inclination to video streaming for downloading videos. Lower costs of
smart phones are driving the overall uptake of mobile data services in India. The number of smart
phone subscribers is anticipated to touch 750 million by 2020, which in 2014 stood at 130 million.
With this upsurge in number of smart phone subscribers’ data usage is expected to grow approximately
18 times of current levels. This upsurge in data is expected from applications such as video streaming,
social networking, banking and financial transactions. (Ericsson, Sweden, June, 2015)
Major challenges which are being faced by the telecom industry are downward trend in
subscriber growth, network re-engineering, ways to maximise return on capital, data explosion leading
to growth in services, tough regulatory environment, and huge electronic waste generation. Subscriber
growth rate is already down Though sector recovered from its worst ever phase in 2012-13 but
subscribers’ growth trend is certainly going to reduce as soon as market is going to be mature
further.With spectrum becoming a costly and scarce resource, every operator had to relook into their
network design so that they can leverage opportunities to deliver better quality at low cost. In order to
maximise return on capital, industry need to go ahead with project with good return of capital and
balance with low return of capital had to wait.With influx of smart phones and new technologies
surrounding data usage, data growth is clearly visible and expects a data explosion in next five years.
Industry especially operators have to refocus their efforts on engaging customers through services and
experience. With sudden growth in this evolving industry marred by multiple scams regulator is forced
to impose tough regulatory norms forcing stake holder to have a cautious approach. Operators who all
started their operations in 2004-05, need to renew their network because there is need to upgrade
technology to milk existing network which will result into huge amount of electronic scrap getting
generated. This shall certainly leave an impact on environment if not disposed properly.As evident
from present status telecom industry is going through changing time where in on one side revenue is
under constraint and on another side cost is on upward side because of requirement of modernisation
of network to cater to new technologies.
Recent downsizing of most telecom companies signify continued headwinds being faced by the
challenges in the Indian telecom market. Few MNCs like DoCoMo, Sistema even reduced or diluted
their stakes in Indian venture. With huge investments required by operators towards renewal of
network to cater to data services the consolidation process is expected to accelerate so that mounting
debts in industry can be controlled. After reviewing challenges, it is quite clear that telecom industry is
going through tough phase.
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Figure 1-7Swelling Debts in Indian Telecom Sector
In Billion US Dollars
Source: COAI, company reports, PWC
The industry’s total debt was up 200 per cent from 13.8 billion US dollars in 2008-09 to 41.7
billion US dollars in 2012-13. (COAI, Internet reading, Company reports) With the additional capex
required to cater to above mentioned challenges capital intensive projects need to be undertaken by
organisations in sector which will further add debts to already huge debt and it is estimated that owing
to recent spectrum auctions and cost coming from modernisation efforts debt for 2014-15 is 58.3
billion US dollars. Industry is at risk to become a low profit business and with average revenue per unit
(ARPU) under downward trend margins are stretched. From opportunity perspective there is enormous
opportunity for growth in the spread of telecom infrastructure and provision of services and the past
rapid growth resulted into some processes in supply chains which are modest as sector was prima facie
revenue centric. Need is felt that immediate steps must be taken to repair the situation and optimise
these processes so that costs can be optimised. To overcome these challenges impacting costs, cost
management is a key which industry has to adopt. Owing to these challenges very nature of telecom
sector is having the threat of risk absorbed in it. Need is felt that it is high time that cost needs to be
optimised to manage the risk getting generated through these challenges.
2. Supply Chain Scenario of Indian Telecom Sector
The telecom industry development has been one of the most remarkable development stories in Indian
history. Telecom sector in India and supply chain management as a concept started almost same time
that is around twenty years back. To start with country was not having any much of technical insights
into aspects of telecom networks which put dependence on oversees players for built up and
maintenance of telecom networks. Strong partnerships emerged between global suppliers and Indian
telecom service providers with opening of this sector to private sectors. In these partnerships, global
equipment suppliers were given contracts for equipment supplies as well as helped in designing and
managing operations of networks of telecom service providers. This gave rise to import of most of
equipment from overseas. Because of sudden growth in telecom industry and pressure being on
revenues, sales modelling, network growth and expansion across multiple technologies, supply chain
management function remained as a supporting function and industry could not enjoy the fruits of
optimisation of supply chain management which other industries such as automobile industries easily
did. For management of risk in telecom sector, supply chain has to play a major role in synchronising
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the processes to boost organisational performances. Core purpose of this study is to find out whether
impact of supply chain in telecom sector is more on cost or on revenue so that organisations in sector
can drive their strategies accordingly.
In Indian telecom sector, mix of supply chains categories are visible such as outsourced,
financial oriented and market oriented. We have seen some unique supply chain models getting
developed where in supplier is paid for supplied equipment throughout life cycle of product that means
payment for deliveries do not happen on supply but also during course of operations. Success of any
company in supply chain fields depends on meeting principle of five R that means supply chain
success depends upon planning and facilitating: (Kulkarni & Sharma, 2010)
a. movement of Right thing
b. at the Right time
c. at the Right place
d. at the Right cost
e. In the Right quantity
Key factors which every organisation need to possess so that supply chain of any organisation
can be successful are Infrastructure flexibility, customer / stake holders’ co-operation, optimised
network structure, identification / codification system, consideration of geographical constraints,
process capability, logistics economics, and co-ordination among stake holders.
The telecommunications supply chain begins with sourcing of components like semiconductor
chips and software. These components are incorporated into equipment purchased by service
providers. The service providers then use the equipment to build networks and provider service to the
end users. The telecommunications industry is enabled by a complex supply chain that includes:(Arora
& Bedi, 2015)
a. Service Provider / Network operators who provides telecom services such as Aircel,
Airtel, Idea, Vodafone, Videocon, Loop, Spice, Reliance Communications, HFCL, Tata
Tele, Telewings, Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL), Mahanagar Telecom Nigam
Limited (MTNL) and Sistema Shyam Telecom. Overall, in India there are total 22 telecom
circles and each circle has presence of three to four service providers.
b. Equipment suppliers: The telecom equipment market in India is presently led by offshore
companies such as Nokia Solutions, Ericsson, Alcatel-Lucent, ZTE, LG Electronics,
Samsung, and Huawei which have set up their production facilities in the country over the
past decade. Few of the Indian companies such as ITI, Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL),
Shyam Telecom, Tejas Network, Coral Telecom, Realtime System, and Zen had set up their
production unit in India.
c. Component suppliers: Most of electronic modules’ suppliers are foreign supplier such as
Free-scale, ST Electronics, Intel, Flextronics, Harris Stratex, Marconi, and Volex, who
caters to global telecom and electronics customers. With present telecom market upsurge
globally order books of these component suppliers are overbooked and customer who
forecast timely or pay premium gets maximum supplies. Due to economical and
technology transfer policies in India, country is still struggling to make in India rather than
concentrating on Indian products. Though few of these companies have outsourced design
services of components or semiconductors to software services companies in India but
impact of using these designing teams contributing to increase design and manufacturing
capabilities in country is yet to be seen. Other than these suppliers, few suppliers with
manufacturing facilities in India are Commscope, Jabil, ADC Krone, Delta, Sterlite,
Amphenol and Agilient. Indian suppliers who have products of 100 per cent Indian origin
are very few in number but there are few who are in low value addition cases manufactures
as per imported technologies these are such as Shilpi cables, Surabhi Telecom and they
supply mostly passive components.
d. Service providers for contract servicing, Logistics, warehousing:Telecom equipment
installation, operations and maintenance services for this equipment are being done by
telecom gear providers who engage their service partners to provide these services.
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Similarly, tower infrastructure providers construct, operate and maintain telecom towers
either directly or through multiple service providers.
e. Infrastructure Providers:Telecom towers facilitate telecom network spread to end users
and there are approximately 500,000+ towers which provides network to more than 90 per
cent of the country’s land area. Tower industry was separated from the telecom network
services sector to get the status of infra-structure industry which gave benefits to telecom
network services providers such as enhanced return on capital investment, quicker access to
market, effective proficiencies and revenue growth. Most of these tower company providers
deal in passive components and assemblies hence indigenisation level is comparatively
higher than active components.
f. Recyclers:Telecom network equipment consists of huge amount of electronic equipment
and most of this equipment has a life not greater than ten years hence need to be upgraded
and replaced with new technologies every ten years or earlier. This results in generation of
enormous volume of electronic scrap. In absence of eco-friendly disposal of scrap these
electronic scrap can create havoc in environment however, country that has limited
recyclers who can recycle this scrap in eco-friendly manner thus bulk of scrap lands in open
market impacting the environment.
In addition to these players’ telecom software providers such as Tech Mahindra, TCS, IBM,
Microsoft, Oracle, Wipro, and Infosys, in value chain who deliver basic telecom software along with
charging solutions.
2.1 Relationship Matrix in Supply Chain of Telecom Sector
The telecommunications supply chain originates with sourcing of components like
semiconductor chips and software. Components supplied by components’ suppliers (C1-C6) are
incorporated into telecom equipment manufactured and supplied by equipment vendors (E1-E4)
purchased by telecom service providers (NO 1). In present time of telecom market upsurge globally,
order books of these component and equipment suppliers are over booked and customer who forecasts
timely or pay premium gets maximum supplies. The telecom service providers then use this equipment
to build new networks with the services of installation, infrastructure and logistics service providers
(S1-S3). Telecom service providers provide services to the end users and charge them with the services
of billing software providers. In the course of provision of services to end users telecom service
providers takes services of equipment, infrastructure and logistics service providers for maintaining
their existing network. (Arora & Bedi, 2015)
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Figure 2-1 Supply Chain Relationship Matrix With in Telecom Sector
Source:Arora, V. & Bedi, S., 2015. Forecasting and Supply Chain Performance:A Study of Telecom
Sector in India. The International Journal Of Business & Management, April, 3(4), pp. 200-209
2.2 Prevailing Scenario:
India is able to drive innovation when it comes to software services in the telecom space but the
results are not encouraging when it comes to developing telecom equipment. To become an important
player in the global telecom space India need to create a synergetic telecom ecosystem and build
globally competitive supply chain. For management of risk in telecom sector, supply chain has to play
a major role in synchronising processes to boost organisational performances. Supply chain
performance impacts the organisation’s performance as it relates to its ability to deliver goods and
services in the precise quantities and at the precise times required by customers.(Green Jr, et al., 2008)
Bowersox et al. incorporate performance metrics such as customer satisfaction, delivery speed,
delivery dependability, and delivery flexibility. (Bowersox, et al., 2000)Marketing performance
reflects the organisation’s ability to increase sales and expand market share as compared to its
competition.(Green & Inman, 2005) Financial performance reflects an organisation’s profitability and
return on investment as compared to its competition.(Claycomb, et al., 1999)(Green, et al.,
2004)Therefore, it is necessary that supply chain of telecom sector is analysed and studied so that its
impact factors can be concentrated and worked upon. Also not much study had been done on supply
chain management of telecom industry so it becomes important to study this relationship. This study
aims to verify various factors of supply chain impacting revenue and cost on organisation level in
telecom sector to understand whether supply chain management has more impact on cost rather than
revenue of company in telecom sector.
Very fewarticleshave been published in the recent past in reputed journals which have
relationship withthe proposed research work. For examplestudy from Ajay Talwar(2009) was one of
the studies which tried to study supply chain of cellular phone industry in India (Talwar, 2009)and
further on studies carried out by department of telecom, Government of India along with few partners
like KPMG and FICCI have provided a strongbase for this present research work.(KPMG and FICCI
with Department of Telecom (DOT) and others, 2010)
Most of the performance measures called "supply chain metrics" are nothing more than logistics
measures that have an internal focus and do not capture how the firm drives value or profitability in the
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supply chain. These measures may actually prove to be dysfunctional by attempting to optimize the
performance of individual functions at the expense the firm's overall performance and the performance
of the other firms in the supply chain, an approach that eventually decreases the value and
competitiveness of the supply chain.A well-crafted system of supply chain metrics can increase the
chances for success by aligning processes across multiple firms, targeting the most profitable market
segments, and obtaining a competitive advantage through differentiated services and lower costs.
Inappropriate metrics, on the other hand, will result in failure to meet end customer expectations, sub-
optimisation of departmental or company performance, missed opportunities to outperform the
competition, and conflict within the supply chain.(Lambert, 2014)There is need to provide a
framework for developing supply chain metrics that translates performance into shareholder value. The
framework focuses on managing the interfacing customer relationship management and supplier
relationship management processes at each link in the supply chain. The translation of process
improvements into supplier and customer profitability provides a method for developing metrics that
identify opportunities for improved profitability and aligning objectives across the firms in the supply
chain. By understanding the profitability at each link, management, over time, can make decisions that
maximize performance for the supply chain.
Department of telecom came up with its mission to promote research and development and
product developments in cutting edge technologies and services for domestic and worldwide markets,
promote development of new standards and generate IPRs to make India a leading nation in the area of
telecom standardisation and to make India a global hub, for telecom services and telecom equipment
manufacturing. (Department of Telecommunication, Ministry of Communications and IT,
Government of India, 2010) This challenge to manufacturing is identified by government by studies
carried out by Telecom authority of India (TRAI) (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2011) for
encouraging the manufacturing of telecom imports in India and it came out with recommendations to
enhance telecom equipment manufacturing in India. (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India, 2010)
Telecom Regulatory Authority of India through its consultation paper for encouraging telecom
equipment manufacturing in India identified the following measures for sourcing of inputs to be taken
by the stakeholders during the pre-consultation exercise: (Telecom Regulatory Authority of India,
2010)
a. Indigenous manufacturing facilities for electronic components, chips should be established to
have a strong component base.
b. Research and development units that are capable of developing integrated circuits and owning
their own intellectual property rights should be encouraged by declaring their product as
indigenous for policy purposes even if the integrated circuits are fabricated abroad. This will
lead to establishing a strong market presence and the setting up of commercially viable
fabrication facilities.
c. Duties on inputs to the component industry also need to be rationalized.
d. India must strive for 75-80 per cent component sourcing within the country, either through
existing companies or bringing in companies who have been partnering with vendors and EMS
players abroad.
e. The Government needs to promote supply chain development in major manufacturing hubs.
This will lead to cost advantages as well as help the manufacturing process with easy
availability of components.
f. Setting of Electronic Manufacturing Service (EMS) companies should be incentivised.
g. Further, capability and strength of making indigenous VLSIs, providing telecom & embedded
solutions require full exploitation of the country’s infrastructure and export market. In view of
this, indigenous manufacturing of electronic components should be encouraged to have a strong
component base to eliminate delays in product ionisation process on account of component
procurement. Duties on inputs to the component industry should be made zero under deemed
export status.
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Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry mentioned in their content profile on
telecom sector that an attractive trade and investment policy and lucrative incentives for foreign
collaborations have made India one of the world’s most attractive markets for the telecom equipment
suppliers and service providers. Few such constructive policies are:(FICCI, 2012)
a. No industrial license is required for setting up manufacturing units for telecom equipment.
b. 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) is allowed through automatic route for manufacturing
of telecom equipment.
c. Payments for royalty, lump sum fee for transfer of technology and payments for use of
trademark/brand name on the automatic route.
d. Foreign equity of 74% (49 % under automatic route) is permitted for telecom services - basic,
cellular mobile, paging, value added services, NLD, ILD, ISPs - and global mobile personal
communications by satellite.
e. Full reparability of dividend income and capital invested in the telecom sector.
However in the euphoria of high growth in services, the equipment manufacturing received least
priority. India mainly depends on imported components from China or European countries. Of late, it
is realized that lack of domestic manufacturing may pose a serious challenge to India’s continued
success in the telecom sector. The manufacturing segment is dominated by foreign firms and Indian
companies occupy only a small space in the total domestic manufacturing base. Though there is a
sizeable demand for telecom equipment which is also growing, supply is largely met through imports
from China and Europe. (Chattopadhyay, 2013)
In spite of efforts through consultation papers and strategic plans for increasing Indian products
from Department of Telecom, results are not encouraging and still major portion of huge telecom
equipment demand is getting imported or being manufactured by global suppliers resulting in drainage
of foreign exchange out of shores of country resulting in non-realisation of significant benefits from
Indian market to country’s own economy. Non-availability of Indian products, quality of Indian
products, lucrative financial deals, lead time, price advantage, international commitment / obligations,
aggressive business scenario, ease of installation, after sale service and warranty policies, and
regulatory scenario contributed to non-consideration of business case by Indian suppliers. Considering
this, a concentrated effort need to be put in by public and private sector including technical research
institutions so that development efforts are directed towards future technologies like 5G for network
equipment and 4G and 5G for end user equipment which are expected to be launched in next couple of
years. Moreover, this process of reviewing the manufacturing scenario has to be dynamic because
environment is not sacrosanct and challenges keep on changing on daily basis. Study concluded that
opportunity exists for Indian suppliers and technical institutions to develop Indian product which can
fulfil the need of future technologies and country’s outflow of foreign exchange can be
curtailed.(Arora & Bedi, 2015)
Jayashankar M. Swaminathan in Managing supply chain operations in India: Pitfalls and
Opportunities concluded that supply chain management is challenging even when operating in a
developed economy such as the US. It gets even more challenging in an emerging economy like India.
It is particularly difficult for multinational firms that may have a successful strategy in their home
country that try to utilize the same approaches in India. One of the major challenges of operating a
supply chain in India is the under developed infra-structure for transportation, power and water.
(Jayshankar, 2006)
Mohanty and Dabade in their paper on Prime factors of Vendor Selection for Indian Telecom
Service Provider for effective SCM brought forward thought of Swaminathan in Indian context and
viewed that the procurement (either product or service) is quite cumbersome unlike the developed
economy. Hence to select a vendor or to outsource a service a company has to consider and evaluate
many parameters which sometimes overlap and make the process confusing. Study brought forward
four prime factors from 15 variablesfor vendor selection of Indian telecommunication service provider
as perceived by the procurement authorities of Indian telecommunication service providers(Mohanty &
Dabade, 2013)
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3. The RelativeImpact of Supply Chain on Revenue and Cost
Most of organizations concentrate on financial performance while measuring organisational
performance and organisations chase financial results surrounding their revenue and cost to review the
health of their processes. Not much information is available from secondary sources to prove the
impact of supply chain management on organisational performance in telecom sector’s set up in India.
The proposed study is built upon the information collected from the primary sources and it uses
secondary information wherever available. The primary data will be collected from the structured
questionnaires.This study is based on sample data collected from senior executives working in leading
telecom service providers and equipment vendors. Respondents are associated with all major telecom
network providers and equipment vendors in their supply chain, project deployment, planning and
sales function hence, representing a sizeable portion of the sector’s value chain. Out of initial
population frame, 189 senior executives were identified to take out primary data collection,
Questionnaire could be sent to 146 executives who could be contacted. 74 executive responded in a
period of eight months between Janurary’2015 to August’2015 to this survey after a lot of follow-up
with a response rate of approximate 50 per cent. Out of 74 respondents, 43 respondents are veterans of
telecom sector having experience of greater than or equal to 15 years in telecom sectors in multiple
roles. 22 respondents are having experience of seven to fifteen years in telecom sector and balance
nine respondents are having experience less than seven years in telecom sector.
Supply chain impacts financial performance of any organisation but in order to study that
whether supply chain impacts cost more that revenue hypothesis is set which is, supply chain
management has more impact on cost rather than revenue of company. In order to understand
respondents view point on impact of supply chain on revenue or cost of any telecom organisation,
survey question was broken into ten sub-factors marked as consequential damages being faced in
organisation due to gaps in process of supply chain management. Out of ten sub-factors loss in
revenue, loss in market share, brand value damage, lost opportunity to win over competition and
goodwill lost relates to revenue directly. Increased rework cost, loss of anticipated cost saving,
increased scrap cost, premium freight payment, and higher inventories contribute to cost performance
of organisation directly.
Table 3-1 Chi Square Test for Supply Chain Impact on Revenue or Cost
Chi square test resulted in p value < 0.5 for all these cases, hence it is confirmed that relationship
exist between these impacts and supply chain practices.During Kruskal Wallis test, calculated value of
the Kruskal-Wallis test (H) is less than the critical chi-square value, hence the null hypothesis for test
cannot be rejected that means statistically three categories of respondents have same distribution of the
response.Paired Mann Whitney test between veteran and young, shows significance factor greater than
0.05 that means there is no major difference in ranking of categories of respondents
Table 3-2 Kruskal Wallis Test for Significance for Impact of Supply Chain
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Table 3-3 Mann- Whitney Test for Significance for Impact of Supply Chain
Source: Survey data
Respondents rank these sub-factors based on their experience in the telecom sector and
consolidated rating is reviewed with weighted average score of each factor. Weighted average score
achieved due to these ranking are tabulated in table 4-28 below:
a. Loss in Revenue:
Loss in revenue came out as most important factor getting impacted by supply chain processes of
any organisation as 52 per cent of respondents rank it in first three ranks. Almost 65 per cent feel that it
is one of the top six important consequential damages due to telecom sector supply chain. Overall
these factors carries weighted score of 7.36 and mean score of 7.37. Revenue loss can happen for any
organisation due to stock-outs resulting from non-availability of real-time insight into available
inventory, not forecasting customer demand, too high reaction time or lead time of situation or
product, unbalance of inventories, challenge in visibility of procure to cash cycle, and challenges in
material requirement planning. All these challenges result into un-fulfilment or partial fulfilment of
customer orders impacting revenue directly.
Table 3-4 Supply Chain Impact on Revenue or Cost
b. Loss in Market Share:
Post loss in revenue, loss in market share came out as most important factor as 53 per cent of
respondents rank it as number first four factors / constituents which are getting impacted due to
practices of supply chain in telecom sector and almost 60 per cent feel that it is one of the top six
important factors / constituents which are getting impacted due to practices of supply chain in telecom
sector. Overall losses in market share gets weighted average score of 6.94 and mean score of 6.99.
Market share can be lost by organisations when competitors are able to grab major chunk of pie of
business due to characteristics such as leaner processes in their supply chain strategy and operations,
reaction strategies to risks, and their approaches. This loss in market share contributes to revenue of
any organisation directly hence this is the second factor in top two impacting revenue.
c. Increased Rework Cost:
Ranked third is increased rework cost that means to repair or rework the scenario or product
once it has gone wrong due to shortcomings in supply chain. 64 per cent of respondents rank it
between rank two to rank six as they feel that after revenue and market share loss, rework cost is
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getting impacted by supply chain practices the most and almost 70 per cent feel that it is one of the top
six important factor impacted by supply chain practices. Overall increased rework cost get weighted
average score of 6.70 and mean score of 6.73. Rework is required to be done by organisation in
situations where in either wrong product or wrong quality product or even right product is delivered at
wrong address or at wrong time. What so ever be the reason of rework end result to the organisation
remains same which is wasted time and money and sometimes loss of business even.
Table 3-5Empirics of the Impact of Supply Chain
d. Loss of Anticipated Cost Saving:
Loss of anticipated cost saving such as, not able to achieve possible cost saving due to gap in
supply chain practices is ranked fourth by respondents as 70 per cent of respondents rank it between
rank two to rank seven and almost 62 per cent feel that it is one of the top six important factor
impacted by supply chain practices. Overall logistics activities get weighted average score of 6.40 and
mean value of 6.39. Anticipated cost can be saved only if organisation concentrates on its supply chain
strategy to drive its operations and create a supply chain network to deliver products as per customer’s
requirement by optimum use of available resources and assets. Any gap in any of these factors shall
results in depriving organisation to achieve anticipated cost saving.
e. Damages to Brand Value:
Damages to brand value is ranked fifth by respondents as 56 per cent of respondents rank it
between rank three to rank seven and almost 58 per cent feel that it is one of the top six important
factor impacted by supply chain practices. Overall data analytics get weighted average score of 6.33
and mean score of 6.32. Brand value of any organisation can get impacted by responsiveness of its
supply chain, level of supply chain processes’ integration it achieves with its suppliers and level of
activities integration to deliver products or sources repeatedly. Any slackness in response strategies
and any repeated gap in integrations of supply chain processes or activities results into damage to its
brand value and takes a huge time to recover.
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Table 3-6 ALSCAL Test Result for Impact of Supply Chain
f. Increased Scrap Cost:
Increased scrap cost is ranked sixth by respondents as 46 per cent of respondents’ rank it
between rank five to rank nine and almost 60 per cent feel that it is one of the top six important factor
impacted by supply chain practices. Overall data analytics get weighted average score of 6.21 and
mean score of 6.21. Just like rework cost, scrap is result of wrong quality of product or even right
product at wrong time or on wrong address with replacement cost being higher than the crap cost.
Scarp cost is direct cost to any organisation impacting cost performance hence bottom line of the
organisation.
g. Lost Opportunity to Win over Competition:
Lost opportunity to win over competition are ranked seventh by respondents as 58 per cent of
respondents rank it between rank six to rank nine and only 35 per cent feel that it is one of the top five
important factors impacted by supply chain practices. Overall data analytics get weighted average
score of 6.06 and mean score of 6.07. Organisations who are able to leverage the supply chain
capabilities and are able to define best in class supply chain strategies, secure competitive advantage
position over competition and become preferred suppliers for their customer.
h. Premium Freight Payment:
Premium freight payment is ranked eighth by respondents as 56 per cent of respondents’ rank it
between rank six to rank ten and only 41 per cent feel that it is one of the top five important factors
impacted by supply chain practices. Overall inventory management get weighted average and mean
score of 5.86. Premium freight payment is the additional cost which organisation had to pay in order to
rush shipments to bring in materials or components in last-minute in order to overcome gaps in supply
chain practices at own or supplier premises. This additional cost is an exposure to any organisation
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which is incurred after consideration of cost benefit analysis as loss in revenue may be higher than the
cost of premium freight payment hence become unavoidable to remain in business.
i. Lost Goodwill:
Lost goodwill is ranked ninth by respondents as 54 per cent of respondents’ rank it between rank
six to rank ten and only 40 per cent feel that it is one of the top five important factors impacted by
supply chain practices. Overall warehousing management get weighted average score of 5.51 and
mean score of 5.53. Good will can be lost by any organisation when so ever there is some unmet
demand of the customer whether stated - unstated or qualitative –quantitative.
j. Higher Inventories:
Higher inventories is ranked tenth by respondents as 53 per cent of respondents rank it between
rank seven to rank ten and only 39 per cent feel that it is one of the top five important factors impacted
by supply chain practices. Overall higher inventories get weighted average and mean score of 5.22.
Higher inventories are accumulated in warehouses or on sites of organisations due to gaps in supply
chain processes such as persistent gap in demand and supply, poor forecasting process or techniques,
challenge in delivery lead times, supplier selection strategies, and inventory unbalances resulting into
huge cost for organisations impacting cost performance by inventory carrying cost, obsolescence cost,
and working capital cost impact.
k. Miscellaneous others:
Other than these top 10 factors, losing supplier confidence due to lack of forecasting, scarcity of
material, loss of functional value are mentioned by few respondents which are getting impacted by
performance of supply chain management in telecom sector. Losing supplier confidence is linked with
lost good will and brand value damages which are already considered. Scarcity of material is related
with loss in revenue hence that is also considered in above ten factors.
In order to further analyse the situation in line with hypothesis that, supply chain management
has more impact on cost rather than revenue of company, factors’ weighted average score is assigned
weight based on its overall rank. Factor which has got number of one score was given the highest
weight age score of 10 and vice versa.
Table 3-7 Supply Chain Impact Revenue or Cost
Weighted average score obtain for revenue and cost, by averaging out the weighed score of all
the factors. Based on this weighted score for revenue came out as 42 which is higher than weighted
score of 30 obtained for cost. Now since weighted score of revenue is more than that of cost hence that
means supply chain practices impact revenue more than that of cost hence we have to reject the
hypothesis.
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4. Implications for Supply Chain Management
This research work is a first of kind conducted in Indian context for examining supply chain
dynamics of telecom industry and identifying key factors of industry’s supply chain competitiveness
for impact on revenue or cost.
Supply chain impact financial performance of any organisation and organisations evaluate their
financial performance on a high-level of financial goals or objectives which are being reported on
monthly to quarterly or yearly basis, such as operating or net income, return on investment, (ROI),
return on sales, profit margin, contribution, and earnings per share. These financial performance
factors are important as these reflect the financial results of business decisions organisation take in day
to day activities and all stake holders understand this language of financial performance of business
operations.
Table 4-1 Matrix for Supply Chain Parameters with Factors of Financial Performance
Impact to revenue can be due to supply chain parameters such as product lead time,
transportation time, product quality, stock out scenarios, batch sizes, delivery accuracy at destination,
supplier selection criteria such as single vendor or multi-vendor, effectiveness of supply chain teams,
and forecast of equipment required to realise revenue.Impact on cost performance can be in terms of
delivery cost, cost of product development, inventory carrying cost, packaging cost, batch size,
physical distance between customer and supplier, taxes of state, out of stock scenario impacting cost
due to non-realisation of available inventory, premium freight payment, cost of reworks, cost of
inaccurate forecasts, product selling costs, cost due to warranty expiration due to failure in supply
chain operations, logistics transactions correctness, and cost due to fluctuations in exchange rate.
Results of these financial factors are impacted by supply chain decisions which organisation
takes. An effort is made to review impact on financial performance parameter from supply chain
decisions and same was analysed.After analysis it came out clearly that supply chain impact revenue
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more than the cost and this understanding needs to be spread across supply chain constituents across
sector. In order to overcome this challenge, organisations need to create a matrix showing linkages of
these financial parameters with supply chain parameters. With development of this linkage matrix it is
possible for organisation to clearly establish impact on financial performance from supply chain of
organisation and analyse their acts in a way to optimise financial performance.Ratios to which these
supply chain parameters impact factors of financial performance vary from organisation to
organisation. Organisations based on their individual parameters can define these ratios and track these
deliverables. A sample list of supply chain parameters impacting financial performance factors is listed
in table 5-1. Other than these top 10 factors, losing supplier confidence due to lack of forecasting,
scarcity of material, loss of functional value are mentioned by few respondents which are getting
impacted by performance of supply chain management in telecom sector. Losing supplier confidence
is linked with lost good will and brand value damages which are already considered. Scarcity of
material is related with loss in revenue hence that is also considered in above ten factors.Financial
performance of organisation can get impacted by supply chain operations due to cost of material being
sourced from suppliers, services’ cost of supply chain team, cost of logistics service such as
warehousing and transportation, and cost of consequential damages due to supply chain operations.
Revenue of organisation can also get impacted from supply chain operations in terms of revenue
coming from direct product supplies or in terms of revenue coming from services being rendered. Real
impact on financial performance needs to be monitored by telecom sector at project level by
establishing linkages of supply chain constituents with organisation financial performance.
5. Conclusion and the Way Forward
Telecom sector in India is quite instrumental in defining the growth story of country in multiple
ways such as contribution through direct inflow of FDI in economy, infrastructure growth and enabler
for growth of other sectors such as banking, tourism, and transportation. Supply chain of telecom
sector is network of multiple entities and stake-holders such as telecom service providers, equipment
vendors, infrastructure providers, project and logistics services’ providers, components’ suppliers and
regulatory stake holders including Government of India. All these stake holders are connected through
interwoven matrix contracts with each other making supply chain further complex for the sector. Huge
amount of financial flow is happening across these contracts, whether it is cost of services being
charged to one billion consumers from telecom service provider, cost of spectrum being paid to
government by telecom service providers or cost of equipment or services being paid to telecom
equipment and infrastructure provider by service providers.
This study predominantly is an effort to recognise the current dynamics of telecom sector’s
supply chain and its impact on revenue or cost of telecom sector’s organisation. Since it is established
that supply chain management impacts not only cost but revenue also equally in-fact more than the
cost, hence it is must that linkages between revenue and supply chain parameters need to be clearly
established in organisation. Once linkages are clearly established in organisation, it helps organisation
to align supply chain strategies with overall business strategy of organisation and help organisation to
be agile by bringing flexibility in supply chain. In fact customer problems can be envisaged timely and
solutions can be proactively implemented in supply chain helping with a satisfied customer resulting in
a long term association and increase revenues. With inbuilt flexibility in supply chain, organisation can
react to demand variations more assertively and can deliver product timely helping organisation to
realise revenues pretty quickly.
On cost front, optimisation of supply chain processes results in reduction in the cost which
translates into increased margins straight away. Cost of products can be optimised through sourcing of
products strategically, optimisation of purchasing processes, ensuring sound demand and supply
management reducing obsolescence. Warehouse and logistics optimisation efforts can be reduced by
planning transport routes, optimising ware house spaces and strategic positioning of the same,
optimising skill based manpower, and automation in ware houses. Forecasting with more accuracies
shall result in reduction of obsolescence hence reducing cost of obsolescence straight way and will also
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help in reducing man hours getting wasted to meet urgencies getting cropped up due to in accurate
forecasts.
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