regional policy 2011 annual reports eu overview reporting 23/11 – ms evaluation network regio b2...
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
2011 Annual reportsEU Overview reporting
23/11 – MS Evaluation Network
REGIO B2 – Evaluation and European SemesterJ Walsh / A Abdulwahab
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Key points
Focus of strategic reports / calendar Data transfer Indicators / evaluations - Core indicators
(ERDF/CF) Categorisation (inputs) – Dimensions Next steps
Submisison / publication COCOF presentations – early 2012 End March Commisison summary Inter institutional debates
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Focus of NSRs 2012
• Clear picture on programme implementation and achievements of CP compared to its objectives – evidence on the performance and effectiveness
• Assessing impacts of the economic and financial crisis on the programmes
• Contribution to Europe 2020 and Growth Compact
• A source of input to the next round of programming - good data quality important
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Time Schedule
• June 2012 • Submission of OP annual reports
• July 2012• Following the submission of the 2011 AIRs, the Commission
will engage in quality checks and seek to correct with the programmes the clear inaccuracies – Deadline 30/9/2012
• October 2012• Commission will present the MS with a harmonised analysis of
the data from the AIR• Commission will provide each MS with an extract from its
database on the financial implementation of the Ops• December 2012
• The body of the reports should be presented electronically through SFC, by no later than 31/12/2012
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Core Indicators 2012: Progress Achieved
• Results of 2011:• Programmes accelerating, progress against all core indicators• Reporting on targets have improved but achievements are
still better reported• Increased coverage but not all OPs reporting core indicators• Reporting actual values (instead of contracted) increased
• Many technical problems seem resolved• Decimals: dot vs. comma• Typos or incomprehensible numbers
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Most Frequent Problems
Much of the data in SFC is still of insufficient quality for automatic aggregation. Recurrent mistakes:•Not Cumulative (vs. annual) values •Incorrect Measurement units – i.e. measurement unit for induced investment (m€ vs €)•Missing target values•Baselines are included in target values•Quality of job creation indicator: completion vs. construction, double counting, men+women
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Categorisation - introductory remarks
• Categorisation … vital part of monitoring, transparency, strategic reports
• An information system (not control / eligibility) for tracking financial inputs
• Decided• Programmed• Reprogramming
• Allocated to projects, by MS, Objective, themes• But not procured or spent
• Progress, improvements in reliability
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Overview
• Project selection data1. Priority Themes
a) By MSb) By themesc) Lisbon earmarkingd) Reprogramming
2. Form of finance3. Territorial dimension4. Economic Dimension5. Location – NUTS
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1. Project Selection - aggregate trends
Date EUR Billion % allocated
09/2009 93.4 27.1%
12/2009 90.8 26.4%
12/2010 181 52.2%
12/2011 244 70.4%
Mid-2012 (informal)
278 79.9%
Total Budget decided (2012)
346.7 100%
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1 a) Allocated reported by Member States 2009-2010-2011
• Compare each MS to EU average .. why?• Different selection procedures / definitions• Different balances between Infrastructure and
soft measures
• Remaining data weaknesses (+/- 8 bn € corrections 2011):
• Annualised / non cumulative reporting; • Some reports not based on selection but
procurement, spending;• Missing / incomplete / erroneous data.
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Allocated 2010
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Allocated 2011
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Allocated mid-2012 (informal @ 09/2012)
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Allocated (2011) vs payments (09/2012)
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MS trends
NB: Differences in selection definitions … but expect that MS uses it own defintion consistently•Some MS have already front loaded – 100% selection(risk of dormant projects ? failure in implementation?)•Some MS have indicated that open selection processes will soon see full allocation (i.e. DE, PL, UK)•Other MS have still have to formalise significant selection processes
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1 b) Thematic Implemenation by Objective
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Project Selection 2011 - major themes
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Components of "Rail"
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Components of "road"
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
GR= 460%; DK = 570%
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Components of ENV
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Thematic trends
• Data already 11 Months old … long time lag • Persistent sectoral delays in some MS clear
Rail, Energy, Broadband, Capacity Building, Etc;
• Growing signs of over / under programming not reflected in formal reprogramming;
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Convergence 2007-2013 – AIR 2011 – rate of selection by Lisbon earmarks
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RCE 2007-2010: 2011 AIRRate of selection by Lisbon earmarks
CZ: 250% or over for Lisbon / non-Lisbon; GR: 216% for Lisbon earmarked
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1 d) Reprogramming
• Can take different forms• Thematic reprogramming (see below) • Reprogramming co-financing
Increase co-financing within regulatory limitsTop up (programme countries)
• Reprogramming to accelerate use flexibility within priority axes
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1 d) Decided thematic reprogramming – 28 billion € - 8% total EU
NB : IE = 41%
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Thematic reprogramming - Graph
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Decided reprogramming - EU - 2007-2012 (@22/10/2012)
Positive €m Negative €mNet Change
€m Net Change
%
Rail 1,635.7 -1,982.9 -347.2 -1.5%Road 2,917.5 -2,010.5 907.0 2.2%Other transport 1,282.7 -2,102.0 -819.3 -4.9%Energy 1,821.2 -878.0 943.2 8.1%Broadband 302.8 -297.4 5.4 0.2%Environment 2,502.1 -3,685.0 -1,182.8 -2.6%Culture & social 2,811.5 -1,578.4 1,233.1 5.1%
Innovation & RTD 6,609.2 -4,607.3 2,001.9 3.9%
Entrepreneurship 725.3 -1,096.9 -371.5 -4.6%ICT services 1,031.0 -1,493.3 -462.3 -3.7%
Generic Bus. Supprt 1,541.3 -681.6 859.6 5.9%Human capital 926.9 -1,957.0 -1,030.1 -3.5%Labour market 2,376.1 -979.3 1,396.7 5.8%
Capacity Building 147.3 -885.6 -738.3 -6.5%Social Inclusion 228.2 -311.8 -83.6 -2.0%
Territorial Dimension 1,326.6 -673.6 652.9 4.3%
Technical Assistance 305.9 -849.1 -543.3 -5.4%Sum: 28,491.2 -26,069.7 2,421.4
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Other Dimensions …
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Form of finance - 2011
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Territorial Dimension - 2011
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Territorial Dimension
Comments: - Improved ventilation: IT, UK
NB: Rural = Mountains, Islands, sparsly populated, RUP and other ruralOther = ex-Border regions, Cooperation (transnational, interrregional ..)
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Economic Dimension – AIR 2011
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Economic Dimension
• Less than 20% of allocations to projects not allocated to economic end use;
• … but very high rates of non allocation in UK, LU, FR, BE, IE, BG, DK and ETC;
• Improved reporting in SE;• Neary 60% allocated to service sectors - including
'public sector'.
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
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PT = 50%
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Labour Market measures (63, 64, 65, 66, 67,
69) by economic sector – AIR 2011
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Regional PolicyRegional Policy
Location (NUTS 2/3)
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Next Steps
• National reports – by end 2012• Outputs / results / evaluations• Crisis response• EUROPE 2020 contribution• Future pointers / reprogramming / post2014
• COCOF presentations by delegations • Commission analysis
• Report by 31/3/2013