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Montana Workforce Data and Future Trends Montana—Future of Nursing April 2011 Montana Office of Rural Health/Area Health Education Center

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Page 1: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Montana Workforce

Data and Future Trends

Montana—Future of Nursing April 2011 Montana Office of Rural Health/Area Health Education Center

Page 2: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Montana’s Healthcare Workforce

State Healthcare Workforce Planning Grant awarded to MT Office of Rural Health/AHEC and MT Department of Labor and Industry

Purpose: Create a healthcare workforce strategic plan, including implementation strategies

Input from stakeholders statewide

Focus groups

Profession and Sector workgroups

MT Healthcare Workforce Advisory committee

Page 3: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Montana vs. U.S. Unemployment

Page 4: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry

Montana Health Care Employment vs. Total State Employment

Page 5: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Majority of

state is

frontier.

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Page 6: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Page 7: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Page 8: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Page 9: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Health care reform

Health Information Technology

Economic recovery

Increasing demand for healthcare services

Aging baby boomers

New technology and pharmaceuticals

Page 10: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Source: The Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), National

Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education

The number

of health

professions

graduates

has

increased.

Page 11: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Source: AHECs. Dept. of Labor, HPSA maps #39, #43, #53?

Majority of

the state is

designated

as a Health

Professional

Shortage

Area.

Page 12: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Demand for Health Professionals

in Montana

Year State

HP Vacancies

State HP Vacancy Rate

2010 117.1 4.4%

2009 226.2 4.0%

2007 Winter 461.5 7.8%

2007 Spring 197.6 5.9%

2006 391.9 7.1%

2005 422.7 6.9%

2003 353.0 5.3%

Source: MHA, An Association of Montana Health Care Providers, 2011

Page 13: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Current Demographics of Montana

Current State Population (2010):989,415

Projected Population (2020): 1,022,735

State Projected Growth Rate (2010 to 2020): 3.37%

Current State Unemployment Rate: 7.4%

State Healthcare Employment: 57,898

State Healthcare Employment Projection (2010-2020):

73,311 or 26.6% growth

Source: US Census, State Department of Employment and Economic Development

Page 14: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Factors Impacting Healthcare

Workforce

Page 15: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Health Professions Education in Montana

Page 16: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Primary Care Providers in Montana

940 PC physicians in Montana.

Page 17: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Primary Care Providers in Montana

856 APRNs and PAs in state.

Page 18: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Current Demand for Health

Professionals in Montana

Source: MT AHEC

2011

Statewide MT

AHEC

opportunities.

Primary Care Physician 58

Specialty Physician 17

NP/PA 4

Dentist 4

Dental Hygienist 1

All other health professionals 28

Page 19: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Future Trends in Healthcare Workforce:

Healthcare Job Outlook

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

Healthcare Occupations All Occupations

26.6%

11.2%

Perc

ent

ChangeHealthcare Employment Outlook 2010-2020

Source: Montana Department of Labor and Industry

Healthcare

jobs will

grow at high

rate.

Page 20: Regional Workforce Data and Future Trendsmtcahn.org/wp-content/...Future-TrendsOutline-4-11.pdfFuture Trends in Healthcare Workforce: Healthcare Job Outlook 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0%

Statewide Summary

Numerous physician and allied health vacancies

Statewide health professions education

Healthcare workforce and population are aging

Increase in population

Use of telehealth

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Montana Healthcare Workforce

Advisory Committee

Members

Tasks

Next steps

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“The direction in which education starts a man will determine his future life.” Plato, The Republic