reducing premature cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in … · 2015-10-13 · diabetes and...
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Pascal Bovet, FMH int. med, FMH public health
Consultant NCD, Ministry of Health Seychelles
Associate professor, University Medical Center, Lausanne, Switzerland
African Heart Network (Affiliate of WHF in Africa)
Joint Pan-African Society of Cardiology (PASCAR) and the Cardiovascular
Society of Mauritius CVS Congress, Mauritius, 4 -6 Oct 2015
Reducing Premature Cardiovascular Morbidity and
Mortality in People With Atherosclerotic Vascular Disease:
The World Heart Federation Roadmap for
Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease
Focus on interventions for conditions which are frequent in a population, have clear evidence, are affordable, and therefore
have potential large impact → 3 roadmaps by WHF
• Tobacco avoidance • Hypertension control • Secondary prevention Approach: Identify gaps & barriers to make interventions more impactful
Reducing CVD
by25* by 2025
Roadmap for CVD
secondary prevention
Roadmap for
hypertension
Roadmap for
tobacco control
Next steps
Secondary prevention of CVD morbidity and mortality
• Any strategy aimed at reducing the probability of a
recurrent CVD event in patients with known
atherosclerotic CVD, including coronary heart disease,
cerebrovascular artery disease, peripheral artery disease
and atherosclerotic aortic disease
• Treatment with proven drugs and smoking cessation
can prevent up to 80% recurrent events, including
death and disability
Secondary prevention interventions
• Pharmacotherapy:
– Aspirin
– ACE inhibitors
– Statins
– Beta-blockers (IHD)*
• Behavioral interventions (rehabilitation/prev. cardiology)
– Multifactorial & multdisciplinary
– Smoking cessation
– Physical activity
– Healthy diet
– Stress management: aim to return patient to full physical, emotional and vocational function [i.e. optimize quality of life]
Effects of different drugs, measured as relative risk, on fatal and non-fatal IHD and stroke
Joint effect could prevention up to 80% of premature CVD in secondary prevention
Lim SS et al. Prevention of cardiovascular disease in high-risk individuals in low-income and middle-income countries:
health effects and costs. Lancet 2007; 370: 2054–62
~all: RR 0.27 ~all: RR 0.30
Distribution of risk factors in population at baseline and subsequent CVD events (PURE, n=152,609)
Baseline condition Risk factor (%) Follow-up major CVD
N = 3,488 (2.23 %)
Had prior CVD (i.e. sec. prev) 7,743 (5.1) 673 (19.3)
Hypertension (Hx or ≥140/90) 62,034 (40.7) 2,317 (66.4)
Current smoker 31,397 (20.6) 1,021 (29.4)
CVD, hypertension or smoker
(i.e. CVD high risk) 84,078 (55.0) 2,822 (80.9)
Diabetes (Hx or FPG ≥7mmol) 16,071 (10.5) 905 (26.0)
CVD, hypertension, smoker or
DM 88,326 (57.9) 2,929 (84.0)
Estimated costs for medications for all high CVD risk
individuals in different countries
Beaglehole R et al. Priority actions for the non-communicable disease crisis. Lancet 6 apr 2011
Cecchini M, Sassi F, Lauer JA, et al. Tackling of unhealthy diets, physical inactivity, and obesity: health effects and cost-eff
ectiveness. Lancet 2010; 376: 1775–84.
Treatment gap: CVD event rates (left) and annualized case fatality (right) in LICs, MICs and HICs (PURE)
Yusuf et al . Cardiovascular Risk and Events in 17 Low-, Middle-, and High-Income Countries. N Engl J Med 2014;371:818-27.
Treatment gap in CVD secondary prevention: Drug use in participants with IHD, by region (PURE)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
North Am. &Europe
SouthAmerica
Middle East South Asia China Africa
Antiplatelet drugs
β blockers
ACE inhibitors or ARBs
Diuretics
Calcium-channel blockers
BP-lowering drugs
Statins
Africa
Ysuf S et al. Use of secondary prevention drugs for cardiovascular disease in the community in high-income, middle-
income, and low-income countries (the PURE Study): a prospective epidemiological survey. Lancet 2012
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
North Am. &Europe
SouthAmerica
Middle East South Asia China Africa
Antiplatelet drugs
β blockers
ACE inhibitors or ARBs
Diuretics
Calcium-channel blockers
BP-lowering drugs
Statins
Africa
CVD secondary prevention gap: Drug use in participants with stroke by region (PURE)
Treatment effectiveness cascade: need to identify and address modifiable health system barriers at each level and implement
contextual strategies to overcome them
Efficacy 75%
Real effectiveness
21% 8% (*hypothetical numbers)
* 20%
* 20%
* 30%
First step: mapping health system requirements to
achieve secondary prevention targets
• Priority interventions (ACEI, BB, aspirin, statin, lifestyle
interventions) available
• Factors related to adherence and adequate case
management
• A number of factors related to adequate health system
function
Health system requirements to achieve CVD prevention target (WHF roadmap) (more specific than 6 blocks or CCM)
Human
resources
• Availability of HCPs who can prescribe proven therapies at hospital discharge and
ensure their long-term use
Physical
resources
• Health care system facility available /accessible to patients when / where needed
• Availability of priority interventions at hospital and primary care or outpatient
clinics within or near the community neighborhood
Intellectual
resources • Availability of practical and locally relevant clinical guidelines
Healthcare
delivery
• Healthcare organized to integrate existing resources to ensure efficiency in the
interaction between HCPs and patients and facilities are close to patients
Healthcare
recipient • Patients aware and willing to follow recommendations (patient centered care)
Financing
• Patients can afford the access to healthcare facilities and recommended interventions
• Priority interventions are affordable to both the healthcare system and the patient
• Adequate investment in health care
Governance • Adequate political and regulatory framework supporting the strategy to implement
and sustain priority interventions (including their availability and affordability)
Information
system
• A simple, timely, acceptable, and representative information system to provide
reliable data about the incidence of fatal and non-fatal CVD events, prognosis and
quality of care (including the use of priority interventions) of patients with known CVD
Roadblocks, strategies and solutions to overcome barriers to the achievement of CVD secondary prevention targets (1/2)
Roadblock Strategies Potential solutions
Patients with
known CVD do not
have access to
the HC system
Improve access to
HC system
• Strengthen the role of the PHC for secondary CVD prevention
• Increase opening times of clinics; location close to patients
• Integrate secondary CVD prevention interventions with simple
cardiac rehabilitation programs
• Integrate secondary CVD prevention with management of other
chronic conditions (HIV, tuberculosis)
Lack of HCPs to
prescribe priority
interventions
Increase
availability of HCPs
• Shift roles of HCPs towards allowing non-specialized workers
to prescribe priority interventions
Guidelines are not
available or
recommendations
are too complex
Simplify treatment
• Develop simple and locally applicable guidelines
• Simplify use of multiple drugs by using fixed-dose combinations
• Pre-packaged blisters with multiple medications
HCPs are not
aware of guidelines Educate HCPs
• Education of HCPs
• Audit and feedback
• Decision support systems (new ICT)
HCPs are aware
but do not follow
guidelines
Ensure HCPs
follow
recommendations
• Local opinion leaders
• Financial incentives to promote care
• Decision support systems
Roadblock Strategies Potential solutions
Priority
interventions
are not available
Increase
availability of
priority
interventions
• Include priority interventions in the national list of essential medicines
• Improve efficiency of pharmaceutical distribution chain
• Ensure priority interventions are available at sec. & prim. care levels
• Ensure priority interventions are available at community level
Priority
interventions
are not
affordable
Universal
health
coverage
• Promote use of quality, safe and inexpensive generic medications
• Promote local manufacturing, bulk purchasing and/or efficient system to
streamline medication supply
• Provide financial and social support for patients to purchase priority
interventions, or provide them free of charge (or at very low cost)
Patients are not
aware of the
importance and
need of long-term
treatment
Help patients
adhere to
recommend-
ations
• Education (health literacy)
• Public awareness campaigns
• Empower patients to share decisions with HCPs: patient centered care
Patients do not
remember to
follow
recommendations
Help patients
adhere to
recommenda-
tions
• Use information and communication technology to remind patients
about recommendations
• Use fixed-dose combinations of key priority interventions to simplify
treatment
• Use patient-nominated, non-professional treatment supporters
(spouse, friends, family)
Roadblocks, strategies and solutions to achieve CVD secondary prevention target (2/2)
It is much more important to know what sort of a patient has a disease than what sort of a disease a patient has.
Sir William Osler
Product Units per
month
Median
Unit Cost
Monthly cost
($)
Yearly
cost (US$)
Source
Aspirin (ASA) 100 mg tab 30 $ 0.0028 0.084 1.0 MSH 2013
Hydrochlorothiaz. 25 mg 30 $ 0.0041 0.123 1.5 MSH 2013
Atenolol 50 mg tab 30 $ 0.0118 0.354 4.2 MSH 2013
Simvastatin 20 mg tab 30 $ 0.0235 0.705 8.5 MSH 2013
Glibenclamide 5 mg tab 30 $ 0.0067 0.201 2.4 MSH 2013
Metformin 500 mg tab 60 $ 0.0178 1.068 12.8 MSH 2013
Insulin NPH 100IU/ml 10ml 1 $ 6.70 6.7 80.4 MSH 2013
Tamoxifen 20 mg tab 30 $ 0.0998 2.994 35.9 MSH 2013
Cost of NCD medicines without tariffs, taxes and mark-ups
Sources: MSH International Drug Price Indicator Guide 2013 and ADF Catalogue 2011
Selected successful examples (1/2)
• Integration of sec. prevention of CVD in primary care (Family Health
Program in Brazil reduced CVD mortality by 18% (BMJ 2014;348:1-10)
• Cardiac rehabilitation programs can be low cost: a nurse –led,
home-based program of RF control in China (J Clin Nurs 2007)
• Reliance on non physician health workers – Review in Plos 2014;9:3103754
– SPREAD trial in India, better adherence to sec prev Rx (Kamath et al, AmHJ 2014)
– SimCard trial India Tibet (Tian et al, Circulation 2015;132:815-824)
• Simplifying treatment of with fixed dose combinations for high risk
patients; many trials in several countries: improved adherence, improved RF control,
data on mortality ongoing (Law, Yusuf, etc)
• Ensuring adherence of HCPs to guidelines (yet generally in high income
countries, e.g. AHA Get with the Guidelines, many papers)
• Increasing availability and affordability of key interventions (FHP Brazil):
few studies in LICs, but ecological evidence from LIC to HIC for secondary
prevention of other diseases (e.g. HIV, TB), eg, case study in Egypt (PEPFAR)
• Helping patients to adhere to recommendations: challenging since life long
(and often few symptoms): need for behavior change (Rashid et al, review, Ann
Fam Med 2014;224-32; use text messages (not definite evidence yet)
– Important area for further studies in LICs/Africa (discount future events,
role of individual vs family/community, etc)
• Strengthening governance structures and stewardship and commitment,
e.g. Australian National Secondary Prevention Alliance: 19 organizations
involved in healthcare, consumer, gov and non gov)
• Strengthening health information systems (registers in HIC; LMIC: periodic
surveys, including building on surveillance mechanisms existing ones)
Selected successful examples (2/2)
*Prevention*
Population
wide
strategies
to reduce
the level of
exposure to risk
factors in the
population
**Management*
Individual
(clinical) based
strategies
Strengthen health
care for people
with NCDs
"Best buy" Interventions Risk factor / disease
- Raise taxes on tobacco
- Protect people from tobacco smoke (smoking bans)
- Warn about the dangers of tobacco (health warnings)
- Enforce bans on tobacco advertising
Tobacco use
- Raise taxes on alcohol
- Restrict access to retailed alcohol
- Enforce bans on alcohol advertising
Harmful use of alcohol
- Reduce salt intake in food
- Replace trans fat with polyunsaturated fat in foods
- Promote public awareness about diet and physical activity
Unhealthy diet and
physical inactivity
- Multi-drug therapy for people with medium-high risk of
developing heart attacks and strokes
- Treat heart attacks with aspirin
Cardiovascular disease
and diabetes
- Hepatitis B immunization to prevent liver cancer
- Screening and treatment of pre-cancerous lesions to
prevent cervical cancer Cancer
Emphasis on CVD secondary prevention is supported by WHO NCD Global Action Plan 2013-2020 : “best buys”
UN General Assembly. Political declaration of the high-level meeting of the General Assembly on the prevention and control of non-communicable diseases. A/66/L.1. 16 September 2011. http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=A/66/L.1
Halt the
rise in
diabetes
and
obesity
A 10% relative
reduction in
prevalence of
insufficient
physical
activity
At least a 10%
relative
reduction in
harmful use of
alcohol
A 25% relative reduction in
risk of premature mortality
from CVD, cancer, diabetes
or chronic respiratory
diseases
An 80%
availability of affordable basic
technologies
and essential
medicines,
incl. generics,
to treat NCDs
A 30% relative
reduction in
prevalence of
tobacco use
A 30%
relative
reduction in
mean pop.
intake of salt
A 25% relative
reduction in
prevalence of
high blood
pressure
At least 50% of
eligible people
receive drug
therapy and
counselling to
prevent heart
attacks and
strokes
Consistency of WHF roadmap with WHO global NCD targets agreed by all countries at the World Health Assembly (2025 vs 2010)
Goal 3: Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages
Target 3.4: By 2030, reduce by 1/3 premature mortality from NCDs
Target 3.a Strengthen the implementation of the FCTC in all countries
Target 3.b Support research and development of vaccines and
medicines for the communicable and non communicable diseases that
primarily affect LMICs
Target 3.8: Achieve universal health coverage, including financial risk
protection, access to quality essential health-care services and safe,
effective, quality and affordable essential medicines and vaccines for all
Focus on high CVD risk is supported by Sustainable Development Goals agreed in Sep 2015 at WA (2016-2030)
• Need to improve the currently unacceptably low uptake of cost
effective secondary prevention interventions in LMICs.
• Strengthen the role of primary care providers in CVD sec. prevention.
• Task sharing: allow non-specialized workers to prescribe priority Rx.
• Develop simple and practical (and context sensitive) guidelines.
• Promote good quality, low cost and affordable generic medications.
• Use fixed-dose combinations to simplify Rx and increase adherence.
• Ensure priority interventions are available down to community levels.
• Provide financial/social support for patients to purchase priority Rx.
• Use IC technology to support clinical decision making by HWs.
• Use IC technology to increase patient adherence.
• Develop simple information systems for patients with known CVD.
• Establish/ strengthen accountable governance structures from
ministerial to the primary healthcare level.
Conclusions: WHF roadmap underlies one way
forward to improve CVD secondary prevention
Next steps
• Create a national coalition to achieve 25 x 25 objective led by WHO
• Perform situation analysis in different contexts
• Epidemiological profile (CVD, risk factors)
• Health system assessment (resources, financing, governance, delivery)
• Policy mapping (national plans, laws)
• Rapid reviews, secondary data analysis and interviews
• Produce situation analysis reports and follow up on them
• Policy dialogues
• Stakeholders mapping
• Discuss roadmaps solutions and roadblocks in the context of situation
analyses
• Produce specific regional/national roadmaps and update them